Martin J Silverthorne The Chaos Controlled Betting System! A Powerful New Way to Use Chaos Theory to Beat the Casinos! Silverthorne Publications, Inc.
A Powerful New Way to Use Chaos Theory to Beat the Casinos! By Martin J Silverthorne COPYRIGHT 2016 Silverthorne Publications, Inc. All rights reserved. Except for brief passages used in legitimate reviews, no parts of this book may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, without the written permission of the publisher. Address all inquiries to the publisher: Silverthorne Publications, Inc. 848 N. Rainbow Blvd., Suite 601 Las Vegas, Nevada 89107 United States of America The material contained in this book is intended to inform and educate the reader and in no way represents an inducement to gamble legally or illegally. This publication is designed to provide an independent viewpoint and analysis of the subject matter. The publisher and the author disclaim all legal responsibility for any personal loss or liability caused by the use of any of the information contained herein. Questions about this publication may be addressed to: orders@silverthornepublications.com Published in the United States of America 2
Table of Contents Introduction 4 The Player s Edge 34 Betting Strategies 37 Betting Progressions 47 Even Money Bets 58 The CCPR Bet Selection System 60 The CCBS Bet Sizing System 66 PPB Betting 72 Bankroll Requirements and Setting and Using Profit Goals 79 Sample Games 81 Special Rules for Blackjack Play 90 Chaos Controlled Betting s Performance Against the Casinos 93 Skilful Play 99 Discipline and Control 106 Getting Casino Comps 118 Casino Etiquette 128 Keeping Records 131 Summary of the Chaos Controlled Betting System 135 Winning With the Chaos Controlled Betting System 141 Chaos Controlled Betting System Player Cards 144 Chaos Controlled Betting System Tracking Forms 147 3
Introduction Have You Heard of Chaos Theory? It Was Featured in Jurassic Park As the Reason Why Newly Created Dinosaurs Didn t Play By the Rules! Now This Evolving Scientific Discipline Has Been Used to Develop an Amazing New Way of Beating the Casinos! Chaos Controlled Betting Overturns All Previous Theories About the House Edge at Gambling! By Exploiting The Theory of Predictable Patterns Within Chaotic Numbers, Chaos Controlled Betting Soundly Beats the Game of Roulette! And, breakthroughs in Blackjack, Baccarat, Mini-Baccarat and Craps are just around the corner! $48 Is All That Is Needed to Get Started Using Chaos Controlled Betting. Five-Dollar Bettors Are Winning $747 An Hour. Moreover, The Sky Is The Limit With Chaos Controlled Betting! This is the First Release of the System That Overturns the House Edge at Gambling! There is now a new way of betting. Using a little known and quickly evolving new branch of science, the Chaos Controlled Betting System is the most advanced form of betting ever created for casino players. 4
It is based on patterns that occur in every casino game. As the professor who developed this system told me, Patterns exist. Patterns can be discovered. And, once they are discovered they can be exploited. Orderly disorder exits. If you are not quite sure what this statement means, just hang on. You are about to open a door to a new opportunity that few will ever experience. You are invited to become one of a handful of players worldwide who will be given the chance to learn and profit from Chaos Controlled Betting the betting system that overcomes the house edge! The Power of Exploiting Orderly Disorder. is a scientifically based new way of betting based on discovering predictable patterns within chaotic numbers that may seem random. It has been applied to the game of roulette with stunning results It discovers patterns and then uses this knowledge to overcome the house edge in roulette. Once the house edge is overcome, the game rules change as the game becomes a player favorable game that throws off high profits to the player! Because it gains an advantage over the casinos, it is possible to win with a very small bankroll. For example, all that is needed to win at online roulette is $48! By discovering and exploiting patterns, it is able to win at a very high rate. Our studies have shown that the Chaos Controlled Betting System returns $3.74 in winnings per hour for every dollar invested! We have developed a highly simplified version of this system that can be played without using a computer, tracking spins, counting decisions or any of the tedious stuff normally associated with math-based systems! 5
Normally systems as high-powered as Chaos Controlled Betting are extremely difficult to use. However, we have set up a simple, high-powered system where you can win without using a computer, without recording decisions, and in such a relaxed manner that no one will know that you are using pattern recognition to destroy the casino s edge! Patterns exist. Patterns can be discovered. And, once they are discovered they can be exploited. Orderly disorder exits. I Got Interested In Chaos Theory As a New Method of Generating High Profits Trading the Stock Market! I got introduced to chaos theory through my research into stock trading systems. Professor S. developed a chaos theory based stock trading system that had a very high success rate. Using this system, over 86% of all trades were profitable and the losses were kept very small. I started corresponding with the professor and exchanging ideas with him. I asked him if he thought his trading theory could be adapted to finding playable patterns in roulette. Even though the odds in roulette are fixed over the long-term, the patterns of decisions vary widely in short-term periods. Some research has been done on playing single numbers in roulette based on hit frequency. I wanted to see if the Professor could apply this same reasoning to even-money bets. My thinking was that if we could find a way to use some of the techniques used for predicting stock trends to roulette patterns, that we might be able to come up with a powerful way to win at roulette! I explained to the Professor the similarity of tracking spins and finding a qualified chaotic pattern with forecasting stock market trends. 6
