Investigation of the Intact Stability Accident of the Multipurpose Vessel MS ROSEBURG

Similar documents
CLASS 1E 8 SMOOTH WATERS OPERATIONS 8

National Maritime Center

SECOND ENGINEER REG III/2 NAVAL ARCHITECTURE

Fishing Vessel Stability

A STUDY ON FACTORS RELATED TO THE CAPSIZING ACCIDENT OF A FISHING VESSEL RYUHO MARU No.5

OPERATIONS SEAFARER CERTIFICATION GUIDANCE NOTE SA MARITIME QUALIFICATIONS CODE

Rules for Classification and Construction Additional Rules and Guidelines

INCLINOMETER DEVICE FOR SHIP STABILITY EVALUATION

MSC Guidelines for Review of Stability for Sailing Catamaran Small Passenger Vessels (T)

MSC Guidelines for Review of Stability for Towing Vessels (M)

ANNEX 4 ALTERNATIVE TEXT FOR OPERATIONAL GUIDELINES FOR VERIFICATION OF DAMAGE STABILITY REQUIREMENTS FOR TANKERS

Safety practices related to small fishing vessel stability

GUIDELINES ON OPERATIONAL INFORMATION FOR MASTERS IN CASE OF FLOODING FOR PASSENGER SHIPS CONSTRUCTED BEFORE 1 JANUARY 2014 *

RULES FOR CLASSIFICATION Ships. Part 3 Hull Chapter 15 Stability. Edition October 2015 DNV GL AS

ANNEX 5 IMO MARINE CASULATY AND INCIDENT REPORT DAMAGE CARDS* AND INTACT STABILITY CASUALTY RECORDS

Comparative Stability Analysis of a Frigate According to the Different Navy Rules in Waves

Abstract. 1 Introduction

Ship Stability. Ch. 8 Curves of Stability and Stability Criteria. Spring Myung-Il Roh

Part 3 Pressure hull and structures Chapter 7 Stability and buoyancy

3D CDF MODELING OF SHIP S HEELING MOMENT DUE TO LIQUID SLOSHING IN TANKS A CASE STUDY

Sample Applications of the Second Generation Intact Stability Criteria Robustness and Consistency Analysis

S0300-A6-MAN-010 CHAPTER 2 STABILITY

RULES PUBLICATION NO. 94/P SUBDIVISION AND DAMAGE STABILITY OF NEW OIL TANKERS, CHEMICAL TANKERS AND GAS CARRIERS January

SAMPLE MAT Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Stability of Ships

An Investigation of a Safety Level in Terms of. Excessive Acceleration in Rough Seas

Dynamic Criteria 3rd June 2005

RESOLUTION MSC.235(82) (adopted on 1 December 2006) ADOPTION OF THE GUIDELINES FOR THE DESIGN AND CONSTRUCTION OF OFFSHORE SUPPLY VESSELS, 2006

RULES FOR THE CLASSIFICATION AND CONSTRUCTION OF SEA-GOING SHIPS

Rule Change Notice For: RULES FOR CLASSIFICATION OF MOBILE OFFSHORE UNITS

RESOLUTION MSC.141(76) (adopted on 5 December 2002) REVISED MODEL TEST METHOD UNDER RESOLUTION 14 OF THE 1995 SOLAS CONFERENCE

RULES FOR CLASSIFICATION. Ships. Part 3 Hull Chapter 15 Stability. Edition July 2016 Amended January 2017 DNV GL AS

RULES FOR THE CONSTRUCTION AND CLASSIFICATION OF SHIPS IDENTIFIED BY THEIR MISSIONS CHAPTERS SCOPE

Ship Stability: Theory and Practical Application (SCQF level 8)

MSC Guidelines for Review of Cargo and Miscellaneous Vessel Stability (Subchapter I)

Higher National Unit Specification. General information for centres. Unit title: Ship Stability 2. Unit code: D78J 35

CRITERIA OF BOW-DIVING PHENOMENA FOR PLANING CRAFT

Marine Kit 4 Marine Kit 4 Sail Smooth, Sail Safe

Stability Booklet (simplified) M/V Sea Breeze. 1 Ships Particulars Stability KGc-max curves according IMO Resolution A.749(18)...

