Conference - London. May, 15 th 2009 Goldman Sachs

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Transcription:

Conference - London May, 15 th 2009 Goldman Sachs 1

Disclaimer All forward-looking statements are TF1 management s present expectations of future events and are subject to a number of factors and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements. 2

A high TV consumption Q1 2009 183' 189' 181' 176' 177' 180' 179' 180' 187' 189' 4 years or more 202' 200' 197' 193' 204' 206' 204' 207' Q1 2009 : 220 204' in 10 years 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Media television keeps a high consumption level Source Médiamétrie Médiamat / as at 15/02/2009 3

The «global» media time of the French people TV is still taking a predominant place in households An increasing base for Internet and Digital Medias + Still predominant TV Consumption ~ 3h24 /j / French pers. (Ind 4 ans +) Additional Time in constant progression Web Consumption ~30 min. /j /French pers. There is no competition between TV & Web, but a broader media time consumption New medias = Opportunity for TF1 to increase its voice share * Source Médiamétrie Médiamat / Jan-March 2009 Ind 4+ TV equiped ** Source Médiamétrie Nielsen NNR March 2009 Ind 2+ 4

Rapid increase of the penetration of the multi channel offer Trends in coverage of television offers (percentage of individuals 4 years or more) Individuals receiving Cable / Satellite / ADSL / Pay-TV 78% 82% 87%* 93%* 97%* 21% An heterogeneous situation : 4-14 years 85% 15-34 years 85% 35-49 years 84% 50 years + 77% 23% 25% 26% 28% 33% 40% 60% Forecast janv.-01 janv.-02 janv.-03 janv.-04 janv.-05 janv.-06 janv.-07 janv.-08 janv.-09 janv.-10 janv.-11 janv.-12 Market reaching maturity 5

TF1 : a unique position in Europe Audience share in Q1 2009 of the domestic leading private channel TF1 TF1 - France - CANALE 5 - Italy ITV1 - UK 18.3 % 21.9% 26.6 % Antena 3 - Spain Tele 5 - Spain 15.3 % 15.2 % RTL - Germany 12.3 % SAT1- Germany ITALIA 1- Italy 9.9 % 9.8 % PRO7 - Germany 6.4 % Source : Médiamétrie / Audience share / Ind for Q1 2009 (prime time pour CBS) 6

An audience share stabilisation in Q1 09 vs. Q4 08 Var. vs janmarch 2008 27,8-4% +2% +44% +3% 26,6 26,2 January-March 2008 October-Decembre 2008 4 years and + January-March 2009 11,0 10,8 11,0 9,6 12,6 13,8 12,4 13,2 12,8 Audience share (in %) TF1 M6 Ch. TNT Autres ch. TF1 is progressing vs October-December. The decrease vs Jan-March 2008 is stronger on Seniors (-6%). Var. vs janmarch 2008 31,8-5% +2% +44% -6% 29,7 30,2 Women < 50 17,3 17,6 17,6 10,6 14,0 15,3 12,8 12,6 12,0 TF1 M6 Ch. TNT Autres ch. Source : Médiamétrie Mediamat as of 26/04/09 vs same period in 2008 7

TF1 reinforces its leadership on strategic time slots PRIME-TIME PRIME-TIME PRIME-TIME PRIME-TIME Ch. TNT PRIME-TIME 6.8 m 4.1 m 3.5 m 3.0 m 3.2 m ACCESS 3.9 m 1.8 m 2.3 m 2.9 m 2.0 m SECOND-TIME 3.3 m 1.7 m 1.6 m 1.0 m 1.6 m Source : Médiamétrie Mediamat as of 29/03/09 Time slot : Prime-time (8.45pm-10.30pm), Access (6pm-7.45pm), Second-time (10.30-0am) 8

Diversity in programmes: a powerful skill for TF1 10.2m for Dr House (season 4) on march 25 th 2009 8.9m for Astérix et Obélix mission Cléopâtre 12.3m for Les enfoirés font leur cinéma Record in 2009, and historical record on the show 8.1m for Joséphine ange gardien April 6 th 2009 The best audiences on any type of programmes in 2009 : Entertainement Movies US TV shows French TV Dramas Les Enfoirés font leur cinéma (12.3m) Koh Lanta, le retour des héros* (8.3m) Astérix et Obélix (8.9m) La maison du bonheur (8.7m) La Guerre des Mondes (8.3m) Dr House* (exclusive season 4: 9.3m) Les Experts Manhattan* (exclusive season 4: 8.7m) Joséphine ange gardien (8.1m) Avalanche (7.8m ) Leader on 89% of the prime-time on Q1 2009 49 of the 50 best audiences on Q1 2009 * Average of programmes Source : Médiamétrie Mediamat Jan-april 2009 9

