A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at Unsignalized Crossings using Trajectory Data

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A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at Unsignalized Crossings using Trajectory Data Ting Fu Supervisor: Luis Miranda-Moreno, Nicolas Saunier Ting FU

Outline 1. Motivation & Literature Review 2. Framework Description 3. Model Illustration Case Study 4. Conclusion & Future Work

1. Motivation & Literature Review

Unsignalized Locations Not controlled by traffic signal (UIIG 2016) Uncontrolled, no device assigning right-of-way Yielding sign controlled Stop controlled

Volume is relatively low, but crash frequency keeps high US over 70 % fatal crashes, 2010-2012

Past Methodologies undergoing literature review project Road Safety Estimated using Factors Associated with Crashes Evaluated using Historical Crash Data Road Traffic Conflicts Behavior and Compliance Crash Risk Perception of Safety

Past Methodologies Behavior Measures Yielding behavior, crossing decision measures Traffic Conflict Techniques (TCT) PET, TTC, ET etc.

Past Methodologies Hyden s Pyramid Behavior & Conflicts - Refined

Past Methodologies Limitations of Currently used Conflict & Behavior Measures Conflict not quite suitable TTC constant velocity PET waiting is ignored Severity not included (speed)

Past Methodologies Limitations of Currently used Conflict & Behavior Measures Behavior less explored, and much unexplained Yielding situation of being too close Crossing narrowly studied, off-road experiments Quantify event severity using behaviors is limited

Motivation 99 % of crashes were due to human factors behavior/reaction Find a potential solution using behavior measures that could address all the previous mentioned issues

2. Methodological Framework

The Framework for Pedestrian Safety Fu et al., TRB 2017, submitted to AAP (Minor Revision Required)

Main Assumptions Model Explanation Safety Measures Behavior Measures Yielding compliance Crossing decision Collision Risk Measures Time to Crossing Deceleration Rate Required to Stop

Main Assumptions showing intention or starts to cross the street Approaches Perception-Reaction with Reaction a constant speed Braking Drivers: perfect knowledge of being able to stop in front of the crosswalk. Maximum deceleration rate: decided by the pavement friction rate.

Some Basic Definitions Pedestrian Occurrence Pedestrian Crossing Decisions Pedestrian Groups Refer to Fu et al., AAP for details.

Main Assumptions Model Explanation Safety Measures Behavior Measures Yielding compliance Crossing decision Collision Risk Measures Time to Crossing Deceleration Rate Required to Stop

Model Explanation Based on these assumptions, whether the driver is able to stop can be decided by the distance (D) and approaching speed (v) of the vehicle Minimum stopping distance (D min ) - the minimum required distance for the vehicle to make a stop (stop distance) D min = vt r + If D > D min, they are required to stop As t r [t r_min, t r_max ], D min [D 0, D 1 ] = [vt r_min + v 2 2g(μ max θ) v 2 2g(μ max θ), vt r_max + v 2 2g(μ max θ) ] where v is the approaching speed of the vehicle, t r is the perception-reaction time, μ max is the maximum friction rate the road can provide for braking, g is the acceleration of gravity, θ is the slope angle of the road. When vehicle distance is greater than the minimum stopping distance, they are required to stop and yield.

Distance (m) Model Explanation 40 30 20 10 0 Phase III Vehicles can yield Phase I vehicles cannot make full stop 0 3 6 9 12 15 Velocity (m/s) D 0 D 1 Phase II Yielding depends on reaction time Line A Line A - Distance and velocity of the approaching vehicle When pedestrian appears When pedestrian crossing decision is made Braking Breaking maneuver Maneuver after After reaction Reaction

Main Assumptions Model Explanation Safety Measures Behavior Measures Yielding compliance Crossing decision Collision Risk Measures Time to Crossing Deceleration Rate Required to Stop

Distance (m) Behavior Measures 40 30 20 10 0 Non-yielding Violation Confusing Non-yielding Maneuver III II Non-infraction Non-yielding I 0 3 6 9 12 15 Velocity (m/s) D 1 D 0 Yielding Behavior

Distance (m) Behavior Measures Yielding Ratios Yielding Rate - Portion of vehicles that yield among all the interactions of interest Yielding Compliance - Portion of vehicles that yield right-of-way among the drivers who are physically able to yield when they pay attention 40 30 Phase III D 1 20 Phase II 10 D 0 0 Phase I 0 3 6 9 12 15 Speed (m/s)

Distance (m) Behavior Measures Uncertainty Zone 40 30 Phase III D 1 20 Phase II 10 D 0 0 Phase I 0 3 6 9 12 15 Speed (m/s)

Distance (m) Behavior Measures Crossing decision Ratios of Crossing Decisions 40 30 Safe Crossing Decision Risky Crossing Decision D 1 20 III II D 0 10 0 Dangerous Crossing Decision I 0 3 6 9 12 15 Velocity (m/s)

Collision Risk Measures Event Analysis Interaction intensity measures: TC & DRSY Time to Crossing (TC) the time required for the vehicle to reach the pedestrian crossing path if continuing at constant speed, presented as TC = D V Deceleration Rate Required to Stop (DRS) average deceleration rate required for the vehicle to stop and give right-of-way to pedestrians, assuming the driver pays attention to the pedestrian DRS = v 2 2 D vt r_min, if D > vt r_min

Model Description Model Illustration Through A Case Study

3. Case Study

Sites

Data Collection GoPro s Hero Edition cameras are used in HD resolution

Data Processing check the paper for details Semi-automated using automatically extracted trajectories manually identified events - pedestrian occurrences & crossing decisions

