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1 2018 Northcoast Sports Service NORTHCOAST SPORTS $ 10 POWER PLAYS VOLUME 35 ISSUE 3 September 15, 2018 NFL 4H & 3 H s BOTH WINNERS! COLLEGE 4 H& 4H s % L2W!! COLLEGE 3H s 4-1 LAST WEEK! IND PAC-12 BIG TEN ACC BIG 12 AAC ATLANTIC COASTAL NORTH SOUTH 2018 COLLEGE STANDINGS Ttl Scr Ttl Scr Net Avg SU ATS O/U Off Off Def Def Ypg Scr Conf All Conf All Conf All UCF USF Cincinnati East Carolina Temple Connecticut Houston Memphis Tulsa Navy Tulane SMU Oklahoma TCU Oklahoma St West Virginia Baylor Kansas St Texas Texas Tech Kansas Iowa St Clemson NC State Wake Forest Boston College Syracuse Louisville Florida St Duke Virginia Tech Georgia Tech Virginia Pittsburgh Miami, Fl North Carolina Ohio St Penn St Maryland Indiana Michigan St Rutgers Michigan Wisconsin Iowa Minnesota Illinois Northwestern Purdue Nebraska Stanford Washington St Oregon California Washington Oregon St Arizona St Utah Colorado USC Arizona UCLA Notre Dame BYU Liberty Army West Point UMass New Mexico St Georgia Kentucky MAC CUSA SBC MW SEC MOUNTAIN 2018 COLLEGE STANDINGS Ttl Scr Ttl Scr Net Avg SU ATS O/U Off Off Def Def Ypg Scr Conf All Conf All Conf All Missouri Vanderbilt South Carolina Florida Tennessee \ Alabama Auburn Miss St Mississippi LSU Texas A&M Arkansas Boise St Air Force New Mexico Utah St Wyoming Colorado St Hawaii Fresno St Nevada San Diego St UNLV San Jose St Louisiana ULM GA Southern Arkansas St Georgia St Appalachian St Troy Coastal Carolina Texas St South Alabama Marshall Charlotte Florida Atlantic FIU Middle Tennessee WKU Old Dominion North Texas Louisiana Tech UAB Southern Miss Rice UTSA UTEP Ohio Buffalo Akron Kent St Miami, OH Bowling Green Toledo Eastern Michigan Ball St Northern Illinois Central Michigan Western Michigan

2 CAPS Home Team lower case away team Neutral site (B) Bowl game (C) Conf Champ THURSDAY SEPT 13 wfu E/ Boston Coll NL bc +3 / Wake Forest NL wfu +7 / FRIDAY SEPT 14 Georgia St NL Memphis NL SATURDAY SEPT 15 UTEP NL Tennessee Ball St NL IU -16 / Indiana Temple NL Maryland FIU +2/ Massachusetts NL UM E/ FIU UM -3/ UM -13 / Miami (FL) Toledo NL Hawaii -3 NL Army Kent St NL PSU -22 / Penn St THE MOST UNIQUE POWER RATINGS IN THE COUNTRY These Power Play Forecasts are the most unique in the country because they are based on Northcoast Sports Private Power Ratings. Our ratings are unlike any computer rating, as we take into account all of the following: Strength of Opponents Individual Units (Rushing Offense and Defense, Passing Offense, & Defense, Scoring Offense and Defense, Garbage Yards, Weather, Injuries, Home Field Edge, and Successful Unbalanced Attacks). Here is how each is reflected: Strength of Opponent: Our ratings do not just take the opposing team s overall power rating into account. For example, last year, Florida Atlantic s defense vs the rush was rated at 119. They faced Alabama and allowed just 256 yds rushing and dropped 5 spots in the national overall defensive ratings. However, Power Plays took into account the potent Crimson Tide run attack and had forecasted the Owls yielding 289 yds. Due to the fact they did better than the forecast, Power Plays raised their rating to 112 even though they slipped in the national (straight yardage) rankings. Another example last season was Wisconsin vs UTEP. Wisconsin held UTEP to just 77 yards rushing and stayed the same in the overall defense in the national statistics. However, our ratings had them rated at 15 and moved them down, as they should have yielded just 50 yards to a weak UTEP rush attack. Next time an announcer on TV tells you that a certain team is #3 in the country vs the run you better check Northcoast Sports Power Ratings and see how good a rush defense they really have! The top twenty ratings in Power Ratings for each offensive and defensive category will be listed in each week s issue of Power Plays. Garbage yards: These are yards that a team gains or allows in the final minutes of a game when it has been decided. For example, Team A is ahead 63-0 and allows 93 yards passing for a TD vs its fourth string defense. These yards are counted into national ratings, but not in Northcoast Sports Power Ratings! Weather: If a game is played in miserable weather conditions and is low scoring, the straight statistics credit the defense with outstanding performances. Our Power Ratings reflect the conditions and do not give excess credit to the defenses. Injuries: When Missouri played Vanderbilt last year, Tigers QB James Franklin was injured early in the game. His backup, who had seen very little action (rfr), was not prepared and hit on 30%, 9-30 passes. The offensive coordinator simplified the offense. In the national statistics Vanderbilt s overall defense MOVED UP 8 NOTCHES. In Phil s Power