www.ncsports.com NORTHCOAST SPORTS POWER PLAYS $10 2012 Northcoast Sports Service VOLUME 30 ISSUE 16/17 December 15, 2012-January 7, 2013 35 BOWL WRITE-UPS THRU JANUARY 7 th!! FINAL PASS EFF DEF & COLLEGE STATS DOUBLE BOWL ISSUE COLL 4 s & HIGHER: 133-69 66% ON BASIS L6Y! Who Faced the Toughest Schedule in 2012? What makes our Toughest Opponents Faced rankings far superior to the NCAA method is that ours takes into account 9 sets of power ratings, combines them and factors in every team s schedule this year. We did this not only for the bowl teams, but for all the NCAA teams & found out which teams played the toughest schedules this year. Arizona St ranked #91 in the NCAA rankings with an opp W/L % of 49.2% playing 6 gms vs teams with winning records but played our #42 toughest schedule including games against then #3 Oregon, #11 Oregon St, #19 USC & #24 Arizona. Per the NCAA, Cincinnati faced the #46 toughest schedule with an opp W/L % of 56.1% facing 6 teams with winning records but 2 of those 6 were FCS opp (Fordham & Delaware St) as they took on our #83 schedule. Baylor had the toughest slate among bowl teams (fi nished 7-5) while Northern Illinois had the easiest (fi nished 12-1). The 2012 bowl teams are in boldface. 1 Kansas 23 Kansas St 45 Georgia Tech 67 Clemson 89 UNLV 2 Missouri 24 Washington St 46 Michigan 68 Florida St 90 Rutgers 3 Baylor 25 USF 47 Virginia Tech 69 Wyoming 91 Hawaii 4 Florida 26 Miami, Fl 48 Idaho 70 North Texas 92 Connecticut 5 California 27 LSU 49 Arizona St 71 Buffalo 93 Louisville 6 Mississippi 28 Texas 50 Wisconsin 72 Army 94 Akron 7 Kentucky 29 Tennessee 51 Iowa 73 Colorado St 95 New Mexico St 8 Stanford 30 Boston College 52 Eastern Michigan 74 Southern Miss 96 San Diego St 9 Iowa St 31 TCU 53 Purdue 75 UAB 97 Middle Tennessee 10 Texas A&M 32 UCLA 54 Maryland 76 Louisiana 98 WKU 11 Arizona 33 Michigan St 55 Mississippi St 77 BYU 99 East Carolina 12 Colorado 34 Wake Forest 56 Indiana 78 UTEP 100 North Carolina 13 Auburn 35 Utah 57 Temple 79 San Jose St 101 Memphis 14 Arkansas 36 Texas Tech 58 Minnesota 80 Ball St 102 Marshall 15 Notre Dame 37 Duke 59 Florida Atlantic 81 Tulane 103 Texas St 16 South Carolina 38 Georgia 60 Pittsburgh 82 SMU 104 Navy 17 Oklahoma 39 Syracuse 61 Miami, Oh 83 Cincinnati 105 UCF 18 Oklahoma St 40 Alabama 62 Northwestern 84 Fresno St 106 Tulsa 19 USC 41 Illinois 63 NC State 85 Toledo 107 Troy 20 Washington 42 Virginia 64 Penn St 86 Arkansas St 108 South Alabama 21 West Virginia 43 Oregon 65 Vanderbilt 87 Massachusetts 109 Kent St 22 Oregon St 44 Nebraska 66 Ohio St 88 FIU 110 ULM The ratings above are based on overall strength of schedule. Now take a look at the toughest schedules of opponents units faced: Rush Offenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of rushing offenses: 1.) Missouri, 2.) Penn St, 3.) Nebraska, 4.) Army, 5.) Florida, 6.) Oklahoma St, 7.) Texas, 8.) Michigan, 9.) Texas Tech, 10.) Iowa St Pass Offenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of passing offenses: 1.) Stanford, 2.) TCU, 3.) Kansas, 4.) Utah, 5.) Kansas St, 6.) Texas, 7.) Baylor, 8.) Auburn, 9.) Oklahoma St, 10.) Oregon Rush Defenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of rush defenses: 1.) Oregon St, 2.) California, 3.) Arkansas, 4.) Nebraska, 5.) Notre Dame, 6.) Baylor, 7.) USC, 8.) Texas A&M, 9.) Missouri, 10.) Arizona 1 Pass Defenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of pass defenses: 1.) Missouri, 2.) Florida, 3.) Ole Miss, 4.) Kentucky, 5.) Arkansas, 6.) Tennessee, 0 0 1 0 7.) S Carolina, 8.) Maryland, 9.) UTEP, 10.) Auburn Total Offenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of total offenses: 1.) Kansas, 2.) Stanford, 3.) Oklahoma St, 4.) TCU, 5.) Texas, 6.) Iowa St, 7.) Missouri, 8.) Baylor, 9.) Auburn, 10.) California Total Defenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of total defenses: 1.) Missouri, 2.) Florida, 3.) Ole Miss, 4.) Kentucky, 5.) Arkansas, 6.) Tennessee, 7.) S Carolina, 8.) Maryland, 9.) UTEP, 10.) Auburn 111 Western Michigan 112 Utah St 113 Boise St 114 New Mexico 115 Houston 116 Rice 117 Louisiana Tech 118 Central Michigan 119 Air Force 120 Nevada 121 Bowling Green 122 UTSA 123 Ohio 124 Northern Illinois SPECIAL OFFER: We know that many of our Power Plays subscribers are self-handicappers and we want you to be the most informed player on the block! To help you along we are offering the Double Bowl Issue of Power Sweep for just $15 (add $6 for priority shipping) to all 2012/2013 Plays subs. What the difference between the two? The Double Bowl Issue of Power Sweep is 32 action-packed pages with half-page writeups on all 35 bowls. While you ll see the same checklist in both, Power Sweep expands the writeups to include emotion, bowl experience, talent matchups, momentum, special teams, coaching, etc. While we use the Power Plays numbers to analyze our Power Sweep forecasts and will never change a side, the ratings may vary from newsletter to newsletter as each uses different factors to handicap (PP is purely statistical). We want you to have both issues in your hands! Call us today 1-800-654-3448!
NEW MEXICO BOWL Saturday, December 15th 1:00 pm ESPN University Stadium NEVADA (7-5) Albuquerque, NM ARIZONA (7-5) NEVADA ARIZONA 259 305 290 292 39 46-3 -2 96.0 107.5 Nevada and Arizona are expected to get the bowl season started with plenty of fi reworks here as the 2 are projected with 85 pts and 1,100+ ttl yds. The Wolf Pack are getting 9 pts here, played in Albuquerque a few wks back and have a HOF HC to keep this one within the spread. 4 OVER 3 NEVADA 39 (+) ARIZONA 46 IDAHO POTATO BOWL Saturday, December 15th 4:30 pm ESPN Bronco Stadium TOLEDO (9-3) Boise, ID UTAH ST (10-2) TOLEDO 134 213 21 +7 96.1 UTAH ST 183 311 35-2 94.7 PP has Utah St taking home a 2 td victory here but we disagree as Toledo has played the tougher schedule and hasn t lost by more than 7 this season (10 pt dog here). The Aggies on the other hand have played in a clearly less-competitive conf and could struggle to cover here. NO PLAY: UTAH ST 35 TOLEDO 21 POINSETTIA BOWL Thursday, December 20th 8:00 pm ESPN Qualcomm Stadium BYU (7-5) San Diego, CA SAN DIEGO ST (9-3) BYU 127 258 25-5 99.9 SAN DIEGO ST 152 143 21 +3 97.5 While the Aztecs have a 9-3 record, PP realizes the value in taking BYU as they are forecasted to take a 4 pt win while outgaining them 385-295 and having plenty of experience playing at Qualcomm Stadium in the past in their former MW days. 2 BYU 25 SAN DIEGO ST 21 BEEF O BRADY S BOWL Friday, December 21st 7:30 pm ESPN Tropicana Field BALL ST (9-3) St Petersburg, FL UCF (9-4) BALL ST 185 211 24-2 98.6 UCF 226 250 37 +11 99.9 UCF is looking to make a statement here after an OT loss to Tulsa in the CUSA Champ that kept them out of a trip to the Liberty Bowl. With the line at just 7 and UCF forecasted to take home a 13 pt win (476-396 yd edge) in their home state of FL, we ll make UCF a star rated play here. 2 UCF 37 BALL ST 24 NEW ORLEANS BOWL Saturday, December 22nd 12:00 ESPN Superdome E CAROLINA (8-4) New Orleans, LA LOUISIANA (8-4) E CAROLINA 105 290 30-1 97.6 LOUISIANA 185 281 37-1 95.0 PP projects a 7 pt win by Louisiana in their home state but we disagree and like the dog here as East Carolina is forecasted to be outgained by just 71 yds. Have to wonder what UL s mind-set will be as nearly a td favorite here. NO PLAY: LOUISIANA 37 E CAROLINA 30 LAS VEGAS BOWL Saturday, December 22nd 3:30 pm ESPN Sam Boyd Stadium WASHINGTON (7-5) Las Vegas, NV BOISE ST (10-2) WASHINGTON 117 173 16 +7 107.6 BOISE ST 155 161 18 +18 97.5 You have to wonder Boise s mind-set going to Vegas for a 3rd straight year. Despite a ssnending loss to rival WSU, UW has put together a strong fi nish and could have the momentum here as Boise is a 5 pt favorite but are expected to outgain the Huskies by just 26 yds. 4 WASHINGTON 16 (+) BOISE ST 18 HAWAII BOWL Monday, December 24th 8:00 pm ESPN Aloha Stadium SMU (6-6) Honolulu, HI FRESNO ST (9-3) SMU 100 186 24 +12 100.2 FRESNO ST 142 308 36 +18 98.3 PP has Fresno St and its high-powered offense right at the line with a 450-286 yd edge and a 12 point differential having us pass on this matchup against SMU and former Hawaii HC Jones, who is back in this bowl for a 2nd time in the L/4 ssns. NO PLAY: FRESNO ST 36 SMU 24 LITTLE CAESARS PIZZA BOWL Wednesday, December 26th 7:30 pm ESPN Ford Field C MICHIGAN (6-6) Detroit, MI WKU (7-5) C MICHIGAN 122 217 30 +2 94.2 WKU 201 201 33-2 98.2 While WKU is forecasted with a 3 pt win and a 402-339 yd edge, you have to take into effect that the Hilltoppers will be without their HC, playing in their fi rst ever bowl and CM is just happy to be bowling, especially in their own backyard of Detroit. 2 C MICHIGAN 30 (+) WKU 33 UN UA UN UA UN UA QB - 1/2 RB - WR - UN UA CHECKLIST COMMENTS LB - LB - CM WKU CM WKU CM WKU QB - - RB - - WR 1/2 - CM WKU CHECKLIST COMMENTS LB - CM avg 6-4 303, 3 Sr, 14 sks all d (3.7%), 4.8 ypc. WKU avg 6-4 304, 2 Sr, 24 sks all d (7.7%), 4.7 ypc. CM avg 6-3 275, 12 of tm s 17 sks (71%), 4.9 ypc. WKU avg 6-3 271, 23 of tm s 31 sks (74%), 3.9 ypc. Cherocci #1 tkl r w/124, 2.5 tfl, Benton #2 w/117. Jackson #1 tkl r w/116, 17.5 tfl, Boyd #3, 6.5 tfl. CM #93 pass eff D, 244 ypg (62%), 22-13 ratio. WKU #51 pass eff D, 206 ypg (59%), 21-13 ratio. CM WKU We ll give a half to Taggart as he is 24-12 ATS here while Enos is 11-25 ATS. Central was picked to be in this bowl to make sure seats are fi lled with fans from MI. Against bowl eligible tms, CM was -126 ypg and WKU was -16 ypg. On Bowl Selection Sunday both tms had to feel they were a longshot. WKU CCH - 1/2 - ST - SCH - Power Plays Subscribers Get $ 500 in Northcoast Debit Card Credit for $ 399! Load up for basketball! 