californiawinning.com SANTA ANITA RACE COURSE Thursday, January 25, 2018 Message Board to My Subscribers Well, seven of nine winners, last Sunday, is nice, hopefully you were betting to win (many of my colleagues would say that is the only sensible bet) we did not hit the a Pick 4 or Pick 5, but don t get discouraged remember that you do not have to hit those often to stay ahead if you make value bets P.S.- Fans of Evin Roman will be sorely disappointed today, as he has no mounts. Have a winsome day. P.S> Congratulations to my home team, the Philadelphia Eagles, who now have a shot to win the 2018 Super Bowl even if they don t, they surely will not be the most hated of the two competitors. I would rather be excoriated once again by one of my ex-wives (lol) than see Brady/Belichick march off the field with yet another Super Bowl victory. Note: The first post time today is 1:00 pm PST, 4:00 pm EST
Thursday, January 25, 2018 Santa Anita Race Course FOR AMUSEMENT---AND NOT BEMUSEMENT---ONLY!!! (Of course, these are recommendations only, and there are no guarantees in this sport, but that is what generates its mystique. And so, please follow your own heart and mind, considering me as a mere advisor, when making your selections. In any event, I do wish you all the best in your quest to predict the future, because it ain t easy. And remember, horses, just like us, have aches and pains, headaches, suffer fatigue, etc. Try not to get mad at me, I usually have excellent days, occasionally, not-so-excellent days: with all of the informative past performance data we handicappers have in front of us, we have no idea how a particular horse feels at race time. (By way of example, maybe that 50/1 colt is in a big hurry because he has a hot filly waiting for him back at the barn so please stick with me if there are a few speed-bumps along the way.) This analysis is prepared under the reasonable assumption that (i) all turf races will be run on a firm turf track, and (ii) all dirt races will be run on a track graded fast. Should different conditions exist at post time for a given race, please temper these selections with your own best judgment in light of less-than-ideal conditions. Please see my Handicapping Tips No. 6, What If It Rains on Race Day?, in this regard Note: Please keep in mind that I call them as I see them and do not set the odds, nor do I even look at the M/L before I conduct my comprehensive analysis of each race I just select the horses who I believe are the most likely to come in first, second and third, respectively however, as we all know, a horse is a horse, of course, of course on any given day. Additional Note: There is no warranty, express, implied, legal, moral, or otherwise with respect to these graded selections, they are for amusement only. There is likewise no warranty, express, implied, legal, moral, or otherwise, for any failure on my part to transmit any daily analysis to you: your sole remedy in the unlikely event that happens is that you will receive a credit for one day s analysis and you will receive the next racing day s analysis free of charge. All purchases are final, and thank you. Incidentally, did you know: the average career of an NFL running back is a mere 2.57 years, and the average number of total career races for a thoroughbred is a mere eighteen races? Did you know: while thoroughbred horses tend to max out at about 40 m.p.h., quarter horses in very short races have been clocked at 55 m.p.h
For only $2 for a daily card, or $20 for a thirty-day subscription, you can have my full card delivered to your electronic mail inbox for each racing day for a calendar month. Even if you prefer your selections to mine, look at it this way: I provide a rather elegant summary, in one sentence, of all of the relevant information from the past performances of three contestants, the three horses whom most would agree are the contenders just look after Today s Free Selections below to see how to order, and thank you THE FOLLOWING ARE TODAY S FREE SELECTIONS : Races 4 and 6 Note- for newcomers: here is the definition of a Likeable Longshot : it is a horse whom we do not expect to win or place in the contest, however, his/her payoff will be huge (usually, 10/1 or better) and there is some other mitigating factor that suggests that a nominal bet could payoff really nicely. Other mitigating factors which suggest you make a nominal (by your definition) win/place bet on this longshot might include one of more of the following: the horse has a high percentage of winning at race distance, he or she carries a great jockey, or carries a good jockey with a significant weight allowance, or, the horse comes out fourth in your ranking of the top three, and so on and so on. Sometimes it is almost visceral, preternatural even I am sure you get the idea now RACE 4: A very well-rested Tequila Sunrise placed at RD last time out last summer, albeit on grass, she joins excellent trainer and quintessential Left Coast rider, she has placed in both of her races which tends to manifest a will to win in the filly. Two Steps Faster comes off her best performance, a place finish early last month at RD, with this top-notch rider aboard, her recent works are good and she will make a bid. Dancing Belle, the 9/5 M/L favorite, is such in large measure because she has raced quite creditably in three graded races, hitting the board in all three, she also carries a HOF rider who knows her quite well, and, of course, vice versa, which can be very significant for a filly (remember, horses recognize not only the faces of their principals but also their voices).
Likeable Longshot: Candy Coated World, M/L 30/1 in a small field, may be worthy of a nominal (by your definition) win/place bet: her works are not too shabby and her rider is seven pounds lighter than the others RACE 6: Very well-rested Spin Me a Kiss, the M/L favorite and a good closer, kills RD and adores the avuncular yet sophisticated crowd at Santa Anita, she has won three of seven turf races, closes out well, and actually sports two bullet grass works, the most recent of which came here two weeks ago (five furlongs @ 1:02 1 ), the filly won a ton of money in 2017 and could make short shrift of her opposition (she is also one of only two entries with a win at RD). Very well-rested Angel Allie, the other entry with a win at RD, moves down, knows nothing but the turf sprint, comes off an October win here at RD, she showed up in her other entry at RD, and her excellent jockey knows her quite well (and vice versa). Greta G is a very lightly raced five year old, who has vacationed since her inauspicious effort in a graded race in England last fall, she moves way down from her lofty perch in the graded stakes genre, and she did win graded route a year and a half ago, her works are creditable and she could not have much better connections than with Prat in the irons, look out. Likeable Longshot: Well-rested Zaffinah (M/L 10/1), a fine Irish lass born and bred on the lush county greed (County Roscommon), is worth a nominal (by your definition) win/place bet, as she is invariably in the hunt on grass, and in her last effort she did hit the board in a graded race (late last spring), it is hard to dismiss her entirely with her quintessential jockey aboard. WHY NOT SUBSCRIBE?- IT S LESS THAN $1 PER DAY FOR TODAY S FULL RACE CARD FOR THE MERE SUM OF $2, OR, BETTER YET, TO SUBSCRIBE FOR 30 CALENDAR DAYS ANALYSIS FOR ONLY $20 GO TO californiawinning.com AND CLICK ON TODAY S FULL RACE CARD TO MAKE A PAYMENT. As
soon as I receive notice of your payment from PayPal I will forward the full race card selections to you, promptly, I assure you. Today s deadline for payments is 2:00 p.m. PDT, 5:00 p.m. EDT, and I will send you today s selections promptly after you make your payment. If you have made a payment after that time in error, I will issue a credit to you. Thank you. Comments, constructive criticism? For example, how soon before the first post time should I try to post my recommendations? Try: fryer08057@yahoo.com Also, check out my free Handicapping Tips at californiawinning.com. You will really like the one, Probabilities (Pick 6) It s a can t miss and the latest one, What If It Rains on Race Day?