Ratings they went from #11 dropping out of the Top 15, as the poor performance WAS NOT reflective of an outstanding performance by the defense. Home Field Edges: The weekly projection of yards and points is weighted with the home field factored in. Successful Unbalanced Attacks: Last season, Tulsa was held to 155 yards passing vs Houston. This dropped Tulsa in the national passing offense ratings & RAISED the Cougars in the pass defense ratings. In our ratings the two units remained rated around the same. Why? Tulsa rushed for 350 yards & DID NOT HAVE TO RELY ON THE PASS & when they did they hit 18 of 32. While Houston s pass defense looked good in the national ratings, only Northcoast Sports Power Ratings reflected the TRUTH! There you have it. More than just numbers, THESE RATINGS REFLECT the true strength of each unit and allow them to have the most accurate forecast of yards gained and points allowed in the country! No other rating system takes into account all the previous factors. Next time you hear that a team is rated third in the country in pass defense, just remember, yards are not everything and Northcoast Sports Power Plays will show you how strong the team really is COLLEGE STREAKERS WILL BEGIN AFTER WEEK 4 NORTHCOAST SPORTS PLUS OR MINUS POWER RATINGS The Power Ratings listed below are not based on the Power Plays, they are based on last year s final computer power rating numbers with the pluses and minuses from the off season changes factored in. They are then adjusted during the course of the season based on the final score of the games that are played on a weekly basis. The Power Ratings listed below can be used for you as a base power ratings to forecast up coming lines and strength of opponents, etc. Once again, they are not based on Power Plays and they differ from what we have shown in recent years, which has been our actual computer Power Ratings. These are Northcoast Sports Plus or Minus Power Ratings. SEC Alabama Arkansas Auburn Florida Georgia Kentucky LSU Mississippi Miss St Missouri S Carolina Tennessee Texas A&M Vanderbilt MOUNTAIN Boise St Fresno St Utah St Air Force San Diego St Nevada Wyoming UNLV New Mexico Colorado St Hawaii San Jose St Year in 15 column last time they met No yr In 15 column first meeting UCF North Carolina NL BIG TEN Ohio St Michigan Wisconsin Penn St Michigan St Iowa Northwestern Minnesota Maryland Indiana Purdue Nebraska Illinois Rutgers CUSA UTEP Rice S Miss UAB Marshall North Texas La Tech Middle Tenn FAU FIU WKU UTSA Old Dominion Charlotte WEEK THREE COLLEGE MATCHUP HISTORY ODU -8 / ODU odu -8 / Charlotte NL ODU -4 / FSU -6 / Florida St fsu -21 / Syracuse NL FSU -14 / isu +31/ Oklahoma ou -20 / Iowa St NL OU -24/ Troy NL Nebraska Rutgers NL Kansas RU -14 / vt -24/ East Carolina NL VT -13/ Virginia Tech ECU +9 / GT -9 / Georgia Tech UP -6 / Pittsburgh -3 NL up +3 / Vanderbilt NL Notre Dame Ohio -3 NL Virginia SMU NL Michigan Southern Miss NL App St Boise St -6 NL Okla St uw -16 / BYU NL Wisconsin West Virginia NC State NL Miami (OH) NL Minnesota LSU +7/ LSU NL AU +3 / Auburn LSU -6 / USF -17/ USF ( ) Illinois NL CMU +3/ C Michigan NL cmu -2 / N Illinois CMU +2 / Georgia Sthrn NL Clemson nmsu +7/ New Mexico NMSU +12 / New Mex St NL UNM -12 / Tulane UAB -3 NL BIG 12 Oklahoma Oklahoma St TCU West Virginia Iowa St Texas Kansas St Baylor Texas Tech Kansas MAC Toledo Buffalo Ohio E Michigan N Illinois Miami, OH Akron W Michigan Ball St Kent St C Michigan Bowling Green PAC-12 Washington Stanford Utah USC California Arizona St Oregon Colorado Wash St Arizona UCLA Oregon St SUN BELT Arkansas St Georgia St Louisiana S Alabama Texas St Troy ULM N Mexico St Appalachian St Georgia Southern DU -13/ Duke NL Baylor Colorado St NL Florida Houston NL Texas Tech -4 NL UTSA NL Kansas St ksu -16 / North Texas NL Arkansas San Jose St NL Oregon E Michigan -3 NL Buffalo Oregon St NL Nevada UA -28/ Alabama ua -10/ Mississippi NL um +6 / Arkansas St Tulsa -3 NL Texas St NL S Alabama TSU -1 / ACC Clemson Boston College Duke Miami, Fl N Carolina St Virginia Tech Wake Forest Pittsburgh Louisville Georgia Tech Florida St N Carolina Syracuse Virginia INDEPENDENT Notre Dame BYU Army UMass Coastal Carolina Liberty PLUS OR MINUS POWER RATINGS UPDATED FOR GAMES THROUGH 9/9 Middle Tenn St NL Georgia Marshall NL S Carolina pu +7/ Missouri Purdue NL Akron NL Northwestern Louisiana NL Miss St ULM NL Texas A&M WKU NL Louisville USC -15 / USC NL Texas -4 NL Ohio St ( ) TCU NL UW -17 / Washington uw -10/ Utah NL uu +2/ Fresno St -3 NL UCLA NL sdsu +3/ Arizona St San Diego St NL AAC Memphis UCF Houston Navy USF Cincinnati Tulane Tulsa Temple E Carolina SMU Connecticut FOLLOW US ON FOLLOW US ON TWITTER

