Appendix G Coastal Demographic and Economic Trends Additional Figures

Appendix G Coastal Demographic and Economic Trends Additional Figures

Figure 1. Unemployment Rate in 1970-2004 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Percent of Labor Force U.S. Oregon Clatsop Tillamook Lincoln Coos Curry 18.0 16.0 U.S. Oregon Coast 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Percent of Labor Force Notes: 1. Coastal counties are Clatsop, Tillamook, Lincoln, Coos, and Curry. 2. Data years up to 1994 are from the Oregon Employment Department, and 1995 to present are from the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). BLS data is seasonally adjusted through data year 1999 for counties, and 2004 for Oregon and U.S. The Research Group Corvallis, Oregon

Figure 2. Fishing Industry 2003 Total Personal Income by Species Salmon 16.3 6% Distant Water 79.9 27% D. Crab 67.7 23% Fish Meal 2.0 1% Other 39.7 14% P. Whiting 18.5 7% P. Shrimp 13.1 5% Tuna 13.1 5% Groundfish 33.5 12% Salmon Crab Shrimp Tuna Groundfish Whiting Other Fish Meal Dist Water Clatsop 100.2 Tillamook 7.2 Lincoln 94.1 Coos 33.4 Curry 12.8 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 Total Personal Income (Millions) Notes: 1. Numbers for total personal income in millions of dollars.

Figure 3. 2004 landing weights of commercially caught Black and Blue rockfish. Includes all gears and fisheries. Brookings, 35,047 Astoria, 2,397 Garibaldi, 47,598 Gold Beach, 47,538 Pacific City, 40,421 Newport, 10,069 Coos Bay, 1,490 Port Orford, 89,180 Figure 4. 2004 landing weights of commercially caught other nearshore rockfish. Weight excludes Black and Blue rockfish; includes all gears and fisheries. Gold Beach, 8,126 Brookings, 2,248 Astoria, 1,764 Garibaldi, 202 Pacific City, 212 Newport, 48 Coos Bay, 466 Port Orford, 13,951

Figure 5. 2004 landing weights of commercially caught greenling. Includes all gears and fisheries. Gold Beach, 19,011 Brookings, 3,479 Garibaldi, 407 Pacific City, 166 Newport, 14 Port Orford, 28,254 Figure 6. 2004 landing weights of commercially caught cabezon. Includes all gears and fisheries. Gold Beach, 14,911 Brookings, 11,475 Garibaldi, 6,823 Pacific City, 604 Newport, 73 Coos Bay, 30 Port Orford, 27,189

Figure 7. Coastal Counties Tourism Employment in 1976-2003 12,000 10,000 Accomodations Eat&Drink Employment 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Notes: 1. Coastal counties are Clatsop, Tillamook, Lincoln, Coos, and Curry. 2. Includes employment from SIC 70 (hotels and other lodging places) and SIC 58 (eating and drinking places) from 1976 to 2000, then NAICS 721 (accommodation) and NAICS 722 (food services and drinking places) from 2001 to present. Source: Oregon Employment Department. The Research Group Corvallis, Oregon

Figure 8. Tourism Industry 2003 Total Personal Income by Purchase Sector Srvc. Stn., Auto Parts 25.5 9% Hotels and Lodging Places 85.5 31% Tourism Related Retail 68.4 25% Eating/Drinking Places 76.4 28% State and Federal Parks 7.3 3% Amusement and Recreation 8.5 3% Hotels/Lodging Parks Amuse./Rec Eat/Drink Tourism Retail Srvc. Stn., Auto Clatsop 74.8 Tillamook 23.5 Lincoln 89.9 Coos 59.3 Curry 24.0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Total Personal Income (Millions) Notes: 1. Numbers for total personal income in millions of dollars.

Figure 9. Coastal Counties Timber Sold for Harvest in 1962-2003 2,500 Millions of Board Feet 2,000 1,500 1,000 Public & Tribal Industry Percent Change 10 Year Averages Ending 1975 and 2003: -48% 500 0 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Figure 10. Coastal Counties Lumber and Wood Products Employment in 1976-2004 12,000 Coast Oregon 90,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Percent Change 1976 and 2004 Oregon: -58% Coast: -75% 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Notes: 1. Coastal counties are Clatsop, Tillamook, Lincoln, Coos, and Curry. 2. Lumber and wood products employment is SIC 24. Years 2002 to present use NAICS code. The Research Group Corvallis, Oregon

Figure 11. Other Identified Industries 2003 Total Personal Income Other identifiable State and federal govt. 57.2 21% Paper and paperboard mills 101.7 38% Boat and ship building 52.6 19% Water transportation and marine cargo 59.6 22% Paper/paperboard mills Water transp./cargo Boat/ship build. Other identifiable govt. Clatsop 99.2 Tillamook 0.9 Lincoln 79.8 Coos 60.2 Curry 30.9 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Total Personal Income (Millions) Notes: 1. Numbers for total personal income in millions of dollars.