ITTC Recommended Procedures and Guidelines

TRUTH OPINION KNOWLEDGE IDEAS AND EXPERT INDUSTRY ANALYSIS

T. O. PHILLIPS, CDR, Tank Vessel and Offshore Division

RULES FOR THE CLASSIFICATION AND CONSTRUCTION OF SMALL SEA-GOING SHIPS

STABILITY AND WATERTIGHT INTEGRITY

Semi-Submersible Offshore Platform Simulation Using ANSA & META

UNIFIED INTERPRETATION OF PROVISIONS OF IMO SAFETY, SECURITY AND ENVIRONMENT-RELATED CONVENTIONS

CERTIFICATES OF COMPETENCY IN THE MERCHANT NAVY MARINE ENGINEER OFFICER

G.L.M. : the on-board stability calculator... DEMONSTRATION OPERATOR S MANUAL

STABILITY & TRIM (MT4241)

STABILITY OF MULTIHULLS Author: Jean Sans

GUIDANCE NOTICE. Unpowered Barges. Definition. General. Risk assessment. Application. Safety Management. Compliance

RESOLUTION MEPC.64(36) adopted on 4 November 1994 GUIDELINES FOR APPROVAL OF ALTERNATIVE STRUCTURAL OR OPERATIONAL ARRANGEMENTS AS CALLED FOR IN

Subj: Explanation of Upper Level Capacity and Stability Characteristics for Rolling Boat, Inc. Vessels.

PREDICTING THE ABILITY OF SURVIVAL AFTER DAMAGE IN TANKERS. José Poblet Martínez - SENER, (Spain) José Javier Díaz Yraola - SENER, (Spain)

Chapter 2 Hydrostatics and Control

SUBPART C - STRUCTURE

DP Ice Model Test of Arctic Drillship

Small Ro/Pax Vessel Stability Study

MSC Guidelines for the Review of Oil Spill Response Vessels (OSRV), Lightship and Stability

RULES PUBLICATION NO. 86/P EXPLANATORY NOTES TO SOLAS CONVENTION AND DIRECTIVE 2003/25/EC STABILITY AND SUBDIVISION REQUIREMENTS

Sample Applications of the Second Generation Intact Stability Criteria Robustness and Consistency Analysis

MSC Guidelines for the Submission of Stability Test (Deadweight Survey or Inclining Experiment) Results

National Maritime Center

RULES FOR CLASSIFICATION Yachts. Part 5 Ship types Chapter 3 Passenger Yachts. Edition December 2015 DNV GL AS

DAMAGE STABILITY TESTS OF MODELS REPRESENTING RO-RC) FERRIES PERFORMED AT DMI

ISO INTERNATIONAL STANDARD

Visit Us:

Stability Information Booklet. Priority Pontoon

Study of Passing Ship Effects along a Bank by Delft3D-FLOW and XBeach1

ITTC Recommended Procedures and Guidelines

IACS URS11 defines the dimensioning wave load for ship design, but what does it mean from a statistical point of view?

Sample Application of Second Generation IMO Intact Stability Vulnerability Criteria as Updated during SLF 55

Ship Stability September 2013 Myung-Il Roh Department of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering Seoul National University

Final KG plus twenty reasons for a rise in G

IMO REVISION OF THE INTACT STABILITY CODE. Proposal of methodology of direct assessment for stability under dead ship condition. Submitted by Japan

National Maritime Center

Application of IMO Second Generation Intact Stability Criteria for Dead Ship Condition to Small Fishin Vessels

RESOLUTION MSC.415(97) (adopted on 25 November 2016) AMENDMENTS TO PART B OF THE INTERNATIONAL CODE ON INTACT STABILITY, 2008 (2008 IS CODE)

An Investigation into the Capsizing Accident of a Pusher Tug Boat

Hydrostatics and Stability Dr. Hari V Warrior Department of Ocean Engineering and Naval Architecture Indian Institute of Technology, Kharagpur

SOFTWARE. Sesam user course. 12 May 2016 HydroD Hydrostatics & Stability. Ungraded SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER DNV GL 2016

This lesson will be confined to the special case of ships at rest in still water. Questions of motions resulting from waves are not considered at

Dynamic Component of Ship s Heeling Moment due to Sloshing vs. IMO IS-Code Recommendations

The OTSS System for Drift and Response Prediction of Damaged Ships

FREE SURFACE EFFECTS. Partially-filled (slack) tanks can be dangerous; the number of slack tanks should be kept to a minimum.

ANCHORING REQUIREMENTS FOR LARGE CONTAINER SHIPS

RULES FOR CLASSIFICATION. Yachts. Part 5 Ship types Chapter 3 Passenger yachts. Edition October 2016 DNV GL AS

Cause Investigation of Capsizing Accident of Ro-Ro Ferry Ship using Marine Accident Integrated Analysis System

MSC Guidelines for Review of Passenger Vessel Stability (Subchapters K & H)

REPORT MV Estonia Bow ramp flooding tests with complete car deck. Björn Allenström. Björn Allenström VINNOVA

A New Approach to the Derivation of V-Line Criteria for a Range of Naval Vessels

MSC Guidelines for Review of Inland Tank Barge Stability Procedure Number: C1-13 Revision Date: May 13, 2016

Definitions 13 FREE SURFACE EFFECT

Safe Shipping of Solid Bulk Cargoes

Abstract. 1 Introduction

RESOLUTION MSC.429(98) (adopted on 9 June 2017) REVISED EXPLANATORY NOTES TO THE SOLAS CHAPTER II-1 SUBDIVISION AND DAMAGE STABILITY REGULATIONS

ANNEX 2 RESOLUTION MEPC.124(53) Adopted on 22 July 2005 GUIDELINES FOR BALLAST WATER EXCHANGE (G6) THE MARINE ENVIRONMENT PROTECTION COMMITTEE,

A Guide to the Influence of Ground Reaction on Ship Stability

ISO NON-SAILING BOATS OF LENGTH GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 6 m CALCULATION WORKSHEET No. 1 Design:

Trim and Stability Report for M.V. Storm Warning

Loss overboard of 10 containers from JRS CANIS at estuary of Elbe River on 12 January 2007 at 02:40

Transcription:

Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on the Stability of Investigation of the Intact Stability Accident of the Multipurpose Vessel MS ROSEBURG Adele Lübcke, Institute of Ship Design and Ship Safety, Hamburg University of Technology adele.luebcke@tu-harburg.de German Federal Bureau of Maritime Casualty Investigation (Hamburg) ABSTRACT This paper presents the results of the accident of the multipurpose vessel MS ROSEBURG. On the voyage from Riga to Barrow Haven the ship was laden with timber cargo on the deck and in the hold. In the Bay of Kiel the ship was caught by a gust of wind and reached a heeling angle of 10 to 15 degrees. The deck cargo began to slip and lashing straps for cargo securing broke. The ship reached a heeling angle of 40 degrees. About 75 percent of the deck cargo was lost. Afterwards the ship rested at a stable equilibrium. Keywords: Intact Stability; Ship Accident; Accident Investigation; Ship Safety; MS ROSEBURG 1. INTRODUCTION comment on the accident. According to this the accident happens as follows: The investigation of accidents is useful to better understand the casualty roots. In this paper the accident of MS ROSEBURG is investigated which happened in an intact condition of the vessel. Hence conclusions can be made, whether the applicable intact stability criteria are sufficient. MS ROSEBURG was built in 1990 as a combined freighter for timber and grain cargo. On the relevant voyage the vessel was laden with timber cargo in the hold and on deck and a few cable reels in the hold. The ship started in Riga on the evening of 02 November 2013. Three days later, on 05 November 2013, MS ROSEBURG reached the Bay of Kiel, where the accident occurred. The sequence of events leading to the accident is reconstructed by the witness statements. The crew of the vessel, the harbour police and the company for the recovery of the timber cargo were asked to Figure 1 Consequences of the accident At five o'clock the captain asked for the permission of anchoring to perform small repairs. Shortly afterwards the ship began to heel and reached a heeling angle of 10 to 15 degree caused by a gust of wind. As a result of the heeling angle and the related accelerations the timber cargo on deck slipped and the load securing failed. Hence the ship reached a heeling angle of 40 degree and the 271

