Sandeel (Ammodytes spp.) in Divisions 4a and 4b, SA 4 (North and Central North Sea)

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ICES Advice on fishing opportunities, catch and effort Greater North Sea Ecoregion Published 22 February 2016 6.3.40 Sandeel (Ammodytes spp.) in Divisions 4a and 4b, SA 4 (North and Central North Sea) ICES stock advice ICES advises that when the precautionary approach is applied, catches in 2016 should be no more than 6000 tonnes with an associated sampling protocol in the fishery in order to obtain sufficient data for assessment purposes. Stock development over time Survey data indicate that the 2014 year class in sandeel area 4 (SA 4) is the strongest since 2009. Figure 6.3.40.1 Sandeel in the North Sea (SA 4). Left graph: catches and right: stock size abundance index from the dredge survey (number per hour). Stock and exploitation status Table 6.3.40.1 Sandeel in the North Sea (SA 4). State of the stock and fishery relative to reference points. Fishing pressure Stock size 2013 2014 2015 2014 2015 2016 Maximum MSY sustainable yield F MSY Undefined B escapement Undefined Precautionary approach F pa, F lim Undefined B pa, B lim Undefined Management plan F MGT - - - Not applicable SSB MGT - - - Not applicable Qualitative evaluation Very low - Increasing Catch options No analytical assessment or short-term forecast is available for this stock. The ICES framework for category 3 stocks was applied based on a combined abundance index for ages 0 and 1 from the dredge survey of the Firth of Forth (ICES, 2012). This index is estimated to have increased by more than 20% between 2011 2014 (four-year average) and 2015. This implies an increase in catch advice of at most 20% in relation to the advised catch in 2015, corresponding to catches of no more than 6000 tonnes in 2016. The exploitation on the stock is considered to be very low; therefore, no additional precautionary buffer was applied. ICES Advice 2016, Book 6 1

Published 22 February 2016 ICES Advice on fishing opportunities, catch and effort Table 6.3.40.2 Sandeel in the North Sea (SA 4). For stocks in ICES categories 3 6, one catch option is possible. Index A (2015) 0.93 Index B (2011 2014) 0.38 Index ratio (A/B) 2.56 Uncertainty cap Applied 1.2 Recent advised catch for 2015 5000 tonnes Discard rate Negligible Precautionary buffer Not applied - Catch advice* 6000 tonnes * (Recent advised catch) cap. A traditional age-based, analytical assessment is not available for sandeel in this area; however, with a continued commercial sampling, sufficient samples should be available to investigate an age-based assessment at the next benchmark. In order to present an analytical assessment in the future, data on biological characteristics of the catch composition and catch and effort data are required. Given that the advised catch of 6000 tonnes is low in relative terms, a special sampling protocol in this fishery, similar to that used for a monitoring TAC, is likely to be necessary in order to obtain sufficient samples to assess the status of the stock in 2017. Basis of the advice Table 6.3.40.3 Sandeel in the North Sea (SA 4). The basis of the advice. Advice basis Precautionary approach with a sampling protocol in the fishery. Management plan There is no management plan for sandeel in this area. Quality of the assessment Prior to the establishment of the dedicated Scottish dredge survey in 2008, dredge sampling intensity was low in SA 4. The Scottish dredge survey generally covers the northwestern parts of SA 4. Hence, no dredge sampling is available for the eastern parts of SA 4. As commercial fishing effort has been very low in recent years, there is insufficient information in the commercial catch to be able to provide an analytical assessment similar to those for SAs 1 3. In 2014, bad weather meant that the survey was only conducted inside the Firth of Forth. Issues relevant for the advice In 2015, a monitoring TAC of 5000 t was implemented for this stock resulting in 38 samples. This is the first year that the target of 30 samples was reached with a monitoring fishery in SA 4. ICES emphasizes the importance of obtaining sufficient sampling from the fishery. 2 ICES Advice 2016, Book 6

ICES Advice on fishing opportunities, catch and effort Published 22 February 2016 Figure 6.3.40.2 Sandeel in the North Sea (SA 4). Sandeel are largely sedentary after settlement and form a complex of local (sub-)stocks in the North Sea. To avoid local depletion, ICES advice for sandeel is provided separately for seven areas in Division 3a and Subarea 4. Advice for sandeel in the North Sea (SA 4) specifically applies to sandeel in rectangles 38 40 E7 E9 and 41 46 E6 F0. The fishing effort and CPUE series show a low effort and a high CPUE in most recent years. Despite indications of low recruitment during 2010 to 2013, the catches taken in the southern part of SA 4 in 2013 and 2014 correspond to a high CPUE. Figure 6.3.40.3 Sandeel in the North Sea (SA 4). Fishing effort and CPUE series over time. Reference points No reference points are defined for this stock. ICES Advice 2016, Book 6 3

Published 22 February 2016 ICES Advice on fishing opportunities, catch and effort Basis of the assessment Table 6.3.40.4 Sandeel in the North Sea (SA 4). The basis of the assessment. ICES stock data category 3.2.0 (ICES, 2016a) Assessment type Survey trends-based assessment (ICES, 2016b) Input data One survey index available in January (dredge survey). Total international catch. Discards and bycatch Discarding is considered to be negligible. Indicators Fishing effort and CPUE Other information Last benchmark in 2010 (ICES, 2010). This stock will be benchmarked in 2016. Working group Herring Assessment Working Group (HAWG) Information from stakeholders Fishing industry representatives reported that the work to improve temporal and spatial coverage of the sampling scheme conducted in 2015 will be continued in 2016. History of advice, catch, and management Table 6.3.40.5 Year ICES advice Sandeel in the North Sea (SA 4). History of ICES advice, the agreed TAC, and ICES estimates of catch. All weights are in thousand tonnes. Catch corresponding to advice TAC ICES catch SA 4 Total ICES catch (SAs 1 7) 2005* Exploitation to be kept below level of 2003. Adjustment to be made conditional on the abundance of the 2004 year class. - 661** 1.49 177 2006* The fishery should remain closed until information is available which assures that the stock can be rebuilt to B pa by 2007. - 300** 0.09 293 2007* The fishery should remain closed until information is available which assures that the stock can be rebuilt to B pa by 2008. - 173** 0.01 230 2008* The fishery should only be allowed if monitoring information is available and shows that the stock can be rebuilt to B pa by 2009. - 375** 1.20 348 2009* The fishery should only be allowed if monitoring information is available and shows that the stock can be rebuilt to B pa by 2010. - 377** 0 353 2010* The fishery should only be allowed if monitoring information is available and shows that the stock can be rebuilt to B pa by 2011. - 377** 0.10 414 2011 A TAC at 5000 10 000 tonnes will impose a low risk of overfishing sandeel in this area. 5 10 10 0.27 438 2012 Catches for monitoring purposes should not exceed 5000 t. < 5 5 2.5 102 2013 Catch of 2012 reduced by 20% as a precautionary buffer. < 2.041 4 5.2 278 2014 Catches for monitoring purposes should not exceed 5000 t (with associated sampling protocol). < 5 5 4.3*** 262*** 2015 Catches for monitoring purposes should not exceed 5000 t (with associated sampling protocol). < 5 5 4.4 307 2016 Precautionary approach < 6 * Advice for Subarea 4, excluding the Shetland area. ** Set for EU waters of Divisions 2a and 3a and Subarea 4. *** Preliminary. 4 ICES Advice 2016, Book 6

ICES Advice on fishing opportunities, catch and effort Published 22 February 2016 History of catch and landings Table 6.3.40.6 Sandeel in the North Sea (SA 4). Catch distribution by fleet in 2015 as estimated by ICES. All weights are in thousand tonnes. Total catch (2015) Landings Discards 4.4 kt 100% industrial trawl fisheries 4.4 kt Negligible Table 6.3.40.7 Sandeel in the North Sea (SA 4). History of total catch (tonnes) as estimated by ICES. Year Catch (tonnes) 1982 1983 2796 1984 2570 1985 38123 1986 12706 1987 8179 1988 1335 1989 4384 1990 3314 1991 41372 1992 68905 1993 133136 1994 158690 1995 52591 1996 158490 1997 58446 1998 58746 1999 53334 2000 37792 2001 47918 2002 12761 2003 64048 2004 6882 2005 1557 2006 86 2007 11 2008 1168 2009 0 2010 275 2011 272 2012 2585 2013 5225 2014 4414 2015 4384 ICES Advice 2016, Book 6 5

Published 22 February 2016 ICES Advice on fishing opportunities, catch and effort Summary of the assessment Table 6.3.40.8 Sandeel in the North Sea (SA 4). Assessment summary. The assessment uses an abundance index from the Scottish December dredge survey in the Firth of Forth (with each age standardized to its long-term mean in the survey, and averaged over ages 0 and 1). Empty cells denote that no data were collected. Year Survey Survey Age 0 Age 1 Survey index 1999 1.79 0.62 1.21 2000 1.71 4.01 2.86 2001 0.14 3.36 1.75 2002 0.71 0.51 0.61 2003 1.69 1.69 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 0.20 0.03 0.11 2009 2.98 0.22 1.60 2010 0.54 1.57 1.06 2011 0.35 0.28 0.31 2012 0.36 0.23 0.29 2013 0.24 0.11 0.18 2014 1.30 0.05 0.68 2015 0.44 1.42 0.93 Average 2010 2015 0.56 Sources and references ICES. 2010. Report of the Benchmark Workshop on Sandeel (WKSAN), 6 10 September 2010, Copenhagen, Denmark. ICES CM 2010/ACOM:57. 201 pp. ICES. 2012. ICES Implementation of Advice for Data-limited Stocks in 2012 in its 2012 Advice. ICES CM 2012/ACOM 68. 42 pp. ICES. 2016a. General context of ICES advice. In Report of the ICES Advisory Committee, 2016. ICES Advice 2016, Book 1, Section 1.2. ICES. 2016b. Sandeel in Division 3a and Subarea 4. Available online as Section 11 of the coming Report of the Herring Assessment Working Group for the Area South of 62 N (HAWG), 29 March 7 April 2016, ICES HQ, Denmark. ICES CM 2016/ACOM:07. 6 ICES Advice 2016, Book 6