After I explained what I wanted, he started nodding his head. In either case we are just dealing with strings of numbers looking for patterns. And trying to find order in the disorder, I smiled. Right. We find order in the disorder. Now what do you want me to do. I explained my ideas about tracking the outcomes of even money bets in roulette and applying chaos theory to give us better predictions of where to bet. But Isn t Roulette a Purely Random Game? One of the Professor s first concerns was whether roulette was purely a random game. I explained why studies had shown that it was really a chaotic system. A chaotic system seems random if you do not recognize it as chaotic. To understand the difference, take a look at a ball bouncing straight up and down against the ground. If you wanted to find out how high this ball might bounce when dropped from a certain height, you would have to know the strength of gravity and the time elapsed and then plug these numbers into a physics equation to find the answer. I argued that since a bouncing roulette ball is subject to the same laws of physics as a dropped ball, its outcomes are not random. Another way to say this is that if you inputted enough data, you could predict the outcome of each roulette spin. Lasers have been used in real casinos to approximate the outcome of spins. At this point he was puzzled. We don t deal with bouncing balls here. We just deal with finding order in disorderly sets of data. Hear me out. A roulette ball bounces and then lands at a certain point at a certain time. It didn t just happen. Several things had to happen at once before that event occurred. Every small event causes a series of chain reactions that produce other events, which produce other events and so on. 7
While the cause in this example is a physical one of a ball dropping into a slot, it could just as well be a random number generated outcome. Once we know the outcome of a certain number of spins, we know that chaotic patterns will be formed that favor one outcome over another for the short-term. So, the professor replied, You want to deal with the actual outcomes such as a number or a color at roulette. Precisely. The outcomes reflect the results of balls bouncing or outcomes being determined by algorithms. Instead of looking at the bouncing balls, we will look at the results of spins and then look for a pattern. Ah. Now I understand. We will be looking at patterns for predictability based on chaosbased patterns. And, we will keep it short-term. Yes, very short term. We only need to predict the outcome of one bet Our next one! When the cause of an event is a ball dropping into a slot, or even an event simulated by a computer, it can be a chaotic pattern which is discoverable. The Problem of Recognizing Patterns in Roulette The professor s computer-based chaos analysis of roulette decisions quickly came up with a solution for predicting the next roulette decision. The professor showed me how it worked. We need at least ten roulette decisions to determine the effect of chaos, but twenty or thirty is better. 8
I looked at the results of his application of chaos-based prediction on roulette decisions. He was hitting slightly better than 53% accuracy which meant that his approach would overcome the house average of 49.64% for even-money bets on single-zero wheels. Note: European roulette wheels have 37 numbers, consisting of 36 even-money bets of red-black, odd-even and high-low, plus one zero. The odds of any even-money bet winning is 18/37 = 49.64%. Any system which produces a higher hit rate gains on the house and any system which wins more than 50% of all decisions gains an edge over the house! I posed a problem for him. Is there any way you can shorten the number of inputs to a much smaller number? Not too many players want to stand there writing down roulette decisions for thirty minutes or so. And, while your approach is accurate, it is just not feasible for online play, where the player must make a bet in order to have a spin and passive observation is impossible. We worked for a while on the problem. I was hoping we could get the observation period down to five decisions or even less. The professor said he had an idea he wanted to try. He told me to check back in a few days. Practical Pattern Recognition For Real World Play! I hadn t heard from the professor in over a week. I had sent him several emails and had gotten no responses. I decided to call him. The professor sounded pretty excited. I think I ve got what you want. Would you like a system which only requires knowledge of one decision and the results of your last three wagers? It sounds good. Maybe I ought to come in so you can show me. 9
I have to admit I was pretty excited when I drove over. I felt like a kid who had been waiting for Christmas to arrive and was just about to start opening his presents. The first thing the professor showed me was a summary of the accuracy of his new simplified approach to predicting the outcome of wagers. His hit rate was 53.8%, even better than he had done with using more data. This looks wonderful. But how can you achieve a better win rate using so little data? Come here. I ll show you. Any system which wins a higher percentage than the house offers the possibility of player advantage play. A Wonderful Solution to the Problem of Predicting Roulette Spins When I walked into the professor s office I could tell he was excited. The first thing he did was to show me his hit rate for predicting the outcome of roulette spins. He had tweaked his system some more and was now winning an unbelievable 54.2% of his predictions. I am impressed. Now show me how you do it. The professor explained that he reduced his input significantly since his first models. We only need to know the last roulette decision, the pattern you were using when you wagered, and the outcome of your last three bets. I weighed this is my mind. The last outcome was easy. Just look and see if red or black showed. The pattern used? He would have to explain that to me. 10
