High intensity in football: is it correlated with technical events outcome? Submission Type: Original investigation

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High intensity in football: is it correlated with technical events outcome? Submission Type: Original investigation Authors : Cristoforo FILETTI 1, Stefano D OTTAVIO 1, Vincenzo MANZI 1, Bruno RUSCELLO 1,Wassim MOALLA 2 Affiliations 1 University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy 2 Research unit EM2S. ISSE Sfax, Tunisia

STUDY DESIGN (IJS IN RESS) Hypothesis: to verify whether high intensity(*) is correlated with the subsequent success of the technical tactical event (**) * speed sprints (v>20 km/h) accelen/decelen sprints Metabolic ower sprints (M> 55 W/Kg) (a><±3m/s/s) ** shots on target, dribbling, crosses, forward passes, interception and tackles.

MATERIALS AND METHODS 610 professional players were participated (age 26.8±7, height 182±5 cm, weight 76±7 Kg). In total, 50 games of Italian SERIE A season 2013-2014 were analyzed with semi-automatic match analysis system by K-Sport (Montelabbate, U, Italy). Each event done by players during the 50 matches was selected and the software counted the different kinds of sprints, going back till 5 seconds before.

:quantify how strongly the presence or absence of property A is associated with the presence or absence of property B in a given population. OR=n successful cases / not successful cases Table 1. Logistic Regression redicting Who Will Shot on target RESULTS Velocity 0.02 0.10 1.02 0.85 Accelen 0.40 0.08 1.49 0.00 Decelen 0.09 0.09 1.01 0.31 ower 0.07 0.08 1.07 0.36 Constant 0.67 0.08 0.51 0.00 The beta (B) regression coefficient is computed to allow you to make such comparisons and to assess the strength of the relationship between each predictor variable to the criterion Table 3. variable Logistic Regression redicting Who Will do Interception Velocity 0.384 0.099 1.467 0.000 Accelen -0.31 0.077 0.969 0.684 Decelen 0.166 0.072 1.180 0.022 ower -0.474 0.078 0.622 0.000 Constant -0.613 0.039 0.542 0.000 Table 5. Logistic Regression redicting Who Will do tackles Velocity 0.393 0.148 1.482 0.008 Accelen 0.237 0.095 1.268 0.013 Decelen -0.295 0.099 0.745 0.003 ower -0.213 0.095 0.808 0.025 Constant -0.609 0.054 0.544 0.000 Table 2. Logistic Regression redicting Who Will do Dribbling Velocity -1.63 0.23 0.20 0.00 Accelen 0.17 0.14 1.19 0.22 Decelen 0.92 0.17 2.50 0.00 ower 0.26 0.13 1.30 0.05 Constant -0.30 0.09 0.74 0.00 standard deviation of the sampling distribution. "standard error" is also used in the phrase standard error of the regression to mean the ordinary least squares estimate of the standard deviation of the Table 4. underlying errors Logistic Regression redicting Who Will do ass Velocity -0.169 0.054 0.845 0.002 Accelen -0.162 0.042 0.850 0.000 Decelen -0.256 0.040 0.774 0.000 ower 0.157 0.038 1.170 0.000 Constant 0.697 0.021 2.009 0.000 Table 6. probability of obtaining the observed sample results (or a more extreme result) when the null hypothesis is actually true. If tends to 0, strong correlation between the variables. Logistic Regression redicting Who Will do cross Velocity 0.035 0.112 1.035 0.757 Accelen -0.320 0.090 0.726 0.000 Decelen 0.269 0.100 1.309 0.007 ower 0.209 0.076 1.232 0.006 Constant 0.791 0.097 2.205 0.000

RESULTS Chi square test ( used to determine whether there is a significant difference between the expected frequencies and the observed frequencies in one or more categories) showed that the Hypothesis H0 ( correlation between football high intensity and technical events) is not confirmed by X² value for all the parameters whether considered together. Logistic regression showed an important relation between: HIA ( high intensity accelen) and shots HID (decelen) and dribbling No other important results are to underline

DISCUSSION Focus should be addressed to the global vision of the football performance: the technical event is entered in a tactical situation that required some physical tasks and not the opposite!!!!! The results suggest that shots and dribbling cannot have success without high intensity before: accelens for the firsts and decelen for the seconds should be always researched. Dribbling deserves subsequent studies to clarify the difference between elite and sub elite and provide information for the right selection of talent about this parameter, in which the ability to decelerate, accelerate and rich high speed with the ball meet the technical abilities and seems to take great relevance. Forward passes and crosses are often detached from forms of confrontation and depending much more from reading that the player makes in the individual and specific situations and this may think in the high level: the ability to think quickly, to be able to recognize the means of situations, anticipate and fit to the tactical changing of the game seems to be the paramount key that discriminate elite from sub-elite players. Interceptions and tackles, as individual defensive tactical and technical parameters, move the attention to another aspect that seems to be crucial: the intervention timing. Thus the intensity of each of these skills is decided by the single tactic situation: spaces, number of opponents, team strategy seem to be factors that the player needs to analyze and sort instant by instant.

RACTICAL ALICATIONS ELITE FOOTBALL is not HYSICAL TACTICAL TECHNICAL But should be HYSICAL TACTICAL TECHNICAL COGNITIVE In a global vision always changing

STUDY LIMITATIONS AND FUTURE DEVELOMENT It should be expanded to all the 20 movements players in each istant to know whether the high intensity can have an importance far from the ball zone. ositional analysis should be considered to know deeper the performance connected with the technical requests in each tactical situation To know how the score can influence the high intensity in the game each 15 Demonstrate as variability in football game is great ; this could be a proove that player needs to read and adapt instant by instant to the situation that the play offers.

CONCLUSIONS The findings of this study suggest that football finds the right compromise between power-speed and accuracy in the pursuit of the technical success in the changing tactical situations of the competition.

CRISTOFORO FILETTI Bachelor s Degree Motoric and Sport Sciences, University of Rome Tor Vergata Votation: 103/110 1st level Master s Degree in ersonal Training: Scientific and Methodological Bases, University of Rome Tor Vergata Votation: 108/110 Qualification of 4rth level FICF( actually FIE ) trainer Master Degree in Sport Science and Techniques, University of Rome Tor Vergata Votation:107/110 Master s Degree in Theory and Techniques of the Athletic repan at Football University of isa and Verona, in collabon with the FIGC votation: excellent Doctorate Degree in Advanced Technology in Rehabilitation Medicine and Sport University of Rome Tor Vergata close to the end, Thesis Dissertation on June 2015 Title of rofessional Athletic Trainer at the FIGC 2011-2013 Fitness coach of U-15 national team at A.S. ROMA Football Team Training load with gps device and physical match analysis 2012-2013 Teaching Assistance at the university class of Training Methodology University of Rome Tor Vergata 2013 erformance analyst and fitness coach at A. S. Roma, Serie A Team Training load with gps device and physical match analysis 2013 2014 up to now erformance Analyst Aspire Accademy and Al Sailiya Sport Club in Doha (Qatar) University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy Tel +393807229349 (Italy) +97477460436 (Qatar) Fax +39095604143 - +390672596920 Email: cris.86@hotmail.it