The Role of the Wind-Evaporation-Sea Surface Temperature (WES) Feedback in Tropical Climate Variability

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The Role of the Wind-Evaporation-Sea Surface Temperature (WES) Feedback in Tropical Climate Variability R. Saravanan Depart ment of At mospheric Sciences, Texas A&M University, College Station Collaborators: S. Mahajan, P. Chang

Wind Evaporation SST (WES) Feedback L + T + Equator SST + WIND EVAPORATION H - T - Positive Feedback

Role of WES Feedback The WES feedback is featured in several hypotheses to explain the tropical mean climate and variability Asymmetric ITCZ about the equator (Xie, 2004) Westward seasonal propagation of equatorial SST anomalies (Xie, 1994) Tropical Atlantic variability ( Atlantic dipole ) (Chang et al., 1997) Equatorward propagation of high-latitude cooling (Chiang and Bitz, 2005)

In previous studies, the role of the WES feedback has usually been inferred from statistical analysis or using simple analytical models. Our approach: direct mechanistic tests

Mechanistic Experiments CCM3-SOM: T42 Spectral Resolution (2.8 x 2.8) 18 vertical levels SOM: spatially varying mixed layer depth but constant in time Prescribed sea-ice Q-flux adjustment + WIND SST EVAPORATION Control Run + WIND SST EVAPORATION WES off Run

Experimental Set-up Heat Flux Bulk Formulations: LH Flux = u*(q s - q*)b SH Flux = u*(t s -T*)D u* = reference height w ind speed q* = specific humidit y at reference height = specific humidity at surface q s T* = Temperat ure at reference height T s = Temperature at surface SST + WIND EVAPORATION B, D: Bulk Coefficient s WES off: Prescribe u* while computing Fluxes

Experimental Set-up Experiment Set 1: To understand the variability associated w ith WES feedback Control Run: 80 years WES-off-SOM Run: 80 years Experiment Set 2: To study the Equatorial Annual Cycle WES-off-N oan N Run: 40 years u* prescribed as annual mean, no seasonal cycle

WES Feedback and SST Variability Spring Season % Change in SST variance : Control run - WES off ANN Run (K 2 ) (mm/day) 2 % Change

Tropical Atlantic Variability CCM3-SOM WES-off-SOM

WES Feedback and SST Anomaly Propagation Strong seasonal cycle in the E.Pacific because of shallow mixed layer SST anomalies propagate westward Control Run Longitude SST Anomaly Longitude

Annual Cycle of SST and LHFLX SST Equatorial Pacific (2S-2N) LHFLX 06-19-2008 Control CCSM Run Workshop 2008 WES-off-SOM Run

Equatorward propagation of cold anomalies QuickTime and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture. Chiang and Bitz (2005) Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) sea-ice anomalies Drier and colder higher and mid-latitudes Increased easterlies lead to evaporative cooling WES Feedback: SST front moves southwards and moves ITCZ southw ards Changes in surface temperature and precipitation as compared to a control run.

Experimental Set-up: Tropical Response to High Latitude Cooling Sea-ice extent January: Current conditions Experiment Set 4: Prescribe Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) sea-ice anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere: Control Run: CCM3-SOM- SICE WES-off Run: WES-off-SICE Sea-ice extent January: CCM3-SOM-SICE/ LGM

Surface Temperature Response to High Latitude Cooling Control Case WES-off Case

Tropical Response to High Latitude Cooling Control Case WES-off Case

SUMMARY Even though it is a boundary layer phenomenon, WES feedback can produce non-local (cross-equatorial) atmospheric response to SST anomalies Responsible for a significant portion of tropical Atlantic variability, and a smaller portion of tropical Pacific variability Controls the westward propagation of annual cycle of equatorial SST Plays a role in shifting ITCZ under LGM sea-ice conditions, but less so than originally proposed In addition to surface windspeed, near surface humidity is also a very important factor in controlling tropical variability.

Introduction: WES Feedback Thermodynamic air-sea coupling Weaker than dynamic coupling (Bjerknes feedback) Boundary layer phenomenon Non-local effects

WES Feedback and ITCZ Spring Season Rainfall: Control Run - WES off ANN Run Rainfall (mm/day)

CCM3 Runs: Mean State Spring Season LH Flux: Control Run - WES off ANN Run LH Flux (W/m 2 ) (W/m 2 )

Equatorial Annual Cycle Seasonal Cycle of zonal winds (U) over Equatorial Pacific (2S-2N) for Control Run and the WES-off-Run Control Run WES-off-SOM Run

Equatorial Annual Cycle Seasonal Cycle of SST, q over Equatorial Pacific (2S-2N) for Control Run and the WES-off-Run Control Run WES-off-SOM Run

