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PowerS picks $15 Volume 5 Issue 8 September 7-11, 2017 2017 BP Sports, LLC Ouch! Newsletter Best Bets Go 1-4, VIP Best Bets Go 9-4!! Week 2 CFB Best Bets Pg 3, Week 1 NFL Best Bets Pg 8 Week 1 News and Notes! For those of you that are new, in this section we ll recap what happened last week specifically, the misleading finals, the key injuries, the bad beats and the line moves. We ll include most of these recaps here, therefore you don t have to waste time reading about them in my game-by-game write-ups for the upcoming week. Without further adieu, here s a run down of what happened last week in the world of CFB. Week 1 Trends Favorites-Dogs Straight Up 86-9 ATS 43-51-1 Home-Away Straight Up 73-15 ATS 42-45-1 Totals (O/U) Over-Under 46-43-4 Largest Favorites to Cover: TCU (-59.5) vs Jackson St, 63-0 Oklahoma (-43) vs UTEP, 56-7 Wake Forest (-42.5) vs Presbyterian, 51-7 Biggest Money line Upsets: Howard +55000 won 43-40 at UNLV (+45) Liberty +7500 won 48-45 at Baylor (+33) Maryland +800 won 51-41 at Texas (+18.5) Howard s shocking outright upset (+45) over UNLV last Saturday was the largest in the history of college football! A $100 money line bet on them would have netted you $55,000!!! ATS Notables Unfortunately for our top play on these pages last week, UCLA (-3.5, closed -6.5) failed to cover vs Texas A&M on Sunday night. At halftime, we were deservedly getting a lot of hate mail, but the Bruins would overcome the second-largest deficit in FBS history (34 points) to beat Texas A&M 45-44. UCLA reached +1723 on the live money line at Pinnacle. In addition to the huge upsets by Liberty and Howard this week, Rhode Island (+8500) nearly pulled off he outright upset at Central Michigan losing 30-27 in triple overtime as 34-point underdogs. We were paying close attention as Central Michigan UNDER 7 wins is one of our best bet season win totals (see June issue). With 5 minutes left in the 1st half, the Missouri St/Missouri game had already gone over the closing total of 63.5. Missouri State (+36.5) led Missouri 35-34 before halftime, but ultimately lost 72-43. VIP customers were treated to a FBS vs FCS star-rated play winner on Duke last Saturday. The line incredibly moved 12.5 points from open to close, from -23.5 to -36 against NC Central. The Blue Devils cruised 60-7 and easily cashed no matter what line you got. Texas failed to cover the spread last week vs Maryland by 28.5 points as they were outright upset by Maryland. In his last 9 games as head coach, Tom Herman is now 1-8 ATS with the average non-cover in those 8 ATS losses by 21 ppg! After their 52-0 win over Akron today (-30), Penn St has covered 10 straight games dating back to last season by 17 ppg. That s tough to do for any team especially for more high-profile program like Penn St. They are -21 vs rival Pitt this week! Right Side Loser Unfortunately, one of the losses on these pages last week was a very misleading final as Marshall beat Miami, Oh 31-26. First and foremost, we did give out Miami at +2.5 last Wednesday and the Red Hawks would close as 4-point favorites on Saturday. Beating the closing number by 6.5-points should yield positive results most of the time and hopefully you guys understand the value of getting in front of major line moves. We certainly had the better team as Miami had a 429-267 yard edge, but Marshall had a 99-yard kick return TD, another 97-yard kick return TD and a 72-yard interception return TD to give them 21 of their 31 points. Misleading Finals In the South Carolina/NC State game, the Gamecocks pulled the outright upset 35-28 (+6). However, NC State had a 29-12 first down edge and a 504-246 yard edge in the game. South Carolina got a 97-yard kick return TD, NC State missed a field goal and the Gamecocks got a 13-yard TD drive off a turnover. Unfortunately, right after we sent out last week s newsletter, Florida announced a couple more suspensions including their leading rusher and our 1H selection on Florida was doomed. Michigan would dominate the game as the Wolverines had a 19-9 first down edge and also a 433-192 yard edge. However two pick-6 s gave Florida 14 points and a horrible ref call also cost Michigan 4 points. Let s hope we don t have a worse pick this 2017 season. Bad Beats UNC lost 35-30 but scored a TD with no time left to send the game over the total. The total opened up at 66, but closed at just 57 at Bookmaker. The Michigan/Florida OVER hit after the Gators fumbled in the end zone with under 2 minutes left for a Michigan TD and 33-17 victory. The total ranged from 43 to 47.5 during the week. Florida also scored two defensive TD s in the game as there were only a combined 28 first downs. Obviously any Texas A&M money line tickets (closed +210) will go down as one of the worst beats this entire football season as the Aggies blew the 2nd largest lead in college football history (led 44-10 late third quarter). Major Injuries Florida St starting QB Deondre Francois (knee) is out for the season. Francois was hurt late in the game vs Alabama and true freshman James Blackman (6-5 195) is scheduled to start. Georgia starting QB Jacob Eason (ankle) is out indefinitely and will miss the Notre Dame game. Eason was hurt early in the game and true freshman Jake Fromm is expected to start. Fromm was in for the spring and was 10 of 15 for 143 yards and a TD last week while leading Georgia to a 31-10 win over Appalachian St. Many around the program think he might have overtaken Eason at some point. Maryland starting QB Tyrell Pigrome (knee) is out for the season. True freshman Kasim Hill (6-2 230) is expected to start this week and did lead two crucial 4Q TD drives in the Terps outright upset over Texas last week. Texas starting QB Shane Buechele (shoulder) is questionable for this week s game vs San Jose St. If Buechele can t go, then true freshman Sam Ehlinger would most likely start for the Longhorns. Can t Afford VIP Service But Still Want More Information/Picks? Powers Picks Newsletter (Emailed Every Wednesday) Regular Price: $99 Normal Mid-week update with full write-ups on every single CFB and NFL Game and best bets! 