TEN-YEAR DEVELOPMENT AGENDA FOR THE TIGF TRANSPORT GRID (2017-2026) 1 Gas consultation 24 October 2017
Contents 1. 2. 3. 4. Key facts Change in trade with Spain Change in demand Investments Investments in fluidity Public Service Obligations: Regional grid Public Service Obligations: Safety and Maintenance 5. Energy Transition 2
1 Key facts / 1 Change in gas prices PIV Pirineos North > South South > North Total marketable 165 GWh/day (F) 60 GWh/day (I) 225 GWh/day Total brought to market 152 GWh/day 177 GWh/day Including long term reserves 147 GWh/day 177 GWh/day Including on CAM PRISMA market 3.4 GWh/day (F) 0.9 GWh/day (I) 0 GWh/day F: Firm capacity I: Interruptible capacity Updated: 01/10/2017 3
1 Key facts / 2 AGU Act.: 2019/2020 Capens Pamiers Act.: 2021 STEP (South Transit East Pyrenees) preparation for public consultation under the auspices of the CNDP Determining local impacts Barbaira Gascogne Midi Handoff of EPC markets and tubes: start of line work 07/17 Barbaira machine delivery 10/17 Permission to build and operate RGM 07/2017, Permission to renovate Lussan Lias PMS 08/17 Barbaira Permission 05/17 Activation: 10/2018 4
Contents 1. 2. 3. 4. Key facts Change in trade with Spain Change in demand Investments Investments in fluidity Public Service Obligations: Regional grid Public Service Obligations: Safety and Maintenance 5. Energy Transition 5
2 Change in trade with Spain: flows 2017 Observations: High demand for N S flows in summer Stable contracts: 89% of marketable capacities (France - Spain) 79% of marketable capacities (Spain - France) 6
2 Change in trade with Spain: volumes Comparison: 2016 2017 Increased consumption in Spain LNG arrivals up, Algerian gas pipeline down Notable increase in quantity flowing from France to Spain in 2017 7
Contents 1. 2. 3. 4. Key facts Change in trade with Spain Change in demand Investments Investments in fluidity Public Service Obligations: Regional grid Public Service Obligations: Safety and Maintenance 5. Energy Transition 8
3 Change in demand / 1 Main scenario catalysts Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Population Modest change in number of households Economic Growth Modest Stronger Weaker Energy efficiency High Higher Lower Building renovations Significant number Greater Fewer Renewables Development Significant Greater Lesser Energy substitution Modest Significant Low Aligned with TYNDP scenarios 9
3 Change in demand / 2 Segment Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Residential -1.8% -1.3% -2.2% Third sector -0.9% -0.5% -1.6% TCAM 2017-2026 France Manufacturing -0.6% 0% -1.2% Elec. Prod. 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% Gas mobility 13,1 TWh in 2026 24,6 TWh in 2026 11,1 TWh in 2035 Total -0.1% 0.5% -0.7% Residential -1.7% -1.2% -2.2% Third sector -1.0% -0.6% -1.7% TCAM 2017-2026 France Manufacturing -0.6% 0.1% -1.4% Elec. Prod. 1 TWh in 2026 5 TWh in 2026 1 TWh in 2026 Gas mobility 2,2 TWh in 2026 4,1 TWh in 2026 1,8 TWh in 2026 Total -0.2% 1.3% --1,0% 10
3 Change in demand / 3 VISION TIGF 2026 Scenario A: 28.9 TWh Scenario B: 36.1 TWh Scenario C: 27.1 TWh 2016: 29,6 TWh TCAM -0,2% TCAM 1,3% TCAM -1,0% 11
Contents 1. 2. 3. 4. Key facts Change in trade with Spain Change in demand Investments Investments in fluidity Public Service Obligations: Regional grid Public Service Obligations: Safety and Maintenance 5. Energy Transition 12
4 Investments in fluidity / 1 2017/2021 2026 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Short term/in progress: Guye nne pipeli ne RGM 1. Carrying out Gascogne Midi (RGM) project necessary to implement a single French marketplace (2018). Approved 2. Augmenting the Guyenne pipeline compressor station (AGU) by adding a fourth compressor. Approved 13
4 Investments in fluidity / 2 2022/2026 Long term: projects awaiting approval 2026 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2022: STEP (South Transit East Pyrenees) Conceptual study of an Interconnector project between France (Barbaira) and Spain (50% funded Europe). Roughly Value of the project: 290M Investigation concerning European PCI Status Study on local constraints impacts. STEP 2026: Odorisation system changes to comply with European laws on grid interoperability 14
