SCRS/1/16 PRELIMINARY STANDARDIZED CATCH RATES FOR BLUEFIN TUNA (Thunnus thynnus) FROM THE TRAP FISHERY IN TUNISIA Abdallah Hattour 1, José Mª Ortiz de Urbina and José M. de la Serna SUMMARY A General Linear Modeling (GLM) approach to analysis of variance was used to examine bluefin tuna catch rates from the Tunisian trap fishery at the Mediterranean Sea. Preliminary standardized catch rates for bluefin tuna were developed for the period 1975-1999. RÉSUMÉ Une approche de modélisation linéaire généralisée (GLM) à l=analyse de la variance a été utilisée pour examiner le taux de capture du thon rouge en provenance de la pêche tunisienne en madrague dans la Méditerranée. Le taux de capture standardisé préliminaire du thon rouge a été calculé pour la période 1975-1999. RESUMEN Se utilizaron técnicas de análisis lineal generalizado (GLM) para analizar las tasas de captura de atún rojo procedente de la pesquería de almadrabas de Túnez, Mar Mediterráneo. KEYWORDS Catch/effort, Least squares method, Abundance, Trap fishing. INTRODUCTION In Tunisia, tuna fishing by traps has been practiced nearly since the beginning of times. It was introduced by the Phoenicians; the Arabs of the 7 th century neglected it for a long time. From the 19 th century this gear has experimented a rebirth. In fact we can situate around 18 the first exploitations of Tunisian tuna fishing boats in Sidi Daoud, Cap Zebib and Monastir. Then, for a century and a half it became a purely Italian industry and until finally, trap-nets were granted to different concessionaires. In the beginning of the century, the number of operational tuna fishing boats was ten, not counting three other trap-nets granted in 196 to Ras Salakta, at the outside of Menzel Temime and in the north of Mahdia, which did not seem to be exploited. These trap-nets were: Cap Zebib, in the east of Bizerte, Sidi Daoud, Ras El Ahmar, El Haouaria, Ras El Mihr, Ras Marsa, Monastir, Conigliera, Kuriat, Borj Khédija (not far from La Chebba). Until 1999, two trap-nets were exploited by l'office National des Pêches (ONP; National Fishery Office); that of Sidi Daoud and that of Monastir (Kuriat island). Today, two trap-nets at Sidi Daoud and Ras Lahmar, both in the Tunisian gulf are esploited by private enterprises. The Conception of trap-nets has been widely detailed in Project FAO- COPEMED 1999 final report. These gears are based upon an ancestral principle: capturing the fish going to the Western Mediterranean to spawn in waters with a specific temperature and salinity. In their trajectory, tuna must cross the Sicily 1 Institut National des Sciences et Technologies de la Mer (INSTM). Tunisia. E-mail: Hatour.Abdallah@serst.rnrt.tn Instituto Español de Oceanografía. Centro Oceanográfico de Málaga (Fuengirola). Spain.
Channel, generally near the Tunisian Coast. Fishers knew that the tuna appeared from the third decade of May in Sidi Daoud and in the beginning of June in Monastir until the beginning of July. In the last years, variations in the dates of appearance of these animals have been observed. As a matter of fact, this observation was perfectly verified in the thirties and not so much during the seventies. In the eighties, the appearance of bluefin tuna stopped in the middle of June. In the present, bluefin tuna are fished from the beginning of April until the end of May. This study was performed with the financial aid of the Project FAO- COPEMED and coordinated by the Instituto Español de Oceanografía. Centro Oceanográfico de Málaga. MATERIAL AND METHODS Data were obtained from the Tunisian trap at Sidi Daoud in the Mediterranean Sea. Information on catches in number of individuals and weight, size composition, effort (days of bunt set between consecutive net lifting operations or Matanzas), and trap characteristics was collected from 1975 through 1999. A General Linear Modeling (GLM) approach to analysis of variance was used to examine logged catch rates (catch in number of individuals and weight per day of bunt set between consecutive net lifting operations) for differences among the effects of year and month (Gavaris 198, 1988). Annual abundance indices were obtained from marginal means (least squares mean stimates), adjusted for the GLM statistically significant terms. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION For catch rates in number of fish, a preliminary analysis resulted in factor Month not being statistically significant (Table 1). The final model, which included only Year, class level information and F-test are given in Table. As regards catch rates in weight, both factors, Year and Month were statistically significant at the 5 % level. R was about 3 %. The distributions of standardized residuals for both models (Figure 1) does not appear to be far from expected under Normal error assumption. Standardized annual indices of abundance in number of fish and weight are shown in Table 4. Standardized CPUE with 95 % upper and lower confidence limits are shown in Figure. LITERATURE CITED FAO- COPEMED Project Tuna 1999. Final Report. Gavaris, S. 198. Use of a multiplicative model to estimate catch rate and effort from commercial data. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 37; pp 7-75. Gavaris, S. 1988. Abundance indices from commercial fishing. Collected papers on stock assessment methods. CAFSAC Res. Doc. 88/61. 167 p.
