californiawinning.com SANTA ANITA RACE COURSE (The Great Race Place) Saturday, February 9, 2019 Message Board to My Subscribers We have three stakes races today, pretty exciting ones at that. Race 5 is The Las Virgennes, Grade II, One Mile, Race 7 is The Thunder Road, Grade III, One Mile on the Turf Course, and Race 9 is the San Marcos, Grade II, One and One Quarter Miles, Turf Course. Classic veteran jockey Victor Espinoza was hurt almost one year ago, it was last March in fact. I know he is back here riding in the mornings, so let s hope we see him on the program soon. Post Time today is 11:30 AM PT, 2:30 PM ET Mini Happy New Year Handicapping Tips *** wring everything you can out of your DRF, Racing Digest, Race Lens etc., look at everything, every nuance, there could be a clue lurking there don t be formulistic and rely on multiple angles, not just one *** don t be overly concerned about slow workout times, as some trainers don t push it until race time do pay attention to very recent very fast workouts, they provide a great insight as to the race day condition of the horse Horsecallany
It is said by the horse whisperers that horses probably do not recognize their name, as dogs do. However, they can routinely be trained to come when called, and that is likely a product of the fact they do recognize familiar faces and voices. Recent studies show that horses recognize human emotions by the person s countenance. Saturday, February 9, 2019 Santa Anita Race Course FOR AMUSEMENT---AND NOT BEMUSEMENT---ONLY!!! (Of course, these are recommendations only, and there are no guarantees in this sport, but that is what generates its mystique. And so, please follow your own heart and mind, considering me as a mere advisor, when making your selections. In any event, I do wish you all the best in your quest to predict the future, because it ain t easy. And remember, horses, just like us, have aches and pains, headaches, suffer fatigue, etc. Try not to get mad at me, I usually have excellent days, occasionally, not-so-excellent days: with all of the informative past performance data we handicappers have in front of us, we have no idea how a particular horse feels at race time. (By way of example, maybe that 50/1 colt is in a big hurry because he has a hot filly waiting for him back at the barn so please stick with me if there are a few speed-bumps along the way.) This analysis is prepared under the reasonable assumption that (i) all turf races will be run on a firm turf track, and (ii) all dirt races will be run on a track graded fast. Should different conditions exist at post time for a given race, please temper these selections with your own best judgment in light of less-than-ideal conditions. Please see my Handicapping Tips No. 6, What If It Rains on Race Day?, in this regard Note: Please keep in mind that I call them as I see them and do not set the odds, nor do I even look at the M/L before I conduct my comprehensive analysis of each race I just select the horses who I believe are the most likely to come in first, second and third, respectively however, as we all know, a horse is a horse, of course, of course on any given day. Additional Note: There is no warranty, express, implied, legal, moral, or otherwise with respect to these graded selections, they are for amusement only. There is likewise no warranty, express, implied, legal, moral, or otherwise, for any failure on my part to transmit any daily analysis to you: your sole remedy in the unlikely event that happens is that you will receive a credit for one day s analysis and you will receive the next racing day s analysis free of charge. All purchases are final, and thank you. Incidentally, did you know: the average career of an NFL running back is a mere 2.57 years, and the average number of total career races for a thoroughbred is a mere eighteen races?
Did you know: while thoroughbred horses tend to max out at about 40 m.p.h., quarter horses in very short races have been clocked at 55 m.p.h For only $2 for a daily card, or $20 for a thirty calendar-day subscription, you can have my full card delivered to your electronic mail inbox for each racing day for a calendar month. Even if you prefer your selections to mine, look at it this way: I provide a rather elegant summary, in one sentence, of all of the relevant information from the past performances of three contestants, the three horses whom most would agree are the contenders just look after Today s Free Selections below to see how to order, and thank you THE FOLLOWING ARE TODAY S FREE SELECTIONS : Races 4-7 (see below) Note- for newcomers: here is the definition of a Likeable Longshot : it is a horse whom we do not expect to win or place in the contest, however, his/her payoff will be huge (usually, 10/1 or better) and there is some other mitigating factor that suggests that a nominal bet could payoff really nicely. Other mitigating factors which suggest you make a nominal (by your definition) win/place bet on this longshot might include one of more of the following: the horse has a high percentage of winning at race distance, he or she carries a great jockey, or carries a good jockey with a significant weight allowance, or, the horse comes out fourth in your ranking of the top three, and so on and so on. Sometimes it is almost visceral, preternatural even I am sure you get the idea now don t bet the house but it makes an excellent beer money, as in Bud Light, bet! Note: Likeable Longshots are not available in this free version of californiawinning.com s analysis. To view Likeable Longshots please go to californiawinnig.com and click on Today s Full Racing Card and follow the process indicated. You will be glad you did, my subscribers are way ahead on the Likeable Longshots--- we just had a $75 winner recently, $75 for $2!!! ***** ATTENTION: NEW SUBSCRIBERS ARE ELIGIBLE TO GET SIX WEEKS OF COVERAGE FOR $20, INSTEAD OF THE USUAL FOUR, THAT S EONS CHEAPER THAN YOUR DRF
