New Data for Vermont and our Communities: A Focus on Programs of the U.S. Census Bureau Town Officer Education Seminars uvm.

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Transcription:

New Data for Vermont and our Communities: A Focus on Programs of the U.S. Census Bureau 2011 Town Officer Education Seminars

Our Focus Today

Accessing the Data Target to serve 2010 Census and ACS 5 year data in Summer/Fall 2011.

American FactFinder factfinder.census.gov factfinder2.census.gov

February 2011 Population Age 18 Race and Ethnicity Occupied and Vacant Housing http://www.census.gov/population/www/censusdata/c2010products.pdf

More on the Way Age Household size and composition Housing tenure and vacancy types Full dataset Including urban and rural counts

Review of Changes in 2010

Which one do I Use? Even after it is getting old But nowhere near as accurate as Census

2010 Census Vermont s resident population on April 1, 2010 was 625,741. Growth rate of 2.8% from 2000 Rate of growth 44 th in the nation

Share of State Population County 1960 2010 % Change Addison County 5.1 5.9 14.3 Bennington County 6.4 5.9 7.8 Caledonia County 5.8 5.0 14.6 Chittenden County 19.1 25.0 31.1 Essex County 1.6 1.0 35.4 Franklin County 7.6 7.6 0.9 Grand Isle County 0.8 1.1 48.4 Lamoille County 2.8 3.9 38.3 Orange County 4.1 4.6 12.6 Orleans County 5.2 4.4 15.8 Rutland County 12.0 9.9 17.8 Washington County 11.0 9.5 13.5 Windham County 7.6 7.1 6.9 Windsor County 10.9 9.1 16.9

Traditional Centers Brattleboro Morristown St. Albans City

Rural and New Growth Stowe Belvidere Fairfax

New and Old Dynamics Communities with Designated Downtowns as a Proxy

Across the State Towns as share of State Population. Keyed to 4 equal groups in 1960 1960 2010

Percent Loss of Population Under 18 2000-2010 Vermont statewide lost 12.4% (more than 18,000) U.S. Census Bureau 2000 & 2010 Census

Doubtful of Your Count? http://2010.census.gov/2010census/about/cqr.php

New American FactFinder factfinder2.census.gov Source for 2010 Census

Here for choosing data and datasets Here for geography

Topic, Dataset, 2010 Census

For Towns: Choose County Subdivisions! Dataset Chosen Here Geography, Summary Level, County Subdivisions

Search or Choose All

Options Chosen Here Choose a Table!

Total Population

American Community Survey

American Community Survey

American Community Survey Combine more than one year s sample Not Averages!

ACS and Availability 1 Year Estimates Latest 2009 For Vermont and Chittenden County 3 Year Estimates Latest 2007 2009 For Vermont, 12 Counties and Burlington 5 Year Estimates Latest 2005 2009 For All Geographies Always compare within the same period estimate. E.g. don t compare 3 year data to 5 year data

Multi Year Estimates Example of 5-year average graph 100 90 Only two values truly independent of each other Average % 80 70 60 50 40 2005-2009 2006-2010 2007-2011 2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 5-year period

ACS Test Site Data Courtesy of Nebraska State Data Center Multi-year estimates subject to lag in reflection of trends.

Margins of Error American Community Survey 2005 2009 Poverty Rate Estimate MOE Vermont 11.0 0.4 COUNTY Addison County 11.4 1.4 Bennington County 11.1 1.9 Caledonia County 13.6 1.6 Chittenden County 10.7 0.7 Essex County 15.9 2.2 Franklin County 10.9 1.7 Grand Isle County 6.7 1.7 Lamoille County 12.7 2.1 Orange County 8.6 1.4 Orleans County 13.9 1.5 Rutland County 11.3 1.1 Washington County 10.0 1.2 Windham County 10.9 1.4 Windsor County 9.8 1.2 Data actually in ranges Allow tests for statistical significance