2 UN avg 6-3 301, 2 Sr, 18 sk all d (4.8%), 5.2 ypc. UA avg 6-6 289, 2 Sr, 18 sk all d (3.7%), 5.4 ypc. UN avg 6-3 268, 15 of tm s 20 sks (75%), 5.1 ypc. UA avg 6-3 263, 4 of tm s 16 sks (25%), 4.4 ypc. Rosette #1 tkl r w/128, 4 tfl, Boughton #4 w/68. Fischer #1 tkl r w/106, 6.5 tfl, Flowers #2, 12 tfl. UN #96 pass eff D, 218 ypg (56%), 24-4 ratio. UA #75 pass eff D, 296 ypg (61%), 22-10 ratio. UT USU UT USU UT USU QB - 1/2 RB - 1/2 WR 1/2 - UT USU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - 1/2 UT avg 6-5 294, 1 Sr, 23 sk all d (5.7%), 4.9 ypc. USU avg 6-4 304, 0 Sr, 16 sk all d (4.1%), 5.3 ypc. UT avg 6-3 276, 9 of tm s 24 sks (38%), 4.9 ypc. DL 1/2 - LB - DB - USU avg 6-2 284, 18 of tm s 39 sks (46%), 2.9 ypc. Molls #1 tkl r w/166, 6 tfl, Bell #2 w/93, 2.5 tfl. Doughty #1 tkl r w/101, 3.5 tfl, Vigil #2 w/96, 9.5 tfl. UT #77 pass eff D, 296 ypg (61%), 26-17 ratio. USU #19 pass eff D, 213 ypg (55%), 12-12 ratio. BYU SDSt BYU SDSt BYU SDSt QB 1/2 - RB - 1/2 WR - BYU SDSt CHECKLIST COMMENTS BYU avg 6-5 306, 2 Sr, 28 sk all d (6.2%), 4.1 ypc. SDSt avg 6-5 298, 3 Sr, 30 sk all d (9.3%), 5.1 ypc. BYU avg 6-4 284, 13.5 of tm s 31 sks (44%), 2.7 ypc. SDSt avg 6-3 265, 6 of tm s 32 sks (19%), 3.7 ypc. Ogletree #1 tkl r w/92, 11.5 tfl, Hundley #5, 9 tfl. Fely #2 tkl r w/86, 11.5 tfl, Largent #5, 9.5 tfl. BYU #31 pass eff D, 182 ypg (58%), 12-9 ratio. SDSt #97 pass eff D, 235 ypg (63%), 23-11 ratio. UN UA CCH 1/2-1/2 - MTCH - - While RichRod got UA to a bowl, Ault is a HOF er and we ll give him the edge here. UA is closer, but we don t expect to see a large contingent of Wildcat fans, while UN ply d here Nov 17th. Similar in stats as the nation s top 2 RB s face off with each QB also fi nishing #2 in rushing. UN already knocked off a P12 school but UA happy to make a bowl. ST - SCH - ARIZONA by 7' s UT USU CCH - UT s Campbell cch d in LY s bowl but we prefer Andersen s experience. - Aggies will obviously have the crowd edge and will be hungry after losing here LY to a MAC tm. MTCH - - The winner can very well come down to Utah INT - St s #19 pass D vs Toledo s receivers. UT has been competitive not losing any gm by more than 7 pts. ST - SCH 1/2 - BYU SDSt CCH - While Rocky Long has plenty of experience, Mendenhall is now in his 8th straight bowl. - 1/2 SDSt rarely sells out but they wanted to be at home for this bowl and they are, so a signifi cant edge. MTCH - BYU was +30 ypg vs bowl eligible tms TY while SDSt was -77 on the season. BYU expected to top the 7 wins but they were already signed up for this bowl. ST - SCH - BSU UCF BSU UCF BSU UCF BSU UCF QB - - RB - 1/2 WR - 1/2 CCH - Lembo has brought success to BSU but this BSU UCF CHECKLIST COMMENTS is his fi rst bowl so edge to O Leary. OL 1/2 - BSU avg 6-4 303, 3 Sr, 10 sk all d (2.2%), 5.0 ypc. - Hour and a half drive for the UCF faithful while UCF avg 6-4 298, 2 Sr, 23 sk all d (6.1%), 4.8 ypc. BSU will have family and friends. UCF OL avg 4.8 and DL 4.1 while Ball St s DL - 1/2 BSU avg 6-2 274, 17 of tm s 20 sks (85%), 5.1 ypc. OL avg 5.0 and DL 5.1. UCF avg 6-3 271, 17 of tm s 23 sks (73%), 4.1 ypc. BSU excited but UCF knows they ll be staying home LB - Freeman #1 tkl r w/119, 1 tfl, Martin #2, 3 tfl. for holidays next yr. Plummer #3 tkl r w/102, 6 tfl, J Davis #4, 9 tfl. 1/2 BSU #106 pass eff D, 254 ypg (61%), 25-7 ratio. UCF #34 pass eff D, 218 ypg (60%), 14-11 ratio. ST 1/2 - SCH - 1/2 EC UL EC UL EC UL QB - RB - WR 1/2 - EC UL CHECKLIST COMMENTS LB - DB - - DB 1/2 - EC avg 6-4 312, 2 Sr, 28 sk all d (6.3%), 3.8 ypc. UL avg 6-4 308, 2 Sr, 12 sk all d (3.6%), 5.1 ypc. EC avg 6-2 310, 7 of tm s 25 sks (28%), 4.1 ypc. UL avg 6-3 286, 23.5 of tm s 26 sks (90%), 3.9 ypc. Grove #2 tkl r w/71, 4.5 tfl, Tudor #3, 2 tfl. Anderson #1 tkl r w/101, 8 tfl, Molbert #5, 2 tfl. EC #70 pass eff D, 272 ypg (58%), 27-9 ratio. UL #69 pass eff D, 285 ypg (62%), 19-12 ratio. UW BSU UW BSU UW BSU QB 1/2 - RB - - WR - UW BSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS UW avg 6-5 295, 1 Sr, 34 sk all d (8.5%), 3.8 ypc. BSU avg 6-3 293, 3 Sr, 9 sk all d (2.5%), 4.7 ypc. UW avg 6-2 265, 15 of tm s 26 sks (58%), 4.5 ypc. BSU avg 6-3 259, 26.5 of tm s 34 sks (78%), 3.6 ypc. Timu #1 tkl r w/76, 2 tfl, Feeney #3 w/67, 5 tfl. Percy #1 tkl r w/101, 3.5 tfl, Smith #3 w/55, 4 tfl. UW #11 pass eff D, 189 ypg (54%), 14-17 ratio. BSU #18 pass eff D, 163 ypg (59%), 3-16 ratio! SMU FSU SMU FSU SMU FSU QB - RB - 1/2 WR - SMU FSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - 1/2 DL 1/2 - DB - 1/2 SMU avg 6-3 296, 3 Sr, 29 sk all d (5.9%), 4.3 ypc. FSU avg 6-4 305, 2 Sr, 22 sk all d (4.6%), 4.4 ypc. SMU avg 6-5 280, 9.5 of tm s 17 sks (56%), 3.9 ypc. FSU avg 6-2 291, 13 of tm s 35 sks (37%), 4.0 ypc. Joyner #1 tkl r w/89, 3 tfl, Reed #2, 11.5 tfl. Brown #3 tkl r w/67, 2 tfl, Okapalaugo #4, 10.5 tfl. SMU #20 pass eff D, 271 ypg (55%), 26-19 ratio. FSU #23 pass eff D, 163 ypg, 52%, 14-20 ratio. EC UL CCH - 1/2 While this is the 2nd bowl for both HC s we think Hudspeth is a rising star in the business. - 1/2 LY there may not have been a bigger home edge than UL bringing 40,000 here. MTCH - 1/2 UL was -26 ypg vs 5 bowl opponents but EC dead last at -160 ypg vs 4 bowl foes. While CUSA EC is a td dog to SBC, both tms excited to be here. ST - - SCH - - UW BSU CCH - - 1/2 INT - Can t do much better than Petersen in bowls who is 5-1 ATS with easy wins here L2Y. While we think the crowd will be split, Boise gets edge in familiarity with 4th time here in 3Y. The Broncos have a 4.7-3.8 ypc edge on offense and a 3.6-4.5 ypc edge on defense. You have a BCS tm that is a decided underdog vs a non-bcs. ST - SCH - SMU FSU This is DeRuyter s 1st bowl while Jones is a college/nfl vet coaching in his 10th bowl. The Islands were good to Jones who cch d here for 9 yrs and brought this SMU tm here 3Y ago. FSU is +122 ypg vs 6 bowl opponents while SMU is -145 ypg vs its 6 bowl foes. Doesn t get any better than a home town vet CCH - - INT 1/2 - HC being a DD dog. ST - SCH - - UTAH ST by 5' s BYU by 7 s UCF by 9' s LOUISIANA by 4 s WASHINGTON by 2 s FRESNO ST by 1 by 3 s 1 PER CUSTOMER. OFFER VAILD THRU 12/31/12 CALL 1-800-654-3448
MILITARY BOWL Thursday, December 27th 3:00 pm ESPN RFK Stadium BOWLING GREEN (8-4) Washington, DC SAN JOSE ST (10-2) BOWLING GREEN 111 227 19 +4 94.0 SAN JOSE ST 68 264 25 +8 95.2 While the Spartans enter this matchup as a td favorite, the yds actually say the Falcons as they are forecasted to outgain SJSt by a 338-332 mark and are happy to be here after questions about whether or not they would be selected for the post season. BG keeps this contest within a td. 3 BOWLING GREEN 19 (+) SAN JOSE ST 25 BELK BOWL Thursday, December 27th 6:30 pm ESPN Bank of America Stadium CINCINNATI (9-3) Charlotte, NC DUKE (6-6) CINCINNATI 235 227 35 +5 97.3 DUKE 128 307 27 +6 104.0 The Bearcats will be playing without their head coach here while the Blue Devils are ecstatic to be back in a bowl after an 18 yr layoff. Cincy and Duke are forecasted to rack up nearly 900 total yards and we agree in this probable shootout. 4 OVER CINCINNATI 35 DUKE 27 HOLIDAY BOWL Thursday, December 27th 9:45 pm ESPN Qualcomm Stadium BAYLOR (7-5) San Diego, CA UCLA (9-4) BAYLOR 216 329 40 +5 109.8 UCLA 217 324 43 +4 107.1 2nd consecutive year that Baylor is facing a P12 team in the post ssn (67-56 win over Wash in LY s Alamo). This isn t your average UCLA offense, however, and PP agrees as while the yardage forecast is nearly even, the Bruins have the narrow point edge and are fairly close to home. 1 UCLA 43 BAYLOR 40 INDEPENDENCE BOWL Friday, December 28th 2:00 pm ESPN Independence Stadium OHIO (8-4) Shreveport, LA ULM (8-4) OHIO 151 234 26 +14 92.1 ULM 173 274 38 +8 98.4 Two teams headed in different directions here as Ohio lost its fi nal 3 contests while ULM came out victorious in its L/2. ULM is forecasted with a 12 pt win in their home state but the yards are in favor of OU keeping this one tight. No Play. NO PLAY: ULM 38 OHIO 26 RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL Friday, December 28th 5:30 pm ESPN Florida Citrus Bowl RUTGERS (9-3) Orlando, FL VIRGINIA TECH (6-6) RUTGERS 107 154 19 +9 99.1 VIRGINIA TECH 99 223 17-4 103.8 Two disappointed teams battle here as Rutgers was clearly thinking Orange Bowl just a few weeks ago while the Hokies have posted their worst record since the 1992 season. While PP projects the dog to win here, the yards are in favor of Va Tech and we ll pass. NO PLAY: RUTGERS 19 VIRGINIA TECH 17 CAR CARE BOWL Friday, December 28th 9:00 pm ESPN Reliant Stadium MINNESOTA (6-6) Houston, TX TEXAS TECH (7-5) MINNESOTA 143 109 19-3 102.0 TEXAS TECH 130 327 34-12 105.7 Despite the questionable departure of Texas Tech HC Tuberville to Cincy, we still agree with the forecast here as the Red Raiders are projected to outgain the Gophers by a 457-252 clip while delivering a 15 pt victory in their home state. 2 TEXAS TECH 34 MINNESOTA 19 ARMED FORCES BOWL Saturday, December 29th 11:45 am ESPN Amon G. Carter Stadium AIR FORCE (6-6) Fort Worth, TX RICE (6-6) AIR FORCE 338 110 29-13 95.2 RICE 166 205 30 +5 96.9 Solid yardage edge for the Falcons here (448-371) in a bowl that they have played in on 4 occasions over the past 6 years. For a game that is right at even as of presstime, we ll make some stipulations here with Air Force. 2 AIR FORCE 29 (if dog) RICE 30 No Play if AF favored FIGHT HUNGER BOWL Saturday, December 29th 4:00 pm espn2 AT&T Park NAVY (8-4) San Francisco, CA ARIZONA ST (7-5) NAVY 266 40 16-2 97.3 ARIZONA ST 202 229 36 +6 106.3 While ASU is projected with a 20 point victory, we disagree as Navy is forecasted with 266 yards on the ground which will likely chew up the clock and keep this matchup tighter than expected. NO PLAY: ARIZONA ST 36 NAVY 16 BG SJSt BG SJSt BG SJSt BG SJSt QB - 1/2 RB - - WR - 1/2 CCH - - BG SJSt CHECKLIST COMMENTS - DL - 1/2 LB - DB - DL 1/2 - LB - DB - BG avg 6-3 299, 1 Sr, 13 sk all d (3.2%), 4.5 ypc. SJSt avg 6-4 288, 1 Sr, 25 sk all d (5.9%), 3.5 ypc. BG avg 6-2 268, 24 of tm s 37 sks (65%), 3.6 ypc. SJSt avg 6-4 269, 35.5 of tm s 40 sks (89%), 3.6 ypc. Martin #1 tkl r w/69, 8.5 tfl, Woods #2, 7.5 tfl. Smith #1 tkl r w/87, 3.5 tfl, Buhagiar #2, 9 tfl. BG #28 pass eff D, 173 ypg (56%), 9-10 ratio. SJSt #50 pass eff D, 228 ypg (58%), 18-15 ratio. UC DUKE UC DUKE UC DUKE QB - RB 1/2 - WR - 1/2 1/2 UC DUKE CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL 1/2 - UC avg 6-5 286, 0 Sr, 13 sk all d (3.8), 5.2 ypc. DU avg 6-4 299, 1 Sr, 19 sk all d (3.8%), 3.6 ypc. UC avg 6-2 261, 14 of tm s 31 sks (45%), 3.7 ypc. DU avg 6-4 273, 17.5 of tm s 23 sks (76%), 4.8 ypc. Blair #1 tkl r w/123, 8.5 tfl, Bomar #2 w/75. Canty #1 tkl r w/102, 5.5 tfl, France #5 tkl r w/56. UC #15 pass eff D, 244 ypg (55%), 11-14 ratio. DU #92 pass eff D, 262 ypg (57%), 25-11 ratio. We respect the job both HC s have done and feel each will soon be at BCS schools. While neither will have more than a smattering of fans, we give BG the edge b/c of climate. The Spartans were +148 ypg vs bowl eligible teams while the Falcons were -42 ypg. SJSt thrilled with 1st bowl appearance s/ 06 but 9 wins for BG would be great. ST - - SCH - UC DUKE CCH - Butch Jones has been to 3 bowls but vet Cutcliffe excited in his 1st bowl s/ 03. - 1/2 Duke ply g in same state and the Cameron Crazies have the whole wk off so they ll be rooting for the FB tm. UC has ply d just 2 decent pass offenses (Syr, L ville) and all d 502 ypg in those two. 1st bowl for DU s/ 94 and excitement on campus for the other sports tm. ST - SCH - 1/2 BU UCLA BU UCLA BU UCLA BU UCLA QB - - RB - WR - CCH 1/2 - While Briles has bowl exp, we ll only go up to 1/2 BU UCLA CHECKLIST COMMENTS because of Mora s successful transition to NCAA. BU avg 6-5 313, 2 Sr, 17 sk all d (3.7%), 5.1 ypc. - Short trip down I-5 has us giving the Bruins UCLA avg 6-5 299, 1 Sr, 46 sk all d (10.4%), 4.6 ypc. the edge in this matchup. 