Freshman Race More Than a Numbers Game

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September 9, 2014 www.paulickreport.com SPECIAL Freshman Race More Than a Numbers Game By Ray Paulick Northern Dancer set the bar pretty high as far as success from a stallion s first crop of foals goes. After retiring to begin his stud career at Windfields Farm in Canada in 1965, his first crop numbered just 21 foals. Eighteen of them started, 16 won. Amazingly, nearly half of them, 10, eventually became stakes winners. By the time his second crop reached the track in 1969, Northern Dancer ranked sixth on the list of leading sires by progeny earnings. Of course, Northern Dancer went on to a long and glorious, breed-shaping career at stud, eventually moving to Windfields Maryland division, and winding up with an unthinkable lifetime percentage of 22.8 percent stakes winners from foals. According to a Daily Racing Form article by John Sparkman, that edged the mighty Bold Ruler (22.4 percent) in a photo finish. One decade later, Mr. Prospector entered stud at Aisco Farms in Ocala, Fla. His first crop totaled 28 foals, of which 23 started, with 17 winners and four stakes winners. He went from strength to strength, shortly thereafter moving to Claiborne Farm in Kentucky where he built a stud career that puts him on the Mt. Rushmore of 20th Century Thoroughbred stallions. Things were so much simpler then. A stallion s typical book of mares was around 40. Statistical information came weekly via the Blood-Horse or Thoroughbred Record magazines. Much of the data was compiled by hand. Attention spans seemed longer, at least as far as giving a young stallion a chance to succeed. Enhanced communication tools faxes and then emails and the Internet brought instant information spit out from computers. Sire data and a variety of lists were readily available in multiple flavors (first crop, second crop, turf, synthetic), many of them seemingly designed more for ASK RAY marketing purposes than providing useful information to breeders. Stallion farms follow a sire s starters in real time almost as intensely as NORAD tracks airplanes. As foal crops grew in size, some of those sire lists were distorted. In the early 1990s, Ben Walden Jr. at Vinery figured out the numbers game ahead of everyone else, getting several stallions atop the freshman sire list by sheer volume. Others followed, and now most of the major commercial stallion operations in Kentucky routinely produce upwards of 100 foals or more to help a young sire get out of the starting gate with as good a chance for success as possible. The numbers can fool you, says Elliott Walden, Ben s younger brother who is CEO of WinStar Farm, which stands 2010 Kentucky Derby winner Super Saver, cur- Continued on Page 5 QUESTION: Why haven t you published your survey of horse industry non-profit executive salaries lately? Did someone pay you off not to run it? ANSWER: Sadly, there s been no payoff. I have to admit I ve been a slacker. I intended to make this an annual feature on the Presidents Day U.S. holiday in February. Maybe I ll switch it to Thanksgiving this year. After all, aren t we thankful for all the alphabet soup groups in our biz?

www.paulickreport.com Page 2 Stallion Spotlight Tiznow By Frank Mitchell Horse of the Year and twice winner of the Breeders Cup Classic, Tiznow established himself as a leading sire with the championship performances of his daughter Folklore, winner of the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies in 2005 and Eclipse Award winner for her age and sex that year. Out of a Storm Cat mare, Folklore was powerfully built, fast and precocious, like many of the Storm Cat horses, and through the lens of hindsight, she has proven to be more of an anomaly among Tiznow s foals. The majority of them are quite like their sire: big and rangy horses with excellent bone and scope. They tend not to be especially precocious, like Tiznow, but more from needing time to grow rather than a lack of ability as younger horses. From 10 crops of racing age, Tiznow has sired 52 stakes winners to date, which is 5 percent of his foals of racing age. Another of Tiznow s first crop runners, the gelding Well Armed, is still the sire s leading earner, as well as the model of the Tiznow type. Well Armed was a winner at 2 who eventually became one of the best horses in the world as he matured. The bay gelding won the Dubai World Cup, as well as the Goodwood Stakes, and he eventually accumulated earnings of $5.1 million. Like his sire, Well Armed was rugged and courageous, able to race at a very high level with soundness and consistency. It s also rather ironic that Well Armed was a gelding because the stallion sons of Tiznow have not yet matched their sire in producing top-class racehorses, although several are still early in their stud careers. A notable exception was last weekend s Spinaway Stakes winner Condo Commando, who became the first G1 winner for her sire Tiz Wonderful, a stallion with three crops of racing age and nine stakes winners. Seven have won stakes this year, and Condo Commando is the first G1 winner by a son of Tiznow. This is a male line we should like to see breed on because Tiznow descends from the Man o War line through the great champion s son War Relic and then down through the generations to In Reality and his son Relaunch and grandson Cee s Tizzy, who is the sire of Tiznow. Intriguingly, Tiznow is more like Man o War in racing aptitude and growth pattern than Tiznow s more recent male-line antecedents from In Reality. That is probably due to the influence of Seattle Slew, who is the grandsire of Tiznow s dam, Cee s Song (Seattle Song). Tiznow is a horse of towering size and striking looks, with four white socks and a stripe down his face. He passes on enough of his visual appeal to foals that some of them sell very strongly in the marketplace, and there are 26 cataloged in the first four days of the Keeneland September sale. PRS MY ADVANTAGE Up to 28% off Up to 40% off 10-70% off Up to 30% off Up to 30% off Exclusive Member Discounts Call us toll-free at 866-678-4289 or visit NTRAadvantage.com.

