PLAYBOOK presents: Victor King s NFL O/U TOTALS TIPSHEET Single $8.00 / Rest of Season: $67 Volume 13, Issue 11 NFL HISTORY takes place South of the Border on Monday Night... *Maybe! TWITTER: @KingCreole1 So far, So good in November... More winners than losers. That s what every reasonable bettor hopes for on any given day. Last week was one of those profitable ones for the Best Bets on these pages. We are very satisfied with the results of the Tipsheet over the last couple of weeks. Three winning weeks in a row is nice... but we have long way to go. A full seven weeks in fact. Yes, there is additional OU info that is crammed into each week s six-page issue of the Totals Tipsheet. But the bottom line is that we live in a results-oriented world when it comes to sports gaming. So we ll certainly take the 2-1 record from last week. The year-to-date record for the season is now officially at 16-14. We also had a couple of BIG Over / Under winners on our King Creole service last weekend. Of course, I thank all clients who signed up for the full season... and the others who buy our selections at the Playbook.com website. Let s get to the review... Game One in chronological order was on OVER the TOTAL in the THURSDAY night game between the PITTSBURGH STEELERS and CAROLINA PANTHERS. The OU line was right around 51 points. I even found some additional database OU info that had me bumping the play up to a 3*** GAMEDAY selection for our King Creole service. This was one of those easy FUN plays in which you KNEW you were on the right side right from the get-go. In a 30-second period early in the first quarter, we got 21 FAST points: A pick-6... a 75-yard TD pass...and a 20-yard TD pass. After one quarter, the score was 21-7... and at the half, we were already up to 45 combined points. We officially cashed our W at the 6-minute mark of the 3rd quarter. When all the smoke cleared, Pittsburgh had 457 yards of total offense... and went Over the Total all by THEMSELVES! Game Two was on UNDER the TOTAL in the AFC South division battle between the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS and JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS. The line opened at 47.5 and closed at 48 by kickoff. It was definitely a tale of two HALVES. A 21-point first quarter was not what we were looking for... and at the half, it looked like we were done for (score was 29-16). Obviously, it was a loser for us. But there was only 10 COMBINED points in the entire second half. Not quite enough to get us out of the first-half hole... but a loser of just 7 points. Game Three was Monkey s play on UNDER the TOTAL in the AFC West Division game between the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS and OAKLAND RAIDERS. Sharp OU bettors already know to always look Under FIRST when a road team is extremely chalky, like the Chargers were (they were -10 on the road / OU line was 50.5). The game played out just like Monkey likes: A low-scoring, conservative, division game that gets so boring that the inevitable outcome is a lateafternoon NAP. Both teams combined for less than 650 total yards of offense, and the final score was an EASY winner by 25 points... November 15th-19th, Two BIG ONES last week in College Football and NFL We got a pretty good response for last week s 5* GAME of the MONTH in College Football (which was available at the Playbook.com website on Thursday), and we wanna thank all OU bettors who joined us. That 5* Best Bet was on OVER the TOTAL in the BIG 12 in-state rivalry game between OKLAHOMA and