1/2 BU avg 6-3 263, 8 of tm s 13 sks (62%), 4.7 ypc. 1/2 UCLA +91 ypg vs 8 bowl tms while BU only UCLA avg 6-3 287, 17 of tm s 45 sks (38%), 4.1 ypc. +33 ypg vs post season foes. Two mobile QB s matchup and both D s used to facing LB - Hager #1 tkl r w/115, 8 tfl, Lackey #2, 8 tfl. them in practice. Kendricks #1 tkl r w/137, 6 tfl, Barr #3, 20.5 tfl. BU #84 pass eff D, 323 ypg (64%), 33-18 ratio. UCLA #57 pass eff D, 255 ypg (63%), 25-15 ratio. ST 1/2 - SCH - OU ULM OU ULM OU ULM QB - 1/2 RB - WR - OU ULM CHECKLIST COMMENTS DB - DL - 1/2 LB - DB - 1/2 OU avg 6-5 300, 3 Sr, 27 sk all d (7.1%), 4.3 ypc. ULM avg 6-3 301, 1 Sr, 22 sk all d (4.4%), 4.3 ypc. OU avg 6-2 260, 13.5 of tm s 20 sks (68%), 4.6 ypc. ULM avg 6-1 268, 11.5 of tm s 24 sks (48%), 3.8 ypc. Moore #1 tkl r w/89, 3.5 tfl, Lewis #2, 1.5 tfl. Young #1 tkl r w/90, 10.5 tfl, Stovall #5, 13.5 tfl. OU #52 pass eff D, 230 ypg (57%), 24-10 ratio. ULM #76 pass eff D, 272 ypg (62%), 27-15 ratio. RU VT RU VT RU VT QB - RB - WR - 1/2 RU VT CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - 1/2 RU avg 6-5 299, 1 Sr, 8 sk all d (2.3%), 3.9 ypc. VT avg 6-5 305, 3 Sr, 21 sk all d (5.3%), 4.0 ypc. RU avg 6-3 255, 11 of tm s 22 sks (50%), 2.9 ypc. VT avg 6-2 283, 13 of tm s 32 sks (41%), 3.8 ypc. Greene #1 tkl r w/125, 10.5 tfl, Jamal Merrell #3, 8 tfl. Tyler #1 tkl r w/112, 11 tfl, Taylor #3, 9 tfl. RU #36 pass eff D, 217 ypg (56%), 12-16 ratio. VT #13 pass eff D, 205 ypg (51%), 17-12 ratio. OU ULM CCH - While Berry is a vet this is his 1st bowl as a HC and Solich is making his 7th bowl appearance overall. - This will be 1 of the largest home edges with Shreveport just a stone s throw away. MTCH - - We ll call it even as both teams were injury plagued down the fi nal stretch. ULM thrilled for its 1st bowl appearance while OU has exp in bowls. ST - 1/2 SCH - RU VT CCH - Beamer s 26th season vs Flood s 1st makes it an easy decision, but we ll stop at 2. - Despite disappointing ssn VT fans have not been to an Orlando bowl so they will come. Large, mobile QB Thomas is a threat that INT - Rutgers hasn t seen yet this season. VT has 2 choices: fi nish 7-6 or have their 1st losing ssn s/ 92. ST - SCH - 1/2 UM TT UM TT UM TT UM TT QB - RB - WR - 1/2 CCH - Although Kill is 0-2 SU/ATS in bowls, he will be UM TT CHECKLIST COMMENTS taking on an interim head coach here. UM avg 6-4 304, 0 Sr, 18 sk all d (5.7%), 3.8 ypc. - Tech fans will make this trip to Reliant Stadium while we TT avg 6-5 313, 3 Sr, 18 sk all d (3.2%), 4.5 ypc. can t expect UM to have any semblance of a foll g. UM has 2 major issues on offense: they can t run (3.8 DL - - UM avg 6-4 268, 16.5 of tm s 25 sks (66%), 4.6 ypc. ypc) and they don t pass successfully (54%). TT avg 6-3 269, 12 of tm s 16 sks (75%), 4.4 ypc. We usually give an edge to DD dogs but TT 3-1 ATS LB - - Hill #2 tkl r w/71, 4 tfl, Rallis #3 w/71, 5 tfl. in that role, UM 0-3. Smith #4 tkl r w/47, 1.5 tfl, Eguavoen #5, 1.5 tfl. DB 1/2 - UM #32 pass eff D, 179 ypg (56%), 12-11 ratio. ST - - SCH - TT #45 pass eff D, 196 ypg (55%), 23-7 ratio. AF RICE AF RICE AF RICE AF RICE QB - 1/2 RB - WR - 1/2 CCH 1/2 - AF RICE CHECKLIST COMMENTS - DL - - MTCH 1/2 - DB - 1/2 AF avg 6-3 255, 3 Sr, 7 sk all d (5.0%), 5.2 ypc. Rice avg 6-4 291, 0 Sr, 30 sk all d (8.1%), 4.2 ypc. AF avg 6-4 247, 8.5 of tm s 15 sks (57%), 4.6 ypc. Rice avg 6-3 271, 19 of tm s 26 sks (73%), 5.1 ypc. Niklas #1 tkl r w/114, 6 tfl, Means #2, 11 tfl. Porras #1 tkl r w/86, 1.5 tfl, Nwousu #2, 6 tfl. AF #118 pass eff D, 204 ypg (68%), 16-8 ratio. Rice #72 pass eff D, 251 ypg (57%), 23-10 ratio. INT - TEXAS TECH by 13 s All Calhoun has done since coming to AF is lead them to 6 str bowls and he rates the edge here. Despite Rice being in-state, it s called the Armed Forces Bowl and that s who the majority will be pulling for. In our bowl vs bowl numbers, the Falcons are +40 ypg while Rice is -89 ypg. While both are 6-6, AF has had 5 str winning ssns. ST - 1/2 SCH - - SAN JOSE ST by 2' s DUKE by 2 s UCLA by 6 s ULM by 5' s VIRGINIA TECH by 6' s AIR FORCE by 4' s NAVY ASU NAVY ASU NAVY ASU NAVY ASU QB - 1/2 RB - 1/2 WR - CCH - - 1st yr for Graham but in his L/3 bowl gms he s NAVY ASU CHECKLIST COMMENTS outscored the opp by a comb 170-55. OL 1/2 - Navy avg 6-2 286, 2 Sr, 19 sk all d (13.3%), 5.3 ypc. - Can t see many ASU fans making this trip ASU avg 6-4 292, 2 Sr, 37 sk all d (9.4%), 4.2 ypc. but service personnel will show up. Always have to give an edge to Navy w/its 1/2 Navy 6-2 266, 6 of tm s 17 sks (35%), 4.3 ypc. MTCH - cut-blocking as this DL has never seen it. ASU avg 6-1 269, 28.5 of tm s 49 sks (58%), 4.1 ypc. With Navy missing a bowl LY, this will be a LB - Warrick #2 tkl r w/73, 4.5 tfl, French #3, 2 tfl. INT - very special gm. Magee #1 tkl r w/104, 11.5 tfl, Young #3, 14 tfl. Navy #87 pass eff D, 226 ypg (68%), 12-8 ratio. ST - SCH ARIZONA ST - ASU #4 pass eff D, 181 ypg (51%), 21-20 ratio. by 9 s 3
PINSTRIPE BOWL Saturday, December 29th 3:15 pm ESPN Yankee Stadium W VIRGINIA (7-5) Bronx, NY SYRACUSE (7-5) WEST VIRGINIA 158 357 40 +6 108.0 SYRACUSE 181 360 42-2 104.0 Former Big East rivals match up here with the Orange clearly having the home edge, on a 3 game win streak to end the regular ssn (WV just 2-5 L/7 gms) and the yardage and point edges here. With the Mountaineers listed as the favorite, Syracuse earns a very special 4 selection. 4 SYRACUSE 42 W VIRGINIA 40 ALAMO BOWL Saturday, December 29th 6:45 pm ESPN Alamodome OREGON ST (9-3) San Antonio, TX TEXAS (8-4) OREGON ST 147 265 30 +10 107.5 TEXAS 161 250 27 +3 108.5 The Beavers came out of nowhere this season to end up at 9-3 and now visit San Antonio. While the score gives Oregon St a slight edge, the yards are more in the favor of the home state Longhorns and we ll move past this selection with a No Play. NO PLAY: OREGON ST 30 TEXAS 27 BUFFALO WILD WINGS BOWL Saturday, December 29th 10:15 pm ESPN Sun Devil Stadium TCU (7-5) Tempe, AZ MICHIGAN ST (6-6) TCU 76 196 16 +5 106.8 MICHIGAN ST 96 170 11 +1 105.2 Offense will be limited to say the least in this matchup with Power Plays calling for the Frogs and Spartans to combine for just 27 points and 538 total yards. We agree and judging by the total of 41 at presstime, this will be a star rated selection. 3 UNDER TCU 16 MICHIGAN ST 11 MUSIC CITY BOWL Monday, December 31st 12:00 pm ESPN LP Field NC STATE (7-5) Nashville, TN VANDERBILT (8-4) NC STATE 96 244 17-4 103.3 VANDERBILT 188 295 31-5 102.3 Tough matchup for NC State here as not only are they playing this game without their HC, but they also have to play just down the street from Vanderbilt s campus. PP projects a 14 pt win (line 7) and a 483-340 yard edge here for the Commodores. 3 VANDERBILT 31 NC STATE 17 SUN BOWL Monday, December 31st 2:00 pm CBS Sun Bowl Stadium GEORGIA TECH (6-7) El Paso, TX USC (7-5) GEORGIA TECH 289 125 31 +4 104.2 USC 155 302 35-2 109.2 Disappointed tms square off here as GT is looking to make it back to.500 after a loss in the ACC Championship gm while USC s ssn went from a #1 ranking to 5 losses and a trip here. We disagree with PP s forecast as tms generally play well vs the option with extra time to prepare. NO PLAY: USC 35 GEORGIA TECH 31 LIBERTY BOWL Monday, December 31st 3:30 pm ESPN Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium IOWA ST (6-6) Memphis, TN TULSA (10-3) IOWA ST 113 207 23 +2 108.6 TULSA 217 229 22 +1 98.2 Only rematch from the regular season takes place here (Iowa St 38-23 victory in week 1 as a 2 pt dog). While the yards are clearly in favor of the CUSA Champions, the points say Iowa St thus making this selection a No Play. NO PLAY: IOWA ST 23 TULSA 22 CHICK-fil-A BOWL Monday, December 31st 7:30 pm ESPN Georgia Dome CLEMSON (10-2) Atlanta, GA LSU (10-2) CLEMSON 122 284 31 +3 101.6 LSU 186 219 29 +15 106.8 Two 10-2 squads meet here and while PP forecasts Clemson to take home a 2 pt win, the yards are clearly even and judging by how both tms performed in their meetings with S Carolina TY (LSU 23-21 win, Clemson 27-17 loss), we ll go ahead and side with the SEC over the ACC here. NO PLAY: CLEMSON 31 LSU 29 HEART OF DALLAS BOWL Tuesday, January 1st 12:00 pm espnu Cotton Bowl PURDUE (6-6) Dallas, TX OKLAHOMA ST (7-5) PURDUE 139 245 27 +3 101.3 OKLAHOMA ST 221 344 47-5 107.0 The Cowboys are the biggest favorite on the board this bowl season and for a good reason as Purdue is just 6-6 and making the transition to a new HC. While OSU is projected to take home a 20 pt win, the yards are surprisingly closer than expected. No Play. NO PLAY: OKLAHOMA ST 47 PURDUE 27 WV SU WV SU WV SU QB 1/2 - RB - WR - WV SU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL 1/2 - DL - 1/2 LB - - 4 WV avg 6-5 315, 3 Sr, 20 sk all d (3.9%), 4.9 ypc. SU avg 6-4 289, 1 Sr, 14 sk all d (3.1%), 4.2 ypc. WV avg 6-4 290, 4.5 of tm s 21 sks (21%), 3.5 ypc. SU avg 6-2 267, 10.5 of tm s 24 sks (44%), 4.1 ypc. Bruce #2 tkl r w/86, 6.5 tfl, Garvin #3, 8.5 tfl. Davis #2 tkl r w/67, 13 tfl, Diabate #3, 7.5 tfl. WV #123 pass eff D, 328 ypg (65%), 36-9 ratio. SU #105 pass eff D, 237 ypg (63%), 21-9 ratio. WV SU CCH - 1/2 Impressed with what Holgorsen did in LY s bowl but Marrone gets his tm to overachieve. - 1/2 While SU is still a distance away from this NYC bowl, the instate fans will back the Cuse. SU comes in outgaining bowl elig tm by 69 ypg while WV was outgained by 20 ypg. INT - 1/2 WV has revenge from LY but clearly disappointed to be here. ST - SCH - OSU UT OSU UT OSU UT OSU UT QB - 1/2 RB - WR - CCH 1/2 - OSU UT CHECKLIST COMMENTS 1/2 OSU avg 6-4 299, 1 Sr, 23 sk all d (4.8%), 3.8 ypc. - UT avg 6-5 306, 0 Sr, 14 sk all d (3.8%), 4.6 ypc. DL - 1/2 OSU avg 6-3 293, 20.5 of tm s 26 sks (79%), 4.0 ypc. MTCH - - UT avg 6-4 284, 17 of tm s 25 sks (68%), 4.8 ypc. LB - Doctor #1 tkl r w/72, 10.5 tfl, Alexander #5, 6.5 tfl. Edmond #2 tkl r w/97, 6 tfl, Cobbs #11, 5 tfl. DB - OSU #16 pass eff D, 223 ypg (59%), 12-19 ratio. UT #42 pass eff D, 214 ypg (60%), 16-13 ratio. TCU MSU TCU MSU TCU MSU QB 1/2 - RB - 1/2 WR 1/2 - TCU MSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS DL - - LB - 1/2 DB 1/2 - TCU avg 6-5 308, 2 Sr, 25 sk all d (6.7%), 3.9 ypc. MSU avg 6-4 305, 1 Sr, 19 sk all d (4.3%), 4.0 ypc. TCU avg 6-4 279, 19.5 of tm s 26 sks (75%), 3.3 ypc. MSU avg 6-5 292, 5.5 of tm s 16 sks (34%), 3.3 ypc. Cain #1 tkl r w/74, 5.5 tfl, Hasley #2, 8 tfl. Bullough #1 tkl r w/102, 12 tfl, Allen #3, 9 tfl. TCU #7 pass eff D, 228 ypg (54%), 21-21 ratio. MSU #17 pass eff D, 174 ypg (53%), 10-13 ratio. Riley usually gets the best out of his talent while Brown has disappointed L3Y. Just a 1.5 hour drive from Austin for a UT fan base that sells out 100,000 seat stadium at home. Texas DB s can match up with OSU WR s while OSU DL can negate UT s RB s. UT has to be disappointed ply g here, but also a rare non-bcs bowl dog. ST - 1/2 SCH - - TCU MSU While Patterson is 0-4 ATS L/4 bowls, he is 6-1 SU the L/7 while Dantonio 1-4 SU. Two BCS fan bases that have to get on a plane to travel to this non-bcs bowl. TCU mobile QB vs MSU +70 ypg better than Frogs against bowl teams. Have to like a B10 tm who is a dog vs a tm CCH 1/2 - - - MTCH - - INT - that ply d in MW LY. ST 1/2 - SCH - - NCSt VU NCSt VU NCSt VU NCSt VU QB - RB - 1/2 WR - - CCH - NCSt VU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - - St avg 6-5 310, 3 Sr, 36 sk all d (7.0%), 3.1 ypc. - VU avg 6-4 292, 2 Sr s, 23 sk all d (7.1), 4.2 ypc. DL - St avg 6-3 294, 22.5 of tm s 35 sks (64%), 4.2 ypc. MTCH - - VU avg 6-3 270, 6 of tm s 28 sks (21%), 4.0 ypc. LB - 1/2 Dowdy #3 tkl r w/81, 13.5 tfl, Lucas #4, 5.5 tfl. Garnham #3 tkl r w/77, 11.5 tfl, Barnes #4 w/60. w/a cch g change. DB - 1/2 St #37 pass eff D, 262 ypg (58%), 18-16 ratio. ST - SCH - - VU #14 pass eff D, 176 ypg (52%), 6-8 ratio. Franklin has exceeded expectations while NCSt made surprise move dismissing O Brien. If you can t play on your home fi eld, the next best thing would be playing in an NFL stadium in your home city. Both tms have off and D rankings in the above average category but neither has an elite unit. NCSt feels disrespected as a dog but has to deal GT USC GT USC GT USC GT USC QB - RB 1/2 - WR - CCH - Well aware that Paul Johnson is 0-4 SU/ATS GT USC CHECKLIST COMMENTS but he was only a dog once in those 4 gms. OL - 1/2 GT avg 6-3 297, 1 Sr, 12 sk all d (6.5%), 5.5 ypc. 1/2 - We ll give GT a slight edge as they ply d here USC avg 6-4 302, 1 Sr, 17 sk all d (4.0%), 5.0 ypc. LY but dropped an OT affair to Utah. It s always an edge to have extra time to prep for 1/2 GT avg 6-6 305, 10 of tm s 28 sks (36%), 4.3 ypc. the option and USC has talent to stop it. USC avg 6-4 261, 30.5 of tm s 43 sks (71%), 4.0 ypc. Emotional last gm for Barkley and last gm LB - 1/2 Nealy #3 tkl r w/74, 3.5 tfl, Hunt-Days #4, 74 tkl. INT - for DC Kiffi n. Pullard #2 tkl r w/91, 6.5 tfl, Bailey #3, 8 tfl. GT #66 pass eff D, 240 ypg (62%), 22-13 ratio. USC #40 pass eff D, 240 ypg (61%), 18-18 ratio. ISU TU ISU TU ISU TU QB - 1/2 RB - 1/2 WR - ISU TU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - 1/2 ISU avg 6-6 301, 14 sk all d (3.2%), 4.2 ypc. TU avg 6-3 293, 9 sk all d (2.0%), 5.0 ypc. ISU avg 6-4 264, 8.5 of tm s 15 sks (57%), 4.2 ypc. TU avg 6-3 274, 30 of tm s 48 sks (63%), 3.2 ypc. LB - 1/2 Klein #1 tkl r w/98, 2.5 tfl, George #2, 4 tfl. D Brown #1 tkl r w/125, 17 tfl, Jackson #3, 8.5 tfl. ISU #47 pass eff D, 280 ypg (61%), 18-13 ratio. TU #21 pass eff D, 233 ypg (56%), 18-10 ratio. ST - SCH - 1/2 ISU TU CCH 1/2 - - Blankenship is in 2nd str bowl but lost LY while Rhoads in 3rd bowl in 4Y. Tough draw w/1 of the smallest DI schls & it will be tough to get fans while ISU s happy w/attendance. If you check out our chart on pg 29 you ll see that TU is the #1 tm in sks by minus sks vs. While TU has revenge from opener, ISU disrespected as early dog. ST - SCH - CU LSU CU LSU CU LSU CU LSU QB 1/2 - RB - 1/2 WR - CCH - As you see in our bowl grades, Miles is only 1 of 5 CU LSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS HC s to receive an A and deserves this edge. OL - - CU avg 6-4, 300, 1 Sr, 26 sk all d (4.8%), 4.4 ypc. - - Clemson had its ssn opener here but LSU LSU avg 6-5 316, 2 Sr, 26 sk all d (7.8%), 4.3 ypc. familiar as they won the SEC Title here LY. LSU wants to run the ball while CU all s 4.3 ypc CU avg 6-4 279, 20 of tm s 28 sks (77%), 4.3 ypc. and CU will struggle vs LSU s 3.1 ypc on D. LSU avg 6-4 271, 15.5 of tm s 30 sks (52%), 3.1 ypc. Great matchup of off vs def but no signifi cant LB - Willard #1 tkl r w/88, 9.5 tfl, Shuey #2, 6 tfl. edge to either tm. Minter #1 tkl r w/111, 13.5 tfl, Barrow #2, 5.5 tfl. CU #74 pass eff D, 251 ypg (58%), 22-12 ratio. ST - 1/2 SCH - LSU #8 pass eff D, 194 ypg (54%), 14-18 ratio. PU OSU PU OSU PU OSU QB - 1/2 RB - WR - PU OSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS 1/2 PU avg 6-4 296, 2 Sr, 22 sk all d (4.9%), 4.5 ypc. OSU avg 6-4 315, 2 Sr, 10 sk all d (2.2%), 5.4 ypc. DL - 1/2 PU avg 6-4 298, 11 of tm s 20 sks (55%), 4.7 ypc. OSU avg 6-3 279, 10.5 of tm s 22 sks (48%), 3.7 ypc. LB - 1/2 Lucas #2 tkl r w/53, 6.5 tfl, Gilliam #4, 2.5 tfl. Elkins #1 tkl r w/73, 3.5 tfl, Lewis #6, 7.5 tfl. DB - - PU #43 pass eff D, 228 ypg (57%), 16-14 ratio. OSU #41 pass eff D, 286 ypg (61%), 18-9 ratio. PU OSU CCH - 1/2 Huge mismatch here with Gundy in 7th - consec bowl taking on an interim. While OSU fans can t be thrilled to be placed here, they still will show more support than lame-duck PU tm. 1/2 OSU is +95 ypg vs its 10 bowl opponents while PU is -147 against its 6 bowl foes. INT 1/2 - Have to give edge to 6-6 tm, a 2 td+ dog to a 7-5 tm. ST - 1/2 SCH - 1/2 W VIRGINIA by 1 TEXAS by 6' s MICHIGAN ST by 1' s VANDERBILT by 8' s USC by 15 s TULSA by 1/2 LSU by 11' s OKLAHOMA ST by 16' s
GATOR BOWL Tuesday, January 1st 12:00 pm espn2 Everbank Field NORTHWESTERN (9-3) Jacksonville, FL MISSISSIPPI ST (8-4) NORTHWESTERN 215 155 26 +13 101.2 MISSISSIPPI ST 110 324 29 +17 105.3 Despite the success he s had with his alma mater, NW HC Fitzgerald has yet to win a bowl with the Wildcats (0-3 SU/2-1 ATS). PP projects that trend to continue here with MSU escaping with a 3 pt win. We disagree, however, and envision the Wildcats earning their 1st bowl victory since 1949. NO PLAY: MISSISSIPPI ST 29 NORTHWESTERN 26 OUTBACK BOWL Tuesday, January 1st 1:00 pm ESPN Raymond James Stadium MICHIGAN (8-4) Tampa, FL SOUTH CAROLINA (10-2) MICHIGAN 145 155 20-8 104.6 SOUTH CAROLINA 138 155 24 +3 107.7 Two defenses that don t allow a ton of yards match up here and as expected, PP agrees with that statement forecasting Michigan and South Carolina to post just 593 total yards combined, a stat that calls for us to use the Under here. 4 UNDER SOUTH CAROLINA 24 MICHIGAN 20 CAPITAL ONE BOWL Tuesday, January 1st 1:00 pm ABC Florida Citrus Bowl NEBRASKA (10-3) Orlando, FL GEORGIA (11-2) NEBRASKA 211 167 20-12 105.0 GEORGIA 183 224 36 +10 106.0 A pair of squads off of conf title game losses and missed BCS bowls get to face off here. The Bulldogs are forecasted to deliver a 16 pt win (line 10) but the yard projection has us making this meeting a No Play as Nebraska is only expected to be outgained by 29 yds. NO PLAY: GEORGIA 36 NEBRASKA 20 ROSE BOWL Tuesday, January 1st 5:00 pm ESPN Rose Bowl WISCONSIN (8-5) Pasadena, CA STANFORD (11-2) WISCONSIN 155 150 13 +4 103.5 STANFORD 150 195 20 +7 109.5 The Badgers are back in Pasadena for a 3rd consec post ssn but are still in search of their fi rst Rose Bowl win s/ 00 which actually came against Stanford and with interim HC and current AD Alvarez as then full-time HC. While the pts give Stan the edge, the yds say Wisky and we ll pass. NO PLAY: STANFORD 20 WISCONSIN 13 ORANGE BOWL Tuesday, December 1st 8:30 pm ESPN Sun Life Stadium N ILLINOIS (12-1) Miami Gardens, FL FLORIDA ST (11-2) N ILLINOIS 138 157 20 +8 93.5 FLORIDA ST 184 303 34-7 100.0 While the points are close here due to the competition the Huskies took on within the MAC, the yards paint a clearer picture as the Seminoles are projected to outgain the Huskies 487-295. Have to believe that NI is just happy to be here while FSU is looking to make a statement. 2 FLORIDA ST 34 N ILLINOIS 20 SUGAR BOWL Wednesday, January 2nd 8:30 pm ESPN Superdome LOUISVILLE (10-2) New Orleans, LA FLORIDA (11-1) LOUISVILLE 40 222 13 +9 99.6 FLORIDA 224 143 32 +19 108.2 Louisville and former UF asst Charlie Strong are lucky to be here after benefi tting from a late ssn collapse by Rutgers. Florida, on the other hand, was an 8 pt loss to Georgia away from potentially playing for the National Title. The yards and score clearly have the Gators running away here. 4 FLORIDA 32 LOUISVILLE 13 FIESTA BOWL Thursday, January 3rd 8:30 pm ESPN University of Phoenix Stadium KANSAS ST (11-1) Glendale, AZ OREGON (11-1) KANSAS ST 168 202 32 +21 107.5 OREGON 275 212 40 +19 104.3 Classic example here of the line being infl ated by the amount of points that Kansas St and Oregon have been able to put up this season. A close dissection of the projected yards has this total closer to 63 than the 76 as of presstime. 4 UNDER OREGON 40 KANSAS ST 32 COTTON BOWL Friday, January 4th 8:00 pm FOX Cowboys Stadium TEXAS A&M (10-2) Arlington, TX OKLAHOMA (10-2) TEXAS A&M 244 254 39-4 106.2 OKLAHOMA 136 359 36-4 107.9 Hard to fi gure that Oklahoma is a dog to anyone let alone a Texas A&M squad that they have gone 11-2 against during B12 play dating back to 1999. Sooners are forecasted to be outgained by just 3 ttl yards and have an excellent chance to knock of Heisman winner Manziel here. 3 OKLAHOMA 36 (+) TEXAS A&M 39 NU MSU NU MSU NU MSU NU MSU QB - - RB - WR - 1/2 CCH - - NU MSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS - DL 1/2 - MTCH - - LB - - 5 NU avg 6-5 307, 3 Sr, 16 sk all d (4.8%), 5.0 ypc. MSU avg 6-5 303, 1 Sr, 16 sk all d (4.1%), 4.3 ypc. NU avg 6-5 278, 14.5 of tm s 25 sks (58%), 3.6 ypc. MSU avg 6-4 285, 5.5 of tm s 19 sks (29%), 4.3 ypc. Proby #1 tkl r w/108, 4.5 tfl, Nwabuisi #2, 7.5 tfl. Lawrence #1 tkl r w/111, 10 tfl, McKinney #2, 4.5 tfl. NU #55 pass eff D, 263 ypg (59%), 16-9 ratio. MSU #53 pass eff D, 224 ypg (65%), 17-16 ratio. While Mullen is 2-0 SU and Fitzgerald 0-4 SU, Fitz is 3-1 ATS, all as a dog. Miss St fans packed this bowl just 2Y ago while NU not known for huge fan support. Looking at the talent edges, no team has a signifi cant edge over the other at any spot. This will be the 1st time that NU fi nd themselves less INT 1/2 - than a td bowl dog. ST - - SCH - - UM SC UM SC UM SC UM SC QB - RB 1/2 - WR 1/2 - CCH - While Spurrier has struggled here in bowls, we UM SC CHECKLIST COMMENTS boldly cashed with him in LY s Bowl GOY. OL 1/2 - UM avg 6-5 304, 3 Sr, 15 sk all d (5.3%), 4.9 ypc. - - Wolverine fans always travel well but this is SC avg 6-5 320, 1 Sr, 35 sk all d (10.6%), 3.6 ypc. clearly SEC country. Spurrier vs mobile QB but SC 4-2 ATS vs UM avg 6-4 285, 5 of tm s 19 sks (26%), 3.8 ypc. MTCH - - bowl tms while UM 2-7 ATS. SC avg 6-5 281, 32 of tm s 40 sks (80%), 3.1 ypc. 8-4 B10 tm expects to be dog vs 10-2 SEC tm & both little LB - 1/2 Ryan #1 tkl r w/84, 15 tfl, Demens #2, 6 tfl. disappointed to be here. Wilson #1 tkl r w/77, 4.5 tfl, Bowens #3 w/55. 