Sundance Associates 117 Greenvale Court Cherry Hill, NJ

Enrollment Projection Update to Oct 2017 Enrollments by District and School for the 301 East Montgomery Ave. Ardmore, PA 19003 Prepared by Sundance Associates 117 Greenvale Court Cherry Hill, NJ 08034-1701 Tel 856-755-0174 Fax 856-755-0176 E-mail: gsundell@sundanceassoc.com December, 2017

TABLE of CONTENTS Page Introduction i Births 1 Residential Permitting: Historic & Proposed 2 Existing Residential Sales & the Recession 3 Comparative Permitting & Sales vs. Enrollments 4 Student Multipliers for New Housing 5 New Housing by Unit Type & Year 6 Students from New Housing 7 New Students by Development, Year and School 8 Cohort Survival Methodology & Adjustments 9 District-wide Enrollments 11 Grade K-5 Elementary Enrollments 12 Grade 6-8 Middle School Enrollments 13 Grade 9-12 High School Enrollments 14 District Comparative Enrollments 15 Belmont Hills ES Projections 16 Cynwyd ES Projections 17 Gladwyne ES Projections 18 Merion ES Projections 19 Penn Valley ES Projections 20 Penn Wynne ES Projection 21 Bala Cynwyd MS Projections 22 Welsh Valley MS Projections 23 Harriton HS Projections 24 Lower Merion HS Projections 25 APPENDIX Projection Worksheet Plus New Housing Worksheet Fall 2017 Updated Demographic Study

Introduction This projection is an annual update to the projections of November 2016 and the subsequent December 2016 adjustment for geo-coded births. The November 2017 Comprehensive Study should be consulted for overall methodology for Cohort Survival Enrollment Projections. In this study projections are made as in the December 2016 adjustment using School Year Births geocoded for Elementary School Attendance Areas. Births adjusted for the School Year, on a September to August basis, have a stronger correlation to the Kindergarten five years later, than does the calendar year births. School based projections are increased in accuracy using the Attendance Area births over the Average Percent of District method. Fall 2017 Updated Demographic Study i

School Year Births by School Attendance Area 5 Yrs Earlier Actual K Sch Yr Geographic Geographic Sch Years Cynwyd Merion Penn Val Penn Wy Gladwyn Bel Hls TOTAL Sep-Aug 2012-13 87 101 101 88 123 66 566 2006-07 August 2007 births 2013-14 85 106 106 115 90 71 573 2007-08 can enter school 2014-15 82 97 80 106 112 83 560 2008-09 in Sept 2012 2015-16 72 100 97 106 104 64 543 2009-10 2016-17 83 100 73 112 110 91 569 559 2010-11 2017-18 84 103 95 104 92 58 536 559 2011-12 2018-19 81 104 74 104 100 69 532 559 2012-13 2019-20 66 140 82 109 97 75 569 559 2013-14 2020-21 87 121 109 109 110 70 606 559 2014-15 6 Yr Avg 78.8 111.3 88.3 107.3 102.2 71.2 559 6 Yr Avg SOURCE: Montgomery County Planning Commission 559 Combo Avg 620 School Year Births 600 606 580 560 559 540 520 500 480 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 6 Yr Avg Geo Sch Yr 566 573 560 543 569 536 532 569 606 6 Yr Avg 559 559 559 559 559 559 6 Yr Trend 537 546 555 564 572 581 590 Births and Historic Enrollments are the two factors on which an enrollment projection is made. In this study School Year Births (September - August) that are geocoded to the District's elementary attendance area are used The data is provided by the Montgomery County Planning Commission and correlates best with the individual School based projections. That is the blue line on the chart. Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 1

Residential Permits by Municipality 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Lower Merion 58 177 101 43 41 29 27 45 46 55 39 300 152 Narberth 0 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 0 3 3 9 20 600 Combined Residential Permits: Historic & Future < Permits Occupancies > 500 400 300 200 100 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Historic 58 177 102 43 41 30 30 45 46 58 42 309 172 Future 444 495 262 318 New Housing Construction, as evidenced by Residential Permitting levels is on the increase since 2016. Permits for approved housing total 1,519 units in the next 4 years. Each permit is for one housing unit. A Single Family house is one unit. A Townhouse Community or a Mid-rise Condominium will be permitted for multiple units. The timing of the permits, as illustrated on the chart, are as per the Developer's current plans for construction, sales and occupancy. Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 2

Residential Sales and the 2008 Recession Lower Merion Residential Sales extrapolated 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 852 639 568 619 622 754 859 778 766 856 903 722 NARBERTH Housing Sales extrapolated 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 45 47 37 40 44 51 54 45 62 50 49 37 Combined 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 897 686 605 659 666 805 913 823 828 906 952 654 884 1000 900 800 897 Residential Sales 913 952 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 605 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Combined Low Merion Narberth Residential Sales decreased along with the 2008 Recession and began to rebound in 2011. The 2013 sales exceeded the year 2007 sales, before the start of the recession. Pent-up demand was met in 2013 and a sales decrease followed. The 2017 sales volume is extrapolated from Jan - Sept data, and is anticipated to be a record high. The recent 6-year average of sales is 871 per year and is more significant than the recent 6-year average of occupancy of new housing at 106 units per year, and still more significant than the 380 units per year that isplanned for occupancy in the next 4 years. Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 3

Comparative Enrollment Factors 2006 6936 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Enrollment 6914 6788 7009 7212 7342 7682 7859 8053 8341 8382 8590 Enroll Delta -22-126 221 203 130 340 177 194 288 41 208 Resid Sales 897 686 605 659 666 805 913 823 828 906 952 RS Delta 0-211 -81 54 7 139 108-90 5 78 46 65 Permits 41 32 21 30 28 31 41 40 41 300 155 Per Delta -24-9 -11 9-2 3 10-1 1 259-145 400 Comparative Enrollment Factors 300 200 100 0 0.20689655-100 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Enroll Change R Sales Change Permitting -200-300 Enrollment in the 10-year historic period has a stronger correlation to existing housing Resales than to New Housing Permits. In this chart, the change in enrollment (blue) is compared to the change in residential sales (red), and the correlation is clear. 0.22467986 There appears to be little or no correlation with permitting for new construction (grey),...yet. The 2016 permitting is for "permits" such that occupancy would follow one year later, perhaps contributing to the 2017 enrollment increase. Additional years of new housing growth are needed to document the relationship. Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 4