Data Processing check the paper for details Under the help the tracker in the open source Traffic Intelligence project Step 1: Trajectory Data Extraction from Video Input Video Data Traffic Intelligence Tracker Output Trajectory data saved in SQLite files Step 2: Preparation of Trajectory Data Yes Check the start time of video recording Record the time offsets of camera views for synchronization Trajectory Data Sites need multiple camera installations No Step 3: Filter and Mark Interactions Manually find the interactions of interest Record the timestamp of pedestrian occurrence Record the timestamp of pedestrian crossing decision Step 4: Data Extraction for the DV Framework Input - Trajectory Data, and Timestamps of Occurrence & Crossing Script to Extract Vehicle Location and Speed Data Output - Vehicle Distance and Velocity of each Interaction

Distance (m) Sample Outputs Vehicle trajectory through multiple cameras 45 30 15 0 0 3 6 9 12 15 Velocity (m/s)

Distance (m) Results Vehicle Yielding 60 Painted Unprotected Stop Sign Controlled 40 20 0 0 5 10 15 20 0 5 10 15 20 0 5 10 15 20 Velocity (m/s) Velocity (m/s) Velocity (m/s) Pedestrian Occurance of Yielding Maneuvers Pedestrian Occurrence of Non-yieldings DV plot for yielding behavior

Results Vehicle Yielding Behavior Measures Yielding rate (YR) Yielding compliance (YC) Painted 47.4 % 64.3 % Unprotected 8.7 % (worst) 10.8 % (worst) Stop Sign Controlled 77.8 % (best) 77.8 % (best)

TC (s) DRS (m/s2) Results Vehicle Yielding Collision Risk Measures 16 8 12 6 8 4 4 2 0 Painted Unprotected Stop Sign 0 Painted Unprotected Stop Sign

Distance (m) Results Pedestrian Crossing Decisions 60 Painted Unprotected Stop Sign Controlled 60 60 40 40 40 20 20 20 0 0 5 10 15 20 Velocity (m/s) 0 0 5 10 15 20 Velocity (m/s) 0 0 5 10 15 20 Velocity (m/s) Successive Crossing Attempts Forced-back Crossing Attempts DV plot for yielding behavior

TC (s) DRS (m/s2) Results Pedestrian Crossing Decisions Collision Risk Measures 16 8 12 6 8 4 4 2 0 Painted Unprotected Stop Sign 0 Painted Unprotected Stop Sign

Discussion Results generally meet the framework assumptions. For instance, no single yielding maneuver is observed for interactions in situation 1) / Phase I. Significant differences with huge variance between the yielding rate and the compliance were observed for the different crosswalk types. Comparison results show that crosswalk with stop sign performs best for pedestrian safety, while the unprotected crosswalk is the least safe.

6. Conclusions & Future Work

Conclusions A new framework is proposed to study pedestrian-vehicle interactions in a potentially more precise and microscopic way. It can be used for different purposes including treatment evaluation, behavior analysis, safety monitoring (violation detecting), pedestrianvehicle interaction modeling, and improving yielding enforcement policy. Results from the case study indicate the framework works reasonably. However, the model needs to be further validated through a sufficiently large number of observations

Machine Learning Tracking through multiple cameras Video Pedestrian body movement detection Drone data GPS data 3D LiDAR Others Data Model Improve Weather & Pavement Possibility instead of Phases Weather & Pavement More data for Validation Treatment Validation Turning vehicles Behavior Analysis Distraction etc. Model Apply Adjust for signalized intersections Geometric Designs Parking & Plants Interaction Simulations Autonomous vehicle - Performance validation Cyclist Pedestrian Interactions ETC.

42/44 Representative Work Finished 1. T. Fu*, S. Zangenehpour, P. St-Aubin, L. Fu, and L. F. Miranda-Moreno. Using Microscopic Video Data Measures for Driver Behavior Analysis during Adverse Winter Weather: Opportunities and Challenges, Journal of Modern Transportation, 2015. (ESCI) Journal Article 2. T. Fu*, L. F. Miranda-Moreno, and N. Saunier. Pedestrian Crosswalk Safety at Non-signalized Crossings during Nighttime using Thermal Video Data and Surrogate Safety Measures, Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2016 (SCI) Journal Article 3. T. Fu*, J. Stipancic, S. Zangenhpour, L.F. Miranda-Moreno, and N. Saunier. A Comparison of Regular and Thermal Cameras for Traffic Data Collection under Varying Lighting and Temperature Conditions in Multimodal Environments, Journal of Advanced Transportation, 2017 (SCI) Journal Article Almost Done Project 1: Literature Review on Methodologies in Investigating Pedestrian Safety at Unsignalized Crossings Project 2: Literature Review on Stop Sign Safety & Operation Efficiency: Methodologies, Topics and Limitations Undergoing Project 3: Investigating Pedestrian Safety at Unsignalized Locations with Different Traffic Control Methods under Different Geometric Conditions Project 4: Cycling Attitude and Behavior towards Pedestrians in Shared Spaces using the DV Framework 4. T. Fu*, L. Miranda-Moreno, and N. Saunier. Automatic Traffic Data Collection under Varying Lighting and Temperature Conditions in Multimodal Environments: Thermal versus Visible Spectrum Video-Based Systems, submitted to Accident Analysis & Prevention (Minor Correction Required), 2017 (SSCI) Journal Article 5. T. Fu*, D. Beitel, B. Navarro, L. Miranda-Moreno, and N. Saunier. Investigating Cyclist-Pedestrian Interactions and Cyclist & Pedestrian Behavior using a Novel Distance- Velocity Model, submitted to Transportation Research Part F, 2017 (SSCI) Journal Article

43/44 Thank you! Questions or comments? ting.fu@mail.mcgill.ca