main part of timber cargo on deck went overboard. Following the stability of MS ROSEBURG was increased and the vessel reached a stable position of equilibrium. In Figure 1 the consequences of the accident are shown. People were not injured in the accident. In this paper the questions will be answered, which stability condition resulted in the accident and why it occurred in the Bay of Kiel. Therefore, the paper begins with the presentation of MS ROSEBURG and the according calculation model. Afterwards the documents of the loading condition are analysed checking the consistency. In addition it is analysed why the voyage from Riga to the Bay of Kiel was without an accident. This is done by the calculation of the accelerations of the deck cargo taking into account realistic environmental conditions during the voyage. Finally the process of the accident and all related information are summarized in the conclusion. All calculations are executed within the ship design environment E4 which is developed by the Institute of Ship Design and Ship Safety at the Hamburg University of Technology and partners. 2. SHIP AND CALCULATION MODEL 2.1 MS ROSEBURG The multipurpose vessel MS ROSEBURG was originally built in 1990 as MV BALTIC BORG by the shipyard FERUS SMIT BV Hoogezand as Hull No. 257. The call sign of the vessel is V2PS2. MS ROSEBURG is classified at Lloyd's Register in Rotterdam. The ship is designed for timber and grain cargo with a maximum permissible deadweight of 3005 t. A side view of the vessel is presented in figure 2. At the time of the accident, the ship was registered in St. John's, Canada. In table 1 the main dimensions of MS ROSEBURG can be found. Figure 2 Side view of MS ROSEBURG Length over all Breadth Draft at summer freeboard Depth to main deck Table 1 ROSEBURG Main dimension of MS According to the stability booklet the safety requirements of the Intact Stability Code are applied. In the following investigation these rules are considered for the evaluation of the stability condition in the different loading conditions which means: GM 0 0.15 m h(30 ) 0.20 m h max at f 25 Area(0,30 ) 0.055 m rad Area(0,40 ) 0.090 m rad Area(30,40 ) 0.030 m rad Weather Criteria 2.2 Calculation Model 78.00 m 12.50 m 4.95 m 6.60 m The calculation model of MS ROSEBURG is presented in figure 3. For the investigation the buoyancy body is composed of the forecastle (green) and the stern geometry (red) up to the height of 8.8 m which corresponds to the height of the hatch cover (blue). The sheer strake is not taken into account as a part of the buoyancy body. Furthermore the deckhouse is not modelled due to the fact that it is only relevant at a 272

heeling angle of more than 45 degrees which did not occur during the accident. Following the documents of the loading conditions of the voyage are analysed at the departure and the arrival time. The stability condition must be significantly changed at the Bay of Kiel. Otherwise the accidents would already take place during the voyage. Figure 3 Calculation model To control the calculation model, a comparison of a standard loading condition of the stability booklet ("Timber length packages Departure") is made between the given and calculated hydrostatic characteristics and the weight distribution. The values of the weight, the draft, the stability etc. are approximately similar. The comparison is shown in table 2 in detail. Therefore it can be assumed that the calculation model represents the real behaviour of MS ROSEBURG. Calc. Stab. Booklet Displacement 4037.0 t 4037.070 t Draft at AP 4.923 m 4.928 m Draft at FP 4.949 m 4.950 m LCG from AP 39.742 m 39.739 m VCG a. BL 4.922 m 4.931 m GM 0 0.449 m 0.454 m GG 0.030 m 0.038 m Figure 4 AIS Data of MS ROSEBURG 3.1 Departure Condition Based on the documentation of the on board computer, the ship has an deadweight of 2886 t with a draft of 5.00 m forward, 4.90 m aft and a mean draft of 4.95 m. Furthermore, the lever arm curve is calculated which is presented in figure 5. Table 2 Comparison of the calculated and given values 3. THE DECISIVE VOYAGE On the second of November 2013 MS ROSEBURG was laden with timber cargo and cable reels and left the port of Riga at 20.00 o'clock. The destination of the voyage was the harbour of Barrow Haven, UK. On the fifth of November 2013, the vessel reached the Bay of Kiel where the accident occurred. The track of the vessel is displayed in figure 4. Figure 5 departure time Lever arm curve during the From this, it can be said, the deadweight and the draft do not exceed the maximum values. Also the intact stability criteria are fulfilled by this loading condition. It was recognized that the printout from the on board computer has a discrepancy 273

