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Mortality caused by cormorant predation Pikeperch as an example Outi Heikinheimo Riga 16-18 February 2016 FISH PRO II -3 Kuva: Esa Lehtonen

The presentation is based on the following articles: Heikinheimo, O., Rusanen, P., Korhonen, K. 2016: Estimating the mortality caused by great cormorant on fish stocks: : pikeperch in the Archipelago Sea, northern Baltic Sea, as an example. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. (in press) doi:10.1139/cjfas-2015-0033 Salmi, J.A., Auvinen, H., Raitaniemi, J. Kurkilahti, M., Lilja, J., and Maikola, R. 2015. Perch (Perca fluviatilis) and pikeperch (Sander lucioperca) in the diet of the great cormorant (Phalacrocorax carbo) and effects on catches in the Archipelago Sea, Southwest coast of Finland. Fisheries Research 164: 26 34. Korhonen, K. 2010. Merimetson (Phalacrocorax carbo sinensis) poikasajan ravinnonkäyttö Saaristomerellä kesinä 2009 2010. Turun AMK. http://urn.fi/urn:nbn:fi:amk-2010120517165. Heikinheimo, O., Pekcan-Hekim, Z., and Raitaniemi, J. 2014. Spawning stock recruitment relationship in pikeperch, Sander lucioperca, in the Baltic Sea, with temperature as environmental effect. Fisheries Research 155: 1 9. 2 25.2.2016

Archipelago Sea and cormorant colonies (3000 4000 nests during the study period) 3 25.2.2016

Pikeperch catches in the Archipelago Sea 1980-2013 Number of breeding cormorant pairs (destroyed nests in red) 4 25.2.2016

Strong year classes are produced in warm summers Temperatures in the Archipelago Sea and the year classes of pikeperch Water temperature July-August Pikeperch year classes Updates 2009 and 2010 5 25.2.2016

Cormorants take smaller pikeperch than fishing Minimum catch size 37 cm Cormorants Fishing 2-4 year-olds 5 c. 12 year-olds

Cormorant predation effect = mortality We know the size of pikeperch population by age (based on stock assessment, Heikinheimo et al. 2014) We know the number of pikeperch by length class preyed upon by cormorants - Ages estimated on the basis of length Predation mortality can now be calculated but the mortality from other sources must be taken into account If we assume additive mortality caused by cormorants, the stock assessment must be rerun using higher values of natural mortality iteration 7 25.2.2016

Why is it important to estimate the predation effect as instantaneous mortality? The mortality estimate is needed for instance when we want to know the effect of larger cormorant population, or the effect of mitigation measures. In most studies mortality could not be estimated because there was no stock assessment of the prey species In many cases catch losses for fishermen have been estimated (i.e. how much catch the fish consumed by cormorants would have produced in the future) - but this method does not account for the year class fluctuation of the prey species cannot be used to predict different scenarios 8 25.2.2016

Results: Mortality of young pikeperch caused by cormorants (Heikinheimo ym. 2016) Data from 2009: Instantaneous mortality 0,08 0,13 /year Total percentage mortality caused by cormorants during 3 years (ages 2 4): 11 23 % (this equals the effect on catchable stock for fisheries) Data from 2010: Instantaneous mortality 0,04 0,07 /year Total percentage mortality caused by cormorants during 3 years (ages 2 4): 4 13 % (equals the effect on catchable stock for fisheries) The results largely depend on the assumed value of natural mortality from other sources 9 25.2.2016

Mortality (%) from different sources in 3 years (ages 2 4) 2009 data High intermediate low refers to the assumed level of other natural mortality - With all alternatives the other mortality is manifold compared to that caused by cormorants - Fishing mortality is low in these young age groups 2010 data 10 25.2.2016

Fishing removes the most fast-growing pikeperch at young ages the slow-growing individuals experience a higher probability to be taken by predators Length of pikeperch Large variation in the growth of pikeperch Minimum size for fishing Sizes taken by cormorants 4 >10 Age 11 25.2.2016

Cormorants Here intermediate natural mortality is assumed, calculation from 2010 data. Other predators (e.g. pike), diseases, fishing Age 2 Age 5

Does cormorant predation affect natural fish stocks? Cormorants eat lots of fish but they utilize those species that are abundant in the environment Fish stocks are adapted to predation, and small fish experience high natural mortality in the first place. Compensating processes in the ecosystem: Densitydependent growth and mortality In the mortality estimation these compensating processes could not be included The fishing effort is high in the Archipelago Sea Large predator fish are scarce There is plenty of suitable food and free niche for cormorants. 13 25.2.2016

Thank you and have a nice meeting