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CFB and NFL Schedules with Vegas and Brad Powers Lines Week 2 September 7th-11th NFL Wk 1 Thursday, Sept 7th Line BP All Times Eastern Saturday, September 9th Line BP All Times Eastern 451 KANSAS CITY 48.5 46 365 UL-LAFAYETTE 64 72 8:30 p.m. NBC 4:00 p.m. 452 NEW ENGLAND -9-10 366 TULSA -14-16 Friday, September 8th Line BP 301 OHIO 57 58 8:00 p.m. FOX Sports 1 302 PURDUE -4-4 303 OKLAHOMA ST -28-28 8:00 p.m. ESPN2 304 SOUTH ALABAMA 66.5 70 Saturday, September 10th Line BP 305 FLORIDA ATLANTIC 58.5 61 12:00 p.m. Big Ten 306 WISCONSIN -31.5-35 307 BUFFALO 49 52 12:00 p.m. CBS College 308 ARMY -16.5-14 309 WESTERN MICHIGAN 52 54 Big Ten 310 MICHIGAN ST -7-8 311 EASTERN MICHIGAN 51 51 Big Ten 312 RUTGERS -5-11 313 OLD DOMINION -4-4 314 MASSACHUSETTS 61.5 66 315 NORTHWESTERN -3.5 55 12:00 p.m. ESPNU 316 DUKE 55-1 317 SOUTH FLORIDA -17.5-19 12:00 p.m. ESPN News 318 CONNECTICUT 66 65 319 EAST CAROLINA 64.5 65 12:00 p.m. Fox Sports 2 320 WEST VIRGINIA -24-25 321 CINCINNATI 49.5 51 12:00 p.m. ABC 322 MICHIGAN -34-37 323 LOUISVILLE -10-8 12:00 p.m. ESPN 324 NORTH CAROLINA 62.5 68 325 CHARLOTTE 58 58 12:00 p.m. 326 KANSAS ST -36-38 327 IOWA -2.5 47 12:00 p.m. 328 IOWA ST 48-1 329 WAKE FOREST 47.5 41 1:00 p.m. Big Ten 330 BOSTON COLLEGE -1-1 331 NEW MEXICO ST 68 68 8:00 p.m. 332 NEW MEXICO -7.5-6 333 RICE 56 55 8:00 p.m. 334 UTEP -1.5-1 335 TEXAS ST 58 55 2:00 p.m. Pac-12 336 COLORADO -35.5-35 337 UAB 54.5 55 3:00 p.m. 338 BALL ST -14-15 339 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 76.5 73 340 SYRACUSE -9.5-11 341 INDIANA -3-3 342 VIRGINIA 57 57 343 PITTSBURGH 67 62 ABC 344 PENN ST -21-20 345 FRESNO ST 53.5 55 ESPN2 346 ALABAMA -43.5-43 347 TULANE 48.5 47 CBS College 348 NAVY -13-13 349 WKU -8-7 8:00 p.m. Big Ten 350 ILLINOIS 58 55 351 UTSA 59.5 68 8:00 p.m. 352 BAYLOR -17-14 353 HAWAII 62 63 5:00 p.m. Pac-12 354 UCLA -23-21 355 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 54 57 4:00 p.m. 356 KANSAS -6-5 357 NEBRASKA 68 75 4:30 p.m. FOX 358 OREGON -14-13 359 MIAMI, FL 360 ARKANSAS ST Game cancelled due to Hurricane Irma. 361 SAN JOSE ST 63 64 362 TEXAS -26-30 363 TCU -3-1 CBS 364 ARKANSAS 58 61 367 MARSHALL 55 55 6:00 p.m. 368 NC STATE -24-27 369 TOLEDO -9.5-7 7:00 p.m. 370 NEVADA 70 67 371 UL-MONROE 53 55 7:00 p.m. 372 FLORIDA ST -32-35 373 SOUTH CAROLINA 72-1 7:00 p.m. ESPN2 374 MISSOURI -2.5 75 375 NORTH TEXAS 64.5 67 7:00 p.m. 376 SMU -13-13 377 AUBURN 54 48 7:00 p.m. ESPN 378 CLEMSON -5-6 379 GEORGIA 55.5-1 7:30 p.m. NBC 380 NOTRE DAME -4.5 47 381 MISSISSIPPI ST -8-9 7:30 p.m. CBS College 382 LOUISIANA TECH 67.5 63 383 OKLAHOMA 65 65 7:30 p.m. ABC 384 OHIO ST -7.5-9 385 MEMPHIS 68 74 8:00 p.m. ESPN News 386 CENTRAL FLORIDA -2.5-2 387 STANFORD 56 58 8:30 p.m. FOX 388 USC -6.5-3 389 UNLV 70.5 69 7:00 p.m. 390 IDAHO -6.5-7 391 MINNESOTA 51.5-1 10:00 p.m. FOX Sports 1 392 OREGON ST -2 53 393 SAN DIEGO ST 55 59 11:00 p.m. 394 ARIZONA ST -3.5-3 395 UTAH -1.5-1 10:15 p.m. ESPN2 396 BYU 46.5 47 397 HOUSTON -1.5 69 10:00 p.m. ESPNU 398 ARIZONA 70-1 400 WASHINGTON ST -10.5-9 NFL Wk 1 Sunday, Sept 10th Line BP All Times Eastern 453 NY JETS 40 39 454 BUFFALO -9-7 455 ATLANTA -7-4 1:00 p.m. FOX 456 CHICAGO 49 50 457 JACKSONVILLE 39.5 37 458 HOUSTON -5.5-11 459 PHILADELPHIA -1-3 1:00 p.m. FOX 460 WASHINGTON 47.5 49 461 ARIZONA -2-3 1:00 p.m. FOX 462 DETROIT 48 51 463 OAKLAND 50.5 51 464 TENNESSEE -2-5 465 TAMPA BAY 466 MIAMI Rescheduled for November 19th 467 BALTIMORE 42.5 44 468 CINCINNATI -3-4 469 PITTSBURGH -9-11 470 CLEVELAND 47 43 471 INDIANAPOLIS 41.5 38 4:05 p.m. CBS 472 LA RAMS -3.5-4 473 SEATTLE 50.5 50 4:25 p.m. FOX 474 GREEN BAY -3-4 475 CAROLINA -5.5-5 4:25 p.m. FOX 476 SAN FRANCISCO 48 47 477 NY GIANTS 47.5-1 8:30 p.m. NBC 478 DALLAS -4 47 NFL Wk 1 Monday, Sept 11th Line BP All Times Eastern 479 NEW ORLEANS 48 49 7:10 p.m. ESPN 480 MINNESOTA -3.5-3 481 LA CHARGERS 43.5 43 10:20 p.m. ESPN 482 DENVER -3.5-3 2 399 BOISE ST 58 61 10:30 p.m. ESPN