New School Age Children from New Housing To estimate the number of School Age Children (SAC) or the Public School Age Children (PSAC), multipliers for unit types and bedroom counts are applied to the number of units. After determination of the number of School Age Children, they are scheduled for entry into the school system based upon the construction and occupancy schedule. The source for the multipliers is Who Lives in Pennsylvania Housing, a Quick Guide to Pennsylvania Residential Demographic Multipliers by the Center for Urban Policy Research of the Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy at Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, as developed from the 2000 U. S. Census. Five different multipliers are used in this study for each Type of housing (Rental Apartments and Condominium) and number of Bedrooms. Application of the multipliers for unit types determines that 1,901 units over five years (beginning in year 2016) will generate 279 School Age Children and 268 Public School Age Children. However, only students from 2018 and forward are added to the projection. Application of the multipliers for unit types determines that 1,519 units over four years (beginning in year 2018) will generate 265 School Age Children and 258 Public School Age Children. All Public Type# Bdrms SAC SAC Apt Studio 0.050 0.050 Apt 1 Bdrm 0.050 0.050 Apt 2 Bdrm 0.250 0.240 Apt 3 Bdrm 0.600 0.600 Condo 1 Bdrm 0.170 0.110 Condo 2 Bdrm 0.040 0.030 TH 3 Bdrm 0.420 0.360 Twin 3 Bdrm 0.420 0.360 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 5

Future Housing by Unit Type & Year Unit to Sep Type Bdrms Count 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Total IN CONSTRUCTION 600 Righters Ferry Rd Apt 1 Bdrm 385 142 36 207 243 and Occupancy Phase 1 & Ph 2 Apt 2 Bdrm 208 78 19 111 130 K Kyle-O'Neill 593 0 220 55 0 0 318 373 331 Penn Rd Apt 1 Bdrm 92 92 92 C Houder-Haverford Prop Apt 2 Bdrm 122 122 122 Apt 3 Bdrm 36 36 36 250 250 0 250 225 E. Montgomery Ave TH 3 Bdrm 8 4 4 4 M Rayer 8 4 4 0 0 0 0 4 24 Cricket Ave Apt 1 Bdrm 66 66 S Sutton-Dranoff Apt 2 Bdrm 44 44 110 0 0 110 0 110 130 Monument Ave Apt Studio 12 12 12 J O'Connell-Roseland Apt 1 Bdrm 107 107 107 Apt 2 Bdrm 87 87 87 206 0 0 0 0 206 206 335 Righters Ferry Rd Apt 1 Bdrm 99 99 99 R Sudall-Nolan Prop Apt 2 Bdrm 111 111 111 210 0 0 0 210 0 210 146-156 Cricket Ave TH 3 Bdrm 9 9 9 J Kildea-Rockwell Twin 3 Bdrm 10 10 10 19 19 19 10 Union Ave. Apt 2 Bdrm 70 70 70 Fijan-Cross Prop Apt 3 Bdrm 42 42 42 112 112 112 IN CONSTRUCTION 1508 0 224 328 432 206 318 0 1284 RECENT APPROVED 47-65 Cricket Ave. Apt 1 Bdrm 50 50 50 P Spain-BM Leasing Apt 2 Bdrm 27 27 27 77 0 0 0 77 0 77 6 Lancaster Ave. Apt 1 Bdrm 11 11 11 Fijan-Cross Prop Apt 2 Bdrm 11 11 11 22 0 0 0 22 0 22 RECENT APPROVED 99 0 0 0 99 0 0 0 99 121 E. City Ave. Apt O Bdrm 14 14 14 PENDING A Bottaro-FRIT Apt 1 Bdrm 44 44 44 PRELIMINARY Apt 2-2+ Bdrm 29 29 29 87 0 0 0 87 0 87 39-41 E. Montgomery AvCondo 1 Bdrm 14 14 14 K Traynor Condo 2 Bdrm 7 7 7 21 0 0 0 21 21 9 &11 Union Ave. Apt 1 Bdrm 50 50 50 3,5,7,9 Cynwyd Apt 2 Bdrm 24 24 24 Fijan-Cross Prop 74 0 0 0 74 0 74 104,108,114&120 Apt 1 Bdrm 20 20 20 W Lancaster Ave Apt 2 Bdrm 15 15 15 Justin Hopkins 35 0 0 0 35 35 424 Conway Ave, N TH 3 Bdrm 9 4 5 9 Vince Sposato 9 4 5 0 0 0 9 198 Elmwood, N Apt 1 Bdrm 10 10 10 Jason Gordon Apt 2 Bdrm 10 10 10 20 0 0 0 20 0 20 TOTAL PENDING/PREL. 217 0 0 4 186 56 0 0 246 GRAND TOTAL UNITS 1824 189 224 332 717 262 318 0 1629 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 6

