DEVELOPMENT OF A PAVEMENT REHABILITATION STRATEGY FOR NATIONAL ROADS IN QUEENSLAND

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Transcription:

DEVELOPMENT OF A PAVEMENT REHABILITATION STRATEGY FOR NATIONAL ROADS IN QUEENSLAND Presenter: Tyrone Toole, ARRB Group

Scope Background Objectives Road network data and analysis Current and potential investment policies Findings and recommendations 2

Objectives Strategy development assessment of the current condition of existing sealed and asphalt surfaced roads determination of strategic needs and cost estimates, including backlogs determination of the geographical location of investment candidates presentation of future performance scenarios in terms of key performance indicators Program development provision of detailed data for application at region level 3

Data and site investigations 5440 physical segments Section specific deterioration and costs Field reviews and treatment selection Investigation of major highways in SEQ 4

All cracking (%) Warrego Highway: Condition data 60 Warrego Highway: Comparison of New and 2005 distress data Avg CrkExt 2007 2005 All+Thm Cracks 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93 Chainage 5

Treatment reviews Need to include distress and structural strength based trigger for asphalt pavements at low roughness revised cracking limits if max deflection < 0.7 mm, patch and resurface If max deflection > 0.7 mm, rehabilitation Otherwise, confirmed suitability of moderate standards 6

Current Status Analysis AusLink Preservation Maintenance Indicator 8% exceeds the target, 3% in poor or very poor condition AusLink Ride Quality Indicator 16% mediocre or poor ride quality, 3% poor or very poor Pavement age 38% with last rehabilitation age > 20 years, 1% > 50 years Pavement (Structural) Risk Index 19% < 5 years, 60% > 20 years Routine maintenance costs 7

Example Ride Quality Matrix Traffic range (vehicles per day) Roughness range (IRI) Roughness range (NRM) 0-500 501-1500 1501-3000 3001-5000 5001-10000 >10000 VL LL BM AM HH VH 0-2.8 0-75 2.8-3.2 75-85 Good 3.2-3.6 85-95 Mediocre 3.6-4.0 95-105 4.0-4.6 105-120 4.6-5.2 120-135 Poor 5.2-5.7 135-150 5.7-6.3 150-165 Very Poor >6.3 >165 8

Distribution of PRI 9

Distribution of routine maintenance costs Annual costs Extremely high > $ 20,000 Very high $ 7,500 - $ 19,999 High $3,000 - $ 7,499 Moderate $ 1,500 - $2,999 Low < $ 1,500 10

Strategies examined Current Funding Policy (Base case) full preventative (programmed) maintenance section specific routine pavement costs pre-rehab Desirable Minimum Standards Policy (No pavement in Very Poor condition) full preventative (programmed) maintenance section specific routine pavement costs pre-rehab Pavement rehabilitation if Very Poor 01 Economic Strategy (Maximise NPV) Base Maintenance v Moderate Standards, with 4 timing options 02 Moderate Standards (Forced No pavement in Poor condition) Single strategy with full set of treatments & immediate implementation 03 Maximise change in roughness Base Maintenance & Moderate standards, with 4 timing options 11

Data assembly, analysis & reporting Network Details and Userspecified data 4 RDWE RAC RUC Economic Project database (ex-armis) Configured HDM - 4 Version 2.0 Reporting Tools MS Excel & Access 12

Roughness in IRI m/km Example of treatment strategies 10 8 X Routine Maintenance Only Base case? 6 Intervention Level Overlay at 5 IRI m/km Mean = 3.8 IRI m/km 4 2 0 With Project cases? Overlay at 4 IRI m/km Mean = 3.4 IRI m/km 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2008 Engineering Technology Forum Year Connecting Technically 13

Total transport costs 14

Costs Findings 5 year needs between 3.6 (Minimum desirable) and 4.8 (Moderate standards) times current budget Proposed future rates of coverage similar to other states Benefits $2 to $3 net benefits per $ investment above current funding level Realisation depends on what is available Corresponding road user savings between $3 billion and $3.5 billion in 20 years 15

Recommendations 1. Aim to justify funding level based on identified need and level of benefits 2. Give priority to routine and preventative maintenance, then rehabilitation using a suitable prioritisation indicator 3. Verify detailed results at a region level and consider in works program development 16

Presentation of data Executive report Region level and summary data works, priorities and supporting data summary data by road and corridor HDM-4 reporting tool (for HQ) 17

18

Surface condition and deflection triggered additional works 19

Percentage of Network Percentage of Network Ride Quality Index Distribution Current Funding 100% 90% Future 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% Very Poor Poor Mediocre Good condition 20% 10% 0% Ride Quality Index Distribution Strategy 2 - Forced standard 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 100% Year 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% Very Poor Poor Mediocre Good 20% 10% 0% 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Year 20

Region level data 1 Tables Lists of 1 km results Location information Assessed condition, by Traffic, RMPCs, PRI, etc First predicted work, BCR, Works Category Second predicted work Distress and structural based rehab flag Maps spatial presentation of 1 km results Pivot tables by region, road, corridor Treatment type and length by period Treatment type and cost by period 21

Region level and summary data 2 22

Region level summary data 3 23

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Annual Asset Value ($mill.) 3000 Tasmanian Road Network - Annual Asset Value Comparison of Strategies 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Year Preventative Stds Desirable Min Eng Stds Desirable Eng Stds No Reinst Desirable Eng Stds 60yr Reinst 2008 Engineering Desirable Technology Eng Stds 40yr Reinst Forum Connecting Technically 24

Application of the results!