AGENDA ITEM 9a KNOWN ANALYSIS WORKING GROUP REPORTS. CIVA 2014 Wroclaw, Poland. Proposed Known Programmes 2015

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ND TM 9a KNOWN NLYSS WORKN ROUP RPORTS Proposed Known Programmes 2015 The V Known nalysis Working roup was formed to provide Delegates with expert advice on the quality, safety, and flyability of Known sequences submitted to V for consideration. The Working roup is made up of experienced pilots who have proven themselves in competition and sometimes have gone on to successful coaching careers as well. They have all flown a wide variety of aircraft. Deadline for submission of Known sequences was 15 September 2014. Nine countries responded with proposals. mmediately after the deadline closed, the sequences were all checked, re-drawn, and de-identified by rian oward (US). The Known Proposals genda Package was then prepared, posted on the V website, and sent to all of the analysts. The analysts were asked to present their findings in table format and to rank each sequence as well as grade it from 0 to 10. zero would be assigned to any sequences they regarded as unsafe or unsuitable for the category. Thanks to all of them for their contributions. To help Delegates study the sequences and decide on which ones they will vote for, tables are provided at the end of this document with the sequence ratings tabulated therein. encourage you to read through the comments and then review the table at the end for an easy-to-read summary. Mike euer hairman, V Rules Sub-ommittee Version 3 27 October 2014 genda 8a Known nalysis Working roup Report Version 3 1

Principles lan asidy s nalysis Unlimited Known The Unlimited category is suffering a decline in the numbers of competitors. n 2012 this was exacerbated by the choice of a sequence containing two high-speed negative flick rolls. The Programme chosen by V should not deter new pilots from moving up to Unlimited, nor should it carry risks to health as it will necessarily be flown many times in training. t is acceptable to have figures in a Known Programme that are ineligible for the Unknowns, as long as the reason for exclusion from Unknowns is not safety-related. D omments Score Rank No doubt some pilots could fly this sequence in some aeroplanes. 0 Not owever, this known programme must be flown by all pilots in all aeroplanes. igures 1, 4, 6 and 9 all present problems of available thrust and control or aircraft structural integrity, or excessive flick speed and combinations likely to cause brain damage after serial repetition. igure 2 will possibly lead to some inconsistency between judges 6.5 2 concerning observation of the use of aileron in extended, low speed negative flick rolls. Otherwise the sequence is suitable as a Known for Unlimited competition. This sequence is a slightly revised version of Proposal, implying collusion between delegates. t is rejected for the same reasons as Proposal. relatively high K, technical sequence but generally flyable and without obvious framing issues. The inverted line between 4 and 5 will need to be short to avoid LO in figure 5. The double negative flick on ig 8 may also lead to inconsistency in grading. igures 2 and 3 both include significant positive looping segments after exposure to sustained negative. The low speed, "wrong line" 1¼ positive flicks on igs 1 and, especially, 7 may lead to judging inconsistencies. raming requires an exceptionally long period of slow upright flight prior to the spin on ig 3, making this period lacking in harmony. The negative flick on ig 4 carries a high risk of overspeeding and physiological damage to the pilot with serial repetition. Not because of poor safety of this flick roll element. Relatively low total K. Will probably attract criticism for being too simple, but this sequence will not deter new pilots from moving up 0 Not 5 4= 5.5 3 0 Not 7 1 genda 8a Known nalysis Working roup Report Version 3 2