OKLAHOMA STATE. The line was at 76.5 when we submitted the play, and rose to 80 by kickoff on Saturday afternoon. NO WORRIES... A 28-pt first quarter, and a 34-pt second quarter. By the half, there was already 811(!) combined offensive yards, and 62 points. Final score was 48 to 47, with 1342 total yards. With the win, our 5* BEST BETS in College Football are now 2-0 on the season. We followed up that Saturday big one with a 4* GAME of the WEEK on Sunday in the NFL. That BEST BET was on UNDER 46.5 points in the Patriots / Titans game. Obviously, it was shocking to see Tennessee taking a 17-3 lead after one quarter. Even MORE shocking was the fact that the game STILL stayed Under the Total! Thanks to all who joined us. And a BIG ONE this week in the NFL! King Creole s 5***** GAME of the MONTH in the NFL goes this Sunday, and it s NOT listed in the Totals Tipsheet. Yes, it s an OVER... and will be available at Playbook.com on Thursday! What did SHARP Over / Under bettors learn last week? **Tennessee s defense is for REAL. They held the #4 scoring offense (Patriots) to just ONE offensive TD, and only 284 yards... **Washington is as BAD on offense (major injuries) as they are GOOD on defense. Therefore a great UNDER team to play in the next week or two... **There is an eight-way TIE for best UNDER team in the NFL. Arizona, Baltimore, Denver, Houston, Oakland, Seattle, Tennessee, and Washington are all tied at 3-6 O/U ( Unders)... **After Tampa s 7-2 O/U record (#1 OVER team), there is seven-way TIE for next best. Atlanta, Carolina, Chicago, Cincinnati, Detroit, Indianapolis, and Pittsburgh are all tied at 6-3 O/U ( Overs). The surprising team on that list is CHICAGO... MORE on Rams vs Chiefs game... Our writeup for the Rams / Chiefs game on Page Two was written up on Monday. As we are going to press on Tuesday afternoon, there is talk within the league that the field in Mexico City (Estadio Azteca) is in extremely poor shape. It might even result in the game being MOVED back to Los Angeles... or even postponed. The Rams are currently training for the game at HIGH ALTITUDE in Colorado Springs. We will certainly stand by our play regardless of WHERE they decide to play it. But just between you and me, I think the OVER has a better chance of cashing if it was played at the Coliseum IN Los Angeles... King s 5* GAME of the MONTH in the NFL goes on SUNDAY, and it s an OVER... Available on Thursday at Playbook.com! 1
3* Texans @ Redskins UNDER What have we learned after 10 weeks of the season? (A) BOTH of these defenses are LEGIT, and (B) NEITHER one of these passing offenses are what you would call prolific. So we ll start this week s Best Bets with the UNDER in the Washington / Houston game. It s the only game on the Week 11 schedule featuring TWO of the Top 7 scoring defenses in the league (Wash: 19.4 ppg allowed / Hous: 20.4). On D, Houston has allowed 17 < pts in 4 of their last 5 games (1-4 O/U)... and the SAME goes for the Skins (also 1-4 O/U). In fact, Washington just held the #1 offense in the entire league (TBAY BUCS) to just 3 points. And the last time that Washington scored MORE than 2 offensive TD s in a game was way back in Week 3! Houston is a much different team on the ROAD. They have have scored > 20 points in just ONE of their last 10 road games (2-8 O/U). With the Texans entering this game wellrested, we note that: NFL road favorites AFTER their Bye Week have gone 1-12 O/U s 2011 / 0-5 O/U L3Y if their last game was on the ROAD 2* Chiefs vs Rams OVER (Mon) It looks like the entire betting world