weekly football tip sheet

Transcription

1 weekly football tip sheet ISSUE 16 College Football Week 16 NFL Week 15

2 Football Weekly INDEX Rotation Schedule...2 NFL VI Picks...3 NFL VI Best Bets...4 NFL Strength Ratings...5 NFL Matchups...6 Top NFL Head to Head Trends...14 Recent NFL Head to Head History...15 NFL Top Weekly Trends...17 NFL Observations...18 CFB VI Picks...19 CFB Strength Ratings...19 CFB VI Best Bets...20 Bowl Game Matchups...21 College Bowl Games Hot/Not Coaches and Teams...24 Top CFB Head to Head Trends...26 Recent CFB Head to Head History...26 Football Line Moves...27 WELCOME TO THE VEGASINSIDER FOOTBALL WEEKLY Week 16 of the Vegas Insider Football Weekly publication is a special one, as we introduce the first six bowl games of the season, starting with the New Orleans Bowl game on Saturday afternoon and wrapping up with the Boca Raton Bowl on Tuesday evening. Those are just eight of the 40 games we will cover in the next four weeks issues. So grab a seat on the couch, plus a beverage of your choice, and of course, your VIFW to get ready for all the betting action. In the VIFW, we will cover each and every bowl game as a feature game, meaning stats, matchups, editorial, our popular Strength Ratings, and of course, picks from our group of handicappers. Our schedule will remain the same as always, covering the games on a Wednesday through Tuesday basis, so don t panic when you don t see the games after December 19th. We will cover those next week. If you are looking for even more great bowl coverage, don t forget to order our special Vegas Insider Bowl Guide, featuring in-depth coverage of all 39 bowl games, including stats, matchups, editorial previews, and staff selections on both sides and totals. Steve Makinen, formerly of StatFox, is again back to lead the effort. He and his staff finished putting the bowl guide together this past Monday, so be sure you get your hands on a copy by purchasing via any of the appropriately promotions on our website, VegasInsider.com. The Bowl Guide is jam packed with 96 pages dedicated strictly to betting the bowl games! This week s VIFW issue not only covers the bowl games, but also the key NFL week 15 action. Hopefully you followed our lead handicapper this last week, as VI Jim & VI Jason both hit two out of three Best Bets in the NFL. VI Jim is up to 60% on the season, enjoying another strong campaign. Speaking of Jim Mack, you can get all of his college & pro selections by visiting his VI Experts page on the website. Incidentally, he hit on another Guaranteed College Football Play last week with Army to run his streak on such games to ATS. Our thanks goes out again to all of our readers. We appreciate your continued support this season for the Weekly! Best of luck from VI on all of this weekend s action! VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 1

3 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 ROTATION SCHEDULE Football Weekly NFL WEEK 15 NFL WEEK 15 cont'd THURSDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2017 SUNDAY, DECEMBER17, DENVER PHILADELPHIA -8-8 P: 5:25PM C: 7:25PM E: 8:25PM NBC P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 302 INDIANAPOLIS NY GIANTS GREEN BAY SATURDAY, DECEMBER 16, 2017 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 303 CHICAGO CAROLINA -2-3 P: 1:30PM C: 3:30PM E: 4:30PM NFL 311 CINCINNATI DETROIT P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 305 LA CHARGERS MINNESOTA P: 5:25PM C: 7:25PM E: 8:25PM NFL 313 MIAMI KANSAS CITY P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 314 BUFFALO COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL GAMES 315 HOUSTON SATURDAY, DECEMBER 16, 2017 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM NEW ORLEANS BOWL 316 JACKSONVILLE SUPERDOME - NEW ORLEANS, LA 317 NY JETS NORTH TEXAS P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM ESPN 318 NEW ORLEANS TROY ARIZONA CURE BOWL P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM AMPING WORLD STADIUM - ORLANDO, FL 320 WASHINGTON GEORGIA ST BALTIMORE -9-7 P: 11:30AM C: 1:30PM E: 2:30PM CBSC P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 204 W KENTUCKY CLEVELAND LAS VEGAS BOWL 323 LA RAMS SAM BOYD STADIUM - LAS VEGAS, NV P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM 205 OREGON SEATTLE P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ABC 325 NEW ENGLAND BOISE ST P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM NEW MEXICO BOWL 326 PITTSBURGH DREAMSTYLE STAD.- ALBUQUERQUE, NM 327 TENNESSEE MARSHALL P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM P: 1:30PM C: 3:30PM E: 4:30PM ESPN 328 SAN FRANCISCO COLORADO ST DALLAS 0-3 CAMELLIA BOWL P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM NBC CRAMPTON BOWL - MONTGOMERY, AL 330 OAKLAND MIDDLE TENN ST P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM ESPN MONDAY, DECEMBER 18, ARKANSAS ST ATLANTA -5-6 P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM ESPN 332 TAMPA BAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL GAMES cont'd TUESDAY, DECEMBER19, 2017 BOCA RATON BOWL FAU STADIUM - BOCA RATON, FL 211 AKRON P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN 212 FLA ATLANTIC THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

4 Football Weekly NFL VI PICKS VI Jim (48%) (60%)* VI Jason (52%) (55%)* VI Doug (47%) (43%)* VI Matt (50%) (8%)* Power Rating (56%) Effective Strength (48%) Thursday, December 14, (301) DENVER at (302) INDIANAPOLIS (+2.5) Bettors Ratings (55%) Consensus (47%) * indicates Best Bet (BB) Indianapolis* Denver* Denver* Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis Thursday, December 14, (301) DENVER at (302) INDIANAPOLIS - TOTAL (41) UNDER OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER Saturday, December 16, (305) LA CHARGERS at (306) KANSAS CITY (+1.5) Kansas City Kansas City LA Chargers* Kansas City Kansas City Kansas City Kansas City Kansas City Saturday, December 16, (305) LA CHARGERS at (306) KANSAS CITY - TOTAL (47) UNDER* OVER OVER OVER UNDER UNDER OVER OVER Sunday, December 17, (319) ARIZONA at (320) WASHINGTON (-4) Washington Arizona Arizona Washington Washington Washington Washington Washington Sunday, December 17, (319) ARIZONA at (320) WASHINGTON - TOTAL (43) OVER UNDER UNDER OVER OVER UNDER OVER OVER Sunday, December 17, (323) LA RAMS at (324) SEATTLE (-1.5) LA Rams Seattle* LA Rams Seattle LA Rams LA Rams LA Rams LA Rams Sunday, December 17, (323) LA RAMS at (324) SEATTLE - TOTAL (47.5) OVER OVER UNDER UNDER OVER UNDER OVER OVER Sunday, December 17, (329) DALLAS at (330) OAKLAND (+3) Oakland* Oakland* Dallas* Oakland Oakland Oakland Oakland Oakland Sunday, December 17, (329) DALLAS at (330) OAKLAND - TOTAL (45.5) UNDER OVER OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER VEGASINSIDER FOOTBALL WEEKLY SEASON PASS - $99 FULL SEASON The Tip Sheet Season Pass runs through Febraury 2018, so you ll be covered for the entire Regular Season and Playoffs. $99 FULL SEASON VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM/WEEKLY-INSIDER VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 3

5 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL VI BEST BETS Football Weekly Jim says Bettors in the NFL tend to have extremely short memories. Prior to beating New York this past Sunday, Denver had lost eight straight games. Now, because the Broncos shut out what is arguably the lowest talent roster in the NFL, now they are worthy of your betting dollar as a road favorite in a meaningless game for both teams? I should say not. Denver has been awful on the road this season, going 0-6 ATS while being outscored on average. Indy HC Chuck Pagano has done a great job while coaching the Colts in getting his team to respond to losses, as they are ATS in that scenario. He is likely on his last weeks with the team, but I can assure you that universally Pagano is well liked in the Colts locker room, and this team will not quit on him in the final three games. I would question that same attitude for a Denver team that was used to winning prior to this ugly campaign. Historically, the Colts have owned this head-to-head series, winning ATS in nine of the L10. This is a bettor s special that will be hard to watch. It will be even harder placing any trust in a listless Denver team as road chalk. I m taking the points with the Colts. Jason says Did wins over struggling divisional rivals Washington and the Giants make Dallas a good team again? It certainly seems like it judging by this week s pointspread in Oakland, where the Cowboys find themselves as questionable 3-point road favorites. Apparently this game has become must-win caliber for Dallas, and despite the fact that they are just one game better than Oakland in won-lost record, they are being treated much differently from that. I am personally not putting much stock into the wins over the Redskins and Giants, as both teams are beat up with very little to play for. Oakland probably has little but pride to play for, but pride will come from being a home dog to Dallas. Statistically, neither team has any major advantages, and neither is special. Take a look at the system: - Play against Favorites after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team in the second half of the season. The record of the angle is38-14 over the L52 tries. Dallas is a marginal team, not good enough to be a road favorite in what could be a difficult spot. Take Da Raiders. Doug says Even in the loss to the New York Jets, you could see Kansas City was going to find a victory soon and they did at home against Oakland with ease. The L.A. Chargers will not be as soft as a comforter, like the Raiders for the Chiefs. Philip Rivers is back to his salty self and with receivers having returned, the Bolts offense (and defense) has gone into another gear during this four-game winning streak in averaging 32.7 PPG and their talented defensive front seven has shut off opposing running games like a faucet the past three contests. I am well aware the Chargers have dropped seven in a row to K.C., nevertheless, they look like the better club and take control of the AFC West. 4 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

6 Football Weekly NFL STRENGTH Three different types of time-tested strength ratings have been created for use in the publication. In the chart below, you ll find the ratings, along with potential edges shown for the upcoming games. The Power Ratings columns RATINGS are in-house ratings kept and maintained manually for every game throughout the season. The Effective Strength (Effective Strg) Ratings quantify a team s performance against varied schedule strengths. Finally, the Bettors Ratings (Bettors Rtng) are built using a unique formula of a team s closing lines in relation to its past opponents and game performances, giving a good indication of how bettors feel about a team. Each rating is built exclusive from the others, and thus has its own merits. Track the results of the ratings weekly and see which one works best for you. Edges are given when a projection varies 3.0 points or more from an actual line or total. BRD Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors Rtng # s Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? 301 DENVER INDIANAPOLIS IND CHICAGO DETROIT DET 305 LA CHARGERS KANSAS CITY KC 307 PHILADELPHIA PHI NY GIANTS GREEN BAY CAROLINA CINCINNATI MINNESOTA MIN MIAMI BUFFALO BUF 315 HOUSTON JACKSONVILLE JAC NY JETS UNDER NEW ORLEANS ARIZONA WASHINGTON WAS WAS 321 BALTIMORE CLEVELAND LA RAMS SEATTLE NEW ENGLAND UNDER PITTSBURGH TENNESSEE TEN TEN 328 SAN FRANCISCO DALLAS OAKLAND OAK OAK 331 ATLANTA TAMPA BAY TB 5 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

