Winning Ways Sport Stats Plus Winning Ways - Page 1 of 8
Introduction This draft portfolio includes example pages extracted from Sport Stats Plus projects that have been implemented in recent years. Throughout the portfolio, where a specific team has been analysed, the team name has been substituted with Team X to preserve client anonymity. The tables and graphics used throughout provide representations of findings from large samples of raw data, which have been stored in purpose designed databases. Please note that the information used for the graphs in this portfolio is true and accurate, but is taken from different seasons and various samples etc. The content of this pack is therefore for sample use only, and to demonstrate some of the projects that Sport Stats Plus has produced. For each project undertaken, Sport Stats Plus designs a specific data collection and collation system to ensure that all the needs of the client are addressed. Sport Stats Plus Winning Ways - Page 2 of 8
Page Contents 4 Winning the toss in T20 5 Posting a winning total in T20 6 Scoring areas in T20 7 Bowling in T20 8 Other Sport Stats Plus projects Sport Stats Plus Winning Ways - Page 3 of 8
How important is winning the toss in T20? The following table shows the percentage likelihood that each of the 4 scenarios that can occur when a team wins the toss in a T20 match. Electing To: Match Outcome % likelihood Bat Win 24 Bowl Win 17 Bat Lose 37 Bowl Lose 22 This table shows that winning the toss in a T20 match is not significant with regards to the teams success likelihood, and in fact, losing the toss gives a team a 59% chance of winning the match! This could be down to simple explanation that unlike in the longer form of the game sometimes, the toss really is not a major ingredient to a recipe of match success. It could also be because T20 is still a relatively new form of cricket and reading pitches for this short burst game that can be played on used pitches and under lights is not an art yet mastered by most.. The Toss By Ground Ground Matches Bat & Win Bowl & Win Bat & Lose Bowl & Lose (no. of) % % % % Headingley 28 28.6 25.0 32.1 14.3 Chester-Le-Street 26 30.8 15.4 23.1 30.8 Old Trafford 32 31.3 12.5 34.4 21.9 Trent Bridge 34 23.6 23.6 35.3 17.6 Derby (County Gr) 23 8.7 34.8 43.5 13.0 Grace Road 30 33.3 13.3 33.3 20.0 Sport Stats Plus Winning Ways - Page 4 of 8
Posting a winning total in T20? The following graph shows the average run rate throughout the 20 overs of winning teams against losing teams when they are batting first and posting a total. The graph above shows that winning teams generally demonstrate more consistent scoring patterns throughout the innings. The first few overs are perhaps the most differentiated, indicating that successful teams do use the powerplay overs better with regards to setting a platform for a healthy run rate throughout the innings. The table below shows the number of dot balls faced, and singles, 4s and 6s scored by teams batting in the first innings: Winning Losing Team Teams Dot Balls 34 46 Singles 55 49 4s 17 9 6s 6 3 This table shows that successful teams batting first score almost double the number of 4s compared to losing teams. Winning teams also face over 12 fewer dot balls, giving them an extra 2 overs of scoring opportunities. Sport Stats Plus Winning Ways - Page 5 of 8
Scoring areas when posting a winning total in T20? The following diagrams show the percentage of runs scored off the bat in the 6 areas of the pitch in the first innings. The two diagrams compare winning teams with losing teams. Winning Teams Losing Teams The diagrams above show that winning teams tend to score more runs down the ground and through fine leg, whereas teams that post an unsuccessful total score a higher percentage of total runs square of the wicket. Sport Stats Plus Winning Ways - Page 6 of 8
Bowling Overview in T20 The following tables gives an overview of the bowling figures for all winning teams, all losing teams in domestic T20 cricket. A further breakdown for a specific team is detailed in the bracketed numbers. (Team X) All Teams (Team X) Winning Teams Balls Runs Wickets Economy Average Seam 3888 (351) 5057 (460) 228 (23) 7.80 (7.80) 22.18 (20.00) Spin 2136 (298) 2522 (374) 125 (18) 7.08 (7.48) 20.18 (20.78) Losing Teams Seam 3628 (604) 5393 (987) 134 (18) 8.92 (9.77) 40.25 (54.83) Spin 2142 (445) 2974 (548) 84 (20) 8.33 (7.40) 35.40 (27.40) The table above suggests that when the bowling attack as a whole is conceding less than 8 runs per over, the team usually win the match. Economy is usually the figure of interest in T20, however there is a huge difference in the bowling average of the seamers between winning and losing teams. With teams winning matches, their seam bowlers pick up wickets every 22 runs averagely; in contrast, quick bowlers in losing sides have an average of over 40. For Team X, they tend to lose a match based on a huge under performance from their seam attack, with an economy of nearly 10 runs per over from the pace bowling and a staggering average of 55. When bowlers in Team X pick up wickets every 20 runs, they are more likely to win the match. Sport Stats Plus Winning Ways - Page 7 of 8
Other Projects that have been successfully undertaken Data analysis of individual players Data analysis by grounds Data analysis by teams/oppositions County Championship - How long should a team bat for in the first innings? Number of deliveries faced by each batting number in limited over cricket Building an over breakdown of each of the 6 deliveries in an over How to approach chasing a target in limited-over cricket Data analysis on the pace of deliveries by bowlers The effect on a player of playing different formats of the game within a few days Analysis/quantifying of fielding performance by individual players Sport Stats Plus Winning Ways - Page 8 of 8