OMS-MISO Survey RASC 01/10/2018 1
Purpose & Key Takeaways Purpose: Updated OMS-MISO Potential (new resource) proposal based on stakeholder feedback Key Takeaways: Modifications made to the DPP weighting More weight applied to the later phases of the DPP Study Propose moving up by a week the schedule for 2018 OMS-MISO survey, compared to previous years, so that results can be reported during June Board week 2
Adjustments to proposal for OMS-MISO survey Potential (new resources) focused on DPP study phase weighting v. Proposal Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting Jan. Proposal Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting t = 10% Phase 1 = 10% Phase 2 = 25% Phase 3 = 50% GIA = 100% t = 10.0% Phase 1 = 10.0% Phase 2 = 50.0% n-intermittent, 25.0% Intermittent Phase 3 = 75.0% n-intermittent, 50.0% Intermittent GIA in Progress = 90.0% (nprovisional) DPP Study Phase Weighting is applied to recognize that as projects move through the queue process they generally become more certain 3
GW of Comparison of Potential (new resources) as proposed vs. the 2017 OMS-MISO survey 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.2 3.3 3.8 2.4 3.1 4.1 3.4 4.0 1.5 1.7 1.0 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.7 0.7 2019 2020 2021 2022 Potential new capacity in 2017 OMS-MISO survey MISO Proposal - Potential new capacity for 2018 OMS-MISO survey January MISO Proposal - Potential new capacity for 2018 OMS-MISO survey 4 *In service dates are extended to reflect expected GIA dates and possible construction timelines This number can t be compared directly to slide 6 numbers for phase 2 &3. This numbers reflects the new weighting under the MISO proposal for the entire queue as of Sept 2017
January RASC proposal for OMS-MISO survey Potential (new resources) Apply Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting Requested In- Service Date DPP Study Cycle t Wind 15.6% Solar 50% All other 100% t = 10% Phase 1 = 10% Phase 2 = 50% n- Intermittent, 25% Intermittent Phase 3 = 75% n- Intermittent, 50% Intermittent GIA in Progress = 90% If requested inservice date is prior to 2018, projects would be moved to their DPP study cycle end date, unless an updated date is provided in the OMS-MISO Survey If the DPP Study Cycle hadn t started, then project requested in-service dates would be moved to their DPP study cycle end date plus 2 years, unless an updated date is provided in the OMS-MISO Survey DPP Study Phase Weighting is applied to recognize that as projects move through the queue process they generally become more certain In-service adjusted if the DPP Study Cycle t to recognize that a project likely can t get capacity credit until at least the end of the DPP study cycle and additional 2 years to to reflect expected GIA dates and possible construction timelines 5
Example: 100 MW wind resource in phase 2 of the DPP study cycle with a anticipated in service date of 12/1/2019 Apply Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting 100 MW X Wind X Phase 2 = = 15.6% 25% 3.9 MW 12/1/2019 Requested In- Service Date After 2018 Adjustment DPP Study Cycle t DPP Phase Adjustment Potential for Planning Year 2020/21 6 Adjusted in-service data has to be before start of Planning Year (June) to qualify for that Planning Year.
2018 OMS-MISO survey tentative schedule Propose sending out and returning the 2018 OMS-MISO survey a week earlier than previous years Date Would accommodate the June System Planning Committee, which is scheduled a week earlier than previous years Deliverable 2/7/2018 Review feedback from the RASC for the OMS-MISO Survey 3/7/2018 Finalized OMS-MISO Survey to include more new potential resources at the RASC 3/26/2018 Send out the OMS-MISO Survey to the LSEs 4/4/2018 Instructional training on the OMS-MISO Survey 4/11/2018 Instructional training on the OMS-MISO Survey 4/20/2018 OMS-MISO Surveys due back to MISO June 2018 OMS-MISO Survey Executive presentation 7/11/2018 OMS-MISO Detailed Presentation for the July RASC 7
Next steps Requesting feedback on updated proposal and the OMS-MISO survey tentative schedule Comments due back by January 20, 2018 8
9 EXAMPLES
Example: 1000 MW gas resource in phase 1 of the DPP study cycle with a anticipated in service date of 10/1/2017 Apply Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting 1000 MW X X Phase 1 = 10% = Applied 100 MW 10/1/2017 Requested In- Service Date Prior to 2018 Adjusted In- Service Date 2/1/2019 DPP Study Cycle t DPP Phase Adjustment Potential for Planning Year 2019/20 10 Adjusted in-service data has to be before start of Planning Year (June) to qualify for that Planning Year.
Example: 100 MW solar resource, DPP study cycle hasn t started, with a anticipated in service date of 4/1/2019 Apply Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting 100 MW X Solar 50% X t = = 10% 5 MW 4/1/2019 Requested In- Service Date After 2018 Adjustment DPP Study Cycle t DPP Study Cycle End Date 10/01/2019 Plus 2 Years 10/1/2021 Potential for Planning Year 2022/23 11 Adjusted in-service data has to be before start of Planning Year (June) to qualify for that Planning Year.
Example: 500 MW gas resource in phase 3 of the DPP study cycle with a anticipated in service date of 5/1/2019 Apply Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting 500 MW X X Phase 3 = 75% = Applied 375 MW 5/1/2019 Requested In- Service Date After 2018 Adjustment DPP Study Cycle t DPP Phase Adjustment Potential for Planning Year 2019/20 12 Adjusted in-service data has to be before start of Planning Year (June) to qualify for that Planning Year.