TRACKING LIFE ON THE REEF Monitoring Benthic Communities in FKNMS No-Take Management Zones

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TRACKING LIFE ON THE REEF Monitoring Benthic Communities in FKNMS No-Take Management Zones Steven Miller 1, Mark Chiappone 1, Leanne Rutten 1 Jerry Ault 2, Steve Smith 2 1 Nova Southeastern University Oceanographic Center 2 University of Miami, RSMAS, Division of Marine Biology and Fisheries

White Band Disease White Band Disease Bleaching Bleaching Diadema Dieoff Gardner et al. 2003

White Band Disease Gardner et al. 2003

Factors Affecting Coral Reefs in Florida Geography (winter cold fronts) Hurricanes Coral Disease* Coral Bleaching* Ocean Acidification* Pollution (especially nutrients) Loss of herbivores (over-fishing and urchin die-off) Marine Zoning - if fishing pressure is a major driver of change for the benthos in the FKNMS

Coral Diseases Percent of Observations Wtih Disease 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% Scleractinian Disease Prevalence 1999-2009 All Habitats 1999-2001 2005 2009 Upper Ref Upper Zone Middle Ref Middle Zone Lower Ref Lower Zone White plague (I and II) Black-band disease White-band disease Yellow blotch Dark spot syndrome

Human Disease Prevalence Statistics Corals in the Keys: 0.2-1.9% AIDS in North America: 0.45% (2006) Breast Cancer: 0.8% (2007) [12% will be diagnosed lifetime] Prostate Cancer: 0.8% (45-64) [16% will be diagnosed lifetime] Heart Disease: 6.5% woman, 8.2% men (2005) Bubonic Plague (Black Death): 1/3 of Europe s population killed (25 million deaths) 1347-1352

What do we measure? 15-m transects for benthic cover point-intercept photo archives for general site descriptions 15-m belt transects surveyed for: Species richness (coral, sponge, gorgonian) Gorgonian abundance and height (8-m x 1-m) Juvenile coral abundance and size (20 x 0.312 m 2 ) Adult coral abundance, size and condition (10-m x 1-m) Urchin density and size (15-m x 1-m) Marine ornamental species density (15-m x 1-m) Substratum topography (vertical relief, slope, depth) Debris: density, length and impacts of fishing gear (15-m x 2-m) http://people.uncw.edu/millers

How do We Sample? 1. A two-stage stratified random sampling design is used to allocate effort according to habitat type and depth, along-shelf position, and management zone 2. Sample Design Statistics what s important in not how intensely we sample individual sites, but how many sites we can sample while achieving CVs that are acceptable. From density numbers we calculate abundances at the population level.

Keys-wide Stratification Upper Keys Middle Keys Lower Keys Habitat Types Habitat Types Habitat Types Ref Sites NTZs Ref Sites NTZs Ref Sites NTZs Ref Sites NTZ Ref Sites NTZ Ref Sites NTZ

Location and Physical Setting Inner shelf margin (inshore of Hawk Channel) Mid-channel (Hawk Channel) Outer shelf margin (reef tract) Rubble Hard-bottom Hard-bottom Rubble (back reef) Rubble (fore reef) Hard-bottom Low-relief hard-bottom Inshore patch reef Low-relief hard-bottom Patch reefs Linear-shaped Dome-shaped Reef flat/crest Offshore patch reef Fore reef Shallow (< 9 m) Mid-depth (9-20 m) Deep (> 20 m) Spur and groove Buttress zone Low-relief hard-bottom Low-relief spur & groove Low-relief hard-bottom Terrace Low-relief spur & groove High-relief spur & groove Terrace & escarpment

0.25 Scleractininan Percent Cover by Habitat 1999-2001 2005 2009 Percent Cover SE 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 HRSG LR<6 LR<15 MPR OPR Percent Cover SE Percent Cover SE 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 Sponge Percent Cover by Habitat 1999-2001 2005 2009 HRSG LR<6 LR<15 MPR OPR MPR>all OPR>LR6,LR15 Total Algae Percent Cover by Habitat 1999-2001 2005 2009 HRSG LR<6 LR<15 MPR OPR