Table 1.- GLM results for bluefin tuna catch rates in number of fish from the Tunisian trap in the Mediterranean Sea. Mediterranean Tunisian TRAP BFT. Dependent: Number of Fish The GLM Procedure Class Level Information Class Levels Values Year 5 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 198 1981 198 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 199 1991 199 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Month 3 4 5 6 Number of observations 44 Dependent Variable: Lcpuen Lcpuen Sum of Source DF Squares Mean Square F Value Pr > F Model 6 65.8984411.5345554 5.1 <.1 Error 397 193.1593.486547 Corrected Total 43 59.576643 R-Square Coeff Var Root MSE Lcpuen Mean.54378 8.519.69759.84593 Source DF Type I SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F Year 4 64.896896.79574 5.55 <.1 Month 1.754716.5377368 1.11.33 Source DF Type III SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F Year 4 64.7196861.69665359 5.54 <.1 Month 1.754716.5377368 1.11.33
Table.- GLM results for bluefin tuna catch rates in number of fish from the Tunisian trap in the Mediterranean Sea (Final model). Mediterranean Tunisian TRAP BFT Dependent: Number of Fish The GLM Procedure Class Level Information Class Levels Values Year 5 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 198 1981 198 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 199 1991 199 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Month 3 4 5 6 Dependent Variable: Lcpuen Lcpuen Number of observations 44 Sum of Source DF Squares Mean Square F Value Pr > F Model 4 64.8969.7957 5.55 <.1 Error 399 194.346953.486837 Corrected Total 43 59.576643 R-Square Coeff Var Root MSE Lcpuen Mean.56 8.5498.697713.84593 Source DF Type I SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F Year 4 64.896896.79574 5.55 <.1 Source DF Type III SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F Year 4 64.896896.79574 5.55 <.1 Standard Parameter Estimate Error t Value Pr > t Intercept.9335141 B.35718.13.8997 Year 1975.445561146 B.83358 1.58.1153 Year 1976.39994958 B.83358 1.38.1669 Year 1977.66585446 B.84843.34.199 Year 1978.985517 B.971384 3.11. Year 1979 1.1183484 B.84843 3.93.1 Year 198.353358319 B.389517 1.7.833 Year 1981.93991116 B.876193 3.7.1 Year 198.863313 B.66479 3.4.13 Year 1983.83456655 B.6854995 3.7.3 Year 1984.34375483 B.8566 1.3.4 Year 1985 1.575835 B.84843 3.71. Year 1986 1.14973 B.8566 3.94 <.1 Year 1987.768649 B.779756.61.93 Year 1988 1.319376 B.771376 4.84 <.1 Year 1989 1.3873499 B.6854995 5.15 <.1 Year 199 1.36449 B.8566 4.4 <.1 Year 1991 1.159997 B.779756 4.17 <.1 Year 199.8683733 B.98956.71.71 Year 1993.16576694 B.3516144.47.6386 Year 1994 1.398635 B.35771 4.13 <.1 Year 1995.35678361 B.35771 1.11.665 Year 1996.451484786 B.376661 1.47.143 Year 1997 -.6469413 B.35771 -..84 Year 1998.5899681 B.389517.63.5317 Year 1999. B... NOTE: The X'X matrix has been found to be singular, and a generalized inverse was used to solve the normal equations. Terms whose estimates are followed by the letter 'B' are not uniquely estimable.
