Tanya M. Beck. Kelly Legault. Research Physical Scientist Coastal & Hydraulics Lab, ERDC Vicksburg, MS

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Inlet And Adjacent Shoreline Processes at Cascading Time Scales Using the Coastal Modeling System and GenCade Tanya M. Beck Research Physical Scientist Coastal & Hydraulics Lab, ERDC Vicksburg, MS Kelly Legault Coastal Engineer HH&C, Jacksonville District Jacksonville, FL US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG

Overview 6 July 2012 2

Regional Sediment Management Approach RSM Operating Principles Recognize sediment as a regional resource connect beaches & inlets Evaluate use of all sediment sources & sinks Optimize operational efficiencies & natural exchange of sediments Balanced, economically viable, environmentally sustainable solutions Improve economic performance by linking multiple interacting projects Consider regional impacts Adaptively manage 6 July 2012 3

The Navigation Project and Erosional Hotspot 1862 Navigation Map 6 July 2012 4

Planned and Historic District Activity in Last Decade St. Augustine Ebb-shoal Mining St. Augustine Beach Shore Protection Project 1998 - Bathymetry Project 2003 Phase 1 Phase 2 Volume Placed (CY) 4.2 mcy Placeme nt Area R-145 to R-151 T-132 to R-151 2005 2.8 mcy R-137A 4.5 MCY Legault et al., 2012 to R-151 Placement Length 1.1 miles 3.6 miles 2.6 miles Project Vilano Beach Feasibility Study Volume Placed (CY) Placement Area Placement Length 1998 2003 Difference Proposed Project 880 kcy R-109 to R-120 2.0 miles 6 July 2012 5

Problem Statement Investigate optimal dredging volumes and intervals, and determine the beach placement volume and interval that will adequately supply sand to maintain two Shore Protection Projects in St. Johns County. Questions: What is the volumetric limit (cubic yards of sediment) that can be mined regularly from the ebb shoal in its present condition which does not cause a significant long-term effect on the morphology and volumetric recovery of the shoal? How much sediment and what nourishment interval is required to maintain present volume of the active and planned Shore Protection Projects? 6 July 2012 6

The Coastal Modeling System (CMS) at St. Augustine Inlet Analysis to Conduct: Volumetric change of ebb shoal Planform change of ebb shoal Shoreline position Beck and Legault, 2012 6 July 2012 7

Comparison to the 1.5 MCY Removed A Planform Extent B A Volumetric Change B Sediment Transport Pathways Beck and Legault, 2012 6 July 2012 8

Ebb Delta Mining Alternatives 6 July 2012 9

Ebb Shoal Collapse in the 4.0 MCY Removed Scenario Certain conditions collapse the active shoal through disruption of natural sand pathways by reducing its depth either through deflation or collapse and/or reducing its planform area Functionality of the updrift channel margin shoal is crucial needed to sustain channelized flow to maintain typical bypassing 6 July 2012 10

Dredging Boundaries: CMS Results & Historical Data Ebb Shoal Recovery: CMS Cannot remove so much as to force the inlet out of equilibrium : <4MCY Account for inlet recovery by historical evidence for infilling: Rate of volume change (growth) determined from 2001-03 and 2005 mining events 4 MCY Cutoff dv/dt (kcy/yr) 350 330 310 290 270 250 230 210 190 170 150 Time Rate of Change of Ebb Shoal Volume YEAR dv/dt (kcy/yr) 325 300 275 250 225 200 175 150 Time Rate of Change of Ebb Shoal Volume dv/dt = 60000ln(x) + 200000 R² = 0.9779-4 -2 0 2 4 6 time (years) POST-PROJECT PRE-PROJECT d 2 V/dt 2 =60000/t Beck and Legault, 2012 Legault et al., 2012 6 July 2012 11

Defining Dredging Interval Alternatives for 50-YR Planning Horizon Legault et al., 2012 Dredging intensity scenarios considering equal or accretional status of the ebbtidal delta. Scenario Dredged Volume Dredging Interval Beach Placement Volume Beach Placement Location & Length Alt A1 1.0 MCY 5 Years 1.0 MCY Alt A2 1.35 MCY 5 Years 1.35 MCY Alt A3 2.0 MCY 7 Years 2.0 MCY Alt A4 3.0 MCY 10 Years 3.0 MCY T137a R151 (15,000 lft) T137a R151 (15,000 lft) T137a R151 (15,000 lft) T137a R151 (15,000 lft) 6 July 2012 12