Where and When? 1999-2001 198 sites 2005 133 sites 2009 156 sites 2010 120 sites 2011 280 sites

Population summaries and NTZ comparisons Diadema Marine Debris Anemones and Corallimorphs NTZs vs Reference sites Status update on Acropora palmata and A. cervicornis Future of reefs in Florida Ranking of best remaining sites (GIS)

Population trends for Diadema

NTZ vs Ref Sites - Diadema stories Version 1: historical Urchin abundance Version 2: No-Take zones Fish Algal abundance Coral recruitment Urchin abundance Algal abundance Coral recruitment?

Florida Keys Marine Debris: Non-compliance is an ongoing challenge Plastic Cinder block Anchor Monofilament Wire leader Debris barrel Trap grating Trap rope Wooden Trap

Marine Debris: NTZs vs Reference Sites NTZs Refs No. items per 30 m 2 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 Total Debris Density by Habitat and Zone Upper Keys average = 1.213 0.295 Ref (50) NTZ (4) Ref (73) NTZ (4) Ref (8) NTZ (10) Ref (33) NTZ (8) Ref (22) NTZ (19) Ref (36) NTZ (13) MPR OPR BRR SHB HSG DFR No. items per 30 m 2 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 Upper Keys average = 0.311 0.071 Trap Gear Density by Habitat and Zone 0.00 Ref (50) NTZ (4) Ref (73) NTZ (4) Ref (8) NTZ (10) Ref (33) NTZ (8) Ref (22) NTZ (19) Ref (36) NTZ (13) MPR OPR BRR SHB HSG DFR Mean length per 30 m 2 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 Angling Gear Length by Habitat and Zone Upper Keys average = 0.994 m 0.333 m Ref (50) NTZ (4) Ref (73) NTZ (4) Ref (8) NTZ (10) Ref (33) NTZ (8) Ref (22) NTZ (19) Ref (36) NTZ (13) MPR OPR BRR SHB HSG DFR

Anemones and Corallimorpharians Bartholomea annulata (corkscrew anemone) Increasing Keys-wide, both inside and outside zones Condylactis gigantea (pink-tipped anemone) Low abundance, little change, but MPR Upper Keys Ricordea florida (Florida corallimorph) Decreasing Keys-wide, both inside and outside of zones

Zones Reference Areas

Coral Species Richness (1999-2009) by cross-shelf habitat type by management zone Sponge Gorgonian

16,000,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 A. cervicornis Abundance 1999-2009 Florida Keys 600,000 A. palmata Abundance 1999-2009 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Florida Keys

10,000,000 8,000,000 A. cervicornis Abundance 1999-2009 Upper Keys Middle Keys Lower Keys 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 A. palmata Abundance 1999-2009 Upper Keys Middle Keys Lower Keys

Distribution and Abundance of Acropora corals in the Upper FKNMS Upper Keys Acropora palmata 39.1% Acropora cerviconis 1.5% Protected Keys-wide Acropora palmata 33.3% Acropora cervicornis 4.3%

The Future of Coral Reefs in the FKNMS 500,000,000 450,000,000 400,000,000 350,000,000 300,000,000 250,000,000 200,000,000 150,000,000 100,000,000 50,000,000 0 Scleractinian Abundance: Top 15 species Florida Keys 1999-2009 All Habitats 72% 88% 94% B B B B B B SSID PAST SMIC AAGR PPOR MCAV PFUR DSTK MFAV SRAD CNAT PDIV DSTR SBOU ODIF 400,000,000 350,000,000 300,000,000 250,000,000 200,000,000 150,000,000 100,000,000 50,000,000 0 SSID Juvenile Scleractinian Abundance: Top 15 species Florida Keys 1999-2009 All Habitats 85% 96% 98% SRAD PAST AAGR SMIC PPOR MCAV DSTK PFUR FFRG SCOL DSTR MARE EFAS SBOU

Is this the future of coral reefs in the Florida Keys?

