APS Stratford Project Transportation Analysis Overview. Stratford BLPC #5 June 1, 2015

APS Stratford Project Transportation Analysis Overview Stratford BLPC #5 June 1, 2015 8

Arrival/dismissal observations and counts BLPC arrival/dismissal observations BLPC early release observation Williamsburg arrival observation 5-points observations and design review Visitor survey and analysis Parent and staff survey analysis 9

School Buses Vehicular traffic Intersection operations Evaluation of site options Other strategies to mitigate site impacts Pedestrian/bicycle access and parking to be discussed at future meeting. 10

11 SCHOOL BUSES

Preliminary bus estimates 13 buses for 1,000 seats 17 buses for 1,300 seats Based on Swanson and Williamsburg Final number will depend on attendance boundary and % students in walk zone 12

13 QUESTIONS?

14 VEHICULAR TRAFFIC

% Students 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% Compared to H-B, average MS has: Higher % ped/bike Lower % school bus Similar % family vehicle Source: 2013 and 2014 APS GO! Travel Tallies H-B March 2015 Enrollment: 643 20% 10% 0% Walk and Bike AM Walk and Bike PM Bus AM Bus PM Family Vehicle AM Family Vehicle PM H-B Tallies 6.0% 8.9% 68.0% 71.0% 22.5% 18.0% 15 Average MS Tallies 23.3% 33.0% 42.6% 46.4% 26.6% 16.7%

50% 45% Source: 2013 and 2014 APS GO! Student Travel Tallies % Students 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Family vehicle rate is 10% higher in the AM than in the PM, amounting to 60% more cars. 0% Walk Bike School Bus Family Vehicle Carpool Transit Other Avg. MS Tallies AM 20.3% 3.0% 42.6% 26.6% 4.7% 2.3% 0.3% 16 Avg. MS Tallies PM 29.8% 3.2% 46.4% 16.7% 1.9% 1.5% 0.4%

School Walk Bike School Bus Family Vehicle Carpool Transit Other Gunston 13.5% 1.0% 60.0% 22.0% 3.5% 0.0% 0.3% Jefferson 23.0% 6.0% 41.5% 24.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.7% Kenmore 16.5% 0.5% 36.0% 33.5% 3.5% 10.0% 0.1% LOW VALUES HIGH VALUES Swanson 35.0% 5.0% 32.5% 21.0% 6.0% 0.2% 0.6% Williamsburg 13.5% 2.5% 43.0% 32.0% 8.0% 0.2% 0.1% 17 Source: 2013 and 2014 APS GO! Student Travel tallies (AM counts)

50% 45% Source: 2013 and 2014 APS GO! Student Travel Tallies 40% 35% % Students 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Walk Bike School Bus Family Vehicle Carpool Transit Other Avg. MS Tallies AM 20.3% 3.0% 42.6% 26.6% 4.7% 2.3% 0.3% 18 Avg. MS Tallies PM 29.8% 3.2% 46.4% 16.7% 1.9% 1.5% 0.4%

Source: March 2015 ATR data 7:50 AM NEW MS ARRIVAL BELL 2:24 PM NEW MS DISMISSAL BELL 12:00 AM 1:00 AM 2:00 AM 3:00 AM 4:00 AM 5:00 AM 6:00 AM 7:00 AM 8:00 AM 9:00 AM 10:00 AM 11:00 AM 12:00 PM 1:00 PM 2:00 PM 3:00 PM 4:00 PM 5:00 PM 6:00 PM 7:00 PM 8:00 PM 9:00 PM 10:00 PM 11:00 PM Old Dominion Drive Average Weekday Hourly Traffic Volumes 19

New 1,000 Seat Neighborhood Middle School Arrival Peak Hour Dismissal Peak Hour IN OUT TOTAL IN OUT TOTAL Students Drop Offs/Pick Ups* 353 353 706 219 219 438 Staff ** 62 0 62 0 31 31 Visitors *** 10 0 10 0 10 10 Buses**** 13 13 26 13 13 26 TOTAL 438 366 804 232 273 505 Sources: *75 th %ile neighborhood MS drive rate (2013 and 2014 student tallies) ** Neighborhood MS staff surveys (2014) *** Neighborhood MS visitor surveys (2015) **** Bus estimates 20

Existing H-B Woodlawn & Stratford AM PM Trips during first peak hour* 179 96 Trips during second peak hour* 364 266 TOTAL 543 362 New Neighborhood Middle School Projected trips generated by new Middle School (first peak hour only) 1,000 Seat School (High Est.**) 1,000 Seat School (Mid/TDM Est.***) 1,300 Seat School (High Est.**) 1,300 Seat School (Mid/TDM Est***) AM PM AM PM AM PM AM PM 804 505 695 437 916 579 793 503 Sources: *March 2015 Driveway Counts and Manual Counts **75 th percentile neighborhood MS drive rate (2013 and 2014 student tallies) ***Assumes 15% of students in a family vehicle shift modes (drive rate above average neighborhood MS) 21

