The Iceland Sea: Ecosystem structures and capelin distribution patterns

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The Iceland Sea: Ecosystem structures and capelin distribution patterns Ólafur K. Pálsson, Ástþór Gíslason, Björn Gunnarsson, Hafsteinn Guðfinnsson, Héðinn Valdimarsson, Hildur Pétursdóttir, Konráð Þórisson, Sólveig Ólafsdóttir, Sveinn Sveinbjörnsson, Birkir Bárðarson Hafrannsóknastofnunin, Marine Research Institute

The Iceland Sea and adjacent waters Iceland Sea Greenland Sea Norwegian Sea The Iceland Sea is small and shallow in comparison to adjacent waters. Main currents: East Greenland Current, Arctic Warm inflow from south west and east Return Atlantic water from north, at 100-300m K.Mork etal 07

Outline Data Ecosystem structures Capelin life history patterns Conclusions

Main ecosystem data The Iceland Sea Ecosystem Project 2006-2008. 10 surveys 845 stations 558 CTD stations 1680 nutrient samples 745 carbon samples 4705 phytoplankton samples 1580 zooplankton samples 855 trophic samples (stable isotops, fatty acids) 318 capelin larval samples 96 pelagic trawl stations for pelagic fish ~10 000 nautical miles of echo abundance transects for capelin

70 February - 11 stations Surveys and stations 2007 April - 68 stations Jan Mayen Jan Mayen Austur Grænland Austur Grænland 70 Umhverfisstöð Tucker-stöð Latitude (N) 68 Latitude (N) 68 66 66 2000 1000 500 200 Ísland Ísland 64 64 28 24 20 16 12 8 Longitude (W) 32 28 24 20 16 12 Longitude (W) August - 176 stations 70 Environmental station Trawl station Latitude (N) 68 66 64 32 28 24 20 16 12 Longitude (W)

Ecosystem structures Hydrographic trends Biological structure Spatial structure Seasonality Trophic structure Biomass

Salinity profiles in the western Iceland Sea Showing Return Atlantic Water (RAW) 1985-1995 July/ August NISE data Higher salinity in recent years, associated with warmer water masses at depths of 100-300m. 2006-2008 July/ August Those depths are capelin habitat.

Vertical (0-600m) section at 69 N, August [ C] 1 <0 1988 1.5 1991 2 2006 1.5 2007 2 2008

Hydrographic trends in adjacent waters Látrabjarg 1973-2010. Mean T in upper layers Greenland Sea (75 N) salinity 8 8 7 7 Temperature C 6 5 6 5 4 4 3 Mean temp 100 m layer above bottom Lb4 (80-180m) 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year 3 Increasing T since mid 1990s affecting hydrographic conditions north and north west of Iceland (A.Beszczynska-Möller, AWI Bremerhafen)

Biological structure Species and biodiversity Number (c l -1 ) Phytoplankton 69 N, cells/liter at 10m 900000 Flagellates 800000 Dinoflagellates 700000 Diatoms 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 April May July Time of year Zooplankton diversity (Shannon-Wiener) 72 Number of species 25 20 15 10 5 0 Zooplankton species (81) occurrence in samples (249) Copepods 0 50 150 200 250 Number of observations 71 70 69 68 67 66 65 26 22 18 14 10 6

Spatial structure (summer) Water masses, T C, 50m Nitrate 0-30m, 2006 Polar water <0 Atlantic Water >5 Arctic Water 1-2 Chlorophyll a 0-30m, 2006 Mesozooplankton 0-50m, 2006 Chl.a mg m -2

Zooplankton and capelin distributions 2006 Capelin age 1+, acoustic abundance Mesozooplankton 0-50m, 2006 66 N 30 W

Seasonal structure Nitrate, 69 North Primary production, 69 North Nitrate 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Jan. Feb.March April May June July Aug. Carbon (g/m2/d) 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 Jan. Feb.March April May June July Aug. Mesozooplankton, 68-69 North Mesozoopl. (numbers x 1000/m2) 0 100 200 300 400 Spring bloom in late May Zooplankton high in July August Increase already in June, most likely Feb. April May July Aug. Nov.

Nitrate source Trophic levels 13 12 4 Nitrate stable isotops used to calculate tropic level 11 δ 15 N ( ) 10 9 8 7 3 Trophic level POM Lowest level: Particulate Organic Matter 6 5 POM 2 4-26 -25-24 -23-22 -21-20 -19-18 δ 13 C ( ) Carbon source

Nitrate source 13 4 12 11 δ 15 N ( ) 10 9 8 7 Pg Cf Ch Ml Calanus finmarchicus 3 Trophic level POM Copepods 6 5 POM Ch_May Level 2: Calanus hyperboreus, in May 4-26 -25-24 -23-22 -21-20 -19-18 δ 13 C ( ) Carbon source 2

Nitrate source 13 4 12 11 δ 15 N ( ) 10 9 8 7 Pg Cf Ch Ml Eh Eukronhia hamata 3 Trophic level POM Copepods Chaetognaths 6 5 POM Ch_May 2 4-26 -25-24 -23-22 -21-20 -19-18 δ 13 C ( ) Carbon source

Nitrate source 13 4 12 11 δ 15 N ( ) 10 9 8 7 Pg Tli Cf Ch Ml Gw Ta Eh Themisto libellula & T. abyssorum 3 Trophic level POM Copepods Chaetognaths Amphipods 6 5 POM Ch_May 2 4-26 -25-24 -23-22 -21-20 -19-18 δ 13 C ( ) Carbon source

