Citrus Producer s Perspective on Current Citrus Situation in Florida Jim Snively
Florida Citrus Acreage 29 Years Florida Citrus Acreage 1,000,000 900,000 941,471 878,019 864,098 845,283 852,369 847,856 831,235 Citrus Industry moved South below Freeze Line 853,742 857,687 845,260 832,275 800,000 791,290 797,303 Acre es 761,365 732,767 748,555 Fl Citrus Acreage 700,000 697,929 Freezes Disease 600,000 624,492 621,373 576,577 568,814 500,000 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2009 Census Year
Florida Orange Acreage 29 Years Florida Orange Acrage 750,000 715,806 700,000 Acres Orange 650,000 600,000 550,000 659,418 642,431 636,864 628,567 627,174 616,020 573,991 653,370 656,598598 665,529529 658,390 648,806 622,821 608,636 564,809 536,737 529,241 Florida Orange Acrage 500,000 496,518 492,529 466,252 450,000 400,000000 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2009 Census Year
Florida Grapefruit & Specialty Fruit Acreage 29 Years Grapefruit & Specialty Fruit Acreage 185,000 160,000 Acre es 135,000 110,000000 85,000 124,050 124,142 137,909 139,944 130,326 136,342 101,615 94,459 91,341 85,893 78,873 139,939 134,680 78,165 71,053 117,845 125,300 119,606 146,915 135,166 144,416 132,817 118,145 105,488 89,048 Grapefruit Specialty Fruit 60,000 35,000 52,694 40,395 41,586 63,419 56,673 53,457 54,053 56,881 47,488 48,601 53,863 42,658 43,009 36,686 28,713 10,000 23,178 22,422 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2009 Census Years
Florida Orange Production 29 Years Florida Orange Production 300,000 000 250,000 244,000 226,200 200,000 150,000 100,000 186,800 181,200 169,700 173,300 165,800 167,800 142,300 137,000 164,000 125,800 206,700 172,400 116,700 186,600 205,500 146,600 151,600 139,600 138,000 139,800 103,900 119,200 119,700 Freezes Freezes 110,200 174,400 203,300 50,000 0 233,000 230,000 242,000 223,300 300 186,000 203,000 Hurricanes 170,200 149,800 147,700 162,100 129,000 Disease Florida Orange Production 001 2002/200 003 2004/200 005 2006/200 007 2008/200 009 1970/197 971 1972/197 973 1974/197 975 1976/197 977 1978/197 979 1980/198 981 1982/198 983 1984/198 985 1986/198 987 1988/198 989 1990/199 991 1992/199 993 1994/199 995 1996/199 997 1998/199 999 2000/200 Season Boxes ( (in millions)
Disease 2004 Hurricanes Charley, Frances, & Jeanne - Spread Canker across all of Florida 2005 Hurricanes Wilma Intensified Canker issue Eradication Program Stopped in 2006 Living with Canker
Citrus Canker
Citrus Canker
Citrus Canker
Citrus Canker
Haunglongbing HLB - Greening
Asian Citrus Psyllid - ACP
Where is it? October 2005 2 Counties
Where is it? April 2006 12 Counties
Where is it? January 2007 14 Counties
Where is it? June 2007 24 Counties
Where is it? December 2007 31 Counties
HLB Increasing Throughout the State August, 2008 32 counties HLB found in all Commercial Citrus Producing Counties
World Wide Issue Blue - Asian strain of HLB; Green Asian and African strains of HLB; Yellow African strain of HLB; Purple Asian and damerican strains of HLB. (Map produced by the California Department of Food and Agriculture, GIS/GPS Laboratory.)
