Andrew Turner Publication list Submitted Jayakumar, A., Turner, A. G., Johnson, S. J., Rajagopal, E. N., Mohandas, S., and Mitra, A. K. (2016). Boreal summer sub-seasonal variability of the South Asian monsoon in the Met Office GloSea5 initialized coupled model. Climate Dynamics, submitted. Guo, L., Klingaman, N. P., Vidale, P. L., Turner, A. G., Demory, M.-E., and Cobb, A. (2016a). Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to atmospheric moisture transport and rainfall over East Asia. Journal of Climate, submitted. Stephan, C. C., Klingaman, N. P., Vidale, P. L., Turner, A. G., Demory, M.-E., and Guo, L. (2016). Drivers and Predictability of Coherent Patterns in Seasonal Rainfall Variability over China. Climate Dynamics, submitted. Refereed Hunt, K. M. R., Turner, A. G., and Parker, D. E. (2016b). The Spatiotemporal Structure of Precipitation in Indian Monsoon Depressions. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, published online. doi:10.1002/qj.2901. Guo, L., Turner, A. G., and Highwood, E. J. (2016b). Local and remote impacts of aerosol species on Indian summer monsoon rainfall in a GCM. Journal of Climate, 29, 6937 6955. Hunt, K. M. R., Turner, A. G., Inness, P. M., Parker, D., and Levine, R. C. (2016a). On the structure and dynamics of Indian monsoon depressions. Monthly Weather Review, 144, 3391 3416. doi:10.1175/mwr-d-15-0138.1. Johnson, S. J., Turner, A. G., Woolnough, S. J., Martin, G. M., and MacLachlan, C. (2016). An assessment of Indian monsoon seasonal forecasts and mechanisms underlying monsoon interannual variability in the Met Office GloSea5-GC2 system. Climate Dynamics, published online. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3151-2. Parker, D. J., Willetts, P., Birch, C., Turner, A. G., Marsham, J. H., Taylor, C. M., Kolusu, S., and Martin, G. M. (2016). The interaction of moist convection and midlevel dry air in the advance of the onset of the Indian monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142, 2256 2272. doi:10.1002/qj.2815.
Johnson, S. J., Levine, R. C., Turner, A. G., Martin, G. M., Woolnough, S. J., Schiemann, R., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L., Demory, M.-D., and Strachan, J. (2015). The resolution sensitivity of the South Asian monsoon and Indo-Pacific in a global 0.35-degree AGCM. Climate Dynamics, 46(3), 807 831. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2614-1. Zhang, W., Li, H., Stuecker, M. F., Jin, F.-F., and Turner, A. G. (2016). A New Understanding of El Nino s Impact over East Asia: Dominance of the ENSO Combination Mode. Journal of Climate, 29, 43474359. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-15-0104.1. Zhang, W., Wang, Y., Jin, F.-F., Stuecker, M. F., and Turner, A. G. (2015a). Impact of different El Nino types on the El Nino/IOD relationship. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 8570 8576. Zhang, W., Li, H., Jin, F.-F., Stuecker, M. F., Turner, A. G., and Klingaman, N. P. (2015b). The Annual-Cycle Modulation of Meridional Asymmetry in ENSOs Atmospheric Response and its Dependence on ENSO Zonal Structure. Journal of Climate, 28, 5795 5812. doi:10.1175/jcli-d-14-00724.1. Prakash, S., Mitra, A. K., Momin, I. M., Rajagopal, E. N., Basu, S., Collins, M., Turner, A. G., AchutoRao, K., and Ashok, K. (2015). Seasonal intercomparison of observational rainfall datasets over India during the southwest monsoon season. International Journal of Climatology, 35, 2326 2338. doi:10.1002/joc.4129. Guo, L., Turner, A. G., and Highwood, E. J. (2015). Impacts of 20th century aerosol emissions on the South Asian monsoon in the CMIP5 models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15, 6367 6378. Dunning, C. M., Turner, A. G., and Brayshaw, D. J. (2015). The impact of monsoon intraseasonal variability on renewable power generation in India. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 064002. Bush, S. J., Turner, A. G., Martin, G., Woolnough, S. J., and Klingaman, N. P. (2015). The effect of increased convective entrainment on Asian monsoon biases in the MetUM general circulation model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141, 311 326. doi:10.1002/qj.2371. Zhang, W., Jin, F.-F., and Turner, A. G. (2014). Increasing Autumn Drought over Southern China associated with ENSO Regime Shift. Geophysical Research Letters, 41(11), 4020 4026. doi:10.1002/2014gl060130. Sperber, K. R., Annamalai, H., Kang, I.-S., Kitoh, A., Moise, A., Turner, A. G., Wang, B., and Zhou, T. (2013). The Asian Summer Monsoon: An Intercomparison of CMIP5 vs. CMIP3 Simulations of the Late 20th Century. Climate Dynamics, 41, 2711 2744. DOI:10.1007/s00382-012-1607-6. Collins, M., AchutaRao, K., Karumuri, A., Mitra, A., Prakash, S., Srivistava, R., and Turner, A. G. (2013). Observational Challenges in Evaluating Climate Models. Nature Climate Change, 3, 941 942. 2