1/2 UM #65 pass eff D, 155 ypg (59%), 12-7 ratio. SC #22 pass eff D, 193 ypg (57%), 15-14 ratio. ST - - SCH - NU UGA NU UGA NU UGA NU UGA QB - - RB - - WR - CCH - Richt is 7-4 SU in bowls while Pelini is 0-2 his L/2 NU UGA CHECKLIST COMMENTS incl our 11 Bowl GOY Winner against him. OL - - NU avg 6-4 300, 2 Sr, 30 sk all d (8.5%), 5.4 ypc. - - While this is SEC country, Nebraska fans UGA avg 6-4 309, 0 Sr, 25 sk all d (6.8%), 4.9 ypc. always travel well even for a 2nd straight trip. Nebraska was +77 ypg vs 10 bowl tms while DL - - NU avg 6-4 266, 17 of tm s 29 sks (59%), 4.8 ypc. MTCH - - UGA was +65 ypg vs its bowl tms. UGA avg 6-3 308, 3.5 of tm s 27 sks (13%), 4.1 ypc. NU off embarrassing B10 gm while UGA coming within LB - 1/2 Compton #1 tkl r w/101, 6 tfl, Whaley #4, 4 tfl. INT - seconds of Nat l Champ. Ogletree #1 tkl r w/98, 8.5 tfl, Jones #3, 22.5 tfl. DB - NU #9 pass eff D, 148 ypg (46%), 13-11 ratio. UGA #48 pass eff D, 174 ypg (57%), 11-11 ratio. ST - SCH - - UW SU UW SU UW SU UW SU QB - RB - WR - - CCH - UW SU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL 1/2 - UW avg 6-5 326, 1 Sr, 27 sk all d (9.9%), 5.2 ypc. - - SU avg 6-5 299, 1 Sr, 19 sk all d (5.0%), 4.4 ypc. 1/2 UW avg 6-4 291, 20.5 of tm s 31 sks (66%), 3.7 ypc. SU avg 6-4 286, 22 of tm s 56 sks (39%), 2.8 ypc. LB - Taylor #1 tkl r w/120, 15 tfl, Borland #2, 10 tfl. INT - Skov #1 tkl r w/72, 9.5 tfl, Thomas #2, 14 tfl. DB - 1/2 UW #30 pass eff D, 197 ypg (55%), 18-8 ratio. SU #12 pass eff D, 251 ypg (61%), 12-14 ratio. NI FSU NI FSU NI FSU QB 1/2 - RB - WR - NI FSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS DL LB NI avg 6-4 296, 0 Sr, 14 sk all d (3.8%), 5.6 ypc. FSU avg 6-5 319, 0 Sr, 26 sk all d (6.7%), 5.5 ypc. - 1/2 NI avg 6-1 264, 36.5 of tm s 40 sks (91%), 4.3 ypc. FSU avg 6-3 289, 21 of tm s 33 sks (64%), 2.8 ypc. - 1/2 Clark #2 tkl r w/82, 10 tfl, Bass #3, 5 tfl. Jones #1 tkl r w/85, 7 tfl, T Smith #3, 9.5 tfl. NI #27 pass eff D, 218 ypg (55%), 10-15 ratio. FSU #5 pass eff D, 161 ypg (50%), 12-10 ratio. While Alvarez was 3-0 in Rose Bowls, he hasn t cch d in 7Y and you have to respect job Shaw has done. Every yr we see the aerial shots of the Rose Bowl and they re always 50-50. We expect the same here. Stanford leads the country with 56 sks and UW s OL has struggled vs top D s. UW has lost 3 gms in OT and 2 by 3 pts and now fi nds itself a td+ dog. ST - SCH - 1/2 NI FSU CCH - Fisher is already 2-0 SU/ATS in bowls and - will be going against a new HC here. The Noles ply d here earlier TY and will clearly MTCH - have the decided crowd edge. The only other top 50 D NI faced TY held them to 17 pts and FSU ranks as our #5. INT - NI sky high for its 1st ever BCS bowl gm while FSU can t be thrilled vs MAC. ST - - SCH - UL UF UL UF UL UF UL UF QB - RB - 1/2 WR - - CCH - - Both HC s have the same pedigree with SEC DC UL UF CHECKLIST COMMENTS exp and this is their 1st BCS bowl as HC s. UL avg 6-4 310, 2 Sr, 26 sk all d (6.1%), 3.6 ypc. - SEC tms always play in the Sugar Bowl while UL UF avg 6-4 314, 2 Sr, 36 sk all d (13.9%), 4.6 ypc. is ply g on this stage for the 1st time s/ 06. UL QB Bridgewater has yet to face a top 24 pass UL avg 6-4 280, 15.5 of tm s 19 sks (82%), 4.3 ypc. D and the Gators are clearly our #1. UF avg 6-2 288, 10.5 of tm s 25 sks (42%), 3.1 ypc. Strong is a former UF asst and many UL ply rs come from LB - P. Brown #1 tkl r w/96, 1.5 tfl, K. Brown #5 tkl r, 2.5 tfl. INT - the Sunshine State. Bostic #3 tkl r w/62, 6.5 tfl, Morrison #8, 2 tfl. 1/2 UL #63 pass eff D, 194 ypg (58%), 21-9 ratio. ST - 1/2 SCH FLORIDA - UF #1 pass eff D, 186 ypg (51%), 5-19 ratio. by 19' s KSU UO KSU UO KSU UO KSU UO QB 1/2 - RB - WR - CCH 1/2 - KSU UO CHECKLIST COMMENTS 1/2 KSU avg 6-4 298, 0 Sr, 13 sk all d (4.6%), 4.9 ypc. - - UO avg 6-5 299, 1 Sr, 18 sk all d (5.2%), 6.1 ypc. DL 1/2 - KSU avg 6-1 271, 23.5 of tm s 31 sks (76%), 3.7 ypc. MTCH - - UO avg 6-5 283, 16 of tm s 27 sks (59%), 4.0 ypc. LB - - Brown #1 tkl r w/91, 6 tfl, Childs #4, 4.5 tfl. INT 1/2 - Clay #1 tkl r w/92, 8 tfl, Alonso #2, 12 tfl. the last 2 years. DB - 1/2 KSU #24 pass eff D, 255 ypg (63%), 16-18 ratio. ST 1/2 - SCH 1/2 - UO #6 pass eff D, 236 ypg (59%), 18-24 ratio. NORTHWESTERN by 1/2 s S CAROLINA by 2' s GEORGIA by 3' s STANFORD by 5' s FLORIDA ST by 20' s While this is the 4th str BCS bowl for Kelly, no one does more with less than Snyder. Surprisingly Eugene is 19 miles closer than Manhattan and crowd will be even. K-St front 7 and extra time but UO +116 ypg vs KSU +30 ypg vs bowl foes. Snyder and Wildcats are 11-2 ATS as a dog s EVEN A&M OU A&M OU A&M OU A&M OU QB 1/2 - RB - WR - CCH - Fine job in 1st yr here for Sumlin, but still A&M OU CHECKLIST COMMENTS giving an edge to Stoops for familiarity. A&M avg 6-4 308, 1 Sr, 23 sk all d (5.0%), 5.6 ypc. - - If you don t make a BCS bowl, this is the next OU avg 6-5 300, 1 Sr, 14 sk all d (2.7%), 4.9 ypc. best thing and the fans will all be present. A&M with Heisman fi nalist at QB takes on DL - - A&M avg 6-4 274, 19.5 of tm s 30 sks (65%), 3.7 ypc. MTCH - - our #2 pass eff D. No edge. OU avg 6-3 285, 12.5 of tm s 25 sks (50%), 4.8 ypc. OU is a dog. Let me repeat that - OU is a dog and LB - Stewart #2 tkl r w/72, 2.5 tfl, Jenkins #3, 5 tfl. INT - we ll take the pts. Wort #5 tkl r w/52, 4.5 tfl, Nelson #6, 3.5 tfl. A&M #38 pass eff D, 248 ypg (56%), 16-11 ratio. ST - SCH - - OU #2 pass eff D, 198 ypg (51%), 9-12 ratio. OKLAHOMA by 6' s
2012 FINAL PASS EFFICIENCY D 2012 FINAL COLLEGE TEAM STAT AVERAGES TEAM YDS ATT COM % TD INT GRADE OPP 1 Florida 185.6 413 211 51.1 5 19 16.7 11.50 2 Oklahoma 197.9 385 197 51.2 9 12 15.1 12.05 3 Alabama 166.6 361 196 54.3 7 17 14.9 11.67 4 Arizona St 180.5 384 194 50.5 21 20 14.6 11.52 5 Oregon 235.9 481 284 59.0 18 24 13.9 12.24 6 TCU 227.6 406 219 53.9 21 21 13.9 12.61 7 Florida St 160.5 414 208 50.2 12 10 13.8 10.46 8 LSU 194.4 407 218 53.6 14 18 13.7 10.99 9 Nebraska 148.2 364 169 46.4 13 11 13.5 9.80 10 Notre Dame 194.1 406 240 59.1 7 16 13.4 11.38 11 Washington 188.9 355 190 53.5 14 17 13.2 11.26 12 Stanford 252.1 536 329 61.4 12 14 12.9 12.72 13 Virginia Tech 204.9 381 194 50.9 17 12 12.8 11.28 14 Vanderbilt 175.8 379 197 52.0 6 8 12.7 10.03 15 Cincinnati 243.5 448 244 54.5 11 14 12.6 11.04 16 Oregon St 222.5 436 257 58.9 12 19 12.6 11.16 17 Michigan St 173.7 396 210 53.0 10 13 12.5 9.65 18 Boise St 163.3 337 199 59.1 3 16 12.4 10.24 19 Utah St 212.9 433 236 54.5 12 12 12.4 10.63 20 SMU 271.2 485 267 55.1 26 19 12.0 12.03 21 Tulsa 232.7 453 255 56.3 18 10 11.9 12.40 22 South Carolina 192.5 341 193 56.6 15 14 11.8 11.56 23 Kansas St 255.2 449 283 63.0 15 18 11.7 12.67 24 Fresno St 163.4 353 182 51.6 14 20 11.6 8.73 25 North Carolina 246.9 424 246 58.0 15 16 11.4 11.49 26 Ohio St 244.3 455 266 58.5 15 14 11.4 11.22 27 N Illinois 217.7 471 258 54.8 10 15 11.3 9.34 28 Bowling Green 173.0 368 205 55.7 9 10 11.2 9.57 29 Wisconsin 196.3 444 242 54.5 18 8 11.2 10.54 30 Houston 290.3 510 302 59.2 24 19 11.2 12.25 31 BYU 182.0 349 202 57.9 12 9 11.0 10.83 32 Minnesota 178.5 357 199 55.7 12 11 11.0 9.84 33 Pittsburgh 196.9 377 213 56.5 12 13 10.9 9.96 34 UCF 217.8 445 266 59.8 14 11 10.9 11.25 35 Connecticut 212.0 381 207 54.3 15 6 10.6 10.70 36 Rutgers 217.2 383 215 56.1 12 16 10.6 9.70 37 NC State 261.8 428 248 57.9 18 16 10.4 11.21 38 Oklahoma St 285.7 510 310 60.8 18 9 10.3 12.25 39 Texas A&M 248.5 436 246 56.4 16 11 10.3 10.56 40 USC 240.0 425 257 60.5 18 18 10.3 10.85 41 Utah 235.3 401 240 59.9 18 8 10.2 12.47 42 Texas 213.8 322 193 59.9 16 13 10.1 12.47 43 Purdue 227.5 413 235 56.9 16 14 10.1 9.90 44 Buffalo 208.3 341 189 55.4 18 13 10.1 10.58 45 Texas Tech 195.7 346 190 54.9 23 7 9.8 11.15 46 Virginia 208.3 395 227 57.5 23 5 9.8 11.64 47 Iowa St 279.7 453 277 61.1 18 13 9.8 12.10 48 Georgia 173.0 323 183 56.7 12 11 9.7 9.70 49 Tulane 259.7 380 212 55.8 24 15 9.6 11.84 50 San Jose St 227.8 404 234 57.9 18 15 9.5 9.75 51 WKU 206.2 363 215 59.2 21 13 9.4 10.77 52 Ohio 229.8 434 246 56.7 24 10 9.4 10.39 53 Mississippi St 223.9 378 244 64.6 17 16 9.3 11.48 54 Penn St 225.8 430 244 56.7 15 10 9.2 9.05 55 Northwestern 262.6 468 277 59.2 16 9 9.1 10.11 56 FIU 262.1 437 265 60.6 24 10 8.9 12.07 57 UCLA 255.2 466 291 62.4 25 15 8.9 11.81 58 Maryland 207.6 368 205 55.7 24 4 8.9 10.80 59 UTEP 246.0 386 231 59.8 18 7 8.9 11.81 60 Mississippi 250.4 394 251 63.7 19 14 8.8 12.02 61 Miami, Fl 268.5 429 261 60.8 15 11 8.8 10.68 62 Louisville 193.8 353 203 57.5 21 9 8.7 9.79 63 Memphis 245.6 435 269 61.8 25 8 8.7 12.10 64 Hawaii 182.8 308 169 54.9 20 9 8.5 9.35 65 Michigan 155.2 294 173 58.8 13 7 8.5 8.92 66 Georgia Tech 239.5 410 254 62.0 22 13 8.5 11.59 67 South Alabama 218.5 368 215 58.4 25 11 8.5 11.48 68 Louisiana 283.8 431 265 61.5 19 12 8.5 11.48 69 North Texas 251.5 420 266 63.3 19 11 8.4 11.23 70 East Carolina 271.7 440 257 58.4 27 9 8.4 11.57 71 Rice 250.8 366 210 57.4 23 10 8.3 11.42 72 Kent St 276.0 491 296 60.3 26 23 8.3 9.60 73 Texas St 252.9 408 248 60.8 26 14 8.3 11.25 74 Clemson 250.6 404 234 57.9 22 12 8.2 9.99 75 Arizona 296.1 467 286 61.2 22 10 8.1 11.34 76 ULM 271.5 434 271 62.4 27 15 8.0 11.47 77 Toledo 296.0 470 288 61.3 26 17 7.9 10.59 78 Tennessee 281.6 446 272 61.0 26 12 7.8 11.23 79 E Michigan 212.3 350 208 59.4 18 7 7.8 9.81 80 Iowa 219.5 353 224 63.5 16 10 7.8 10.42 81 California 271.9 458 290 63.3 31 14 7.7 11.87 82 Boston College 242.4 429 268 62.5 21 10 7.6 9.88 83 Miami, Oh 226.6 356 217 61.0 17 12 7.6 9.56 84 Florida Atlantic 203.6 286 158 55.2 20 8 7.5 9.95 85 Baylor 323.4 517 331 64.0 33 18 7.5 12.07 86 Wake Forest 266.8 411 255 62.0 22 11 7.5 10.85 87 Missouri 241.4 401 261 65.1 19 7 7.4 11.21 88 Arkansas St 233.2 399 259 64.9 21 12 7.3 10.18 89 Kansas 285.8 403 251 62.3 26 11 7.3 12.85 90 Duke 262.3 364 207 56.9 25 11 7.2 10.47 91 San Diego St 235.2 400 251 62.8 23 11 7.2 9.84 92 Cent Michigan 244.2 396 247 62.4 22 13 7.2 9.69 93 Colorado St 203.2 364 219 60.2 24 7 7.2 9.39 94 Troy 258.4 372 211 56.7 26 6 7.1 10.99 95 Nevada 218.0 382 212 55.5 24 4 7.1 8.90 96 W Michigan 240.8 387 234 60.5 19 8 7.1 9.41 97 UNLV 238.0 374 223 59.6 19 9 7.0 9.95 98 Marshall 257.8 430 277 64.4 28 11 7.0 11.26 99 Navy 210.9 336 229 68.2 12 8 6.9 10.49 100 Auburn 222.9 358 235 65.6 20 2 6.8 12.22 101 Washington St 262.7 409 268 65.5 26 14 6.7 11.12 102 Arkansas 285.9 419 262 62.5 19 6 6.7 10.92 103 Massachusetts 235.8 354 229 64.7 26 13 6.7 11.39 104 Illinois 193.6 288 180 62.5 21 7 6.7 10.82 105 Ball St 253.9 394 242 61.4 25 7 6.5 10.44 106 Syracuse 237.3 369 233 63.1 21 9 6.5 9.82 107 Southern Miss 219.0 338 219 64.8 23 5 6.2 11.44 108 Kentucky 229.8 367 247 67.3 21 5 6.0 11.15 109 Idaho 277.9 402 260 64.7 27 9 6.0 11.95 110 UAB 244.6 356 232 65.2 22 6 5.9 11.54 111 UTSA 270.3 415 267 64.3 26 13 5.9 9.65 112 Middle Tenn 252.2 378 255 67.5 22 12 5.9 10.52 113 Akron 238.9 380 232 61.1 30 5 5.8 10.27 114 Temple 237.4 297 178 59.9 21 4 5.6 9.86 115 Louisiana Tech 338.9 494 299 60.5 35 10 5.6 10.89 116 New Mexico St 254.8 381 233 61.2 28 4 5.5 10.39 117 Indiana 232.2 356 222 62.4 23 7 5.4 8.74 118 Air Force 203.6 314 212 67.5 16 8 5.2 8.73 119 USF 251.3 372 254 68.3 17 2 5.1 10.82 120 