March, 8 Gulfstream Park 866.88XPRESS (866.889.)
Meet the Xpressbet Fountain of Youth Contenders By Dustin Fabian, Xpressbet.com : It s time for last year s TwoYearOld Champion,, to start getting serious about the Kentucky Derby. Following his victory in last November s Breeders Cup Juvenile, was given seven weeks of R&R in Ocala before getting back to the worktab in late January. And while his 9day layoff may not be viewed as an ideal way of coming into this race, he has a pair of champions in his corner trainer Chad Brown and jockey Jose Ortiz were recognized as the best at their craft at this year s Eclipse Awards. : One of two Grade winners in the field (the other being Good Magic), enters the Xpressbet Fountain of Youth off a solid runnerup performance in Gulfstream s Grade Holy Bull on February. Despite being beaten 5 ½lengths, showed a new dimension in the Holy Bull, sitting closer to the pace than ever before. The new tactics paid off, as he finished nearly 8lengths clear of the thirdplace finisher. His sire, Union Rags, won the edition of this race. : Can immense talent overcome inexperience? We ll find out Saturday. The knocks against are obvious. He s only run twice and Saturday will be the first time he races around two turns or beyond furlongs. On raw talent alone, though, he s as good as it gets. He won the Grade Swale on February with ease and Gulfstream s top rider, Luis Saez, bypassed the opportunity to ride in this race to stick with. : As a yearling, sold at auction for $ million. And, as you can imagine, such a large sales price is a lot of hype to live up to. The jury is still out on. He broke his maiden by 5 ½lengths at Aqueduct in December and was a decent third, beaten just ½lengths, in the Grade Withers on February. He continues to improve and may find the South Florida weather to his liking. A win would give trainer Todd Pletcher a record fourth Xpressbet Fountain of Youth victory. : One of the most visually impressive winners of the Gulfstream Championship Meet, broke his maiden by ½lengths on February. Such a large win margin is enough to pique any horseplayer s interest, and the way he did it was visually impressive. This is a gigantic step in class, but with More Than Ready and Smart Strike in his immediate pedigree, he should be able to handle today s extra distance..
Xpressbet Fountain of Youth Expert Picks Alfredo Alfonzo Millie Ball Jason Blewitt Zoe Cadman Gulfstream Park Gulfstream Park @videohipico @camillayakteen @jasonblewitt @zoecadman Promises Fulfilled Johnny D Megan Devine Dustin Fabian Jeremy Plonk Xpressbet Santa Anita Park Xpressbet Xpressbet @XBJohnnyD @missmegandevine @Xpressbet @HorsePlayerNow Stan Salter Jeff Siegel Aaron Vercruysse Anthony Stabile Maryland Jockey Club Xpressbet Radio on HRRN @MDHorseRadio @jsiegelracing @LongshotAaronV @TheBigAStabile Free Drop Billly
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Fountain of Youth Stats and Trends AllTime Xpressbet Fountain of Youth Record Today s Trainers Post Trainer Horse Starts Win Place Show Win ROI AVG Odds 5 6 8 9 Mark Casse Dale Romans Reade Baker Mark Hennig Dale Romans Chad Brown Ian Wilkes Todd Pletcher Anthony Quartarolo Dale Romans Peppered Promises Fulfilled $. $. $. $. $. $. $. $.6 $.6./.56/./ 9.5/.56/././.6/.56/ AllTime Xpressbet Fountain of Youth Record Today s Jockeys Post Jockey Horse Starts Win Place Show Win ROI AVG Odds 5 6 8 9 Tyler Gaffalione Robby Albarado Nik Juarez Luis Saez Joel Rosario Jose Ortiz Chris Landeros Javier Castellano Albin Jimenez Irad Ortiz Jr. Peppered Promises Fulfilled $5.95 $. $. $.9 $. 5.9/.65/.5/ 8./ 5.65/ Winning Xpressbet Fountain of Youth Post Positions Since 99 Post 5 6 8 9 Starters 8 8 8 8 5 9 6 Winners 5 5