Future PUBLIC School Age Children PSAC to Sep Type Bdrms /Unit 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Total IN CONSTRUCTION 600 Righters Ferry Rd Apt 1 Bdrm 0.05 1.8 10.4 12.2 and Occupancy Phase 1 & Ph 2 Apt 2 Bdrm 0.24 4.6 26.6 31.2 K Kyle-O'Neill 0.0 6.4 0.0 0.0 37.0 43.4 331 Penn Rd Apt 1 Bdrm 0.05 4.6 4.6 C Houder-Haverford Prop Apt 2 Bdrm 0.25 30.5 30.5 Apt 3 Bdrm 0.60 21.6 21.6 56.7 0.0 56.7 225 E. Montgomery Ave TH 3 Bdrm 0.36 1.4 1.4 M Rayer 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 24 Cricket Ave Apt 1 Bdrm 0.05 3.3 3.3 S Sutton-Dranoff Apt 2 Bdrm 0.24 10.6 10.6 0.0 0.0 13.9 0.0 13.9 130 Monument Ave Apt Studio 0.05 0.6 0.6 J O'Connell-Roseland Apt 1 Bdrm 0.05 5.4 5.4 Apt 2 Bdrm 0.24 20.9 20.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.8 26.8 335 Righters Ferry Rd Apt 1 Bdrm 0.05 5.0 5.0 R Sudall-Nolan Prop Apt 2 Bdrm 0.24 26.6 26.6 0.0 0.0 31.6 0.0 31.6 146-156 Cricket Ave TH 3 Bdrm 0.36 3.2 3.2 J Kildea-Rockwell Twin 3 Bdrm 0.36 3.6 3.6 6.8 6.8 10 Union Ave. Apt 2 Bdrm 0.24 16.8 16.8 Fijan-Cross Prop Apt 3 Bdrm 0.60 25.2 25.2 42.0 42.0 IN CONSTRUCTION 0.0 71.3 87.5 26.8 37.0 0.0 222.6 RECENT APPROVED 47-65 Cricket Ave. Apt 1 Bdrm 0.05 2.5 2.5 P Spain-BM Leasing Apt 2 Bdrm 0.24 6.5 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.0 9.0 6 Lancaster Ave. Apt 1 Bdrm 0.05 0.6 0.6 Fijan-Cross Prop Apt 2 Bdrm 0.24 2.6 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 0.0 3.2 RECENT APPROVED 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2 121 E. City Ave. Apt O Bdrm 0.05 0.7 0.7 PENDING A Bottaro-FRIT Apt 1 Bdrm 0.05 2.2 2.2 PRELIMINARY Apt 2-2+ Bdrm 0.24 7.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9 0.0 9.9 39-41 E. Montgomery AvCondo 1 Bdrm 0.05 0.7 0.7 K Traynor Condo 2 Bdrm 0.24 1.7 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 2.4 9 &11 Union Ave. Apt 1 Bdrm 0.05 2.5 2.5 3,5,7,9 Cynwyd Apt 2 Bdrm 0.24 5.8 5.8 Fijan-Cross Prop 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3 0.0 8.3 104,108,114&120 Apt 1 Bdrm 0.05 1.0 1.0 W Lancaster Ave Apt 2 Bdrm 0.24 3.6 3.6 Justin Hopkins 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6 4.6 424 Conway Ave, N TH 3 Bdrm 0.36 1.4 1.8 3.2 Vince Sposato 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 198 Elmwood, N Apt 1 Bdrm 0.05 0.5 0.5 Jason Gordon Apt 2 Bdrm 0.24 2.4 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 2.9 TOTAL PENDING/PREL. 0 0.0 0.0 4.0 26.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 37.0 GRAND TOTAL New STUDENTS 0 0.0 75.3 125.6 33.8 37.0 0.0 272 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 7

Public School Age Children by Development, Year and School 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total PSAC 600 Righters Ferry Rd 6.4 37.0 43.4 9-11 Union-3 5 7 9 Cynwyd 8.3 8.3 130 Monument Ave 26.8 26.8 335 Righters Ferry Rd. 31.6 31.6 121 E. City Ave. 9.9 9.9 10 Union Ave. 42.0 42.0 6.4 91.8 26.8 37.0 162.0 Cynwyd 6 Lancaster Ave. 3.2 3.2 104/8/14/20 W Lancaster 4.6 4.6 146 Cricket Ave 6.8 6.8 24 Cricket 13.9 13.9 47 Cricket Ave. 9.0 9.0 6.8 26.1 4.6 37.5 Penn Wynne 198 Elmwood 2.9 2.9 2.9 Merion 6.4 91.8 26.8 37.0 162.0 Cynwyd 6.8 26.1 4.6 37.5 Penn Wynne 2.9 2.9 Merion Sub-total 13.2 120.8 31.4 37.0 202.4 Bala Cynwyd MS Lower Merion HS 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total PSAC 424 Conway Ave 4.0 5.0 9.0 4.0 5.0 9.0 Belmont Hills 331 Penn Rd. 56.7 56.7 225 E. Montgomery Ave 1.4 1.4 39 E. Montgomery Ave 2.4 2.4 58.1 0.0 2.4 60.5 Penn Valley 4.0 5.0 9.0 Belmont Hills 58.1 0.0 2.4 60.5 Penn Valley Sub-total 62.1 5.0 2.4 69.5 Welsh Valley MS Harriton HS District Sum by Year 75.3 125.8 33.8 37.0 271.9 New Housing is mapped by location (below) and organized by attendance areas (above). Elementary summaries of students added by year are noted in the red side titles, and the Middle School/High School added students are in blue side titles. Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 8

Cohort Survival Methodology An Introduction Cohort Survival is the name given to the method of projecting enrollments which is recommended by the Pennsylvania Department of Education. The most important terms, concepts and methodology are illustrated herein. Cohort Survival projections are based on historic enrollment and birth data in the school district and incorporate six years of demographic data. They are considered very reliable where trends are expected to continue, without significant change in housing or curriculum. Enrollment projections have been made using the Cohort Survival method. Cohort is the name given to the common groups of children originally born in a given year and progressing, together, through the school system, one grade level to the next. Survival Ratios refer to the number of students from one year and grade level who survive to or enter the next grade level the following year. For example, in the sample partial table in the side bar, historic enrollments show 672 students in 1st Grade in year 2015-16, following a 454 student Kindergarten in year 2014-15. This yields a Kindergarten to First Grade Survival Ratio of 1.480 (or 672 454). Another expression of the Survival Ratio would be that 148% of the Kindergarten students survived to 1st Grade. Similar calculations are made for survival from Births Five Years Earlier to Kindergarten, and for each and every grade level transition in each and every year of historical enrollments which are used. In general, six years of historic data will yield five Survival Ratios for each grade level change, Birth to K, K to 1, Grade 1 to Grade 2, etc. Historic Enrollments Births 1st 2nd 3rd School Sch Yrs. K Gr. Gr. Gr. Year Ago "s" "s" "s" "s" HISTORIC DATA 2011-12 604 0.684 413 585 556 564 1.4 58 1.0 50 1.0 2 9 2012-13 570 0.768 438 602 614 572 1.438 1.023 1.042 2013-14 577 0.778 449 630 616 640 1.3 8 3 1.0 4 4 1.0 71 2014-15 562 0.808 454 621 658 660 1.480 1.042 1.030 2015-16 549 0.847 465 672 647 678 1.4 2 2 1.0 2 2 1.0 19 2016-17 566 0.710 402 661 687 659 6 Yr Average 0.766 Survival Rate 0.766 1.436 1.036 1.038 The Average Survival Ratio is then calculated for each grade level change. In the side-bar example 1.436 is the 6-year average Kindergarten to Grade 1 ratio and 1.036 is the 6-year Grade 1 to Grade 2 Survival Ratio. The projections use the current school year 2016-17 enrollments, at the bottom of the Historic chart, as a base year. The Averaged Cohort Survival Ratios are applied to those base year enrollments and to the actual and estimated births, and projected into the next year, one grade level higher. In the side-bar example 416 Kindergarten students in 2017-18 survive at a rate of 1.436 as a 2018-19 First Grade of 597 students. This similar projection is made across all grade levels for a 5-year period. Projected Enrollments 5-YR PROJECTIONS 2017-18 543 0.766 416 577 685 713 1.436 1.036 1.038 2018-19 533 0.766 408 597 598 711 1.436 1.036 1.038 2019-20 569 0.766 436 586 619 621 1.436 1.036 1.038 2020-21 604 0.766 463 626 608 643 Yr Avg 6 1.436 1.036 1.038 561 2021-22 0.766 429 664 649 631 Finally, the individual grade level enrollment projections are summed across each year to determine district-wide enrollments in that year. NOTE: The full worksheets for the standard District projection and the adjusted for accelerated housing projection can be found in the Appendix. Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 9