New Mexico 269.2 417 271 65.0 31 11 4.8 10.54 121 Wyoming 237.9 372 243 65.3 26 6 4.7 9.12 122 Army 195.0 254 162 63.8 19 7 3.7 7.39 123 West Virginia 327.0 408 263 64.5 35 9 3.4 12.07 124 Colorado 263.5 368 250 67.9 39 3 2.2 11.95 OFF OFF - RUSHING - - PASSING - DEF DEF - OPPONENTS RUSH - SKS SKS PTS FD ATT YDS AVG FUM COM ATT PCT YDS INT TD PTS FD ATT YDS AVG FUM VS BY Air Force 28.5 23.2 63.0 328.8 5.2 1.6 6.7 11.6 57.6 107.2 7 9 28.7 20.6 43.4 198.0 4.6 0.4 7 15 Akron 26.1 23.9 30.4 114.4 3.8 0.8 30.3 48.6 62.4 312.8 18 30 35.7 24.6 43.1 211.1 4.9 0.7 24 16 Alabama 38.5 21.2 40.3 225.5 5.6 0.8 15.3 23.1 66.3 214.3 3 27 10.7 13.6 32.3 81.1 2.5 0.9 24 32 Arizona 37.3 29.0 42.4 229.7 5.4 1.0 24.8 41.0 60.6 291.4 13 27 34.3 24.8 42.8 189.3 4.4 1.1 19 16 Arizona St 36.4 24.4 45.8 191.3 4.2 0.9 21.5 32.8 65.6 258.6 12 29 24.0 19.2 41.8 170.3 4.1 0.8 36 49 Arkansas 23.5 21.2 30.5 120.3 3.9 1.2 22.6 38.3 59.0 301.3 16 23 30.4 21.6 36.7 123.8 3.4 0.7 19 29 Arkansas St 36.4 25.0 41.8 217.4 5.2 0.8 21.5 31.8 67.5 264.4 5 24 25.4 20.6 38.5 153.3 4.0 0.8 13 18 Army 24.3 23.5 67.2 370.0 5.5 1.7 4.3 9.6 44.3 66.4 2 3 35.3 20.9 42.4 232.3 5.5 0.6 11 15 Auburn 18.7 15.7 36.5 148.7 4.1 0.8 12.3 21.4 57.2 156.9 15 8 28.3 22.0 40.3 197.5 4.9 0.9 35 22 Ball St 35.0 28.3 43.3 214.3 5.0 0.5 24.8 38.1 65.0 257.1 10 26 31.5 23.4 40.0 205.8 5.1 0.6 10 20 Baylor 44.1 28.8 44.2 225.3 5.1 0.6 23.7 38.5 61.5 353.4 13 32 38.2 27.2 40.3 189.8 4.7 0.6 17 13 Boise St 30.4 21.1 36.8 172.8 4.7 0.6 19.7 29.6 66.5 217.3 7 17 14.9 17.1 39.5 141.7 3.6 1.3 9 34 Boston College 19.8 19.7 28.8 91.3 3.2 0.9 21.3 39.5 54.0 258.9 13 18 29.7 23.3 45.8 214.1 4.7 0.8 34 6 Bowling Green 23.2 19.6 35.3 157.4 4.5 0.3 18.6 33.9 54.8 216.5 13 16 15.8 14.8 32.5 116.7 3.6 0.9 13 37 Buffalo 21.3 20.2 40.5 176.7 4.4 1.0 16.3 31.7 51.6 199.3 10 17 28.5 19.1 41.8 155.4 3.7 0.3 27 34 BYU 29.2 23.6 39.7 162.0 4.1 0.7 22.7 37.8 60.0 247.1 14 25 14.7 14.8 31.1 84.3 2.7 0.7 28 31 California 23.0 20.2 37.6 182.5 4.9 1.4 17.7 30.5 57.9 208.3 13 13 33.1 24.8 39.8 169.3 4.3 0.8 41 27 Cent Michigan 29.3 20.4 31.8 151.0 4.8 0.6 18.8 31.8 58.9 243.1 9 20 33.3 22.8 39.9 197.0 4.9 0.4 14 17 Cincinnati 31.0 20.8 38.7 199.8 5.2 0.7 16.1 28.8 55.8 230.7 11 21 17.2 19.5 35.0 130.5 3.7 0.8 13 30 Clemson 42.3 26.0 44.8 199.0 4.4 0.4 23.5 35.3 66.5 319.4 14 38 24.9 19.6 38.3 160.3 4.2 0.8 26 28 Colorado 17.8 17.1 35.3 111.3 3.1 1.2 18.3 33.6 54.6 192.3 19 11 46.0 24.4 38.1 225.4 5.9 1.0 50 19 Colorado St 21.2 18.0 33.3 128.8 3.9 0.9 17.2 29.3 58.7 210.2 15 17 30.3 22.9 43.3 202.4 4.7 1.2 30 20 Connecticut 17.8 16.9 34.9 87.9 2.5 0.7 18.3 32.3 56.4 230.4 18 10 19.8 16.2 35.8 97.9 2.7 0.5 33 33 Duke 31.3 21.0 33.3 119.1 3.6 0.6 26.3 41.8 63.1 277.4 10 25 35.0 21.4 41.3 199.9 4.8 1.0 19 23 E Michigan 21.3 16.7 37.3 162.9 4.4 0.5 13.3 25.7 51.6 171.2 15 19 37.6 23.1 42.5 266.6 6.3 0.8 22 7 East Carolina 31.3 21.8 35.8 134.8 3.8 0.7 24.5 37.1 66.1 272.8 13 23 30.7 22.2 35.4 145.7 4.1 0.9 28 25 FIU 25.0 19.5 40.8 145.3 3.6 1.3 18.3 30.8 59.3 238.4 6 17 31.7 20.3 35.8 140.8 3.9 0.7 37 23 Florida 26.8 17.5 42.3 204.3 4.8 0.7 13.8 21.4 64.2 142.8 3 12 12.9 17.0 31.0 97.6 3.1 0.9 35 22 Florida Atlantic 20.5 18.4 34.2 112.3 3.3 1.1 22.1 34.7 63.7 237.6 6 18 30.8 19.7 42.0 202.9 4.8 0.8 28 12 Florida St 39.9 23.1 36.8 203.3 5.5 1.2 20.1 29.9 67.1 262.8 10 23 15.1 14.4 33.4 94.2 2.8 0.7 24 32 Fresno St 40.3 23.7 37.3 166.7 4.5 0.8 26.6 40.1 66.3 322.6 6 37 22.3 17.8 42.9 172.8 4.0 1.1 21 34 Georgia 37.2 21.2 37.2 183.7 4.9 0.6 18.2 28.2 64.3 274.4 9 32 18.8 18.5 43.3 178.8 4.1 1.2 25 26 Georgia Tech 34.5 21.8 57.3 305.2 5.3 0.8 7.5 14.2 52.7 134.1 7 10 29.9 20.0 34.8 148.4 4.3 0.7 12 28 Hawaii 21.2 17.2 36.6 108.6 3.0 1.7 17.2 33.2 51.8 188.8 13 12 35.7 19.4 43.4 189.8 4.4 0.8 40 28 Houston 32.4 24.3 32.8 151.2 4.6 1.3 28.1 49.3 57.0 328.4 20 26 36.0 26.3 43.4 192.8 4.4 1.0 19 36 Idaho 15.8 15.5 29.3 88.8 3.0 1.3 21.7 37.3 58.2 225.0 22 15 42.4 23.2 38.1 199.4 5.2 1.1 24 12 Illinois 16.7 16.4 37.0 127.8 3.5 1.3 18.5 29.3 63.1 169.4 14 11 32.1 19.7 42.8 194.2 4.5 0.9 37 17 Indiana 30.8 22.7 33.3 130.8 3.9 0.3 27.6 45.0 61.3 311.2 13 24 35.3 24.0 46.2 231.3 5.0 0.5 17 25 Iowa 19.3 17.4 33.7 123.1 3.7 0.3 18.6 32.4 57.3 187.4 8 7 22.9 19.8 39.4 161.8 4.1 1.1 21 13 Iowa St 25.2 20.6 36.4 154.7 4.2 0.7 21.0 35.8 58.6 217.7 15 27 23.3 22.6 39.3 165.3 4.2 1.0 15 15 Kansas 18.3 20.0 46.5 212.2 4.6 0.8 12.3 26.1 47.3 148.7 13 7 36.1 23.2 37.5 197.2 5.3 0.8 25 11 Kansas St 40.7 21.7 40.8 200.4 4.9 0.3 15.3 23.4 65.5 211.9 7 15 21.1 20.8 32.2 119.7 3.7 1.2 13 29 Kent St 34.6 18.9 42.2 227.8 5.4 0.5 13.9 25.0 55.7 163.7 10 14 25.1 21.9 36.1 143.4 4.0 1.2 20 33 Kentucky 17.9 17.7 33.6 138.8 4.1 0.5 18.3 32.3 56.8 176.3 10 13 31.0 22.3 40.1 161.3 4.0 0.6 27 27 Louisiana 35.0 20.3 36.4 187.0 5.1 1.1 18.3 29.8 61.5 255.9 8 19 27.6 21.9 36.9 144.3 3.9 0.7 12 26 Louisiana Tech 51.5 31.6 43.3 227.2 5.2 0.7 30.4 44.3 68.6 352.8 5 33 38.5 25.9 39.2 186.3 4.8 1.3 10 20 Louisville 31.0 22.8 35.5 127.1 3.6 0.4 23.9 35.3 67.7 298.6 7 25 23.8 18.5 34.8 151.3 4.3 1.0 24 17 LSU 30.3 19.5 41.8 179.8 4.3 0.8 16.2 27.8 58.3 207.1 6 11 16.9 17.4 32.3 101.3 3.1 1.1 26 30 Marshall 40.9 29.4 40.0 169.2 4.2 0.6 35.3 50.6 69.9 365.1 12 39 43.1 26.7 45.8 218.5 4.8 0.7 29 21 Maryland 20.1 15.3 39.2 103.2 2.6 1.5 13.9 25.5 54.6 181.5 12 17 27.2 17.8 37.1 129.3 3.5 1.3 40 27 Massachusetts 12.7 17.2 34.2 91.6 2.7 0.8 19.8 37.0 53.4 186.7 19 9 40.2 23.6 42.7 225.6 5.3 0.5 33 12 Memphis 24.4 17.6 40.8 151.8 3.7 1.8 15.2 23.6 64.3 166.6 3 18 30.3 22.3 35.4 138.0 3.9 1.3 23 29 Miami, Fl 31.4 20.3 31.0 145.8 4.7 0.7 21.9 37.2 59.0 295.3 7 23 30.5 26.2 43.8 217.9 5.0 0.9 18 12 Miami, Oh 23.3 20.9 28.3 86.6 3.1 0.6 25.9 41.3 62.8 298.7 12 26 34.9 24.7 44.1 241.1 5.5 0.2 39 15 Michigan 30.0 18.6 38.1 187.2 4.9 0.6 12.6 23.4 53.7 198.0 18 17 18.8 18.3 41.4 155.9 3.8 0.8 15 20 Michigan St 20.3 19.6 37.4 151.0 4.0 0.6 19.4 36.5 53.2 218.8 10 13 16.3 14.6 30.0 100.4 3.3 0.4 19 15 Middle Tenn 26.6 20.3 38.8 176.7 4.5 0.8 18.1 28.7 63.1 216.1 8 16 28.0 23.3 40.9 188.8 4.6 1.3 7 14 Minnesota 21.3 17.2 38.6 146.1 3.8 0.6 13.9 25.9 53.7 171.4 14 17 23.9 18.7 37.8 174.3 4.6 0.6 18 25 Mississippi 30.9 22.3 41.8 169.7 4.1 0.9 19.8 31.2 63.4 257.1 16 21 28.5 19.5 37.3 134.3 3.6 1.0 33 33 Mississippi St 30.3 20.4 32.3 141.9 4.4 0.6 19.7 32.8 59.9 248.3 6 26 22.4 21.8 38.5 165.9 4.3 1.2 16 19 Missouri 25.8 18.3 37.6 140.2 3.7 0.7 19.0 34.5 55.1 217.9 14 15 28.4 20.4 37.6 148.7 4.0 1.3 27 22 N Illinois 40.8 23.8 44.7 250.2 5.6 1.0 17.7 28.4 62.3 235.6 5 25 19.0 22.3 42.3 139.0 3.3 0.8 14 38 Navy 24.8 21.8 53.8 276.4 5.1 1.2 7.8 13.3 58.1 111.3 4 9 22.7 21.3 39.5 178.0 4.5 0.8 20 18 NC State 28.4 21.6 37.2 116.9 3.1 1.2 24.6 43.0 57.2 304.0 14 30 24.6 19.3 37.8 157.9 4.2 0.7 36 32 Nebraska 35.1 23.5 46.8 254.9 5.4 1.6 16.7 27.0 61.8 207.5 11 22 26.2 17.8 40.5 194.4 4.8 0.7 29 28 Nevada 37.0 28.2 50.1 260.1 5.2 0.8 20.8 31.2 66.6 242.7 8 21 32.5 24.2 41.9 213.2 5.1 0.9 18 20 New Mexico 25.8 19.4 52.8 300.9 5.7 0.8 6.1 11.8 51.3 68.8 4 5 30.2 21.8 32.9 174.9 5.3 1.0 10 21 New Mexico St 18.7 18.6 32.5 99.3 3.1 1.3 17.8 33.4 53.4 236.1 11 19 39.4 22.7 39.2 221.8 5.7 0.4 42 11 North Carolina 40.6 24.3 38.1 193.8 5.1 1.0 23.9 36.8 65.1 291.8 7 29 25.7 20.8 39.5 142.7 3.6 0.8 11 29 North Texas 20.9 20.0 39.8 173.5 4.4 0.3 17.8 31.3 57.1 219.5 14 14 28.0 20.8 32.8 163.7 5.0 0.7 6 17 Northwestern 31.5 22.5 46.3 230.9 5.0 0.7 17.5 27.8 63.1 166.8 4 14 22.8 21.4 33.9 122.8 3.6 1.3 16 25 Notre Dame 26.8 22.3 40.6 202.0 5.0 0.6 17.1 29.3 58.2 219.0 7 13 10.3 16.0 29.3 93.6 3.2 0.6 16 31 Ohio 30.6 23.4 46.5 202.0 4.3 0.3 19.6 31.6 62.0 233.5 4 21 25.7 21.1 35.8 165.2 4.6 1.0 27 19 Ohio St 37.2 21.7 46.6 242.8 5.2 0.9 13.4 23.2 57.9 181.5 7 17 22.8 18.1 32.8 115.8 3.5 0.5 21 25 Oklahoma 40.3 27.1 33.3 165.6 5.0 0.8 28.3 43.5 65.1 341.4 10 29 24.2 18.7 37.8 180.6 4.8 0.3 12 29 Oklahoma St 44.7 26.5 39.8 214.8 5.4 0.5 23.9 38.4 62.3 333.7 16 29 29.4 24.1 37.7 140.6 3.7 0.7 10 22 Oregon 50.8 28.0 53.2 325.3 6.1 0.8 20.1 29.3 68.5 228.5 9 32 22.0 21.4 36.0 145.1 4.0 1.2 17 28 Oregon St 33.0 24.0 33.3 125.3 3.8 0.5 25.1 39.8 63.1 317.2 14 27 19.8 19.5 32.6 132.6 4.1 0.9 24 27 Penn St 29.1 22.6 39.6 143.8 3.6 0.7 22.7 38.0 59.6 273.6 5 24 19.1 18.3 36.3 129.3 3.6 1.0 17 30 Pittsburgh 27.4 20.1 37.8 137.5 3.6 0.5 20.2 30.3 66.7 262.9 2 19 19.7 18.9 34.3 128.9 3.8 0.6 32 24 Purdue 29.9 20.7 36.4 164.8 4.5 0.8 22.9 37.3 61.4 240.8 12 29 29.0 20.6 38.3 179.8 4.7 0.9 23 20 Rice 31.8 23.5 47.6 201.3 4.2 1.2 17.9 31.0 57.8 219.8 5 16 31.3 21.2 38.2 192.8 5.1 1.2 31 26 Rutgers 22.4 16.9 32.7 126.2 3.9 0.4 17.2 29.3 58.5 215.0 15 18 14.3 17.9 35.7 104.6 2.9 1.1 8 22 San Diego St 35.1 22.0 44.9 229.3 5.1 1.0 14.2 23.3 60.7 178.6 8 21 24.5 21.4 37.9 140.8 3.7 1.0 32 31 San Jose St 35.3 22.9 35.3 124.3 3.5 1.2 25.3 35.4 71.3 327.5 9 33 21.4 18.1 34.3 123.7 3.6 1.3 25 40 SMU 29.5 19.5 30.3 128.9 4.3 0.7 21.6 40.7 53.1 237.3 13 15 27.0 20.7 33.0 129.1 3.9 1.2 29 17 South Alabama 18.5 19.4 37.6 123.5 3.3 1.3 18.8 34.5 54.3 209.8 16 16 29.5 20.1 39.5 164.5 4.2 0.8 31 24 South Carolina 31.4 20.3 39.5 142.2 3.6 0.8 16.7 27.4 60.8 229.0 9 25 17.4 17.4 38.3 121.2 3.2 0.7 34 40 Southern Miss 19.7 17.9 39.8 154.8 3.9 1.3 12.6 26.1 48.2 168.3 13 9 37.8 22.2 41.7 207.5 5.0 0.6 30 19 Stanford 28.5 19.5 39.5 173.1 4.4 0.6 17.4 29.1 59.8 203.0 10 19 17.5 18.4 30.7 87.4 2.8 0.8 21 53 Syracuse 29.3 24.9 40.8 171.8 4.2 0.9 23.6 37.5 62.9 302.0 9 24 25.7 19.8 36.3 148.2 4.1 0.8 14 24 TCU 29.3 19.7 40.2 158.3 3.9 1.3 18.7 31.1 60.1 239.5 11 26 23.1 17.4 31.8 106.1 3.3 0.9 25 26 Temple 24.7 16.6 42.5 201.2 4.7 1.2 10.5 20.1 52.5 120.8 6 10 31.2 21.5 42.5 199.4 4.7 1.2 18 23 Tennessee 36.2 24.3 34.5 160.3 4.6 0.7 23.7 39.7 59.7 315.4 14 35 35.7 22.7 39.8 188.8 4.7 0.4 8 17 Texas 36.1 22.4 38.5 179.0 4.6 0.4 20.5 30.3 67.6 261.9 10 23 29.4 20.8 41.4 199.8 4.8 0.4 14 24 Texas A&M 44.8 27.4 41.8 235.2 5.6 0.8 25.5 38.1 67.0 317.3 9 26 22.5 20.8 37.8 141.0 3.7 0.3 24 31 Texas St 28.6 19.4 34.4 179.3 5.2 0.7 18.1 30.1 60.1 200.4 8 17 33.5 25.8 40.8 231.8 5.7 1.0 28 11 Texas Tech 37.8 27.3 31.3 139.5 4.5 0.7 32.3 45.7 70.6 362.3 14 42 31.8 20.1 39.1 171.5 4.4 0.3 18 16 Toledo 32.9 23.1 40.3 197.5 4.9 0.8 21.0 33.5 62.7 258.6 9 19 27.3 23.8 34.5 168.1 4.9 0.7 24 22 Troy 30.6 25.6 38.2 167.3 4.4 1.2 28.1 42.4 66.2 331.5 12 22 30.5 21.4 39.1 185.2 4.7 1.2 15 13 Tulane 21.4 17.8 23.3 39.6 1.7 1.1 25.8 44.7 57.8 279.9 20 22 38.4 24.9 44.0 222.9 5.1 0.8 34 19 Tulsa 35.0 23.2 48.4 240.2 5.0 0.8 18.2 34.5 52.9 220.5 12 19 24.2 18.3 37.8 121.2 3.2 1.1 8 48 UAB 28.3 22.5 34.7 110.3 3.2 1.2 23.3 39.9 58.2 308.8 13 21 37.5 21.6 39.8 182.7 4.6 1.0 42 20 UCF 35.2 20.6 37.3 178.7 4.8 0.6 18.1 29.2 62.0 222.0 7 25 22.5 20.7 40.0 162.4 4.1 1.2 23 23 UCLA 35.1 24.2 44.0 203.0 4.6 1.1 22.8 34.1 67.0 271.4 11 26 25.9 21.2 