is going OVER the Total in this game, so we ll join the party... or in this case, the FIESTA! The setting will be at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, for the last International Series game of the season. It s ironic that HISTORY (in regards to the OU line) will take place not in the USA, but on foreign soil. The line between the CHIEFS and RAMS opened at 63.5 points, and it looks like this will be the HIGHEST OU line of ALL-TIME. Sharp Totals Tipsheet readers probably already know the results by heart: Since late in the 2000 season, All NFL games with a CLOSING (kickoff) OU line of > 57 points have gone 11-1-1 O/U... and a PERFECT 8-0 O/U when the line is 58 or more (CHIEFS vs RAMS). We are gonna need many TD s in this game to cash a winner on the OVER (not Field Goals). A good sign for us is the fact that BOTH of these teams are ranked very poorly in defensive Red Zone TD% when playing on the ROAD (KC: #27 / 83% TD s - LAR: #25 / TD s). We know the Rams will get their points, 2* (Texans). Next up for the visiting Texans is a MONDAY division home game against the Titans... 1-11 O/U: All non-division ROAD teams BEFORE playing a MONDAY division home game (Texans). Even though both teams are.666 on the year (6-3 SU), it s the ROAD team who is favored in this non-conference affair. 3-13 O/U L6Y: All AFC road favs of > 1 pts (Hous) versus any NFC opponent (Wash) when the OU line is 42 > points. With the Redskins allowing a paltry 3 points last week, our database tells us that In the last 3 years, ALL NFL teams who allowed 3 or LESS points on the road in their last game (Skins) have gone a PERFECT 0-9 O/U in their next game. Washington has scored 16 and 14 points in their last 2 games. Since December of last season, NFL home teams have gone 1-15-1 O/U after scoring LESS than 17 points in each of their last 2 games (Wash), when the OU line is > 38 points. Yes, the Skins had a HIGH OU line last week. 0-7 O/U last 12 months: All teams w/ an OU line of 45 < pts after a road game in which the OU line was 50 > pts (Wash). as they have scored 33 or more in 8/10 games this season. The scary Onhhhhhhh part (for LA fans) is the fact the Rams have also given up 27 > pts in each of their last 3 games, to boot. The sky s the limit against the #2 scoring offense in the entire league (KC: 35.3 ppg). Mondays have been a great Day of the Week for OVERS as of late in non-conference games. 13-3 O/U last 5 years: All MONDAY non-conference games (AFC vs NFC) when the pointspread is 6 or less points (RAMS are -1.5 to -2.5). Both of these teams had very similar outcomes last week. Both were BIG home favs who WON their respective games... but did NOT cash (as in ATS win)... 9-1-1 O/U since 1997: All NFL non-division games in which BOTH teams are off a SU win BUT an ATS loss (CHIEFS + RAMS) when the OU line is 44 > points. We are also gonna need EXPLOSIVE (or quick) plays on offense to cash our OVER. Not surprisingly, these offenses are ranked #1 and #2 this season in most 20+ yard passing plays (LAR: 50 / KC: 49). And in 40+ yard passing plays, KC is #1 (11) while LA is tied for #4 (8). Steelers @ Jaguars We re always gonna consider Over FIRST when Pittsburgh is at home. But put the Steelers on the ROAD, especially in a chalky role... and Monkey is gonna use em as her UNDER of the WEEK. After all, our Top Dog can t pass this up: PITTSBURGH has gone 1-15-1 O/U as road FAVS of 3 > points in the last 4+ seasons. And it also doesn t hurt us that this Steelers / Jaguars SERIES has gone 0-3 O/U in the last three meetings, with an avg OU MARGIN of -10.9 points per game. Last week, Monkey cashed an EASY Under winner when the Chargers were laying points on the road. So with Pittsburgh currently favored by -5 to -5.5 points, it s back to the database for a road fav query. 