New programmes to be launched on TF1 New US TV dramas: Brothers & Sisters, Fringe Still renewing of the French TV dramas: Profilage La Taupe 2 TF1, the event channel: Charles Aznavour, the anniversary Johnny Hallyday, the live show Champions League 10

A multi-media gross advertising market decreasing by 4,1% Internet 14% January - March 2009 : 5 512m Display 12% Cinema 1% Press 32% GROSS REVENUE Jan-March 2009 Jan-March 2008 var (%) Press 1,597 1,753-8,9% Radio 759 724 4,9% Television 1,472 1,569-6,2% Internet 860 789 9,1% Display 576 644-10,6% Cinema 23 33-28,3% Television 28% Radio 13% TOTAL 2,221 5,512-4,1% January - March 2009 : 5 287m -4.1% Internet 16% Display 11% Cinema 1% Press 30% Television 28% Radio 14% Gross figures : source TNS MI jan-mars 2009 Press : national and regional press. (without auto promotion and subscription) Television : national, regional TV and thematic channels 11

TV : interdependent to sectors hit by the crisis Evolution of advertising revenue by sector (for TF1) Gross revenue (Q1 2009) Evol Jan-Mar 2009 vs. Jan-Mar 2008 FOOD 26.0 % -15.2% COSMETICS TRANSPORT FINANCIAL SERVICES PUBLISHING HOUSE CLEANING TELECOMMUNICATIONS 12.3 % 10.8 % 8.1 % 6.7 % 6.0 % 4.7 % - 12.5% -10.1% + 1.5% -36.8% -3.7% -39.3% RETAIL MEDECINE 4.9 % 4.0 % -30.7% -17.0% Ad revenue: - 18.3% Ad market share: 58.1% (- 2.4%) (Jan-Mar 09 vs. Jan-Mar 08) NEWS / MEDIA 2.7 % -8.1% Source : TNS Media Intelligence, 2008 vs 2007 12

A strong pressure on prices Variation Q1 2009 vs Q1 2008 GRP Advertising volume Tariffs CPT Gross ad revenue Net ad revenue -6.9% -14.6% -12.9% -8.3% -18.3% -27.1% +6.7% -14.9% + 2.4% -2.5% -5.4% -11.0% Sources : TNS MI données brutes / Médiamétrie on women < 50 A volume effect of 15% A price effect of 12 % 13

TF1: 15.7 million individual visitors (March 2009) 16 000 13 000 Internal growth (TF1 TV, WAT, plurielles) DVDRama acquisition (non significant) 10 000 7 000 Acquisition of Cyrealis and launch of M6 Replay 4 000 1 000 m-08 a-08 m-08 j-08 j-08 a-08 s-08 o-08 n-08 d-08 j-09 f-09 m-09 03/08 03/09 15,7 MILLIONS Individual visitors + 31% over 1 year Consolidated revenue 21.2m (Q1 2009) vs. 14,3m (Q1 2008), +48.3% Operating result (1.3)m (Q1 2009) vs. (1.4)m (Q1 2008), + 0.1M Source : Last published results Panel Médiamétrie NNR All connection places, March 2009 «Parent» (The Parent ranking incorporate audiences generated by all the website of the same group) 14

TF1 Thematic channels 2.4% audience share in Q1 2009 Leader on DTT, 7 th national TV 31 million TV viewers in March 2009 A new look for the channel 7.2 million French households An average audience share of 1.4% for Q1 2009 Leader on the thematic channels Consolidated revenue 46.9m (Q1 2009) vs. 46.4m (Q1 2008), + 1.1% Résultat opérationnel 1.6m (Q1 2009) vs. 0.5m (Q1 2008), x 3.2 NB : figures are contribution to the consolidated figures Source: Mediamétrie MediaCabSat survey, audience share of thematic channels between December 31th 2007 and June 15th 2008 15

