Caribou and North Slope Alaska oil fields: information relevant to ANWR

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Caribou and North Slope Alaska oil fields: information relevant to ANWR Matthew A. Cronin, Ph.D. University of Alaska Fairbanks Palmer Research Center ffmac1@uaf.edu 11 May 2010 The information below reflects my experience and opinions about issues with caribou and Alaska North Slope oil fields. I can back the statements up with scientific papers and data. I included a list of publications below and enclose reprints for your information. I anticipate critical responses from government biologists, environmental groups, and anti-development politicians. This is what happened in 2001 when Secretary of the Interior Gale Norton was accused of twisting science to support President Bush s prodevelopment agenda when she used similar information about caribou and oilfields that I provided her. This was on the front pages of the Washington Post, L.A. Times, and Anchorage Daily News. Anonymous U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service biologists were quoted in the papers accusing the Secretary (their boss) of misusing science. The basis of the criticism was that the information I supplied was from oil industry sponsored studies and publications (even though much of the information was government data). I believe this is an example of a virtual monopoly that government agency biologists hold over the science that gets used by policymakers and given to the public on such issues. Information on North Slope Alaska caribou and oil fields 1. The range of the Central Arctic caribou herd includes the areas that are occupied by the North Slope Alaska oilfields that have already produced billions of barrels of oil and contain trillions of cubic feet of natural gas. 2. The caribou herd increased from about 5,000 animals in 1975 to about 67,000 animals in 2008 when the last census was done (see the table and graph below). The herd increased by about 62,000 animals during the period in which the Prudhoe Bay, Kuparuk, and other oilfields were built and operated. Much of this increase could be due to recruitment of new calves as well as immigration from other Arctic caribou herds, as described in some of my publications. 3. Clearly, the Central Arctic caribou herd has fared well. Of course there may be local impacts, such as caribou staying away from roads when they are calving for a few weeks in June each year (although there are also data showing this is not the case). Changes in habitat use may also occur in response to development. However, during the summer, the caribou frequently use habitats in the oil fields, and will go up on the gravel pads along with drilling equipment, compressors, etc where there are fewer mosquitoes and parasitic flies. The tundra is too wet to build on directly, so gravel is laid to support the structures. There are fewer

insects on the bare gravel than in the tundra vegetation. The caribou also will often congregate in the shade of buildings and pipelines where it is cooler and there are fewer flies. Just as you see back in the eastern states with deer, they probably lose their fear of people and facilities over time. Remember, there is no hunting of caribou in the oilfield areas so they have to adjust to a fairly benign situation compared to many other areas. 4. I think our policy makers, government biologists, and the public should recognize Alaska s North Slope oilfields as a great example of successful multiple-use management, in which both oil production and wildlife management have been achieved. 5. During debates over oil development in ANWR, government biologists and environmental groups have selectively presented information and speculations claiming that the herd has been harmed by the oil fields. Maybe it has, but the herd numbers and documentation of caribou using the oil field areas indicates the impacts have not prevented the herd from growing dramatically. 6. For example, in the graph below you see a decrease in the herd numbers between 1992 and 1995, followed by continued growth. It was concluded by the National Research Council in 2003 that this decline in the herd was due in part to oil field impacts, despite the overall growth of the herd. However, the neighboring Teshekpuk Lake caribou herd also declined at about the same time (see the table and graph below). The Teshekpuk Lake herd has no oil fields in its range so it seems some common ecological factor, not the oil fields affected both herds at the same time. The NRC didn t note the similar dynamics in this adjacent caribou herd. Regardless, many factors affect caribou herds, and inference about causes of changes to herd numbers is usually speculative. 7. I think it s important for the science to be thoroughly presented on these issues and science should not be censored for political purposes. It is also important to clearly separate science from the policy. We use the science to help us make policy and management decisions, but the science doesn t dictate what we do or don t do. That s what we elect people for in our representative republic. 8. With regard to ANWR (and other areas like northeast NPRA), I think we can manage new oil fields with success similar to that at Prudhoe Bay. With new directional drilling technology, we can situate the drilling and processing equipment to avoid certain areas, and limit particularly loud or distracting activity to times other than the calving season. Ice roads are built to operate in the winter and few caribou are on the coastal plain of ANWR in the winter. 9. I think the ANWR debate is really over keeping the area as pristine wilderness and stopping development, and not about impacts on wildlife. We have shown we can manage wildlife impacts. Let s have an honest debate on these issues, and not manipulate the media and public with speculation about possible harm to