3 WEEKLY MATCHUP STAT COMPARISON *FCS LAST YEAR PPG Off Rush Off Rush Off Pass Off PPG Def Rush Def Rush Def Pass Def Off Avg YPG YPC YPG Comp % Def Avg YPG YPC YPG Comp% A Boston College H Wake Forest A Georgia St H Memphis A UTEP H Tennessee A Ball St H Indiana A Temple H Maryland A Massachusetts H FIU A Miami, Fl H Toledo A Hawaii H Army A Kent St H Penn St A UCF H North Carolina A Old Dominion H Charlotte A Florida St H Syracuse A Oklahoma H Iowa St A Troy H Nebraska A Rutgers H Kansas A East Carolina H Virginia Tech A Georgia Tech H Pittsburgh A Vanderbilt H Notre Dame A Ohio H Virginia A SMU H Michigan A Southern Miss H Appalachian St A USF H Illinois A Boise St H Oklahoma St A BYU H Wisconsin A West Virginia H NC State A Miami, Oh H Minnesota A LSU H Auburn A Central Michigan H Northern Illinois A GA Southern H Clemson A New Mexico H New Mexico St A Tulane H UAB A Duke H Baylor A Colorado St H Florida A Houston H Texas Tech A UTSA H Kansas St A North Texas H Arkansas A San Jose St H Oregon A Eastern Michigan H Buffalo A Oregon St H Nevada A Alabama H Mississippi A Arkansas St H Tulsa A Texas St H South Alabama A Middle Tenn H Georgia A Marshall H South Carolina A Missouri H Purdue A Akron H Northwestern A Louisiana H Mississippi St A ULM H Texas A&M A WKU H Louisville A USC H Texas A Ohio St H TCU A Washington H Utah A Fresno St H UCLA A Arizona St H San Diego St NORTHCOAST COMP LINE IS YOUR SOURCE FOR FREE WINNERS! EARLY BIRD PLAY OF THE WEEK GIVEN FREE on Monday (A $ 15 VALUE)!!! Listed below are Northcoast Sports Power Play Rankings. These Power Play Rankings are unique. Our rankings are unlike any computer ranking, as we take into account all the following: Strength of Opponents, Individual Units (Rushing Offense, Rushing Defense, Passing Offense, and Passing Defense) Garbage Yards, Weather, Injuries, Home Field Edges, and successful Unbalanced Attacks. Regular rankings based solely on numbers DO NOT take into account these factors. RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSE OFFENSE OFFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE 1 Georgia Tech 1 West Virginia 1 Oklahoma 1 Michigan St 1 Michigan 1 Alabama 2 Army 2 Mississippi 2 Ohio St 2 Clemson 2 Utah 2 Michigan 3 Navy 3 Missouri 3 Mississippi 3 Michigan 3 TCU 3 Clemson 4 Wisconsin 4 Washington St 4 Alabama 4 Alabama 4 Washington St 4 Michigan St 5 Boston College 5 Baylor 5 Penn St 5 San Diego St 5 USC 5 Georgia 6 Georgia 6 Arkansas St 6 Oklahoma St 6 Duke 6 Washington 6 USC 7 Air Force 7 Oklahoma 7 Missouri 7 Georgia 7 UCLA 7 Duke 8 Alabama 8 Oklahoma St 8 Georgia 8 Wisconsin 8 Virginia 8 TCU 9 UNLV 9 North Texas 9 West Virginia 9 Notre Dame 9 Alabama 9 Notre Dame 10 Mississippi St 10 Texas Tech 10 Boise St 10 Mississippi St 10 Boston College 10 Wisconsin 11 Ohio St 11 Arizona St 11 Mississippi St 11 Virginia Tech 11 Miami, Fl 11 Iowa 12 Ga Southern 12 Washington 12 Texas A&M 12 Texas 12 Mississippi St 12 Mississippi St 13 Maryland 13 Colorado 13 Clemson 13 LSU 13 Wisconsin 13 Washington 14 Arizona 14 NC State 14 Boston College 14 Auburn 14 Vanderbilt 14 LSU 15 Oklahoma 15 Ohio St 15 Wisconsin 15 Miami, Fl 15 Florida 15 Iowa St 16 Tulane 16 Middle Tenn 16 Miami, Fl 16 Ohio St 16 Boise St 16 Stanford 17 Kentucky 17 Texas A&M 17 Oregon 17 Houston 17 Colorado 17 Ohio St 18 Nebraska 18 Nevada 18 Syracuse 18 Northwestern 18 N Carolina 18 Utah 19 Tulsa 19 Boise St 19 UCF 19 Texas A&M 19 Appalachian St 19 Auburn 20 Notre Dame 20 Colorado St 20 Auburn 20 Iowa 20 Georgia 20 Virginia Tech RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSE OFFENSE OFFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE 111 Kansas 111 Cincinnati 111 Cincinnati 111 Old Dominion 111 Colorado St 111 UNLV 112 UMass 112 Tulane 112 San Diego St 112 UMass 112 East Carolina 112 Kent St 113 Buffalo 113 Virginia 113 Rutgers 113 C Michigan 113 Old Dominion 113 Old Dominion 114 UTEP 114 Rice 114 N Illinois 114 Kent St 114 Liberty 114 SMU 115 Liberty 115 New Mexico 115 Liberty 115 UAB 115 Purdue 115 Liberty 116 SMU 116 Kansas St 116 Rice 116 New Mexico 116 FIU 116 ULM 117 Colorado St 117 Minnesota 117 Connecticut 117 Rice 117 Tulane 117 Hawaii 118 East Carolina 118 Texas St 118 WKU 118 W Michigan 118 Middle Tenn 118 Coastal Carolina 119 S Miss 119 UTEP 119 Wyoming 119 Coastal Carolina 119 Charlotte 119 UMass 120 Hawaii 120 Charlotte 120 San Jose St 120 Oregon St 120 San Jose St 120 Texas St 121 North Texas 121 Coastal Carolina 121 Old Dominion 121 Mississippi 121 Rice 121 San Jose St 122 UTSA 122 San Diego St 122 S Alabama 122 Louisiana 122 Wake Forest 122 Oregon St 123 Nevada 123 UTSA 123 C Michigan 123 Middle Tenn 123 Ohio 123 W Michigan 124 Georgia St 124 Rutgers 124 N Mexico St 124 UNLV 124 Syracuse 124 Bowling Green 125 S Alabama 125 Wyoming 125 Akron 125 UTEP 125 Houston 125 Louisiana 126 San Jose St 126 Georgia Tech 126 Georgia St 126 Liberty 126 