Town of Whitby Official Plan Review Presentation at Special Meeting of Council Whitby (Municipal Building) November 28 th, 2007 Brooklin (St. Thomas Anglican Church) December 6 th, 2007 OVERVIEW What is an Official Plan & the need for Official Plan Review External Planning Policy Initiatives Whitby Official Plan & Internal Policy Initiatives Selected Statistical Trends since 1991 Proposed Preliminary Work Program 2 1
WHAT IS AN OFFICIAL PLAN & THE NEED FOR REVIEW / UPDATE 3 4 2
EXTERNAL PLANNING POLICY INITIATIVES 5 Provincial Policy Statement. 2005 6 3
Greenbelt Plan 2005 7 Places to Grow Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe 2006 8 4
Source: Urban Strategies, Yonge Street corridor in Thornhill 9 Source: Urban Strategies, Yonge Street corridor in Thornhill 10 5
Source: Urban Strategies, Yonge Street corridor in Thornhill 11 Source: Region of Waterloo, Visualizing Densities, 2006 12 6
Lot frontages: 100 50 40 30 Source: Region of Waterloo, Visualizing Densities, 2006 13 Highway 407 East Environmental Assessment (EA) 14 7
Provincial Legislation 15 Provincially Significant Wetlands (PSW s) 16 8
Whitby-Oshawa Iroquois Beach PSW Complex 17 Corbett Creek Coastal Wetland Complex 18 9
Whitby Harbour Wetland Complex 19 Lynde Creek Coastal Wetland Complex 20 10
Durham Region (Regional OPA #114, TMP) 21 Central Lake Ontario Conservation Watershed Planning 22 11
WHITBY OFFICIAL PLAN & INTERNAL POLICY INITIATIVES 23 Whitby Official Plan 24 12
Whitby Official Plan Approved in 1995 12 years ago 20 year Planning Horizon to 2011 3 remaining Deferrals u (D6 West Whitby, D8 Bonusing, D12 Waste Disposal Sites) 69 OPA s as of November, 2007 25 Introductory Discussion Paper 26 13
Internal Policy Initiatives 27 11 % 24 % 16 % 49% 28 14
11% 24% 17% 48% 29 Durham Region Population Forecasts (2006 to 2031) 2006 Durham Population : Approximately 586,000 2031 Durham Population forecast: Region s Forecast for Durham: 1,050,000 (Recommended Directions Report, January 2006) Province s Forecast for Durham: 960,000 (Places to Grow, June, 2006) 30 15
Whitby Population Forecasts (2006 to 2031) 2006 Whitby Population : Approximately 116,000 2031 Whitby Population forecast: Region s Forecast for Whitby: 226,000 (Recommended Directions Report, January, 2006) Province s Forecast for Whitby:? (Places to Grow, June, 2006) 31 Durham Region Employment Forecasts (2006 to 2031) 2006 Durham Employment: Approximately 190,000 2031 Durham Employment forecast: Region s Forecast: 423,000 (Recommended Directions Report, January 2006) C.N. Watson s Forecast for Region: 400,000 (Employment Land Needs Analysis, October, 2005) Province s Forecast: 350,000 (Places to Grow, June, 2006) 32 16
Whitby Employment Forecasts (2006 to 2031) 2006 Whitby Employment: Approximately 36,000 2031 Durham Employment forecast: Region s Forecast for Whitby: 91,000 (Recommended Directions Report, January 2006) C.N. Watson s Forecast for Whitby: 82,500 (Employment Land Needs Analysis, October, 2005) Province s Forecast:? (Places to Grow, June, 2006) 33 Future Urban Land Needs (to 2031) Current Land Supply (2006): Approx. 3 years of residential land; only 2 ½ years of low density residential lands Approx. 3,700 acres of employment lands Approx. 5,600,000 sq.ft. of commercial floorspace Projected Land Needs (2031): Approx. 2,000 to 4,000 acres of residential lands? Approx. 1,500 to 1,700 acres of employment lands? Approx. 8,200,000 sq.ft. of commercial floorspace? 34 17
Employment Land Conversion Provincial Policy Statement, 2005 - strengthened policies re: Employment Land Growth Plan policies more restrictive re: Employment Land conversion 35 Sustainable Community Planning & Design 36 18
Other Land Use Policies Requiring Review / Update Commercial Uses in the Industrial Areas Mixed Use Areas in Major Central Areas Limited Service Commercial and Offices in Residential Areas School Designations Cemetery Policies Minimum Distance Separation Formulae (formerly Agricultural Code of Practice) Special Activity Node A Brownfields & Community Improvement Plans Housekeeping/Technical Amendments 37 SELECTED STATISTICAL TRENDS SINCE 1991 38 19