Xpressbet Fountain of Youth $, Grade Race (Post Time: 6:9PM ET) YO, /6 Miles (Dirt) Post Time: : PM ET YO+, Fillies & Mares / Miles Turf Rekindling the Magic Analysis: We ve compiled a dozen of the sport s best and brightest handicappers in an effort to pinpoint the best way to bet the Xpressbet Fountain of Youth Stakes. And despite different approaches, backgrounds and techniques, the majority of our team landed on GOOD MAGIC as their Xpressbet Fountain of Youth pick. But how can you make money betting such a lowpriced favorite? It s all about picking the right horses underneath. Let s take a look. Main Contenders: As expected, GOOD MAGIC was selected as the top pick by nine of our handicappers, meaning Team Xpressbet thinks it ll be a major upset if anyone else hits the wire first. Despite being off the last four months, last year s G Breeders Cup Juvenile winner seems poised to pick up where he left off in November. He s been working well, drew perfectly and should get a cozy stalking trip from just behind the speed. Two of our handicappers opted for FREE DROP BILLY. Maybe they saw some stats in the right pane that don t necessarily favor GOOD MAGIC? BILLY ran a solid race in the G Holy Bull on February and won the G Breeders Futurity at Keeneland last October. He should benefit from an inside draw and expected fast pace. Unfortunately for him, top Gulfstream rider, Luis Saez, opted to ride STRIKE POWER instead. STRIKE POWER is for and won the G Swale last out. This will be his first try around twoturns, which will test the limits of this speedy son of Speightstown. Stamina won t be an issue for Todd Pletcher s MARCONI. In fact, he s never run in a race this short. His issue is speed and he ll simply need to run much faster than ever before if he s going to spring an upset. Value Plays: Recentmaiden breaker, HE TAKES CHARGE, caught the eye of several of our handicappers. He broke his maiden impressively here on February and he comes from a strong family. His dam, Elarose, is a half sister to Grade winners Will Take Charge and Take Charge Indy. He figures to get a fast pace to close into and at / on the morning line, he s the type of horse that deserves to be part of your Trifecta, Superfecta or Super Hi5. $ Wagering Strategy: $5 Trifecta Key: GOOD MAGIC over FREE DROP BILLY, MARCONI, HE TAKES CHARGE, STRIKE POWER ($6) $ Exacta: GOOD MAGIC over FREE DROP BILLY ($) $ Exacta: FREE DROP BILLY over GOOD MAGIC ($) Stats & Trends Last 5 Fountain of Youth Winners: Year Horse Jockey Gunnevera J. Castellano 6 Mohaymen J. Alvarado 5 Itsaknockout* L. Saez Wildcat Red L. Saez Orb J. Velazquez *Via Disqualification Fountain of Youth Snapshot: (Since 99) Stakes Record (8.5F): :. (Sensitive Prince, 98) Largest Win Margin (8.5F): 8 / (Eskendereya, & Spectacular Bid, 99) Winning Favorites: (9%) WiretoWire Winners: (5%) Average Win Odds: 9./ Average Exacta ($): $9.9 Average Trifecta ($): $.9? Know This Don t Crown Him Yet : Betting against? Recent history is on your side. Subeven money favorites are just for5 in the Fountain of Youth since, with Violence (.6/) and Nobiz Like Showbiz (.6/) among those defeated at short odds. No Need for Speed: Despite a reputation of being a speed favoring track, the last three editions of the Fountain of Youth were won from off the pace. Last year s winner, Gunnevera, closed from last, as many as lengths off the pace. Home Field Advantage: Since 996, 8of Fountain of Youth winners had previously raced that year at Gulfstream Park. Additionally, just of winners were making their seasonal debut in the race. Our Picks. GOOD MAGIC. FREE DROP BILLY. MARCONI. STRIKE POWER
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