Atlantic Meridional Mode Coupled Mode Variability: SVD pattern of SST (color) and LHFLX (contours) for Control Run and the WES-off-Run. Regression of surface winds on first PC of SST

1. ITCZ Asym m etry: Introduction: Roles Equatorial Ocean upwelling (Xie and Philander, 1994) North-west alignment of Americas and north-west African bu lge (Philander et al. 1996) Stratus cloud-sst feedback (Philander et al., 1996) WES feedback (Xie, 1996) of WES Feedback Time-Latitude section of SST, winds and precipitation over the eastern Pacific and Atlantic (Source: Xie 2005) Annual Mean Climatological SST and Rainfall (Source: Xie 2005)

Introduction: Roles of the WES Feedback 2. Equatorial Annual Cycle: Westw ard Propagation Ocean Temperature: TOGA-TAO mooring data at the equator and 110 W (Xie, 1994) H H L L Annual Mean Climatology: SST (Reynolds and Smith), precipitation (CMAP) and winds (SODA) (Wang et al., 2004) W + Equatorial Section Schematic + + E

Introduction: Roles of the WES Feedback 3. Atlantic Meridional Mode PC analysis (Ruiz-Barrados et al., 2000) Dipole Mode: Regression of dipole index onto SST for a RGO coupled to an empirical atmospheric model with no dynamic feedback but allowing for thermodynamic feedback (Chang et al., 1997)

Introduction: Roles of the WES Feedback 4. Atlantic response to EN SO Large scale impacts of ENSO on vertical motions (Klein et al., 1999) Correlation between Atlantic SST and Nino3 index in spring (Saravanan and Chang, 2000) Correlation between ENSO index and upper tropospheric humidity, cloud cover (ISCCP) and insolation (ERBE) (Klein et al., 1999)

WES Feedback Traditional Approach: Stand-alone AGCM or OGCM Coupled Model Enhanced variability of the coupled model indicates feedback mechanisms. Our Approach: WES-off-Experiments: CCM3 coupled to a Slab Ocean Model (SOM) Switch off the WES feedback Comparison would reveal its role

WES Variability Change in the variability of Latent Heat Flux, SST for the spring season between a Control Run and the WES-off-Run

WES Variability Change in the variability of Precipitation, Surface Winds for the spring season between a Control Run and the WES-off-Run

WES: Tropical Response to High Latitude Cooling

WES: Tropical Response to High Latitude Cooling

WES: Tropical Response to High Latitude Cooling

WES: Tropical Response to High Latitude Cooling

Experimental Set-up: Experiment Set 3: ENSO Forced EN SO variability over the Atlantic: Artificial 4 year ENSO SST cycle prescribed over Tropical Pacific EOF pattern from observations Multiplied with a cosine function: Time period: 4 years Amplitude: 1 of Nino 3 index EN SO forced control ru n: CCM3-SOM-EN SO EN SO forced WES-off ru n: WES-off-EN SO

WES: Atlantic Response to ENSO ENSO Response: Coupled Mode Variability: SVD pattern of SST (color) and LHFLX (contours) for CCM3-SOM-ENSO and the WES-off-ENSO. Regression of surface winds on first PC of SST

WES: Tropical Response to High Latitude Cooling

WES: Atlantic Response to ENSO Atlantic Response to ENSO: Regression of April-May-June SST(K) and January-Feb- March net surface heat flux (W/m 2 ) on January ENSO index for CCM3-SOM-ENSO

WES: Atlantic Response to ENSO Atlantic Response to ENSO: Partitioning of January-Feb-March net surface heat flux (W/m 2 ) Regression of LHFLX and SHFLX on January ENSO index for CCM3- SOM-ENSO

WES: Atlantic Response to ENSO Partitioning LHFLX: LHFLX = - (u* q) L vap LHFLX = - (u* < q> + <u*> q ) L vap

WES: Atlantic Response to ENSO Role of the WES Feedback: Reduced SST response in the WESoff-SOM run CCM3-SOM-ENSO WES-off-ENSO

WES: Atlantic Response to ENSO Role of the WES Feedback: Amplification of wind response in the presence of WES feedback CCM3-SOM-ENSO WES-off-ENSO

WES: Atlantic Response Role of the WES Feedback: Regression of April-May-June surface specific humidity on the ENSO January index for CCM3-SOM- ENSO and WES-off-ENSO runs. Less cross-equatorial transport of moisture in the absence of WES feedback to ENSO CCM3-SOM-ENSO WES-off-ENSO

WES: Atlantic Response Role of the WES Feedback: ITCZ response to ENSO Regression of April-May-June precipitation on the ENSO January index for CCM3-SOM-ENSO and WES-off-ENSO runs. Subsidence during El-Nino events Northward movement of the ITCZ during El-Nino events only in the presence of WES feedback CCM3-SOM-ENSO WES-off-ENSO