4H = BEST 3H = BETTER 2H = GOOD 1H = FAIR THE POWERS PACK 3H RUTGERS (-5) over Eastern Michigan 3H Georgia (+4.5) over NOTRE DAME 2H DUKE (+3.5) over Northwestern 2H IOWA ST (+3-120) over Iowa 2H Nebraska/OREGON OVER 68 Games in Rotation Order HOME TEAM IN CAPS Friday, September 8th PURDUE 31 Ohio 27. Last week VIP customers were treated to a star-rated play winner on Purdue (+25.5) as the Boilers covered from start to finish in their respectable 35-28 loss to Louisville. It is evident that there is a new sheriff in town as we re big fans of head coach Brohm and Co (see our spring newsletter when we graded them as the best new head coaching hire). However, note that Louisville did fumble twice going in for a score. On the other side, Ohio is off a 59-0 win over Hampton (-35.5). While we expect a rowdy crowd for Brohm s first home game, they are dealing with an injury to their RB and Ohio is 7-2 ATS as an underdog the last couple of years. Pass. Oklahoma St 49 SOUTH ALABAMA 21. There s not many teams that looked more impressive than Oklahoma St in week 1 as they hammered Tulsa 59-24 (-19) with QB Mason Rudolph going 20 of 24 for 303 and 3 TD s. On the other side, South Alabama got a cover in their 47-27 loss (+23) at Ole Miss. However, note that the Jaguars did score a pair of TD s late to get the back door. We re inclined to lean with the OVER here. Pass on side. CENTRAL FLORIDA 38 Memphis 36. This game got moved up a day because of Hurricane Irma. Both teams come in off wins last week but UCF looked more impressive as they hammered FIU 61-17 (-17) as QB McKenzie Milton was 16 of 21 for 360 yards and 4 TD s. On the other side, Memphis struggled with UL-Monroe 37-29 (-27) but were playing in poor conditions in the remnants of Hurricane Harvey. The move up date is more advantageous for UCF here as they don t have to travel. With that being said, we re passing on the side, but do like the OVER. Saturday, September 9th WISCONSIN 48 Florida Atlantic 13. After last week s disappointing 42-19 (+9.5) loss vs Navy that was marred by several lightning delays, new FAU head coach Lane Kiffin is now 4-15 ATS in his last 19 games as a head coach. On the other side, Wisconsin fell behind Utah St 10-0 early only to score the game s final 59 points (-27.5). The Badgers are now 4-1 ATS laying 20 or more points the last two years and we look for them to put the hammer down in the second half. ARMY 33 Buffalo 19. Army is playing with revenge from a 23-20 OT loss at Buffalo last year as 13.5-point favorites. Army had a 444-265 yard edge in the game. Last week the Black Knights hammered FCS Fordham 64-6 (-18.5). Meanwhile, Buffalo looked much improved as they fell only 17-7 at Minnesota as 23.5-point underdogs. Their 6-foot-7QB Tyree Jackson impressed us. We lean with the Bulls here but the revenge factor keeps us from using them as a stronger play. MICHIGAN ST 31 Western Michigan 23. We may have downgraded Western Michigan too far in our preseason power ratings as last week they gave USC all they could handle before losing 49-31 (+28). The final was misleading as USC scored a pair of long TD s in the final minutes. The Broncos did put up an impressive 263 yards rushing but QB Jon Wassink was only 11 of 22 for 67 yards. On the other side, the Spartans got their season off to a good start with a 35-10 win (-17.5) over Bowling Green. We do think Western Michigan s performance last week caught the eye of Michigan St and Sparty also has a bye on deck. Pass. 3H RUTGERS 31 Eastern Michigan 20. We thought the Scarlet Knights could be one of the most improved teams in the country this year (especially on offense) and they had a solid week 1 performance vs Washington only losing 30-14 (+28). The game was not a fluke as Rutgers only trailed 10-7 at halftime, had a 19-17 first down edge for the game while only getting outgained by 59 yards (we did lose a 2H play on these pages on the UNDER). The Scarlet Knights were our first Sunday Night Owl play of the season and the line would move 3 points on Monday morning. Keep in mind, Rutgers was also playing without their leading WR from last year in Jawaun Harris who returns here. On the other side, Eastern Michigan is off a 24-7 win (-13) over Charlotte. The Eagles are 0-37 straight up all time vs current Big Ten teams and are also on a 12-18-1 ATS run as away underdogs. After 10 straight losses dating back to last year, Rutgers desperately needs a win and we think they put forth maximum effort here. Old Dominion 35 MASSACHUSETTS 31. Old Dominion won last year s game 36-16 (-8). The Monarchs are coming off a 31-17 win (-24.5) over Albany last week. Meanwhile, Massachusetts is off to a tough 0-2 start as they lost at Coastal Carolina 38-28. This coming after a 38-35 loss to Hawaii in the opener. The Minutemen were favored in both games and head coach Mark Whipple is probably starting to hear some grumbles. We re passing on the side and leaning with the OVER. 2H DUKE 28 Northwestern 27. Northwestern has beaten Duke in each of the last two years winning here 19-10 (+4.5) in 2015 and last year they won at home 24-13 (-4). However, Northwestern was in desperation mode at 0-2 there and Duke was starting a freshman QB. Last week the Wildcats had all they could handle as they trailed Nevada in the 4Q before scoring a couple of TD s to win 31-20 (-24). VIP customers easily cashed on the UNDER. Speaking of VIP customers, they were treated to a FBS vs FCS star-rated play winner on Duke last Saturday. The line incredibly moved 12.5 points from open to close (-23.5 to -36). The Blue Devils crushed NC Central 60-7 and easily cashed no matter what line you got. Duke is 5-1 ATS as a home dog the last four years and overall on a 17-7 ATS run as an underdog. We re calling for the upset. Follow Brad on Twitter: @BradPowers7 South Florida 42 CONNECTICUT 23. Despite being 2-0, it has not been an impressive start to the season for Charlie Strong and the Bulls. In the opener, they fell behind 16-0 early at San Jose St before rallying. Last week, they were trailing FCS Stony Brook 10-7 at halftime before rallying once again. Speaking of rallying, UConn found themselves down 20-7 at halftime to FCS Holy Cross only to outscore the Crusaders 20-0 in the second half