Whitby Population Pyramids (1991-2001) Town of Whitby Population Pyramid 1991 Census Town of Whitby Population Pyramid 1996 Census 75+ 75+ 60 to 74 60 to 74 50 to 59 50 to 59 40 to 49 FEMALE 40 to 49 FEMALE 30 to 39 MALE 30 to 39 MALE 20 to 29 20 to 29 10 to 19 10 to 19 0 to 9 0 to 9 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 % of Population 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 % of Population Town of Whitby Population Pyramid 2001 Census Town of Whitby Population Pyramid 2006 Census 75+ 75+ 60 to 74 60 to 74 50 to 59 50 to 59 40 to 49 30 to 39 FEMALE MALE 40 to 49 30 to 39 FEMALE MALE 20 to 29 20 to 29 10 to 19 10 to 19 0 to 9 0 to 9 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 % of Population Source: Statistics Canada 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 % of Population 39 Average Persons per Household (1991-2001) 3.1 3.05 3 2.95 2.9 2.85 1991 1996 2001 Town of Whitby Region of Durham Source: Region of Durham, Statistics Canada 40 20
Lone-Parent Families (% of Total Families, 1991-2001) 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% 1991 1996 2001 Town of Whitby Region of Durham Source: Region of Durham, Statistics Canada 41 Total Dwelling Units by Type (1991-2006) 2500 2250 2000 1750 1500 1250 1000 750 500 250 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Singles, Semis & Links Townhouses Apartments 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: Whitby Planning Department 42 21
Housing Mix by Dwelling Unit Type (1997-2006) 70% Official Plan Targets Housing Mix Within Council Approved Plans (10 yr average, 1997-2006) 76% 10% 20% Low Density MediumDensity High Density 6% 18% Low Density Medium Density High Density Housing Mix Generated By Residential Building Permits (10 yr average, 1997-2006) 76% Source: Whitby Planning Department 6% 18% Low Density MediumDensity High Density 43 Building Permit Values (Residential / Non-Residential % of Total 1991-2006) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 Residential 1997 1998 Non-Residential Source: Regional Planning Department, Whitby Planning Department 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 44 22
Building Permit Values (Residential / Non-Residential in $ Millions 1991-2006) 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Residential Non-Residential Source: Regional Planning Department 45 Taxable Assessment (Whitby, $ Billions, 1998-2006) 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Residential/Farm Commercial/Industrial Source: Whitby Treasury Department 46 23
Taxable Assessment (Durham Region, % of Total, 2006) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Ajax Brock Clarington Oshawa Pickering Scugog Whitby Residential/Farm Commercial/Industrial Uxbridge Source: Durham Region Finance Department 47 Taxable Assessment (Commercial & Industrial as % of Total, 1998-2006) 14.50% 14.00% 13.50% 13.00% 12.50% 12.00% 11.50% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Commercial/Industrial Source: Whitby Treasury Department 48 24
Proposed Work Program OP Review will focus on: Implementation of new Provincial policy initiatives; Conformity with the Durham Region Official Plan; Growth Management, Intensification and future urban land needs; Sustainable Community Planning and Design; Review and update of existing Whitby Official Plan policies; and Other technical and housekeeping matters. 49 Proposed Work Program Next Steps: Survey regarding Community s preference for future growth (fall, 2007) Hold Special Meeting of Council (fall, 2007) Prepare Terms of Reference (fall/winter, 2007) Issue Request for Proposal (winter, 2007/2008) 4 Phases: Phase 1: Issues Discussion and Direction Report(s); Phase 2: Recommended Policy Direction(s); Phase 3: Draft Whitby Official Plan Amendment(s); and Phase 4: Recommended Whitby Official Plan Amendment(s). 50 25
Proposed Work Program Short-Term OPA(s): OPA s for legislation, conformity, & housekeeping & technical matters (2007 2008) Long-Term OPA(s): OPA s for growth management, intensification, conformity with upper-tier(s) plans (2008 2010) Public Consultation: public meetings, open houses, workshop(s), Public Notices, dedicated website, survey(s) (ongoing). 51 Thank you We welcome your comments Land Use Growth Management Development Sustainability Industry Environment Intensification Education Neighbourhoods Community Employment Housing Revitalization Transportation Arts & Culture Recreation Downtowns Safety Natural Heritage Cultural Heritage 52 26