Georgia St 126 N Mexico St 127 Akron 127 Air Force 127 Charlotte 127 Colorado St 127 Hawaii 127 UTEP 128 N Mexico St 128 Ga Southern 128 Texas St 128 San Jose St 128 Connecticut 128 Connecticut 129 WKU 129 Navy 129 UTEP 129 Connecticut 129 Texas St 129 Rice 130 Washington St 130 Army 130 UTSA 130 Bowling Green 130 ULM 130 Middle Tenn 2018 TOUGHEST OPPONENT UNITS FACED WHAT ARE THE TOUGHEST OPPONENT RANKINGS? These rankings go far beyond the NCAA s straight statistical ranking of each team. For example in 12 Notre Dame ranked #89 in the NCAA in rush defense allowing 170 ypg, but ranked #40 in our rush defense rankings because they faced the toughest schedule of rush offenses in the NCAA in 13. As you can see, the NCAA s statistical rankings can be misleading. In the upcoming weeks we ll provide examples of this year s statistical disparities. These are the current rankings for this year. Here are the teams that have took on the toughest & easiest schedules last year. RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSES OFFENSES OFFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES 1 FAU 1 Alabama 1 FAU 1 Arizona St 1 Nebraska 1 Iowa St 2 Duke 2 San Jose St 2 Connecticut 2 Northwestern 2 Stanford 2 Stanford 3 Michigan 3 UTSA 3 Alabama 3 Arizona 3 N Illinois 3 W Michigan 4 Bowling Green 4 Wyoming 4 UCLA 4 Stanford 4 Notre Dame 4 N Illinois 5 USC 5 N Carolina 5 UTSA 5 WKU 5 Oklahoma 5 Arizona St 6 Texas 6 Connecticut 6 BYU 6 W Michigan 6 West Virginia 6 California 7 Hawaii 7 Vanderbilt 7 Bowling Green 7 Miami, Oh 7 W Michigan 7 Northwestern 8 Oklahoma 8 S Alabama 8 Michigan 8 Arkansas St 8 Iowa St 8 Purdue 9 Stanford 9 Nebraska 9 W Michigan 9 Iowa St 9 Kentucky 9 Duke 10 Houston 10 W Michigan 10 S Alabama 10 Duke 10 UNLV 10 Nebraska 11 Memphis 11 Maryland 11 USC 11 California 11 N Mexico St 11 Iowa 12 UMass 12 Florida St 12 Michigan St 12 N Illinois 12 Cincinnati 12 Utah St 13 Liberty 13 UCLA 13 N Illinois 13 Iowa 13 FAU 13 Arizona 14 Georgia St 14 Northwestern 14 Oregon St 14 Utah St 14 Michigan 14 Arkansas St 15 S Carolina 15 SMU 15 Rutgers 15 Purdue 15 BYU 15 Miami, Oh 16 USF 16 Virginia 16 Iowa St 16 Penn St 16 Arizona St 16 WKU 17 Penn St 17 BYU 17 San Diego St 17 Connecticut 17 Missouri 17 Connecticut 18 Notre Dame 18 Kansas St 18 SMU 18 Tulsa 18 Ohio St 18 N Mexico St 19 Rutgers 19 Michigan St 19 Kansas St 19 Bowling Green 19 California 19 Penn St 20 BYU 20 Utah St 20 Northwestern 20 Rutgers 20 Bowling Green 20 SMU RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSES OFFENSES OFFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES 116 TCU 116 Fresno St 117 Tennessee 117 Miami, Fl 118 North Texas 118 USF 119 S Miss 119 Baylor 120 Buffalo 120 Akron 121 Boston College 121 UMass 122 Ga Southern 122 Liberty 123 Ohio 123 Syracuse 124 UCF 124 Missouri 125 La Tech 125 Duke 126 San Jose St 126 UAB 127 Baylor 127 Florida 128 Akron 128 Memphis 129 Louisiana 129 Texas St 130 Toledo 130 Toledo S Miss 117 Florida 118 Arkansas 119 Temple 120 Buffalo 121 Texas St 122 UCF 123 Missouri 124 UAB 125 La Tech 126 Baylor 127 Toledo 128 Ohio 129 Akron 130 Louisiana 116 Texas St 117 North Texas 118 La Tech 119 TCU 120 Georgia Tech 121 Kent St 122 Oklahoma St 123 S Miss 124 UTEP 125 UAB 126 Texas Tech 127 Oregon 128 Akron 129 Toledo 130 Ohio 116 Syracuse 117 NC State 118 Temple 119 North Texas 120 UAB 121 Old Dominion 122 UCF 123 Toledo 124 Rice 125 E Michigan 126 S Miss 127 Memphis 128 Akron 129 Ohio 130 Louisiana 116 Arkansas 117 UTEP 118 Boston College 119 Syracuse 120 North Texas 121 TCU 122 UCF 123 Oregon 124 Ga Southern 125 S Miss 126 UAB 127 Louisiana 128 Akron 129 Toledo 130 Ohio

4 NOTE: Power Plays - PP COLLEGE FOOTBALL SEPT 13 TH -SEPT 15 TH The Power Plays Newsletter consists of forecasts that are made by a special rating system. You will see in the write-ups that we agree with the majority of the PP forecasts. However, there are times when we will disagree. We want to make it clear that this is the PP Newsletter and these forecasts are based purely on the power ratings. If the PP s rating is strong enough to be a 4 Play, yet we are on the other side of the game, we will clearly state that we like the other side of the game. With all that said here are this week s PP Selections. THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 13TH BOSTON COLLEGE WAKE FOREST PP has a slight lean with BC. Get our Thurs night Marquee for $12 at ncsports.com. NO PLAY: BOSTON COLLEGE 35 WAKE FOREST 28 FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 14TH GEORGIA STATE MEMPHIS UM should dominate w/a huge yd edge! Get our Fri night Marquee for $12 at ncsports.com. NO PLAY: MEMPHIS 41 GEORGIA ST 14 SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 15TH UTEP TENNESSEE PP is calling for Tennessee to win in