and win as 22.5-point favorites. The Huskies were outgained 447-438 in Randy Edsall s debut back at UConn. We re not big supporters of either team at this point in the season. Pass. WEST VIRGINIA 45 East Carolina 20. Last week, East Carolina actually found themselves an underdog to an FCS team albeit it was the defending FCS National Champs in James Madison. We gave out East Carolina +7.5 and the line dropped to +2. It didn t matter as JMU won 34-14 handing us a rare FBS vs FCS loser. On the other side, West Virginia lost a heart-breaker to Virginia Tech on Sunday Night 31-24 (+4.5). New QB Will Grier did look good throwing for 371 yards and 3 TD s. Look for the Mountaineers to get a comfortable win. Pass. MICHIGAN 44 Cincinnati 7. The Bearcats are currently in their largest underdog role since 1998 (+42.5 at Syracuse). Last week they nearly suffered an upset to lowly FCS Austin Peay who came in with 27 straight losses. Cincy would pull away late 26-14 (-42.5) but they were outgained 313-248. It doesn t get any easier this week as now they face a Michigan team that dominated our 1H Florida pick on these pages last week. Michigan had 19-9 first down and 433-192 yard edges. The only thing that kept it close early was a pair of Pick-6 s by Florida. We lean with the huge underdog here as Harbaugh shows no mercy. Louisville 38 NORTH CAROLINA 30. Louisville continues to get overpriced in the market because of their high profile QB Lamar Jackson (2-8 ATS last 10 games). Last week s near upset loss to Purdue as 25-point favorites (VIP star-rated winner) was not Jackson s fault as he totaled 485 total yards. Louisville did have two fumbles at the goal line. Meanwhile, North Carolina lost outright to Cal 35-30 (-12.5). Jackson again should put up big time numbers but there continues to be a pointspread premium on their games. Pass on side, lean on OVER. KANSAS ST 48 Charlotte 10. Charlotte comes in off a 24-7 loss (+14) at Eastern Michigan. Meanwhile, Kansas St took care of FCS Central Arkansas 55-19 (-25) but they did get out-fd d 28-16. As always, the Wildcats special teams unit looks great as they had several big plays. We re not getting involved here. 2H IOWA ST 24 Iowa 23. Iowa has won the last two in the series including a 42-3 domination (-15.5) last year as they took advantage of Iowa St being in just Game #2 of the Matt Campbell era. Look for Iowa St to be plenty motivated to avenge that loss. Last week, Iowa St was also trying to avenge a loss to Northern Iowa last year (lost to UNI in opener) and they did just that winning 42-24 (-10) as VIP customers cashed yet another FBS vs FCS play. On the other side, Iowa took care of popular underdog pick Wyoming 24-3 (-12) despite gaining only 263 yards. Matt Campbell coached teams (Toledo/Iowa St) are on an 18-9 ATS run as underdogs including 4-1 ATS as home dogs last year. Upset! BOSTON COLLEGE 21 Wake Forest 20. These two just played in last year s regular season finale with Boston College getting a 17-14 (+3.5) upset win to clinch a bowl berth. Wake Forest did have a 287-167 yard edge. The Demon Deacons are off a 51-7 win (-42.5) over Presbyterian while Boston College is off a 23-20 (-3.5) win at Northern Illinois in a back and forth game. Both teams will need this one if they want to make it back to a bowl this year (both play difficult schedules). We re passing on the side but do lean with the UNDER. NEW MEXICO 37 New Mexico St 31. Last year the Aggies got a 32-31 (+12.5) outright upset win over their in-state rival as New Mexico head coach Bob Davie had been 4-0 straight up in the series. However, New Mexico St has covered each of the last 3 in the series. New Mexico comes in off a 38-14 (-34) win over FCS Abilene Christian while New Mexico St had a really good showing in a 37-31 loss (+24) at Arizona St although two of their TD s did come late in the 4Q. We re buying this New Mexico St team all year long and the only thing preventing this from being a stronger lean is the revenge factor for the Lobos. UTEP 28 Rice 27. Rice has won and covered 5 of the last 6 in series including a 44-24 win (-1.5) vs UTEP last year. Both teams are coming off blowout losses to Top 15 teams as UTEP was destroyed 56-7 (+43) at Oklahoma last week. Meanwhile Rice did have a bye last week after a 62-7 (+30.5) loss to Stanford in Sydney, Australia. UTEP is 8-3-1 ATS as favorite since 2013 and the early money has been on the Miners this week with them flipping to favorite. We re passing. COLORADO 45 Texas St 10. Colorado is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 home games but are currently in their largest favorite role over an FBS school since 1995 (-38 vs ULM). Last week the Buffaloes had a big-time impressive performance on defense holding the high-powered Rams offense to just 3 points as VIP customers got a star-rated play winner on Colorado (we faded all the Colorado St money with the line dropping so much throughout the week). On the other side, the Bobcats really struggled with Houston Baptist winning 20-11 (-16.5). Currently, we still have Texas St power-rated as the worst team in the FBS (see page 5). However, we are passing on the side (slightest of leans on the UNDER). BALL ST 35 Uab 20. Last Saturday, UAB got a 38-7 win (-28) over Alabama A&M in their return to the FBS. They did get off to a slow start as they only led 10-7 at halftime. On the other side, Ball St took money in the market place all week closing as less than