6-30-1 O/U L4Y / 4-17 O/U L2Y: All Game 15 < AFC road favorites of -5 > pts (Steelers), when the OU line is 52 or less points. The Steelers come in with a 6-2-1 SU record on the season (.750), while Jacksonville is struggling with a 3-6 SU record (.333). 5-29-1 O/U last 6 years: All GAME FOUR or greater.750 > ROAD teams (Pit) versus any.333 or worse opponent (Jack). We are certainly aware that Pittsburgh just rang up 52 points against the Panthers last Thursday. Don t let that gaudy point total scare you off... Besides, NFL road teams who just scored 50 or more points at in their last game (Pit) have gone 0-6 O/U in the last five seasons. The Steelers are on a multi-game WIN streak (5+ SU wins in a row) while the opposite is the case for the Jags (5+ SU losses in a row). 1-8-1 O/U last 4 years: All NFL teams off 4+ SU wins (Pit) vs any opponent off 4+ SU losses (Jack). 2
ALL SYSTEMS ARE THIS WEEK S HIGH PERCENTAGE O/U SYSTEMS NFL Week Ten OU Results / Week 11 OU lines The 3-week run of More UNDERS than OVERS is finished. For the first time in a month, there was more OVERS in Week Ten action. It was also the 4th highestscoring week of the season, to boot. It began with a SHOOTOUT in the Thursday night game (like we foreshadowed in the Totals Tipsheet headline last week), and it concluded with a higher-than-expected total in the Monday Night game. Let s check out the numbers. In Week Ten, the average OU line was 48.0 points. It was the highest average of the entire season. Here s the average OU line for each week thus far: 44.6 (Week 1)... 45.0 (Week 2)...46.2 (Week 3)... 46.8 (Week 4)... 47.2 (Week 5)... 46.9 (Week 6)... 47.2 (Week 7)... 47.8 (Week 8)... 47.8 (Week 9)... and 48.0 (Week 10). The average points per game last weekend was 48.6... with an average OU margin of +0.6 ppg. Official results were 8 OVERS... and 6 UNDERS (8-6 O/U). Full season year-to-date results in the NFL now stand squarely (pun intended!) at 74-74 O/U. That s right. The exact same amount of OVERS as UNDERS after 10 weeks. Average combined points per game for the season is now at 48.2. The averages for the first 10 weeks of the season: 47.8 (Week 1)... 46.3 (Week 2)... 45.2 (Week 3)... 53.4 (Week 4)... 47.3 (Week 5)... 50.7 (Week 6)... 46.9 (Week 7)... 49.1 (Week 8)... 46.6 (Week 9)... 48.6 (Week 10). For just the 2nd time all season, ALL three PRIMETIME games went OVER the Total (3-0 O/U). For the year, the Primetime games are now at 16-15 O/U, with an average of 50.2 ppg. Thursday NIGHT: 7-3 O/U (53.3)... Sunday NIGHT: 3-7 O/U (47.4)... Monday NIGHT: 6-5 O/U (50.0). Sunday s EARLY kickoff games went 4-4 O/U (45-38 O/U overall / 47.8 ppg) Sunday s LATE kickoff games went 1-2 O/U (13-21 O/U overall / 46.8 ppg) DIVISIONAL games went a surprising 5-1 O/U (21-24 O/U overall / 46.2 ppg) AFC non-division Conference games went 0-1 O/U (17-13 O/U overall / 51.2 ppg) NFC non-division Conference games went 1-1 O/U (13-16 O/U overall / 46.7 ppg) NON-Conf games (AFC vs NFC) game went 2-3 O/U (23-21 O/U overall / 48.4) As of Tuesday morning, the average OU line for this week s 13 games is a low (relatively-speaking) 45.2. The only one with no line right now is the Bengals @ Ravens game (QB Flacco??). Before and After BYE WEEK Over / Under tendencies We re getting close to saying