Vision Zero in vehicle safety? Illusion or future reality Wolfram Hell 2 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Quelle: Tony Seba, Stanford Universität 3 3 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Quelle: Tony Seba, Stanford Universität 4 4 2018 MESSRING GmbH
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Safety Belt Life Saver No. 1 Invention of Nils Bohlin (Sweden) 10 most important inventions for mankind Until now the seat belt saved > 1,5 Mio. Lives Car/Truck/Bus very effective : -50% of severe injuries Non belted rear seat passenger reaches an impact force of von 3-4 Tons in a frontal impact at 50 km/h 6 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Ethical Platform Vision Zero The Vision is an expression of the ethical imperative that It can never be ethically acceptable that people are killed or seriously injured when moving within the transport system Since 1997 every FATAL accident in Sweden is analyzed, countermeasures after 6 Months checked = Man-Human-Enviroment Claes Tingvall 7 2018 MESSRING GmbH
ACCIDENT ANALYSIS William Haddon Matrix Interdisciplinary work: Medicine/Psychology Techology - Road Design 8 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Current Traffic Safety Situation (Tingvall ) Most countries in the developed part of the world have adopted Vision Zero (UN,USA, EU, Australia, NZ etc) Most car manufacturer and suppliers have adopted something similar (Volvo, Mercedes, Toyota, Autoliv etc) Most car manufacturers and suppliers have developed technology beyond imagination But! 9 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Current Traffic Safety Situation Few countries, few cities and few manufacturers have a robust plan to deliver a safe road trasport system! Few countries, few cities and few manufacturers does not even have a firm plan or idea to improve the current situation 10 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Traffic in future Quelle: Morgan Stanley 2015 11 11 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Vision 1960 12 12 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Japan 28% Germany 37% Acceptance for autonomous driving 13 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Vehicle technology (Claes Tingvall) Automation is the new seat belt! It is not the automated driving that is the main thing, it is all the sensors and actuators that are active all the time - even in manual use! Automation will put pressure on changing the transport system Automated driving must be safe - no room for blaming the users!!! 14 2018 MESSRING GmbH
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Safe crash barrier? 17 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Most frequent Causes of death (WHO) 2004 2030 Rank Disease or Injury Rank Disease or Injury 1 Ischaemic heart disease 2 Cerebrovascular disease 3 Lower respiratory infections 4 COPD 5 Diarrhoeal diseases 6 HIV/AIDS 7 Tuberculosis 8 Trachea, bronchus, lung cancer 9 Road traffic injuries 10 Prematurity & low-birth weight 1 Ischaemic heart disease 2 Cerebrovascular disease 3 COPD 4 Lower respiratory infections 5 Road traffic injuries 6 Trachea, bronchus, lung cancer 7 Diabetes mellitus 8 Hypertensive heart disease 9 Stomach cancer 10 HIV/AIDS 18 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Million people WHO Traffic deaths worldwide facts 3 2 1.8 1.3 1 AIDS-related deaths UNAIDS 2008 Tuberculosis WHO 2007 1.3 million deaths 20-50 million injured 1.3 Road traffic WHO 2004 <1 Malaria WHO 2008 19 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Road traffic death rates per 100 000 population, by country income status + Sweden Iran: 30.000 Traffic fatalities 2012 (70 Mio. inhabitants) India: 150.000 Traffic fatalities 2016 25 20 15 10 5 0 Low Middle High Sweden Global status report on road safety 2013, World Health Organization 20 2018 MESSRING GmbH
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Vision Zero a policy innovation Traditional Vision Zero What is the problem? What causes the problem? Responsibility? Peoples demand for road safety? What is the appropriate goal? Accidents risk Human factors Individual road users People don t want safety Optimum number of fatalities and serious injuries Fatalities and serious injuries Humans make mistakes Humans are fragile System designers People want safety Eliminate fatalities and serious injuries 22 2018 MESSRING GmbH
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On German roads nearly 780,000 people have died in traffic accidents since 1950. The number of injured exceeds 31 million. 29 2018 MESSRING GmbH
EU 2017 30 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Berlin declaration of Traffic Safety VDI Prof. Schöneburg 31 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Reality and Target 32 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Germany. Fatalities, severe injured and injured 33 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Germany Development of Fatalities Pedestrian Bicycle Truck Car Motorcycle 34 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Germany Development Severe injured Pedestrian Bicycle Truck Car Motorcycle Rückgang in % 35 2018 MESSRING GmbH
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development dynamic seat test IFM Munich, IIHS, Thatcham, Folksam Improved car seat Low Cost car seat 37 2018 MESSRING GmbH
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Truck emergency breaking to zero 42 2018 MESSRING GmbH
TRUCK: Blindspot detection system for bicyclists and pedestrians 43 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Rear seat belt pretensioners 44 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Rollover 45 2018 MESSRING GmbH
CAR head side-airbag Highly efficient head protection at lateral collision same Efficiency for Roll-Over 46 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Example Opposite Traffic 2+1 country road Mid-barrier would have prevented most severe accident consequences 01 02 47 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Cable barrier Sweden 48 2018 MESSRING GmbH
NEW DANGER: Smombie Traffic sign Stokholm NHTSA 10 % of all Fatalities 49 2018 MESSRING GmbH
Outlook Consumer testing sets the future standards (Euro-Ncap, IIHS ) Accident Research is still fundamental (Focus on FATAL and SEVERE injuries) Safety is more than Standard Test conditions Inderdisciplinary work necessary Medicine, Rehabilitation, road designers, City Planers 50 2018 MESSRING GmbH
I Thank you for your attention 51 2018 MESSRING GmbH
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