Colonies per sq m SE 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 Montastraea cavernosa Colony Density by Habitat 1999-2001 2005 2009 HRSG LR<6 LR<15 MPR OPR MPR>HRSG,LR6,LR15 OPR>LR6,LR15 Colonies per sq m SE 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 Montastraea cavernosa Juvenile Density by Habitat 1999-2001 2005 2009 * HRSG LR<6 LR<15 MPR OPR HRSG<LR6,LR15

Colonies per sq m SE 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 Montastraea faveolata Colony Density by Habitat 1999-2001 2005 2009 HRSG LR<6 LR<15 MPR OPR MPR>HRSG,LR6,LR15 LR6<all No juvenile observations for Montastraea faveolata

Next Steps Field work this summer, Keys-wide for Acropora, corals and urchins, expanding into Dade and Broward. Sample allocations for USVI/PR Integration of our data with NOAA/FWC Geographical Information System (GIS) Spatial Analyses and GIS development to contribute to the FKNMS Management Plan Review Publications related to distribution and abundance of corals, gorgonians, and sponges throughout the FKNMS

Conclusions System-wide, related to some of the iconic species found in the sanctuary, such as Diadema and the Acroporids, populations are increasing or stable the ten years. This is good news. Substantial decline has occurred over several decades related to coral cover. Some species that were resistant previously are now in decline too. This is bad news. Related to NTZs, it s a mixed bag. We ve seen some interesting results, but community-level effects are likely to take a long time, if they occur at all. Results should help inform discussions about NTZ design factors in the FKNMS, especially related to their location and enforcement. Size and connectivity are also important.

Management Relevance NOAA/National Marine Sanctuary Program Abundance estimates as they relate to coral collecting permits FKNMS Condition Report NOAA/Office of Protected Species Status of Acropora coral populations Status of other stony coral populations (upcoming workshop) State of Florida/FWC/FWRI Population status of Condylactis gigantea and Ricordea florida Population status and trends in Diadema antillarum GIS Development (NOAA too) Mote Marine Laboratory Status and trends in sea urchin populations Florida Sea Grant/RSMAS-University of Miami Status and trends in subtidal marine debris IUCN Caribbean-wide assessment of marine protected areas (upcoming workshop) Program Development Florida Reef Resiliency Program, USVI/PR Acropora Program

No-Take-Zones in the Sanctuary No-take zones were not randomly selected Encompass many of the best-developed reefs Most were designed to separate incompatible uses and to protect well-developed fore reef areas and some patch reefs Large areas of patch reefs, low-profile hard-bottom, and deeper fore-reef not protected Some zones include more than one habitat type High intra- and inter-site variability Different disturbance histories Regional variations due to continental influence

Coral Species Keys-wide Protection Abundance M faveolata 10.68% 27,705,353 M annularis 16.97% 4,397,919 M franksi 12.39% 3,016,993 A cervicornis 4.29% 8,593,852 A palmata 33.27% 605,808 D stokesii 4.15% 49,735,917 D cylindrus 11.80% 151,452 Preliminary Draft

Coral Species Richness: Regional Summary Species Richness Upper Keys Middle Keys Lower Keys 1999 2005 2009 1999 2005 2009 1999 2005 2009 Total Richness 29 37 34 40 38 35 50 45 39 Abundant Species 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 Scarce Species 15 22 19 25 23 20 35 30 24

Coral Species Richness: Keys-wide and No-Take Zone Summaries Species Richness 1999-2001 (198) 2005 (133) 2009 (156) Total Richness 50 47 41 Abundant Species 15 15 15 Scarce Species 35 32 26 Added MYCT PHYL Lost Previously Lost in 2005 AGRA, ALAM, MCAR, PCOL AHUM, IRIG, ISIN, MFOR, MSEN, PBRA AGRA, ALAM, MCAR, PCOL Species Richness Total Richness Abundant Species Scarce Species Reference Sites No-Take Zones 1999 2005 2009 1999 2005 2009 50 46 39 48 38 38 15 15 15 15 15 15 35 31 24 33 23 23