7 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (301) DENVER ( ) [SU:4-9 ATS:3-9-1] AT (302) INDIANAPOLIS [SU:3-10 ATS:6-7] DECEMBER 14, :25 PM on NBC - LUCAS OIL STADIUM (INDIANAPOLIS, IN) DENVER [3.9] [5.7] [3.3] [6.4] INDIANAPOLIS [3.7] [6.1] [4.0] [7.9] Though it was not quite the same, Denver fans had to be thinking about 2015 after the Broncos shutout the Jets 23-0, giving a vintage performance, just like the Super Bowl season. Denver will seek more the same by running the ball and playing suffocating defense in the Hoosier State. The Broncos should be much more relaxed with their losing streak burden removed. Though Indianapolis lost in a Buffalo blizzard in OT, most of the players remarked how fun it was to play in those conditions. The Colts would be wise to play every young player the rest of the way and think about rebuilding the roster for 2018, because that is the future, with this season gone. INDIANAPOLIS is 16-3 ATS(L5Y) - Against weak teams being outscored by opponents by more than 6.0 points per game(cs) DENVER is 2-9 ATS(L2Y) on ROAD - Conference games INDIANAPOLIS is 19-6 UNDER(L25G) at HOME - Against stout rushing defenses yielding less than 3.6 yards per(cs) DENVER RESULTS INDIANAPOLIS RESULTS VS NY JETS W W U at BUFFALO L L U at MIAMI L L O at JACKSONVILLE L L U at OAKLAND L L U VS TENNESSEE L L U VS CINCINNATI L L U VS PITTSBURGH L W U VS NEW ENGLAND L L O at HOUSTON W W U at PHILADELPHIA L L O at CINCINNATI L W O at KANSAS CITY L L O VS JACKSONVILLE L L U at LA CHARGERS L L U at TENNESSEE L L O VS NY GIANTS L L U VS SAN FRANCISCO W W O VS OAKLAND W W U at SEATTLE L L O at BUFFALO L L O VS CLEVELAND W W O VS DALLAS W W O VS ARIZONA L W U VS LA CHARGERS W P O at LA RAMS L L O (303) CHICAGO [SU:4-9 ATS:6-6-1] AT (304) DETROIT ( ) [SU:7-6 ATS:6-6-1] DECEMBER 16, :30 PM on NFLN - FORD FIELD (DETROIT, MI) CHICAGO [4.5] [5.9] [4.0] [6.5] DETROIT [3.3] [7.4] [4.2] [7.1] Chicago gave its best performance of the season in a lopsided victory over Cincinnati. The defense will be after a similar showing because Detroit is last in rushing, leaving the Bears to turn full attention to Matthew Stafford and the Lions passing game. If Chicago can run the ball and stay aggressive in throwing, they have a shot at another upset. Though hardly in an ideal situation, Detroit knows a 10-6 record is their only possible pathway to the postseason and has to take of business in this divisional battle. With eight turnovers in the past three contests, the Lions understand even Chicago is a threat if they keep making those kinds of mistakes. The Bears are 0-10 ATS away when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. CHICAGO is 8-4 ATS(L3Y) - Against strong offensive teams averaging more than 5.8 yards per play(cs) DETROIT is 5-13 ATS(L5Y) - In December DETROIT is 9-2 OVER(L5Y) at HOME - Less than 6 days rest 6 CHICAGO RESULTS DETROIT RESULTS at CINCINNATI W W U at TAMPA BAY PK W W U VS SAN FRANCISCO L L U at BALTIMORE L L O at PHILADELPHIA L L U VS MINNESOTA L L O VS DETROIT L P O at CHICAGO W P O VS GREEN BAY L L O VS CLEVELAND W W O at NEW ORLEANS L L U at GREEN BAY W W O VS CAROLINA W W U VS PITTSBURGH L L U at BALTIMORE W W O at NEW ORLEANS L L O VS MINNESOTA L W U VS CAROLINA L L O at GREEN BAY L L O at MINNESOTA W W U VS PITTSBURGH W W U VS ATLANTA L L O at TAMPA BAY L L U at NY GIANTS W W U VS ATLANTA L W U VS ARIZONA W W O THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

8 Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (305) LA CHARGERS ( ) [SU:7-6 ATS:7-5-1] AT (306) KANSAS CITY [SU:7-6 ATS:7-6] DECEMBER 16, :25 PM on NFLN - ARROWHEAD STADIUM (KANSAS CITY, MO) LA CHARGERS [3.8] [7.6] [4.7] [5.9] KANSAS CITY [4.9] [7.6] [4.3] [6.9] Though the records say otherwise, this is probably for the AFC West crown. The Chargers take control with a victory and will be favored in their final two outings, while a Kansas City triumph would mean a sweep and they would own the tiebreaker. L.A. South is on a four-game winning streak and Philip Rivers has gotten hot with his full complement of weapons and is averaging YPG passing in this period. The Chiefs offense got back on track in ousting Oakland and if they can get Kareem Hunt going in the running game, it opens up the whole offense for Alex Smith. K.C. s confidence should be high having won seven straight (5-2 ATS) in this rivalry. LA CHARGERS is ATS(L3Y) on ROAD - On grass field KANSAS CITY is 3-8 ATS(L11G) - On Saturday LA CHARGERS is 16-3 UNDER(L5Y) - In December LA CHARGERS RESULTS KANSAS CITY RESULTS VS WASHINGTON W W U VS OAKLAND W W U VS CLEVELAND W L U at NY JETS L L O at DALLAS W W U VS BUFFALO L L U VS BUFFALO W W O at NY GIANTS L L U at JACKSONVILLE L W U at DALLAS L L U at NEW ENGLAND L L U VS DENVER W W O VS DENVER W W U at OAKLAND L L O at OAKLAND W W U VS PITTSBURGH L L U at NY GIANTS W W O at HOUSTON W W O VS PHILADELPHIA L L O VS WASHINGTON W W O VS KANSAS CITY L L U at LA CHARGERS W W U VS MIAMI L L U VS PHILADELPHIA W W O at DENVER L P O at NEW ENGLAND W W O (307) PHILADELPHIA (-8 40) [SU:11-2 ATS:10-3] AT (308) NY GIANTS [SU:2-11 ATS:5-8] DECEMBER 17, :00 PM on FOX - METLIFE STADIUM (EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ) PHILADELPHIA [4.6] [7.1] [3.7] [6.0] NY GIANTS [3.8] [5.6] [4.3] [7.7] Philadelphia received the bad news about Carson Wentz, but the coaching staff no doubt was moving forward trying to get Nick Foles ready. As opposed to most teams, the Eagles have a backup quarterback that has won frequently in the NFL and they are not built exclusively around Wentz, with the No.2 running offense and No.6 scoring defense. Everything was in place for the Giants to knock off Dallas and they were right there to do so in the fourth quarter when New York reverted to who they are this season, getting blitzed 20-0 in final eight minutes. With how aggressive Philly coach Doug Pederson is, if Big Blue makes mistakes early, the Eagles will pounce. PHILADELPHIA is 12-5 ATS(L2Y) - As favorite NY GIANTS is ATS(L25G) at HOME - Against decent passing defenses yielding less than 6.15 yards per attempt(cs) PHILADELPHIA is OVER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against lesser defensive teams allowing more than 23.5 PPG(CS) PHILADELPHIA RESULTS NY GIANTS RESULTS at LA RAMS W W O VS DALLAS L L U at SEATTLE L L U at OAKLAND L W U VS CHICAGO W W U at WASHINGTON L L U at DALLAS W W U VS KANSAS CITY W W U VS DENVER W W O at SAN FRANCISCO L L O VS SAN FRANCISCO W W U VS LA RAMS L L O VS WASHINGTON W W O VS SEATTLE L L U at CAROLINA W W O at DENVER W W U VS ARIZONA W W U VS LA CHARGERS L L O at LA CHARGERS W W O at TAMPA BAY L W O VS NY GIANTS W L O at PHILADELPHIA L W O at KANSAS CITY L L O VS DETROIT L L U at WASHINGTON W W U at DALLAS L L U VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 7

9 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL MATCHUPS Football Weekly (309) GREEN BAY [SU:7-6 ATS:7-6] AT (310) CAROLINA (-3 45) [SU:9-4 ATS:8-4-1] DECEMBER 17, :00 PM on FOX - BANK OF AMERICA STADIUM (CHARLOTTE, NC) GREEN BAY [4.4] [5.9] [4.0] [7.3] CAROLINA [4.4] [6.2] [4.1] [6.4] Despite being outgained by supposedly inferior teams, Green Bay came up large when trailing in the fourth quarter the last two weeks and salted away two wins in OT. Speculation has Aaron Rodgers returning, but either way the Packers will be underdogs the next two weeks and he will not make their defense better. The Pack s run defense has been carved up lately and they will have to deal with Cam Newton and Carolina s No.5 run offense. The Panthers can all but punch their playoff ticket by defeating both Bay s the next two weeks at home. Even if Rodgers returns, he s going to be a little rusty and protective of his shoulder. These NFC combatants are 10-3 OVER in their history. GREEN BAY is 9-4 ATS(L3Y) on ROAD - As underdog CAROLINA is 3-8 ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.6 yards per play(cs) GREEN BAY is 10-2 OVER(L2Y) - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.3 yards per carry(cs) GREEN BAY RESULTS CAROLINA RESULTS at CLEVELAND W W O VS MINNESOTA W W O VS TAMPA BAY W W O at NEW ORLEANS L L O at PITTSBURGH L W O at NY JETS W W O VS BALTIMORE L L U VS MIAMI W W O at CHICAGO W W O VS ATLANTA W W U VS DETROIT L L O at TAMPA BAY W W U VS NEW ORLEANS L L U at CHICAGO L L U at MINNESOTA L L U VS PHILADELPHIA L L O at DALLAS W W O at DETROIT W W O VS CHICAGO W W O at NEW ENGLAND W W O VS CINCINNATI W L O VS NEW ORLEANS L L O at ATLANTA L L O VS BUFFALO W P U VS SEATTLE W W U at SAN FRANCISCO W W U (311) CINCINNATI [SU:5-8 ATS:7-6] AT (312) MINNESOTA ( ) [SU:10-3 ATS:9-4] DECEMBER 17, :00 PM on CBS - US BANK STADIUM (MINNEAPOLIS, MN) CINCINNATI [3.5] [6.5] [4.2] [6.1] MINNESOTA [4.0] [7.2] [3.8] [5.9] Many wondered if Cincinnati would be lethargic after blowing a 17-0 lead to Pittsburgh on Monday and the Bengals answered that question with an indolent showing in being whipped by Chicago. With the season gone, pride is the only remaining reason for Cincy to play with purpose and it sure seems like coach Marvin Lewis is a goner. Expect Minnesota to attack a weakened Bengals secondary. In spite of a tremendous comeback, the Vikings were playing with a reshuffled offensive line in the loss to Carolina. They ll need to get everyone healthy to secure a first round playoff bye. For all teams like Minnesota facing foes like Cincinnati, the idea is to quickly build a lead and take away the opponents will to play, otherwise, they could be interested late. MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS(L3Y) - Against efficient defenses allowing more than 16.3 yards per point(cs) CINCINNATI is 3-9 ATS(L2Y) - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.6 yards per play(cs) MINNESOTA is 10-2 UNDER(L12G) at HOME - as double digit favorite 8 CINCINNATI RESULTS MINNESOTA RESULTS VS CHICAGO L L U at CAROLINA L L O VS PITTSBURGH L W P at ATLANTA W W U VS CLEVELAND W W O at DETROIT W W O at DENVER W W U VS LA RAMS W W U at TENNESSEE L W O at WASHINGTON PK W W O at JACKSONVILLE L L U ** CLEVELAND W W O VS INDIANAPOLIS W L O VS BALTIMORE W W O at PITTSBURGH L L O VS GREEN BAY W W U VS BUFFALO W W U at CHICAGO W L U at CLEVELAND W W U VS DETROIT L L U at GREEN BAY L W O VS TAMPA BAY W W O VS HOUSTON L L U at PITTSBURGH L L U VS BALTIMORE L L U VS NEW ORLEANS W W O THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