Refined Nourishment Intervals for 50-YR Planning Horizon Optimized beach fill placement scenarios following the results of the Alternative A dredging scenarios. Beach Placement Location & Scenario Dredged Volume Dredging Interval Beach Placement Volume Length Alt B1 1.35 MCY 5 Years 1.35 MCY 70 cy/lft T132 R151 (20,000 lft) Alt B2 1.65 MCY (Includes Vilano Shoal ~300KCY) 5 Years 1.65 MCY 40 cy/lft R109 R120 (11,000 lft) 80 cy/lft T137a R151 (15,000 lft) Alt C1 3.0 MCY 10 Years 3.0 MCY 50 cy/lft R109 R120 (11,000 lft) 125 cy/lft T132 R151 (20,000 lft) Alt C2 3.0 MCY 10 Years 3.0 MCY 100 cy/lft 125 cy/lft R109 R120 (11,000 lft) T137a R151 (15,000 lft) 6 July 2012 13

The GenCade Model GenCade is a one-dimensional (1-D) numerical model that calculates regional coastal change including inlet voumetric evolution. The model is a combination of Genesis, a shoreline change model designed for project-scale engineering studies, and Cascade, a regional alongshore sediment transport model that includes barrier islands and the inlets that separate them. <- IRM <- IRM The combination of the two models, with the addition of the Inlet Reservoir Model, which investigates the sediment sinks in inlets, result in a regional model capable of modeling shoreline change at the structure or project level, up to regional distances on the order of hundreds of kilometers. 6 July 2012 14

GenCade Reaches of St. Johns Co., FL (R-Monument Profile Locations) Location Reach (R-Mon) Ponte Vedra Beach S. Ponte Vedra & Vilano Beach St. Augustine Inlet Anastasia Island Headland St. Augustine Beach Crescent Beach to Matanzas Inlet R1 R109 R109 R122 Ebb & Flood Tidal Deltas R123 R128 R128 R151 R151 R195 6 July 2012 15

RESULTS: Ebb-Tidal Delta Volume Change for Alternatives 6 July 2012 16

RESULTS: Plotted Shoreline Position on GenCade Grid 40 cy/lft 5 yr 50 cy/lft 10 yr 100 cy/lft 10 yr 70 cy/lft 5 yr 80 cy/lft 5 yr 125 cy/lft 10 yr 125 cy/lft 10 yr 6 July 2012 17

Volumetric Results of Alternatives 67 cy/lft 5 yr 90 cy/lft 5 yr 133 cy/lft 7 yr 200 cy/lft 10 yr 67 cy/lft 5 yr 40 cy/lft 80 cy/lft 5 yr 50 cy/lft 125 cy/lft 10 yr 100 cy/lft 125 cy/lft 10 yr 6 July 2012 18

Summary An analysis of the CMS model results determined that dredging scenarios under 4 MCY removed did not significantly modify the ebb-tidal delta through the 1) elevation and planform extent, 2) sediment transport patterns, or 3) volume flux provided to the adjacent beaches. The CMS modeling results provided crucial constructive bounds on the optimized scenarios modeled in GenCade. The benefits of coordinating and modifying dredging volumes and intervals can be explored in GenCade simultaneously with varying beach fill volumes and intervals to calculate how sediment sources and sinks evolve over time for future sediment budgets. An analysis of the GenCade results found that there is not a sustainable dredging amount and interval for St. Augustine Inlet that will meet the beach fill needs of St. Johns County. At least another 1 MCY/YR is necessary to sustain the present SPP. The greatest benefit of this methodology is in determining optimal dredging periods and coordinating regional efforts to save in mobilization and demobilization costs for dredging and beach fill placement. 6 July 2012 19

Thank You! Questions? Three Part Technical Report Series Published by ERDC/CHL: Legault K.R. Rosati J.D., Beck T.M., and Engle J. 2012. St. Johns County, St. Augustine Inlet, FL Report 1: Historical Analysis and Sediment Budget. Technical Report ERDC-TR-12-XX, U.S. Army Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS. Beck, T.M. and Legault K.R. 2012. St. Augustine Inlet, Florida: Application of the Coastal Modeling System, Report 2. Technical Report ERDC-TR-12-XX, U.S. Army Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS. Beck, T.M. and Legault K.R. 2012. Optimization of Ebb Shoal Mining and Beach Nourishment at St. Johns County, St. Augustine Inlet, FL, Report 3. Technical Report ERDC-TR-12-XX, U.S. Army Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS. 6 July 2012 20