ACP Found in Texas in 2001 ACP has been found in 32 Counties No HLB found in Texas
ACP & HLB Found in Louisiana June 2008
ACP Found in California August 2008 No HLB found in California
HLB What We Know Today Growers must Maintain Low Incident Rates Inspection Tree Removal Psyllid Control Clean Nursery Stock No Science to support any other practice
Inspection for HLB at Southern Gardens 36 Scouts (Inspectors) on ~16,500 acres Scouts work in pairs, walking both sides of a tree row HLB/greening suspect trees are flagged, including small flag on symptomatic branch Final confirmation of suspect trees is performed by three experienced, welltrained Senior Scouts
Tree Removal
Spray Program Pre Canker and HLB Dormant Spray-December/January: Urea & Nutriphite Post Bloom Spray- March/April: Oil, Nutriphite, Potassium Nitrate, Nutritional 1 st Summer Oil- May/June: Oil, Copper, Potassium Nitrate, Nutritional 2 nd Summer Oil- July/August: Oil, Copper, Nutriphite, Nutritional, and miticide (if needed) 3 rd Summer Oil- September/October: Oil, Copper, Nutritional, and miticide (if needed) Young Trees Only- March/April and August: Admire Young Trees Only March/April and August: Admire trunk/soil drench applications
Spray Program Post HLB Dormant Spray-December/January: Urea, Nutriphite, Danitol 2.4 EC Systemic Control- December/January: Temik Post Bloom Spray- March/April: Oil, Copper, Nutriphite, Potassium Nitrate, Nutritional, Dimethoate 5 Pound (Aqueous Formulation) 1 st Summer Oil- May/June: Oil, Copper, Potassium Nitrate, Nutritional, Provado 1.6 F 2 nd Summer Oil- July/August: Oil, Copper, Nutriphite, Nutritional, Lorsban 4EC and miticide (if needed) 3 rd Summer Oil- September/October: Oil, Copper, Nutritional, Provado 1.6 F and miticide (if needed) Aerial Application - Imidan Young Trees Only- March/April and August: Admire trunk/soil drench applications
Southern Gardens Citrus Nursery Trenton, FL 28
Nursery Location 29
30
HLB Infection Rate per Inspection 14.00% HLB Infection Rate per Inspection Removed 400,000 000 trees from 2005 to 2009 12.00% % In fection 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 11/2005-5/2006 5/2006-9/2006 9/2006-4/2007 4/2007-7/2007 7/2007-12/2007 12/2007-3/2008 4/2008-11/2008 11/2008-2/2009 3/2009-4/2009 5/2009-8/2009 8/2009-10/2009 2.00% 0.00% Southern Devil's Garden Dunwody/Alcoma Grove
Cumulative HLB Infection Rate Cumulative Infection Rate 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% % In nfection 15.00% Southern Devil's Garden Dunwody/Alcoma 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% 11/05-5/06 5/06 5/06-10/06 10/06-5/07 5/07-8/07 8/07-12/07 12/07-5/08 5/08-12/08 12/08-2/09 2/09 2/09-3/09 4/09-8/09 8/09-10/09 Date
Economics Inspection - $110.00 00 per acre Tree Removal - $60.00 per acre Resets & Planting - $100.00 per acre Psyllid Control - $250.00 per acre Total HLB Cost - $520.00 per acre Total Production Cost - $1,420.00 00 per acre
Grower Price per Pound Solid 29 Years Price per Lb Solid 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.25 1.28 1.69 1.55 1.44 1.66 1.43 1.35 1.39 1.31 1.00 0.97 1.06 0.86 1.10 1.15 0.98 1.11 0.96 0.71 0.91 1.14 0.92 0.91 1.09 0.93 0.95 0.85 0.80 0.71 0.91 0.50 0.50 0.40 054 0.54 0.54 0.44 0.42 0.40 0.00 2.09 1.01 Price per Lb Solid 9 1970-71 1972-73 1974-75 1976-77 7 1978-79 9 1980-81 1982-83 1984-85 1986-87 1988-89 9 1990-91 1992-93 1994-95 1996-97 1998-99 9 2000-01 2002-03 2004-05 2006-07 2008-09 Season $ per Lb Solid
Economics Yesterday w/o Disease Net Income/Acre @$0.65 per LBS Solid @6.3 LBS Solids/Box Boxes/Acre 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 $800 $607 $600 $373 $490 $400 Net Income/Acre ($67) $38 $255 $200 $0 Net Income/Ac cre ($276) ($172) ($200) ($381) ($400) ($600)
Economics Yesterday w/o Disease Net Income/Acre @$0.80 per LBS Solid @6.3 LBS Solids/Box Boxes/Acre 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 $1,400 $1,174 $1,200 $1,010 $1,000 Net Income/Acre $845 $800 $264 $416 $681 $600 $400 $200 re Net Income/Acr $112 ($40) $0 ($192) ($200) ($400)
Economics Yesterday w/o Disease Net Income/Acre@$1.00 per LBS Solid@ 6.3 LBS Solids/Box Boxes/Acre 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 $2,500 $1,930 $2,000 Net Incom e/acre $1,703 $920 $1,248 $1,475 $1,500 $1,000 re Net Income/Acr $705 $490 $500 $275 $60 $0
Economics Yesterday w/o Disease Net Income @ $1.25 per LBS Solid @ 6.3 LBS Solids/Box Boxes/Acre 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 $3,500 $2,875 $3,000 $2,569 $2,500 Net Income/Acre $2,263 $1,550 $1,956 $2,000 $1,500 re Net Income/Ac $1,256 $963 $1,000 $375 $669 $500 $0
Economics Today with Disease
Economics Today with Disease
Economics Today with Disease
Acres, Production, & Price Acres, Production, & Price 750,000 3.50 700,000 650,000 3.00 600,000 550,000 2.50 500,000 450,000 400,000000 350,000 300,000 250,000 2.00 1.50 1.00 $ per Lb Solid Orange Acres Orange Production Price per Lb Solid 200,000 0.50 150,000 100,000 0.00 50,000 0-0.50 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 Season
Long Term Improve Efficiency Support Research Increased Consumption Increased Demand Better Returns to the Grower
Is HLB THE REAL DEAL? April 19, 2007
Is HLB THE REAL DEAL? December 16, 2008
Thank You!!!!!!! Mike Irey, Tim Gast, and all y of our Southern Gardens Team