Hannachi, A. and Turner, A. G. (2013a). 20th century intraseasonal Asian monsoon dynamics viewed from Isomap. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 20, 725 741. Levine, R. C., Turner, A. G., Marathayil, D., and Martin, G. (2013). The role of northern Arabian Sea surface temperature biases in CMIP5 model simulations and future projections of Indian summer monsoon rainfall. Climate Dynamics, 41, 155 172. Hannachi, A. and Turner, A. G. (2013b). Isomap nonlinear dimensionality reduction and bimodality of monsoon convection. Geophysical Research Letters, 40(8), 1653 1658. doi:10.1002/grl.50351. Marathayil, D., Turner, A. G., Shaffrey, L. C., and Levine, R. C. (2013). Systematic winter SST biases in the northern Arabian Sea in HiGEM and the CMIP3 models. Environmental Research Letters, 8(1), 014028. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014028. Joshi, M. M., Turner, A. G., and Hope, C. (2013). The use of land/sea warming contrast under climate change to improve impact metrics. Climatic Change, 117(4), 951 960. DOI:10.1007/s10584-013-0715-6. Guo, L., Highwood, E. J., Shaffrey, L. C., and Turner, A. G. (2013). The effect of regional changes in anthropogenic aerosols on rainfall of the East Asian Summer Monsoon. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13, 1521 1534. Krishnan, R., Sabin, T. P., Ayantika, D. C., Kitoh, A., Sugi, M., Murakami, H., Turner, A. G., Slingo, J. M., and Rajendran, K. (2013). Will the South Asian monsoon overturning circulation stabilize any further? Clim. Dyn., 40, 187 211. DOI:10.1007/s00382-012-1317-0. Turner, A. G. and Annamalai, H. (2012). Climate Change and the South Asian summer monsoon. Nature Climate Change, 2, 587 595. DOI:10.1038/nclimate1495. Turner, A. G., Joshi, M., Robertson, E. S., and Woolnough, S. J. (2012). The effect of Arabian Sea optical properties on SST biases and the South Asian summer monsoon in a coupled GCM. Clim. Dyn., 39, 811 826. DOI:10.1007/s00382-011-1254-3. Levine, R. C. and Turner, A. G. (2012). Dependence of Indian monsoon rainfall on moisture fluxes across the Arabian Sea and the impact of coupled model sea surface temperature biases. Clim. Dyn., 38, 2167 2190. DOI:10.1007/s00382-011-1096-z. Turner, A. G., Sperber, K. R., Slingo, J. M., Meehl, G., Mechoso, C. R., Kimoto, M., and Giannini, A. (2011). Modelling Monsoons: Understanding and Predicting Current and Future Behaviour. In C.-P. Chang, Y. Ding, G. N.-C. Lau, R. H. Johnson, B. Wang, and T. Yasunari, editors, The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast, pages 421 454. World Scientific Publishing Co., Singapore, 2nd edition. Turner, A. G. and Slingo, J. M. (2011). Using idealized snow forcing to test teleconnections with the Indian summer monsoon in the Hadley Centre GCM. Clim. Dyn., 36, 1717 1735. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0805-3. 3
Turner, A. G. and Hannachi, A. (2010). Is there Regime Behavior in Monsoon Convection in the Late 20th Century? Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L16706. DOI:10.1029/2010GL044159. Woollings, T., Hannachi, A., Hoskins, B., and Turner, A. G. (2010). A regime view of the North Atlantic Oscillation and its response to anthropogenic forcing. J. Climate, 23, 1291 1307. DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI3087.1. Turner, A. G. and Slingo, J. M. (2009b). Uncertainties in future projections of extreme precipitation in the Indian monsoon region. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 10, 152 158. Turner, A. G. and Slingo, J. M. (2009a). Subseasonal extremes of precipitation and active-break cycles of the Indian summer monsoon in a climate change scenario. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 135, 549 567. Hannachi, A. and Turner, A. G. (2008). Preferred structures in large scale circulation and the effect of doubling greenhouse gas concentration in HadCM3. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 134, 469 480. Turner, A. G., Inness, P. M., and Slingo, J. M. (2007b). The effect of doubled CO 2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon-enso system. II: Changing ENSO regimes. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 133, 1159 1173. Turner, A. G., Inness, P. M., and Slingo, J. M. (2007a). The effect of doubled CO 2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon-enso system. I: Mean response and interannual variability. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 133, 1143 1157. Turner, A. G., Inness, P. M., and Slingo, J. M. (2005). The role of the basic state in the ENSO-monsoon relationship and implications for predictability. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 131, 781 804. Non-refereed Williams, C. J. R. and Turner, A. G. (2013). RMetS conference workshop: monsoons and their teleconnections. Atmospheric Science Letters, 14, 52 53. CLIVAR Asian-Australian Monsoon Panel and GEWEX Monsoon Asian Hydro- Atmosphere Scientific Research and Prediction Initiative (2011). The Global Monsoon Systems. WCRP Factsheet. Turner, A. G. (2007). Indian Summer. In Planet Earth, spring issue. Natural Environment Research Council. Challinor, A. J., Slingo, J. M., Turner, A. G., and Wheeler, T. (2006). Indian Monsoon: Contribution to the Stern Review. In Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change. HM Treasury. Turner, A. G., Inness, P. M., and Slingo, J. M. (2003). The role of the basic state in determining the predictability of the tropical climate system, with particular reference to the Asian summer monsoon. UGAMP newsletter, 27, 18. 4
Thesis Turner, A. G. (2005). Behaviour of the monsoon-enso system in current and future climates of a general circulation model. Ph.D. thesis, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading.