Review of studies on the occurrence probability of freak waves based on the field data

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32 2 2013 4 MARINE SCIENCE BULLETIN Vol. 32, No. 2 Apr. 2013 210098 P731.2 A 1001-6932 2013 02-0235-05 Review of studies on the occurrence probability of freak waves based on the field data WANG Yao, ZHENG Jin-hai, TAO Ai-feng, CHEN Bo-tao (Key Laboratory of Coastal Disaster and Defence, Ministry of Education,College of Harbor Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China) Abstract In this paper, studies on the occurrence probability of freak waves based on the field data were reviewed. The field data and the corresponding characteristics of freak waves were compared and analyzed at first. Then, the progress of the studies on the occurrence probability of freak waves was commented, and the common questions in this area such as the disunity of the definition of freak waves were pointed out. At last, some ideas and suggestions were proposed for further study. Keywords freak waves; field data; occurrence probability Draper 1965 4 3 Akhmediev 2011 2012-06-19 2012-10-11 41106001 51137002 51150110157 BK2011026 1989- wyeureka@sina.com jhzheng@hhu.edu.cn 1

236 32 Campos 20 min Campos 1 000 m 1991 3 1993 3 1994 1 1995 6 7 457 Draupner 1 Hz 3 17.067 min Pinho 1 2004 1.2 Agulhas /m 20 10 0-10 0 1 Agulhas 2 Hz 20 min Liu 2008 1.3 5 Sand 1969-1985 1.1 Draupner 1995 Queen Elizabeth II 20 Draupner 25.6 m 30 m 2000 1 200 s M/S 11.92 m 18.4 m Norse Variant M/S Anita 14 Kjeldsen 2001 793 h Anita 354 000 3 5 hz Thorn Bremen Caledonian Alwyn Star 2001 2-3 30 m 4 8 12 16 20 /min 1968 World Glory 1980 Esso Languedoc 30 m 10 m 6~7 m 110 2 m Lavrenov 1998 Mossel Marex 100 m 9 3 1995 1 1 15

2 237 20 min 2 381 Stansell 2004 1.4 2.1 1980 Klinting Sand 1987 MVDerbyshire 295 m 3 1 2 2 44 2 3 MVDerbyshire 0.65 Kjeldsen 1990 Yasuda 1997 JMS 2 H>2H s H H s Kharif 9 2003 50 m 1-2 km H>2H s 1986-1990 Yura 3 km 1 43 m 1 1 Hz 5 20-40 Mori 2002 1.5 H/H s>2 H>10 m / H/Hs>21 Hs>1 m2 1 12 1993 1995 1999 1954 1998 140 35 343 2.2 1996 CHIEN 2002 4 565 175 H 2H s 3 000 1997-2009 2 Tseng 2 2011 2 2.2 2-2.2 H/H s 2 H/H s>2 H/H s>2 / H/Hs>2 H>10 m 0.033 % 3.7 % 3.1 % 0.029 % / / / / / 0.006 %/ 0.010 9 %

238 32 108 H/H s 2 197 28 7 457 276 30 m 3.7% 5 000 m 1998-2003 6 50 359 H/H s >2 1 563 3.1% 3.7 % 4.5 21.3 2<H/H s <4 4 5 354 000 104 1 9 14 10 m 2.67 1 603 67 1.4 10-4 1 2 262 4 0.6 10-4 51 1.09 10-4 80% 3 5

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