Advertising revenue evolution Change Million Q1 2008 Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Var % published restated m Consolidated revenue 658.4 653.4 537.9-115.5-17.7% Advertising revenue TF1 Channel 440.1 440.1 321.0-119.1-27.1% Diversification revenue 218.3 213.3 216.9 +3.6 +1.7% Détail du chiffre d affaires publicité TF1 Channel 440.1 440.1 321.0-119.1-27.1% French Theme channels 22.3 19.8 19.6-0.2-1.0% Internet France 3.7 2.7 2.2-0.5-18.5 % Eurosport International 12.0 12.0 11.0-1.0-8.3% Radios 0 0 1.8 +1.8 - Total advertising revenue 478.1 474.6 355.6-119.0-25.1% 16

Consolidated revenue evolution Million Q1 2008 published Q1 2008 restated Q1 2009 Change m Change % France Broadcasting 557.6 552.6 435.4-117.2-21.2% TF1 Channel 442.5 442.5 322.9-119.6-27.0% Thematic channels in France 46.4 46.4 46.9 +0.5 +1.1% Téléshopping group 38.0 34.8 29.1-5.7-16.4% TF1 Entreprises 5.6 5.6 6.5 +0.9 +16.1% e-tf1 12.4 14.3 21.2 +6.9 +48.3% In-house production companies 7.5 7.5 5.7-1.8-24.0% Others Audiovisual rights 5.2 36.5 1.5 36.5 3.1 33.0 +1.6-3.5 X 2.1-9.6% TF1 Vidéo 24.6 24.6 21.1-3.5-14.2% Catalogue International Broadcasting 11.9 64.2 11.9 64.2 11.9 69.2 - +5.0 - +7.8% Other activities 0.1 0.1 0.3 +0.2 x3.0 Total revenue 658.4 653.4 537.9-115.5-17.7 % 17

TF1 channel programming costs Million Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Change m Change % Total programming costs* 235.5 228.3-7.2-3.1% Sporting events - - - Total programming costs (excl. Sporting events) 235.5 228.3-7.2-3.1% Entertainment 70.0 61.0-9.0-12.9% TV dramas / TV movies / Series / Theatre 76.9 78.8 +1.9 +2.5% Sports (excl. Euro 2008) 23.3 21.7-1.6-6.9% News 28.6 26.4-2.2-7.7% Movies 30.0 34.5 +4.5 +15.0% Youth 6.7 5.9-0.8-11.9% 18

Cost-saving plan Million Q1 2009 Operating profit -11.8 Main impacts on the operating profit for the full year 2009 Programming costs 7 Renegotiation of contracts 2 Reduction of other charges 1 14 Abandoned activities 4 Restructuring costs -4 19

Consolidated operating profit Million Q1 2008 published Q1 2008 restated Q1 2009 Change m Change % France Broadcasting 99.6 99.6-2.9-102.5 NA TF1 Channel 93.7 93.7-4.1-97.8 NA Thematic channels in France 0.5 0.5 1.6 + 1. 1 X3.2 Teleshopping group 0.6 0.6 0.9 + 0.3 +50.0% TF1 Entreprises -1.2-1.1-0.7 + 0.4 +36.4% e-tf1-0.6-1.4-1.3 + 0.1 +7.1% In-house production 3.1 3.1 0.6-2.5-80.6% Others 3.5 4.2 0.1-4.1 NA Audiovisual rights -1.5-1.5-14.4-12.9 NA TF1 Video -2.7-2.7-4.4-1.7-63.0% Catalogue 1.2 1.2-10.0-11.2 NA International Broadcasting 1.5 1.5 6.4 + 4.9 X4.3 Other activities -0.8-0.8-0.9-0.1 NA Total Operating Profit 98.8 98.8-11.8-110.6 NA 20

Sound financial structure 2 000 Payment statement Bond issue Confirmed credit facilities 1 455,5 1 455,5 1 520,5 1 570,5 1 500 1 360,5 1 000 955,5 955,5 1 020,5 1 070,5 860,5 500 500 500 500 500 500 0 31/12/06 31/12/07 31/12/08 31/03/09 31/12/09 No Financial Covenant February 2010 : Put option on Canal+ France stake (9.9%) with a floor price of 745.8m 21

