LATINO VOTE A Fight For Change! The Power of the Vote! Political Power, Policy and Health Equity The University of North Carolina School of Social Work Chapel Hill, North Carolina June 7, 2016
LATINO VOTE Challenges, Opportunities and Solutions to Get America to Vote! www.svrep.org
Redistricting: Every 10 years after the US Census Count, America draws its lines for congress, state Senate and House. After the 2010 Census Count: Texas gained 4 congressional seats; Florida gained 2 congressional seats Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, South Carolina and Utah gained 1 congressional seat each. New York and Ohio lost 2 congressional seats Pennsylvania, Illinois, Iowa, New Jersey, Michigan each lost 1 congressional seat States expected to Gain Seats in 2020: Texas will gain 2 or more congressional seats Florida, North Carolina will gain one congressional seat each. Arizona, California, Colorado, and Organ could gain 1 congressional seat each.
Texas Redistricting: Texas Population grows by another 4.3 million after the 2010 Census count, 65% of the population growth is Latino. SVREP in partnership with seven other civil rights organizations sued Texas on its redistricting maps for congressional and state House seats. Texas Latino Redistricting Task Force vs. Texas 2010: Texas is made up of 7 Latino-Majority Congressional Seats. 2011: Texas draws its map and retrogresses CD23. Texas maps goes from 7 to 6 Latino-majority seats. Latinos lose 1 seat after Texas gains 4 congressional seats in large part to the Latino population growth. 2012: Texas Latino Redistricting Task Force sues Texas. Congressional seats grow from 7 to 9 that are Latino-majority.
Latino Vote Getting America to Vote * Universal Voter Registration * Election Day Voter Registration * Registration Deadline 7 days out before Election Day * Register to Vote online * Drop Voter ID Requirements * Extend voting dates and times, as well as polling sites * Place Polling Sites In Low-income neighborhoods * Move the local elections to correspond with general elections * Vote online
The Latino Vote Fastest and Youngest Growing Demographic in America Over the last 40 years the Latino population has quintupled An estimated 880,000 Latinos, eligible to vote, turn 18 years old each year. SVREP Projects that at least 14.3 Millions Latinos will cast their vote in the 2016 General Presidential Election Compared to the 11.3 Million votes cast in 2012.
Latino Voter Registration in Presidential Elections 1972-2016 Numbers in Thousands 20000 17500 15000 13,697 15752 18114 12500 10000 7500 5000 2500 0 11,608 9308 7546 6573 5137 2300 1436 1762 2,089 2055 2363 564 973 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 Est 2020 Est Latino VR Latino VR Change
Latino Rates of Registration 1992-2012 Source: CPS Studies 1972-2012 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 58.5% 58.6% 57.3% 57.9% 59.4% 58.7% 58.4% 20% 10% 12.3% 28.0% 14.8% 23.4% 24.7% 18.0% 20.2% 0% 92 96 0 4 8 12 ave L VR% Pres Yr Latino % VR Change
Latino Voter Registration in Presidential Elections 1972-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Latino Votes Cast in Presidential Elections 1972-2012 Numbers in Thousands
States with at Least 100,000 Latino Voters Rate of Turnout Growth 2006-2010
States with at Least 100,000 Latino Voters, Latino Voter Registration Growth, 2008-2010 Numbers in Thousands
Latino Voter Registration, National Elections, 1972-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Latino Voter Registration, National Elections 1972-2010 by Decade Numbers in Thousands
Latino Voter Registration, Mega-trends, 1972-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Latino Voter Registration, Rate of Growth by Decade, 1972-2020 Numbers in Thousands
Latino Influence in Presidential Battleground States In FL, AZ, and CO the Latino vote will be pivotal Latino % of Votes Cast in Potential Presidential Battleground States in 2016 25% 20% 15% 17.3% 16.6% 10% 10.4% 5% 3.2% 2.7% 2.7% 2.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.8% 0% FL AZ CO PA GA VA NH NC IA OH States that Voted for Obama State Voted for Romney in 2012
Latino Rates of Turnout 1972-2012
Latino Rates of Registration, 1972-2012 Source: CPS Studies 1972-2012
Ethnic Rates of Turnout, 1972-2012
Latino Share of VC/VR, 1972-2012
US Latino Shares of Registration and Voting, Presidential and Off-year Elections
Calif. Latino Voting and Registration, 1972-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Texas Latino Voting and Registration, 1980-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Florida Latino Voting and Registration, 1984-2012 Numbers in Thousands
New York Latino Voting and Registration, 1984-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Arizona Latino Voting and Registration, 1984-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Illinois Latino Voting and Registration 1984-2012 Numbers in Thousands
New Jersey Latino Voting and Registration, 1992-2012 Numbers in Thousands
New Mexico Latino Voting and Registration, 1984-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Colorado Latino Voting and Registration, 1984-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Pennsylvania Latino Voting and Registration, 1992-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Mass. Latino Voting and Registration, 1986-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Conn. Latino Voting and Registration, 1992-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Washington Latino Voting and Registration, 1992-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Michigan Latino Voting and Registration, 1992-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Nevada Latino Voting and Registration, 1992-2012 Numbers in Thousands
