Flow modelling hills complex terrain and other issues

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Flow modelling hills, complex terrain and other issues

Modelling approaches sorted after complexity Rules of thumbs Codes and standards Linear model, 1 st order turbulence closure LINCOM/Wasp Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations, often 2 nd order or 2-equation turbulence closure by the k-ε scheme or k- scheme (Risø models Ellipsys and SCADIS) Large-eddy simulation (LES) Direct numerical simulation (DNS) The real flow Differences among model types ease of use, accuracy, detail, cpu time, computer memory, model-operator skills, ease of interpretation etation 2 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Flow over an escarpment (by N Cook ex from BS) Moderate escarpment, slope φ = 0.25 Steep escarpment, slope φ = 0.5 Cliff 3 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

LINearized COMputation ti 1. Splits wind field into uniform mean field in balance with flat terrain and uniform z 0 perturbation field accounts for terrain and roughness variations Real flow = Mean flow + Perturbation 2. Derive RANS equations for velocity perturbations in terrain- following coordinates and disregard non-linear terms, i.e. ( ) d U + u du du du i i i i i 2 ( U + u = U + U + u + O u j j) j j j ( ) dx dx dx dx j j j j 3. Fourier transform the RANS equations and solve them in Fourier space with appropriate boundary conditions 4. Find real-space perturbations by inverse FFT 5. Add perturbations to mean field 4 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

CFD calculations Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stoke equations (RANS) Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) Calculations with EllipSys3D 5 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Blind test : Bolund Z=5m Z=2m 6 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

WAsP arithmetic (linear approach) WAsP = ROU + ORO + OBST Including empirical and parameterized models 7 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Land use and roughness length neutral conditions uz u z = * ( ) ln κ z0 u * u * G = ln A + B κ fz 0 A= 1.8; B= 4.5 2 2 8 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Logarithmic wind profiles 200 180 Geostrophic wind speed = 10 ms -1 Effect tive heigh ht (z-d) [m m] 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 1. forest (z 0 = 2.0 m) 2. town (z 0 = 0.5 m) 3. field (z 0 = 0.05 m) 4. water (z 0 = 0.0002 m) 1 2 3 4 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Wind speed [ms -1 ] 9 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Surface layer wind profiles 200 200 100 Geostr.wind = 12 m/s z 0 = 0.02m 100 uns stable neu utral Heig ght [m] 50 stable neutral 50 stable 20 20 10 unstable 10 Høvsøre 0 5 10 15 Wind speed [m/s] 10 15 20 25 30 35 Normalised wind speed u/u * Variation of mean wind speed with height above ground level for three different stability conditions: unstable (L = -71 m), neutral (L ) and stable (L = 108 m) according to N.O.Jensen (priv.comm.) and Gryning et al. (2007). 10 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Internal Boundary Layer (IBL) Unchanged profile Transition profile New log-profile 11 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark Rule of thumb 1:100

Effect of orography Streamlines over a hill Streamlines are compressed => the wind speeds up! 12 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Askervein Hill field experiment Height of hill: 123 m (vertical scale exaggerated) Mother of all flow-over-hill studies: The Askervein Hill field experiment on the island of South Uist, Outer Hebrides, Scotland. Wind measured on masts along a line across the hill and on top of hill mast interval: 100 m Salmon J.R. et al.(1987): The Askervein Hill project: Mean Wind.., Bound.-Layer Meteorol. 43, 247-271. Taylor P.A. et al. (1987): The Askervein Hill project: Overview.., Bound.-Layer Meteorol. 39, 15-39 (1987) 13 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Askervein wind speed variation Measurements WAsP flow model -- Other flow model Orography effects on horizontal wind speed profile (transect) 14 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Flow model output at single site Orography corrections: Speed-up and Turning 15 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Limitations of the WAsP and WENG flow model 1. Prevailing conditions near-neutral neutral (except for the background profile) 2. Mesoscale effects not taken into account 3. Orography gentle (mostly attached flow) Even outside these limits WAsP may do surprisingly well! 16 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