Table 1 Sources of Total Personal Income for Identified Sectors in 2003 U.S. Oregon Clatsop Tillamook Lincoln Coos Curry Income % Income % Income % Income % Income % Income % Income % Total Personal Income 9,343.5 100% 104,564.9 100% 948.1 100% 635.9 100% 1,221.2 100% 1,571.4 100% 536.7 100% Net Earnings 6,473.7 69% 69,246.4 66% 575.4 61% 355.3 56% 658.1 54% 827.3 53% 222.8 42% Fishing; also 90.2 10% 6.2 1% 55.7 5% 32.0 2% 12.3 2% Distant Water and Fish Meal 12.1 1% 1.2 0% 40.4 3% 2.1 0% 0.7 0% Aquaculture 0.0 0% 0.4 0% 0.4 0% 1.2 0% 0.0 0% Agriculture 6.2 1% 83.0 13% 2.3 0% 20.2 1% 7.8 1% Timber 108.6 11% 76.4 12% 61.3 5% 151.2 10% 41.4 8% Tourism 76.3 8% 24.0 4% 91.8 8% 60.6 4% 24.5 5% Other Earnings Paper 42.2 4% 0.0 0% 61.6 5% 0.0 0% 0.0 0% Marine Transportation and Cargo 7.5 1% 0.0 0% 0.7 0% 52.0 3% 0.6 0% Boat Building 44.6 5% 0.0 0% 0.8 0% 8.2 1% 0.1 0% Special Education and Military 7.0 1% 1.0 0% 18.2 1% 1.3 0% 30.9 6% Other 180.7 19% 163.1 26% 324.6 27% 498.6 32% 104.5 19% Investments 1,506.4 16% 19,024.5 18% 192.2 20% 136.8 22% 280.3 23% 342.7 22% 158.6 30% Transfers 1,363.3 15% 16,294.0 16% 180.4 19% 143.8 23% 282.8 23% 401.4 26% 155.3 29% Total Employment 127,795,827 1,563,725 15,396 8,038 16,589 22,299 6,461 Unemployment Rate 6.0 8.1 7.0 6.6 8.6 8.7 7.2 Per Capita Personal Income 32,131 29,336 26,342 25,738 27,231 24,891 24,736 Population 290,788,976 3,564,330 35,993 24,705 44,846 63,130 21,697 Notes: 1. Personal income in millions of 2004 dollars for counties and Oregon, and billions of 2004 dollars for U.S. 2. Personal income generated by identified sectors includes direct as well as indirect and induced income. The economic sectors dependent upon the identified sectors, such as retail and service businesses, are included in the identified sectors. This means the "multiplier effect" is included. 3. Investment and transfer personal income is only direct income, although research shows that the multiplier effect is approximately one for both of these sectors. 4. Population is from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis estimates. 5. Total employment includes covered payroll. Source: Study, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, and Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Table 2 Oregon Study Areas Commercial Fishing and Aquaculture Volume, Value, and Economic Contribution in 2003 Clatsop County Tillamook County Lincoln County Coos County Curry County Landings Pounds Value Pounds Value Pounds Value Pounds Value Pounds Value (000's) ($000's) (000's) ($000's) (000's) ($000's) (000's) ($000's) (000's) ($000's) Salmon 2,780 2,059 294 457 1,862 3,114 1,558 2,799 163 357 Crab 7,731 12,032 1,176 1,860 6,540 10,033 4,549 7,081 3,485 5,394 Shrimp, pink 5,667 1,351 2,477 628 6,067 1,509 5,818 1,416 518 147 Tuna 1,757 1,152 243 208 4,977 3,257 2,007 1,388 141 121 Groundfish 10,131 5,836 236 218 5,813 4,341 6,845 4,663 2,721 2,514 Pacific whiting 32,008 1,443 0 0 44,187 1,997 4,454 202 0 0 Other 56,817 3,711 215 139 587 543 941 484 107 72 Total Landed Fish 116,891 27,585 4,641 3,510 70,032 24,793 26,173 18,033 7,135 8,605 Fish Meal 39,476 0 34,999 0 0 Distant Water 7,823 801 26,803 1,414 483 Landed and Distant 156,367 35,408 4,641 4,311 105,032 51,596 26,173 19,448 7,135 9,088 Shellfish 0 0 114 457 142 569 350 1,400 0 0 Total Personal Income Income Income Income Income Income Per Round Income Per Round Income Per Round Income Per Round Income Per Round Income Price Pound ($000's) Price Pound ($000's) Price Pound ($000's) Price Pound ($000's) Price Pound ($000's) Salmon 0.74 1.67 4,643 1.55 2.55 749 1.67 2.91 5,418 1.80 2.65 4,131 2.18 3.02 493 Crab 1.56 2.90 22,381 1.58 2.56 3,009 1.53 2.95 19,289 1.56 2.43 11,074 1.55 2.17 7,563 Shrimp, pink 0.24 0.61 3,438 0.25 0.54 1,336 0.25 0.64 3,890 0.24 0.66 3,834 0.28 0.38 197 Tuna 0.66 1.51 2,653 0.86 1.31 318 0.65 1.44 7,149 0.69 1.04 2,091 0.86 1.01 142 Groundfish 0.58 1.18 11,947 0.92 1.45 341 0.75 1.42 8,232 0.68 1.11 7,626 0.92 1.32 3,592 Pacific whiting 0.05 0.20 6,475 -- -- 0 0.05 0.21 9,490 0.05 0.34 1,527 -- -- 0 Other 0.07 0.65 36,803 0.65 1.28 276 0.93 1.87 1,096 0.51 1.08 1,016 0.67 0.89 96 Total Landed Fish 88,340 6,028 54,564 31,299 12,083 Fish Meal 964 0 621 0 0 Distant Water 10,908 1,153 38,963 2,083 706 Landed and Distant 100,212 7,181 94,148 33,382 12,788 Shellfish -- 0 4.00 3.33 380 4.00 2.95 419 4.00 3.35 1,171 -- 0 Note: 1. Price and value at ex-vessel level, and in the case of shellfish at ex-farm gate level. The Oregon Department of Agriculture reports the oyster value at the ex-processor level. 2. Economic contribution measured by total personal income generated from these marine resources and includes direct income as well as indirect and induced income. This means economic contribution includes the "multiplier effect." Source: Study.