Bye-Bye to the BYES. But not until a whopping SIX teams take a breather this week. And next week will be the last, with both the Rams and Chiefs finishing up the Byes. So far, NFL teams have produced some pretty high-scoring weeks after taking their rest. NFL teams AFTER their Bye Week have gone 10-2 O/U so far in the season in SAME-Conference play... This week s same-conference teams coming in off their Bye are: The VIKINGS, RAVENS, and BRONCOS. Also THIS season, teams coming in off their Bye Week have gone a PERFECT 7-0 O/U (RAVENS). We talked abut this PRE-Bye Week situation way back in Issue #4. Since it has TWO qualifiers this week, it s worthy of a reminder. In the history of our database, NFL teams playing on MONDAYS before their BYE Week have gone OVER of the time (56-27-1 O/U)... Sine 1997, these teams have gone 38-14-2 O/U ( Overs). There has been 4 situations already THIS season, and those games have gone 3-1 O/U. It just occurred LAST night as the NINERS went OVER in their Monday game vs the Giants. And this week, that HOT Over situation applies to the RAMS and CHIEFS. vs : Biggest gains and falls on defense Biggest GAINERS in DEFENSIVE points allowed in : HOUSTON -6.8 ppg (20.4 ppg allowed in / 27.2 ppg allowed in )... TENNESSEE -6.1 ppg (16.8 / 22.9)... WASHINGTON -4.8 ppg (19.4 / 24.2)... DALLAS -1.8 ppg (19.0 / 20.8). Biggest FALLERS in DEFENSIVE points allowed in : CINCINNATI +10.2 ppg (32.0 ppg allowed in / 21.8 ppg allowed in )... ATLANTA +9.1 ppg (28.2 / 19.1)... TAMPA BAY +8.4 ppg (32.3 / 23.9)... OAKLAND +6.9 ppg (30.2 / 23.3)... MINNESOTA +5.3 ppg (22.7 / 17.4)... CAROLINA +4.7 ppg (25.8 / 21.1)... NEW ORLEANS +4.6 ppg (25.8 / 21.2)... JACKSONVILLE +4.4 ppg (22.1 / 17.7)... NEW ENGLAND +4.1 ppg (23.6 / 19.5). BALTIMORE BUFFALO CINCINNATI CLEVELAND DENVER HOUSTON INDIANAPOLIS JACKSONVILLE KANSAS CITY LA CHARGERS MIAMI NEW ENGLAND NY JETS OAKLAND PITTSBURGH TENNESSEE ARIZONA ATLANTA CAROLINA CHICAGO DALLAS DETROIT GREEN BAY LA RAMS MINNESOTA NEW ORLEANS NY GIANTS PHILADELPHIA SAN FRANCISCO SEATTLE TAMPA BAY WASHINGTON 44.7 39.7 48.5 41.9 41.1 44.3 45.6 41.2 52.0 45.9 45.7 53.2 44.6 46.1 55.4 40.9 38.9 53.7 52.0 46.2 44.0 49.1 46.5 54.4 41.7 56.6 40.9 42.2 43.9 46.0 48.5 42.1 43.0 39.0 49.6 45.3 43.4 42.2 48.8 43.0 56.0 44.8 41.2 44.2 39.6 39.8 43.5 39.7 42.5 47.2 48.3 44.4 40.3 46.7 50.8 51.7 45.2 51.0 41.8 46.9 41.9 42.7 53.9 39.7 POWER RATINGS COMPUTATION Compute the point difference between the home and away team. Multiply that number times 66%. The resulting number should be SUBTRACTED from the road team, if their OU rating is higher than the home team s rating. The number should be ADDED to the road team if their OU rating is lower than the home team s rating. Example: Miami (40.8) @ New Orleans (54.9). Difference is 14.1 points. Multiply times.666 and the result is 9.4 points. Round off if needed. Add 9 pts to the road team (40.8) rating to get a suggested OU Power Rating of 49.9 for this game. 3
GB Packers (49.5) SEA SEAHWKS Car Panthers (50.5) DET LIONS Dal Cowboys (47.5) ATL FALCONS Cin Bengals (NL) BAL RAVENS Min Vikings (45.5) CHI BEARS Phil Eagles (54) NORL SAINTS Ten Titans (48) IND COLTS Hous Texans (43) WAS REDKINS TBay Bucs (52) NY GIANTS Den Broncos (47) LA CHARGERS Oak Raiders (41) ARZ CARDINALS Pit Steelers (47.5) JAC JAGUARS Kc Chiefs (63.5) La Rams (Mexico City) Buffalo Bills Cleveland Browns Miami Dolphins New England Patriots NY Jets SF 49ers 5-0 O/U aft non-conf HG... 5-0 O/U bef Min... 4-0 O/U aft Mia... 3-0 O/U Thursday RG... 8-3 O/U as dogs 5 < pts 5-1 O/U as HF s 6 < pts... but 0-4 O/U Thursdays... 