He was talking about wins or losses. Anyone could track this using casino chips or by writing them down. It sounds really good. In fact it looks like a wonderful solution to the problem of predicting roulette spins. But, I am puzzled. How can you reduce the input from twenty or thirty or even more decisions to just the last three spins and actually improve your predictability? He nodded. My thoughts were the same as yours at first. Usually scientists want more data. In this case more data doesn t add to our knowledge. I am still not following you. Have you heard of the gamblers fallacy? Sure, I responded. That s where gamblers expect decisions to even out eventually. If red has shown nine times in a row they will bet on black, expecting that it must show eventually and that it is overdue in fact. That s correct. But, as you know it doesn t work like that with games of chance even when the effect of chaos is figured in. I still don t understand. How can you use a much smaller number of inputs and still improve your success rate? It s because past decisions have no effect on future decisions. However, if we look at a very small number of decisions... Like the last three, I interrupted. Exactly. Like the last three. We have all of the useful information needed to predict the outcome of the next spin with the knowledge of what just happened and a brief history of outcomes. I am still a little confused. Is this the way chaos theory works? 11
He gave me a little history of chaos theory. In 1962, Edward Lorenz discovered some of the effects of chaos while trying to predict the weather. The curve generated by his chaos-based model exhibited a bizarre characteristic. He noticed that two points located very close to each other on his curve would inevitably take widely divergent paths. The Lorenz-Butterfly effect is often presented as an example of chaos: a butterfly flaps his wings in Japan and a tornado later hits Texas. So you are saying that knowing about the butterfly doesn t do you any good at predicting weather elsewhere, like in Texas. It s a little more complex than that. However, with roulette or other games of chance, you can think of the outcome ten decisions ago as the butterfly flapping its wings. Something will happen because the butterfly flew at that place at that time, but it is unpredictable. So the more recent decisions give you more predictability? In a sense yes. We can use a simple model to make very accurate short-term predictions that would be useless for the long-term. I smiled. We only need to predict one decision the next one. And, it looks like you ve got it figured out. One example of chaos theory: A butterfly flaps his wings in Japan and a tornado later hits Texas. 12
The System Wins Betting Flat, But It Was a Little Slow For My Taste. We started testing the professor s highly simplified three-outcome, one-bet model of bet prediction. In addition to the professor s millions of simulations I wanted to add my own testing. I played roulette online using his system. There was no question that it worked. With a $100 bankroll, I could win $7 to $9 an hour making $5 bets. I played enough games online to prove to myself that this was a realistic estimate of the system s potential. I shared my results with the professor. He said, This is wonderful. This shows how effective the bet prediction model is Instead of praising his system I pointed out that it was winning at too slow a rate. He countered with the suggestion that I bet $100 per bet. If you make $100 bets, you will make $140 to $180 an hour. This is very good, yes? I did some quick calculations. I would need a bankroll of $2,000 in order to win an average of about $160 an hour. I pointed this out to him. So there is something wrong with our prediction model? No. There is nothing wrong with the prediction model. I am still amazed that you can beat roulette outright using flat bets Then what is wrong? We have succeeded, is this not true? It s true, but we can do a whole lot better. I explained to him about betting systems. We talked about comparisons of using positive and negative progressions with flat betting. 13
By the time I was finished, he understood what our system needed... Betting systems, based on sound money management principles, can be used to increase the win rate of any winning system. We Develop a Workable Chaos Based Betting System. After I explained the advantages and disadvantages of different betting systems, the professor summarized what he understood. You say that negative progressions win most often but are susceptible to large losses that can wipe out hours of wins. And, the characteristics of positive progressions are such that they will win more during winning streaks but lose most the time when the game is not streaking. It was obvious he understood what we were facing. That s right. And, I have proven that flat betting wins when we can beat the house edge with our ability to predict the next decision, but it wins too slowly. What are we looking for then? I thought for a minute before I answered. He had worked a minor miracle with his system of predicting bet outcomes. Maybe he could do the same for bet sizing. I finally gave him an answer. The best system would combine the good parts of all three systems and eliminate the negative parts. Give me an example here. I phrased my answer carefully. We would want some of the qualities of negative 14
progression s ability to rapidly recover from losses. However, we would want to avoid the downside of losing large amounts when they fail. Yes, and how do we do that? We limit the amount of money used to play. We need a way to win very high amounts using small bankrolls. He took some notes. And, you have more? Yes. Negative progressions aren t the best way to bet when the game is going your way. Since they are basically defensive in nature, they have no way to go on the offense when you are winning. So, how do we correct that? I explained an idea I had. Thirty minutes later we had outlined a rough idea of a betting system. He summarized his understanding. We want to win high amounts using a small bankroll by combining our ability to predict outcomes with a new money management system. I nodded yes. We want to win high amounts using the smallest possible bankroll. Chaos Controlled Betting Turns Our Slow Winning System Into a Screamer! The professor went to work on developing a more powerful way of betting. His objective was to improve the performance of his highly effective Three-Bet Outcome, One-Bet model of bet prediction. 15