38.1 155.0 4.1 1.1 46 45 ULM 35.5 23.8 34.3 146.0 2.5 0.3 26.8 41.6 64.5 296.7 12 31 27.8 21.5 35.8 135.8 3.8 0.8 22 24 UNLV 22.0 19.5 34.8 149.1 4.3 0.5 19.2 36.0 53.4 218.8 17 18 32.6 22.8 45.1 207.2 4.6 0.6 25 20 USC 34.2 22.6 30.7 153.0 5.0 1.1 22.7 35.5 63.8 299.3 17 38 24.6 22.7 38.9 156.7 4.0 0.8 17 41 USF 20.6 20.9 35.5 152.0 4.3 1.0 18.8 34.2 55.1 215.5 15 14 27.4 22.0 41.3 150.5 3.6 0.6 21 25 Utah 26.7 17.8 37.2 133.8 3.6 0.8 18.3 29.3 62.7 190.7 9 16 25.1 19.5 34.6 128.2 3.7 1.2 25 29 Utah St 34.4 20.6 36.8 194.9 5.3 0.8 21.8 32.2 67.6 267.5 10 27 15.4 18.6 38.1 111.8 2.9 0.4 16 39 UTEP 21.2 19.4 41.8 148.5 3.9 0.8 16.5 31.3 52.7 224.0 13 16 29.8 22.3 39.9 194.2 4.9 1.0 31 20 UTSA 31.2 19.4 35.8 159.3 4.4 0.7 18.4 30.7 60.1 231.0 7 23 28.8 21.0 32.5 109.5 3.4 1.3 7 22 Vanderbilt 29.3 19.1 40.3 171.4 4.3 1.1 15.8 26.8 59.0 221.2 5 14 18.3 17.7 38.1 150.6 4.0 0.4 22 29 Virginia 22.8 19.0 34.8 128.5 3.7 0.9 23.0 39.5 58.2 268.0 15 23 28.9 18.6 36.3 144.9 4.0 0.7 25 17 Virginia Tech 26.1 19.8 39.6 157.8 4.0 0.7 17.4 33.1 52.6 234.1 15 17 23.9 18.2 37.2 139.7 3.8 0.6 21 32 W Michigan 29.3 23.7 33.7 149.5 4.4 0.8 25.3 42.6 59.5 289.8 21 28 29.7 20.8 38.5 155.2 4.0 0.8 20 25 Wake Forest 18.5 15.8 33.5 100.5 3.0 0.7 19.9 35.6 56.0 200.8 7 13 31.8 21.4 40.8 166.1 4.1 1.0 27 25 Washington 23.8 18.8 35.7 119.5 3.8 1.1 20.5 33.3 61.7 210.4 12 18 23.8 18.2 36.3 164.3 4.5 1.3 34 26 Washington St 20.4 20.8 20.9 29.3 1.4 0.8 30.4 52.1 58.4 330.3 21 23 33.7 22.8 40.8 163.3 4.0 0.5 57 37 West Virginia 41.6 26.3 36.2 179.9 5.0 0.4 29.8 42.2 70.6 340.0 7 41 38.1 23.1 40.3 142.6 3.5 0.8 19 21 Wisconsin 30.8 19.2 45.4 237.8 5.2 0.5 12.3 21.1 58.4 162.5 5 14 19.1 16.8 33.6 124.5 3.7 0.5 27 31 WKU 28.8 21.0 39.5 186.2 4.7 1.0 16.6 25.9 64.0 205.7 12 23 25.6 19.4 35.2 138.3 3.9 0.8 24 31 Wyoming 26.8 20.7 36.8 125.4 3.4 0.4 20.8 34.3 60.6 265.4 8 29 33.4 24.6 44.3 232.3 5.3 1.2 26 13 6
PRO FOOTBALL DECEMBER 13th-17th Obviously this newsletter is based upon statistical numbers & rankings that are used to develop the projections you see here. The numbers in parenthesis are a comparison of the teams rankings (Visitor, visitors offense ranking vs home defense ranking, Home, home offensive ranking vs visitor defensive ranking). THURSDAY, DECEMBER 13th CINCINNATI 152 135 24 0 #8 PHILADELPHIA 121 219 17-19 #22 (CIN #9 vs PHI #20, PHI #18 vs CIN #4) - PHI netted their 1st win in over 80 days on the fi nal play of the game vs TB despite just 29 yds rushing. CIN is off a tough home loss to an inspired DAL team & now have to travel on a short week in what is expected to be Reid s fi nal national TV game with PHI. This is CIN s 1st Thur Nite game in 2 years & while PP leans with CIN here the home team who we expect to be motivated has the yard edge making it a No Play. Get the Thursday Night Marquee on gameday after 12:00 pm ET by calling your Northcoast Debit Card ($9) or through our office ($12). This play is also available on your Marquee 7-Pack! NO PLAY: BENGALS 24 EAGLES 17 SUNDAY, DECEMBER 16th GREEN BAY 99 161 21 +7 #12 CHICAGO 148 230 22 +13 #1 (GB #19 vs CHI #12, CHI #26 vs GB #21) - The Bears are in free-fall mode right now having gone from the #3 seed to barely hanging onto the #6 seed due to injuries. GB has covered 8 straight in Div play & have a shot at the #2 seed if SF stumbles. PP calls for the Bears to pull an upset with the 2nd biggest yardage margin (+118) as GB has given up 379 ypg over the L10 games. GB expects to have Woodson/Matthews back for this while Cutler s status is a bit murkier. We disagree with PP here so this is a No Play. NO PLAY: BEARS 22 PACKERS 21 NY GIANTS 134 217 26 +16 #20 ATLANTA 91 298 20 +6 #31 (NYG #10 vs ATL #14, ATL #13 vs NYG #16) - LW s results diminished the line value here with the Giants slamming NO and ATL being embarrassed by CAR. ATL is 11-3-1 ATS at home off a loss & they are 3-0 SU/ATS vs tms that own a winning record right now. Despite their big win over NO the Giants have no room to relax with the NFC East being a tight race. PP calls for the Giants who have covered 5 straight as AD s to get the win & with their edge in TO s & special teams we agree. 4 GIANTS 26 (+) FALCONS 20 TAMPA BAY 125 219 28 +12 #25 NEW ORLEANS 82 194 32-4 #7 (TB #20 vs NO #18, NO #4 vs TB #17) - NO has dropped 3 straight since their 5-1 SU/ATS run as teams have overstressed Brees by exploiting the defense s inability to mount a pass rush (1 sack L3). TB is stinging from a last second loss to a PHI team that has been all but written off with a rookie QB. PP has this right around the line for the side but the total is worth a look here with the defenses combining for a 50-27 ratio TY. NO PLAY: SAINTS 32 BUCS 28 2 SAINTS/BUCS: OVER MINNESOTA 143 138 14-5 #23 ST LOUIS 138 300 20-1 #30 (MIN #23 vs STL #10, STL #27 vs MIN #26) - The surprise here isn t that PP calls for the Rams to get the win its that the Rams are to have the biggest yardage margin of the week (+157). Then again, Ponder has passed for under 160 yds in 4 of his L5 games coinciding with the loss of Harvin. MIN s lack of receiving depth has crippled the offense but it reminds us of 2009 with TEN making Johnson s 2000 yds the goal of the team. We ll root for Peterson to hit the milestone but agree with STL getting the win here but won t overreact as STL is 0-4 SU/ATS as a favorite. 2 RAMS 20 VIKINGS 14 WASHINGTON 163 196 21 +12 #21 CLEVELAND 123 278 22 +8 #27 (WAS #7 vs CLE #11, CLE #15 vs WAS #19) - There isn t likely to be a line until Friday pending the health of Griffi n (sprained right knee). We aren t surprised that Cousins pulled the upset of BAL LW as most teams aren t prepped for the QB off the bench (sans Tebow). A wounded Griffi n makes him more vulnerable in the pocket for CLE that is pulling in 1 sack every 11 att s over the L4W (8th). While its refreshing to say the Browns are no longer an easy out, not having a line makes this a No Play. NO PLAY: BROWNS 22 REDSKINS 21 JACKSONVILLE 57 202 12 0 #32 MIAMI 148 197 27-11 #11 (JAX #21 vs MIA #9, MIA #31 vs JAX #31) - It s tough to evaluate Henne for 2013 as the Jags simply lack any sort of healthy playmakers right now. They only have 1 game where they earned over 400 yds offense & they needed a full 5th Qtr to do it. Their 258 yd forecast is 25 yds below their YTD avg. JAX is haunted by their lack of a pass rush once again (14, 1 every 32 atts) but the fact MIA is 6-20-1 ATS as a HF has us pass on this as the Jags desperately try to get out of the 1st overall pick discussion. NO PLAY: DOLPHINS 27 JAGUARS 12 DENVER 99 242 24-2 #17 BALTIMORE 116 197 22 +12 #9 (DEN #8 vs BAL #13, BAL #22 vs DEN #6) - The Broncos have a big edge with rest after barely breaking a sweat vs OAK LW & are the vastly healthier team also. Their #16 pass D is the only major off/def ranking not in the top 10 & that s offset by the fact their 15 int is tied for #6. BAL s lack of spd outside of Torrey Smith once again hurts the pass gm & Manning has a 13-5 ratio vs this D system for a 7-0 SU/ATS mark. PP has this at the line with no signifi cant yardage edge though so its a No Play. NO PLAY: BRONCOS 24 RAVENS 22 INDIANAPOLIS 69 282 17-16 #29 HOUSTON 138 313 30 +14 #24 (IND #11 vs HOU #29, HOU #2 vs IND #27) - The Colts need just 1 more win to earn a playoff spot which is remarkable since they had the #1 DC TY & their -16 TO s is #30 NFL. HOU is off LW s MNF gm vs NE which had major seeding implications. This will be only the 2nd tm that has a winning rec d right now that IND has faced & they gave up 59 pts in the other one. IND s only win over a quality foe was GB 2 months ago. HOU stands to be a large fav here but they have huge talent edges on both sides of the ball along with the TO edge to not make them a play esp with the massive TO difference. 4 TEXANS 30 COLTS 17 CAROLINA 125 215 22 +1 #26 SAN DIEGO 102 266 27 0 #13 (CAR #5 vs SD #24, SD #30 vs CAR #15) - Both teams are off major upsets with SD slamming PIT & CAR manhandling ATL. SD has been outgained by an avg of 90 ypg the L4W (31st) while CAR has outgained foes by 40 ypg (9th). Both coaches are highly questionable to return for 2013 & there is a good deal of familiarity as Rivera installed the 3-4 system when he was the DC for SD. PP has this right around the line with no signifi cant yardage difference making it a No Play. NO PLAY: CHARGERS 27 PANTHERS 22 SEATTLE 171 196 29 +8 #15 BUFFALO 149 156 14-7 #3 (SEA #3 vs BUF #2, BUF #29 vs SEA #5) - Toronto - Bills fans hoping to get more Spiller (86 ypg 6.6) will get their wish as Fred Jackson (MCL) is out. This is another good matchup for SEA after destroying ARZ LW as the Bills are pretty thin in terms of threats on offense. BUF s D is starting to look like what they were projected to at the start of the ssn all h 69 ypg rush (2.8) the L4W. PP calls for SEA to get the win here & keep in mind they d be on a 5 gm SU/ATS win streak if not for a bad roughing the passer pen at the end of the MIA gm. SEA won as a 4 for us here LW & we call for them to do so again. 4 SEAHAWKS 29 BILLS 14 DETROIT 154 210 27-6 #28 ARIZONA 99 179 16 0 #14 (DET #1 vs ARZ #22, ARZ #32 vs DET #28) - Simply put, ARZ s QB situation is so bad that Blaine Gabbert would be an upgrade. They have been held to under 125 net yds passing in 3 of their L4 with an 0-9 ratio the L4W. DET s offensive ranking the L4W isn t a surprise but their DB/Spec Tms play TY has ensured them of a losing season. PP calls for DET to snare the win but we aren t sold on their mental state after their loss to GB & we also want to see if ARZ names DC Horton as the interim here so No Play. NO PLAY: LIONS 27 CARDINALS 16 PITTSBURGH 89 245 24-13 #18 DALLAS 64 258 28-10 #19 (PIT #24 vs DAL #23, DAL #12 vs PIT #3) - LW s results set up a good situation here with PIT off a dreadful defensive effort & DAL being 6-20-1 ATS as a favorite. PIT usually struggles when Roethlisberger returns from injury & PIT is 8-2-1 ATS after giving up 30 or more pts. DAL is off an inspired victory on the road & now return home where they have failed to cover 9 straight. PP calls for DAL to get the win here but we think PIT will bring some old school physicality here so No Play. NO PLAY: COWBOYS 28 STEELERS 24 KANSAS CITY 194 206 20-22 #16 OAKLAND 126 261 21-7 #10 (KC #28 vs OAK #32, OAK #16 vs KC #25) - The dog has covered 11 straight in the series & the Raiders are 1-7 ATS at home. OAK has been outgained by 43 ypg (24th) at home TY & teams off a Thur Nite loss are on a 4-8 ATS run. KC won t have Bowe (brkn ribs) for the rest of the ssn but their ground game (150 ypg 4.7 L4W) gets an OAK def allowing 159 ypg (4.9) that is 30th over the same span. OAK is expected to give QB Pryor some reps which will help out the KC defense. PP leans with the dog here & we agree as well. 2 CHIEFS 