H-B WOODLAWN/STRATFORD PEAK HOUR 543 TOTAL TRIPS 8:20 AM H-B ZERO PERIOD 9:24 AM H-B FIRST PERIOD 7:15 AM 7:30 AM 7:45 AM 8:00 AM 8:15 AM 8:30 AM 8:45 AM 9:00 AM 9:15 AM Existing H-B Woodlawn/Stratford Trips Source: March 2015 Driveway Counts 22

NEW MS PEAK HOUR 804 TOTAL TRIPS** (1,000 SEAT SCHOOL) 7:50 AM NEW MS ARRIVAL BELL H-B WOODLAWN/STRATFORD PEAK HOUR 543 TOTAL TRIPS*** 8:20 AM H-B ZERO PERIOD 9:24 AM H-B FIRST PERIOD 7:15 AM 7:30 AM 7:45 AM 8:00 AM 8:15 AM 8:30 AM 8:45 AM 9:00 AM 9:15 AM Predicted New MS Trips* Existing H-B Woodlawn/Stratford Trips Sources: *Travel pattern observed at Jefferson MS **75 th percentile neighborhood MS drive rate (2013 and 2014 student tallies) ***March 2015 driveway counts 23

Traffic peaks after New MS peak hour NEW MS PEAK HOUR 7:50 AM NEW MS ARRIVAL BELL H-B WOODLAWN/STRATFORD PEAK HOUR 24 7:00 AM 7:15 AM 7:30 AM 7:45 AM 8:00 AM 8:15 AM 8:30 AM 8:45 AM Source: March 2015 Turning Movement Counts Old Dominion Dr Volumes, East of Thomas St 9:00 AM 9:15 AM

Traffic peaks after New MS peak hour NEW MS PEAK HOUR 7:50 AM NEW MS ARRIVAL BELL H-B WOODLAWN/STRATFORD PEAK HOUR 7:00 AM 7:15 AM 7:30 AM 7:45 AM 8:00 AM 8:15 AM 8:30 AM 8:45 AM 9:00 AM 9:15 AM 25 Military Rd Volumes, South of Vacation Ln, without existing school traffic Source: March 2015 Turning Movement Counts

Traffic peaks after New MS peak hour NEW MS PEAK HOUR 7:50 AM NEW MS ARRIVAL BELL H-B WOODLAWN/STRATFORD PEAK HOUR 7:00 AM 7:15 AM 7:30 AM 7:45 AM 8:00 AM 8:15 AM 8:30 AM 8:45 AM 9:00 AM 9:15 AM Lorcom Ln Volumes, South of Vacation Ln, without existing school traffic 26 Source: March 2015 Turning Movement Counts

Speed Limit = 30 MPH 85 th percentile speed = 32 MPH Speeding Issues on Old Dominion Drive Speed Limit = 25 MPH 85 th percentile speed = 23 MPH Speed Limit = 30 MPH 85 th percentile speed = 31 MPH Speed Limit = 35 MPH 85 th percentile speed = 45 MPH 27

63 crashes at study intersections over 3 years (2011-2014) 8 crashes resulting in injuries (4 bike/ped) 18 collisions occurred during peak arrival and dismissal hours 12 1 1 2 11 1 1 7 1 27 10 involved school-aged drivers 28

29 QUESTIONS?

INTERSECTION OPERATIONS 30

Intersection Counts & Capacity Analysis Driveway Counts Speed/Volume Counts Counts performed March 2015 31

High-level look at intersection operations Frames the future analysis Identifies potential challenges for the future 32

Challenge Location Challenge Locations Northbound approach of Lorcom Ln at Old Dominion Dr Eastbound and Westbound approaches of Vacation Ln at Lorcom Ln Intersection of Military Rd/Quincy St, Old Dominion & Lee Hwy (Five Points) 33

PRELIMINARY SITE ASSESSMENTS 34

Option: Minimizes adding traffic to intersections and streets that are currently challenging Five Points Lorcom and Old Dominion Minimizes impacts to local streets Vacation Ln 23 rd St Doesn t limit movements as doing so may contribute to congestion Separates modes Provides adequate queuing and turning space for buses Provides adequate queuing space for parent drop-off Provides comfortable pedestrian and bicycle access Accommodates staff, visitor and park/rec parking 35

RATINGS Satisfies criteria and already optimized Satisfies criteria but not yet optimized Could satisfy criteria with changes Doesn t satisfy criteria and satisfying criteria would be challenging 36

37

Challenge Location All traffic enter/exit on Vacation Ln Added second through lane at northbound approach of Lorcom Ln at Old Dominion Dr Added signal at Vacation Ln at Lorcom Ln, redistributed traffic Challenges at: Five Points Lorcom/Old Dominion NB & EB 38

Minimizes adding traffic to intersections and streets that are currently challenging Minimizes impacts to local streets Doesn t limit movements as doing so may contribute to congestion Separates modes Provides adequate queuing and turning space for buses Provides adequate queuing space for parent drop-off Provides comfortable pedestrian and bicycle access Accommodates staff, visitor and park/rec parking 39

