DNB Markets SME Conference Baard Schumann, CEO Haavard Rønning, CFO March 19, 2013

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Conference Welcome and Introduction

Transcription:

DNB Markets SME Conference 2013 Baard Schumann, CEO Haavard Rønning, CFO March 19, 2013

Selvaag Bolig is a residential developer that provides targeted housing concepts to suit aspirations of different households in and around the main cities: Oslo, Stavanger and Bergen

Three well defined and robust concepts Affordable apartments based on a "no frills" model Low cost land plots situated in fringe zones of large cities Mostly modular based construction Young people in the start-up phase Apartments/small houses situated in high density areas Established housing solutions, solid quality and well planned living environment Modular and on site construction Single people/couples in all ages, with/without children Apartments with attractive, central location in large cities High quality standard coupled with a service concept On site construction Affluent customers who value comfort and convenience

Norway s leading homebuilder Tromsø 243 units Sales in 2012: 1 011 units Industrial approach to homebuilding Land bank for 9 500 homes Trondheim 260 units Housing concepts tailored to house buyer requirements Bergen 189 units Stavanger 1595 units Greater-Oslo 6787 units Stockholm 79 units Kristiansand 34 units Other 310 units Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31. December 2012. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig s share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) 260 units at Stord (Hordaland county) and 50 units at Alfaz Del Sol (Spain), 3) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. These have a development potential of ~1 600 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~ 1 200 and purchasing options for ~400. units.

Housing for all Housing for all The Gullhaug House 2013 Pluss: Housing with extra service 50 000 homes completed 2012 e Modular construction 2011 2003 Listed at Oslo Børs 2000 1999 Løren district Defind hous i ng concept s Industrial production 1948 1951 Terraced buildings 1958 1988 Veitvet district «You can't criticise things unless you can simultaneously present an alternative or a solution which is better than the one you're criticizing» The Ekeberg House Olav Selvaag

Project optimization Value creation Residential development Value creation in Selvaag Bolig 6 36 MONTHS 6 12 MONTHS 12 24 MONTHS 3 9 MONTHS Acquire and refine land for development Project design Marketing and sale Construction Zoning Sales start Construction start Deliveries Buy (i) options on unzoned land, or (ii) ready to build land Lever acquired land to improve ROE Plan and prepare for construction Target 60% pre-sale before start-up (irrevocable purchase contracts) Prices on remaining 40% increased gradually during sell out phase Fixed price contracts with reputable and solid counterpart Construction costs financed with construction loans Target 100% sale at delivery

Industrial approach Modular construction Sub-contractors in Estonia and Poland Modern factories 13 years of experience Profitable Lower construction costs Higher project margins Sensible house prices High quality Reduced risk of faults Technically better homes Energy efficient homes

Organisation Selvaag Bolig CEO Core business Employees: 67 None-core business Employees: 29 Administration Finance and accounting Sales and marketing Property investment Portfolio management Selvaag Bolig Modulbygg Supporting businesses Customer support SBO Rogaland Meglerhuset Selvaag SBO Vestfold Selvaag Pluss Service

FINANCIAL UPDATE Income statement IFRS as of Q4 2012 (figures in NOK million) Q4 2012 Q4 2011 FY 2012 FY 2011 Total operating revenues 1 252.1 166.9 2 812.0 309.8 Project expenses (967.7) (129.3) (2 141.3) (199.0) Other operating expenses (68.3) (75.7) (212.7) (173.0) Other gains (loss) (0.0) (0.3) 0.1 (0.3) Associated companies and joint ventures 13.2 8.1 53.4 75.4 EBITDA 229.152 (30.299) 511.5 12.9 Depreciation and amortisation (7.0) (4.5) (21.9) (5.8) EBIT 222.2 (34.793) 489.6 7.1 Net financial expenses (2.3) (2.6) (41.5) (36.1) Profit/(loss) before taxes 219.9 (37.4) 448.1 (29.0) Income taxes (55.6) 7.3 (101.8) 23.3 Net income 164.4 (30.1) 346.4 (5.7) Net income for the period attributable to: Minority interests 26.0 (1.0) 68.0 (1.0) Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA (majority interests) 138.3 (29.1) 278.4 (4.7)

FINANCIAL UPDATE Balance sheet as of Q4 2012 (figures in NOK million) 31.12.2012 31.12.2011 Intangible assets 459.6 479.3 Property, plant and equipment 6.5 5.6 Investments in associated companies and joint ventures 158.4 141.7 Other non-current assets 152.4 72.3 Total non-current assets 776.8 699.0 Inventories (property) 3 910.7 4 211.0 - Land 1 961.0 2 367.0 - Work in progress 1 831.7 1 749.4 - Finished goods 118.0 94.6 Other current receivables 502.5 119.5 Cash and cash equivalents 558.0 395.2 Total current assets 4 971.2 4 725.8 TOTAL ASSETS 5 748.0 5 424.7 Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA 2 072.2 1 304.2 Non-controlling interests 74.4 6.5 Total equity 2 146.6 1 310.7 Non-current interest-bearing liabilities 1 461.5 2 376.3 Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities 213.1 134.7 Total non-current liabilities 1 674.6 2 511.0 Current interest-bearing liabilities 1 368.8 1 189.6 Other current non interest-bearing liabilities 558.0 413.5 Total current liabilities 1 926.8 1 603.1 TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 5 748.0 5 424.7

