An analysis of SSW & elevated stratopauses generated in WACCM

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An analysis of SSW & elevated stratopauses generated in WACCM Amal Chandran, Richard Collins, Rolando Garcia, Daniel Marsh 02/28/2011

Outline Classification of SSW in WACCM Dynamics of an elevated stratopause generated in WACCM Climatology of SSW in multiple WACCM runs Longitudinal variations during an SSW Conclusions

SSW in WACCM Multiple WACCM 3.5 simulations have been analyzed for SSW events (Two 50 year and one 150 year simulation). Arctic winters have been classified into 4 types: Quiet (undisturbed) winters Minor SSW winters Poleward temperature gradient becomes positive but zonal mean wind at 10 hpa does not reverse. Major SSW winters - Poleward temperature gradient becomes positive with reversal in zonal mean wind at 10 hpa. Major SSW with elevated stratopause winters

Quiet year T between 75-90N 1996-1997 NH winter Zonal mean wind at 60 N Minor Warming 1994-1995 NH winter Major Warming 1992-1993 NH winter Elevated Stratopause 1997-1998 NH winter

A case study of an elevated stratopause generated in WACCM Chandran et. al. GRL 2011 We analyze and compare the dynamics of the middle atmosphere during an elevated stratopause winter generated in WACCM with a dynamically quiet Arctic winter

Elevated stratopause in WACCM Quiet winter Elevated stratopause winter

Elevated stratopause in WACCM Quiet winter Elevated stratopause winter

Elevated stratopause in WACCM

Summary of Dynamics The triggering mechanism for SSW events were strong persistent westward planetary wave forcing in the stratosphere which results in a reversal of the eastward stratospheric jet. This reversal of the stratospheric jet then results in a change in GWF from westward to eastward in the mesosphere driven by non-orographic waves as the orographic gravity waves are filtered out at the zero wind line. The residual circulation shows strong down-welling in the stratosphere leading to adiabatic warming and upwelling in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere leading to adiabatic cooling of the mesopause region during the SSW event. The net forcing in the upper mesosphere becomes eastward due to the eastward GWs which reverses the westward jet and helps in the formation of the elevated stratopause. After the formation of the elevated stratopause, the stratopause warms and descends through gravity wave induced diabatic descent.

A Climatology of SSW in WACCM Charlton & Polvani 2007 analyzed the NCEP NCAR and 40-yr ECMWF Re- Analysis (ERA-40) datasets and identified SSWs based on the zonal mean zonal wind at 60 N and 10 hpa, and classified them into events that do and do not split the stratospheric polar vortex.

Quiet winter Robust undisplaced Vortex Major SSW winter Vortex displacement event Major SSW & elevated stratopause winter Vortex Splitting event

Quiet winter Major SSW winter Major SSW & elevated stratopause winter

Climatology of SSW in WACCM Type of SSW Realization Refb 1.1 (1953 06) Refb 1.4 (1953 06) Refb 2.3 (1953 2100) Quiet Year 0.06 0.08 0.08 Minor SSW 0.38 0.34 0.41 Major SSW 0.29 0.29 0.31 Major SSW with elevated stratopause Quiet or minor SSW winter Major SSW & elevated stratopause winter Charlton & Polvani 2007 0.27 0.29 0.2 0.44 0.42 0.49 0.56 0.58 0.51

Longitudinal Variability Geopt Ht 10 hpa MY 1968 69 T

Summary & Conclusions WACCM with the new GW parameterization produces SSW at a realistic occurrence frequency (w.r.t. observations). WACCM produces elevated stratopauses with characteristics similar to recently recorded events in the Arctic. WACCM produces both vortex displacement and vortex splitting events. Some of the vortex splitting events are associated with the formation of an elevated stratopause. During a vortex displacement event, there are vast longitudinal variability in the temperature structure and different ground based locations might observe vastly different winters. This study shows that during undisturbed winters the dominant GWF is westward in the mesosphere between 40-65 N. However, during an SSW event, the dominant GWF becomes eastward poleward of 60 N

The End!! Thank you!!