40 QUESTIONS?

41

Challenge Location All traffic enter/exit on Vacation Ln Added second through lane at northbound approach of Lorcom Ln at Old Dominion Dr Added signal at Vacation Ln at Lorcom Ln, redistributed traffic Challenges at: Five Points Lorcom/Old Dominion NB & EB 42

Minimizes adding traffic to intersections and streets that are currently challenging Minimizes impacts to local streets Doesn t limit movements as doing so may contribute to congestion Separates modes Provides adequate queuing and turning space for buses Provides adequate queuing space for parent drop-off Provides comfortable pedestrian and bicycle access Accommodates staff, visitor and park/rec parking 43

44 QUESTIONS?

45

Challenge Location All traffic enter/exit on Vacation Ln Added second through lane at northbound approach of Lorcom Ln at Old Dominion Dr Added signal at Vacation Ln at Lorcom Ln, redistributed traffic Challenges at: Five Points Lorcom/Old Dominion NB & EB 46

Minimizes adding traffic to intersections and streets that are currently challenging Minimizes impacts to local streets Doesn t limit movements as doing so may contribute to congestion Separates modes Provides adequate queuing and turning space for buses Provides adequate queuing space for parent drop-off Provides comfortable pedestrian and bicycle access Accommodates staff, visitor and park/rec parking 47

48 QUESTIONS?

49

Challenge Location All traffic enter/exit on Vacation Ln Added second through lane at northbound approach of Lorcom Ln at Old Dominion Dr Added signal at Vacation Ln at Lorcom Ln, redistributed traffic Challenges at: Five Points Lorcom/Old Dominion NB & EB 50

Minimizes adding traffic to intersections and streets that are currently challenging Minimizes impacts to local streets Doesn t limit movements as doing so may contribute to congestion Separates modes Provides adequate queuing and turning space for buses Provides adequate queuing space for parent drop-off Provides comfortable pedestrian and bicycle access Accommodates staff, visitor and park/rec parking 51

52 QUESTIONS?

53

Challenge Location All traffic enters on Vacation Ln, drop offs exit onto Old Dominion WB Added second through lane at northbound approach of Lorcom Ln at Old Dominion Dr No Left or U-turn on WB Old Dominion at Thomas St Challenges at: Five Points Lorcom/Old Dominion NB, EB, & WB 54

Minimizes adding traffic to intersections and streets that are currently challenging Minimizes impacts to local streets Doesn t limit movements as doing so may contribute to congestion Separates modes Provides adequate queuing and turning space for buses Provides adequate queuing space for parent drop-off Provides comfortable pedestrian and bicycle access Accommodates staff, visitor and park/rec parking 55

56 QUESTIONS?

57

Challenge Location All traffic enters on Vacation Ln, drop offs exit onto Old Dominion WB Added second through lane at northbound approach of Lorcom Ln at Old Dominion Dr Challenges at: Five Points Lorcom/Old Dominion NB, EB, & WB 58

Minimizes adding traffic to intersections and streets that are currently challenging Minimizes impacts to local streets Doesn t limit movements as doing so may contribute to congestion Separates modes Provides adequate queuing and turning space for buses Provides adequate queuing space for parent drop-off Provides comfortable pedestrian and bicycle access Accommodates staff, visitor and park/rec parking 59

60 QUESTIONS?

61

Challenge Location Major Challenge at Five Points Challenge at Lorcom/Old Dominion NB, EB, & WB 62

Minimizes adding traffic to intersections and streets that are currently challenging Minimizes impacts to local streets Doesn t limit movements as doing so may contribute to congestion Separates modes Provides adequate queuing and turning space for buses Provides adequate queuing space for parent drop-off Provides comfortable pedestrian and bicycle access Accommodates staff, visitor and park/rec parking 63

64 QUESTIONS?

Criterion A A1 A2 A3 C C1 G Minimizes adding traffic to intersections and streets that are currently challenging Minimizes impacts to local streets Doesn t limit movements as doing so may contribute to congestion Separates modes Provides adequate queuing and turning space for buses Provides adequate queuing space for parent dropoff Provides comfortable pedestrian and bicycle access Accommodates staff, visitor and park/rec parking 65

Increase % students who walk and bicycle to school Improve pedestrian and bicycle access/safety Establish school attendance boundary that maximizes walk/bike potential Education and encouragement Increase % bus eligible students who ride the school bus More convenient bus schedules/stop locations Address bullying concerns Education and encouragement Spread parent drop-off and pick-up in space or time Remote parent drop-off (e.g., on Military and/or Lorcom) Stagger arrival and dismissal 66

Install pedestrian hybrid beacon on Old Dominion Improve pedestrian crossing conditions at Vacation/Lorcom (e.g., with curb extensions, rapid flash beacons, crossing guard) Improve pedestrian crossing conditions at Vacation/Military (e.g., curb extensions, rapid flash beacons, crossing guard) Construct continuous sidewalks on both sides of Vacation Improved pedestrian crossing to upper lot (e.g., curb extension, raised crossing) Adjust bike lanes and sharrows on Lorcom so bike lane is in uphill direction. Pedestrian Hybrid Beacon Tucson 67

68 QUESTIONS?