Latino Shares of Registration and Turnout by State, 45% 40% 35% 30% 44% 2012 25% 24% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 18% 18% 15% 11% 11% 11% 7% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 35% 23% 22% 17% 17% 15% 10% 11% 11% 7% 5% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% NM CA TX FL AZ NV CO NY NJ CT Il MA WA PA MI GA VA NC OH 6% 6% 5% Latino VR Share Latino VC Share
Latino Vote Compared to the African American Vote
African American and Latino %Share of Votes Cast and Registration, 1972-2012 14% 13.4% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 9.0% 8.9% 8.2% 8.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 9.4% 8.9% 2.8% 2.6% 10.5% 10.7% 10.6% 10.1% 9.9% 10.0% 3.9% 4.1% 3.3% 3.6% 3.7% 3.0% 11.2% 10.8% 5.2% 4.7% 11.9% 11.7% 5.8% 5.4% 11.3% 11.2% 6.6% 6.0% 12.3% 11.9% 7.9% 7.4% 12.9% 8.9% 8.4% 0% 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 0 4 8 12 Pres Latino % Share VC Pres Black % Share VC Pres Latino % Share VR Pres Black % Share VR
African American and Latino Voting, 1972-2014 Numbers in Thousands Latino VC Pres AA VC Pres Latino VC Mid AA VC Mid 20000 18000 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 7032 7273 8287 2103 2098 2453 3092 1029310144 3710 1137111386 4238 4928 14016 12917 5934 7587 16133 9745 17813 11188 4786 5812 1397 1593 7581 8255 7978 8095 2217 2866 2894 3522 9223 4068 4747 9695 9937 11149 11469 6,646 6775 5595 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 0 4 8 12 74 78 82 86 90 94 98 2 6 10 14
Comparing African American and Latino Rates of Turnout, 1972-2000 and 2004-2012 95% 90% 90.6% 85% 80% 82.5% 82.4% 81.2% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 0 72-2000 Ave LVC% 72-96 AAVC% 72-96 LVC% 2000-16 AAVC% 2000-16 4 8 12 2004-12 Ave
LATINO VOTE States with at least 100,000 Latino Registered Voters, By Partisanship
Latino Voter Registration Growth, 2008-2012 21 States with at least 100,000 Latino Registered Voters, By Partisanship Numbers in Thousands
States with at Least 100,000 Latino Voters, Rate of VR Growth, 2008-2012
States with at Least 100,000 Latino Votes Cast, Rate of VC Growth, 2008-2012
Register to Vote SVREP APP 31 States can Register online SVREP.ORG 2016 Developed by Southwest Voter Registration Education Project
SVREP APP to Register to Vote in English and Spanish SVREP.ORG 2016 Developed by Southwest Voter Registration Education Project
SVREP APP DOWNLOAD THE SVREP APP TO REGISTER TO VOTE ENGISH: To download the Android version of the Latino Vote app: Latino Vote : goo.gl/oyzbo6 To download the iphone version of the Latino Vote app: Latino Vote: goo.gl/g8akpq To download the ipad version of the Latino Vote app: Latino Vote : goo.gl/qo1l2h SPANISH: Haga clic en el enlace inferior para descargar la versión de Androide de la aplicación Voto Latino: Voto Latino: goo.gl/lq6lfl Para bajar la versión iphone del la aplicación Voto Latino: Voto Latino: goo.gl/p6mfjy Para bajar la versión ipad del la aplicación Voto Latino: Voto Latino: goo.gl/nicgsk SVREP.ORG 2016 Developed by Southwest Voter Registration Education Project
Fig ht the W all! Reg ister a Mex ican to Vot e. SVR EP anno unce s it s sma rt phon e/onl ine vote r regi strat ion cam paig n Fi ght the Wall /Dur o Cont ra el Mur o, Regi ster a Mex ican @ to Vote! SVREP CAMPAIGN Endorse the Fight the Wall Campaign Using the SVREP APP or visit www.svrep.org
F THE WALL CAMPAIGN! REGISTER A MEXICAN@ TO VOTE A SVREP CAMPAIGN WALLS = WARS The US Mexico Border Is Under Control and Stable The fact is the US-Mexico border is already under control according to US official reports. Numerous laws and appropriations have been enacted over the last 15 years by the US Congress and three Presidents from both parties resulting in construction of 700 miles of wall and quadrupling the border guard to nearly 20,000 members today. Radar and drones are already in use. Help Us Mobilize The Latino/Mexican Vote In 2016 Help us mobilize our power at the ballot box in 2016 and create an enduring political deterrent to anti-immigrant, anti-latin@ policies like the Border Wall in 2017 s immigration reform battles in Washington, DC.
LATINO VOTE Join the Fight the Wall Campaign #FTW www.svrep.org
LATINO VOTE SVREP- 1974 to Present National Nonprofit, 501(c)3, Nonpartisan Organization Committed to Empowerment of Latino Community Registered 2.6 million Latino voters throughout the Southwest and South east Trained 150,000 Latino leaders many of who serve as elected officials Won 85 voting rights lawsuits changing America s political landscape from at-large to single member districts Empowering the Latino community for more than 42 years
LATINO VOTE CHANGE THE VOTER CHANGE THE OUTCOME!
LATINO VOTE SU VOTO ES SU VOZ REGISTER AND VOTE!
Thank you! 1426 El Paso Street, Suite B, San Antonio, TX 78207; Office 210-922-0225 2914 N. Main St. 1st Floor, Suite B, Los Angeles, CA 90031: Office 323-205-2190 SVREP President - Antonio Gonzalez, agonzalez@svrep.org SVREP Vice President - Lydia Camarillo, lcamarillo@svrep.org www.svrep.org Let us Connect Follow US! @SVREP