Cohort Survival Methodology Adjustments to Standard Methods for High School Choice and for Accelerated New Housing High School Choice In previous studies an adjustment to the Cohort Survival Rates for Grades 9 to 12 were made due to the High School Choice program. Sufficient years have passed such that the program is impacting five of the six historic years of enrollments and an adjustment is no longer necessary. New Housing As previously determined, 272 students are added to the projection from new housing. They are added in specific years according to the Developers plans, and in specific geographies. In this sample from the District-wide projection, 35 students are added in 2018-19 the second year of the projection. 35 students are evenly distributed across all 13 grade levels at the rate of 2.73 students. This is rounded to 3 on the worksheet. The calculation is then made as follows; 424 Kindergarden students are survived at a rate of 1.436, to which is added 2.73 students to project a First Grade class of 611. School Level Projections Projections are made at the District, Grade Level Organization and Individual School levels. The District and Grade Level projections are identical in results. Births 1st 2nd 3rd Scho o l 5 Yrs. K Gr. Gr. Gr. Year Ago "s" "s" "s" "s" 5-YR P ROJECTIONS P LUS NEW HOUSING + R esid 8 8 8 8 2017-18 543 0.766 424 585 693 721 1.436 1.036 1.038 + R esid 3 3 3 3 2018-19 533 0.766 411 611 609 722 1.436 1.036 1.038 + R esid 3 3 3 3 2019-20 569 0.766 439 593 636 635 1.436 1.036 1.038 + R esid 5 5 5 5 2020-21 604 0.766 467 635 619 665 1.436 1.036 1.038 + R esid 0 0 0 0 2021-22 561 0.766 429 671 658 643 The school level projections, due to their smaller enrollment size, are less accurate than the overall District projections. However, they are useful in determining the future enrollments at the school. The school level projections are checked against a Sum of All Individual Schools worksheet that shows a difference of an average of -2.5 students per grade such that the school level projections are slightly less than the district projection. The first year projection is 1 student less, while the 5th year projection is about 4 students per school less than the District projection. Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 10

Lower Merion District-wide Enrollments K-12 11000 10000 9000 8590 8810 9594 8000 7682 7000 6000 5000 4000 Historic Projected Extended 3000 2000 1000 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Lower Merion District-wide 272 Public School Students from new housing TOTAL Average Change %Chg Historic 2012 7,682 2013 7,859 2014 8,053 2015 8,341 8,151 2016 8,382 2017 8,590 908 11.8% Projected 2018 8,810 2019 9,047 2020 9,261 9,237 2021 9,472 2022 9,594 1,004 11.4% Extended 2023 9,621 2024 9,650 2025 9,644 9,643 2026 9,670 2027 9,632 39 0.4% Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 11

Elementary K-Grade 5 Enrollments 125 Students from new housing to Public School at the elementary level total K-5 Period Period Standard Delta k-4 PKK K 1 2 3 4 5 TOTAL Average Change Method Historic 2012 438 602 614 572 580 593 3,399 3,399 2806 2013 449 630 616 640 585 588 3,508 3,508 2920 2014 454 621 658 660 660 606 3,659 3,659 3053 2015 465 672 647 678 681 687 3,830 3,669 3,830 3143 2016 402 661 687 659 680 690 3,779 3,779 3089 2017 437 622 693 704 667 716 3,839 440 12.9% 3,839 3123 Projected 2018 427 641 650 725 724 694 3,861 3,878-18 3167 2019 460 630 674 684 749 756 3,954 3,905 49 3197 2020 482 671 655 702 701 775 3,986 3,951 3,878 108 3211 2021 445 704 698 683 719 725 3,974 3,872 102 3249 2022 442 647 729 724 697 741 3,981 142 3.7% 3,872 110 3240 Extended 2023 442 643 671 756 739 718 3,970 3,843 127 3252 2024 442 643 666 696 772 762 3,982 3,842 140 3219 2025 442 643 666 691 710 796 3,949 3,932 3,865 85 3153 2026 442 643 666 691 705 732 3,881 3,849 32 3149 2027 442 643 666 691 705 727 3,876-105 -2.6% 3,788 88 3149 Elementary K-Gr 5 Enrollments 4500 4000 3500 3830 3861 3981 3000 2500 2000 1500 Historic Projected Extended 1000 500 0 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 12