10 Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (313) MIAMI [SU:6-7 ATS:5-6-2] AT (314) BUFFALO ( ) [SU:7-6 ATS:6-5-2] DECEMBER 17, :00 PM on CBS - NEW ERA FIELD (BUFFALO, NY) MIAMI [3.8] [5.8] [4.2] [6.7] BUFFALO [4.2] [5.7] [4.2] [6.5] The odds are not good, yet for another week, Buffalo fans still have a playoff hope. The Bills starting quarterback will likely remain a mystery until later in the week, however, whoever gets the call, the best advice the Buffalo coach staff can give that individual is turnaround and hand the pigskin to LeSean McCoy, since he is their best option by a wide margin. These teams will meet twice in the final three weeks. With two straight wins, the Miami has given themselves a chance to return to the playoffs. Especially exciting was the improbable victory over New England. It will be imperative to the Dolphins to play with the same purpose and intensity in Buffalo, where they are 9-16 and ATS most recently. BUFFALO is ATS(L5Y) at HOME - VS Opp With 1000 or more travel miles MIAMI is 3-13 ATS(L5Y) - Against lesser offensive teams averaging less than 5.1 yards per play(cs) BUFFALO is 10-1 OVER(L3Y) - VS Opp With 1000 or more travel miles MIAMI RESULTS BUFFALO RESULTS VS NEW ENGLAND W W U VS INDIANAPOLIS W W U VS DENVER W W O VS NEW ENGLAND L L U at NEW ENGLAND L L O at KANSAS CITY W W U VS TAMPA BAY L L O at LA CHARGERS L L O at CAROLINA L L O VS NEW ORLEANS L L O VS OAKLAND L P O at NY JETS L L O at BALTIMORE L L O VS OAKLAND W W O VS NY JETS W P O VS TAMPA BAY W P O at ATLANTA W W U at CINCINNATI L L U VS TENNESSEE W W U at ATLANTA W W U ** NEW ORLEANS L L U VS DENVER W W O at NY JETS L L U at CAROLINA L P U at LA CHARGERS W W U VS NY JETS W W U (315) HOUSTON [SU:4-9 ATS:7-6] AT (316) JACKSONVILLE ( ) [SU:9-4 ATS:8-5] DECEMBER 17, :00 PM on CBS - EVERBANK FIELD (JACKSONVILLE, FL) HOUSTON [4.0] [6.6] [4.0] [7.5] JACKSONVILLE [4.5] [6.6] [4.6] [5.3] With third-stringer T.J. Yates expected to start for Houston, he might want to wear track shoes instead of cleats in trying to avoid the NFL s best pass rush. Though the Texans season was realistically over awhile ago, mathematically it is now official. If they could not muster up a ravaged roster at home to beat San Francisco, it s hard to imagine conjuring up a great showing against the Jaguars. Last Sunday was yet another example of how different Jacksonville is. After a couple of brutal defensive mistakes that brought Seattle back into game, the Jags did not lose their poise and cemented the contest away. Blake Bortles confidence is oozing presently and it s hard to imagine Houston bettors improving on the 10-5 ATS mark in north Florida. HOUSTON is ATS(L25G) on ROAD - Against solid passing defenses yielding less than 5.95 yards per attempt(cs) JACKSONVILLE is ATS(L25G) at HOME - Against tough-luck defenses allowing less than yards per point(cs) HOUSTON is 8-3 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - In December HOUSTON RESULTS JACKSONVILLE RESULTS VS SAN FRANCISCO L L U VS SEATTLE W W O at TENNESSEE L L U VS INDIANAPOLIS W W U at BALTIMORE L W U at ARIZONA L L O VS ARIZONA W W O at CLEVELAND W W U at LA RAMS L L U VS LA CHARGERS W L U VS INDIANAPOLIS L L U VS CINCINNATI W W U at SEATTLE L W O at INDIANAPOLIS W W U VS CLEVELAND W W O VS LA RAMS L L O VS KANSAS CITY L L O at PITTSBURGH W W U VS TENNESSEE W W O at NY JETS L L O at NEW ENGLAND L W O ** BALTIMORE W W O at CINCINNATI W W U VS TENNESSEE L L O VS JACKSONVILLE L L U at HOUSTON W W U VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 9

11 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL MATCHUPS Football Weekly (317) NY JETS [SU:5-8 ATS:7-5-1] AT (318) NEW ORLEANS (-16 47) [SU:9-4 ATS:8-5] DECEMBER 17, :00 PM on CBS - MERCEDES-BENZ SUPERDOME (NEW ORLEANS, LA) NY JETS [3.8] [6.7] [4.1] [6.8] NEW ORLEANS [4.9] [7.8] [4.5] [6.6] The Jets lost Josh McCown with a broken hand and their dignity in a 23-0 white-washing at Denver, putting up exactly 100 yards of offense. After being a feel good story most of the year, this was the New York squad everyone thought we would see all year. The next stop is New Orleans, who needs a win to stay in first place. After losing at Atlanta on with several interesting calls that went against the Saints, they will have extra time to calm down and focus on winning a division they still control. New Orleans will attempt to restart the running game against Gang Green, which sets up the rest of the offense for big passing plays. NEW ORLEANS is ATS(L25G) - VS Opp With 1000 or more travel miles NY JETS is ATS(L25G) on ROAD - Against strong rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry(cs) NEW ORLEANS is 10-1 OVER(L5Y) at HOME - More than 6 days rest NY JETS RESULTS NEW ORLEANS RESULTS at DENVER L L U at ATLANTA L L U VS KANSAS CITY W W O VS CAROLINA W W O VS CAROLINA L L O at LA RAMS L L U at TAMPA BAY L L U VS WASHINGTON W L O VS BUFFALO W W O at BUFFALO W W O VS ATLANTA L W O VS TAMPA BAY W W U at MIAMI L P O VS CHICAGO W W U VS NEW ENGLAND L W U at GREEN BAY W W U at CLEVELAND W W U VS DETROIT W W O VS JACKSONVILLE W W O ** MIAMI W W U VS MIAMI W W U at CAROLINA W W O at OAKLAND L L O VS NEW ENGLAND L L O at BUFFALO L L U at MINNESOTA L L O (319) ARIZONA [SU:6-7 ATS:4-8-1] AT (320) WASHINGTON (-4 43) [SU:5-8 ATS:5-8] DECEMBER 17, :00 PM on FOX - FEDEX FIELD (LANDOVER, MD) ARIZONA [3.3] [6.4] [3.7] [6.3] WASHINGTON [3.8] [7.1] [4.3] [7.0] After being run over by the Rams the previous week, Arizona could have lost to first place Tennessee and hardly anyone would have noticed. But the Cardinals showed moxie and determination and kicked the Titans 12-7, thanks to four field goals. Arizona can continue its drive to finish with a winning record in Washington, but it should be noted they are 1-5 ATS on the road this season. That might not be a problem if the Redskins put up a third straight stinky performance. Washington has numerous injuries and has played like a team mailing it in the past two weeks, which reflects poorly on coach Jay Gruden. Over the last nine games, the Skins have won and lost next two, does this continue? ARIZONA is 10-3 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against mediocre teams being outscored by opponents by more than 4.0 points per game(cs) WASHINGTON is 5-20 ATS(L25G) at HOME - Against mediocre teams being outscored by opponents by more than 4.0 points per game(cs) ARIZONA is 9-2 OVER(L3Y) on ROAD - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.6 yards per play(cs) 10 ARIZONA RESULTS WASHINGTON RESULTS VS TENNESSEE W W U at LA CHARGERS L L U VS LA RAMS L L O at DALLAS L L O VS JACKSONVILLE W W O VS NY GIANTS W W U at HOUSTON L L O at NEW ORLEANS L W O VS SEATTLE L P U VS MINNESOTA PK L L O at SAN FRANCISCO W W U at SEATTLE W W U ** LA RAMS L L U VS DALLAS L L O VS TAMPA BAY W W O at PHILADELPHIA L L O at PHILADELPHIA L L U VS SAN FRANCISCO W L O VS SAN FRANCISCO W L U at KANSAS CITY L L O VS DALLAS L L U VS OAKLAND W W U at INDIANAPOLIS W L U at LA RAMS W W P at DETROIT L L O VS PHILADELPHIA L L U THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

12 Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (321) BALTIMORE (-7 40) [SU:7-6 ATS:7-5-1] AT (322) CLEVELAND [SU:0-13 ATS:3-10] DECEMBER 17, :00 PM on CBS - FIRSTENERGY STADIUM (CLEVELAND, OH) BALTIMORE [4.1] [5.3] [3.9] [6.3] CLEVELAND [4.4] [5.6] [3.3] [7.0] Baltimore had to be immensely disappointed they failed to knock off Pittsburgh when they had the chance Sunday night. Nonetheless, there were several positives. Joe Flacco and the passing offense showed a pulse and the offensive line whipped Pittsburgh in running the ball for 152 yards. With three very winnable games remaining, the Ravens could enter playoffs on fire. Speaking of winnable, Cleveland had a 95.9 percent chance to beat Green Bay in the fourth quarter according to ESPN analytics, until they did not. The Browns have in recent games done a great deal right, but crucial mistakes are destroying them. This version of Cleveland has not gone 0-8 at home since they rebooted team in BALTIMORE is ATS(L11G) - Before playing INDIANAPOLIS CLEVELAND is ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against efficient defenses allowing more than 16.3 yards per point(cs) CLEVELAND is 9-2 UNDER(L2Y) at HOME - Conference games BALTIMORE RESULTS CLEVELAND RESULTS at PITTSBURGH L W O VS GREEN BAY L L O VS DETROIT W W O at LA CHARGERS L W U VS HOUSTON W L U at CINCINNATI L L O at GREEN BAY W W U VS JACKSONVILLE L L U at TENNESSEE L P O at DETROIT L L O VS MIAMI W W O ** MINNESOTA L L O at MINNESOTA L L O VS TENNESSEE L W U VS CHICAGO L L O at HOUSTON L L O at OAKLAND W W O VS NY JETS L L U VS PITTSBURGH L L U VS CINCINNATI L L U ** JACKSONVILLE L L O at INDIANAPOLIS L L O VS CLEVELAND W W U at BALTIMORE L L U at CINCINNATI W W U VS PITTSBURGH L W U (323) LA RAMS [SU:9-4 ATS:8-5] AT (324) SEATTLE ( ) [SU:8-5 ATS:5-7-1] DECEMBER 17, :05 PM on FOX - CENTURYLINK FIELD (SEATTLE, WA) LA RAMS [4.2] [7.8] [4.7] [6.3] SEATTLE [4.0] [7.0] [3.9] [6.4] Though not happy about the setback to Philadelphia, the Rams as an entire group were hardly disappointed knowing they made the critical but correctable mistakes that led to the loss. They also still control their own destiny. To win in Seattle, the Rams realize they cannot make the same miscues they just made against the Eagles and in the previous conflict with the Seahawks, when they committed five turnovers. If L.A. North plays a clean game, they can win. Seattle not only lost in Jacksonville, they failed to earn a tie for first place and lost their collective poise at the same time. The Seahawks place themselves in the driver s seat with a win, having earned a sweep of the Rams. SEATTLE is 19-6 ATS(L25G) - In December LA RAMS is ATS(L2Y) - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.6 yards per play(cs) SEATTLE is 9-2 UNDER(L5Y) at HOME - In December LA RAMS RESULTS SEATTLE RESULTS VS PHILADELPHIA L L O at JACKSONVILLE L L O at ARIZONA W W O VS PHILADELPHIA W W U VS NEW ORLEANS W W U at SAN FRANCISCO W W U at MINNESOTA L L U VS ATLANTA L L O VS HOUSTON W W U at ARIZONA W P U at NY GIANTS W W O VS WASHINGTON L L U ** ARIZONA W W U VS HOUSTON W L O at JACKSONVILLE W W O at NY GIANTS W W U VS SEATTLE L L U at LA RAMS W W U at DALLAS W W O VS INDIANAPOLIS W W O at SAN FRANCISCO W L O at TENNESSEE L L O VS WASHINGTON L L P VS SAN FRANCISCO W L U VS INDIANAPOLIS W W O at GREEN BAY L L U VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 11