He decided early on that the most effective path to success was to determine the size of each bet using a proven money-management system combined with his bet prediction model. He explained it to me this way. With stock trading we use a combination of position sizing and leverage to increase or decrease our profits based on risk. We can use the same approach with roulette betting by looking at the probability of an outcome based on recent wins or losses and then determining the best size of the bet. I couldn t completely follow what he was saying. Do you have to use an equation to figure out how much to bet? Remember, we ultimately want something practical here. No equations. Just a really simple string of numbers. I ll show you. Look at these possible bets. He explained his system to me. Now I understood what he was doing. Seven numbers, adjusted for risk and control, could represent the basic system. Under certain circumstances these numbers could be modified. But, the procedures were really simple. What are your results using this approach? Very high wins with almost no losses. Here, I ll show you. I reviewed his test results for the next thirty minutes. This certainly looked like the real thing. I told him to keep on testing and tweaking. Meanwhile, I wanted a chance to try my approach to testing. A Chaos Controlled Betting System can consist of a simple set of numbers which are matched with chaotic patterns. 16
I Put the Revised System Through the Same Tests As The Earlier Version. This Time I Was Overwhelmed By The Profits! I played roulette online starting with $100 just like I did when I tested the Three-Bet Outcome, One-Bet Model of Bet Prediction. And, just like the first time, I easily won. However, now with the new Chaos-Controlled Betting System I was winning huge amounts. On my first test I bet $5 bets without variation and won from $7 to $9 an hour. Now I started with $5 bets, but, instead of betting the same amount each time, I used the Chaos-Controlled Betting System. I played two hours at the five-dollar betting level. I averaged winning over $842 an hour. Then I decided to refine my testing. Each time I doubled my bankroll I would double the size of my starting bets. I did this for the next hour and won $1,651! For the fourth hour I increased my starting bet to $25. In one more hour of play I pulled in an earthshaking $3,872 in profits. Here s the tally I deposited $100 in an online casino. In four hours play I won $6,365 in net profits. I ordered a withdrawal of $6,000, leaving $365 for my next session. This is irrefutable evidence of the power of adding Chaos-Controlled Betting to the already potent Three- Bet Outcome, One-Bet model of bet prediction! Combined, they pulled in profits at rocket-like speed. And, on top of that, the system was easy to use and lots of fun! 17
In four hours I won $6,365 starting with a $100 deposit. Next Step Chaos Controlled Betting Versus the Real World! I told the professor that the system looked pretty darned good. So, what is next? Do you want me to run a million simulations? That should nail it down. Yes, you should do that. However, playing real games in real casinos is a better testing ground. You think so. Well, do you have ideas about that? I thought long and hard on this. My testers were totally tied up. I thought of a couple of people who might be available. Then I looked at the professor s desk. His in-box was filled with a stack of what looked like exams. An idea hit me. You are still teaching a course, right? Yes. I teach just one course now. I find the interaction with students stimulating. Would you like to attend one of my lectures? Not right now. But, I have an idea. The Professor s Students Prepare to Take Down Roulette! The professor teaches a graduate seminar on applications of Chaos Theory. He decided to recruit nine of his students to test the Chaos Controlled Betting System. 18
I interviewed the students and worked out different assignments. Two students were to play online in with starting bets to range from $1 to $5. Two students would play online with no-limit betting allowed. Two students would play roulette in land-based casinos and limit their starting bets to $5 to $10 bets. Two students would play roulette in brick and mortar casinos with no betting limits. And, one student would serve as a potential replacement for any students who dropped out. This student was also free to play other casino games besides roulette. We put together an instructional manual, and I explained how to play roulette and how to use the Chaos Controlled Betting System. We had two practice sessions and I felt that the students were ready to go. We divided the students into groups with assignments to go out and beat roulette. Life As A Low Bettor Playing With $1 to $5 Bets Online Aaron and Nick were the two testers assigned to play roulette online and told to limit the size of their bets. They each started with $48, the amount needed to make $1 bets. After playing roulette online for two weeks, I asked Nick to comment on his experiences. 19
Nick s Story I ve never played roulette before. My gambling experience has been limited to football pools and a little poker. Fortunately, playing roulette using the CC Betting System [Chaos Controlled Betting] is really easy. I used a CC Betting Tracking Form and a CC Betting Player Card and I had no problem using the system. I asked him, What do you think of this system? I really like this system. It has an awesome way of betting the right way at the right time. What about the betting system? What do you think of that? It took me a little longer to get the betting system down. However, the Player Cards make it really easy as they summarize the seven core bets. Once you learn them it is pretty easy to launch into the high-profit betting mode. You ve played two weeks now. Can I see your play record? He handed it over to me and I studied it for a few minutes. You played 38.5 hours online over two weeks. Is that right? Yeah. I kept careful track of my time. I wanted to be sure that his winnings were accurate as well. And, your summary shows you won $19,684. Can you tell me about that? 20
