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Strategies for Restoring River Ecosystems: Sources of Variability and Uncertainty in Natural and Managed Systems

Funding for the publication of this book was provided by the American Fisheries Society, Bethesda, Maryland USDA Forest Service, Olympia Forestry Sciences Lab, Olympia, Washington Center for Water and Watershed Studies, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington US Environmental Protection Agency (R 827149-01-0)

Strategies for Restoring River Ecosystems: Sources of Variability and Uncertainty in Natural and Managed Systems Edited by Robert C. Wissmar University of Washington School of Aquatic & Fishery Sciences Peter A. Bisson USDA Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station Marcus Duke, Technical Editor University of Washington School of Aquatic & Fishery Sciences American Fisheries Society Bethesda, Maryland 2003

Suggested citation formats follow. Entire book Wissmar, R. C. and P. A. Bisson, editors. 2003. Strategies for restoring river ecosystems: sources of variability and uncertainty in natural and managed systems. American Fisheries Society, Bethesda, Maryland. Chapter within the book Edmonds, R. L., R. C. Francis, N. J. Mantua, and D. L. Peterson. 2003. Sources of climate variability in river ecosystems. Pages 11 37 in R. C. Wissmar and P. A. Bisson, editors. Strategies for restoring river ecosystems: sources of variability and uncertainty in natural and managed systems. American Fisheries Society, Bethesda, Maryland. Copyright 2003 by the American Fisheries Society All rights reserved. Photocopying for internal or personal use, or for the internal or personal use of specific clients, is permitted by AFS provided that the appropriate fee is paid directly to Copyright Clearance Center (CCC), 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, Massachusetts 01923, USA; phone 978-750-8400. Request authorization to make multiple copies for classroom use from CCC. These permissions do not extend to electronic distribution or long-term storage of articles or to copying for resale, promotion, advertising, general distribution, or creation of new collective works. For such uses, permission or license must be obtained from AFS. Library of Congress Control Number: 2002116906 ISBN: 1-888569-46-8 Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper. American Fisheries Society 5410 Grosvenor Lane, Suite 110 Bethesda, Maryland 20814-2199, USA Cover photos: Front Top: LTER 1973; bottom: Robert C. Wissmar. Back (top to bottom) American Environmental Photographs Collection [AEP-LAS1, AEP-ARS21, AEP-NMS29], Department of Special Collections, University of Chicago Library; METRO/King County, Washington. iv

Contents Preface vii Introduction 1. Strategies for Restoring River Ecosystems: Sources of Variability and Uncertainty 1 R. C. Wissmar and P. A. Bisson I. Sources of Variability and Restoration of River Ecosystems 2. Sources of Climate Variability in River Ecosystems 11 R. L. Edmonds, R. C. Francis, N. J. Mantua, and D. L. Peterson 3. Hydrogeomorphic Variability and River Restoration 39 D. R. Montgomery and S. M. Bolton 4. Landscapes and Ecological Variability of Rivers in North America: Factors Affecting Restoration Strategies 81 F. R. Hauer, C. N. Dahm, G. A. Lamberti, and J. A. Stanford 5. Variability of Riparian Ecosystems: Implications for Restoration 107 R. C. Wissmar, J. H. Braatne, R. L. Beschta, and S. B. Rood 6. Sources of Variability in Aquatic Ecosystems: Factors Controlling Biotic Production and Diversity 129 R. E. Bilby, G. H. Reeves, and C. A. Dolloff II. Uncertainty in Developing Restoration Strategies 7. Genetic Concepts and Uncertainties in Restoring Fish Populations and Species 149 R. R. Reisenbichler, F. M. Utter, and C. C. Krueger 8. Watershed Assessment Techniques and the Success of Aquatic Restoration Activities 185 G. R. Pess, T. J. Beechie, J. E. Williams, D. R. Whitall, J. I. Lange, and J. R. Klochak 9. Watershed Restoration Adaptive Decision Making in the Face of Uncertainty 203 J. L. Anderson, R. W. Hilborn, R. T. Lackey, and D. Ludwig 10. Decision Support Models as Tools for Developing Management Strategies: Examples from the Columbia River Basin 233 The Independent Scientific Advisory Board Conclusions 11. Strategies for Restoring Rivers: Problems and Opportunities 245 P. A. Bisson and R. C. Wissmar Index 263 v

vi

Preface Another book about river restoration? Isn t your bookshelf sufficiently burdened with recent works on this topic? Why would we add to the already voluminous literature and what could we say about aquatic restoration that has not been said before? Basically, we undertook this project because there has been a real awakening to the variability in ecosystems and a keen interest in dealing effectively with policy uncertainties, both of which bear on restoration actions. The science of aquatic restoration is at least a century old, but the industry of aquatic restoration is much more recent. Most restoration programs are modest, yet some are extremely ambitious and expensive; multi-billion dollar aquatic restoration projects are well underway in the Pacific Northwest, central California, and southern Florida. With that kind of investment on the line, project managers rightfully insist there should be very good reasons to believe that what is being implemented will actually work. But there are no real guarantees. Only the weight of scientific evidence, combined with the insight and experience of project biologists and engineers, and the dedication of policy makers influence the ultimate outcome of river restoration. Early in our planning stages we met with the authors of one chapter. During the meeting the discussion turned to dam removal a very hot topic in some North American river basins. One author observed that if dams were removed, and despite our best predictions, there will be surprises. That comment sums up the reason for this book. Nature is full of surprises, and so are public policies. We cannot escape surprises but we can work to understand ecological variability and policy uncertainties, and we can put that knowledge to use in designing robust river restoration programs. We hope the following chapters will provide some help regarding these difficult issues and thus earn the book a place on your crowded bookshelf. vii