Evolution of the audiovisual rights Strengthen TF1 International through a partnership with UGC => Co-investment in movies and co-distribution Target: - Create a competitive and attractive pole to finance French and International movies - Limit the investment risks - Improving of the profitability in terms of sells and management of movies - Keep our patrimony and our Catalogue Creation of an Economic Interest Group between TF1 Video and Sony Pictures Home Entertainment (SPHE) Target: - Strengthen our competitiveness vis-à-vis our distributors clients - Optimization of the sales resources Two projects TF1 is engaged in 22

Annexes 23

Consolidated income statement Million Q1 2008 published Q1 2008 restated Q1 2009 Change m Change % Consolidated revenue 658.4 653.4 537.9-115.5-17.7% Total programming costs - 235.5-235.5-228.3-7.2-3.1% Total other operating charges and revenue - 297.3-292.3-297.9 +5.6 +1.9% Depreciation and provisions -26.8-26.8-23.5-3.3-12.3% Operating profit 98.8 98.8-11.8-110.6 NA Operating margin 15.0% 15.1% -2.2% Cost of net debt -4.4-4.4-3.4 +1.0 +22.7% Other financial income and expenses 2.7 2.7 9.2 +6.5 X3.4 Income tax expense -28.6-28.6 8.0 +36.6 NA Share of profits/loses of associates 1.9 1.9 4.4 +2.5 X2.3 Net profit 70.4 70.4 6.4-64.0-90.9% 24

Consolidated balance sheet ASSETS ( Million) 31/12/08 31/03/09 Change m Total non-current assets 1 869.6 1 175.8-694 Total current assets 1 855.8 2 356.4 +501 Held-for-sale assets 14.8 - -15 Total assets 3 740.2 3 532.2-208 SHAREHOLDER S EQUITY AND LIAB. 30/12/08 31/03/09 Change m Shareholder s equity (att. To the Group) 1 376.9 1 383.9 +7 Non-current liabilities 755.6 674.5-81 Current liabilities 1 592.7 1 473.8-119 Liabilities linked to held-fo-sale assets 15.0 - -15,0 Total shareholder equity and liabilities 3 740.2 3 532,2-208 TOTAL GROUP financial debt 704.5 Gearing 51.2 % 620.9 44.9 % -84 25

Consolidated cash flow statement Cash flow statement summary ( million) 31/03/08 31/12/08 31/03/2009 Net profit 70.4 163.8 6.4 Operating cash flow before net interest expenses and income tax 116.3 269.9 11.9 Income taxes paid -26.2-68.0 35.0 Change in operating working capital requirements 6.0 5.8 60.9 Net cash generated by operating activities 96.1 207.7 107.8 Net cash generated by investment activities -29.3-104.4-24.0 Net cash generated by financial operations -54.5-137.4-83.5 Change in cash position 12.3-34.1 0.3 Cash position at beginning of period 29.9 29.9-4.2 Cash position at end of period 42.2-4.2-3.9 26

TV : interdependent to sectors hit by the crisis Evolution of advertising revenue by sector (for National TV) Gross revenue (Jan-Mar 2009) Evol Jan-Mar 2009 vs. Jan-Mar 2008 FOOD 25.4% -11.9% COSMETICS TRANSPORT FINANCIAL SERVICES PUBLISHING TELECOMMUNICATIONS 12.4 % 10.3 % 8.2 % 6.6 % 5.8 % -12.3% -13.5% +4.4% -30.7% -32.9% HOUSE CLEANING RETAIL 5.3 % 4.5 % -6.1% -30.6% Ad revenue: - 16.3% (Jan-Mar 09 vs. Jan-Mar 08) MEDECINE 4.1 % -15.8% TRAVEL AND LEISURE 2.6 % +13.7% Source : TNS Media Intelligence 2008 vs 2007 27

TV : a mass media Daily coverage of the French population (Adults 15 years or +) 83% 70% 59% 72% 72% 28% (hebdo) (hebdo) 13% TV Magazine 34% 31% 5% 16% 5% Television Radios Press / Magazine Regional daily newspapers Internet National daily newspapers : the unique mass media channel of the advertising market Over 35 million people 15 years or + watch every day Source Médiamétrie 2007 - Radio 126 000 Nov-Dec 2007. Private commercial radios - AEPM 2007 - EPIQ 2007 Internet Médiamétrie - Observatory of Internet uses Q4 2007 28

Conference - London May, 15 th 2009 Goldman Sachs 29