OR RACING DIGEST OR LIKE PUBLICATION! SUBSCRIBE NOW AT TODAY S FULL RACE CARD ON THIS SITE RACE 4: The ML favorite, Royal Trump, racing off somewhat short rest which should not be problematic based on his PP s, is the favorite in large measure because the gelding gets significant class relief, sports a series of creditable works, not the least of which was five furlongs at a bullet 59 1 six weeks ago, he is one of three entries to have posted a win here at race distance (see also Old Indian Trick and Treasure Hunter), and he has hit the board here in six of seven races (his connections are none too shabby as well), he also exhibits early unchallenged speed ( EUS ), the mark of a horse who realizes his mission is to beat the pack to the wire. Old Indian Trick likewise gets significant class relief, he has won two of three races at race distance, once here last fall, and he is a competitor, having hit the board in eight or ten lifetime races, mostly dirt sprints. Treasure Hunter rarely missed the board here, and his resume is almost entirely that of a dirt sprinter, connections are decent and he could surprise. RACE 5: THE LAS VIRGENES, GRADE II, ONE MILE, MAIN TRACK ($200000) The deserving, hugely prohibitive ML favorite is Bellafina: this filly has won four of six lifetime races, three of four routes, all four victories have come in graded races, two such wins coming here where she is two for two, she knows her top-notch jockey very well (more important for a filly) and vice versa. At least some level of competition, at least for a while, should arise from Mother Mother, trained by a legend as much as a man, and ridden by the top rider in Baffert s usual cadre, she has not yet won a graded race, but won two of five races, one at RD, but she does not sport the usual transcendent works accompanying a trainee of the white-haired wizard, and when she dueled with Bellafina last time out, in a seven furlong graded race here, the latter won and beat her by some eight and one-half lengths. Rested Enaya Alrabb beat Mother Mother by a neck
when the two dueled at a mile and one-sixteenth last time out, and she own here at RD last fall, with Mike Smith aboard she has a decent shot (and show would the show pony). Likeable Longshot: (there is one for this race but such are not available in this free version you can go to Today s Full Race Card on this site and purchase today s full analysis for a mere $5, less than you pay for your DRF or Racing Form, and they don t handicap for you OR you can subscribe for thirty (3) calendar days for a mere $20, at the same location on this website If you have a PayPal account you can easily make payment at PayPal.me/SailorBoston if not it is free to set up) RACE 6: Cioppino Pasadino, erstwhile quarter horse, won easily last time out, in less than ideal conditions and at race distance ( RD ) less 330 feet, she has won three of eleven races at RD and, what s more, she seems to adore the avuncular yet sophisticated crowd here, where she has won a heady six of fourteen races, almost all of the sprint variety, she is the top lifetime earner by a wide margin and three of her last four, one might say she is hot. Racing off short rest, thirteen days, but apparently totally accustomed to such, is Eskenforadrink, this lightly-raced filly gets a notch of class relief, rarely misses the board and will battle. We Will Re Joyce, top 2018 earner, benefits from class relief, sports s series of very strong works, is trained by one of the best and carries our winningest apprentice, he of the continuing five-pound weight allowance, she has only won one of eleven races at RD, but is incessantly on the board in the dirt sprint, she could pull off a surprise. Likeable Longshot: (there is one for this race but such are not available in this free version you can go to Today s Full Race Card on this site and purchase today s full analysis for a mere $5, less than you pay for your DRF or Racing Form, and they don t handicap for you OR you can subscribe for thirty (3) calendar days for a mere $20, at the same location on this website
If you have a PayPal account you can easily make payment at PayPal.me/SailorBoston if not it is free and easy to set up) RACE 7: THE THUNDER ROAD, GRADE III, ONE MILE, TURF COURSE ($100000) All entries have posted a win at RD and all but Le Ken and True Valour have posted a win here Blackjackcat upgrades his rider to Mike Smith, the best stakes race rider around, he has won a heady four of ten races at RD, three of those wins coming here, he is trained by one of the best and won a graded race at RD at Del Mar a while back, he has raced only twice since last summer and will challenge the prohibitive ML favorite, who is River Boyne, whose 2018 earnings dwarf all others, he is a fine Irish las, born and bred on the lush county green (County Galway), this is preternaturally suited for turf racing, he has won three of six graded races, all routes, and more importantly he won all six of his races here, rendering him the prohibitive favorite of course, his rider is top-drawer and this looms as a two-horse duel. Ohio is a venerable eight year old, who apparently has failed to win a graded race in seven tries, he did win four of eleven races at RD, and comes off a stakes win at RD, I just don t think he has enough left in the tank to keep up with the prior two. ***** californiawinning.com (all rights reserved) You can buy today s full analysis for $5, or, Why not subscribe now, it s less than $1 per day far less than what you pay for The DRF or Racing Digest and more informative to boot, since they do not provide a graded handicap and far less than the touts charged for their card when this track opened on December 25, 1934 So, for Today s Full Race card for the mere sum of $5, or, better yet, to subscribe for 30 calendar days analysis for only $20, go to californiawinning.com, click on Today s Full Race Card and pay through your PayPal account (or use a credit card or debit card), OR, if you have a PayPal account, for an easier one-click process go to PayPal.me/SailorBoston
and make your payment if you do not have a PayPal account you can easily set one up---and it s free. Today s deadline for payments is 2:00 p.m. PDT, 5:00 p.m. EDT, and I will send you today s selections promptly after you make your payment. If you have made a payment after that time in error, I will issue a credit to you. Thank you. Comments, constructive criticism? For example, how soon before the first post time should I try to post my recommendations? Try: fryer08057@yahoo.com Also, check out my free Handicapping Tips at californiawinning.com. You will really like the one, Probabilities (Pick 6) It s a can t miss and the latest one, What If It Rains on Race Day?