Sure. I started out with $48 making $1 bets. I stayed at this level my first two days and won over $900. You can see it in my summary. I looked and saw that he was up $921 by the end of the second day. Your winnings jumped up much higher on day three and continued that way for the rest of the time you played. What happened? After two days betting low I decided to see what this system could do with higher bets. I moved up to $2 bets next and after one day at this level winning about $800 more, I decided to move up to making $5 bets. Just so we are clear, that was the largest minimum bet you used in this controlled test, right? It was. I would have liked to have moved up to $10 and then $25 bets because of the high profit potential, but I stuck to the rules. Good. And you won $19,684. This completes the test. You are free to use the Chaos Controlled Betting System any way you want. Do you have any ideas? Nick had never played roulette. Yet, with the Chaos Controlled Betting System, he won $19,684 in his first two weeks. Sure do. I am moving up to $10 bets immediately and then right on up to making $25 bets. Just one word of advice. Continue playing just like you have where you keep records of each game. My experience shows you will do better when you keep close tabs on your play. I ll do that. Oh, and, er, thanks. I really appreciate your letting me work with you. 21
My pleasure. Now go out and win a fortune. He slapped the manual in front of him. That s the plan. Ten Days Playing Roulette in Las Vegas Frank and Emma got the plumb assignment ten days playing roulette in Las Vegas. They met with me at my condo and we laid out the plan. They would play separately and log four hours of roulette play a day. Frank would start at the Stratosphere and Emma would begin her play at Planet Hollywood. I picked these casinos because they both offer single-zero roulette and they accept $5 minimum bets. They checked in with me a couple of times but I pretty much left them alone. Since they were a couple I figured they didn t need me to make suggestions on what to do in Las Vegas. I met with them the day after the test was over. I talked to Emma first. How did it go? Did you have a profitable and enjoyable time as a Chaos Controlled Bettor? Oh yes. I not only won but I got lots of comps and more than a few other offers. Frank rolled his eyes. Let me see your records, Emma. I looked over her summary. 22
You played your first week at Planet Hollywood. Did you like it? Oh yes. They are very nice. And I see you didn t do too badly. You worked your way up to $25 betting and cleared $9,689 by the end of the first week. Yes. Then I decided to switch to Paris. I wanted a change for the second week. I looked at her record for the second week. You really went to town your second week. Your record shows that you won $24,974. Tell me about it. At Paris I started making $25 bets and then quickly moved up to $50 and finally $100 bets. I see that you were strictly a $100 bettor on your last day. And, you pulled in $8,579 for the day. That s actually a little low for this level of play. She blushed. I know. I didn t put in my hours. I had a spa comp and I took the afternoon off. I hope that s ok. Sure. I think you deserved a break. I turned to Frank. How did you do? Emma pulled in $8,579 in one day playing in Las Vegas. Frank s Story Frank had moved around a lot as he played. He started playing at the Stratosphere, then moved to Caesars Palace. 23
Next he played at Green Valley Ranch and finished up splitting his time between Caesars and Paris. However, I was more interested in his numbers than where he played. I see you won $14,956 the first week and then pulled in $32,980 the second week. Any comments? Frank won $32,980 his second week using Chaos Controlled Betting. Sure. I got started at the Stratosphere and I won over $4,000. Your record shows you won $4,209 there. Tell me the rest. Well, my approach was much like Emma s. I started low and moved up the size of my starting bets as I won more and more. Where did you end up? By the last day I was making $200 bets at Paris. Did you have any problems with the system or anything else we should be aware of? No real problems. I did lose a couple of games. I lost once the second day and again on the second to last day Were the losses problems? Not really. I gave back a little of my winnings and then quickly recovered and went on to win even more. Now that the test is over what are your plans? 24
I am going back to Green Valley Ranch. I love the atmosphere. And, you might play a little more roulette, right? Yeah. I think I just might. He ended with a wink. I Was Curious. How Long Would It Take a $1 Bettor to Win $1,000 Playing Online? After we finished the testing, I met with a few of the students for a round of drinks. While I was talking to Frank I got an idea. Would you be up for one more round of testing? Sure. You can t beat the pay. [Each of the student testers kept all of their winnings. This kept their level of commitment very high.] Here s what I would like for you to do. I told Frank what I wanted him to do. It was a new test. I wanted to see just how fast a player could turn $48 into $1,000. Frank verified that he understood what I wanted. You want me to start with $48 online and see how long it takes to win $1,000? And, I can t increase the size of my bets as I win. Have I got it? I think so. The purpose of this test is simple. We want to see how long it takes you making $1 bets online to win $1,000. Remember, no bet increase allowed. I ve got it. I ll give you the results later. 25
Frank Wins $1,000 in Just 77 Minutes! I met with Frank the next day. He had followed our plan to the letter. He signed on to an online casino using a $48 bankroll. Then he played European Roulette and kept track of how long it took him to win $1,000. He showed me the results. I see you made it in 77 minutes. And, you played by the rules, right? Sure. I stayed with $1 bets the whole time. Below is Frank s record of his online games to win $1,000. We ran a test to see how long it would take to win $1,000, starting with less than $50. The answer 77 minutes. How Frank Won $1,000 in 77 Minutes Online Making $1 Bets Ref Plays Won Cumulative Win 1 14 +38 $38 2 21 +56 $94 3 16 +39 $133 4 22 +74 $207 5 19-146 $61 6 16 +123 $184 7 24 +81 $265 8 22 +52 +317 9 13 +55 $372 26