dominating fashion and we agree. While PP doesn t factor in the fact the Vol s have their SEC opener on deck, we don t mind laying the pts here. 3H TENNESSEE 41 UTEP 8 BALL STATE INDIANA PP leans with Indiana over their in-state non-conference rival, however it s hard to overlook BSU in this role as their 10-2 ATS on the road vs B10 foes. We disagree & pass on this matchup. NO PLAY: INDIANA 38 BALL ST 22 TEMPLE MARYLAND With Temple s slow start to the season its not a surprise that PP has MD winning by a comfortable margin, but we lean with the Owls, who are much better than what they ve shown. NO PLAY: MARYLAND 37 TEMPLE 19 MASSACHUSETTS FIU FIU has been fortunate to cover both their games to start the season & PP is calling for another cover here. UMass is travelling for a 3rd straight week & could be road weary. 3H FIU 39 MASSACHUSETTS 27 MIAMI, FL TOLEDO While PP projects Miami to win, the 7 point MOV leans in favor of Toledo. We disagree as the Canes put up season highs in yards & points in LY s mtg & the Rockets are 1-4 as a HD. NO PLAY: MIAMI 37 TOLEDO 30 HAWAII ARMY Despite their hot start, PP is not giving UH any respect as Army is forecasted to win by over 2 td s. We disagree & feel UH can not only cover, but win outright as they ve already seen Navy s option. However this game does start at noon ET, which is 6AM for the Warriors. NO PLAY: ARMY 36 HAWAII 21 KENT ST PENN ST PSU survived a scare in their home opener vs a G5 tm & while we agree that the Nittany Lions won t be tested, KSU QB Barrett (Orig Auburn) gives the Flashes backdoor potential. NO PLAY: PENN ST 54 KENT ST 14 UCF NORTH CAROLINA NC isn t nearly as bad as their record indicates as suspensions have cost them early. PP is projecting the Tar Heels to finish with the yd edge & stay within the line & we agree! 4.5H NORTH CAROLINA 28 (+) UCF 34 OLD DOMINION CHARLOTTE Old Dominion has gotten off to a slower than expected start to the season & PP is calling for this game to go down to the wire. We expect ODU to put together 4 solid quarters. NO PLAY: OLD DOMINION 25 CHARLOTTE 24 FLORIDA ST SYRACUSE PP is calling for FSU to escape the Carrier Dome with just a one point win. However, the Noles are vastly more talented and the ST s edge could play a role in the outcome. NO PLAY: FLORIDA ST 35 SYRACUSE 31 OKLAHOMA IOWA ST OU is travelling for the 1st time with revenge on their minds following LY s shocking home loss. The Sooners will be without superstar RB Anderson, but ISU is likely without QB Kempt. 3H IOWA ST 24 (+) OKLAHOMA 36 TROY NEBRASKA Troy is breaking in a new QB this year who is making his first career road start. After a close loss LW, NU will be focused on making a statement this game. QB Martinez is a? however. 4H NEBRASKA 38 TROY 25 RUTGERS KANSAS Rutgers is likely without QB Sitkowski, but Kansas is off an emotional road win, snapping their nation long 46 game road losing streak. Tough to side with either school here. NO PLAY: KANSAS 25 RUTGERS 20 CAROLINA VIRGINIA TECH PP has this game finishing near the opening line. VT is projected to finish with a commanding 241 yd edge and look at that ST s advantage! We agree & feel there s no value. Pass. NO PLAY: VIRGINIA TECH 43 CAROLINA 15 GEORGIA TECH PITTSBURGH PP has this gm also finishing right at the opening line. We disagree and feel Pitt will pull the outright upset as they return their front 7 on D to defend the option & is 10-4 as an ACC dog. NO PLAY: GEORGIA TECH 30 PITTSBURGH 27 VANDERBILT NOTRE DAME Notre Dame is projected to finish with a 187 yard edge, which also equals out to roughly a 13 pt margin. We disagree however & feel that after their sluggish showing last week, the Irish will take care of business against a Power 5 conference team this week. NO PLAY: NOTRE DAME 29 VANDERBILT 16 OHIO VIRGINIA PP agrees with the Vegas line, forecasting UVA to win by a td over the well rested Bobcats. Ohio enters fresh off a bye and we disagree with the forecast & feel OU wins outright. NO PLAY: VIRGINIA 33 OHIO 26 SMU MICHIGAN SMU has been very slow to adjust under new HC Dykes, despite taking over for LY s bowl game. UM s physical style presents a major problem for the Ponies & we agree with the forecast. 4H MICHIGAN 47 SMU 9 SOUTHERN MISS APPALACHIAN ST This is App St s home opener and they re 3-1 ATS in that role since joining the FBS ranks. PP is calling for the Mountaineers to win by nearly 3 td s and we agree with the projection. 