regarding the cargo on deck. The timber packages on deck are specified with a volume of 609 m³, but without a mass and a centre of gravity. From further documents it is clear that the mass of the hold cargo must include the mass of the timber packages on the hatch covers/ on deck. Therefore, a new calculation is performed with a corrected centre of gravity for the load of the timber cargo on deck. It is assumed that the mass of the cargo is 1845 t in the hold and 300 t on deck. This corresponds to the loading condition of comparison from the stability booklet. As a result the initial stability of the ship is reduced from 0.891 m to 0.412 m, also the lever arm for greater heeling angles. In figure 6 the lever arm curve with a corrected centre of gravity is presented. In this case MS ROSEBURG do not comply the applicable intact stability criteria. In comparison to the corrected on board document (departure condition, corrected) the information about the mass of the cargo load and the water ballast differ partly. The total mass of the timber cargo is 2555 t in this case, which is 323 t greater than the given value of the on board computer with 2232 t. Looking at the mass of the timber cargo in hold the values are practically equal. But the mass of the decks cargo is increased by 323 t in case of the information by the shipping company. Additionally the mass of the ballast water is reduced from previous 563 t (departure condition, corrected) to 250 t. Therefore the double bottom tanks are empty. Figure 7 shows the regarding lever arm curve. In this condition MS ROSEBURG has a significant reduced stability based on the additional weight on deck and the missing water ballast in the double bottom tanks. Figure 6 Lever arm curve during the departure time with corrected centre of gravity 3.2 Arrival Condition according to Shipping Company Furthermore the shipping company created an additional loading condition, which must describe the loading condition at arrival time in the Bay of Kiel. This document was ensured by an inspector at the office of the shipping company. Figure 7 Lever arm curve according to shipping company It has to be mentioned the draft with 4.90 m forward, 5.18 m aft and a mean draft of 5.04 m exceeds the limit of 4.95 m. Accordingly the vessel is formally overloaded. In this condition the intact stability criteria are not fulfilled. From this it is not clear, why the shipping company did not noticed that the stability condition is insufficient. 274

3.3 Consideration about the Cargo Plan Due to the disagreement about the timber cargo (difference of 323 t) further documents and information are analysed to find the true loading condition during the voyage. In figure 8 the cargo plan of MS ROSEBURG can be found. From this it can be said that there are no deviations between the data of the on board computer and the cargo plan. The mass of the cargo on deck is also included in the mass of the cargo in hold which does not represent the centre of gravity correctly. document and the shipping company explainable? Firstly, it was established that the loading condition at departure time does not include a mass of a deck cargo but a volume with 609 m³ of timber packages. Hence the assumption is made the mass of this cargo is considered in the value of the cargo in hold. However this hypothesis seems to be incorrect. Such a volume is approximately equivalent to a mass of 300 t which corresponds to the difference between the cargo plan and the information of the shipping company. From this and the above considerations it follows immediately that the printout of the on board computer does not include the mass of the deck cargo with the given volume of 609 m³. 3.4 Most Likely Loading Condition at Departure Time Figure 8 Cargo Plan The company, which recovered the lost timber packages, specifies the cargo with 700 packages of timber. According to evidence up to 75 percent of the on deck cargo went overboard. Thereby the total number of timber packages on deck can be calculated with a result of at least 933 packages. The cargo plan gives a value of only 733 timber packages. Hence the information of the cargo plan and the printout of the on board computer are doubtful. Furthermore timber packages with a mass of around 750 to 800 t were recovered from the water. Taking into account wet wood has a 1.7 times major mass density than dry wood, the loss of cargo is determined to 440 to 470 t. This corresponds to the loss of 75 percent deck cargo. Hence the cargo on deck is assumed to 587 to 626 t. The range of the calculated deck cargo fits to the given value by the shipping company. But how is the difference of the deck cargo between the information of the on board Following from the previous considerations the cargo on deck was not correctly declared regarding the mass and the centre of gravity in the printout of the on board computer. Hence the loading condition at departure time is corrected in accordance to the previous investigations. This loading condition is considered to be the most likely loading condition at departure time in Riga. In figure 9 the corrected lever arm curve is presented. Figure 9 Lever arm curve at departure time in Riga with corrected centre of gravity and cargo load 275