Ref Plays Won Cumulative Win 10 12 +45 $417 11 11 +69 $486 12 15 +51 $537 13 14 +38 $575 14 22 +43 $618 15 17 +51 $669 16 17 +65 $734 17 18 +73 $807 18 12 +41 $848 19 25 +44 $892 20 19 +47 $939 21 17 +33 $972 22 17 +43 $1015 383 +1015 This record is pretty easy to follow. It shows that he played 22 games of roulette online using the Chaos Controlled Betting System. He won 21 out of 22 games which is close to our long-term average. All of these games were played using $1 starting bets. What is most impressive is how little bankroll is needed to do what Frank did. All that is needed to win $1,000 in less than a couple of hours is $48! I asked Frank for any comments he had. Sure. Don t try to play the games straight through. I took breaks about every six or seven games. I asked him. How did you track these games? 27
I stuck the Player Card for $1 bets next to the keyboard. And I used the CC Betting Tracking Form to keep track of my bets. Did they work okay? Is there anything we should do to improve the system? Nada. It is just about perfect as it is. Player Cards and Chaos Controlled Bet Tracking Forms made winning super easy! I have one final thing to ask you. We have just finished a manual for the Chaos Controlled Betting System. Will you read it and tell me if we need to make any changes? You bet. It s the least I can do. The Strategy That Can t Be Defeated Many players have had the feeling when they are playing online that the casino learns their betting pattern and then beats them. I have had more than one player tell me that they won at first and then the casino starting beating them. While there is no evidence that this is really taking place, if you believe that it has happened to you then the best cure is to learn Chaos Controlled Betting. With this system there is no fixed betting pattern. If you watched one of our Chaos Bettors playing, you would not be able to figure out the system. Just when you thought you had a handle on it, our player would make the opposite move. 28
Because this system constantly adapts, it can t be defeated by anticipating its plays! This means that even if an online casino were tracking your betting pattern, if you were using the Chaos Betting System they wouldn t discover your pattern. It may sound strange that a system based on uncovering underlying patterns in a game of chance has no patterns of its own. You can think of it this way Since Chaos Controlled Betting is designed to find chaotic patterns that no one else can see, its own betting system resembles chaos and is undetectable! As strange as it may seem, Chaos Controlled Betting creates its own chaotic betting pattern. Huge Returns Off Small Investments! If you have $48 you have enough to set up a powerful income source using the Chaos Controlled Betting System. With this seed money you can get started today making $1 bets in online roulette games. As a $1 bettor, you ll make $149.82 every hour you play roulette online! $600 a day for 4 hour work days! $3,000 a week for 20 hour work weeks! $120,000 a year for working 20 hours a week for 40 weeks a year! 29
If all you ever do with Chaos Controlled Betting is play $1 roulette a few hours a week, you can earn a pretty nice income. If you were interested in buying a business that threw off $120,000 a year in profits that were virtually guaranteed, you might expect to pay $250,000 or more for it! Even dollar bettors pull in big wins with the power of Chaos Controlled Betting Here s what you can expect to make playing roulette online (based on documented winnings from thousands of games). Minimum Bets Average Hourly Net Winnings Game Bankroll $1 $149 $48 $2 $300 $83 $5 $747 $200 $10 $1494 $400 $15 $2241 $600 $20 $2988 $800 $25 $3734 $1000 Most of the players using this strategy will start out small and increase the size of their minimum bets as their winnings grow. For example, as a $1 bettor you will win $600 in your first four hours of play. You could easily move up to making $2 bets. Play another four hours at this level and you would bring in $1,200 in winnings. Then you would move to the next level. 30
Players Using Chaos Controlled Betting Are Winning a Fortune Off the Land-Based Games! I don t want you to get the idea that Chaos Controlled Betting is strictly a system for online roulette. It is deadly in land-based games! Let s assume that you decide to play in a game accepting $5 minimum bets. With Chaos Controlled Betting all you need to play at this level is $200. As a $5 bettor you ll pull in $149 an hour in winnings. We know this because we have played hundreds of games in online casinos, kept careful records and documented average net winnings of $149 an hour for $5 play. Win $747 an hour as a $25 bettor in your favorite casino! While this is not bad, you ll want to increase your bets as soon as your winnings will support this. Here s what you can expect to make playing roulette on single-zero wheels in land-based games: Minimum Bets Average Hourly Net Winnings Game Bankroll $5 $149 $200 $10 $298 $400 $25 $747 $1000 $50 $1494 $2000 $75 $2241 $3000 $100 $2988 $4000 $200 $5975 $8000 $500 $14,943 $20,000 31
Explosive Winnings For Players Using Chaos Controlled Betting! I was in my bank a few days ago and noticed they were offering 1.15% a year for $10,000 Certificates of Deposit. Let s see, if I left $10,000 with them for a year, they would pay me the grand sum of $115. Before you pull out all of the money you have hidden under your mattress and rush to my bank, let me offer you a different deal. Invest $200 in the game of online roulette using Chaos Controlled Betting. You ll pull out $747 an hour! Now, let s compute the return on your investment. Except instead of waiting a year, you ll get this return every hour you play. Ready? Your return per hour will average 373.5% per hour. If you could get 373.5% per year on $10,000 you would earn $37,350 a year on your investment. This is a tremendous return on your investment. If a bank offered this kind of money, they would quickly go broke because it is just not possible to legally pay this kind of interest. However, there is a legal way to earn much more than 373.5% a year. You can make this much every hour you play roulette online using Chaos Controlled Betting! 32
