Rajast. Earth System. Press Release. Subject: forecast. country as. Normal. Regions Rainfall (mm) LPA -29% -61% -34% -4% -9%

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Government of India Earth System Science Organization Ministry of Earth Sciences India Meteorological Department Press Release Dated: 15 September, 2016 Subject: Current status of southwestt monsoonn

A low pressure area caused widespread rainfall activity over north Peninsular & adjoining central India during 2 nd half of the week.

1 Government of India Earth System Science Organization Ministry of Earth Sciences India Meteorological Department Press Release Dated: 15 September, 2016 Subject: Current status of southwestt monsoonn 2016 and forecast Highlights of the week Today, the southwest monsoonn has withdrawn from some parts of West Rajast than (Annexure I). A low pressure area caused widespread rainfall activity over north Peninsular & adjoining central India during 2 nd half of the week. Weekly Rainfall Scenario (08 to 14 September 2016) During the week, rainfall was below Long country as a whole. Details are given below: Period Average (LPA) by 29% over the Regions Actual Normal % Departuree from LPA Country as a whole Northwest India Central India South Peninsula East & northeast India % -61% -34% -4% -9% The Meteorological sub-division-wise rainfall for the week is given in Annexure II. Mausam Bhawan, Lodi Road, New Delhi Phones: , ; Fax No , ,

2 Seasonal Rainfall Scenario (01 June to 14 September, 2016) For the country as a whole, cumulative rainfall during this year s monsoon has so far upto 14 September been 5% below LPA. Details of the rainfall distribution over the four broad homogeneous regions of India are given below: Regions Actual Normal % Departure from LPA Country as a whole Northwest India Central India South Peninsula East & northeast India % % % % % Cumulative seasonal rainfall is given in Annexure III. Current synoptic conditions as on 15 September, 2016 A low pressure area lies over Telangana & neighborhood. An upper air cyclonic circulation lies over westcentral Bay of Bengal off north Andhra Pradesh coast in lower levels. Under its influence, there is possibility of formation of another low pressure over west central Bay of Bengal around 19 September. An east-west shear zone runs roughly along latitude 16.0 N at 3.1 km above mean sea level. Large scale features as on 15 September, 2016 Sea surface temperatures continue to be near normal over Eastern & Central equatorial Pacific Ocean, thus indicating ENSO-Neutral conditions. Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is over Maritime Continent, favourable for cyclogenises over central Bay of Bengal. Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in negative phase.

3 Forecast & Warnings for next one week (15 to 21 September, 2016) The Forecast and warnings for the 36 Meteorological Sub-Divisions of the country for next 7 days is given below: METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST & WEATHER WARNINGS (15-21 SEPTEMBER 2016) S.No SUB-DIVISIONS SEP SEP SEP SEP SEP SEP SEP 1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS WS WS WS WS FWS FWS FWS 2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH SCT FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS 3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA SCT FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS SCT 4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA SCT FWS FWS FWS WS WS SCT 5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM SCT FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS 6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT 7 ODISHA FWS SCT FWS FWS WS FWS FWS 8 JHARKHAND ISOL ISOL SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT 9 BIHAR SCT FWS FWS SCT SCT SCT SCT 10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH SCT FWS SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT 11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL 12 UTTARAKHAND SCT SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL 13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI ISOL DRY DRY ISOL DRY DRY ISOL 14 PUNJAB DRY DRY DRY ISOL DRY DRY DRY 15 HIMACHAL PRADESH ISOL ISOL DRY ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL 16 JAMMU & KASHMIR ISOL ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY 17 WEST RAJASTHAN DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY 18 EAST RAJASTHAN ISOL ISOL DRY DRY ISOL ISOL ISOL 19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH SCT SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL 20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH FWS FWS SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT 21 GUJARAT REGION D.D. & N.H. FWS WS FWS FWS SCT ISOL ISOL 22 SAURASTRA KUTCH & DIU SCT SCT SCT SCT ISOL DRY DRY 23 KONKAN & GOA WS WS WS WS WS FWS FWS 24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA WS WS WS WS WS FWS WS 25 MARATHAWADA WS WS SCT SCT FWS FWS FWS 26 VIDARBHA FWS FWS SCT SCT FWS FWS FWS 27 CHHATTISGARH FWS SCT SCT SCT FWS FWS SCT 28 COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH FWS SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT 29 TELANGANA WS FWS SCT SCT FWS SCT SCT 30 RAYALASEEMA SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL 31 TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL 32 COASTAL KARNATAKA WS WS WS FWS FWS FWS FWS 33 NORTH INT.KARNATAKA WS FWS SCT SCT ISOL SCT FWS 34 SOUTH INT.KARNATAKA FWS SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT 35 KERALA FWS FWS SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT 36 LAKSHADWEEP FWS SCT SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL LEGENDS: WS WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL ISOLATED (up to 25%) DRY NO STATION REPORTED RAINFALL Heavy Rainfall ( mm) Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall ( mm) Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)

Above normal rainfall activity likely over northern parts of Peninsular, especially over Maharashtra till 23 September.

4 Extended Range Forecast upto 03 October 2016 Above normal rainfall activity likely over northeast India till 28 September. Above normal rainfall activity likely over many parts of east India till 23 September. Above normal rainfall activity likely over northern parts of Peninsular, especially over Maharashtra till 23 September. Parts of central India would also receive near normal rainfall activity during the same period. Below normal rainfall activity likely over northwest India on many days, indicating possible withdrawal of monsoon from some more parts. Rainfall is likely to increase over south Peninsular India from 24 September onwards. Next weekly update will be issued on Thursday i.e.22 September, 2016

5 Annexure I

6 Annexure II

7 Annexure III

Government of India Earth System Science Organization Ministry of Earth Sciences India

Government of India Earth System Science Organization Ministry of Earth Sciences India Meteorological Department Dated: 10 May, 2018 Current Weather Status and Outlook for next two weeks Highlights of