Statistical Significance American Community Survey 2005 2009 Poverty Rate Estimate MOE Vermont 11.0 0.4 COUNTY Essex County 15.9 2.2 Orleans County 13.9 1.5 Caledonia County 13.6 1.6 Lamoille County 12.7 2.1 Addison County 11.4 1.4 Rutland County 11.3 1.1 Bennington County 11.1 1.9 Franklin County 10.9 1.7 Windham County 10.9 1.4 Chittenden County 10.7 0.7 Washington County 10.0 1.2 Windsor County 9.8 1.2 Orange County 8.6 1.4 Grand Isle County 6.7 1.7 Not Statistically Different

Median Household Income 1999 Adjusted 2005 for Inflation to 2005 2009 Geography 1999 2009 (BLS) 2009 Margin Trend Vermont 40,856 52,610 51,284 ±467 Addison County 43,142 55,554 55,427 ±1,796 Bennington County 39,926 51,413 46,265 ±2,247 Caledonia County 34,800 44,812 41,897 ±1,607 Chittenden County 47,673 61,389 59,634 ±1,372 Essex County 30,490 39,262 40,046 ±2,771 Franklin County 41,659 53,644 52,279 ±1,799 Grand Isle County 43,033 55,414 56,202 ±2,522 Lamoille County 39,356 50,679 51,037 ±2,260 Orange County 39,855 51,321 51,011 ±1,515 Orleans County 31,084 40,027 40,605 ±1,295 Rutland County 36,743 47,314 46,153 ±1,287 Washington County 40,972 52,760 54,227 ±1,637 Windham County 38,204 49,195 46,465 ±1,362 Windsor County 40,688 52,394 51,066 ±1,658 Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2005 2009 American Community Survey

Median Household Income, 2005-2009 ( previous 12 months ) U.S. Census Bureau 2005-2009 American Community Survey Note: Margins of Error not shown

Poverty Rate Geography 1999 2005 2009 Vermont 9.4 11.0 ±0.4 Addison County 8.6 11.4 ±1.4 Bennington County 10.0 11.1 ±1.9 Caledonia County 12.3 13.6 ±1.6 Chittenden County 8.8 10.7 ±0.7 Essex County 13.7 15.9 ±2.2 Franklin County 9.0 10.9 ±1.7 Grand Isle County 7.6 6.7 ±1.7 Lamoille County 9.6 12.7 ±2.1 Orange County 9.1 8.6 ±1.4 Orleans County 14.1 13.9 ±1.5 Rutland County 10.9 11.3 ±1.1 Washington County 8.0 10.0 ±1.2 Windham County 9.4 10.9 ±1.4 Windsor County 7.7 9.8 ±1.2 2005 2009 Margin Trend Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2005 2009 American Community Survey

% People Below Poverty, 2005-2009 ( previous 12 months ) U.S. Census Bureau 2005-2009 American Community Survey Note: Margins of Error not shown

Accessing the ACS

LEHD On The Map http://lehd.did.census.gov/led

http://lehdmap.did.census.gov

Distance people travel to work

Where People Commute to

Labor Market Profile

Web Links Vermont State Data Center http://crs.uvm.edu/census American FactFinder http://factfinder.census.gov http://factfinder2.census.gov LEHD On the Map http://lehdmap.did.census.gov/ American Community Survey Info www.census.gov/acs Vermont Indicators Online http://crs.uvm.edu/indicators Vermont Housing Data www.housingdata.org

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Thank you! resources and expertise to support rural people and communities Will Chip Sawyer Vermont State Data Center at the UVM Center for Rural Studies crs.uvm.edu/census 802 656 0892 wsawyer@uvm.edu U.S. Census Bureau: census.gov This presentation contains materials based upon work supported by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, under Award No. 2010 34269 20972. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author s and do not necessarily reflect the views of the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Special thanks to Senator Patrick Leahy.