www.paulickreport.com Page 3 Honor Roll Stopchargingmaria is from a late-blooming family By Ray Paulick victories: the G2 Black-Eyed Susan at Pimlico in May, G1 Coaching Club American Oaks in July and the G1 Alabama in August (both at Saratoga). Were it not for G1 Kentucky Oaks and G1 Mother Goose winner Untapable, Stopchargingmaria might be the front-runner for an Eclipse Award as champion 3-year-old filly. Stopchargingmaria brought $47,000 from Woodford Thoroughbreds at the 2012 Keeneland September Sale. Six months later at the OBS March sale of 2-year-olds in training, Repole paid $220,000 for the filly. Jessie Holmes/Equi-Sport (2011, Dark bay/brown filly, Tale of the Cat Exotic Bloom, by Montbrook. Consigned by Brookdale Sales to 2012 Keeneland September Yearling Sale, purchased by Woodford Thoroughbreds for $47,000) Fred Seitz and breeder Harvey Clarke had some fun and made some money with Exotic Bloom, a Florida bred daughter of Montbrook they purchased for $65,000 from Ocala Stud, agent, at the 2006 OBS June sale of 2-yearolds in training. Under Seitz s conditioning, Exotic Bloom won six of 21 starts. She was graded stakes placed at Woodbine and won the Windward Stakes at Presque Isle Downs and the My Charmer Stakes at Turfway Park in 2009 before being retired to begin a new career as a broodmare at the Seitz family s Brookdale Farm near Versailles, Ky. She s done well there, too. Bred to Tale of the Cat, her first foal was Stopchargingmaria, who romped by 10 3/4 lengths in the G3 Tempted, then won the G2 Demoiselle last November at Aqueduct. She came on like gangbusters this summer for Todd Pletcher and owner Mike Repole. After finishing fourth and fifth in her first two starts of the season, Stopchargingmaria ran off three consecutive After foaling Stopchargingmaria in 2011, Exotic Bloom was bred to More Than Ready. The resulting foal, a filly, was a late developer. Seitz and Clarke opted to keep her out of yearling sales and send her to Florida horseman John Stephens and point for the 2-year-old auction season. In the meantime, Seitz and Clarke entered Exotic Bloom in Fasig-Tipton s November Sale. The day prior to going through the ring, Stopchargingmaria registered that eyeopening 10 3/4-length win in the Tempted. Barbara Banke was impressed and bought Exotic Bloom in the name of her Stonestreet Stables for $500,000, even though Exotic Bloom had aborted her 2014 foal. Banke bought Exotic Bloom s More Than Ready filly, too, bidding $510,000 this spring at Fasig-Tipton s Midlantic sale of 2-year-olds in training, making her the top-priced filly of the sale and second-highest price overall. If Banke needed any positive reinforcement, Stopchargingmargia scored an impressive win in the Black-Eyed Susan the week before the sale. The More Than Ready filly, named Steely Magnolia, is in training in New York with Kiaran McLaughlin and Exotic Bloom, now 10 years old, is in foal to Medaglia d Oro at Stonestreet Farm. PRS We will be available at Keeneland to discuss your breaking, training, racing, and/or sales needs. Give your horse the Classic edge Call Danzel Today 352.895.3930 20+ Graded Stakes and Stakes Performers worldwide 2014 TOP HORSES INCLUDE: Uncle Sigh, Big Business, Wildcat Red & Sushi Empire

www.paulickreport.com Page 4 Back Ring Getting to know Kitty Taylor of Warrendale Sales How did you get in the horse business? I was a horse crazy military brat and luckily enough got a job galloping horses in Virginia. Then I started working sales for Lee Eaton. What s your favorite part of the game? I love selling yearlings, the possibilities and prospects of what they become. I enjoy seeing who turns out well and remember what they sold for or didn t and what their expectations were. Favorite racetrack? Keeneland. I enjoy Santa Anita, Saratoga and think Del Mar is beautiful but I love Keeneland. I like the older racetracks. Best horse you ever