Middle School Grade 6-8 Enrollments 63 Students from new housing to Public Schools at the Middle School level. Gr 6-8 Period Period Cap1= 6 7 8 5-8 UG TOTAL Average Change Historic ProjectedExtendedCap1=2329 Historic 2012 630 593 585 1,808 2012 1808 2,329 2013 603 662 601 1,866 2013 1866 2329 2014 610 604 660 1,874 2014 1874 2329 2015 620 611 612 1,843 1898 2015 1843 2329 2016 693 626 614 1,933 2016 1933 2329 2017 703 718 640 2,061 253 14.0% 2017 2061 Projected 2018 737 723 731 2,191 2018 2191 2019 718 761 740 2,219 2019 2219 2020 775 735 772 2,281 2275 2020 2281 2021 794 793 745 2,333 2021 2333 2022 741 810 801 2,352 291 13.3% 2022 2352 Extended 2023 757 756 818 2,331 2023 2331 2024 733 772 763 2,269 2024 2269 2025 778 748 780 2,306 2329 2025 2306 2026 813 794 756 2,362 2026 2362 2027 748 829 802 2,378 26 1.1% 2027 2378 4500 Middle School Gr 6-8 Enrollments 4000 3500 3000 2500 2191 2352 Historic 2000 Projected 1500 Extended 1000 500 0 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 13

High School Grade 9-12 Enrollments 84 Students from new housing at the High School level Gr 9-12 Period Period 9 10 11 12 9-12 UG TOTAL Average Change Historic Projected Historic 2012 656 579 601 639 0 2,475 2012 2475 2013 614 677 587 607 0 2,485 2013 2485 2014 642 610 671 597 0 2,520 2014 2520 2015 711 648 628 681 0 2,668 2585 2015 2668 2016 661 725 645 639 0 2,670 2016 2670 2017 647 677 707 659 0 2,690 215 8.7% 2017 2690 Projected 2018 688 663 683 724 0 2,759 2018 2759 2019 789 708 673 704 0 2,875 2019 2875 2020 791 804 712 687 0 2,994 3011 2020 2994 2021 825 806 808 726 0 3,165 2021 3165 2022 794 838 807 821 0 3,260 570 20.7% 3260 Extended 2023 854 807 839 820 0 3,320 ##### 2024 872 867 808 853 0 3,400 ##### 2025 813 886 868 821 0 3,388 3383 ##### 2026 831 826 887 882 0 3,427 2027 805 844 827 901 0 3,378 118 3.5% ##### 4500 High School Grade 9-12 Enrollments 4000 3500 3260 3000 2500 2520 2759 Historic 2000 Projected 1500 Extended 1000 500 0 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 14

Comparative Enrollments by Grade Level Organization K-5 Gr 6-8 Gr 9-12 TOTAL Historic 2012 3399 1808 2475 7682 2013 3508 1866 2485 7859 2014 3659 1874 2520 8053 2015 3830 1843 2668 8341 2016 3779 1933 2670 8382 2017 3839 2061 2690 8590 HIGH 5 Yr Projection Projected 2018 3861 2191 2759 8810 2019 3954 2219 2875 9047 LOW 2020 3986 2281 2994 9261 2021 3974 2333 3165 9472 2022 3981 2352 3260 9594 Extended 2023 3970 2331 3320 9621 2024 3982 2269 3400 9650 2025 3949 2306 3388 9644 2026 3881 2362 3427 9670 2027 3876 2378 3378 9632 4500 4000 Comparative Enrollments by Grade Level Organization 3981 3500 3000 2500 2000 3260 2352 PK-Gr 5 Gr 6-8 Gr 9-12 1500 1000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 15

Belmont Hills ES Enrollment by Year 700 600 500 485 511 522 400 300 Historic Projected Extended 200 100 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Belmont Hills Elementary School 4 Students from new housing K-5 Standard Delta K 1 2 3 4 5 TOTAL Average Change Method Historic 2012 52 64 87 83 79 87 452 452 2013 63 81 74 92 79 80 469 469 2014 54 89 82 71 94 78 468 468 2015 55 92 92 80 74 98 491 479 491 2016 64 78 93 90 83 77 485 485 2017 51 98 87 94 89 92 511 59 13.1% 511 Projected 2018 55 78 105 87 95 93 513 512 1 2019 60 84 84 105 88 99 520 512 8 2020 56 91 90 83 106 91 517 516 506 11 2021 57 85 97 90 84 110 522 514 8 2022 57 86 90 97 90 87 508-3 -0.6% 500 8 Extended 2023 57 86 92 90 98 94 517 507 9 2024 57 86 92 92 91 102 519 509 10 2025 57 86 92 92 92 94 513 516 513 0 2026 57 86 92 92 92 96 515 512 3 2027 57 86 92 92 92 96 515 7 1.3% 504 10 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 16

Cynwyd ES Enrollment by Year 700 600 500 559 567 400 300 Historic Projected Extended 200 100 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Cynwyd Elementary School 75 Students from new housing K-5 K 1 2 3 4 5 TOTAL Average Change Historic 2012 66 98 86 93 85 88 516 2013 56 92 96 85 93 86 508 2014 71 86 102 104 85 95 543 2015 60 107 88 107 109 88 559 537 2016 39 92 108 87 113 108 547 2017 50 83 90 118 88 119 548 32 6.2% Projected 2018 57 81 85 94 121 90 529 2019 53 99 90 96 103 131 573 2020 63 88 103 96 100 108 558 560 2021 58 104 93 110 101 105 571 2022 55 94 106 96 113 103 567 19 3.7% Extended 2023 55 89 95 111 99 115 564 2024 55 89 91 99 113 101 548 2025 55 89 91 94 102 116 546 542 2026 55 89 91 94 97 104 529 2027 55 89 91 94 97 99 524-43 -7.6% Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 17

Gladwyne ES Enrollment by Year 900 800 700 741 767 600 500 Historic Projected Extended 400 300 200 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Gladwyne Elementary School 0 Students from new housing K-5 Standard Delta PKSE K 1 2 3 4 5 TOTAL Average Change Method Historic 2012 0 66 131 120 129 120 109 675 675 2013 0 71 110 132 128 140 120 701 701 2014 0 90 103 112 145 137 151 738 738 2015 0 86 129 117 121 142 146 741 720 741 2016 0 82 130 137 118 116 148 731 731 2017 0 83 124 140 143 116 127 733 58 8.6% 733 Projected 2018 0 77 126 131 148 145 123 750 749 1 2019 0 74 116 133 139 151 153 767 766 1 2020 0 84 113 123 141 141 159 762 754 756 6 2021 0 78 128 120 131 143 149 749 747 2 2022 0 78 119 136 127 133 151 743 10 1.4% 743 1 Extended 2023 0 78 119 126 144 129 140 735 734 1 2024 0 78 119 126 133 146 136 738 739-1 2025 0 78 119 126 133 135 154 746 738 746 0 2026 0 78 119 126 133 135 143 735 745-10 2027 0 78 119 126 133 135 143 735-8 -1.1% 733 2 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 18

