Land use and land cover change in Xinjiang over past 50 years and its ecological effects Chen Xi, Luo Geping Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, CAS November 7, 2006
Agenda 1. LUCC data over past 50 years 2. Result of LUCC over past 50 years 3. Driving forces of LUCC over past 50 years 4. Ecological effect of LUCC 5. Data basis of Central Asia
1. LUCC data over past 50 years Altay Mountain About Xinjiang Population: 20 000 000 Gurbantong Desert Junggar Basin Area: 1 600 000KM 2 Tianshan Urumqi Mountains Tarim River Tarim Basin Taklamakan Desert Kunkun Mountain
1. LUCC data over past 50 years ¾ Key study areas: the northern Tianshan Mountains and Tarim River The northern Tianshan Mountains Tarim River
1. LUCC data over past 50 years LUCC data including 4 periods in the format of both raster and vector, covering all of Xinjiang First period: 1950-1960 s Second period: 1970 s Third period: 1990 s Fourth period: 2000 s
1. LUCC data in the raster format 1171 relief maps at the scale of1:100 000 in the 1950-1960s
1. LUCC data in the raster format 1970 s 112 MSS images
1. LUCC data in the raster format Xinjiang TM Image mosaic in 1990 s from 112 Landsat TM scenes
1. LUCC data in the raster format Xinjiang ETM Image mosaic in 2000 from 111 Landsat ETM scenes
1. LUCC data in the vector format Xinjiang s LUCC maps in the 1960 s (left) and 2000 s (right)
1. LUCC data in the vector format 1960 s 1970 s 1990 s 2000 s LUCC in the Northern Tianshan Mountains from 1960 s to 2000 s
1. LUCC data in the vector format 1960 s 1970 s 1990 s LUCC maps in the Tarim River from 1960 s to 2000 s 2000 s
2. Results of LUCC over past 50 years--xinjiang Reservoir and pond increased by 210%,1430 KM 2 Town increased by 33%,600 KM 2 Farmland increased by 55%,23210 KM 2 Woodland declined by 39%,30702 KM 2 lake declined by 54%,6495 KM 2 glacier and snow declined by 1044 KM 2 sand land increased by 2286 KM 2 salty-alkaline land increased 433 KM 2
2. Results of LUCC over past 50 years--xinjiang 1960 2000 Contrast between2000 s and 1960 s area (ha) Percent% area (ha) Percent% area (ha) Percent% Farmland 4245860.24 2.59 6566888.89 4.00 2321028.65 54.67 woodland 7924159.87 4.83 4853955.65 2.96-3070204.23-38.74 grassland 19013940.08 11.58 16151105.04 9.83-2862835.03-15.06 Water area 4583136.08 2.79 4091539.21 2.49-491596.87-10.73 Town 44898.38 0.03 104875.59 0.06 59977.21 133.58 Unused land 128101782.37 78.00 132282410.39 80.55 4180628.02 3.26
2. Result of LUCC over past 50 years North Tianshan Ms Reservoir and pond increased by 162%,141 KM 2 Town increased by 886%,445 KM 2 Farmland increased by 147%,10442 KM 2,Accounting for 45% of the increase of Xinjiang Woodland declined by 42%,4636 KM 2 lake declined by 23%,351 KM 2 glacier and snow declined by 28%, 1044 KM 2 sand land increased by 477 KM 2 salty-alkaline land increased 596 KM 2
2. Result of LUCC over past 50 years North Tianshan Ms LUCC in the Northern Tianshan Mountains from 1960 s to 2000 s Constituent Proportion % Change % 1960 s 1970 s 1990 s 2000 s Contrast between 1960 s and 1970 s Contrast between 1960 s and 2000 s farmland 4.75 7.16 9.91 11.7 50.88 146.9 woodland 7.42 6.87 6.44 4.3-7.44-41.8 grassland 23.16 23.88 23.82 17.1 3.08-26.2 Water area 2.98 2.92 2.93 2.4-1.83-18 town 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.3 1.2 885.5 Unused land 61.24 58.84 56.52 63.7-3.92 3.7
2. Result of LUCC over past 50 years Tarim River Farmland increased by 62%,636 KM 2 Town increased by 52%,13 KM 2 Woodland declined by 51%,4885 KM 2 Reservoir and pond increased by 10%,8 KM 2 sand land increased by 543 KM 2
2. Result of LUCC over past 50 years Tarim River LUCC in the Tarim River from 1960 s to 2000 s Constituent Proportion % Change % 1960 s 1970 s 1990 s 2000 s Contrast between 1960 s and 1970 s Contrast between 1960 s and 2000 s farmland 2.34 2.63 2.90 3.79 146.9 62.26 woodland 21.89 24.97 22.09 10.71 14.04-51.08 grassland 4.37 7.37 6.92 4.25 68.74-2.79 Water area 2.21 3.58 1.66 1.84 62.18-16.52 town 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.09-1.89 52.73 Unused land 69.13 61.39 66.56 79.32-11.20 14.73