Extensive Testing Proves That Chaos-Based Dynamic Betting Soundly Beats Roulette, Blackjack, Baccarat and Even Craps! Many experts tell you that games of chance can t be beaten. Chaos Theory proves that they are dead wrong! Chaos Based Betting simply outplays the casinos games with its ability to predict the outcomes of bets! Because chaos theory is the best method even developed to exploit pattern recognition it finds patterns in casino games that can be played. Chaos Theory is the premier scientific system for finding order in disorder and when this power is focused on the casino games, they don t have a chance. Our chaos-based betting approach beats the games so soundly that there is no doubt whatsoever that this system is overcoming the house edge at roulette, blackjack, baccarat and craps. We just completed extensive testing of roulette and we are in the process of wrapping up our testing of the other casino games. I can tell you without any qualms at all that this system beats these games cold. 33
The Player s Edge As powerful as the casinos may seem to be, you can walk into a casino knowing that you have an edge over the house. As a successful gambler you have to be able to win more than you lose. What are the tricks you will use to gain an edge over this formidable adversary? Your edge will consist of the following actions: 1. When you are losing, you can quit. 2. When you are winning, you can walk out with the casino's money. 3. You can vary the size of your wagers. 4. You can pick where to play. 5. You can modify your strategy based on table results and conditions. 6. You can use discipline to develop a winning plan and then stick to it. Most players never realize what an advantage these offer. The casino cannot be flexible. It must continue to offer the same games, with the same rules, without the ability to react to changing conditions. The nimble player can weave and dodge and even choose not to play a particular game. Let's elaborate on the player's edge: 1. When you are losing, you can quit. You can always control your losses while the casino must continue to offer its games regardless of the outcomes. I have seen hot baccarat tables where the casino lost over a hundred thousand dollars in less than an hour. All the casinos can do is order in more chips and hope that the hot streak will end. 2. When you are winning, you can walk out with the casino's money. As a player you can always control when you stop playing. While the casino must continue offering its games twenty-four hours a day, you can jump in, grab a win and pull off. You have ultimate flexibility while the casino does not. 34
3. You can vary the size of your wagers. One approach a player can use is to increase the size of his wagers when he is winning and reduce them when losing. He may also choose to raise his wagers after losses so that only a win or two out of many wagers will put him ahead. A player can set up options where he doesn't have to win the majority of his bets. Using these techniques effectively goes a long ways towards minimizing the house edge and even turning it into a player edge! 4. You can pick where to play. You can play at tables offering the best situations for you. You can choose to play at tables that are almost empty by playing during slack periods. This can significantly increase your hourly win rate. You can also make it your business to know where the best payoffs are. The casinos, which pay triple on a field roll of 12, turn this wager from a weak one to one with acceptable risk. If you are looking for certain table conditions, you can scout for the right table before you play. You have numerous options while the house must offer the game to anyone who is old enough to play, conforms to fairly lax casinos standards and has some money to begin play. 5. You can modify your strategy based on table results and conditions. Every table develops different trends at different times. Some tables favor bettors who play numbers, while others favor players who bet from the dark side, wagering on the don't pass or don't come. Most tables are choppy, favoring neither right nor wrong betters. You can adjust to the changing playing conditions as they occur. If the table is repeating numbers, you can modify your strategy to take advantage of this trend. If the table is ice cold, you can make still different moves. In short, you have the ability to bob and weave, duck and thrust, parry and counter punch. The table can't react to anything. Every casino table game is like an inanimate object that must endlessly grind out numbers, while you circle and pounce. 6. You can use discipline to develop a winning plan and then stick to it. The house has ultimate discipline. The very structure of the casino games and 35
atmosphere exhibit a carefully planned approach designed to transfer funds from the players' pockets into the casino coffers in the shortest time possible. Of course, to a large extent this relies on most players' lack of discipline. Once you gain the discipline to set up a winning game plan and then follow it, you can effectively neutralize much of the casino's edge over the crowd of players. I played a couple of hours of baccarat in a local casino last night. I played for low stakes, buying in for $500. I used the Chaos Controlled Betting System. The table varied from choppy to cold the whole time I was there. I don't believe that anyone else at the table won any money but me. The difference between the rest of the players and me was that I had a plan for the evening and I stuck to it. With a $500 buy-in, I set $350 as my profit goal. After less than two hours of play I checked my chips, found I was up $361 and cashed in. The player's edge comes from all of the points listed above, plus the ability to hide your wins from the casinos. There is really no reason that anyone other than you and your significant other should know about your casino prowess. There are people who would kill you for fifty bucks. Casinos really don't like winners. That's why a number of Las Vegas casinos still bar blackjack card counters. It may not be fair, but even with all of its advantages, if you somehow manage to win, the casino can deny you access to their games. The book How to Survive and Prosper as a Professional Gambler available from Silverthorne Publications offers some excellent suggestions on how to consistently beat the casinos and still stay on the bosses' good side. I recommend it to you. The net effect of applying all of the elements of the player's edge is to neutralize and even overcome the casino's advantage. Your biggest edge will come from your discipline. Interestingly, this is the same kind of discipline the casinos expect from their dealers, floor bosses and staff. If it works for them, you know that it will work for you too! 36