700 600 614 Merion ES Enrollment by Year 682 500 400 300 Historic Projected Extended 200 100 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Merion Elementary School 1 Students from new housing K-5 Standard Delta PKSE K 1 2 3 4 5 TOTAL Average Change Method Historic 2012 0 82 97 107 81 89 93 549 549 2013 0 73 100 102 105 80 89 549 549 2014 0 75 94 103 114 102 80 568 568 2015 0 77 105 97 109 118 108 614 582 614 2016 0 65 107 105 106 111 117 611 611 2017 0 77 82 111 105 108 120 603 54 9.8% 603 Projected 2018 0 77 101 84 117 106 111 596 590 47 2019 0 104 101 104 89 118 108 624 583 42 2020 0 90 136 104 109 89 121 650 641 582 68 2021 0 82 117 140 109 110 92 652 575 77 2022 0 82 108 121 147 110 113 682 79 13.3% 591 91 Extended 2023 0 82 108 111 127 148 113 690 585 105 2024 0 82 108 111 117 128 152 699 589 110 2025 0 79 108 111 117 118 131 664 669 594 70 2026 0 79 104 111 117 118 121 649 593 56 2027 0 79 104 107 117 118 121 645-38 -5.4% 584 61 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 19

Penn Valley ES Enrollment by Year 800 700 705 700 600 500 400 Historic Projected Extended 300 200 100 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Penn Valley Elementary School 23 Students from new housing Standard PKSE K 1 2 3 4 5 TOTAL Average Change Method Historic 2012 0 85 107 108 89 111 114 614 614 2013 0 91 125 97 113 95 115 636 636 2014 0 63 133 131 112 125 96 660 660 2015 0 80 101 140 133 122 129 705 661 705 2016 0 55 115 108 138 132 119 667 667 2017 0 76 108 126 104 138 129 681 67 10.9% 681 Projected 2018 0 64 125 116 135 114 139 693 704 79 2019 0 66 102 129 120 142 114 674 695-21 2020 0 89 106 106 134 126 143 703 694 713-10 2021 0 72 141 109 110 141 127 699 709-10 2022 0 72 114 145 113 115 142 700 19 2.8% 717-16 Extended 2023 0 72 114 118 150 119 116 688 706-19 2024 0 72 114 118 121 158 119 702 703-1 2025 0 72 114 118 121 128 159 711 692 710 1 2026 0 72 114 118 121 128 128 680 707-27 2027 0 72 114 118 121 128 128 680-20 -2.9% 697-16 Delta BBS54:CJ101 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 20

Penn Wynne ES Enrollment by Year 900 800 700 763 807 600 500 Historic Projected Extended 400 300 200 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Penn Wynne Elementary School 17 Students from new housing K-5 Standard Delta PKS K 1 2 3 4 5TOTAL Average Change Method Historic 2012 0 87 105 106 97 96 102 593 593 2013 0 95 122 115 117 98 98 645 645 2014 0 101 116 128 114 117 106 682 682 2015 0 107 138 113 128 116 118 720 690 720 2016 0 97 139 136 120 125 121 738 738 2017 0 100 127 139 140 128 129 763 170 28.7% 763 Projected 2018 0 98 132 130 145 143 133 781 777 4 2019 0 104 131 137 137 149 150 808 786 22 2020 0 102 137 134 143 139 155 810 802 781 29 2021 0 100 135 140 139 145 145 804 777 26 2022 0 100 132 138 145 141 150 807 44 5.6% 777 30 Extended 2023 0 100 132 135 143 148 146 804 769 35 2024 0 100 132 135 140 145 153 805 771 34 2025 0 100 132 135 140 142 150 800 801 777 23 2026 0 100 132 135 140 142 147 797 775 22 2027 0 100 132 135 140 142 147 797-10 -1.2% 763 34 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 21

Bala Cynwyd MS Enrollment by Year 1300 1200 1193 1100 1000 900 800 1012 Historic Projected Extended 700 600 500 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Bala-Cynwyd Middle School 47 Students from new housing 6-8 Standard Delta 5 6 7 8 UG TOTAL Average Change Method Historic 2012 283 318 292 283 0 893 893 2013 273 290 332 300 0 922 922 2014 281 280 299 322 0 901 901 2015 314 288 280 298 0 866 918 866 2016 346 339 298 278 0 915 915 2017 368 353 354 305 0 1,012 119 13.3% 1,012 Projected 2018 335 382 365 356 0 1,103 1,112-10 2019 389 356 403 375 0 1,134 1,131 3 2020 383 405 369 406 0 1,181 1,159 1,178 3 2021 341 399 421 373 0 1,193 1,189 3 2022 366 353 412 422 0 1,186 174 15.8% 1,183 3 Extended 2023 375 379 364 412 0 1,156 1,153 3 2024 406 388 391 365 0 1,144 1,123 21 2025 397 420 400 392 0 1,212 1,200 1,130 82 2026 372 411 433 401 0 1,245 1,125 120 2027 367 385 424 434 0 1,243 56 4.9% 1,152 91 Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 22

Welsh Valley MS Enrollment by Year 1200 1172 1100 1049 1000 900 800 Historic Projected Extended 700 600 500 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Welsh Valley Middle School 16 Students from new housing 5 6 7 8 6-8 SE TOTAL Average Change Historic 2012 310 312 301 302 0 915 2013 315 313 330 301 0 944 2014 325 330 305 338 0 973 2015 373 332 331 314 0 977 979 2016 344 354 328 336 0 1,018 2017 348 350 364 335 0 1,049 134 14.6% Projected 2018 354 356 358 375 0 1,090 2019 367 358 360 365 0 1,083 2020 393 370 362 367 0 1,099 1,116 2021 386 397 374 368 0 1,139 2022 380 390 401 381 0 1,172 123 11.2% Extended 2023 350 384 394 408 0 1,185 2024 357 353 388 401 0 1,141 2025 407 360 357 395 0 1,111 1,146 2026 367 411 364 363 0 1,138 2027 367 371 415 370 0 1,156-15 -1.3% Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 23