13 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (325) NEW ENGLAND (-2 53) [SU:10-3 ATS:8-5] AT (326) PITTSBURGH [SU:11-2 ATS:6-7] DECEMBER 17, :25 PM on CBS - HEINZ FIELD (PITTSBURGH, PA) NEW ENGLAND [4.2] [7.7] [5.0] [6.8] PITTSBURGH [3.7] [7.3] [4.3] [6.3] Pittsburgh had a miraculous victory over Baltimore on Sunday night, as we saw the best of Ben Roethlisberger. There was talk after the game that this is what championship teams do, yet the defense was atrocious most the night, with poor tackling and worse execution, which is hardly ideal preparation for facing New England. After two rugged come from behind victories, what will the Steelers bring? The Patriots are off a rare subpar-performance, where the offense and defense both were never in sync. The pressure is now on the Patriots but this is a situation they often thrive in, which makes this confrontation with Pittsburgh even more compelling. The Pats are 8-3 ATS (6-5 SU) in the Steel City. NEW ENGLAND is ATS(L3Y) - Against strong offensive teams averaging more than 5.8 yards per play(cs) PITTSBURGH is 4-7 ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against decent teams outscoring opponents by more than 3.0 points per game(cs) PITTSBURGH is 11-1 UNDER(L3Y) - Against inept defensive teams yielding more than 5.9 yards per play(cs) NEW ENGLAND RESULTS PITTSBURGH RESULTS at MIAMI L L U VS BALTIMORE W L O at BUFFALO W W U at CINCINNATI W L P VS MIAMI W W O VS GREEN BAY W L O ** OAKLAND W W U VS TENNESSEE W W O at DENVER W W O at INDIANAPOLIS W L U VS LA CHARGERS W W U at DETROIT W W U VS ATLANTA W W U VS CINCINNATI W W O at NY JETS W L U at KANSAS CITY W W U at TAMPA BAY W W U VS JACKSONVILLE L L U VS CAROLINA L L O at BALTIMORE W W U VS HOUSTON W L O at CHICAGO L L U at NEW ORLEANS W W O VS MINNESOTA W W U VS KANSAS CITY L L O at CLEVELAND W L U (327) TENNESSEE [SU:8-5 ATS:5-7-1] AT (328) SAN FRANCISCO (-2 44) [SU:3-10 ATS:7-6] DECEMBER 17, :25 PM on CBS - LEVIS STADIUM (SANTA CLARA, CA) TENNESSEE [4.4] [6.4] [3.6] [6.2] SAN FRANCISCO [4.1] [6.1] [3.9] [7.0] Off Tennessee s disasterous defeat at Arizona, all eyes fall to Marcus Mariota. No question his third season has seen regression, but what is the coaching staff doing about it? It was wellknown Mariota was not a traditional quarterback coming in, so why not play to his strengths? Use more play-action, roll Mariota out and simplify routes. The Titans should not give up 12 points to Cardinals and lose. Just two weeks in and it already appears San Francisco made the right choice in trading for Jimmy Garoppolo. He s poised, made a definitive leap in third down execution in one week, and exudes confidence. The early line even had the 49ers as favorites and with the way the defense is competing, the Niners could win again. TENNESSEE is ATS(L14G) - VS NFC-WEST SAN FRANCISCO is 4-11 ATS(L5Y) - Against decent defensive teams yielding less than 5.2 yards per play(cs) SAN FRANCISCO is 8-3 UNDER(L5Y) at HOME - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.3 yards per carry(cs) 12 TENNESSEE RESULTS SAN FRANCISCO RESULTS at ARIZONA L L U at HOUSTON W W U VS HOUSTON W W U at CHICAGO W W U at INDIANAPOLIS W W U VS SEATTLE L L U at PITTSBURGH L L O VS NY GIANTS W W O VS CINCINNATI W L O VS ARIZONA L L U VS BALTIMORE W P O at PHILADELPHIA L L U at CLEVELAND W L U VS DALLAS L L O VS INDIANAPOLIS W W O at WASHINGTON L W O at MIAMI L L U at INDIANAPOLIS L L O at HOUSTON L L O at ARIZONA L W U VS SEATTLE W W O VS LA RAMS L W O at JACKSONVILLE W W O at SEATTLE L W U VS OAKLAND L L U VS CAROLINA L L U THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

14 Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (329) DALLAS ( ) [SU:7-6 ATS:7-6] AT (330) OAKLAND [SU:6-7 ATS:4-8-1] DECEMBER 17, :30 PM on NBC - OAKLAND COLISEUM (OAKLAND, CA) Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF DALLAS [4.6] [6.5] [4.2] [6.5] OAKLAND [4.1] [6.7] [4.1] [7.3] Dallas showed patience and persistence in knocking off the New York Giants. It was like watching a fighter just waiting for a mistake and when the Giants did, the Cowboys demolished them in the fourth quarter. Dallas will take on a better opponent, Oakland, but one that also has a glass jaw and will cave when the going gets tough. Since being beat up in the more literal sense in Week 3 at Washington, this has not been the same Raiders team. This squad has played in almost disbelief and has lacked the fire and desire to play like a contender that truly wants to win. With a nasty three-game set remaining, will Oakland rise to occasion or fold like a chair? DALLAS is 9-3 ATS(L3Y) on ROAD - OU line of 45 or more OAKLAND is 4-14 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - OU line of 45 or more OAKLAND is 10-1 OVER(L3Y) at HOME - Against decent-scoring teams averaging 24 PPG or more(cs) DALLAS RESULTS OAKLAND RESULTS at NY GIANTS W W U at KANSAS CITY L L U VS WASHINGTON W W O VS NY GIANTS W L U VS LA CHARGERS L L U VS DENVER W W U VS PHILADELPHIA L L U ** NEW ENGLAND L L U at ATLANTA L L U at MIAMI W P O VS KANSAS CITY W W U at BUFFALO L L O at WASHINGTON W W O VS KANSAS CITY W W O at SAN FRANCISCO W W O VS LA CHARGERS L L U VS GREEN BAY L L O VS BALTIMORE L L O VS LA RAMS L L O at DENVER L L U at ARIZONA W W U at WASHINGTON L L U at DENVER L L O VS NY JETS W W O VS NY GIANTS W W U at TENNESSEE W W U (331) ATLANTA ( ) [SU:8-5 ATS:6-7] AT (332) TAMPA BAY [SU:4-9 ATS:3-9-1] DECEMBER 18, :30 PM on ESPN - RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM (TAMPA, FL) ATLANTA [4.4] [7.7] [4.3] [6.0] TAMPA BAY [3.7] [6.9] [4.2] [7.8] With three NFC South games remaining, Atlanta can still repeat as champions and it starts on the road in Tampa. The Falcons persevered in earning a split versus Minnesota and New Orleans. The extra rest can only help at this time of year and with how Tampa Bay is playing, this should only benefit the Falcons, who obviously need the wins more. Only Blake Bortles has more turnovers at the QB position than Jameis Winston since 2015, after he had three more in the loss to Detroit. There are reports of a growing rift between Winston and coach Dirk Koetter, and the Buccaneers continued sloppy play will always fall in the coach s lap. Having to face three likely NFC playoff teams will not make things easier for the Bucs. ATLANTA is 8-3 ATS(L2Y) - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.6 yards per play(cs) TAMPA BAY is 2-11 ATS(L5Y) - Against decent passing defenses yielding less than 6.15 yards per attempt(cs) TAMPA BAY is 10-2 UNDER(L5Y) at HOME - Against strong passing teams averaging more than 7.1 yards per attempt(cs) ATLANTA RESULTS TAMPA BAY RESULTS VS NEW ORLEANS W W U VS DETROIT PK L L U VS MINNESOTA L L U at GREEN BAY L L O VS TAMPA BAY W W O at ATLANTA L L O at SEATTLE W W O at MIAMI W W O VS DALLAS W W U VS NY JETS W W U at CAROLINA L L U at NEW ORLEANS L L U at NY JETS W L O VS CAROLINA L L U at NEW ENGLAND L L U at BUFFALO L P O VS MIAMI L L U at ARIZONA L L O VS BUFFALO L L U VS NEW ENGLAND L L U at DETROIT W W O VS NY GIANTS W L O VS GREEN BAY W W O at MINNESOTA L L O at CHICAGO W L U VS CHICAGO W W U VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 13

15 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly TOP NFL HEAD TO HEAD TRENDS (301) DENVER AT (302) INDIANAPOLIS INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS in L10 vs. Denver but lost LY Ten of L12 games in the Denver-Indianapolis series went OVER the total (303) CHICAGO AT (304) DETROIT CHICAGO is 1-5 SU but ATS in L6 vs. Detroit, all decided by <7 points (305) LA CHARGERS AT (306) KANSAS CITY ROAD TEAMS are on a run of 8-1 ATS in L9 of Chargers-Chiefs h2h series (307) PHILADELPHIA AT (308) NY GIANTS PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 SU & ATS in L8 road games vs. NY Giants OVER the total I 5-0 in L5 of Eagles-Giants series in New York (309) GREEN BAY AT (310) CAROLINA The L6 games between Green Bay & Carolina went OVER the total (311) CINCINNATI AT (312) MINNESOTA HOME TEAMS have swept the L5 SU & ATS in Cincinnati-Minnesota h2h series (313) MIAMI AT (314) BUFFALO BUFFALO is 4-1 SU & ATS in L5 hosting Miami but lost LY (315) HOUSTON AT (316) JACKSONVILLE ROAD TEAMS are on 10-2 ATS run in L12 of HOU-JAC h2h series (317) NY JETS AT (318) NEW ORLEANS UNDERDOGS are 3-1 SU & ATS in L4 of NY Jets-New Orleans h2h series (319) ARIZONA AT (320) WASHINGTON HOME TEAMS are on 10-2 SU & ATS in L12 of ARI-WAS h2h series (321) BALTIMORE AT (322) CLEVELAND BALTIMORE is 8-1 SU & ATS in its L9 trips to Cleveland (323) LA RAMS AT (324) SEATTLE SEATTLE is on an 11-1 SU & 9-3 ATS run when hosting the Rams Seven of L8 Rams-Seahawks games in Seattle went UNDER the total (325) NEW ENGLAND AT (326) PITTSBURGH NEW ENGLAND is 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS in L9 trips to Pittsburgh (327) TENNESSEE AT (328) SAN FRANCISCO The L4 games in the Titans-49ers h2h series went OVER the total (329) DALLAS AT (330) OAKLAND ROAD TEAMS are 5-2 ATS in L7 of Dallas-Oakland h2h series (331) ATLANTA AT (332) TAMPA BAY FAVORITES are on 10-0 SU & ATS run in Falcons-Bucs series in Tampa RECENT NFL HEAD TO HEAD HISTORY (301) DENVER AT (302) INDIANAPOLIS INDIANAPOLIS (20) at DENVER (34) DENVER HOME FAV OVER DENVER (24) at INDIANAPOLIS (27) INDIANAPOLIS HOME DOG OVER INDIANAPOLIS (24) at DENVER (13) INDIANAPOLIS ROAD DOG UNDER INDIANAPOLIS (24) at DENVER (31) INDIANAPOLIS ROAD DOG OVER DENVER (33) at INDIANAPOLIS (39) INDIANAPOLIS HOME DOG OVER 14 (303) CHICAGO AT (304) DETROIT DETROIT (27) at CHICAGO (24) x x x x x xxxx xxx OVER CHICAGO (17) at DETROIT (20) CHICAGO ROAD DOG UNDER DETROIT (14) at CHICAGO (17) CHICAGO HOME DOG UNDER DETROIT (24) at CHICAGO (20) DETROIT ROAD FAV UNDER CHICAGO (34) at DETROIT (37) CHICAGO ROAD DOG OVER THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