Betting Strategies Nearly every gambler uses some kind of system even if his system merely consists of guessing what to do next. In July 1891, Charles Wells, an Englishman, arrived at the casino at Monte Carlo with 10,000 francs. Within a few days he had won over a million. He retired for a few months to relish his accomplishment, then returned and proceeded to win another million francs. His exploits inspired the song "The Man Who Broke the Bank at Monte Carlo." Unfortunately, he would not quit while he was ahead. He returned the next year and lost it all. Later he resorted to illegal shenanigans, was imprisoned and eventually died in poverty. But his play gave Monte Carlo worldwide fame. Many studied his play and tried to emulate him. He finally confessed before he died that he had no system. His winnings were attributable to an amazing run of luck! Betting systems or betting progressions have been devised for every gambling game. Many of them had their origins in eighteenth and nineteenth century roulette played on the French Riviera. While the particulars of different betting systems vary greatly, the systems fall into three broad categories: 1. Flat: Keep bets constant, waiting for a streak of successes. 2. Negative progressions: raise bets after losses, trying to recover an eventual win. 3. Positive progressions: raise bets after wins, hoping to use the "house money" to create a large win. Each of these systems has positive and negative characteristics, but the approach, which catches the most flack from gaming experts, is the negative progression. The advocates of positive progressions don't think much of increasing your wager after a loss. By their thinking, increasing a bet after you have lost amounts to throwing 37
good money after bad, with the probable outcome being that you will just lose more money. However, as we shall see, in the short run just the opposite is likely to be true. Assume that we are going to bet player for eight decisions. Three different players will help us in this illustration. Player A does not believe in ever changing the size of his bet. He bets flat, that is the same amount on every hand, regardless of the outcome of his preceding hand. In our example, he will bet $10 a hand. Player B likes to follow the system many experts recommend and he will press or double his bet after each win, gradually betting more and more as he uses the house's money. He will start with a $10 bet, increase it to $20 after a win, then wager $40 if he wins again. If his bet reaches as high as $160, he will stay at this level until he loses a wager. After any loss, he will drop back to betting $10. Player C has heard that increasing his bets after losses is the "surest way to win." He will start with a $10 bet. If he loses this bet he will wager $20. If this bet loses, he will increase his bet to $40, then $80, followed by $160 if this wager also loses. His maximum wager is $160. If he reaches this level he will continue to wager $160 until he has a win. After any win, he will regress to a $10 bet. The following table compares the results of eight decisions, consisting of six losses and two wins. 38
Comparison of Bet Selection Methods Decisions L L W L L L L W Player A Bet 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Win (loss) -10-10 +10-10 -10-10 -10 +10 Net Win -10-20 -10-20 -30-40 -50-40 Player B Bet 10 10 10 20 10 10 10 20 Win (loss) -10-10 +10-20 -10-10 -10-20 Net Win -10-20 -10-30 -40-50 -60-50 Player C Bet 10 20 40 10 20 40 80 160 Win (loss) -10-20 +40-10 -20-40 -80 +160 Net Win -10-30 +10-0- -20-60 -140 +20 W= Win, L= Loss of wager In this series of wagers, Player A loses $40, Player B loses $50, while Player C comes out $20 ahead. I purposely set up this example to illustrate some of the characteristics of each of the betting strategies. For a given session, flat betting leads to sessions with the narrowest, most balanced range of expected wins and losses. In this series, we lost 75% of our wagers; therefore, we expect to have a loss. 39
Positive progressions, like the progression used by Player B, offer more likelihood of an adverse than a favorable session, with intermittent large wins. In this example, increasing wagers after wins caused this player to lose $50, a greater loss than the one realized betting flat. Negative progressions, like the one used by Player C, offer a greater chance of winning any given session but have the characteristic of generating many small wins with occasional large losses. The exact result of sessions played in casinos depends on the details of each game and on variations applied to systems by individual players. However, by ignoring variations, using each system in its rawest form, we can test how each system performed against the same set of decisions and comment on general characteristics of each approach to wagering. A test was created assuming that wagers are made on pass line only. Each game was 100 decisions long. Limits on the progressions were imposed which required any progression to end immediately if the next bet required in the series exceeded 256 units. The following systems were tested. Please note that these are not presented as practical systems but are used to emphasize the differences you can expect in each approach to wagering. 1. Flat Betting: Single units are bet and the amount never varies. 2. Positive Progression: In this parlay type of progression, bets are doubled after every win and reduced to one unit after every loss. Assuming a string of nine consecutive wins, this progression would be: 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 256. 40