a TD underdog at Big Ten Illinois. That money proved correct as they covered from start to finish. The Cardinals should ve won the game outright as they had 21-14 first down and 375-216 yard edges. Sunday Night Owl customers got a 2H play on Ball St when they were only a 12-point favorite but this line has correctly moved up. Slightest of leans on the home team. SYRACUSE 42 Middle Tennessee 31. Last week, our only winner on these pages was going against Middle Tennessee as they were dominated by Vanderbilt 28-6 (+3). They were outgained 367-215 and trailed 28-0 early third quarter. We were stunned the line continued to drop throughout the week and VIP customers got Vanderbilt upgraded to a 3H. On the other side, Syracuse looked the part against FCS Central Connecticut St as they won 50-7 (-46.5). Again, this week our power ratings are lining up big against the Blue Raiders but we are a bit concerned about the back door potential of QB Stockstill. Lean on Syracuse. 3

Indiana 30 VIRGINIA 27. Despite not getting the cover vs Ohio State last Thursday, we came away impressed with the Hoosiers as QB Richard Lagow threw for 410 yards and 3 TD s while WR Simmie Cobbs had 149 yards receiving. The final 49-21 score was a bit misleading as Indiana led 21-20 late 3Q before the Buckeyes closed on a 29-0 run. On the other side, Virginia had a relatively lackluster win over William & Mary 28-10 (-28). This is a very important game for both teams if they want to get to a bowl game. However, at the current number we are passing. PENN ST 41 Pitt 21. Last year Pitt won a thriller 42-39 (-5) in the teams first meeting since 2000. The Panthers did have a dominating 341-74 rush yard edge in the game. Last week Penn St got a 52-0 win (-30.5) over Akron as the Nittany Lions have now incredibly covered 10 straight games dating back to last season by an average of 17 ppg. That s incredibly hard to do as a high-profile team in today s market. However, we are starting to see some point-spread inflation. On the other side, Pitt had to pull out a win over Youngstown St in OT 28-21 (-13.5). The Panthers did lead 21-0 at one point and the Penguins were the FCS runner-ups last year. While we think Penn St gets their revenge here, we don t want to be laying 3 TD s in a rivalry game especially against a team that won straight up a year ago. Pass on side with a slight lean on the UNDER ALABAMA 49 Fresno St 6. Last week Alabama led Florida St 10-7 late in the third quarter and capitalized on a three key FSU miscues as they were able to pull away in their 24-7 win (-7.5). It should be noted that the professional bigger money was on Alabama in the game as the line crossed right through 7. On the other side, Fresno St got an impressive win in new head coach Jeff Tedford s first game as they crushed Incarnate Word 66-0 (-34.5). While Alabama head coach Nick Saban is 9-1 ATS in season openers, he is just 3-7 ATS in Game No. 2. A lot of it has to do with the fact, the Crimson Tide put so much emphasis on their big neutral site openers and many times are in a flat spot the next week. That could be the same here. Pass. NAVY 30 Tulane 17. These two met last year with Navy getting a 21-14 (-6) win at Tulane. Both teams are running a version of the option and Navy did have a 287-240 rush yard edge in the game (only 24 combined pass attempts. Both teams are coming off impressive victories in Week 1. Navy won at Florida Atlantic 42-19 (-9.5) in a game that was delayed several hours by lightning. Navy did have an incredible 416-40 rush yard edge in the game! On the other side, Tulane beat a solid FCS Grambling team 43-14 (-17.5). Navy is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games but this line looks a little steep. Pass. Western Kentucky 31 ILLINOIS 24. Despite both teams getting wins in Week 1, it was relatively lackluster for both. WKU only beat FCS Eastern Kentucky 31-17 as 38-point favorites in head Mike Sanford s debut. Meanwhile, Illinois saw their line vs Ball St drop all week as they closed as only a 6-point favorite over a below average MAC team. The Fighting Illini still couldn t cover in their 24-21 win as they were out-fd d 21-14 and out-gained 375-216. We re passing in this one although we do find it tough making any Group of 5 school more than a TD road favorite at a Power 5 school. BAYLOR 41 Utsa 27. Last week UTSA saw their game against Houston postponed due to Hurricane Harvey. We expect the Roadrunners with 14 returning starters to be one of the better teams in CUSA this year. Baylor will have a game under belt advantage in this one but we re not sure how much of an advantage that will be considering the Bears suffered one of their worst losses in school history in head coach Matt Rhule s debut. Despite being a 33-point favorite, Baylor lost to Liberty 48-45. Baylor was out-fd d 31-22 and they allowed 447 yards passing. The Bears are dealing with several cluster injuries on both sides of the ball. While we lean with UTSA here, we re going to be real careful in throwing Baylor completely in the trash (see Washington St losing openers to FCS schools the last two years). Slight lean on UTSA but we like the OVER even more. UCLA 42 Hawaii 21. What a total embarrassment on these pages last week as our top play UCLA fell behind Texas A&M 44-10. While UCLA would go on to make the second largest comeback in the history of college football, it wasn t enough for us to get the cover. Turnovers hurt them