1 Stability effects: vertical wind profile Example from Hurghada in Egypt (sub-tropical desert) Significant daily changes in atmospheric stability Measurement height (bold values measured) 10 m 25 m z <U> <Power> <U> <Power> [m] [m/s] [W/m2] [m/s] [W/m2] 10 6.0 233 6.1 230 25 7.0 339 7.1 336 50 7.8 545 7.9 543 100 8.9 675 9.1 684 On average, the vertical profile of mean wind speed over the desert surface seems to be predicted quite well! 17 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

3 Effect of a steep hill 120 Virtual Hill Steepness ~ 30% Steepness ~ 40% ~17 ~22 80 40 0-100 0 100 Flow separation on steep but smooth hill The flow behaves to some extent as if moving over a virtual hill with less steep slopes => actual speed-up is smaller than calculated by WAsP Reference: N. Wood (1995). The onset of flow separation in neutral, turbulent flow over hills, Boundary-Layer Meteorology 76, 137-164. 18 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Complex terrain measure: RIX RIX = Ruggedness IndeX fraction (in %) of steep terrain within, say, 3.5 km of the site of interest where steep means a terrain slope of, say, > 0.3 to 0.4 (approximate limit of attached flow) The index is evaluated by WAsP for all sites: Met. station Reference site Turbine sites (single or in farm) Resource grid nodes 19 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Complex terrain measure: RIX Default values for RIX calculation: calculation radius 3.5 km radii for every 5 degrees threshold slope 0.3 Steep terrain is indicated by thick red lines in the map. This graphic can be made by the Map Editor. 20 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Example of highly complex terrain 6 met. stations in Northern Portugal (RIX = 0 to 33%) 21 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Cross predictions in complex terrain Met. stations in (too) complex terrain in Northern Portugal:large positive and negative prediction errors. Reference sites Site 01 06 07 08 09 10 Obs. Pred dicted site es 01 U [m/s] 4.2 3.4 3.3 4.1 4.4 4.5 4.3 06 U [m/s] 56 5.6 46 4.6 44 4.4 57 5.7 61 6.1 63 6.3 46 4.6 07 U [m/s] 6.5 5.5 5.3 6.9 7.2 7.4 5.4 08 U [m/s] 6.9 5.2 4.8 6.2 6.8 7.2 6.2 09 U [m/s] 5.8 4.6 4.4 5.7 6.1 6.4 6.1 10 U [m/s] 5.6 4.4 4.1 5.2 5.5 5.6 5.7 0-10% 10-25% 25-40% Predicted wind speeds and color-coded coded prediction errors (absolute value). 22 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Prediction error vs. difference in RIX The key parameter is ΔRIX! 50 ΔRIX = RIX(WTG site) RIX(met.site) speed prediction error [%] 40 30 20 Port 06-10 trend line 10 0-10 Wind -20 ΔRIX is a performance indicator for WAsP calculations in (too) complex terrain. -30-40 -30-20 -10 0 10 20 30 Difference in extent of steep slopes, drix [%] N.G. Mortensen and E.L. Petersen (1997). Influence of topographical input data on the accuracy of wind flow modeling in complex terrain. 1997 European Wind Energy Conference, Dublin, Ireland. 23 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

Predictions from two masts in very complex terrain 9.0 85 8.5 y = 0.9987x R 2 = 0.7827 Po ort 102 wind sp peed [m/s] 8.0 7.5 7.0 6.5 Uncorrected predictions RIX-corrected predictions Linear fit through (0,0) 6.0 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 Port 101 wind speed [m/s] 24 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark

The similarity principle The predictor (met. station) and the predicted (turbine) sites should be as similar as possible with respect to: Topographical setting ruggedness index (RIX) elevation and exposure distance to significant roughness changes (coastline) background roughness lengths Climatic conditions regional wind climate (synoptic and mesoscale) general forcing effects atmospheric stability 25 Risø DTU, Technical University of Denmark