saw? I worshipped Secretariat as a child but I never saw him. That s the reason I m in the horse business. I ve seen a lot of good ones since then. What about horse racing gives you the most hope? It s the younger people coming into it like Hunter Simms with me at Warrendale or Bret Jones (at Airdrie Stud). There is still a great deal of love for horses among people, and not just in Kentucky. What s something most people don t know about you? Most don t know how hands on I was, working sales, galloping horses. Also, people don t know Warrendale is named for a street I lived on in Georgetown. What s the best advice anyone ever gave you? My father, who is still alive, luckily for me. He s an old army colonel and very succinct. He always hangs up the phone saying, Persevere. What s the last concert you went to? It s been many, many years, but it was Bonnie Raitt. What s the go to app on your iphone or Smart Phone? It would have to be the Mare Produce Records from equineline. I can be anywhere and find out instantly what a mare produced, when the offspring were born and how much they ve earned. It s awesome. What s No. 1 on your bucket list? I went to Italy as a kid and would like to go back some day. I d also like to drive down the coast of California. PRS About For advertising inquiries please call Emily at 859.913.9633 Ray Paulick - Publisher ray@paulickreport.com Emily Alberti - Director of Advertising emily@paulickreport.com Scott Jagow - Editor-in-Chief scott@paulickreport.com Mary Schweitzer - News Editor mary@paulickreport.com Natalie Voss - Features Writer natalie@paulickreport.com Emily White - Weekend Editor emilywhite@paulickreport.com Frank Mitchell - Contributing Writer COPYRIGHT 2014, BLENHEIM PUBLISHING LLC

www.paulickreport.com Page 5 Around the Town By The Galloping Gastronome Giuseppe s Ristorante Italiano has been a staple of the Lexington dining scene for some 20 years. The building is hidden away near one of the busiest intersections in town Nicholasville and Man o War. (If you hit Old Nicholasville and start to wonder if you re lost in the woods, you re almost there.) The restaurant is routinely cited for its romantic, candlelit atmosphere at dinner (served Monday through Sunday), but is quiet enough during the day for a business lunch (Monday through Friday). The bar features a wide array of wines, and even boasts a wine club for those interested in sampling the variety at a discount. Bottles of wine are half price Mondays and Tuesdays. Giuseppe s is one of few Lexington-area restaurants known for its seafood (a rareity in a land-locked state) and also its steak so much that its excellent fresh pasta is often overlooked. Highlights of the dinner menu (which, like that of any good Italian restaurant, resembles a short novel) include the lobster ravioli, which is served in roasted red pepper cream sauce that adds an unexpected warmth; also the portobello and manzo (beef tenderloin, portobello mushrooms, onions, and spinach tossed with pasta and red wine sauce). (Pro tip: order it with vanilla ice cream.) If you aren t stuffed after the main course, split a dessert with your dining companion. Giuseppe s desserts are as fantastic as the food, with the chocolate lava cake a particular highlight for chocolate lovers. Jazz lovers, call for a schedule of live music in the bar. It s a long-established scene and great for a weekend night out. Reservations recommended for dinner. Giuseppeslexington.com 859 272-4269 4456 Nicholasville Road Lexington, 40515 After the sales follow me to... BOUR BON Joseph Clay s Farm to Table Restaurant and Craft Cocktail Bar in the heart of Paris, Kentucky! 