early as they were -3 for the game. The Aggies also gashed them on the ground with 382 yards. However, our main handicap prior to the game was that we had the significant QB edge and UCLA QB Josh Rosen did throw for 491 yards while the Aggie QB s combined to go 9 of 30 for 89 yards. Had you given us that stat prior to the game, we would ve felt pretty safe. Also note that the line jumped from -3.5 on Wednesday to a -6.5 close. On the other side, Hawaii is already off to a 2-0 SU/ATS start after they beat Western Carolina 41-18 (-21). Please note that UCLA head coach Jim Mora is 2-10 ATS his last 12 as a double-digit favorite and we think their could be a let-down here after the big win on Sunday. Lean on Hawaii. KANSAS 31 Central Michigan 26. Last week Central Michigan nearly lost outright as a 34-point favorite to FCS Rhode Island as they needed 3 overtimes to escape 30-27. It was a sloppy game marred by 10 TO s. We were paying close attention as Central Michigan s season win total (UNDER 7) is one of our best bets. On the other side, Kansas got a 38-16 win (-29) over FCS SE Missouri St. However, this is their largest favorite role over an FBS team since 2013 and this line has been climbing all week (opened -3.5). We re passing. 2H OVER 68 OREGON 44 Nebraska 31. Last year Nebraska got a 35-32 (-3) win over Oregon as the Ducks misfired on several 2-point conversions after scoring TD s. However, this game will feature a new and more competent head coach on the Oregon sidelines as the Ducks looked really impressive in their 77-21 win (-36) over FCS Southern Utah last Saturday in head coach Willie Taggart s debut. On the other side, the Huskers looked lost at times in their new 3-4 defense under Bob Diaco as they only beat Arkansas St 43-36 (-14.5). Tough not to overreact to what we just saw last week from the two teams but the markets certainly have adjusted accordingly with this line climbing big time this week. We re passing on the side, but do like the OVER a lot as both teams will run tempo and both have defensive issues. Miami at Arkansas St game has been cancelled due to Hurricane Irma. TEXAS 47 San Jose St 17. We re not going to overreact to what we just saw from Texas last week as the Longhorns lost 51-41 to Maryland as 18.5-point home favorites. Obviously, there is a lot of work to be done for head coach Tom Herman who is just 1-8 ATS in his last 9 games as a head coach with the 8 ATS losses coming by 4 a 21 ppg. On the other side, San Jose St got their first win under new head coach Brent Brennan as they beat FCS Cal Poly 34-13 (-7.5). We look for Texas to bounce back here in a big way but their starting QB Shane Buechele is questionable with a shoulder injury. Just a lean on the Longhorns until further notice. Tcu 31 ARKANSAS 30. A rematch of a thrilling game from last year as Arkansas won 41-38 (+7.5) in double overtime on the road. TCU did have a 572-403 yard edge in the game. Both teams are coming off blowout wins over FCS teams in Week 1. TCU beat Jackson St 63-0 (-60, not a misprint they were 60-point favorites!). On the other side, Arkansas beat Florida A&M 49-7 (-47). While the money has poured in on TCU all week, we re not sure we can trust either team at this point. TCU QB Kenny Hill is just 4-14 ATS in his last 18 games as a starter. Meanwhile, Arkansas was the thorn in our side on these pages last year as we lost several star-rated plays on them including a disastrous bowl game (blew a 24-0 lead as TD underdogs). Pass on the side, slight lean on the OVER. TULSA 44 UL-Lafayette 28. Neither team looked that impressive in Week 1 as Tulsa was hammered by Oklahoma St 59-24 (+19) while UL-Lafayette had to hang on for dear life against FCS SE Louisiana 51-48 (-14.5). The key play of the game being a blocked PAT returned for 2 points in the closing moments. We re passing on the side and leaning with the OVER. N.C. STATE 41 Marshall 14. A perfect inside-out game here as neither team deserved their outcome in Week 1. First we went against Marshall on these pages and for all intensive purposes, it was the right call. For starters, we beat the closing number by 6.5 points as Marshall went from being a 2.5-point favorite to a 4-point underdog vs Miami, Oh. The Herd got a 31-26 win thanks to a 99-yard kick return TD, a 97-yard kick return TD and a 71-yard interception return TD. On the other side, NC State had a 29-12 first down edge and a 504-246 yard edge vs South Carolina but lost as SC got a 97-yard kick return TD, NC State missed a field goal and the Gamecocks got a 13-yard TD drive off a turnover. NC State is 7-2 ATS as a double-digit favorite and we look for them to put the hammer down! Toledo 37 NEVADA 30. We came away very impressed with Nevada last week in the debut of head coach Jay Norvell as they covered from start to finish and nearly pulled the outright upset over Northwestern. On the other side, Toledo beat Elon 47-13 (-44.5). This is a unique trip for the Rockets who are 1-7 straight up in the Mountain/Pacific time zones. We re grabbing the points here with a Nevada team that has been under-coached the last couple of years. FLORIDA ST 45 UL-Monroe 10. Last week the Noles were every bit as good as advertised as they only trailed Alabama 10-7 late third quarter before several miscues and an injury to QB Deondre Francois doomed them. Francois is now out for the season and true freshman James Blackman (6-5 195) is scheduled to start. ULM got the cover last