Rural West Waterloo School Closure Review ARC Meeting #1 October 21, 2013
Presentation Outline Demographics & Enrolment Funding Rural West Waterloo Goals School Closure Review Process
Demographics & Enrolment
Population Growth Population growth has two primary contributors: Natural increase (births minus deaths); and Net migration (immigration minus emigration)
Number of Births Canada 500,000 450,000 Baby Boom Baby Boom Echo 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 Baby Bust Baby Bust Echo 200,000 1926 1931 1936 1941 1946 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
Population Projections Ontario
Changing Composition of Immigrants Canada The composition of the immigrant population has changed over the past 30 years Larger proportion of immigrants from traditionally non Catholic countries
Regional Population Projections Waterloo Region Population Projections 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 62,800 65,050 67,440 71,940 77,020 79,720 50,000 40,000 30,000 34,590 33,170 35,010 36,040 37,870 40,270 20,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 Elementary Secondary
Live Births Waterloo Region Entered JK in 2011 Source: Ontario Registrar
Live Births vs. WCDSB JK Enrolment Steady 5 Year Trend
Board wide Student Yields 29% 28% 27.9% 28.1% 28.1% 28.3% 28.1% 28.1% 27.9% 27.5% Student Yields 27% 26% 25% 27.0% 26.5% 24% 23% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Board wide Elementary Enrolment Historic Projected 18,000 17,500 17,000 16,500 16,000 15,500 15,000 14,500 14,000 13,500 13,000 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 Total Students
Funding
Funding Types Capital New schools Additions Operating Staffing Resources for students Maintenance (custodial, utilities, minor repairs) Transportation Renewal (large maintenance/replacement projects) Separate funding envelope
Capital Funding New schools & additions are funded on a case by case basis (Capital Priorities). School boards submit a business case to the Ministry of Education. Individual projects and funding is determined by the Ministry. Some capital projects can also be funded through the proceeds of the sale of properties (Proceeds of Disposition Reserve)
Operating Funding Most of the funding is provided on a per pupil basis boardwide Based on a school size of approx. 450 students Median elementary enrolment is 308 students Median elementary school capacity is 325 pupil places Small schools, schools operating below capacity and inefficient schools are effectively funded by removing resources from other schools in the system A fixed amount of money is given for Renewal projects on an annual basis. Based on square footage per student
Rural West Waterloo
Existing Boundaries Schools Involved: St. Clement St. Agatha Holy Family St. Nicholas Holy Rosary
Growth/Decline Comparison of 2012/2013 enrolment vs. 2007/2008 Holy Family and St. Clement stable Decline at Holy Rosary and St. Agatha Significant decline at St. Nicholas
Student Distribution 70 out of boundary students 25 students in boundary attending other school
Residential Development Remaining Units in Waterloo 1,568 units in St. Agatha s boundary 33 units in Holy Rosary s boundary 443 units in St. Nicholas boundary
Residential Development Remaining Units 5 units in St. Clements 45 units in Wellesley (St. Agatha s boundary) 457 units in Wilmot (Holy Family s boundary) St. Clements Wellesley Wilmot
Student Yields 0.30 0.28 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.10 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 HOLY FAMILY HOLY ROSARY ST. AGATHA ST. CLEMENT ST. NICHOLAS Board wide Elementary
Enrolment vs. Capacity Historic St. Nicholas Addition 1,800 Projected 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Holy Family Holy Rosary St. Agatha St. Clement St. Nicholas Total Capacity
Utilization 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 89.7% 97.4% 77.0% 65.7% 75.2% 59.4% 55.9% 63.1% 100.7% 75.7% Holy Family Holy Rosary St. Agatha St. Clement St. Nicholas Capacity 2012 Enrolment 2017 Projected Enrolment
Walking Webs
Transportation 41% of students are deemed walkers Slightly over half the students are bussed (56%)
Holy Family 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Built in 1959, with additions in 1963, 1986, and 2000 Site area of 2.8 acres Capacity of 233 pupil places 10 classrooms Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2009
Holy Rosary 500 400 300 200 100 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Built in 1989, with an addition in 1994 Site area of 4.9 acres Capacity of 434 pupil places 19 classrooms Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2009
St. Agatha 200 150 100 50 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Built in 1955, with additions in 1962, 1987, and 2000 Site area of 1.9 acres Playground lease expires 2019 Capacity of 170 pupils 8 classrooms 2017 Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2006 4 permanent, 4 port a pak Non permanent gym Major facility condition needs
St. Clement 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Built in 1958, with an addition in 1970 Site area of 3.2 acres Capacity of 282 pupil places 10 classrooms Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2006 Building is not accessible Site is shared with adjacent St. Clement church
St. Nicholas 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Built in 2001, with an addition in 2009 Site area of 7.9 acres Capacity of 457 pupil places Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2009 21 classrooms 1 portable
Goals
Goals of the Review Develop an accommodation strategy that best serves the Catholic community over the long term. Determine long term enrolment boundaries to balance enrolment with capacity. Examine the long term sustainability of the schools in the Rural West area with particular focus on the impact of small schools. Address site size and facility condition issues at St. Agatha. Maximize the number of students able to walk to school.
School Closure Review Process
Policy Ministry Requirements Board Policy APF008: Pupil Accommodation Review Process Part A Boundary Review Process Part B School Closure Review Process Ministry Guideline Pupil Accommodation Review Guideline Oct 31, 2006 Revised Guideline June 26, 2009 Administrative Review
Accommodation Review Committee (ARC) Committee Composition: Superintendent of Corporate Services (Chair) Superintendent of the affected school(s) Two parent representatives from each school in the review Principal from each school included in the review (nonvoting members) Manager of Planning, Admissions and Enrolment Two Trustees (non voting members) Business representative (where possible) Municipal representative (where possible) Parish representative (where possible)
Review Process Form ARC (October 2013) Preferred Option & Recommendations Public Consultation #4 (April 2014) School Information Profiles Public Consultation #3 (March 2014) ARC Final Report to Director of Education Public Consultation #1 (December 2013) Revise Options Director s Report to Board Preliminary Options Public Consultation #2 (February 2014) 3 Board Meetings (April 2014 to June 2014)