20 (+) RAIDERS 21 SAN FRANCISCO 135 220 24 +6 #2 NEW ENGLAND 108 274 33 +24 #5 (SF #14 vs NE #30, NE #5 vs SF #1) - The Patriots get another marquee team in primetime to try & earn a coveted bye week. SF took advantage of a limited MIA team on the road as a 3 LPS for us. Now will be the time for Kaepernick to prove what he s got vs an elite team as SF tries to hold off the surging Seahawks in the NFC West. The #1 offense hosts the #2 defense for everyone to see. NO PLAY: PATRIOTS 33 49ERS 24 MONDAY, DECEMBER 17th NY JETS 122 89 15-6 #6 TENNESSEE 149 151 19-10 #4 (NYJ #25 vs TEN #7, TEN #17 vs NYJ #8) - Despite everything that s happened to them the Jets are just 1 game out of a playoff spot right now. While they do have a big defensive edge vs a young QB PP actually gives the Titans the yardage edge here. TEN has played a brutal sked TY (#1) & this is their 1st MNF home game since 2008. Can the Jets defense seize the day or will the Titans send their playoff dreams into the hanger. Get the Monday Night Marquee on gameday after 12:00 pm ET by calling your Northcoast Debit Card ($9) or through our office ($12). This play is also available on your Marquee 7-Pack! And don t forget about the MONDAY NIGHT MAGIC! Get the play for $30 on your Northcoast Debit Card & if it fails to cover we ll credit $40 back the next day! NO PLAY: TITANS 19 JETS 15 7 2012 NFL POWER RATINGS TEAM RTG 1 Houston...102.0 2 New England..101.0 3 Denver...100.5 4 San Francisco...100.0 5 Green Bay...99.5 6 Atlanta...99.0 7 Baltimore...98.5 8 NY Giants...97.9 9 Chicago...97.0 10 Pittsburgh...96.5 11 Seattle...96.2 12 Indianapolis...96.0 13 Washington...95.9 14 Dallas...95.5 15 Tampa Bay...95.0 16 Cincinnati...95.0 TEAM RTG 17 San Diego...95.0 18 New Orleans...94.5 19 Detroit...94.0 20 Minnesota...94.0 21 Miami...93.5 22 NY Jets...92.3 23 Cleveland...91.0 24 Carolina...90.5 25 St Louis...90.5 26 Buffalo...90.0 27 Tennessee...89.5 28 Philadelphia...88.5 29 Oakland...88.0 30 Jacksonville...87.5 31 Kansas City...87.5 32 Arizona...87.0 These are current 2012 Power Rating grades for each team based on talent. STREAKERS STREAKERS SIDES WINS Cleveland 4 Washington 4 St Louis 4 SIDES LOSS Oakland 6 Green Bay 4 Minnesota 3 New Orleans 3 OVERS Carolina 3 Seattle 3 UNDERS Cleveland 7 Cincinnati 5 Oakland 4
COMPASS BOWL Saturday, January 5th 1:00 pm ESPN Legion Field PITTSBURGH (6-6) Birmingham, AL MISSISSIPPI (6-6) PITTSBURGH 105 279 25 +12 100.2 MISSISSIPPI 136 279 28-1 109.1 You would have to think that the Pitt fan base will be limited to friends and family of the players as the Panthers are now making their 3rd consec trip here. This is SEC country and Ole Miss should have the crowd edge and PP projects a 3 pt victory. NO PLAY: MISSISSIPPI 28 PITTSBURGH 25 GODADDY.COM BOWL Sunday, January 6th 9:00 pm ESPN Ladd Peebles Stadium ARKANSAS ST (9-3) Mobile, AL KENT ST (11-2) ARKANSAS ST 184 310 35 +8 97.4 KENT ST 207 162 31 +21 97.1 Another matchup where the forecasted outcome is right at the current line. Kent St saw its BCS bubble burst in the MAC Title game but neither the Flashes nor Arkansas St will have their head coach on the sideline here. NO PLAY: ARKANSAS ST 35 KENT ST 31 BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP Monday, January 7th 8:30 pm ESPN Sun Life Stadium ALABAMA (12-1) Miami Gardens, FL NOTRE DAME (12-0) ALABAMA 133 210 21 +15 106.8 NOTRE DAME 122 140 10 +9 108.5 Rarefi ed air for the Irish while trips to the BCS Championship for the Tide have become the norm. With the line as of presstime around 10 and Alabama forecasted with a 10 pt win, we ll pass and watch with interest in this projected low scoring game. NO PLAY: ALABAMA 21 NOTRE DAME 10 POST SEASON LATE PHONES (COMBINED BOWLS & PLAYOFFS) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 61-39 61% Post Season Executive Club Service You re covered for the entire Post Season! Starts Dec 15 th (last 3 weeks of NFL reg season not included) Price per Gm Total Every Bowl Side INCLUDING THE GOY 32 x $ 30 $ 960 Every Bowl Totals Play 32 x $ 9 $ 288 Every NFL Playoff Side Play 10 x $ 30 $ 300 Every NFL Playoff Totals Play 10 x $ 9 $ 90 Super Bowl Side and Total $ 39 $ 39 Marquee Props - Playoffs & Super Bowl 20 x $ 9 $ 180 Super Bowl System $ 30 $ 30 TOTAL IF PURCHASED SEPARATELY $ 1887 SEC Alabama 156 154 Texas A&M 139 153 Georgia 145 152 LSU 156 147 Florida 143 146 South Carolina 142 145 Vanderbilt 140 144 Mississippi 124 139 Mississippi St 139 135 Missouri 143 133 Tennessee 141 132 Arkansas 149 130 Auburn 142 119 Kentucky 129 118 65%! 07-12 REG SSN GAMES OF MONTH (Y) 36-19 65%! Sign up and get OR GET THE ENTIRE CARD! the entire NFL Card for Week 15 of the NFL season! All rated LPS, Marquees and Top Opinions incl the 2012 NFL Game of the Year! Non... $ 150 2012 Subs... $ 100 2013 Subs... $ 75 NORTHCOAST SPORTS PLUS OR MINUS POWER RATINGS The Power Ratings listed below are not based on the Power Plays, they are based on last year s nal computer power rating numbers with the pluses and minuses from the off season changes factored in. They are then adjusted during the course of the season based on the nal score of the games that are played on a weekly basis. MOUNTAIN WEST Fresno St 124 137 Boise St 140 136 San Diego St 121 132 Nevada 129 122 Wyoming 123 118 Air Force 125 117 Colorado St 116 115 Hawaii 116 112 New Mexico 111 111 UNLV 110 108 BIG TEN Wisconsin 145 145 Ohio St 143 145 Michigan 143 142 Northwestern 132 139 Penn St 123 138 Michigan St 141 136 Nebraska 137 136 Purdue 133 128 Iowa 130 126 Minnesota 130 124 Indiana 123 119 Illinois 127 113 CUSA UCF 135 136 Tulsa 139 133 SMU 127 126 East Carolina 130 125 Rice 114 125 Houston 139 120 Marshall 124 120 UTEP 121 117 Memphis 110 116 UAB 116 113 S Mississippi 129 108 Tulane 105 108 Save 60%! Pay Only: $ 749 BIG 12 Kansas St 145 152 Oklahoma 149 150 Oklahoma St 152 149 Baylor 138 146 West Virginia 145 144 TCU 142 142 Texas 146 141 Iowa St 131 136 Texas Tech 138 131 Kansas 129 116 WAC Utah St 118 134 San Jose St 123 132 Louisiana Tech 138 128 Texas St 91 109 UTSA 87 104 Idaho 114 99 New Mexico St 109 95 2012 NFL GAME OF THE YEAR!!! Released Sunday Dec 16, 2012 4-1 80% L5Y! PITT UM PITT UM PITT UM QB - 1/2 RB 1/2 - WR - 1/2 PITT UM CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - - DL 1/2 - LB - 1/2 DB 1/2 - Pitt avg 6-5 323, 2 Sr, 34 sk all d (9.4%), 3.6 ypc. UM avg 6-4 308, 1 Sr, 33 sk all d (8.8%), 4.1 ypc. Pitt avg 6-3 273, 14 of tm s 23 sks (61%), 3.8 ypc. UM avg 6-3 280, 7 of tm s 34 sks (21%), 3.6 ypc. Thomas #4 tkl r w/51, 1.5 tfl, Williams #5, 3.5 tfl. Nkemdiche #1 tkl r w/78, 12 tfl, Marry #3, 6.5 tfl. Pitt #33 pass eff D, 197 ypg (57%), 12-13 ratio. UM #60 pass eff D, 250 ypg (64%), 19-14 ratio. ASU KSU ASU KSU ASU KSU QB - RB - 1/2 WR 1/2 - ASU KSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - - DB - 1/2 ASU avg 6-3 295, 1 Sr, 13 sk all d (3.4%), 5.2 ypc. KSU avg 6-3 303, 3 Sr, 20 sk all d (6.2%), 5.4 ypc. ASU avg 6-3 271, 14.5 of tm s 18 sks (81%), 4.0 ypc. KSU avg 6-1 258, 25.5 of tm s 33 sks (77%), 4.0 ypc. Herrold #1 tkl r w/109, 10 tfl, Lee #2 w/87. Batton #1 tkl r w/132, 5.5 tfl, Malauulu #4. ASU #89 pass eff D, 233 ypg (65%), 21-12 ratio. KSU #73 pass eff D, 277 ypg (60%), 26-23 ratio. UA ND UA ND UA ND QB - RB 1/2 - WR 1/2 - UA ND CHECKLIST COMMENTS DL - - LB - 1/2 DB 1/2 - UA avg 6-5 314, 2 Sr, 23 sk all d (7.6%), 5.6 ypc. ND avg 6-4 304, 4 Sr, 16 sk all d (4.5%), 5.0 ypc. UA avg 6-4 296, 12 of tm s 33 sks (36%), 2.5 ypc. ND avg 6-4 312, 23.5 of tm s 34 sks (69%), 3.2 ypc. Mosley #1 tkl r w/99, 7 tfl, DePriest #2, 4 tfl. Te o #1 tkl r w/103, 5.5 tfl, Fox #4, 2 tfl. UA #3 pass eff D, 166 ypg (54%), 7-17 ratio. ND #10 pass eff D, 194 ypg (59%), 7-16 ratio. $100 ON THE NC DEBIT CARD After 11:00 am est on Sunday Dec 16, 2012 12 Subs PAY ONLY...$75 THRU OFFICE 13 Subs PAY ONLY... $50 THRU OFFICE PAC-12 Oregon 150 158 Stanford 148 151 USC 160 143 Oregon St 141 143 UCLA 132 141 Arizona St 122 141 Arizona 130 135 Washington 131 134 Utah 138 129 Washington St 129 124 California 135 121 Colorado 127 111 MAC N Illinois 131 141 Kent St 122 134 Ball St 124 130 Bowling Green 125 126 Toledo 125 124 Cent Michigan 120 118 W Michigan 128 117 Ohio 120 117 Buffalo 114 115 Miami, Oh 130 114 E Michigan 121 112 Akron 96 107 UMass 92 98 PITT UM CCH - - There s still a chance that Pitt may see another new HC, but at this time we ll call them even. - Pitt may have a few of the players parents here, while Birmingham is SEC country. MTCH - - As you can see by the list, no one is dominant INT - on either off or D. We ll call it even. Pitt is in this bowl for 3rd str yr and at 6-6 they can t be excited. ST - SCH - ASU KSU CCH - - 1/2 - MTCH - All Times Listed Are Eastern and Subject to Change. ACC Florida St 152 147 Clemson 133 145 Miami, Fl 133 137 NC State 140 136 Georgia Tech 135 136 North Carolina 133 136 Virginia Tech 137 132 Duke 132 126 Virginia 126 125 Maryland 126 125 Boston College 141 123 Wake Forest 126 116 SUN BELT Arkansas St 119 133 Louisiana 125 127 ULM 124 124 Troy 117 122 WKU 128 119 FIU 120 118 Middle Tenn 108 117 Florida Atlantic 106 114 North Texas 122 113 South Alabama 89 104 Both cch s have left to take BCS jobs and 2 interims will be coaching the bowl here. Arkansas St played in this bowl LY and brought a solid contingent with them. ASU has played the superior sked yet still fi nished + 30 ypg vs bowl tms while KSU was -76. KSU thrilled to make their 1st bowl s/ 71 but was close to Orange Bowl. ST - SCH 1/2 - UA ND CCH - - - MTCH 1/2 - INT 1/2 - Saturday December 15 Thursday December 20 Friday December 21 Saturday December 22 Sunday, December 23 PRO CALL-IN 11-1 pm Monday December 24 Wednesday December 26 Thursday December 27 Friday December 28 Saturday December 29 Sunday December 30 PRO CALL-IN 11-1 pm Monday December 31 11:00 am to noon Tuesday January 1 11:00 am to noon ARKANSAS ST by 2 s While Kelly may be this year s COY, Saban is among the best in CFB history. Both tms haven t ply d here in more than a decade and it will be 1 of the hottest tickets ever. Bama has the better rush ypc on both offense and defense. UA s exp d DB s vs young ND QB. While ND can play the disrespect card, Bama has been here & done that. ST - SCH - 1/2 OLE MISS by 5 s ALABAMA by 8 s BOWL LATE PHONE CALL-IN SCHEDULE CLOSED CHRISTMAS DAY (Times EST & Subject to Change) Wednesday January 2 Thursday January 3 Friday January 4 Saturday January 5 Sunday January 6 PRO CALL-IN 11-1 pm Monday January 7 Happy Holidays from the Staff at Northcoast Sports! BIG EAST Pittsburgh 131 138 Syracuse 122 138 Cincinnati 131 136 Louisville 140 130 Rutgers 134 129 Connecticut 134 126 Temple 127 121 USF 137 120 INDEPENDENT Notre Dame 142 149 BYU 143 138 Navy 128 123 Army 133 117 PLUS OR MINUS POWER RATINGS UPDATED THRU 12/9/12