4 Public service obligation: 1/2 Regional grid investments 2026 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Major regional grid investments fall into two categories: Development: Observations and forecasts of increased consumption, mainly at branch extremities (migration flows out of urban centres) New DP or industrial connections via common Transporter Distributor efforts S Grid restructuring/renovation; taking into account a multi criteria approach to optimise investment costs 15
4 Public service obligation: 2/2 Regional grid investments 2026 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Arcachon La Teste urban zone Rion des Landes Mont Station Capens Pamiers Rodez Pipeline Projects approved/in progress: Landes Sud Area (development) Capens Pamiers Branch (Securitymaintenance work) Projects awaiting approval, in preliminary studies phase: Montauban Rodez area: mitigation of branch overload, renovation of regional compressor stations Management of Arcachon La teste urban zone Renovation of Mont Station Two new connections planned per year (Industriel and/or DP) starting in 2018 16
4 Public service obligation: Investments in safety and maintenance Average of 33m/yr in safety and maintenance investments over the last five years. They involve: 40 35 30 25 20 m 15 10 5 0 Safety and Maintenance 38,3 36,3 35,6 28,9 25,7 RD 2013 RD 2014 RD 2015 RD 2016 RD 2017 Safety measures following Hazard studies Rebuilding following the results of the 10-year inspection plan Management of urban zones Elimination of overhead crossings and repairs to in-ground crossings Third-party project measures Handling flood zones Regulatory changes and bringing auxiliary facilities up to code TIGF will continue its constant efforts to improve its grid in Safety, reliability and optimisation 17
4 - Summary of programme outlook: Timeline 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Sauveterre Compression Station Approved Investments in Fluidity RGM; 60 km DN900, Lussan Lia PMS and 5.5 MW BARBAIRA Compression Station AGU compression station Decentralised odorisation STEP: New France/Spain Interconnection 120 km of DN900 not yet approved Public Service Obligation Investments Rion des Landes: Capens Pamiers Compression Station Branch Albi, Rodez, Castres/ Arcachon La Teste Investments in Safety and Maintenance Approved not yet approved 18
Contents 1. Key facts 2. Change in trade with Spain 3. Change in demand 4. Investments Investments in fluidity Public Service Obligations: Regional grid Public Service Obligations: Safety and Maintenance 5. Energy Transition 19
5 Energy Transition: Biomethane TIGF Participation Biovilleneuvois Unit Projects Reverse TIGF administrator of zone capacities register since 2014 Working Group injection Sub working group capacities increase Sub working group finance Sub working group support mechanisms Largest current unit feeding the grid Short term plan to double its capacity Over 97% availability at the injection station One connection planned per year through 2023, then 2/year Three new connection contracts signed in 2017 Supporting projects through public fora Joint study with GRDf on the opportunity for a reversal project in the TIGF zone (R&I) Planned implementation of one reverse flow unit per year starting in 2023 20
5 Energy Transition: Biomethane Grid operators Number of projects Reserve capacity Cr (m 3 /h) Average Cr (m 3 /h) ITO 4 1588 397 GRD 25 7530 301 1 project expected 2020 Methalayou expected 2018 1 project expected 2019 21
7 Energy Transition (NGV Power to Gas) NGV Power To Gas TIGF's participation in AFGNV's efforts Co-funding drilling studies/opportunities Efforts to promote gas mobility Joint efforts with distributors on specific projects Plan to connect, on average, one NGV station directly to the transport grid per year beginning in 2018. Incorporation of renewables into the grid. Integration of gas and electric grids. Renewable and local gas production (H2 and CH4) Possible development of industrial units beginning in 2025 JUPITER 1000 Pilot project 1MW electrolysis Methanation 9 industrial partners Operation 2018-2020 Research & Innovation (R&I) All parts of these development actions concerning Energy Transition were possible with Research and Innovaytion policy with constant low-value investments surveyed by CRE 22