3. Driving forces of LUCC in Xinjiang over past 50 years For the oasis, its LUCC was mainly driven by human activities.natural driving forces is relatively weak. large-scale land reclamation and exploitation of water resources in Xinjiang has resulted in the conversion of desert land to anthropogenic oases Some native vegetation types have degraded and some were replaced by anthropogenic vegetation types or even totally eliminated for settlements
3. Driving forces of LUCC in Xinjiang over past 50 years 温度 / C 降水 /mm 径流 /10 8 m 3 550 450 350 250 40 35 30 25 20 3 2 1 0 Temperature 山区温度 -1 1961 1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 年 Precipitation 山区降水 1961 1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 年 Runoff 河流径流 1961 1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 年 In the 1990 s the average annual temperature increased by 0.78, annual precipitation increased by 12~15% in the mountainous regions and by 30~40% in the plain areas annual runoff volume increased by 19.4%
3. Driving forces of LUCC in Xinjiang over past 50 years Resulting in vegetation increase by 5.76%
4. Ecological Effects of LUCC on groundwater table 0. 00 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 年 The groundwater table was declining at an average annual rate of 20-45cm in the alluvial fan oasis The groundwater table was very slowly rising at an average annual rate of 2-7cm in the alluvial plain oasis S3 号观测井 S58 号观测井 -20.00 S4 号观测井 17 号观测井 -40.00-60.00-80.00 地下水埋深 (m) 0. 00 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 年 -4.00-8.00-12. 00 7 号观测井 8 号观测井 12 号观测井 S18 号观测井 - 16. 00 地下水埋深 (m)
4. Ecological Effects of LUCC on groundwater quality 3000 矿化度 (mg/ l ) 2500 2000 1500 1000 上部 下部 中部 500 0 1986 1988 1990 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 图 2 矿化度变化趋势 Fig.1 Trend of mineralization The mineralization of groundwater was relative stable in the alluvial fan oasis,usually <0.5g/l generally rising in the alluvial plain oasis, indeed worse >2g/l
4. Effects of LUCC on natural lake 1049 water table Change in the Bosten lake Mountain lakes seldom influenced by humaninduced LUCC Lakes in the Middle reaches ( for example Bosten lake) doubly influenced by the runoff in the mountain and LUCC in the plain: dynamic water table and mineralization Lakes in the lower reaches reduced usually, most dry up. 年平均水位 (m) 矿化度 ( g/ l ) 1048 1047 1046 1045 年径流量 (10 8 m 3 ) 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 Mineralization change in the Bosten lake 0 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 Runoff change in the Kaidu reiver 25 20 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000
4. Ecological Effect of LUCC on oasis soil 60 50 80 年代初 ( ear l y 1980s) 90 年代末 ( l at e 1990s) 40 g/ kg 30 20 10 0 东疆准北准南伊犁塔北塔西塔南全疆 东疆 :The east area of Xinjiang; 准北 :The north area of Jungar Basin; 准南 :The south area of Jungar Basin; 伊犁 :Yili area; 塔北 :The north area of Tarim Basin; 塔西 :The west area of Tarim Basin; 塔南 :The south area of Tarim Basin The change of Organic matter content in seven regions in the past 20 years
4. Ecological Effect of LUCC on oasis soil 120 100 80 年代初 ( ear l y 1980s) 90 年代末 ( l at e 1990s) 80 mg/kg 60 40 20 0 东疆准北准南伊犁塔北塔西塔南全疆 东疆 :The east area of Xinjiang; 准北 :The north area of Jungar Basin; 准南 :The south area of Jungar Basin; 伊犁 :Yili area; 塔北 :The north area of Tarim Basin; 塔西 :The west area of Tarim Basin; 塔南 :The south area of Tarim Basin The change of available nitrogen content in seven regions in the past 20 years
4. Ecological Effect of LUCC on oasis soil 60 50 80 年代初 ( ear l y 1980s) 90 年代末 ( l at e 1990s) 40 mg/ kg 30 20 10 0 东疆准北准南伊犁塔北塔西塔南全疆 东疆 :The east area of Xinjiang; 准北 :The north area of Jungar Basin; 准南 :The south area of Jungar Basin; 伊犁 :Yili area; 塔北 :The north area of Tarim Basin; 塔西 :The west area of Tarim Basin; 塔南 :The south area of Tarim Basin The change of available phosphorus content in seven regions in the past 20 years
5. Data basis in the Central Asia Population:60 000 000 Area: 4000 000km 2
5. Data basis in the Central Asia MODIS/ NOAA Receiving systems, which can receive images covering the Central Asia MODIS/NOAA/GM S Fukang Desert Ecosystem Station CBERS/IRS/SPOT
5. Data basis in the Central Asia 5.8 m IRS images covering the most areas of the Central Asia
5. Data basis in the Central Asia 15 m Landsat ETM images covering the entire Central Asia