charismatic animals, when the real agenda is wilderness and stopping resource development. I hope the public and Congress get properly informed on these issues. There s a lot of scientific literature on these issues, that is required reading if one is to report on it accurately. See the references below for a partial compilation. Central Arctic Herd numbers since beginning oil field development Number of Census Year caribou in herd 1975 5000 1978 5500 1980 5000 1981 8537 1983 12900 1985 15000 1989 18000 1991 19046 1992 23444 1995 18093 1997 19730 2000 27128 2002 31857 2008 66772

Teshekpuk Lake Caribou Herd numbers 1978-2008 Number of caribou Year in herd 1978 3500 1981 3009 1984 11882 1985 13406 1989 16649 1993 27686 1995 25076 1999 28627 2002 45166 2008 64000

Matthew A. Cronin, Ph.D Research Associate Professor of Animal Genetics University of Alaska Fairbanks Palmer Research Center Partial list of publications on North Slope Alaska caribou, wildlife, and oil fields Caribou Haskell, S. P., and W. B. Ballard. 2008. Annual re-habituation of calving caribou to oilfields in northern Alaska: implications for expanding development. Canadian Journal of Zoology 86:627-637. Haskell, S. P., R. M. Nielson, W. B. Ballard, M. A. Cronin, and T. L. McDonald. 2006. Dynamic responses of calving caribou too oilfields in northern Alaska. Arctic 59:179-190. Noel, L. E., M. K. Butcher, M. A. Cronin, and B. Streever. 2006. Assessment of effects of an Oil Pipeline on Caribou, Rangifer tarandus, Use of Riparian Habitats in Arctic Alaska, 2001-2003. Canadian Field-Naturalist 120:325-330. Noel, L.E., K.R. Parker, and M.A. Cronin. 2006. Response to Joly et al. (2006) A Reevaluation of Caribou Distribution Near an Oilfield Road on Alaska s North Slope. Wildlife Society Bulletin 34:870-873. Noel, L.E., K.R. Parker, and M.A. Cronin. 2004. Caribou distribution near an oilfield road on Alaska s North Slope, 1978-2001. Wildlife Society Bulletin. 32:757-771. Haskell, S. P., and W. B. Ballard. 2004. Factors limiting productivity of the Central Arctic Caribou Herd of Alaska. Rangifer 24(2):71 78. Cronin, M.A., S.P. Haskell, and W.B. Ballard. 2003. The frequency of antlerless female caribou and reindeer in Alaska. Rangifer 23:67-70. Noel, L.E., and J.C. George. 2003. Caribou distribution during calving in the northeast National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska, June 1998 to 2000. Rangifer Special Issue No. 14:283-291. Cronin, M.A., H.A. Whitlaw, and W.B. Ballard. 2001. Addendum. Northern Alaska oil fields and caribou. Wildlife Society Bulletin 29:764. Cronin, M.A., H.A. Whitlaw, and W.B. Ballard. 2000. Northern Alaska oil fields and caribou. Wildlife Society Bulletin 28:919-922. Ballard, W.B., M.A. Cronin, and H.A. Whitlaw. 2000. Caribou and oil fields. Pages 85-104 in J.C. Truett and S.R. Johnson eds. The Natural History of an Arctic oil field, Development and the biota. Academic Press, San Diego and London.