Harriton High School Enrollment by Year 1600 1500 1468 1400 1300 1200 1225 1256 Historic Projected Extended 1100 1000 900 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Harriton High School 21 Students from new housing 9 10 11 12 9-12 SE TOTAL Average Change Historic 2012 299 282 296 311 0 1188 2013 294 308 289 294 0 1185 2014 295 283 300 292 0 1170 2015 341 287 289 308 0 1225 1201 2016 294 350 287 299 0 1230 2017 277 304 338 288 0 1207 19 1.6% Projected 2018 317 283 308 347 0 1256 2019 359 319 283 313 0 1274 2020 361 361 319 287 0 1327 1349 2021 376 363 360 323 0 1422 2022 363 378 362 365 0 1468 261 20.8% Extended 2023 391 365 377 367 0 1500 2024 399 393 364 382 0 1538 2025 372 401 392 369 0 1534 1531 2026 380 374 400 397 0 1552 2027 369 382 373 406 0 1530 62 4.1% Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 24

Lower Merion HS Enrollment by Year 2000 1800 1793 1600 1400 1483 Historic Projected Extended 1200 1000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Lower Merion High School 62 Students from new housing 9 10 11 12 9-12 SE TOTAL Average Change Historic 2012 357 297 305 328 0 1287 2013 320 369 298 313 0 1300 2014 347 327 371 305 0 1350 2015 370 361 339 373 0 1443 1384 2016 367 375 358 340 0 1440 2017 370 373 369 371 0 1483 196 15.2% Projected 2018 371 380 376 377 0 1503 2019 431 389 391 392 0 1604 2020 430 445 393 401 0 1669 1663 2021 448 443 449 404 0 1745 2022 430 460 445 458 0 1793 310 20.6% Extended 2023 463 441 462 454 0 1819 2024 473 474 443 470 0 1860 2025 441 484 476 451 0 1853 1851 2026 450 452 487 485 0 1874 2027 436 462 454 496 0 1848 54 3.0% Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 25

Standard Cohort-Survival Enrollment Projection Worksheet DISTRICT NAME: COUNTY: Montgomery DATA ISSUES: Enrollments are from the 10th Day reports. "s" = survival rate Births 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th K-5 K-5 PK PK PK PK-5 6th 7th 8th 6-8 6-8 9th 10th 11th 12th 9 12 9-12 PK K-12 K-12 PK-12 School 5 Sch Yrs. K Gr. Gr. Gr. Gr. Gr. Subt. EUG Total SCSE 3 yrs. 4yrs. Total Gr. Gr. Gr. Subt. MUG Total Gr. Gr. Gr. Gr. Subt. SUG Total Subt. Subt. Total Total Year Ago "s" "s" "s" "s" "s" "s" (excl. PK) "s" "s" "s" "s" "s" "s" "s" excl. SCSE w/ SCSE HISTORIC DATA 2012-13 566 0.774 438 602 614 572 580 593 3408 0 3408 0 0 0 3408 630 593 585 1808 0 1808 656 579 601 639 2475 0 2475 0 7691 7691 7691 1.438 1.023 1.042 1.023 1.014 1.017 1.051 1.013 1.050 1.032 1.014 1.010 2013-14 573 0.784 449 630 616 640 585 588 3508 0 3508 0 0 0 3508 603 662 601 1866 0 1866 614 677 587 607 2485 0 2485 0 7859 7859 7859 1.383 1.044 1.071 1.031 1.036 1.037 1.002 0.997 1.068 0.993 0.991 1.017 2014-15 560 0.811 454 621 658 660 660 606 3659 0 3659 0 0 0 3659 610 604 660 1874 0 1874 642 610 671 597 2520 0 2520 0 8053 8053 8053 1.480 1.042 1.030 1.032 1.041 1.023 1.002 1.013 1.077 1.009 1.030 1.015 2015-16 543 0.856 465 672 647 678 681 687 3830 0 3830 0 0 0 3830 620 611 612 1843 0 1843 711 648 628 681 2668 0 2668 0 8341 8341 8341 1.422 1.022 1.019 1.003 1.013 1.009 1.010 1.005 1.080 1.020 0.995 1.018 2016-17 569 0.707 402 661 687 659 680 690 3779 0 3779 0 0 0 3779 693 626 614 1933 0 1933 661 725 645 639 2670 0 2670 0 8382 8382 8382 1.547 1.048 1.025 1.012 1.053 1.019 1.036 1.022 1.054 1.024 0.975 1.022 2017-18 536 0.815 437 622 693 704 667 716 3839 0 3839 0 0 0 3839 703 718 640 2061 0 2061 647 677 707 659 2690 0 2690 0 8590 8590 8590 6 Yr Average 0.791 % Pop % 1Yr 3&4YO % 1Yr 4YO % Pop % Pop Survival Rate 0.791 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 5 Yr 0.00% 0% 0% 1.021 1.020 1.010 5 Yr 0.00% 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 5 Yr 0.00% Change # Students 431 431 431 253 253 215 215 899 Change % Students 13% 13% 13% 14% 14% 9% 9% 12% 5-YR PROJECTIONS 2018-19 532 0.791 421 635 644 719 718 688 3826 0 3826 0 0 0 3826 731 717 725 2173 0 2173 682 657 678 718 2735 0 2735 0 8735 8735 8735 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 2019-20 569 0.791 450 612 658 669 733 741 3863 0 3863 0 0 0 3863 702 746 724 2172 0 2172 773 693 658 689 2812 0 2812 0 8848 8848 8848 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 2020-21 606 0.791 479 654 634 683 682 756 3889 0 3889 0 0 0 3889 756 716 753 2226 0 2226 772 785 694 669 2919 0 2919 0 9035 9035 9035 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 2021-22 559 0.791 442 697 678 658 697 703 3876 0 3876 0 0 0 3876 772 771 724 2267 0 2267 803 784 786 705 3078 0 3078 0 9221 9221 9221 6 Yr Avg 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 2022-23 559 0.791 442 643 722 704 671 719 3901 0 3901 0 0 0 3901 718 788 779 2285 0 2285 771 815 785 799 3170 0 3170 0 9357 9357 9357 Change # Students 62 62 62 224 224 480 480 767 Change % Students 2% 2% 2% 11% 11% 18% 18% 8.9% KEY to Number Colors The above information is prepared and certified by a qualified demographer. 99 Standard number with no modifications to methodology 99 Provisional, but uncertified births from the PA Department of Health Firm Name: Sundance Associates 117 Greenvale Ct. Cherry Hill NJ 08034 99 Births projected as an average of the prior 6 years, including provisional data and projected students resulting from this "less accurate" average Name: George B. Sundell Tel 856-755-0174 Email: GSundell@sundanceassoc.com 99 Students per Grade Level added for residential development Signature: Date: November 1, 2017 6-10 YR PROJECTIONS NOT CONSIDERED RELIABLE 1.016 1.001 1.016 2023-24 559 0.791 442 643 666 749 718 692 3911 0 3911 0 0 0 3911 734 733 796 2262 0 2262 830 783 816 798 3228 0 3228 0 9401 9401 9401 6 Yr Avg 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 2024-25 559 0.791 442 643 666 691 764 740 3948 0 3948 0 0 0 3948 707 748 740 2195 0 2195 848 844 784 829 3305 0 3305 0 9448 9448 9448 Continued 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 2025-26 559 0.791 442 643 666 691 705 788 3937 0 3937 0 0 0 3937 756 721 756 2232 0 2232 789 862 844 797 3292 0 3292 0 9461 9461 9461 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 2026-27 559 0.791 442 643 666 691 705 727 3876 0 3876 0 0 0 3876 805 771 728 2304 0 2304 806 801 862 858 3327 0 3327 0 9507 9507 9507 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 2027-28 559 0.791 442 643 666 691 705 727 3876 0 3876 0 0 0 3876 743 821 779 2342 0 2342 776 818 802 876 3273 0 3273 0 9491 9491 9491 Change # Students -25-25 -25 57 57 102 102 135 Change % Students -1% -1% -1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 26

