NEPAD OECD Africa Investment Initiative Fifth Ministerial Meeting Méridien Président DAKAR (Sénégal) 26-27 April 2011 Green Economy promotion perspectives and Climate Challenges: The I&FF Project Libasse BA ENDA enda - Programme «Énergie, Environnement, Développement» (enda.energy@orange.sn)
Content 1- The Project 2- The objectives 3- Methodology Used 4- Niger results 5- Comments
1-The Project UNDP (Energy and Environment Dpt) 19 Countries involved (Latin America, Africa, Asia) including 6 from Africa Assessment of Investments and Financial Flows in Climate Change- Bali Road Map Priority sectors (2/3) 8 Months duration Project launched in 2008 Finance 7Million us$
2- Main Objective Quantify the investments and associated financial flows required to mitigate and/or adapt to the effects of climate change over a period of 25 years starting in 2005 Sources? Website: www.undpcc.org
3-About I&FF Methodology Steps in the Sectoral Assessments of I&FF to Address Climate Change
3-About I&FF Methodology Steps in the Sectoral Assessments of I&FF to Address Climate Change
3-About I&FF Methodology Steps in the Sectoral Assessments of I&FF to Address Climate Change
3-About I&FF Methodology Steps in the Sectoral Assessments of I&FF to Address Climate Change
3-About I&FF Methodology Steps in the Sectoral Assessments of I&FF to Address Climate Change
3-About I&FF Methodology Steps in the Sectoral Assessments of I&FF to Address Climate Change
3-About I&FF Methodology Steps in the Sectoral Assessments of I&FF to Address Climate Change
3-About I&FF Methodology Steps in the Sectoral Assessments of I&FF to Address Climate Change
3-About I&FF Methodology Steps in the Sectoral Assessments of I&FF to Address Climate Change
3-About I&FF Methodology Steps in the Sectoral Assessments of I&FF to Address Climate Change
4 - Niger results I&FF in NIGER : Adaptation in Agriculture sector Measure1 : Rain crops production improvement Measure2 : Promotion of crops production under irrigation Measure3 : Improvement of cattle farming Measure4 : Promotion of intensive cattle farming
Trends and cost of each option Niger: Measure1 10 Rain crops production improvement (millions us$) 5 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030-5 -10-15 -20 Total cost: 7.9 Millions us$
Trends and cost of each option Niger: Measure2 0 Promotion of crops production under irrigation(millions us$) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030-100 -200-300 -400-500 -600-700 Total cost: 4.42 Billions us$
Trends and cost of each option Niger: Measure3 10 Improvement of cattle farming as it exists now (Millions us$) 5 0-5 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030-10 -15-20 -25-30 -35 Total cost: 246.54 Millions us$
Trends and cost of each option Niger: Measure4 3.5 Promotion of intensive cattle farming(millions us$) 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Total cost: 36.04 Millions us$
Trends and cost of each option The cost of adaptation in agriculture Measure1 : Additionnal investment of 7.9 Millions US$ needed because of technology tranfer Measure2 : 4.42 Billions US$ needed (Technology transfer needs too) Measure 3 : 246.54 Millions US$ needed (need of rehabilitation of corridors, Cattle Feeding and investment in water) Measure4 : 36.04 Millions US$ needed (livestosk feeding) TOTAL COST: 4.71 Billions US$ (2005) (188 Millions us$/year=7%gdp)
Investment by Entity Niger: WHO invest and where? Measure 1(millions us$) 1000 Measure2 (million us$) 400 200 0-1000 Households Private sector Government 0-200 Households Private sector Government -2000-3000 -400-600 -800-4000 -5000-6000 100 50 Measure3 (millions us$) 25 Measure4 (millions us$) 0-50 Households Private sector Government 20-100 -150 15-200 -250-300 10 5-350 -400-450 0 Households Private sector Government
Investment by Entity WHO invest and where?..cont 250 200 150 100 50 0 Households (millions us$) Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 200 150 100 50 0 Private sector (millions us$) Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 1000 0-1000 -2000-3000 -4000-5000 -6000 Government (millions us$) Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4
5-Comments 5 - Comments Show data collection methods for historical data Need of clearly defined baseline scenario Data Sources Impact on National Politics Analysis of uncertainties Need to show the calculations methods Need to show assumptions and document them How household data is obtained? Surveys?
Programme Energie THANK YOU libasseba@yahoo.fr enda.energy@orange.sn www.enda.sn/energie/indexnrj.htm enda - Programme «Énergie, Environnement, Développement» (enda.energy@orange.sn)