to Unlimited. raming and energy acceptable. owever, prolonged high negative period before 3/4 positive loop on ig 6 is a big concern with regard to LO. This sequence is a slightly revised version of Proposal, implying collusion between delegates. t is rejected for the same reasons as Proposal. 5 4= 0 Not dvanced Known Principles With the deletion of aircraft restrictions at dvanced, it is very important to choose a Q/Known Programme that is equally flyable by traditional dvanced aircraft rather than just those types currently flying at Unlimited. V should not choose a sequence that inherently gives a greater advantage to higher-powered aircraft. t is acceptable to have figures in a Known Programme that are ineligible for the Unknowns, as long as the reason for exclusion from Unknowns is not performance-related. D omments Score Rank Descending rolls on igs 2 and 3 will lead to a lot of energy loss, 5 5 which cannot be fully recovered before the spin entry, for those flying 4-cylinder aircraft. Would be fairer to lower performance aircraft if the roll down on ig 3 was just half. oth igs 2 and 5 have negative followed by prolonged high 0 Not positive. ig 7 requires very high power:weight ratio to complete the 5/8 loop after the climbing 4x8, in particular because there is no real way to enter ig 7 at very high speed. ig 1 requires high thrust:weight after roll. Worse, there is prolonged negative from ig 2 into 3, to make ground into wind before ig 4, immediately before a long hard pull for the positive flick. This carries, for me, too much risk of LO. ig 2 is testing for lower powered aircraft but can be done in context with practice. The rest is acceptable as long as there is only a short period of level flight before the spin/flick combination which will require anti- straining technique. ood framing will make this just possible. relatively low-k sequence which starts reasonable but which then gets much less suitable after ig 6. The early part of the sequence will have to be flown high to cater for the height loss in ig 2 before the spin. ig 8 after ig 7 will strongly favour 6- cylinder aircraft and result in more height loss before ig 9. 0 Not 6 3 4 6 genda 8a Known nalysis Working roup Report Version 3 3

nother sequence with prolonged inverted flight, an inverted spin and then a long hard pull to a positive flick. n this case, the downwind 45 lines on igs 3 and 4 mean that pilot will have to make a lot of ground into wind before the spin, making LO much more likely. This sequence is therefore rejected for safety reasons. This sequence presents no insuperable problems for lower powered aircraft and can be well positioned as long as the aircraft drives unharmoniously into wind before the spin. igs 4, 6 and 7 result in significant height loss, so there is a probability of low excursions before ig 8 unless the down line on 7 is very short. This sequence is adequately testing and is able to be flown by lower performance aircraft. Positioning can be good as long as igs 3 and 6 are driven into wind. ig 7 is useful for rebuilding energy if required. Low-powered aircraft may have problems driving into wind after the climbing 2x4 on ig 1. Then 3 and 4 will probably go out downwind. igs 4 and 7 will result in significant energy loss with a strong risk of low excursions after ig 7, especially for 4-cylinder aircraft. 0 Not 6.5 2 7.5 1 5.5 4 oco esiere s nalysis Unlimited Known omments Score Rank Safety: No 0 Not nterest:#1 difficult for many aircraft. igure #3: wrong sense for direction with official wind igure #4: too high speed for flick igure #5: roll 2/2 too big loss of altitude igure #6:? beautiful drawing igure #7: not easy igure #9: too low and probably too high speed for negative flick Safety:OK 5 4 nterest:figure #1 loss of altitude. igure #4, #5, #9: flicks in the wrong sense for direction with official wind Safety: No in figure#5, #6, #9 Not nterest: igure#1? igure #6? igure #7? D Safety:OK nterest: nteresting and challenging sequence. ll flicks 8 1 genda 8a Known nalysis Working roup Report Version 3 4

omments Score Rank good for official direction with the wind Safety:OK 6 2 nterest:licks figure #1 and #4 not good for official direction with the wind. lot of flicks (10). hallenging sequence for beginners and unlimited level. Safety:OK 5.5 3 nterest: licks figures #2 and #3 in wrong sense for direction with the official wind. ox difficult for #6, #7, #8 with different winds (not fair). Safety:OK 5 4 nterest: ew points. ew flicks (figure #2 and #4 in wrong sense of wind). Safety:No. Line 45 diving in #8. Not nterest: igure #2 and #5: a lot of negative s and risk of grey/black out in figure #6. Safety:Not good. nterest: lmost the same than sequence and. 0 Not dvanced Known omments Score Rank Safety: OK (if figure #3 only half roll diving) nterest: Well balanced. ood correction wind. #3 flick not in correct direction with official wind and lot of loss of altitude in one and a half roll diving. Only half roll could be enough for advanced level. Safety: OK nterest: igure #2: negative flick not for beginners in advanced level igure #3: no igure #4: no igure #6: dangerous igure #8: limit for altitude Safety: OK (if figure #5 only ¾ (mind grey out in #3)). nterest: Positioning in the box OK 8.5 1 (if correction of figure #3) 0 Not 7.5 3 (if correction figure #5) 8 2 D Safety: OK (mind grey out in figure #5) nterest:#1 difficult to judge incidence. Well balanced sequence. Safety: OK 7 4 nterest: Positioning box difficult to show figure #9 Safety: No in figure #1 and figure #7 No score Not genda 8a Known nalysis Working roup Report Version 3 5