week at Memphis (lost 37-29 as 27-point underdogs). While we downgraded Florida St 7 points for the loss of Francois, the market looks like it made a bigger adjustment. We disagree and lean with FSU. South Carolina 38 MISSOURI 37. South Carolina beat Missouri 31-21 (-6.5) last year. The Gamecocks are coming off a misleading win over NC State as they were outgained 504-246 and out-fd d 29-12. They did get a 97-yard kick return TD but nonetheless beat a very good NC State team. On the other side, we re not big fans of what Missouri is doing under head coach Barry Odom. Sure, the big offensive numbers look great including 72 points last week in a win over Missouri St, but there s no defensive unit that has fallen so far in just a couple of years. Look for a shoot-out here but we trust South Carolina s D to make a stop before Missouri s. SMU 40 North Texas 27. Last year SMU beat North Texas in the opener 34-21 (-10) as they racked up a 572-394 yard edge. Both teams were impressive in their season openers as North Texas beat Lamar 59-14 (-18) while SMU disposed of Stephen F Austin 58-14 (-30). Look for a lot of points from two programs both heading in positive directions under young head coaches. CLEMSON 27 Auburn 21. Clemson beat Auburn 19-13 (-9) on the road last year as they had a 399-262 yard edge but had to hang on for dear life late in the game. Last week both teams looked good with their new starting QB s. Clemson beat Kent St 56-3 (-40) as Kelly Bryant was 16 of 22 for 236 yards. On the other side, Auburn relied heavily on their ground game in a 41-7 win (-34.5) over Georgia Southern. At this point in the season, we feel both defenses are far ahead of the opposing offenses and we ll pass on the side and lean with the UNDER here. 3H Georgia 24 NOTRE DAME 23. These two last met in the 1980 Sugar Bowl with Georgia winning 17-10 and claiming the National Title. The Bulldogs are making their first trip North of the Mason-Dixon line since 1965 but look for them to bring at least 20,000 people with them. Last week the Bulldogs were mighty impressive in their win over Appalachian St as they led 31-0 until App St scored a couple of garbage points late. Starting QB Jacob Eason was injured and won t play here but Jake Fromm played well last week and several in the program expected him to overtake Eason at some point. On the other side, ND looked impressive vs Temple but are facing a much more experienced defense here (10 starters back). ND is 2-11 straight up their last 13 games vs Top 20 teams and look for UGA RB s Chubb/ Michel to find open running lanes vs a questionable ND defensive line. Mississippi St 36 LOUISIANA TECH 27. Mississippi St was dominant last week in a 49-0 (-21.5) win over Charleston Southern. On the other side, Louisiana Tech beat FCS Northwestern St 52-24 (-39.5). While we are leaning with Mississippi St here, Dan Mullen teams tend to play to the level of competition (see South Alabama and Miami, Oh games last year). Also note that Skip Holtz is 9-3 ATS his last 12 as an underdog. Also lean on the UNDER. OHIO ST 37 Oklahoma 28. Last year the Buckeyes went into Norman with a very inexperienced team and crushed the Sooners 45-24 (-1) as they racked up 291 rushing yards. Last week Ohio St trailed Indiana 21-20 but would score the game s final 29 points as they covered. The Buckeyes have a couple extra days of rest for this one. Meanwhile, Oklahoma is coming off a 56-7 (-43) win over UTEP as Baker Mayfield was 19 of 20 passing. While Mayfield is the all-time NCAA leader in pass efficiency, he has struggled vs Top Defenses the last 2 years (Clemson/Ohio St). He also lost a ton of skill position talent around him in WR Westbrook and RB s Perine and Mixon. Also there s a large coaching mismatch as Urban Meyer has more National Titles (3) than Lincoln Riley has been a head coach in (1).

Memphis at Central Florida game was moved to Friday Night due to Hurricane Irma (see write-up above). USC 31 Stanford 28. Stanford has remarkably won 7 of the last 9 in this series and covered 10 of the last 14. They physically dominated USC last year in a 27-10 win (-8) as they had a 302-117 rushing yard edge. It should be noted that Sam Darnold was not yet the starter for the Trojans. Speaking of Darnold, he and the Trojans stuggled in week 1 as they had a very misleading 49-31 (-28) win over Western Michigan as USC scored a couple of long TD s late. Darnold threw 2 interceptions and didn t have any TD passes. On the other side, Stanford had a bye last week after they annihilated Rice in the opener 62-7 (-30.5) easily casing our star-rated play on these pages on the OVER. We look for Bryce Love and Co to be licking their chops after Western Michigan put up 263 rushing yards against the Trojans last week. Also note that Stanford is 14-2-1 ATS their last 17 road games and head coach David Shaw is 8-2-1 ATS as an underdog. IDAHO 38 Unlv 31. Last year Idaho pulled the outright upset beating UNLV 33-30 (+15) in overtime. Speaking of upsets, Howard s win over UNLV last week as 45-point underdogs was the biggest in the history of college football. A $100 money-line bet on them at 5Dimes would have netted you $55,000! On the other side, Idaho beat Sacramento St 28-6 (-22.5). The early season markets had UNLV favored by 2 in this game but now they are a TD underdog. We re passing here but be careful throwing the Rebels completely in the trash or any team that loses to an FCS school. Usually the