16 Football Weekly RECENT NFL HEAD TO HEAD HISTORY (305) LA CHARGERS AT (306) KANSAS CITY KANSAS CITY (24) at LA CHARGERS (10) KANSAS CITY ROAD FAV UNDER KANSAS CITY (37) at SAN DIEGO (27) KANSAS CITY ROAD FAV OVER SAN DIEGO (27) at KANSAS CITY (33) SAN DIEGO ROAD DOG OVER SAN DIEGO (3) at KANSAS CITY (10) SAN DIEGO ROAD DOG UNDER KANSAS CITY (33) at SAN DIEGO (3) KANSAS CITY ROAD FAV UNDER (307) PHILADELPHIA AT (308) NY GIANTS NY GIANTS (24) at PHILADELPHIA (27) NY GIANTS ROAD DOG OVER NY GIANTS (19) at PHILADELPHIA (24) PHILADELPHIA HOME FAV OVER PHILADELPHIA (23) at NY GIANTS (28) NY GIANTS HOME FAV OVER PHILADELPHIA (35) at NY GIANTS (30) PHILADELPHIA ROAD DOG OVER NY GIANTS (7) at PHILADELPHIA (27) PHILADELPHIA HOME FAV UNDER (309) GREEN BAY AT (310) CAROLINA GREEN BAY (29) at CAROLINA (37) CAROLINA HOME DOG OVER CAROLINA (17) at GREEN BAY (38) GREEN BAY HOME FAV OVER GREEN BAY (30) at CAROLINA (23) CAROLINA HOME DOG OVER CAROLINA (35) at GREEN BAY (31) CAROLINA ROAD DOG OVER CAROLINA (17) at GREEN BAY (31) GREEN BAY HOME FAV OVER (311) CINCINNATI AT (312) MINNESOTA MINNESOTA (14) at CINCINNATI (42) CINCINNATI HOME FAV OVER CINCINNATI (10) at MINNESOTA (30) MINNESOTA HOME FAV UNDER MINNESOTA (8) at CINCINNATI (37) CINCINNATI HOME FAV UNDER CINCINNATI (3) at MINNESOTA (24) MINNESOTA HOME FAV UNDER MINNESOTA (24) at CINCINNATI (27) CINCINNATI HOME DOG OVER (313) MIAMI AT (314) BUFFALO MIAMI (34) at BUFFALO (31) MIAMI ROAD DOG OVER BUFFALO (25) at MIAMI (28) MIAMI HOME DOG OVER MIAMI (17) at BUFFALO (33) BUFFALO HOME FAV OVER BUFFALO (41) at MIAMI (14) BUFFALO ROAD DOG OVER BUFFALO (9) at MIAMI (22) MIAMI HOME FAV UNDER (315) HOUSTON AT (316) JACKSONVILLE JACKSONVILLE (29) at HOUSTON (7) JACKSONVILLE ROAD DOG UNDER JACKSONVILLE (20) at HOUSTON (21) JACKSONVILLE ROAD DOG OVER HOUSTON (24) at JACKSONVILLE (21) HOUSTON ROAD DOG OVER JACKSONVILLE (6) at HOUSTON (30) HOUSTON HOME FAV UNDER HOUSTON (31) at JACKSONVILLE (20) HOUSTON ROAD DOG OVER (317) NY JETS AT (318) NEW ORLEANS NEW ORLEANS (20) at NY JETS (26) NY JETS HOME DOG OVER NY JETS (10) at NEW ORLEANS (24) NEW ORLEANS HOME FAV UNDER NEW ORLEANS (21) at NY JETS (19) NEW ORLEANS ROAD DOG OVER NY JETS (16) at NEW ORLEANS (9) NY JETS ROAD DOG UNDER NEW ORLEANS (12) at NY JETS (0) NEW ORLEANS ROAD FAV UNDER (319) ARIZONA AT (320) WASHINGTON WASHINGTON (23) at ARIZONA (31) ARIZONA HOME FAV OVER WASHINGTON (20) at ARIZONA (30) ARIZONA HOME FAV OVER ARIZONA (21) at WASHINGTON (22) ARIZONA ROAD DOG UNDER ARIZONA (17) at WASHINGTON (24) WASHINGTON HOME FAV UNDER ARIZONA (19) at WASHINGTON (21) ARIZONA ROAD DOG OVER (321) BALTIMORE AT (322) CLEVELAND CLEVELAND (10) at BALTIMORE (24) BALTIMORE HOME FAV UNDER CLEVELAND (7) at BALTIMORE (28) BALTIMORE HOME FAV UNDER BALTIMORE (25) at CLEVELAND (20) BALTIMORE ROAD FAV OVER BALTIMORE (33) at CLEVELAND (27) BALTIMORE ROAD DOG OVER CLEVELAND (33) at BALTIMORE (30) CLEVELAND ROAD DOG OVER 15 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

17 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly RECENT NFL HEAD TO HEAD HISTORY (323) LA RAMS AT (324) SEATTLE SEATTLE (16) at LA RAMS (10) SEATTLE ROAD DOG UNDER LA RAMS (3) at SEATTLE (24) SEATTLE HOME FAV UNDER SEATTLE (3) at LA RAMS (9) LA RAMS HOME DOG UNDER ST LOUIS (23) at SEATTLE (17) ST LOUIS ROAD DOG UNDER SEATTLE (31) at ST LOUIS (34) ST LOUIS HOME DOG OVER (325) NEW ENGLAND AT (326) PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH (17) at NEW ENGLAND (36) NEW ENGLAND HOME FAV OVER NEW ENGLAND (27) at PITTSBURGH (16) NEW ENGLAND ROAD FAV UNDER PITTSBURGH (21) at NEW ENGLAND (28) x x x x x xxxx xxx UNDER PITTSBURGH (31) at NEW ENGLAND (55) NEW ENGLAND HOME FAV OVER NEW ENGLAND (17) at PITTSBURGH (25) PITTSBURGH HOME DOG UNDER (327) TENNESSEE AT (328) SAN FRANCISCO SAN FRANCISCO (31) at TENNESSEE (17) SAN FRANCISCO ROAD FAV OVER TENNESSEE (34) at SAN FRANCISCO (27) TENNESSEE ROAD DOG OVER SAN FRANCISCO (22) at TENNESSEE (33) TENNESSEE HOME FAV OVER TENNESSEE (22) at SAN FRANCISCO (24) SAN FRANCISCO HOME FAV OVER SAN FRANCISCO (10) at HOUSTON(O) (9) HOUSTON(O) HOME DOG UNDER (329) DALLAS AT (330) OAKLAND OAKLAND (24) at DALLAS (31) OAKLAND ROAD DOG OVER OAKLAND (7) at DALLAS (24) DALLAS HOME FAV UNDER DALLAS (13) at OAKLAND (19) OAKLAND HOME FAV UNDER DALLAS (21) at OAKLAND (28) DALLAS ROAD DOG OVER OAKLAND (13) at DALLAS (12) OAKLAND ROAD DOG UNDER (331) ATLANTA AT (332) TAMPA BAY TAMPA BAY (20) at ATLANTA (34) ATLANTA HOME FAV OVER ATLANTA (43) at TAMPA BAY (28) ATLANTA ROAD FAV OVER TAMPA BAY (31) at ATLANTA (24) TAMPA BAY ROAD DOG OVER ATLANTA (19) at TAMPA BAY (23) TAMPA BAY HOME FAV UNDER TAMPA BAY (23) at ATLANTA (20) TAMPA BAY ROAD DOG UNDER 16 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

18 Football Weekly NFL TOP WEEKLY TRENDS TEAMS TO PLAY ON 50.7% ROI (301) DENVER AT (302) INDIANAPOLIS INDIANAPOLIS is ATS(L14G) - On Thursday ( $780 Profit with a 50.7% ROI ) TEAMS TO PLAY AGAINST 50.0% ROI (313) MIAMI AT (314) BUFFALO MIAMI is 3-11 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - VS AFC-EAST ( $770 Profit with a 50.0% ROI ) 79.0% ROI (325) NEW ENGLAND AT (326) PITTSBURGH NEW ENGLAND is 15-1 ATS(L2Y) - as favorite of 7 or less points ( $1390 Profit with a 79.0% ROI ) 61.4% ROI (321) BALTIMORE AT (322) CLEVELAND CLEVELAND is ATS(L3Y) - division games ( $1080 Profit with a 61.4% ROI ) 56.2% ROI (311) CINCINNATI AT (312) MINNESOTA MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS(L3Y) - Non-conference games ( $680 Profit with a 56.2% ROI ) 52.7% ROI (331) ATLANTA AT (332) TAMPA BAY TAMPA BAY is 5-20 ATS(L25G) - Against decent passing defenses yielding less than 6.15 yards per attempt(cs) ( $1450 Profit with a 52.7% ROI ) GAMES TO PLAY OVER 52.7% ROI (313) MIAMI AT (314) BUFFALO BUFFALO is 12-3 OVER(L2Y) at HOME - All Games ( $870 Profit with a 52.7% ROI ) GAMES TO PLAY UNDER 45.1% ROI (305) LA CHARGERS AT (306) KANSAS CITY KANSAS CITY is 19-6 UNDER(L25G) at HOME - OU line of 45 or more ( $1240 Profit with a 45.1% ROI ) 59.9% ROI (307) PHILADELPHIA AT (308) NY GIANTS PHILADELPHIA is OVER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against inefficient offenses averaging more than 16.6 yards per point(cs) ( $790 Profit with a 59.9% ROI ) 67.1% ROI (325) NEW ENGLAND AT (326) PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH is 14-2 UNDER(L3Y) - Against poor rushing defenses yielding more than 4.4 yards per carry(cs) ( $1180 Profit with a 67.1% ROI ) 59.1% ROI (309) GREEN BAY AT (310) CAROLINA GREEN BAY is 15-3 OVER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.3 yards per carry(cs) ( $1170 Profit with a 59.1% ROI ) 50.0% ROI (331) ATLANTA AT (332) TAMPA BAY TAMPA BAY is 11-3 UNDER(L3Y) - Against strong passing teams averaging more than 7.1 yards per attempt(cs) ( $770 Profit with a 50.0% ROI ) 17 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