0-3 O/U aft Rams... 3-11 O/U aft div RG... 2-6 O/U vs NFC North 6-0 O/U away off SU L 21 > pts... 10-3 O/U in 2nd of BB RG... 9-3 O/U vs NFC North... 3-1 O/U L4 vs Det... but 1-4 O/U as RF s 8-1 O/U as conf HD s... 4-1 O/U home off div RG... 8-3 O/U aft Chi... but 1-3 O/U Game 10... 2-5 O/U bef Thursday gm 0-7 O/U bef div HG... 0-3 O/U Game 10... 1-5 O/U bef Thursday gm... 1-5 O/U vs NFC South... 2-5 O/U in 2nd of BB RG 0-6 O/U off road fav loss... 1-4 O/U vs <.500 conf opp... 2-8 O/U vs NFC East... 1-3 O/U bef Thur gm... 3-7 O/U bef NOrl 0-6 O/U off home L 14 > pts... 0-5 O/U aft NOrl... 0-4 O/U vs opp off Bye... 1-9 O/U away vs div w/ OU > 40 pts... 1-5 O/U Gm 10 0-5 O/U home vs opp off SU loss 21 > pts... 0-4 O/U Game 10... 0-4 O/U bef Oak... 1-8 O/U aft Bye... 1-7 O/U L8 div HG 0-6 O/U as dogs 4 < pts... 0-4 O/U bef GB... 0-2 O/U Sunday NIGHTS... 1-8 O/U in 2nd of BB div gms... 1-5 O/U aft Det 5-0 O/U Sunday NIGHTS... 8-2 O/U as favs in 2nd of BB HG... but 0-4 O/U L4 home vs Min (36.0)... 1-5 O/U bef Thur gm 11-1-1 O/U L13 as RD s... 6-1 O/U bef NYG... 4-1 O/U vs.700 > opp... 5-1 O/U L6 vs NOrl (55.3)... but 1-10 O/U aft Dal 6-1 O/U L7 conf HG... 6-2 O/U bef Thur gm... 9-3 O/U vs NFC East... 5-2 O/U bef Atl... but 3-11 O/U Game 10 4-1 O/U Game 10... 3-1 O/U bef Hou... 6-2 O/U aft NEng... but 0-3 O/U off home dog win... 0-3 O/U bef Monday game 9-2 O/U aft JAck... 4-2 o/u L6 vs Ten... but 0-4 O/U in 3rd straight HG... 0-3 O/U Game 10... 2-8 O/U L10 as div HF s 6-2 O/U bef div HG... 1-5 O/U bef Ten... 1-4 O/U off 3+ SU wins... 4-12 O/U away vs.600 > opp... 4-10 O/U aft Bye 4-1 O/U vs opp off Bye... but 0-3 O/U home vs AFC... 0-3 O/U bef div RG... 1-12 O/U aft TBay... 1-9 O/U w/ OU 45 < pts 8-0 O/U vs opp off Mon gm... 4-0 O/U vs.250 < opp... 3-0 O/U L3 vs NYG (57.6)... 5-2 O/U aft Wash... but 0-8 O/U aft score 3 < 7-3 O/U aft Mon RG... but 1-8 O/U aft SF... 1-6 O/U as non-div HF/HD 3 < pts... 1-4 O/U bef Phil... 1-4 O/U home vs NFC South 8-1 O/U away vs.700 > opp... but 0-5 O/U Game 10... 1-6 O/U off home fav loss... 1-3 O/U bef Pitt... 3-7 O/U aft Bye 2-0 O/U Game 10... but 0-5 O/U L5 home vs Den (31.0)... 0-3 O/U aft allow 7 < pts... 2-8 O/U L10 div HG... 1-3 O/U aft Oak 4-1 O/U aft div HG... but 1-5 O/U in 1st of BB RG... 1-4 O/U vs.333 < opp... 2-7 O/U bef Balt... 3-11 O/U vs NFC West 4-1 O/U Game 10... 6-3 O/U as non-div HF s 4 < pts... but 1-6 O/U vs.250 < opp... 3-9 O/U L12 home vs AFC 4-2 O/U aft Thur gm... but 1-15 O/U as RF s 3 > pts... 1-7 O/U vs opp off 3+ SU L... 1-4 O/U vs AFC South... 1-3 O/U Gm 10 6-1 O/U vs opp off Thur gm... but 0-3 O/U L3 vs Pit (31.7)... 0-3 O/U Game 10... 1-6 O/U vs AFC North... 1-3 O/U aft Indy 8-0 O/U aft Ariz... 7-1 O/U L8 as dogs... 4-1 O/U Mondays... 4-1 O/U bef Bye... 4-1 O/U Game 11... but 2-6 O/U vs NFC West 4-1 O/U aft div HG... 4-1 O/U aft Sea... 7-2 O/U Game 11... 6-2 O/U Mondays vs non-div opp... but 0-3 O/U bef Bye RECENT O/U PATTERNS BASED ON PREVIOUS OR NEXT OPP (SYSTEM PERTAINS TO TEAM IN PARENTHESIS) MONTH TO MONTH INDIVIDUAL TEAM O/U TENDENCIES In Games 9-12 of the season NOVEMBER The League (NOR) is 4-1 O/U BEFORE Falcons The League (GB) is 11-3 O/U BEFORE Vikings The League (ARZ) is 0-5 O/U BEFORE Chargers The League (WAS) is 1-9 O/U BEFORE Cowboys The League (LAC) is 2-9 O/U BEFORE Cardinals The League (IND) is 5-1 O/U AFTER Jaguars The League (NOR) is 5-1 O/U AFTER Bengals The League (KC) is 20-6 O/U AFTER Cardinals The League (PIT) is 0-4 O/U AFTER Panthers The League (ATL) is 1-5 O/U