Matching bird diets with fish data: New insight into avian predation in the Columbia River estuary

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Matching bird diets with fish data: New insight into avian predation in the Columbia River estuary Laurie Weitkamp and Tom Good NOAA Fisheries, Northwest Fisheries Science Center Don Lyons and Dan Roby Oregon State University

Salmon consumption by birds is highly variable despite + stable colony sizes Caspian terns Double crested cormorants Breeding pairs Breeding pairs Data from www.birdresearchnw.org

Roby et al (2002) showed the importance of alternate prey to tern diets

Caspian terns relocated from Rice Island to East Sand Island consumed less salmon and more forage fish Roby et al. 2002

12 Apr 18 Apr 3 May 16 May 31 May 15 Jun 28 Jun Natural experiments hint at dynamics High river flow in 2011 Depressed fish abundance Change in fish composition Increased Caspian tern predation on salmon Date

Matching fish and bird data to address a critical common question: Why does avian prey selection vary? The answer informs: bird breeding success? salmon survival?

Fish data: Estuary Purse Seine (EPS) study Focus on spring outmigration of juvenile salmonids Sampling at edges of deep channels with purse seine Mid April to late June - every other week (2007-13) 6-8 sets per station per trip 500 ft East Sand Island 35 ft Fish sampling stations

Pulling the net on deck Setting the net Pursing the net Fish crowded in bunt

Sorting, counting and measuring fish All fish identified to species and counted and a subset measured Extensive dataset on estuarine fish community

Tern Diet Composition Observations of whole fish carried back to colony to feed mates or chicks Diet by frequency converted to diet by biomass using length-weight relationships for each prey type

Cormorant Diet Composition Lab analysis of stomach contents of collected cormorants Diet by biomass using relative biomass in each stomach

Common fish and bird diet data Data averaged over 2 weeks periods (mid Apr-late June) Six years (2007-2012) Fish biomass by species or group (e.g., Clupeids) relative biomass (%) all groups (tern and cormorant diets) absolute biomass (g) all groups (tern diet only) Bird diets from East Sand Island

Research questions 1. Does EPS fish community represent bird diets? does it capture their prey field? 2. Are bird diets related to the abundance of fish? 3. Are birds selecting for/against certain prey? 4. Does environmental variation influence fish community and predation rates?

Commonly-caught estuary fishes Salmon Shiner perch Anchovy Surf smelt American shad Clupeids Pacific herring Threespine stickleback s

2010 example: birds generally selecting fish caught in EPS study, but high temporal variation EPS fish community Caspian tern diets DC cormorant diets Mid April Mid May Late June Time

Spearman correlations between fish groups in avian diets (%) and the EPS study (% or g) DC Cormorant Species EPS(%) EPS(g) EPS(%) EPS(g) Anchovy 0.38** 0.27 0.26 0.27 Clupeid 0.22 0.20 0.11 0.31* Salmon 0.31* 0.22 0.44**.68** Sculpin 0.34** 0.41*** 0.28 0.27 Smelt 0.03-0.04 0.36** -0.19 Stickleback 0.62*** 0.43** 0.16.38* Surfperch 0.23 0.25 0.18 0.19 * P < 0.10; ** P < 0.05; *** P < 0.01 Caspian tern

Annual cormorant consumption of salmon reflects abundance of salmon and non-salmon in EPS study Biomass of marine fish in EPS study 25 20 25 % salmon in EPS study 15 Annual % salmon in cormorant diets 20 15 10 5 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 EPS % salmon 14 10 5 0 1,000 10,000 100,000 Biomass of estuarine fish in EPS study 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 200 400 600 800 1,000

Terns are strongly selecting for salmonids, cormorants are not 1.0 = 10x greater % biomass in diets than in fish data Log of odds ratio Cormorant salmonids Tern salmon Tern steelhead

Summary and conclusions (1) Purse seine fish data representative of bird s prey field despite: Fish data collected for entirely different reasons Foraging differences between terns and cormorants Bird foraging areas much larger than seine area Availability of alternate prey does impact salmon consumption Both marine and estuarine fish influence cormorant diets Majority of tern diet consists of non-salmonids

Summary and conclusions (2) Marked differences in salmon selectivity between bird species Terns strongly selecting for salmon, cormorants are not Future environmental variation (e.g., upcoming El Niño) will likely influence alternate prey and therefore predation on salmon Better understanding of prey availability/predation linkage needed for intelligent management of birds and fish