omments Score Rank nterest: Safety: OK nterest: in figure #1, uninteresting 45 diving line. igure #6: not very interesting for beginners in that level. Safety: OK nterest: #4: too many rolls downwind, so not very fair for aircraft with light rate of roll. Safety:No safe. Dangerous. nterest: No interest. 6.5 5 (if correction #1) 6 6 (if corrected in #4) 0 Not Yak 52 / ntermediate omments Score Rank Safety:OK 7 2 nterest:only one flick. Safety:OK 9 1 nterest:ood sequence. Nigel opkins nalysis Unlimited Known omments Score Rank ig 1, potentially insufficient energy for the inverted cap off after opposite rolls including negative snap roll. ig 3, potentially dangerous high-speed positive snap roll after pull down for aircraft with high acceleration. ig 9, potentially dangerous high-speed negative snap roll after opposite snap rolls on 45 down line. Positioning, late cross-box figure. 3 cross-box figures, good for positioning and also challenging for navigation. ood mix of difficult figures and variation in rolling types. 8 2 Management of energy and altitude should be good. Relatively high total K. ig 1, potentially insufficient energy for inverted cap off after opposite rolls including negative snap roll. genda 8a Known nalysis Working roup Report Version 3 6

D ig 5, potentially dangerous high-speed positive snap roll after pull down for aircraft with high acceleration. ig 9, potentially dangerous high-speed negative snap roll after opposite snap rolls on 45 down line. igh amount of negative ood mix of figures and different rolling types. ig 4, good use of double humpty for cross-box positioning. igh number of snap rolls but energy management and altitude should be good. ood difficulty and total K. ig 1, low performance aircraft may have energy issues with opposite rolls on 45 up line. ood challenging figures. ood cross-box options for positioning. Very high number of snap rolls but energy management and altitude should be good overall. ood mix of figures and difficulty. Limited use of cross-box figures, cross-box figures are in same direction, which makes positioning difficult in calm conditions and also with a cross-box wind component. ig 1,3,7,8 Simple for Unlimited, better suited to dvanced. Overall lack of difficulty. ig 2, 5 high sustained negative. Low number of snap rolls. ig 3 only cross-box figure. Limited options in windy conditions. ig 1, potentially insufficient energy for the inverted cap off after opposite rolls including negative snap roll. ig 9, potentially dangerous high-speed negative snap roll after opposite snap rolls on 45 down line. Some high negative figures. dvanced Known 9 1 6 3 3 5 4 4 omments Score Rank ood variation of figures and rolls. well balanced sequence. Positioning and ltitude management is good. 9 1 Low number of snap rolls. Negative snap roll, more an unlimited sequences. Very simple fig 1. Low number of snap rolls. genda 8a Known nalysis Working roup Report Version 3 7

D ig 1, 2 long line downwind, potential positioning problem with strong wind. ig 3, igh difficulty, Positive Snap Roll from a negative line, more an Unlimited figure. ig 1, high difficulty snap roll from Knife-edge for dvanced, more an Unlimited figure. Very simple fig 4. ood mix of figures and difficulty. ood cross-box elements for positioning. little low on overall difficulty and total K. ig 2 simple. ig 3, 4 long downwind line, will make positioning difficult in wind. Overall, many cross-box elements, keeping the presentation ideal for the judges will be challenging. 3, 7, very simple figures, sequence a little low on overall difficulty and total K. Low number of snap rolls. ood cross-box figures for positioning in strong or no wind. ood balance of figures. Only 3 snap rolls. Overall difficulty and total K a little low. ig 2, 3, 4, sequence difficult on energy management, particularly for the roller after vertical down-line. 7, 8, 9, Long line in one direction, will be difficult for positioning with no wind. ood variation of base figures. Only 2 snap rolls. 8 2 6 4 5 5 7 3 4 6 Yak-52 / ntermediate Known omments Score Rank nverted spin, a challenge for ntermediate, more an dvanced igure. ig 7, challenge on energy for YK52 and low power ntermediate aircraft. Well balanced sequence. ood on energy management and positioning. 9 1 genda 8a Known nalysis Working roup Report Version 3 8