FINANCIAL UPDATE Interest bearing debt as of Q4 2012 Interest bearing debt as at 31.12.2012 Loan facility 1 NOK 225 million term loan from DNB Drawn per 31.12.2012 (NOKm) Interest rate margin 224 4.00% 834 431 2 NOK 150 million revolving credit facility from DNB maturing in 2014 85 2.50% NOK 2 830 Million 3 NOK 150 million working capital facility from DNB maturing in 2014 4 NOK 500 million long term land loan from DNB 128 2.50% 494 2.25% 1 566 5 Land loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions 6 Construction loan facilities from a range of Nordic credit institutions 1 071 2.20% - 3.15% 834 2.20% - 3.00% Top-up loan Land loan Construction loan Note: Top up loan of NOK 437m differs form the summed up top up loan in the table (NOK 431m). The difference is due to NOK -7m in amortized cost which is not actual debt.

OPERATIONAL UPDATE Strong sales development Residential units sold Sales starts in Q4 No of units 1 011 388 649 Project # of units Category Segment Bjørnåsen Syd II, Oslo 158 Flats Greater Oslo Kaldnes Dockside, Tønsberg 32 Flats Greater Oslo Vestparken, Lørenskog 23 Flats Greater Oslo Lervig Brygge, Stavanger 80 Flats Rest of Norway 253 Total 293 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 12

OPERATIONAL UPDATE Number of units in production as of Q4 2012 Quarterly development Segment distribution as at 31.12.2012 No of units 194 39 1 014 1 128 1 059 993 1 067 1 067 units Greater Oslo Rest of Norway Other countries 835 Sales status as at 31.12.2012 14 % Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 1 067 units Sold Unsold Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig s ownership in joint ventures. Measure point: decision of construction start. Selvaag Bolig has a number of joint venture projects under construction. The joint venture partners share amount to 81 residential units, implying that Selvaag Bolig currently manages 1,074 residential units under construction 86 %

OPERATIONAL UPDATE Expected delivery of 672 units in 2013 Expected deliveries per quarter No of units 229 159 184 100 105 Lørenpynten Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Expected deliveries, partly owned units Expected deliveries, wholly owned units

MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Peer sales development Leading position in the Norwegian market No of units 1 011 749 649 500 450 144 Selvaag OBOS JM Skanska Veidekke NCC Lørenpynten Source: Reported figures 15

MARKET DEVELOPMENTS A continued strong housing market Selvaag Bolig is strategically well positioned Strong national macro indicators Significant housing need short and long term High immigration supports demand 74% of population growth from immigration Mainly labor related immigration High purchase power, although below population average Modular based construction contributes to lower building costs and housing prices Critical undersupply of houses in Oslo Housing units 9 000 6 000 3 000-1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 Housing construction Housing need from population growth* Source: Statistics Norway / Selvaag Bolig * Average household size in Oslo is 1,9 16

Appendix

Norway: A robust economy GDP growth 2004-2015e 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% Unemployment 2004-2015e 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% -6% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e 0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e France Germany UK Sweden Norway France Germany UK Sweden Norway Population growth 2011-2030e Public net debt/gdp 2004-2015e 100% Norway 23.0% 50% Sweden 12.0% 0% UK 12.0% -50% -100% France 8.0% -150% Germany -5.0% -200% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e France Germany UK Sweden Norway Source: IMF, Statistics Norway, Statistics Sweden, Statistics France, Statistics Germany, Statistics UK, Eurostat

Construction starts and population growth 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 - (10 000) 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Housing construction Population growth Source: Prognosesenteret

Housing need derived from immigration by 2020 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Akershus Oslo Rogaland Hordaland Average for Norway Medium Low High

Population growth 2013-2024 450000 400000 350000 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Low High Medium Source: Statistics Norway

Breakdown for medium population growth 450000 400000 350000 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Immigration Other growth Source: Statistics Norway

Origin of current Norwegian immigrants There are 655 000 first or second generation immigrants in Norway 3 % 3 % 0 % Immigrants account for 13 per cent of the population Most represented countries are Poland and Sweden 31 % 52 % Europe Africa Asia North America South America Oceania Labour immigrants settle in and around the Major cities 11 % Source: Statistics Norway

Purchase power stronger than ten year average Household interest payments after tax as a proportion of post-tax earned income 40% 2012 Single 20% 30% 20% Young couple 12% 10% 0% 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Established couple 7% Single Young couple Established couple Source: NEF, EFF, Fin.no and Pöyry