The corrections take into account the centre of gravity of the timber cargo on deck and the missing mass. The additional deck cargo is estimated with 320 t. This value is calculated from the difference between the information s of the timber cargo from the on board computer and the shipping company. The centre of gravity is assumed with the value of the loading condition of comparison of the stability booklet. In consideration of this the deadweight is determined to 3206 t in the loading condition on departure from Riga. Thus the maximum value of 3005 t is exceeded. Furthermore the intact stability criteria are not complied. 3.5 Summary of the Loading Condition during the Voyage From the analysis of the documents and all information MS ROSEBURG is overloaded at departure. At this time it is not possible that some ballast water tanks were empty because that results in a stability condition according to the lever arm curve in figure 7 which is with high probability the accident condition. Based on the departure loading case the accident condition is produced by draining the ballast water tanks. Consequently it is most likely that the accident at the Bay of Kiel was a result of the intention to comply with the load lines because the maximum draft was checked before entering the Kiel Canal. Otherwise the accident would have happened much earlier during the voyage. In section 4 the assumption of the loading conditions is investigated in detail. 4. ANALYSIS OF THE ROLL MOTION AND THE HEELING MOMENTS Following, dynamic investigations of the roll motion and the heeling moments are made for the validation of the stability condition at accident time. Furthermore it is check whether the vessel could have achieved the Bay of Kiel in the most likely loading condition without any loss of cargo and further stability problems. 4.1 Accident Condition At the accident time it is assumed that MS ROSEBURG has the stability condition according to the loading condition of the shipping company. In figure 7 the related lever arm is already presented. It shows the vessel has an equilibrium position at zero degree without a resulting moment. But small heeling moments result in a roll motion around the equilibrium position. Thereby there is a limit for the moment which has the effect that the vessel has the new equilibrium position of approximately 25 degree. For the investigation the roll motion is calculated for defined heeling moments acting on the vessel in still water. The heeling moment M heel is determined by the shift of the transverse centre of gravity dy G which is incrementally increased. Thereby the calculation is made for the determination of the maximum roll angle f max the static angle of the equilibrium f stat and the maximum transverse acceleration a y on deck during the roll motion. In table 3 the results are summarized. dy G M heel f max f stat a y [mm] [mt] [ ] [ ] [m/s²] 1 4 9.5 3.8 1.6 2 8 10.7 5.1 1.8 3 12 12.1 5.9 2.0 4 16 13.6 6.6 2.2 5 20 15.4 7.0 2.5 6 24 19.0 7.8 3.2 7 28 28.2 8.4 4.5 8 32 29.5 9.0 5.0 9 36 30.4 9.8 5.1 10 40 31.1 25.5 5.3 11 44 31.8 25.8 5.5 276