19 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL OBSERVATIONS PHILADELPHIA IS HURTING BUT FAR FROM FINISHED The Eagles front office and Philadelphia fans were prepared for the worst on Monday morning and they got it when Carson Wentz was diagnosed with a torn ACL and is done for this season. I am quite certain that head coach Doug Pederson and his staff had already started working on how they would start altering the offense for Nick Foles as their starting signal caller. If you have a futures bet for Philadelphia to win the NFC or the Super Bowl, hold those betting slips. Yes, your odds have gone higher, but it is not over. Here is what we know, Foles will not be as mobile as Wentz, won t have the same arm strength, nor likely be the same decision-maker. However, Foles can improve the most on the last point just by playing and he will be surrounded by talented teammates. Tom Brady is the best quarterback in NFL history, but if he wasn t playing for the best coach and best organization that knew how to find and develop the best players, Brady would not have the same ring count. Philadelphia has the second-best running game and a better than most realize group of receivers. The defense had a tough time with the L.A. Rams in past game, yet that is not news against this rebuilt Rams squad, and they still emerged as the sixth-best scoring defense at 19.2 points per game. Though the NFC is loaded with talented squads, as long as the Eagles get the top seed, they would only have to face two of them, both at home, before reaching Super Bowl. As I have said many places besides here, if the 2000 Baltimore Ravens could win a Super Bowl with Trent Dilfer, the 2017 Eagles can with Nick Foles. Football Weekly Carolina made the trek two years ago, yet the offense does not seem consistent enough. Seattle is too dependent on Russell Wilson and the secondary is average because of injures without a pass rush. The L.A. Rams look like a more reasonable choice in Atlanta is still in the conversation, but these are not last year s Dirty Birds. THREE TEAMS TO BET ON THE REST OF THE SEASON Baltimore should have beaten Pittsburgh this past week but still covered the spread, leaving them at ATS in their past half dozen tries. The Ravens should have no problems winning their last three games, facing Cleveland, Indianapolis and Cincinnati. If Joe Flacco continues to connect with receivers and the running game stays hot, Baltimore will enter postseason on a spread covering tear. If you have not seen Blake Bortles in recent games, he is playing like the quarterback Jacksonville actually drafted for. Backed with the No. 1 running offense, No. 1 scoring defense and top sacking unit, Bortles is playing with confidence and actually has chemistry with his receivers. Coach Doug Marrone not only wants to win the AFC South, but wrap up the No.3 seed. Look for the Jaguars to keep pushing. After losing three in a row, regular folks and football bettors were ready to bury Dallas. However, two convincing wins have the Cowboys looking sharper. Dallas can certainly handle Oakland on the road this week and most likely Seattle at home, then who knows what Philadelphia s situation will be in Week 17. The Dallas offense has stopped turning the ball over and while the Cowboys might not make the playoffs, that might be good news for everyone else in the NFC. 18 WHAT TEAM(S) SHOULD BETTORS LOOK AT ELSEWHERE IN THE NFC IF NOT PHILADELPHIA The most obvious choice is Minnesota. The Vikings defense is more sound overall than Philadelphia s. If their offensive line can get healthy enough to return to their season-long level, Minnesota will maintain Top 8 running status. They also have excellent receivers with exceptional individual skills that create diversity. Case Keenum has been consistent all year and as long as he avoids turnovers, the Vikings could reach the Super Bowl, and wind up playing at home nonetheless. New Orleans is the other team that comes to mind. The Saints offense is not at 2009 Super Bowl level, yet it is very effective in being fourth in points scored at 28.5 PPG. The defense, while not a shutdown group like the Eagles or Vikings, is ninth in yards per point allowed. NFL BETTING NUMBERS Though the numbers were not particularly in the sportsbooks favor, they got the key swing game that changed their weekend. Favorites were 8-7 SU and ATS on the closing numbers (Lions and Bucs was a Pick). Sportsbooks had strong winners on Carolina, Denver, Dallas and Baltimore, but ended up losing most of that cash on Atlanta, Kansas City, Jacksonville, Green Bay and the Chargers. However, Monday night changed everything, with Miami s flabbergasting upset of New England, which was not only a huge winner on Monday, but destroyed numerous parlay and teaser cards from the weekend. On the totals side, a killer week for the UNDER at THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

20 Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL VI PICKS VI Jim (48%) (50%)* VI Jason (53%) (50%)* VI Doug (51%) (53%)* VI Matt (53%) (54%)* Power Rating (51%) Effective Strength (51%) Saturday, December 16, (201) NORTH TEXAS vs. (202) TROY (-6) Troy Troy* Troy North Texas* Troy North Texas Saturday, December 16, (203) GEORGIA ST vs. (204) W KENTUCKY (-5) W Kentucky W Kentucky W Kentucky* W Kentucky W Kentucky Saturday, December 16, (205) OREGON vs. (206) BOISE ST (+7) Bettors Ratings (48%) North Texas Consensus (51%) * indicates Best Bet (BB) Troy Georgia St Georgia St W Kentucky Boise St Oregon Oregon Oregon Boise St Boise St Boise St Boise St Saturday, December 16, (207) MARSHALL vs. (208) COLORADO ST (-5.5) Colorado St Colorado St Colorado St Colorado St Marshall Marshall Marshall Colorado Saturday, December 16, (209) MIDDLE TENN ST vs. (210) ARKANSAS ST (-3.5) Middle Tenn St Middle Tenn St Arkansas St Middle Tenn St* Arkansas St Arkansas Tuesday, December 19, (211) AKRON at (212) FLA ATLANTIC (-22) Fla Atlantic* Akron Akron Akron Fla Atlantic COLLEGE FOOTBALL St Fla Atlantic Arkansas St Akron St Arkansas St Akron Three different types of time-tested strength ratings have been created for use in the publication. In the chart below, you ll find the ratings, along with potential edges shown STRENGTH RATINGS for the upcoming games. The Power Ratings columns are in-house ratings kept and maintained manually for every game throughout the season. The Effective Strength (Effective Strg) Ratings quantify a team s performance against varied schedule strengths. Finally, the Bettors Ratings (Bettors Rtng) are built using a unique formula of a team s closing lines in relation to its past opponents and game performances, giving a good indication of how bettors feel about a team. Each rating is built exclusive from the others, and thus has its own merits. Track the results of the ratings weekly and see which one works best for you. Edges are given when a projection varies 4.5 points or more from an actual line or total. BRD Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors Rtng # s Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? 3201 NORTH TEXAS TROY GEORGIA ST W KENTUCKY OREGON BOISE ST BST 207 MARSHALL UNDER COLORADO ST MIDDLE TENN ST UNDER ARKANSAS ST AKRON UNDER FLA ATLANTIC VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

21 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL VI BEST BETS Jim says...it seems to me that the enormity of the line in the Akron-Florida Atlantic bowl game matchup is scaring off many bettors from even considering FAU. Don t count me among that group, as I personally believe that for HC Lane Kiffin and his confident team, beating the largest ever bowl pointspread will prove to be a highly motivating factor. Will a 21-point win be considered a disappointment for the Owls? Well, no, but that said, there is a reason these teams are separated by oddsmakers to the degree that they are. Kiffin is just the coach too that I would want for proving his own moxie in such an environment. Let s not forget, there haven t been a lot of people who have had the chance to watch FAU all that often this year, and they will have the Tuesday night football viewing all to themselves (with Akron I suppose). The Zips are without their best player in suspended QB Thomas Woodson, and there is a 23.7 PPG difference in what FAU scores at home to what Akron scores on the road. Also, FLA ATLANTIC is 8-2 ATS as a favorite this season, the average score was FLA ATLANTIC 45.4, OPPONENT This line is accurate and FAU is capable of beating it. Jason says The reward for winning the Sun Belt Conference a chance to represent the league in the New Orleans Bowl each year. I ve heard people speculating that Troy has become pretty accustomed to playing in this bowl game that it won t be excited to be here. Hogwash! The Trojans goal was a conference title, first and foremost. Everything else was secondary. They will be proud to be in this game against a team that was thrashed in its conference title game, North Texas. Perhaps more importantly though, Troy owns huge defensive edges in this contest of 16.3 PPG and 1.0 yards per play. The Trojans are the better team, and I don t have any questions about their motivation. I ll lay the points here. Doug says The Cure Bowl will not be laden with excitement with Georgia State taking on Western Kentucky. Nonetheless, for my money the edge go to the Hilltoppers. Georgia State was outscored this season and having watched them twice, their quarterback is either fairly accurate or not at all, especially when facing pass rush. Western Kentucky was not up to its usual standards offensively, having problems in the red zone and with turnovers. However, Mike White is still a good quarterback and his team should be able to put up at least 30 points on a not so speedy defense. All three of my models have the Hilltoppers winning by at least nine points and I will back that up. Matt says If you ask me, the line in this Camellia Bowl between Middle Tennessee State and Arkansas State was built using the teams entire bodies of work. In my opinion, it should be more accurately pegged for what they have done recently, as MTSU is a completely different team with QB Brent Stockstill under center. Since returning from injury four games ago, he has led the offense to 36 PPG and his team to a 3-1 record. Though just a 6-6 team overall, the Blue Raiders should be plenty fired up to be in Montgomery after that late surge. I m not sure the same can be said for Arkansas State, who blew a chance at another Sun Belt title by losing in the regular season finale. The Red Wolves also allow a hefty 34+ PPG on the road. With Stockstill playing, these teams are relatively equal in my eyes, I ll take MTSU. VEGASINSIDER FOOTBALL WEEKLY SEASON PASS - $99 FULL SEASON The Tip Sheet Season Pass runs through Febraury 2018, so you ll be covered for the entire Regular Season and Playoffs. 20 $99 FULL SEASON VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM/WEEKLY-INSIDER THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

22 Football Weekly BOWL GAME MATCHUPS New Orleans Bowl (201) NORTH TEXAS [SU:9-4 ATS:8-5] VS (202) TROY ( ) [SU:10-2 ATS:5-6-1] DECEMBER 16, :00 PM on ESPN - MERCEDES-BENZ SUPERDOME (NEW ORLEANS, LA)[NEUT] NORTH TEXAS [4.7] [8.1] [4.9] [7.4] TROY [4.8] [7.4] [3.0] [7.1] North Texas had a terrific season in being C-USA West champion, after being picked no better than fourth in preseason magazines. The strength of the Mean Green is its offense which averages 35.9 PPG and is ranked 18th in total yardage in the country, while averaging 291 yards passing. Defensively, North Texas does not do much in allowing 33.8 PPG and they have been quite susceptible to the run, listed 108th and permitting over 208 yards per game. Troy was a Sun Belt co-champion and had a brilliant 10-2 (5-6-1 ATS) record. The Trojans defense was reminiscent of the teams that won or shared five straight SBC titles from , in permitting only 17.5 PPG. The Troy offense is not a strong as their opponent s, but they still manage 30 PPG and throw for 267 yards per game. Don t forget this group won at LSU and the Trojans have some real speed edges across the board. NORTH TEXAS is 7-1 ATS(L5Y) - Against resilient defenses allowing more than yards per point(cs) TROY is ATS(L5Y) - Non-conference VS NON-BIG 5 TROY is 14-3 OVER(L20G) - Against elite offensive teams averaging more than 6.3 yards per play(cs) NORTH TEXAS RESULTS TROY RESULTS at FL ATLANTIC L L U at ARKANSAS ST W W U at RICE W W U VS TEXAS ST W W O VS ARMY W W O at COASTAL CAROLINA W W O VS UTEP W W O VS IDAHO W L U at LOUISIANA TECH W W U VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN W L O VS OLD DOMINION W L O at GEORGIA ST W W U at FL ATLANTIC L L O VS S ALABAMA L L U VS TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO W W U at LSU W W U at SOUTHERN MISS W W O VS AKRON W L U VS UAB W L O at NEW MEXICO ST W L U at IOWA L W U VS ALABAMA ST W L U at SMU L L O at BOISE ST L P U VS LAMAR W W O Cure Bowl (203) GEORGIA ST [SU:6-5 ATS:4-7] VS (204) W KENTUCKY (-5 52) [SU:6-6 ATS:3-8-1] DECEMBER 16, :30 PM on CBSSN - CAMPING WORLD STADIUM (ORLANDO, FL)[NEUT] 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF GEORGIA ST [3.2] [7.7] [4.4] [7.3] W KENTUCKY [2.2] [7.5] [4.5] [6.7] Coming off a 3-9 campaign, not much was expected for Georgia State and they are back at the same bowl as two years ago. The Panthers had a sandwich season, losing their first and last two games and being a delicious 6-1 SU in the middle. Despite having the 31st-best passing offense nationally, Georgia State only scored 19.7 PPG. With no running game to speak of, they are dependent on QB Conner Manning and his accuracy remains an issue from game to game. Western Kentucky was nowhere near the same offense from previous years under new coach Mike Stanford, averaging just 26.2 PPG. Returning quarterback Mike White still led a passing offense good enough to rank No.9 nationally, but like Georgia State, they could not find the end zone nearly as often as needed. The Hilltoppers defense has similar numbers to their opponent but one aspect to consider, Western Kentucky was 2-4 SU on the road and the Panthers were 5-1. GEORGIA ST is ATS(L3Y) - Against poor rushing defenses yielding more than 4.35 yards per carry(cs) W KENTUCKY is ATS(L2Y) - Non-conference games GEORGIA ST is 6-1 UNDER(L3Y) - Non-conference VS NON-BIG 5 21 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