3H APPALACHIAN ST 38 SOUTHERN MISS 18 BOISE STATE OKLAHOMA ST PP calls for Boise St to win by a point, and although the yds favor OKSt, we like the Broncos as well. Boise St is ATS on the road vs non conference and is contending for a NY6 bid. 4H BOISE ST 37 OKLAHOMA ST 36 BYU WISCONSIN Wisconsin dominated this game last year but BYU is improved, having beat Arizona with a close loss to Cal. BYU is 18-5 as an AD but the MOV is right at the opening line. NO PLAY: WISCONSIN 32 BYU 10 VIRGINIA NC STATE Battle of two top QB s. WV is projected to win by just under a td and given that NCSt has edges in experience, as well as OFF, D & ST s, we will gladly lay a fg here. 2H VIRGINIA 36 NC STATE 30 MIAMI OH MINNESOTA PP projects the Gophers to win by over 2 td s. RB Smith is a? for this game. Miami is 13-7 as an AD while Minny is 5-11 as a HF so we disagree with projection and will pass. NO PLAY: MINNESOTA 31 MIAMI, OH 14 LSU AUBURN Auburn is out for revenge after blowing a 20 point 2H lead last year. QB Burrow has struggled in his F/2 and the home team has dominated this series ( ATS) so we agree with PP. 2H AUBURN 28 LSU 16

5 NOTE: Power Plays - PP COLLEGE FOOTBALL SEPT 15 TH 13 TH cont. USF ARKANSAS ST ILLINOIS TULSA PP calls for Illinois to win by 1 point but doesn t take into account QB Bush s injury (CS). Ark St has lost 18 straight non-conf road games. PP calls for that to just barely continue NO PLAY: ILLINOIS 30 USF 29 but considering they ve got a significant ST s edge and a yard edge, we will pass. NO PLAY: TULSA 36 ARKANSAS ST 35 CENTRAL MICHIGAN NORTHERN ILLINOIS TEXAS ST NIU has lost 4 straight to Central Michigan, despite being favored in 3 of those. PP s forecast SOUTH ALABAMA calls for the Huskies to win by 18 pts with a +171 yard edge and a huge ST s edge! PP calls for SA to win by nearly 2 td s. We agree but the MOV is close to the opening line. 4H NORTHERN ILLINOIS 29 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 11 NO PLAY: SOUTH ALABAMA 29 TEXAS ST 17 GEORGIA SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE CLEMSON GEORGIA Clemson will use this as a prep game for GT s option. The MOV is close to the opening line. UGA is in an SC/Mizzou sandwich but they are 1-7 when favored by 20+ points. We feel NO PLAY: CLEMSON 41 GEORGIA SOUTHERN 5 MT keeps this a little closer, but PP calls for UGA to dominate by 45 points. No play. NO PLAY: GEORGIA 59 MIDDLE TENNESSEE NEW MEXICO NEW MEXICO STATE MARSHALL The Lobos are forecast to win by DD s but NMSt surprisingly has the yards edge. New SOUTH CAROLINA Mexico will be without QB Tuioti but bkp QB Jones (Tenn transfer) will do just fine. Marshall has 18 st rs back and is a contender in CUSA. SC is off a physical loss to UGA w/ 4.5H NEW MEXICO 37 NEW MEXICO ST 25 Vandy on deck. PP calls for the Herd to keep it closer than expected and we completely agree. 4H MARSHALL 22 (+) SOUTH CAROLINA 30 TULANE UAB MISSOURI PP calls for Tulane to win but UAB has the yards edge. We feel this is UAB s preferred role. PURDUE NO PLAY: TULANE 31 UAB 27 Missouri has dominated non-bowl teams the last 2 years and Purdue is headed in that direction. PP calls for MU to win by 10 pts and we completely agree. Play the Tigers! DUKE H MISSOURI 40 PURDUE 30 BAYLOR PP projects Duke to win by over a td, but Baylor has both the yards and ST s edge. PP also AKRON doesn t take into account inj s, and Duke has 2 significant ones (QB Jones & CB Gilbert). NORTHERN NO PLAY: DUKE 32 BAYLOR 24 Northwestern looks to bounce back after a disappointing loss to Akron. PP calls for this to finish right at the line with the Wildcats holding a yard edge. COLORADO ST NO PLAY: NORTHERN 28 AKRON 7 FLORIDA The Gators just had their 31 game win streak over KY broken and they ve got Tenn on deck. LOUISIANA CSU has confidence after beating Arkansas after being down Q. We will look elsewhere. MISSISSIPPI ST NO PLAY: FLORIDA 42 COLORADO ST 18 New HC Napier is leading the Cajuns in his 1st road game. Miss St is +345 ypg in their first two games and PP actually calls for a +400 yard edge here, so we will gladly lay the points! HOUSTON H MISSISSIPPI ST 53 LOUISIANA 11 TEXAS TECH PP calls for TT to win by a fg, with a yard edge. There is no line as of presstime. ULM NO PLAY: TEXAS TECH 31 HOUSTON 28 TEXAS A&M PP calls for Texas A&M to dominate, winning by 30 points and holding a yard edge. UTSA We completely disagree as PP doesn t take into account A&M s Clemson/Bama sandwich. KANSAS ST NO PLAY: TEXAS A&M 49 ULM 19 Kansas St has a significant edge in experience (#41 vs #128) and talent. UTSA is 0-2 SU/ ATS. PP calls for the Wildcats to win by just under 4 td s while holding UTSA to just 199 yards! WKU H KANSAS ST 32 UTSA 6 LOUISVILLE UL has yet to get their offense going. WKU blew a 21 pt lead last week and lost to FCS NORTH TEXAS Maine. PP calls for WKU to to stay within 3 td s, giving a small lean to the underdog. ARKANSAS H WKU 19 (+) LOUISVILLE 37 Arkansas is off a loss at Colorado St. North Texas is 2-0 and QB Fine has completed 73% and has thrown for 431 ypg. PP calls for NT to stay within a td and we completely agree! USC H NORTH TEXAS 33 (+) ARKANSAS 37 TEXAS PP calls for the Trojans to win by a point but Texas has the yards edge. No line at presstime. SAN JOSE ST NO PLAY: USC 20 TEXAS 19 OREGON San Jose St travels to a P12 foe for the 2nd straight week. PP calls for the Spartans to stay OHIO ST within the line but they are just 5-17 ATS on the road and Oregon dominates lower competition. TCU NO PLAY: OREGON 50 SAN JOSE ST 14 This game being played in Jerry World in Arlington, TX. PP calls for OSU to win by 2 td s with a yard edge. Our lean is even stronger with OSU so this is a small play. ERN MICHIGAN NO PLAY: OHIO ST 36 TCU 22 BUFFALO Both teams are off outright upsets last week. PP calls for Buffalo to hold a yard edge WASHINGTON but EM to win by a point. EM is 12-1 as an AD so we completely agree and will play the dog. UTAH H ERN MICHIGAN 25 BUFFALO 24 Washington is 10-1 SU in this series and PP calls for another win but closer than expected. Utah has the yards edge and a significant ST s edge so we are making this a no play. OREGON STATE NO PLAY: WASHINGTON 24 UTAH 20 NEVADA The Wolfpack are rare favorites over a P5 foe and PP calls for Nevada to win by just under FRESNO ST a td with nearly a +100 yard edge. Oregon St is averaging 521 ypg under new HC Smith. UCLA NO PLAY: NEVADA 39 OREGON ST 33 PP can t predict a winner but UCLA does have a significant yards edge. No line at presstime. NO PLAY: UCLA 28 FRESNO ST 28 ALABAMA MISSISSIPPI ARIZONA ST This is a surprising forecast that calls for Ole Miss to stay within 3 td s. The Rebels just gave SAN DIEGO ST up 41 pts and 629 yards to FCS Samford. We like Bama to win by 4 td s so we ll look elsewhere. Arizona St is in a Michigan St/Washington sandwich, but they are out for revenge. PP calls NO PLAY: ALABAMA 47 MISSISSIPPI 29 for ASU to win by just under a td, and we agree, but the yards actually favor the Aztecs. 2H ARIZONA ST 27 SAN DIEGO ST 22 TOP COLLEGE TOTALS PLAY WINS 12 th STRAIGHT! NOW % L2Y!!! COLLEGE TOTALS GAME OF THE MONTH GOES THIS SATURDAY! CHECK OUT pg 8 FOR SPECIAL PRICING THIS WEEKEND!!!

6 PRO FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER 13 th - 17 th NOTE: Power Plays - PP Power Plays is based upon statistical numbers and rankings that are used to develop the projections you see here. As with all types statistical information the more numbers that one inputs ordinarily the stronger the accuracy of the results. Therefore, one would expect the projections to be more reliable after a number of weeks worth of stats are input. THURSDAY, SEPT 13TH BALTIMORE #1 CINCINNATI #25 The Bengals have done well in recent series matchups with a 6-2 SU/ATS mark including an upset victory in LY s ssn finale that kept the Ravens from earning a playoff berth. Following the most lopsided win in Wk 1 against BUF (47-3 victory), BAL has plenty of momentum to continue their 7-3 ATS run in road openers. Grab this Thursday Night Marquee Winner at Noon EST gameday. NO PLAY: BALTIMORE 25 CINCINNATI 20 SUNDAY, SEPT 16TH INDIANAPOLIS #3 WASHINGTON #31 The Redskins offense looked very strong LW in the desert against the Cardinals. The Colts meanwhile saw CIN storm back to claim a victory a week ago in IND. PP forecasts a victory for the home team in this one and we agree as IND is just 2-6 ATS in road openers. 3H WASHINGTON 31 INDIANAPOLIS 23 CAROLINA #10 ATLANTA #21 The Panthers delivered a 3H LP Winner LW against the Cowboys behind a dominant defensive effort. They do head to ATL with a handful of offensive injuries however while the Falcons have extra rest following a loss last Thur in PHI. While the forecast calls for CAR to stay within the line, keep in mind that the Falcons are 9-1 ATS in home openers. NO PLAY: ATLANTA 23 CAROLINA 19 MINNESOTA #15 GREEN BAY #18 The Vikings played a big role in our NFL success a week ago as they cashed both as a 3H LP Winner and as our Top 4H in the PP Newsletter! The forecast is once again in favor of MIN here as they are projected with a yd edge and a 4 pt win as a small away dog. We ll go ahead and back them again here as our Top Weekly Play as they re on an outstanding 11-1 overall ATS run! 4H MINNESOTA 24 GREEN BAY 20 LA CHARGERS #26 BUFFALO #17 While the Bills had the biggest struggle among all NFL squads in Wk 1 with a 47-3 loss, things appear to be just as bleak as they return home to take on a Chargers team that delivered a 30 pt win in LA a year ago. PP calls for that trend to continue here as the Chargers are projected with a yd edge and an 11 point victory! 