Table 3.- GLM results for bluefin tuna catch rates in weight from the Tunisian trap in the Mediterranean Sea Mediterranean Tunisian TRAP BFT Dependent: Weight of Fish The GLM Procedure Class Level Information Class Levels Values Year 5 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 198 1981 198 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 199 1991 199 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Month 3 4 5 6 Dependent Variable: Lcpuew Lcpuew Number of observations 44 Sum of Source DF Squares Mean Square F Value Pr > F Model 6 45.14741 17.3915 7.19 <.1 Error 397 959.613517.417163 Corrected Total 43 1411.75659 R-Square Coeff Var Root MSE Lcpuew Mean.37 3.1375 1.55473 6.75566 Source DF Type I SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F Year 4 433.7813647 18.7435 7.48 <.1 Month 18.3613768 9.186884 3.8.3 Source DF Type III SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F Year 4 431.8163176 17.993466 7.44 <.1 Month 18.3613768 9.186884 3.8.3 Standard Parameter Estimate Error t Value Pr > t Intercept 4.19397159 B.5455698 7.69 <.1 Year 1975 1.515566615 B.634849.39.173 Year 1976 1.6717 B.6336.64.86 Year 1977 1.83598933 B.6375184.88.4 Year 1978.773699 B.6644543 4.19 <.1 Year 1979 3.44498319 B.64654548 5. <.1 Year 198 1.38595353 B.73388184 1.81.71 Year 1981.67455677 B.647947 4.13 <.1 Year 198.359335789 B.598566 3.94 <.1 Year 1983.43485581 B.67899 4.4 <.1 Year 1984 1.33538993 B.6944197.1.345 Year 1985.69679154 B.6381661 4.3 <.1 Year 1986 3.3489768 B.6353536 5.7 <.1 Year 1987.41617796 B.6638816 3.86.1 Year 1988 3.641878 B.618737 5.89 <.1 Year 1989 3.859913571 B.6173513 6.41 <.1 Year 199 3.67837511 B.645684 5.3 <.1 Year 1991.78511777 B.61774 4.48 <.1 Year 199.1664957 B.6673478 3.19.15 Year 1993 1.188791336 B.7991349 1.5.1346 Year 1994.78439635 B.71454917 3.9.1 Year 1995.48579437 B.71454917.68.497 Year 1996.797413333 B.68615683 1.16.459 Year 1997 -.35455136 B.7331345 -.48.689 Year 1998.95487959 B.76643884.39.7 Year 1999. B... Month 4.67167588 B.41349637.16.871 Month 5.459796598 B.1748565.7.73 Month 6. B... NOTE: The X'X matrix has been found to be singular, and a generalized inverse was used to solve the normal equations. Terms whose estimates are followed by the letter 'B' are not uniquely estimable.
Table 4.- Standardized CPUE series in number of fish (upper) and weight (lower) for the Tunisian BFT Trap fishery in the Mediterranean Sea. Least Sqr. Std. Lower Upper Year Mean Error CI 95% CI 95% 1975,4749,161,16,79 1976,43,161,11,73 1977,695,1645,37 1, 1978,93,1744,59 1,7 1979 1,1474,1645,83 1,47 198,387,36 -,7,84 1981,969,169,64 1,3 198,896,196,64 1,15 1983,858,1343,59 1,1 1984,373,156,7,68 1985 1,864,1645,76 1,41 1986 1,1334,156,83 1,44 1987,7556,153,46 1,5 1988 1,3486,144 1,7 1,63 1989 1,411,1343 1,15 1,68 199 1,616,156,96 1,57 1991 1,1884,153,89 1,49 199,836,1865,47 1, 1993,1946,637 -,3,71 1994 1,353,6,9 1,78 1995,3861,6 -,5,8 1996,488,14,9,88 1997 -,354,6 -,47,4 1998,35,36 -,,69 1999,93,36 -,43,49 Least Sqr. Std. Lower Upper Year Mean Error CI 95% CI 95% 1975 5,885,387 5,14 6,63 1976 6,418,387 5,3 6,79 1977 6,49,394 5,44 6,97 1978 7,147,4153 6,33 7,96 1979 7,6141,395 6,84 8,38 198 5,698,5365 4,65 6,75 1981 7,441,4 6,6 7,83 198 6,79,374 6,13 7,33 1983 6,81,317 6,18 7,4 1984 5,749,3656 4,99 6,4 1985 7,664,39 6,3 7,83 1986 7,7185,3746 6,98 8,45 1987 6,7858,3477 6,1 7,47 1988 8,118,348 7,38 8,65 1989 8,95,377 7,59 8,87 199 7,6375,3758 6,9 8,37 1991 7,1547,365 6,44 7,87 199 6,4963,4366 5,64 7,35 1993 5,5584,641 4,37 6,74 1994 7,154,519 6,15 8,16 1995 4,8554,519 3,85 5,86 1996 5,167,476 4,4 6,9 1997 4,151,4937 3,5 4,98 1998 4,6651,575 3,63 5,7 1999 4,3696,546 3,31 5,43
14 14 1 1 1 1 8 8 6 6 4 4-3 -,5 - -1,5-1 -,5,5 1 1,5,5 3 standardized residuals -3 -,5 - -1,5-1 -,5,5 1 1,5,5 3 standardized residuals Figure 1.- Standardized residuals for GLM fits (left panel for model with catch rates in number of fish and right panel for catch rates in weight). 1,5 LN(number/effort) 1,5 -,5-1 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 Year LN CPUE Lower Upper LN(weight/effort) 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 1 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 Year (weight) CI 95% CI 95% Figure.- Standardized CPUE series in number of fish and weight for the Tunisian BFT Trap fishery in the Mediterranean Sea. Dashed lines indicate 95% confidence bands.