23 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly BOWL GAME MATCHUPS GEORGIA ST RESULTS W KENTUCKY RESULTS VS IDAHO L L U at FLORIDA INTL L L O VS APPALACHIAN ST L L U VS MIDDLE TENN ST W W O at TEXAS ST W L O at MARSHALL L W U at GEORGIA SOUTHERN W L U at VANDERBILT L L U VS S ALABAMA W W U VS FL ATLANTIC L L O VS TROY L L U at OLD DOMINION W L O at LA MONROE W W O VS CHARLOTTE W W O at COASTAL CAROLINA PK W W U at UTEP W L U at CHARLOTTE W W U VS BALL ST W P O at PENN ST L L O VS LOUISIANA TECH L L U VS TENNESSEE ST L L U at ILLINOIS L L U VS E KENTUCKY W L U Las Vegas Bowl (205) OREGON ( ) [SU:7-5 ATS:6-6] VS (206) BOISE ST [SU:10-3 ATS:7-5-1] DECEMBER 16, :30 PM on ABC - SAM BOYD STADIUM (LAS VEGAS, NV)[NEUT] 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF OREGON [5.4] [8.1] [3.6] [6.5] BOISE ST (25) [3.9] [8.1] [3.5] [6.3] There is little doubt Oregon would have done better than 7-5 if quarterback Justin Herbert had not been injured in the middle of the season. The Ducks were quacking when he played early and later in the season and waddled in the middle. First-year coach Willie Taggert (update - took Florida State job) also brought back the work ethic on defense, as they went from 45.3 PPG allowed to 28.2 PPG. Oregon s speed could be the difference in Vegas versus the Broncos. Boise State won the Mountain West, but this is not a vintage squad like many from years past, lacking NFL-type players that would make rosters or at least get invites. Coach Bryan Harsin s twoquarterback system produced choppy results, even though the Broncos averaged 32.1 PPG. For the most part the Boise State defense did good work, but they did have issues with more prolific offenses and Oregon fits that category. The Broncos will need to control tempo and make this a more physical contest. OREGON is 11-4 ATS(L15G) at NEUTRAL SITE - Against decent-scoring teams averaging 30 PPG or more(cs) BOISE ST is 2-8 ATS(L2Y) - As ranked team VS non-ranked team OREGON is 9-2 UNDER(L2Y) - All Games OREGON RESULTS BOISE ST (25) RESULTS VS OREGON ST W W O VS FRESNO ST W L U VS ARIZONA W W U at FRESNO ST L L U at WASHINGTON L L U VS AIR FORCE W W O VS UTAH W W O at COLORADO ST W W O at UCLA L L U VS NEVADA W W U at STANFORD L L U at UTAH ST W W O VS WASHINGTON ST L L U VS WYOMING W L U VS CALIFORNIA W W O at SAN DIEGO ST W W U at ARIZONA ST L L U at BYU W W U at WYOMING W W U VS VIRGINIA L L O VS NEBRASKA W L O VS NEW MEXICO W L U VS S UTAH W W O at WASHINGTON ST L W O VS TROY W P U New Mexico Bowl (207) MARSHALL [SU:7-5 ATS:8-4] VS (208) COLORADO ST ( ) [SU:7-5 ATS:4-8] DECEMBER 16, :30 PM on ESPN - DREAMSTYLE STADIUM (ALBUQUERQUE, NM)[NEUT] 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MARSHALL [3.8] [6.9] [3.5] [6.7] COLORADO ST [5.2] [8.5] [5.0] [7.6] This will be a long trek for Marshall, coming from West Virginia, to take on another 7-5 squad like themselves in Colorado State. Both teams will want to win this bowl contest, but they come limping in. Marshall has lost four of five (2-3 ATS), yet still had chances to win, as those setbacks were by 19 total points. A minus-9 turnover margin has been the culprit and it will be imperative the Thundering Herd protects the pigskin. The Marshall defense conceded just 19.2 PPG and for the Herd to emerge victorious, they will have to play exceedingly well. THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

24 Football Weekly BOWL GAME MATCHUPS Here is something you probably did not know, Colorado State was 10th in the country in total offense at over 500 yards a game. The Rams score 33.8 PPG and they generate numerous big plays, averaging 5.2 yards a carry and 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Colorado State has dropped three of four and buried backers, being on a 0-6 ATS slide. MARSHALL is 8-1 ATS(L9G) at NEUTRAL SITE - In December COLORADO ST is ATS(L5Y) at NEUTRAL SITE - All Games MARSHALL is 11-1 UNDER(L3Y) - Against poor rushing defenses yielding more than 4.6 yards per carry(cs) MARSHALL RESULTS COLORADO ST RESULTS VS SOUTHERN MISS L L O VS SAN JOSE ST W L U at TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO L W U VS BOISE ST L L O VS W KENTUCKY W L U at WYOMING L L U at FL ATLANTIC L W U VS AIR FORCE L L O VS FLORIDA INTL L L O at NEW MEXICO W L U at MIDDLE TENN ST W W U VS NEVADA W L O VS OLD DOMINION W W U at UTAH ST W W U at CHARLOTTE W L U at HAWAII W W O at CINCINNATI W W O at ALABAMA L W O VS KENT ST W W U VS ABILENE CHRISTIAN W L U at NC STATE L W O ** COLORADO L L U VS MIAMI OH W W O VS OREGON ST W W O Camellia Bowl (209) MIDDLE TENN ST [SU:6-6 ATS:5-7] VS (210) ARKANSAS ST ( ) [SU:7-4 ATS:6-5] DECEMBER 16, :00 PM on ESPN - CRAMTON BOWL (MONTGOMERY, AL)[NEUT] 2017 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF MIDDLE TENN ST [4.3] [6.9] [3.5] [6.7] ARKANSAS ST [4.1] [8.3] [3.6] [7.4] Regular starting quarterback Brent Stockstill returned from injury and the Middle Tennessee State offense exploded. The Blue Raiders are different team with their leader and averaged 36 PPG in his past four starts. MTSU allowed 24.2 PPG, but when they were not facing the weaker clubs in C-USA, the Raiders defense was giving up more than 30 PPG. Make no mistake, Arkansas State fits in the better offensive category. The Red Wolves state of mind has to be considered in this very minor bowl. Arkansas State was poised to tie for another SBC crown, but they lost to Troy and were shipped to this locale for the fifth time in seven years. Despite the loss, Arkansas State s offense is No.11 in the country and totals 38.5 PPG. QB Justice Hanson runs the sixth-best passing offense at YPG and he has the receivers to either be quick-strike or move the chains continually. The Red Wolves defensive forte is generating negative plays. ARKANSAS ST is 16-9 ATS(L25G) - As favorite MIDDLE TENN ST is ATS(L3Y) - AS underdog of 7 or less points MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-1 UNDER(L3Y) - Against efficient offenses averaging less than 13.2 yards per point(cs) MIDDLE TENN ST RESULTS ARKANSAS ST RESULTS VS OLD DOMINION W W U VS TROY L L U at W KENTUCKY L L O at LA MONROE W W O at CHARLOTTE W L O VS TEXAS ST W L U VS UTEP W W U at S ALABAMA L L U VS MARSHALL L L U at NEW MEXICO ST W W U at UAB L L U VS LA LAFAYETTE W W U VS FLORIDA INTL W W O VS COASTAL CAROLINA W W O at FL ATLANTIC L L U at GEORGIA SOUTHERN W W O VS BOWLING GREEN W W U at SMU L L U at MINNESOTA L L U VS ARK-PINE BLUFF W L U at SYRACUSE W W U at NEBRASKA L W O VS VANDERBILT L L U 23 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

25 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly 24 COLLEGE BOWL GAMES HOT/ NOT COACHES AND TEAMS This first part of my weekly college football article with excerpted from our Bowl Guide. If you have not gotten your copy of that jam packed special issue, be sure to visit the website and click to any links or ads tagged as BOWL GUIDE. HOT & NOT COACHES IN BOWL GAMES It s not hard to understand, some coaches just do better than others in using the extra preparation time involved in bowl games to get their game plans cemented and their teams physically and mentally ready to play. After all, these are the key ingredients to being a successful coach. To me, Urban Meyer of Ohio State & Nick Saban have for long set the standard for getting teams ready with extra time to prepare. However, I think there is a new king of the court, that would be Dabo Swinney of Clemson. What the Tigers have accomplished in the playoff era is remarkable, and the fact that his team has covered seven straight bowl game pointspreads is a testament to Swinney s coaching ability. There are plenty of other solid bowl game coaches that fly a little further below the radar as well. As usual, the coaches whose teams perform better in bowl games is much longer than those whose don t, otherwise they probably wouldn t be coaching still. Here s a quick bullet point list of the success stories: Jeff Brohm (Purdue): Brohm s Western Kentucky teams were 3-0 in bowl games scoring 48.3 PPG Urban Meyer (Ohio State): 10-3 overall in bowl games Dabo Swinney (Clemson): Seven straight ATS wins in bowl games, 4-0 ATS in playoffs Nick Saban (Alabama): 8-4 SU & 7-5 ATS with Alabama in bowl games, never an underdog Ken Niumatalolo (Navy): 3-1 in L4 bowl games, four straight spread wins Doc Holliday (Marshall): Four straight bowl wins, defense yielding just 15.8 PPG Mark Dantonio (Michigan State): Upset victories in five of L6 bowl games for the Spartans Mark Richt (Georgia): 11-5 SU & 10-6 ATS in bowl games as a head coach, underdog only once Kyle Whittingham (Utah): 10-1 record in bowl games, 8-3 ATS Now, the underperformers: Bill Snyder (Kansas State): 5-8 SU & 3-10 ATS in L13 bowl games Mike Bobo (Colorado State): Team has only lost two bowl games but was favored in both Rick Stockstill (Middle Tennessee State): Team has lost four straight bowl games SU & ATS Dana Holgorsen (West Virginia): WVU teams are 2-3 in bowls but have lost four straight ATS Rod Carey (Northern Illinois): Four straight outright & ATS bowl game losses, average MOL 26.3PPG Kirk Ferentz (Iowa); Once a fixture on the success list, Iowa fans may be growing impatient after five straight bowl game losses (1-4 ATS) Gary Patterson (TCU): Only 2-6 ATS in L8 bowl games for TCU While this might be understating it, the coach factor is certainly one that has to be given consideration when wagering. HOT & NOT TEAMS IN BOWL GAMES These are some trends in bowl games for teams, plucked right from the pages of our Bowl Guide Hot Bowl Teams AUBURN is 5-1 ATS in L6 bowl games grouped as current New Year s 6 BOISE ST is 11-6 SU & ATS in bowl games since 99 BOISE ST is 6-2 in its L8 as a bowl underdog CLEMSON has won seven straight bowl games ATS while going 6-1 SU DUKE has won three straight bowl games ATS, all as underdog GEORGIA has won three straight bowl games SU & ATS LOUISANA TECH is on a 4-1 SU & ATS run in bowl games overall LOUISVILLE is on 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS run in bowl games when favored MARSHALL is 5-1 SU & ATS in its L6 as bowl game underdog MARSHALL is on a 10-2 SU & ATS run in bowl games MICHIGAN ST is 5-1 ATS in L6 bowl games as dog of 5-points or less MISSISSIPPI ST in on strong 8-2 SU & 6-4 ATS bowl game surge NC STATE is on impressive 7-3 SU & ATS bowl game run SMU is on a 4-1 SU & 3-1 ATS run in bowl games SOUTH CAROLINA is on 4-1 SU & ATS surge in bowl games STANFORD is 8-3 ATS in bowl games dating back to 96 UTAH has won 13 of L14 bowl games while going 10-4 ATS UTAH ST is on 3-1 SU & ATS bowl game run but lost in 15 WAKE FOREST is 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in bowl THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