Mikhail Mamistov snalysis Unlimited Known omments Score Rank igh speed flick on fig #4; There is a risk of -LO on the bottom of ig #4; ig #1 for powerful aircraft; NR - ig #7 tailslide after the flick; (safety) ig #9 start of the negative flick at high speed; Strong possibility of too low altitude at the end of the sequence. nteresting and sufficiently challenging sequence, but: ig #6 too high speed for a negative flick roll thus there is a chance to «break a head», otherwise this maneuver is only for powerful aircraft. Same problems as in igh speed flick on fig #5, There is a risk of -LO on the bottom of ig #5; ig #1 for powerful aircraft; ig #7 tailslide after the flick; ig #9 start of the negative flick at high speed; Possibility of too low altitude at the end of the sequence. - - NR (safety) NR (safety) D nteresting and sufficiently challenging sequence. igh K. 7 2 Sufficiently challenging sequence. igh K. ig ##1, 9 - for powerful aircraft. 4 3 Physically difficult sequence due to many elements with negative ; ig #5 tailslide after the flick. Not a good sequence positioning wise: - Too long line at low speed is needed before ig #3; - Possibility of an out on ig #8. 3 4 ood enough sequence. Moderate K. 8 1 Physically difficult sequence due to high speed and long (135, 270, 180 ) elements with negative at fig ## 1, 2, 5. Not good energy management between ig. #3 and #4. 2 5 Speed is too low for fig #5. ig #1 for powerful aircraft; ig #7 tailslide after the flick; ig #9 start of the negative flick at high speed. Strong possibility of too low altitude at the end of the sequence. - NR genda 8a Known nalysis Working roup Report Version 3 9

dvanced Known omments Score Rank ood sequence. 9 1 ig #2 can be difficult for dvanced category; ig ##1, 2 repetition of a half roll 9.1.3.2. 2 8 ood enough sequence. ross-box looping segment on ig. #3 is not good for judging. 8 2 D ig #1 can be difficult for dvanced category; ig #6 bad cross-wind correction if crosswind component is strong enough; 4 6 ig #4 is too simple for dvanced category. ood enough sequence. ross-box looping segment on ig. #9 is not good for judging. 7 3 ig #1 there is a risk of -LO at positive -load after negative one; NR 0 ig ## 3, 4 - two 45 degree downwind lines one after another is a (safety) posibility to get an out at ig #4. Not a good sequence positioning wise: - Too long line at low speed is needed before ig #3 5 5 - ross-box looping segment on ig. #5 is not good for judging. Normal sequence. 6 4 ig #6 can be difficult for dvanced category. The sequence can be physically difficult due to figures with negative. Only 2 flick rolls. 3 7 Yak-52 / ntermediate omments Score Rank ig.#7 is not for Yak-52. - NR (safety) ood enough sequence. ig #8 and #9 combination is not too good for Yak-52 8 1 genda 8a Known nalysis Working roup Report Version 3 10

dvanced Sequence Rankings valuator D assidy (R) 5 NR NR 3 6 NR 2 1 4 Mamistov (RUS) 1 8 2 6 3 NR 5 4 7 essiere (R) 1 NR 3 2 4 NR 5 6 NR opkins (RS) 1 NR NR NR 2 4 5 3 6 dvanced sequence receiving most 1 st place rankingswas. Unlimited Sequence Ratings valuator D assidy (R) NR 2 NR 4 3 NR 1 4 NR Mamistov (RUS) NR NR NR 2 3 4 1 5 NR essiere (R) NR 4 NR 1 2 3 4 NR NR opkins (RS) NR 2 NR 1 3 5 NR 4 NR Unlimited sequences receiving most 1 st rankings were D and (two each). Yak 52/ntermediate Power valuator assidy (R) NR 1 Mamistov (RUS) NR 1 essiere (R) 2 1 opkins (RS) NR 1 Yak-52/ntermediate sequence received all 1 st place rankings. Rules hairman Note: Due to safety reasons, it is recommended that the following sequences be eliminated from consideration by V: dvanced: and Unlimited:, and Yak-52/ntermediate: genda 8a Known nalysis Working roup Report Version 3 11