Adjusted for Impact of New Housing Cohort-Survival Enrollment Projection Worksheet - District DISTRICT NAME: COUNTY: Montgomery FALL REPORT AND Enrollments are from the 10th Day reports. "s" = survival rate Births 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th K-5 K-5 PK PK PK PK-5 6th 7th 8th 6-8 6-8 9th 10th 11th 12th 9 12 9-12 PK K-12 K-12 PK-12 School 5 Yrs. K Gr. Gr. Gr. Gr. Gr. Subt. SCSE Total SCSE 3 yrs. 4yrs. Total Gr. Gr. Gr. Subt. SCSE Total Gr. Gr. Gr. Gr. Subt. SCSE Total Subt. Subt. Total Total Year Ago "s" "s" "s" "s" "s" "s" (excl. PK) "s" "s" "s" "s" "s" "s" "s" excl. SCSE w/ SCSE V to 2 decimal places 5-YR PROJECTIONS PLUS NEW HOUSING + Resid 6 5.79 6 6 6 6 35 0 6 6 6 17 0 6 6 6 6 23 0 75 75 2018-19 532 0.791 427 641 650 725 724 694 3861 0 3861 0 0 0 3861 737 723 731 2191 0 2191 688 663 683 724 2759 0 2759 0 8810 8810 8810 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 + Resid 10 9.68 10 10 10 10 58 0 10 10 10 29 0 10 10 10 10 39 0 201 126 2019-20 569 0.791 460 630 674 684 749 756 3954 0 3954 0 0 0 3954 718 761 740 2219 0 2219 789 708 673 704 2875 0 2875 0 9047 9047 9047 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 + Resid 3 2.60 3 3 3 3 16 0 3 3 3 8 0 3 3 3 3 10 0 235 34 2020-21 606 0.791 482 671 655 702 701 775 3986 0 3986 0 0 0 3986 775 735 772 2281 0 2281 791 804 712 687 2994 0 2994 0 9261 9261 9261 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 + Resid 3 2.85 3 3 3 3 17 0 3 3 3 9 0 3 3 3 3 11 0 272 37 2021-22 559 0.791 445 704 698 683 719 725 3974 0 3974 0 0 0 3974 794 793 745 2333 0 2333 825 806 808 726 3165 0 3165 0 9472 9472 9472 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 + Resid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 272 0 2022-23 559 0.791 442 647 729 724 697 741 3981 0 3981 0 0 0 3981 741 810 801 2352 0 2352 794 838 807 821 3260 0 3260 0 9594 9594 9594 125 63 84 272 Change # Students 142 142 142 291 291 570 570 1,004 Change % Students 4% 4% 4% 14% 14% 21% 21% 12% New Children 6-10-YR PROJECTIONS PLUS NEW HOUSING NOT CONSIDERED RELIABLE Cum Yr Add + Resid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2023-24 559 0.791 442 643 671 756 739 718 3970 0 3970 0 0 0 3970 757 756 818 2331 0 2331 854 807 839 820 3320 0 3320 0 9621 9621 9621 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 + Resid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2024-25 559 0.791 442 643 666 696 772 762 3982 0 3982 0 0 0 3982 733 772 763 2269 0 2269 872 867 808 853 3400 0 3400 0 9650 9650 9650 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 + Resid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2025-26 559 0.791 442 643 666 691 710 796 3949 0 3949 0 0 0 3949 778 748 780 2306 0 2306 813 886 868 821 3388 0 3388 0 9644 9644 9644 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 + Resid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2026-27 559 0.791 442 643 666 691 705 732 3881 0 3881 0 0 0 3881 813 794 756 2362 0 2362 831 826 887 882 3427 0 3427 0 9670 9670 9670 1.454 1.036 1.037 1.020 1.031 1.021 1.020 1.010 1.066 1.016 1.001 1.016 + Resid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2027-28 559 0.791 442 643 666 691 705 727 3876 0 3876 0 0 0 3876 748 829 802 2378 0 2378 805 844 827 901 3378 0 3378 0 9632 9632 9632 New Children Cum Yr Add Change # Students -77-105 -105 26 26 118 118 39 Change % Students -3% -3% -3% 1% 1% 4% 4% 0% Fall 2017 Updated Enrollment Study 27