1.859.987.1662 for reservations www.bour-bon.com Continued from Page 1 rently ranked the No. 1 freshman sire of 2014. A big part of it is, Are you breeding graded winners? Super Saver leads the way in 2014 both in money won and graded stakes winners, with G1 Hopeful winner Competitive Edge and I Spent It, who finished second in the Hopeful after winning the G2 Saratoga Special. It s extremely important to be leading freshman sire because it helps launch that fifth-year book of mares, said Walden. You get a horse that s off the mark a little slow and it s hard to fill them in year five, and that leads to further complications. Recent leading freshman sires that have continued to succeed in subsequent years include 2008 leader Tapit, 2006 leader Street Cry, 2005 leader Tiznow and 2002 leader Distorted Humor.The same year that Distorted Humor was leading freshman sire, he was followed by a group of stallions who have made a significant impact at stud; Awesome Again, Elusive Quality and Tale of the Cat were in the second through fourth positions behind Distorted Humor on the list. Tapit s year was similarly strong, with such current top sires as Candy Ride ranking third, Medaglia d Oro fourth and Speightstown fifth. But being leading freshman sire does not guarantee long-term success. Dunkirk, the 2013 freshman leader, recently was sold to stand in Japan. Offlee Wild (2009 leader) is in Pennsylvania and Posse (2007) was moved to New York. And not all of today s successful stallions ranked among the leaders of their freshman class. Among the slow starters was Smart Strike in 2000, Lemon Drop Kid in 2004 and Smart Strike s Horse of the Year son Curlin in 2012. All three stand at Lane s End. It just goes to show that the race doesn t always go to the one who is the quickest away from the starting gate. PRS

www.paulickreport.com Page 6 Five to Watch A look at some of the sale s top hips By Frank Mitchell Hip 199 (Colt by Tapit x Rhumb Line, by Mr. Greeley): This colt is a full brother to multiple Grade 1 winner Zazu and to G2 winner Flashback, who also ran second in the G1 Santa Anita Derby. They are also siblings to stakes winner Corinthian s Jewel and to group stakes-placed Art Princess. The dam is a big mare with quality and exceptional presence. Hip 209 (Colt by Malibu Moon x Ruthian, by Rahy): A son of leading sire Malibu Moon, like the 2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb, this colt is a half-brother to three stakes winners and a stakes-placed runner by A.P. Indy. The best of the stakes winners is G1 winner Rutherienne and her full sister, G3 winner Ruthenia. This family has worked very well with A.P. Indy, as both the stakes winners above are by his son Pulpit, and buyers will notice that this colt is by yet another top son of the 1992 Horse of the Year. Hip 280 (Colt by Distorted Humor x Starlight Dreams, by Black Tie Affair): A May foal, this colt is by a sire who can get top juveniles, as well as classic stock like Kentucky Derby winner Funny Cide. The colt is out of a daughter of 148023-FirstYearlings-half-PRS.indd 1 Horse of the Year Black Tie Affair. She is the dam of highweighted juvenile Mastercraftsman and his G1-placed full sister Famous. Leading young sire Mastercraftsman is the sire of Kingston Hill, winner of the G1 Racing Post Trophy last year and second in the Epsom Derby this year, and of The Grey Gatsby, winner of the 2014 French Derby. Hip 306 (Colt by Tiznow x Supercharger, by A.P. Indy): By a Horse of the Year, this colt is a half-brother to Kentucky Derby winner Super Saver and to G3 winner Brethren. A G2 winner as a juvenile, Super Saver has lit up the freshmen sire lists with very nice young prospects like G1 Hopeful Stakes winner Competitive Edge and Saratoga Special winner I Spent It. Hip 331 (Filly by Medaglia d Oro x Tap Your Heels, by Unbridled): This fetching filly is a half-sister to leading sire Tapit, winner of the G1 Wood Memorial, and is out of a stakeswinning half-sister to champion sprinter Rubiano. Sire Medaglia d Oro is especially noted for his fillies, such as Horse of the Year Rachel Alexandra and Kentucky Oaks winner Plum PRS Pretty. 9/5/14 4:37 PM