SNG Gas Supply Update. August 8, 2018

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Transcription:

SNG Gas Supply Update August 8, 2018 1

Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are identified as any statement that does not relate strictly to historical or current facts. In particular, statements, express or implied, concerning future actions, conditions or events, future operating results or future production or available capacity are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Future actions, conditions or events and future results of operations of Kinder Morgan, Inc. may differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements. Many of the factors that will determine these results are beyond Kinder Morgan's ability to control or predict. These statements are necessarily based upon various assumptions involving judgments with respect to the future, including, among others, the ability to achieve synergies and revenue growth; national, international, regional and local economic, competitive and regulatory conditions and developments; technological developments; capital and credit markets conditions; inflation rates; interest rates; the political and economic stability of oil producing nations; energy markets; weather conditions; environmental conditions; business and regulatory or legal decisions; the pace of deregulation of retail natural gas and electricity and certain agricultural products; the timing and success of business development efforts; terrorism; and other uncertainties. There is no assurance that any of the actions, events or results of the forward-looking statements will occur, or if any of them do, what impact they will have on our results of operations or financial condition. Because of these uncertainties, you are cautioned not to put undue reliance on any forward-looking statement. Please read "Risk Factors" and "Information Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and our subsequently filed Exchange Act reports, which are available through the SEC s EDGAR system at www.sec.gov and on our website at www.kindermorgan.com.

SNG Supply Overview 3

High-Level Takeaways Elba SESH EEC SNG manages its supply system in order to provide access to ample and diverse gas supplies. SNG also divests assets that no longer provide supply value (e.g., Lake St. John and Offshore facilities). Captive gas supply has been declining, and interconnect supply has been increasing. It is necessary to develop better system access to available supply (i.e., shale gas). 4

SNG Designed to Flow West to East Zone 0 Zone 1 Zone 2 Zone 3 Elba Express Muldon North Main Wrens Bear Creek North Louisiana SESH 1.8 bcf/d capacity @ Gwinville 2.4 bcf/d Capacity @ Enterprise South Main South Georgia Cypress Line Elba Island West Leg East Leg 5

SNG System Supplies By Major Location Average Daily Supply for 12 Months Ending June 30, 2018 North Louisiana 2018 209 MMcf/d 2002 180 MMcf/d FT 69 MMcf/d Mississippi North 2018 286 MMcf/d 2002 0 MMcf/d FT 19 MMcf/d NW Alabama 2018 119 MMcf/d 2002 263 MMcf/d FT 113 MMcf/d East End 2018 292 MMcf/d 2002 12 MMcf/d FT 719 MMcf/d Mississippi South * 2018 953 MMcf/d 2002 36 MMcf/d FT 1,127 MMcf/d Total Supply 2018 2,692 MMcf/d 2002 1,641 MMcf/d FT 3,388 MMcf/d West Leg 2018 557 MMcf/d 2002 210 MMcf/d FT 812 MMcf/d East Leg 2018 276 MMcf/d 2002 939 MMcf/d FT 529 MMcf/d * FT Includes 275 Mmcf/d of firm storage volumes 6

Declines in SNG s Traditional Offshore Supply 7

Declines in SNG Coal Seam Gas Winter 2017-18 averaged 111,000 Mcf/d Over 100,000 Mcf/d reduction since 2010 Black Warrior River 8

Average Rig Count Onshore MS 2018 2.8 2012 10.8 2007 14.0 2002 7.5 Onshore AL 2018 1.3 2012 5.4 2007 4.1 2002 1.0 Onshore LA 2018 44.0 2012 80.1 2007 116.1 2002 70.9 Gulf of Mexico 2018 17.6 2012 45.8 2007 70.8 2002 108.6 Source: Baker Hughes, July 30, 2018 9

Supply Changes Affecting the Southeast 10

Shale Gas Growth 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 Shale Gas Production (Bcf/d) 0.0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Utica Marcellus Woodford Fayetteville Permian Barnett Haynesville Eagle Ford SOURCE: KM Case Feb 2018

Supply to Market Corridor Flow Patterns 2017 vs. 2027 Declining flows into the SE from the Gulf region can be offset by increasing Midcontinent and NE flow. SOURCE: KM CASE February 2018

KM View of U.S. Supply Sources Supply Sources - Growth/Decline Profile Bcf/d Traditional Gulf Midcontinent N.E. Shale 2002 2018 Change Change % GOM 12.1 3.0-9.1 Onshore GOM 4.4 2.0-2.4 Total 16.5 5.0-11.5-70% Haynesville 2.4 7.6 5.2 Permian 4.1 8.2 4.1 Barnett 1.9 2.8 0.9 Fayetteville 0.3 2.1 1.8 Eagle Ford 4.7 5.7 1.0 Woodford 1.4 1.9 0.5 Total 14.8 28.3 13.5 91% Marcellus 0.5 16.7 16.2 Utica 0.3 5.8 5.5 Total 0.8 22.5 21.7 2712% KM projection is based on review of ICF and other data. 13