Default, Transition, and Recovery: 2014 Annual Taiwan Structured Finance Default Study And Rating Transitions

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Table 1 Taiwan Ratings' Structured Finance 2014 Rating Transition Matrix (%)* From/To Beginning no. of ratings twaaa twaa twa twbbb twbb twb twccc twcc D NR Upgrade/ Stable/NR Downgrade twaaa 6 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.7 100.0 0.0 twaa 4 0.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 75.0 100.0 0.0 twa 2 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 100.0 0.0 twbbb 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A twbb 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A twb 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A twccc 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A twcc 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A *We used full rating categories when determining the downgrade rate in this table, i.e., we would include a downgrade to a lower rating category (such as 'twaa' to 'twa+') but not a downgrade within a rating category (such as 'twaa' to 'twaa-'). Ratings with modifiers (+ and -) are aggregated with other ratings in the same category. For instance, 'twaa+', 'twaa', and 'twaa-' are all classified within the 'twaa' category in this table. NR--Not rated. Ratings may migrate to 'NR', for example, if the securities are repaid in full. Source: Taiwan Ratings Corp. Table 2 Taiwan Ratings' Structured Finance 2014 Rating Transition Rates, By Asset Class (%)* Asset Class Beginning no. of ratings Stable Upgrade Downgrade Default ABS Commercial-Other 1 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ABS Equipment 4 75.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 RMBS Prime 2 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SC Cash Flow Corporate Bond CBO 5 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total 12 91.7 8.3 0.0 0.0 *Rating modifiers (+ and -) are used when determining rating transitions such as upgrades and downgrades in this table. Ratings that we withdrew during the year are classified based on the last rating before withdrawal. The downgrade rate includes defaults. ABS--Asset-backed securities. CBOs--Collateralized bond obligations. RMBS--Residential mortgage-backed securities. SC--Structured credit. Source: Taiwan Ratings Corp.

Table 3 Taiwan Ratings' Structured Finance Weighted Average One-Year Rating Transition Matrix, 2004-2014 (%)* From/To twaaa twaa twa twbbb twbb twb twccc twcc D NR Upgrade/ Stable/NR Downgrade twaaa 63.2 3.2 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 31.6 94.7 5.3 twaa 9.7 56.9 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.0 2.8 0.0 0.0 29.2 95.8 4.2 twa 7.5 10.8 59.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.1 0.0 20.4 97.8 2.2 twbbb 2.7 2.7 15.1 67.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.4 0.0 9.6 97.3 2.7 twbb 0.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 twb N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A twccc 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1 0.0 0.0 44.4 0.0 22.2 22.2 77.8 22.2 twcc 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 *We used full rating categories when determining the downgrade rate in this table, i.e., we would include a downgrade to a lower rating category (such as 'twaa' to 'twa+') but not a downgrade within a rating category (such as 'twaa' to 'twaa-'). Ratings with modifiers (+ and -) are aggregated with other ratings in the same category. For instance, 'twaa+', 'twaa', and 'twaa-' are all classified within the 'twaa' category in this table. N/A--Not applicable. NR--Not rated. Ratings may migrate to 'NR', for example, if the securities are repaid in full. Source: Taiwan Ratings Corp. Table 4 Taiwan Ratings' Structured Finance Weighted Average One- Year Rating Transition Rates, 2004-2014 (%)* From Stable Upgrade Downgrade twaaa 94.7 0.0 5.3 twaa 80.6 13.9 5.6 twa 71.0 25.8 3.2 twbbb 68.5 28.8 2.7 twbb 0.0 0.0 0.0 twb 0.0 100.0 0.0 twccc 33.3 22.2 44.4 twcc 0.0 0.0 100.0 *Rating modifiers (+ and -) are used when determining rating transitions such as upgrades and downgrades in this table. Ratings that we withdrew during any one-year transition window are classified based on the last rating before withdrawal. Ratings with modifiers (+ and -) are aggregated with other ratings in the same category. For instance, 'twaa+', 'twaa', and 'twaa-' are all classified within the 'twaa' category in this table. The downgrade rate includes defaults. Source: Taiwan Ratings Corp.

Table 5 Taiwan Ratings' Structured Finance Original-To-Current Rating Transition Matrix, 2003-2014 (%)* Original/Last Rating Original no. of ratings twaaa twaa twa twbbb twbb twb twccc twcc D NR Upgrade / Stable / NR Downgrade twaaa 22 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 81.8 95.5 4.5 twaa 17 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 94.1 94.1 5.9 twa 27 0.0 3.7 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 85.2 96.3 3.7 twbbb 22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 95.5 95.5 4.5 twbb 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 twb 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A twccc 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A twcc 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A *We used full rating categories when determining the downgrade rate in this table, i.e. we would include a downgrade to a lower rating category (such as 'twaa' to 'twa+') but not a downgrade within a rating category (such as 'twaa' to 'twaa-'). Ratings with modifiers (+ and -) are aggregated with other ratings in the same category. For instance, 'twaa+', 'twaa', and 'twaa-' are all classified within the 'twaa' category in this table. N/A--Not applicable. NR--Not rated. Ratings may migrate to 'NR', for example, if the securities are repaid in full. Source: Taiwan Ratings Corp.

Table 6 Taiwan Ratings' Structured Finance Original-To-Current Rating Transition Rates, By Asset Class, 2003-2014* Asset Class Original no. of ratings Stable Upgrade Downgrade Default ABS Commercial-Other 1 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ABS Consumer-Other 1 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ABS Equipment 8 75.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 CMBS Office Building 6 33.3 66.7 0.0 0.0 RMBS Prime 10 70.0 30.0 0.0 0.0 SC Cash Flow CDO of CDOs 9 11.1 0.0 88.9 44.4 SC Cash Flow Corporate Bond CBO 19 42.1 47.4 10.5 0.0 SC Cash Flow Corporate Loan CLO 33 21.2 78.8 0.0 0.0 SC Cash Flow CDO Other 2 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total 89 39.3 49.4 11.2 4.5 *Rating modifiers (+ and -) are used when determining rating transitions such as upgrades and downgrades in this table. Ratings that we withdrew are classified based on the last rating before withdrawal. The downgrade rate includes defaults. ABS--Asset-backed securities. CDO--Collateralized debt obligations. CMBS--Commercial mortgage-backed securities. RMBS--Residential mortgage-backed securities. SC--Structured credit. Source: Taiwan Ratings Corp. Table 7 Taiwan Ratings' Structured Finance Original-To-Current Rating Transition, By Issuance (Vintage) Year, 2003-2014 (%)* Vintage Year Number of ratings Stable Upgrade Downgrade Default 2003 9 33.3 66.7 0.0 0.0 2004 18 44.4 55.6 0.0 0.0 2005 13 38.5 30.8 30.8 30.8 2006 15 33.3 40.0 26.7 0.0 2007 27 33.3 59.3 7.4 0.0 2008 1 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 2009 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2010 2 50.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 2011 2 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2012 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2013 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2014 2 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total 89 39.3 49.4 11.2 4.5 *Rating modifiers (+ and -) are used when determining rating transitions such as upgrades and downgrades in this table. Ratings that we withdrew are classified based on the last rating before withdrawal. The downgrade rate includes defaults. Source: Taiwan Ratings Corp.