26 Football Weekly games since 92 While just 6-6 SU in L12 bowl games, NAVY boasts strong 9-3 ATS mark WISCONSIN is on 3-0 SU & ATS bowl run after losing prior four Cold Bowl Teams ALABAMA has lost its L4 January bowl games ATS ARIZONA is 2-6 ATS in L8 as a bowl game favorite ARIZONA ST is just 4-8 SU & ATS in bowl games since 99 AUBURN is on 0-5 ATS slide as bowl game favorite of 6-points or more BC is on 1-5 SU & 2-6 ATS bowl slide but won SU & ATS LY C MICHIGAN Is just 2-4 SU & ATS in L6 bowl games and has lost L3 SU COLORADO ST has lost three straight bowl games SU & ATS and six of L8 FRESNO ST is on a 6-game SU & ATS bowl losing streak IOWA has lost five straight bowl games while going 1-4 ATS KANSAS ST is 3-8 SU & 2-9 ATS in L11 bowl games but won LY KENTUCKY has lost L3 bowl games SU & ATS scoring just 13.7 PPG KENTUCKY is just ATS in L7 bowl games vs. power conferences LSU is 0-4 SU & ATS in L4 New Year s Day bowl games MEMPHIS has lost four of L5 bowl games, both SU & ATS MIAMI FL won bowl game LY to snap 6-game bowl losing streak MIDDLE TENN ST is on a 4-game SU & ATS losing streak in bowl games N ILLINOIS is on 4-game SU & ATS bowl losing streak, all as underdog NOTRE DAME is 2-10 ATS in L12 bowl games as an underdog PURDUE is just 2-8 SU & ATS in its L10 bowl games TCU is just 2-6 ATS in L8 bowl games TEXAS A&M is just 1-6 ATS in L7 bowl games as underdog TEXAS TECH is 6-3 SU but 2-7 ATS in L9 bowl games USC is 3-2 SU but 1-4 ATS in L5 bowl games overall WEST VIRGINIA is 2-6 SU & 1-7 ATS in its L8 bowl games season by going ATS after 9/16 MISSOURI was 6-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in the regular season s final two months Run of ATS in L10 games for ARIZONA ST couldn t save Todd Graham s job NORTHWESTERN cruised to seven straight outright & ATS wins after 2-3 start IOWA ST was a spread covering machine in 2017, 10-2 ATS MEMPHIS lost its last game but won five in a row SU & ATS prior LSU won ATS in all of its final six games of the regular season OKLAHOMA was 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS down the stretch while scoring 48.3 PPG CLEMSON closed the seaosn on a 4-0 ATS run, yielding a total of 30 points Teams that Closed the Regular Season Struggling GEORGIA ST lost its final four games ATS W KENTUCKY was just 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS in its final five games MARSHALL was just 1-4 SU ATS down the stretch of the 2017 season COLORADO ST goes into its bowl game on a 6-game ATS losing skid SMU was just 3-4 SU & 1-6 ATS in ts final seven games of the regular season N ILLINOIS won ATS in just two of its L8 games of 2017 VIRGINIA was just 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS after starting 5-1 NAVY limps into its bowl game with just one win in its L7 games KENTUCKY covered the spread in just one of its final eight games MIAMI FL lost its final two games SU & was 2-6 ATS after 10/7 NOTRE DAME goes into Citrus Bowl on 4-game ATS losing skid STREAKING TEAMS GOING INTO THE BOW SEASON Teams that Closed the Regular Season Strong FLA ATLANTIC won its L9 games while going 7-2 ATS C MICHIGAN won its final five games, both SU & ATS SAN DIEGO ST was 4-0 SU & ATS to cloe the regular season FRESNO ST rewarded backers with four straight ATS wins to close 2017 BOSTON COLLEGE capped its regular VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 25

27 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly TOP CFB HEAD TO HEAD TRENDS NEW ORLEANS BOWL - MERCEDES-BENZ SUPERDOME - NEW ORLEANS, LA (201) NORTH TEXAS vs. (202) TROY Having formerly been conference mates up until 2012, North Texas and Troy are among the few bowl foes this season that have an extensive head-to-head series history. The Trojans have taken seven of the L8 games between these teams while going 5-3 ATS. Three of the L4 games between these former Sun Belt rivals have gone OVER the total. LAS VEGAS BOWL - SAM BOYD STADIUM - LAS VEGAS, NV (205) OREGON vs. (206) BOISE ST Oregon and Boise State played a home-and-home series back in 2008 & 2009, with the Broncos surprisingly winning both games outright and against the spread. Boise State held the Ducks to 40 points in the two games, and the win at Eugene in 08 came via the upset, as the Broncos were 10-point underdogs in the contest. CAMELLIA BOWL - CRAMPTON BOWL - MONTGOMERY, AL (209) MIDDLE TENN ST vs. (210) ARKANSAS ST Arkansas State has beaten Middle Tennessee State three straight times with the most recent head-to-head matchup being in Most concerning for MTSU is that the Red Wolves put up 141 points in those three contests for an average of 47.0 PPG with an MOV of 32.7 PPG. Also of greater note, favorites have gone 9-1 ATS in the L10 of this h2h series. RECENT CFB HEAD TO HEAD HISTORY (201) NORTH TEXAS AT (202) TROY TROY (14) at NORTH TEXAS (7) PK 58.0 TROY ROAD xxx UNDER NORTH TEXAS (38) at TROY (33) NORTH TEXAS ROAD DOG OVER TROY (41) at NORTH TEXAS (35) NORTH TEXAS HOME DOG OVER NORTH TEXAS (26) at TROY (50) TROY HOME FAV OVER TROY (45) at NORTH TEXAS (17) TROY ROAD FAV UNDER (203) GEORGIA ST AT (204) W KENTUCKY W KENTUCKY (44) at GEORGIA ST (28) GEORGIA ST HOME DOG OVER (205) OREGON AT (206) BOISE ST OREGON (8) at BOISE ST (19) BOISE ST HOME FAV UNDER BOISE ST (37) at OREGON (32) BOISE ST ROAD DOG OVER (209) MIDDLE TENN ST AT (210) ARKANSAS ST MIDDLE TENN ST (0) at ARKANSAS ST (45) ARKANSAS ST HOME FAV UNDER ARKANSAS ST (45) at MIDDLE TENN ST (19) ARKANSAS ST ROAD FAV OVER MIDDLE TENN ST (24) at ARKANSAS ST (51) ARKANSAS ST HOME DOG OVER ARKANSAS ST (14) at MIDDLE TENN ST (38) MIDDLE TENN ST HOME FAV OVER MIDDLE TENN ST (14) at ARKANSAS ST (31) ARKANSAS ST HOME FAV UNDER 26 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

28 Football Weekly FOOTBALL LINE MOVES Welcome back to another edition of Line Moves, looking at all the biggest betting moves in the NFL. (We also have bowl games edition in this newsletter) Besides this, we also offer free picks (61.5% on Best Bets) on these contests. COLLEGE FOOTBALL LAS VEGAS BOWL DEC. 16/ 3:30 ET ABC (205) OREGON vs. (206) BOISE ST Oregon might have lost its head coach, but the Ducks have QB Justin Herbert back, which probably matters more. With Hebert at the controls, the offense was outstanding and this is leading factor why Oregon has been taken from -5 to The other aspect is though Boise State s defense has good numbers, they gave up points a lot to faster clubs. Our View Lean Oregon covers NEW MEXICO BOWL DEC. 16/ 4:30 ET ESPN (207) MARSHALL vs. (208) COLORADO ST With the average score of Marshall game just over 45 points, it would seem oddmakers are thinking Colorado State will control the pace and elevated the total from 55 to 58. The normal score of a Rams contest is 61.1 PPG, though that dips rather dramatically when they are not home to 46.1 PPG. This should be lower scoring. Our View Play Under CAMELLIA BOWL DEC. 16/ 8:00 ET ESPN (209) MIDDLE TENN ST vs. (210) ARKANSAS ST This bowl battle features the largest totals move of all, up a whopping five points to With QB Brent Stockwell back, the Middle Tennessee State offense is completely different and they can score on anyone. It is a given Arkansas State will pile up the points since they are averaging nearly 40 per contest. Our View Play Over BOCA RATON BOWL DEC. 19/ 7:00 ET ESPN (211) AKRON at (212) FLA ATLANTIC The same night the odds on this bowl encounter were released, Florida Atlantic went up like Bitcoin from -17 to The Owls have continued to fly higher, all the way to The question on bettors minds is how can Akron stop FAU s run game? Great question, however, the Zips never quit playing and at over three touchdowns, backdoor possibilities. Our View Lean Akron covers NFL Saturday - (305) L.A. CHARGERS at (306) KANSAS CITY 8:25 ET NFLN With the Chargers 7-2 SU and ATS since disastrous 0-4 start, they have the full backing of those betting football and have been flipped from +1 to -1 at Kansas City. While L.A. South is unquestionably playing better than the Chiefs, this will still require leap of faith to back the Bolts at this price since they have lost seven straight to K.C. If the Chiefs can keep running game going they could win, but secondary has to contain Philip Rivers. Our View- Leans L.A. Chargers cover (315) HOUSTON at (316) JACKSONVILLE 1:00 ET CBS Put together Jacksonville s defense, which leads the league in points allowed at 15.5 per game, against Houston club that only scored 16 points at home in setback to San Francisco, with third-string quarterback T.J. Yates playing most of that contest and the starter this week and you have a sinking total from 40 to 39. The Jaguars are off unusual 30-point back to back contests and are 11-1 UNDER after scoring 30 points or more in two straight games in their history. Our View- Lean Under (319) ARIZONA at (320) WASHINGTON 1:00 ET FOX The sense one has is Arizona is still playing on this season, while Washington, at least the last couple weeks, has given up the ghost. I m not the only one thinking this either, as the Redskins have slide from -5.5 to -4.5 or even -4 point favorites. All the Washington injuries seem to have taken a physical toll, which has spilled into the mental side. That is not to say backing the Cardinals does not come without baggage, since they are 1-5 ATS this season on the road. Our View- Lean Arizona covers (323) L.A. RAMS at (324) SEATTLE 4:05 ET FOX Seattle s pedigree and playing before the 12th Man has football bettors giving them the benefit of the doubt, as the Seahawks have been switched from +1.5 to -1.5 point choice over the visiting Rams. Seattle needs a victory, because a season sweep give them the tiebreaker if we reach that point by the end of the year. Taking all aspects into account, the Rams are probably better overall team, but can they contain Russell Wilson? Our View- Lean Seattle covers (329) DALLAS at (330) OAKLAND 8:30 ET NBC With Oakland providing another listless effort in being thumped by Kansas City, bettors are tired of this act and are supporting Dallas, who arrives in Oak-Town off a couple of imposing wins. The Cowboys are riding higher in the saddle being moved from a Pick to -3, and should be able to move the ball against Raiders defense that has not done the job all season. Oakland is ATS when a home underdog of three or less. Our View- Dallas covers Monday - (331) ATLANTA at (332) TAMPA BAY 8:30 ET ESPN Atlanta has been moved a point from -5 to -6 at Tampa Bay. This should be a no-brainer for the Falcons, however, they have Carolina and New Orleans to close the season, making focus a concern. And what about the Buccaneers, do they put aside reported in-fighting and galvanize for one big home effort, or rollover like Rover? The Bucs are 0-6 ATS as dogs this season. Our View- Leans Atlanta covers RECORDS College NFL Best Bets NFL Leans VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 27