Cronin, M.A., S.C. Amstrup, G.M. Durner, L.E. Noel, and W.B. Ballard. 1998. Caribou distribution relative to oil field infrastructure in the Prudhoe Bay oil field, Alaska. Arctic 51:85-93. Cronin, M.A., W.B. Ballard, J.D. Bryan, B.J. Pierson, and J.D. McKendrick. 1998. Northern Alaska oil fields and caribou: A commentary. Biological Conservation 83:195-208. Noel, L. E., R. H. Pollard, W. B. Ballard, and M. A. Cronin. 1998. Activity and use of active gravel pads and tundra by caribou, Rangifer tarandus granti, within the Prudhoe Bay Oil Field, Alaska. Can. Field-Nat. 112. Cronin, M.A., B.J. Pierson, S.R. Johnson, L.E. Noel, and W.B. Ballard. 1997. Caribou population density in the Prudhoe Bay region of Alaska. The Journal of Wildlife Research 2:59-68. Pollard, R.H., W.B. Ballard, L.E. Noel, and M.A. Cronin. 1996. Summer distribution of caribou in the area of the Prudhoe Bay oil field, Alaska, 1990-1994. Canadian Field-Naturalist. 110:659-674. Pollard, R.H., W.B. Ballard, L.E. Noel, and M.A. Cronin. 1996. Parasitic insect abundance and microclimate of gravel pads and tundra within the Prudhoe Bay oil field, Alaska in relation to use by caribou. Canadian Field-Naturalist. 110:649-658. Bears and carnivores Cronin, M.A., S.C. Amstrup, S. Talbot, K. Sage, and K.S. Amstrup. 2009. Genetic variation, relatedness, and effective population size of polar bears (Ursus maritimus) in the Beaufort Sea, Alaska. The Journal of Heredity 100:681-690. Cronin, M. A., S. C. Amstrup, and K. T. Scribner. 2006. Microsatellite DNA and mitochondrial DNA variation in polar bears in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas, Alaska. Canadian Journal of Zoology 84:655-660. Cronin, M.A., R. Shideler, L. Waits, and R.J. Nelson. 2005. Genetic variation and relatedness in grizzly bears (Ursus arctos) in the Prudhoe Bay region and adjacent areas in northern Alaska. Ursus 16:70-84. Cronin, M.A., D. Paetkau, and R. Shideler. 1999. Genetic relationships of grizzly bears (Ursus arctos) in the Prudhoe Bay region of Alaska: Inference from microsatellite DNA, mitochondrial DNA, and field observations. Journal of Heredity 90:622-628. Schliebe, S.L., T.J. Evans, and M.A. Cronin. 1999. Use of genetics to verify sex of harvested polar bears: Management implications. Wildlife Society Bulletin 27:592-597.

Wiig, O., A. E. Derocher, M. A. Cronin, and J. U. Skaare. 1998. Female pseudohermaphrodite polar bears at Svalbard. The Journal of Wildlife Diseases. 34:792-796. Scribner, K.T., G.W. Garner, S.C. Amstrup, and M.A. Cronin. 1997. Population genetic studies of the polar bear: A summary of available data and interpretation of results. Pages 185-196 in A.E. Dizon, S.J. Chivers, and W.F. Perrin eds. Molecular Genetics of Marine Mammals. Society for Marine Mammalogy Special Publication 3. Amstrup, S.C., G.W. Garner, M.A. Cronin, and J.C. Patton. 1993. Sex identification of polar bears from blood and tissue samples. Canadian Journal of Zoology, 71(11):2174-2177. Cronin, M.A., S.C. Amstrup, G.W. Garner, and E.R. Vyse. 1991. Interspecific and intraspecific mitochondrial DNA variation in North American bears (Ursus). Canadian Journal of Zoology 69:2985-2992. Ballard, W.B., M.A. Cronin, R. Rodrigues, R.O. Skoog, and R.H. Pollard. 2000. Arctic fox, Alopex lagopus, den densities in the Prudhoe Bay oil field, Alaska. Canadian Field-Naturalist 114:453-456. Ballard, W.B., M.A. Cronin, M.D. Robards, and E.H. Follmann. 2000. Body sizes, ages, reproductive status, and sex ratios of Arctic foxes, Alopex lagopus, in the Prudhoe Bay oil field, Alaska. Canadian Field-Naturalist Notes 114:493-494. Ballard, W.B., E.H. Follmann, D.G. Ritter, M.D. Robards, and M.A. Cronin. 2001. Rabies and canine distemper in an arctic fox population in Alaska. Journal of Wildlife Diseases 37(1):133-137 Haskell, S. P. 2006. First record of a river otter, Lontra canadensis, captured on the northern coast of Alaska. Canadian Field-Naturalist 120:235-236.