3.5H LA CHARGERS 25 BUFFALO 14 HOUSTON #13 TENNESSEE #4 The Titans are back in Nashville following never-ending contest in Miami (7+ hours due to a pair of weather delays). Unfortunately they will likely be missing some of their key offensive stars here following injuries in the previously mentioned game. HOU is off a narrow defeat in NE and is projected with a 3 pt win and a yd edge. With no line as of presstime, we re passing here. NO PLAY: HOUSTON 23 TENNESSEE 20 KANSAS CITY #12 PITTSBURGH #9 PIT found a way to force a tie LW w/cle despite turning the ball over on 6 different occasions. The Chiefs meanwhile earned an upset victory LW at the Chargers. PIT is forecasted with a 4 pt edge in this matchup although the yd projection has us leaning with them by much more. NO PLAY: PITTSBURGH 30 KANSAS CITY 26 MIAMI #19 NY JETS #23 Following a weather-delayed marathon LW against the Titans where they picked up the 7 pt win, the Dolphins head North to take on a Jets squad on short rest after their MNF matchup with DET. With MIA just 4-14 ATS in DIV AG s and Jets on a 5-1 ATS run in home openers, we agree with the forecast above as the Jets have also covered 5 of their L/6 DIV HG s. 2H NY JETS 25 MIAMI 21 PHILADELPHIA #11 TAMPA BAY #29 While the Bucs return to Tampa fat and happy following a shocking upset of the Saints in the Superdome, the Eagles head South with extra rest after their Thur night win over ATL. PP calls for PHI to claim a 4 pt win which is fairly close to the opening line. No Play. NO PLAY: PHILADELPHIA 24 TAMPA BAY 20 NFL LATE PHONES WENT A PERFECT % LAST SUNDAY! MAKE SURE YOU RE ON BOARD THIS WEEK! CLEVELAND #27 NEW ORLEANS #5 CLE ended their 17-gm losing streak LW against PIT although they re still searching for an outright win (21-21 tie vs Steelers). The Saints meanwhile were embarrassed LW at home against TB as a DD favorite. PP calls for NO to get their first win of the year here which is right at the opening line. NO PLAY: NEW ORLEANS 29 CLEVELAND 21 ARIZONA #22 LA RAMS #6 The Rams return home on short rest following their MNF meeting with the Raiders. The Cardinals meanwhile were unable to get anything going LW in the desert against the Redskins. While PP does call for a commanding win for the home team, keep in mind that not only are the Rams just 3-15 ATS as a DIV HF, but the Cardinals are also 11-4 ATS in NFC West trips. NO PLAY: LA RAMS 37 ARIZONA 17 DETROIT #8 SAN FRANCISCO #7 This is a tough situation for the visiting Lions as they head West on short rest following a MNF meeting with the Jets. The 49ers saw their ATS winning streak (5-0 run) end a week ago against the Vikings. With PP calling for the 49ers to get just a 2 pt victory, we ll pass here as the opening line is just over a FG. NO PLAY: SAN FRANCISCO 28 DETROIT 26 NEW ENGLAND #2 JACKSONVILLE #20 Rematch of LY s AFC Championship with JAX searching for revenge. While PP calls for the Jaguars to get the 5 pt win, keep in mind that they are just 7-20 ATS as a NDIV HD. With the Patriots having gone 9-1 ATS as a NDIV AF, our lean is with them. NO PLAY: JACKSONVILLE 24 NEW ENGLAND 19 OAKLAND #16 DENVER #24 The Broncos earned a 3 pt win LW at home against SEA despite an inconsistent day from QB Keenum. The Raiders meanwhile head to DEN on short rest following their MNF meeting with the Rams. While PP calls for DEN to escape with a 2 pt win, we re leaning more with the favorite here. NO PLAY: DENVER 25 OAKLAND 23 NY GIANTS #32 DALLAS #14 The Giants have taken on DAL in their road opener for the 5th time in the L/6 yrs with just win to show for the handful of visits. Both come into this matchup at 0-1 with the Giants dropping a home matchup to JAX (3.5H LP Winner on UNDER 42.5) and DAL losing in Charlotte (3H LP Winner on the Panthers). PP is calling for another tight contest in this one so stay tuned! Grab this Sunday Night Marquee Winner at 11am EST gameday. NO PLAY: DALLAS 22 NY GIANTS 21 MONDAY, SEPT 17TH SEATTLE #28 CHICAGO #30 While the Bears looked like a dominant force in the 1H LW in Lambeau (17-0 lead), they were unable to hold onto the victory against the Packers. The Seahawks 3 pt loss was much closer than the final should have indicated as they capitalized on 3 DEN TO s. While PP calls for a 10 pt win by the home team, check back later as CHI is just 1-6 ATS as a HF. NO PLAY: CHICAGO 26 SEATTLE 16 Monday Night Magic releases are available on gameday for a Money Back PLUS Guarantee! Simply get the MNM Play through our office for $30 after noon EST on Monday and if the release fails to win, you will be credited back $40 on your Winning is easy - and Guaranteed on Monday Night! 6 TEAM MINNESOTA NEW ENGLAND PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH LA RAMS NEW ORLEANS ATLANTA JACKSONVILLE CAROLINA KANSAS CITY GREEN BAY NFL POWER RATINGS TEAM BALTIMORE HOUSTON LA CHARGERS TENNESSEE SAN FRANCISCO DENVER DETROIT OAKLAND DALLAS NY GIANTS WASHINGTON 99.4 TEAM SEATTLE TAMPA BAY ARIZONA CLEVELAND CHICAGO CINCINNATI MIAMI INDIANAPOLIS BUFFALO NY JETS 95.6

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