Table 3 Results of the calculation of the roll motion for different heeling moments The results correspond to the previous assumptions. Small heeling moments cause small static and maximum heeling angles and moderate accelerations in transverse direction. From a heeling moment of 28 mt (see table 3, printed in bold type) the ship reached a maximum heeling angle of 28 degree because the first stability level is passed. The equilibrium position is found at a heeling angle of 8.4 degree providing the cargo on deck does not slip. In figure 10 the roll angle is shown in time domain. The related maximum acceleration is 4.5 m/s². value is used for the following calculation in section 4.2. According to the calculations the accident takes place in the assumed stability condition (loading condition of the shipping company) as a result of a heeling moment of 28 mt. Using equation 1 the wind speed can be calculated for a given heeling moment. The wind lateral area A lat is determined with 600 m² and a wind lever z w of 6.5 m. The density of air r air is 1.226 kg/m³. Thereby the influence of waves and others is not taken into account. M heel = ½ r air v w ² A lat z w (1) The assumed heeling moment of 28 mt corresponds to a wind speed of 10.7 m/s which is equivalent to 5.5 Beaufort. In addition the calculation is made for a heeling moment of 40 mt which is caused by a wind speed of 12.8 m/s or 6.0 Beaufort. Figure 10 moment of 28 mt Roll angle for a heeling In case of a heeling moment of 40 mt (see table 3, printed in bold type) the equilibrium position is at a heeling angle of 25 degree, but the transverse acceleration is slightly larger in comparison to the previous calculation. In figure 11 the heeling angle in time can be found. Hence it is assumed the lashings of the timber packages on deck fail not later than in case of a resulting acceleration of 4 to 5 m/s². But it is also possible the cargo securing breaks down earlier because from the described sequence of events leading to the accident the heeling angle is 10 to 15 degree caused by the gust of wind. With high probability it can be assumed that the acceleration of 4.5 m/s² is sufficient to trigger the failure of the load securing. Hence the Figure 11 moment of 40 mt Roll angle for a heeling The information about the weather condition is given by the German Weather service, which based on measurements and observations of surrounding stations. At the accident time the significant wave height is specified with 0.5 m and wind strength of 4 to 5 Beaufort, in gusts 6 to 7 Beaufort. Following it can be said the wind heeling moment caused the accident with a high probability of occurring. 277

The investigation confirms the accident progresses in this stability condition. Furthermore it is clear the voyage of MS ROSEBURG would not occur without a critical incident in this loading condition. 4.2 Most Likely Loading Condition at Departure Time In addition the most likely loading condition at departure time has to be investigated to proof that the voyage would happen without a loss of cargo. Therefore a polar diagram is calculated which presents the significant wave height for the transverse acceleration of 4.5 m/s² in real sea condition. This acceleration is determined from the previous considerations which have to occur to cause the loss of the cargo on deck during the voyage. In figure 12 the polar diagram is exemplarily shown for a wave period of 7.5 s and 8.5 s. The sea condition is generated by a JONSWAP-spectrum. water which corresponds to the reconstructed loading condition. Otherwise the accident would have happened during the voyage. 5. CONCLUSIONS The paper presents the intact stability accident of MS ROSEBURG. Therefore the investigations are carried out based on the documents found by the competent authorities during the recovery of the lost cargo of the vessel, the description of the weather conditions and the given evidence. MS ROSEBURG left the port of Riga with a sufficient stability but without the compliance of the established intact stability criteria. Also the permitted deadweight was exceeded caused by the timber load and additional ballast water to have a sufficient stability. The analysis of the roll motion in natural seaway shows the voyage could take place without a loss of cargo in this loading condition. As a result of the presented investigation the ballast water was pumped out in the Bay of Kiel. Hence the maximum draft was complied, but the stability of the vessel was reduced significantly. Consequently a small gust of wind caused the accident of MS ROSEBURG. Figure 12 Polar diagram for a wave period of 7.5 s (left) and 8.5 s (right) The significant wave height has to be not less than 5.0 m to cause a loss of cargo on deck. That is not occurred with high probability. The sea state and weather information confirm this assumption. Hence the vessel has started the voyage with ballast Such an investigation of an intact stability accident shows that the existing intact stability criteria are sufficient. The compliance of the applicable regulations would have avoided this accident. 6. ACKNOWLEDMENTS The author would like to thank for the support of the German Federal Bureau of Maritime Casualty Investigation (Hamburg) and the permission to use the information of MS ROSEBURG. 278

7. REFERENCES Bundesamt für Schiffahrt und Hydrografie. Unpublished, 2013. German Federal Bureau of Maritime Casualty Investigation(Hamburg)Untersuchungsber icht. 342/13, 2013. German Weather Service. Unpublished, 2013. Wasserschutzpolizei Kiel. Unpublished, 2013. 279