AFTER Browns The League (HOU) is 3-9 O/U AFTER Broncos The League (SEA) is 3-8 O/U AFTER Rams ARZ: 8-3 O/U home L6Y BUF: 5-8 O/U away L6Y CAR: 9-1 O/U away L4Y CIN: 6-18-2 O/U L7Y CLE: 4-10 O/U L4Y DAL: 2-5 O/U away L3Y DEN: 6-3-1 O/U home L6Y GB: 1-6 O/U home L3Y GB: 5-2 O/U away L3Y IND: 2-5 O/U home L3Y IND: 8-3 O/U away L5Y LAR: 3-10 O/U L3Y MIA: 7-3 O/U L3Y NE: 9-4 O/U home L6Y NE: 1-5 O/U away L2Y NOR: 8-3 O/U home L5Y NOR: 4-8 O/U away L6Y NYG: 2-9 O/U L3Y OAK: 6-3-1 O/U home L4Y PIT: 9-2-1 O/U home L6Y SF: 2-10 O/U home L5Y TB: 1-7 O/U home L4Y TEN: 6-3-1 O/U home L4Y WAS: 11-4 O/U L4Y 4
NFL Red Zone TD Scoring Percentages (OFF + DEF) Last 2 Years Getting into the RED ZONE. Once an offense gets there, it can result in 7 pts (TD) or 3 pts (FG) or 0 pts (turning the ball over or losing it on downs). The difference between a TD or FG occuring in the Red Zone can sometimes be the difference between an OVER or an UNDER cashing. Here s the home and away TD percentages of teams (on offense and defense) in the Red Zone over the last two seasons. HIGHER percentages (in BOLD) increase the odds of an Over hitting. LOWER percentages tend to lead to more Unders. We ll also update this chart throughout the season. ARIZONA ATLANTA BALTIMORE BUFFALO CAROLINA CHICAGO CINCINNATI CLEVELAND DALLAS DENVER DETROIT GREEN BAY HOUSTON INDIANAPOLIS JACKSONVILLE KANSAS CITY LA CHARGERS LA RAMS MIAMI MINNESOTA NEW ENGLAND NEW ORLEANS NY GIANTS NY JETS OAKLAND PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH SAN FRANCISCO SEATTLE TAMPA BAY TENNESSEE WASHINGTON 87% 76% 82% 42% 79% 25% 87% 86% OFFENSIVE RED ZONE TD SCORING % DEFENSIVE RED ZONE TD SCORING % 82% 42% 51% 35% 40% 87% 66% 77% in NFL Dog Plays L3Y! Dawg Pound Hotline s NFL UnderDOG of the WEEK Documented 25-11-3 ATS / 69 Available Fridays for just $25 At PLAYBOOK.com Last Week: pass... 5 34% 35% 90% 77% 83% 74% 85% 83% 81% 40% 95% 21% 27% 31% 91% 66% 79% 40% 51% 42% 49%
NFL Home/Away O/U Results & Avg Total Points L4Y (Reg Season) Arizona Atlanta Baltimore Buffalo Carolina Chicago Cincinnati Cleveland Dallas Denver Detroit Green Bay Houston Indianapolis Jacksonville Kansas City LA Chargers LA Rams Miami Minnesota New England New Orleans NY Giants NY Jets Oakland Philadelphia Pittsburgh San Francisco Seattle Tampa Bay Tennessee Washington 2015 2014 LAST 4 YEARS 1-4 / 37.0 4-1 / 62.8 1-3 / 44.2 2-2 / 39.2 4-1 / 53.5 3-2 / 51.6 3-2 / 57.3 3-3 / 42.5 3-1 / 43.0 1-4 / 43.8 2-2 / 49.2 3-2 / 46.6 2-2 / 45.4 3-1 / 56.2 2-2 / 33.9 1-4 / 51.4 2-1 / 52.7 3-2 / 56.6 4-1 / 45.2 1-4 / 40.0 2-3 / 57.0 3-1 / 67.2 1-3 / 41.4 4-1 / 52.6 2-2 / 57.2 1-4 / 39.0 4-1 / 60.2 3-2 / 47.8 1-2 / 47.7 2-2 / 43.2 1-3 / 37.7 2-3 / 41.4 3-5 / 41.0 2-6 / 39.3 4-4 / 45.0 4-3-1 / 40.3 5-3 / 45.4 2-6 / 34.9 2-4-2 / 37.1 1-6 / 34.3 3-5 / 45.3 4-4 / 41.4 6-2 / 48.9 4-4 / 37.6 4-4 / 50.1 2-6 / 38.7 4-3 / 44.3 2-5-1 / 41.0 2-6 / 41.4 4-3 / 48.4 4-3 / 45.0 3-5 / 37.2 5-3 / 50.1 5-3 / 52.6 3-5 / 41.7 5-3 / 45.2 3-5 / 45.0 3-5 / 42.0 5-3 / 51.6 5-3 / 50.0 5-3 / 49.1 2-6 / 38.4 5-3 / 44.9 3-5 / 44.6 2-6 / 43.8 8-0 / 62.7 3-5 / 37.6 8-0 / 56.6 2-5-1 / 44.9 4-4 / 41.9 3-4 / 39.7 2-6 / 42.3 4-4 / 48.8 3-4-1 / 40.3 3-5 / 42.5 4-4 / 47.9 3-5 / 36.7 2-6 / 47.1 5-2 / 43.7 2-6 / 39.6 5-3 / 54.5 4-3 / 36.7 7-1 / 50.3 3-5 / 40.1 4-4 / 42.2 5-3 / 60.5 3-5 / 38.1 4-4 / 40.1 6-1 / 57.3 2-6 / 39.7 4-4 / 49.5 4-4 / 46.4 5-3 / 45.4 4-4 / 44.1 4-3-1 / 47.0 6-2 / 47.9 4-4 / 48.8 1-7 / 43.9 4-4 / 45.9 4-4 / 45.5 5-2-1 / 50.0 4-4 / 47.1 3-5 / 42.4 5-3 / 45.7 5-3 / 47.5 2-5-1 / 40.1 6-2 / 50.3 1-7 / 40.3 3-5 / 36.0 3-5 / 41.6 4-3 / 45.4 2-5 / 37.3 3-5 / 46.1 3-5 / 39.4 3-4 / 43.7 3-5 / 45.1 4-4 / 49.3 5-3 / 64.0 6-2 / 54.4 5-3 / 46.0 5-2-1 / 48.4 4-4 / 47.9 4-4 / 49.5 1-7 / 31.1 4-4 / 45.5 5-3 / 47.6 4-3-1 / 45.3 3-5 / 44.3 3-5 / 37.9 4-3 / 51.7 2-6 / 39.0 1-6 / 37.6 2-6 / 37.9 2-6 / 44.4 5-3 / 51.3 2-6 / 39.8 2-5-1 / 45.4 6-2 / 56.1 4-4 / 40.1 6-2 / 60.0 4-4 / 44.4 4-4 / 45.7 2-5 / 39.6 3-5 / 40.6 3-5 / 38.8 5-3 / 46.2 5-3 / 49.3 4-4 / 43.3 5-3 / 49.8 5-3 / 50.9 4-4 / 47.7 3-5 / 41.1 5-2 / 47.0 6-2 / 55.8 6-2 / 56.8 1-6-1 / 39.8 4-4 / 41.5 1-7 / 37.9 3-5 / 40.8 3-4-1 / 44.9 12-20 / 42.9 15-16 / 49.4 13-19 / 41.9 17-13-1 / 45.0 14-16-2 / 44.5 12-20 / 42.1 13-16-2 / 42.6 10-21 / 40.5 14-17-1 / 46.7 15-15-2 / 44.5 19-13 / 45.4 15-17 / 46.4 14-18 / 41.8 11-21 / 43.3 15-13 / 43.2 9-21-1 / 39.6 13-19 / 45.2 16-14 / 42.7 19-11 / 47.1 13-19 / 41,4 18-14 / 47.8 20-12 / 57.0 16-16 / 45.5 17-15 / 43.1 19-10-1 / 49.4 15-17 / 46.3 19-13 / 51.8 11-20-1 / 41.8 18-14 / 45.4 12-20 / 42.0 16-14-2 / 44.5 15-16-1 / 45.4 Arizona Atlanta Baltimore Buffalo Carolina Chicago Cincinnati Cleveland Dallas Denver Detroit Green Bay Houston Indianapolis Jacksonville Kansas City LA Chargers LA Rams Miami Minnesota New England New Orleans NY Giants NY Jets Oakland Philadelphia Pittsburgh San Francisco Seattle Tampa Bay Tennessee Washington 2015 2014 LAST 4 YEARS 2-2 / 40.9 2-2 / 45.9 2-3 / 39.2 2-4 / 38.5 2-2 / 51.4 3-1 / 46.5 3-1 / 59.2 2-2 / 56.4 1-4 / 36.0 2-2 / 49.7 4-1 / 49.8 2-2 / 51.5 1-4 / 43.6 3-2 / 54.8 2-3 / 44.6 4-1 / 67.2 3-3 / 44.7 2-3 / 56.4 1-4 / 45.8 3-1 / 56.2 2-3 / 46.2 2-3 / 58.6 3-2 / 47.8 2-3 / 39.8 1-4 / 38.0 3-1 / 46.5 2-2 / 46.7 3-2 / 51.4 2-4 / 44.7 5-0 / 70.0 2-3 / 33.6 1-3 / 35.9 3-5 / 41.0 3-5 / 44.2 5-3 / 42.2 3-5 / 42.2 4-4 / 40.7 2-5-1 / 38.1 4-4 / 42.7 6-3 / 44.7 3-5 / 40.4 4-4 / 42.5 4-4 / 49.3 7-1 / 50.4 3-5 / 48.5 4-4 / 44.6 4-5 / 41.7 5-3 / 53.2 2-6 / 36.9 7-2 / 52.0 3-5-1 / 39.8 4-4 / 42.0 2-6 / 44.0 4-4 / 44.1 3-5 / 37.5 3-5 / 39.6 2-6 / 39.3 4-3-1 / 52.0 0-7-1 / 37.6 3-5 / 39.2 2-6 / 38.1 6-2 / 51.2 4-4 / 41.4 5-3 / 46.6 8-0 / 53.8 5-2-1 / 55.5 4-4 / 45.4 4-4 / 40.5 4-3-1 / 51.5 4-4 / 42.7 3-6 / 40.2 6-2 / 47.2 2-6 / 42.0 3-5 / 38.4 3-5 / 45.4 6-2 / 54.5 3-5 / 39.1 7-1 / 53.3 5-4 / 45.8 4-4 / 47.8 4-4 / 49.6 3-6 / 40.1 5-3 / 42.6 3-4-1 / 39.1 2-6 / 44.1 4-4 / 54.8 1-7 / 36.1 3-5 / 45.4 5-4 / 44.4 7-1 / 47.5 2-6 / 41.2 6-2 / 51.9 4-4 / 35.4 3-5 / 46.2 5-3 / 47.8 6-2 / 49.3 5-3 / 51.4 1-7 / 41.6 3-5 / 45.5 4-4 / 46.7 5-3 / 51.0 4-4 / 44.4 4-4 / 44.9 3-5 / 43.0 1-7 / 33.6 4-4 / 41.2 3-5 / 44.5 4-4 / 45.9 5-2-1 / 45.5 5-3 / 50.9 6-3 / 56.3 6-2-1 / 47.9 3-5 / 43.6 1-7 / 36.8 4-5 / 43.7 1-6-1 / 38.2 5-3 / 48.3 4-4 / 46.5 5-3 / 53.4 3-5 / 41.6 3-4-1 / 46.4 4-4 / 53.0 2-6 / 43.3 6-2 / 47.0 3-5 / 42.0 4-4 / 47.2 5-3 / 44.8 6-2 / 51.4 2-5-1 / 38.3 2-7 / 48.4 5-3 / 49.9 2-7 / 41.0 6-2 / 51.0 6-2 / 50.6 1-7 / 37.4 3-5 / 39.6 7-1 / 64.8 4-4 / 48.4 1-7 / 35.3 4-4 / 44.1 4-4 / 40.5 5-3 / 57.6 6-3 / 42.3 2-6 / 38.6 4-4 / 48.1 3-5 / 38.5 3-5 / 45.8 2-6 / 40.2 4-4 / 48.0 5-3 / 52.1 6-2 / 49.7 4-4 / 44.4 5-4 / 41.8 4-3-1 / 53.3 3-5 / 43.6 3-5 / 40.8 4-4 / 39.5 4-4 / 47.9 3-5 / 45.6 4-4 / 47.4 18-13-1 / 46.1 11-21-1 / 47.4 17-15 / 45.7 13-20 / 42.6 19-12-1 / 48.6 16-15-1 / 43.8 12-21 / 41.3 18-15 / 43.6 13-19 / 45.2 15-17 / 42.6 11-21 / 43.6 21-11 / 48.5 15-16-1 / 43.4 21-11 / 51.6 21-15 / 46.5 17-15-1 / 46.9 13-19 / 44.5 14-20 / 41.8 15-18-1 / 42.9 10-20-2 / 39.9 13-19 / 46.1 17-15 / 49.4 15-17 / 44.2 13-19 / 42.7 15-18-1 / 42.9 19-11-2 / 51.4 7-24-1 / 41.4 18-14 / 44.7 13-19 / 38.7 17-15 / 48.1 17-15 / 44.9 21-11 / 48.7 6