Nitrate source 13 4 12 11 δ 15 N ( ) 10 9 8 7 6 5 POM Cf Ml Pg Tli Ch Gw Tlo Ch_May Thysanoessa longicaudata Ta Eh Ti Thysanoessa inermis Mn Meganyctiphanes norvegia 3 2 Trophic level POM Copepods Chaetognaths Amphipods Euphausiids 4-26 -25-24 -23-22 -21-20 -19-18 δ 13 C ( ) Carbon source

Nitrate source 13 4 12 11 Capelin, Cod, Sandeel δ 15 N ( ) 10 9 8 7 Pg Tli Cf Ch Ml Tlo Gw Ta Eh Ti Ma Mn Gm Am Mv_juv 3 Trophic level POM Copepods Chaetognaths Amphipods Euphausiids Fish larvae and juvenile 6 5 POM Ch_May 2 4-26 -25-24 -23-22 -21-20 -19-18 δ 13 C ( ) Carbon source

Nitrate source 13 4 12 11 Capelin, Blue whiting Mv_16 Mp Mv_10 δ 15 N ( ) 10 9 8 7 Pg Tli Cf Ch Ml Tlo Gw Ta Eh Ti Ma Mn Gm Am Mv_juv 3 Trophic level POM Copepods Chaetognaths Amphipods Euphausiids Fish larvae and juvenile 6 5 POM Ch_May 2 Fish adult 4-26 -25-24 -23-22 -21-20 -19-18 δ 13 C ( ) Carbon source

Mean annual biomass 2006-2008 Wet weight (million tons) Million tons 0 5 10 15 20 3.8 18 Macrozooplankton Mesozooplankton 0.140 Relatively on par with results from the Norwegian Sea. Phytoplankton Zooplankton Capelin

Capelin life history patterns Adult capelin feeding migration 1993 Long-term changes in migration extent

Using log-book data to track feeding migration of capelin in the Iceland Sea during summer and autumn of 1993

The summer - autumn fishery 1993 Log-book data of purse seine fishing June December. 420 thousand tons in 3600 shots. Average catch per shot = 115 tons (range 0-800) Spatial distribution of catches and center of gravity of the distribution are calculated for every three days of the fishing season. It can be assumed that the fishers aim to locate capelin shoals of highest density and at shortest possible distance from landing sites. Therefore, distribution of fishing can be assumed to indicate approximate timing and location of the center of the capelin feeding migration.

Begin of northward migration 1 July Scale: Tons/shot in purse seine Center of gravity of catch distribution over 3 days Capelin distribution

End of northward migration 18 August

Northward migration End: 18 August Path of the migration: Start: over the Kolbeinsey ridge. End: midway between the ridge and the East Greenland shelf. Direction: High north Start: 1 July

Begin of intensive feeding 19 August

End of intensive feeding 14 Sep.

Intensive feeding phase Start: ~19 August End: ~14 September Location: Between ~69,5-72 N Moving east, closer to the Kolbeinsey ridge, than the northward migration

Begin of southward migration 15 Sept.

End of southward migration 5 Oct.

Southward migration Start: ~15 September Path of the migration: West of the Kolbeinsey ridge. South west direction End: ~5 October +

Begin of pre-spawning phasem 6 Oct.

Pre-spawning phase Late autumn early winter. Traditional period and area of acoustic surveying and stock assessment.

Overall distribution and migration path North migration ~7 weeks Intensive feeding, ~4 weeks Return migration ~4 weeks Pre-spawning phase ~8 weeks +

Long-term changes in feeding migration extent 1978-2010

Summer feeding migrations 1978-2010 Max. northward extent from 67 N 71 N? Ice free 1988-1989 cold years Late 1978 late 1990s normal migration pattern Survey and catch data Catch data Survey data During late 1990s into mid 2000s, declining extent to north and east Max. eastward extent from 25 W => Warming?? 15 W Since 2007 no ice in late summer and in autumn. => Increased north extent but further west than in previous decades

Current capelin (I+) distributions September/October 2010 Age 1+ Juveniles and adults Age 2+ Adults mostly (pre-spawners) Juveniles and adults Age 1+ Age 1 Juveniles mostly

Conclusions Ecosystem structure 1) There are indications direct and indirect - of a slight warming in the Iceland Sea in recent years. 2) Long-term changes on the primary and secondary ecosystem levels cannot be evaluated because of lack of data. 3) The overall structure of the ecosystem, however, seems healthy, except perhaps for the reduced level of the capelin stock. 4) The traditional ecological function of the Iceland Sea and adjacent waters, as a nursery area and feeding ground for capelin, seems to have changed dramatically in recent years.

Conclusions Capelin distributions 1) Traditional feeding migrations of adult capelin into the northern Iceland Sea have not been as extensive since the mid 1990s as observed before. 2) Even more noticeable is the much shortened eastward extension of the feeding migration. 3) New nursery grounds of juvenile capelin and new and more restricted feeding grounds for adult capelin, in East Greenland waters have been recorded. 4) Reduced capelin recruitment and stock size in recent years may be a consequence of those changes. 5) This may be associated with increased/changed inflow of warmer waters and reduced ice cover. 6) So far, however, we have not been able to verify such hypotheses.