market overreacts. Minnesota 27 OREGON ST 26. The Beavers have looked like garbage so far this season as they lost by 31 to Colorado St two weeks ago (Rams would follow that up scoring only 3 points vs Colorado) and then last week the Beavers were thoroughly outplayed by FCS Portland St and should ve lost as 26-point favorites (came back to win 35-32). On the other side, Minnesota is off a 17-7 win (-23.5) over Buffalo. The Gophers controlled the game more than the final indicated as they missed 3 FG s, threw an interception in the end zone but still had a 408-262 yard edge. We re Rowing the Boat and grabbing the points here. ARIZONA ST 31 San Diego St 28. Last week Arizona St had a somewhat misleading 37-31 (-24) win over New Mexico St as they allowed two late TD s. Still, a Sun Devils pass defense that ranked last in the country a year ago was lit up for 398 passing yards. On the other side, San Diego St is off a 38-17 win (-35) over UC Davis. The Aztecs are unlikely to take advantage of Arizona St s weak Pass D and we ll call this one close to the number, with a lean on the OVER. Utah 24 BYU 23. Remarkably, Utah has won 6 straight in the Holy War and each of the last 4 have been decided by 7 points or less. Last year Utah pulled out a 20-19 win (-3.5) as BYU went for 2 late in the game after scoring a TD. BYU was absolutely manhandled last week vs LSU as despite facing a Tigers team that was starting 4 true freshman on defense, the Cougars could only manage 97 total yards and 6 first downs. It was their second straight poor performance after they only beat Portland St 20-6 in the opener. On the other side, Utah beat North Dakota 37-16 (-20.5). The money has come in on Utah this week as they have flipped to favorite and we believe that is the right call. ARIZONA 35 Houston 34. Last week s Houston/UTSA game was postponed due to Hurricane Harvey. It will be tough to gauge how Houston will react in this game. On one hand, you could see them being plenty motivated to bring a positive result to the city but also the young players are dealing with plenty of distractions. On the other side, Arizona is off a 62-24 win (-24.5) over Northern Arizona last week. We have the slightest of leans on the Wildcats here. WASHINGTON ST 35 Boise St 26. Last year Boise St won 31-28 as 11-point home favorites but they were outgained 520-420. Last week the Broncos got a tough 24-13 (-10.5) win over Troy. On the other side, Washington St beat Montana St 31-0 (-40.5) as the Cougars look to have a legit running game and defense this year. Some of the technicals are in favor of the Broncos here as the visitor is 19-6 ATS in Boise St s last 25 games. Boise St has also been favored in 27 straight games are currently in their largest underdog role since 2001! Updated College Football Power Ratings for Week 2 Rank Team Pre 9/5 1 Alabama 97.98 98.98 2 Ohio State 95.68 95.18 3 Oklahoma 92.65 93.15 4 Clemson 92.30 92.80 5 Penn State 90.46 90.96 6 LSU 88.89 90.89 7 Auburn 90.06 90.56 8 USC 92.10 90.10 9 Michigan 87.75 89.75 10 Washington 90.28 89.28 11 Wisconsin 88.75 88.25 12 Florida State 95.21 88.21 13 Stanford 88.20 88.20 14 Oklahoma State 86.35 87.85 15 Miami (FL) 85.73 85.23 16 Notre Dame 84.08 85.08 17 Louisville 86.06 85.06 18 Georgia 85.69 84.69 19 TCU 83.48 83.48 20 Florida 85.33 83.33 21 Virginia Tech 82.21 82.21 22 Washington State 81.46 81.46 23 Kansas State 81.37 81.37 24 Oregon 80.85 81.35 25 NC State 82.36 80.86 26 Tennessee 81.30 80.80 27 Northwestern 80.00 79.00 28 UCLA 80.55 78.55 29 Texas A&M 80.39 78.39 30 Georgia Tech 77.63 78.13 31 Arkansas 77.99 77.99 32 Colorado 76.84 77.84 33 Texas 82.82 77.82 Rank Team Pre 9/5 34 Mississippi State 76.28 77.78 35 South Carolina 76.64 77.64 36 Ole Miss 78.17 77.17 37 Iowa 76.19 76.19 38 West Virginia 76.14 76.14 39 Duke 75.00 76.00 40 Utah 75.99 75.99 41 Pittsburgh 76.92 75.92 42 Kentucky 76.86 75.86 43 Houston 76.59 75.59 44 USF 76.97 75.47 45 Memphis 76.75 75.25 46 Nebraska 76.37 74.37 47 Vanderbilt 73.31 74.31 48 Texas Tech 72.29 74.29 49 Missouri 74.62 74.12 50 Boise State 74.01 74.01 51 North Carolina 77.93 73.93 52 Baylor 78.81 73.81 53 Indiana 73.29 73.79 54 Michigan State 72.11 73.11 55 BYU 76.09 73.09 56 Iowa State 72.53 73.03 57 California 70.43 72.93 58 Colorado State 73.88 72.88 59 Arizona State 74.25 72.75 60 Wake Forest 72.56 72.56 61 Minnesota 73.48 72.48 62 San Diego State 72.07 72.07 63 Navy 69.99 71.99 64 Syracuse 71.85 71.85 65 Western Michigan 69.48 71.48 66 UCF 68.42 71.42 Rank Team Pre 9/5 67 Arizona 71.02 71.02 68 Maryland 68.91 70.91 69 Western Kentucky 71.58 70.58 70 Toledo 70.56 70.56 71 Boston College 70.42 70.42 72 Appalachian State 70.59 69.59 73 Oregon State 71.38 68.38 74 Tulsa 69.77 68.27 75 Virginia 68.24 67.74 76 Temple 68.00 67.00 77 Arkansas State 65.27 66.77 78 Miami (OH) 66.46 66.46 79 Purdue 64.24 66.24 80 Army 64.58 66.08 81 SMU 65.02 66.02 82 Troy 65.80 65.80 83 Louisiana Tech 66.26 65.26 84 Ohio 63.65 64.65 85 Wyoming 64.92 64.42 86 Rutgers 62.78 64.28 87 UTSA 63.63 63.63 88 Tulane 62.51 63.51 89 Southern Miss 62.25 63.25 90 Northern Illinois 62.74 62.74 91 Utah State 62.16 62.66 92 Air Force 61.06 62.56 93 Cincinnati 65.50 62.50 94 Middle Tennessee 62.03 62.03 95 Old Dominion 61.89 61.39 96 Illinois 62.88 61.38 97 Eastern Michigan 60.95 60.95 98 Marshall 60.74 60.74 99 Nevada 59.01 60.01 5 FBS vs FCS Matchups Lines Courtesy of 5Dimes.eu Thursday, Sept 7th Spread 401 Idaho St 402 Utah St -27.5 Saturday, Sept 9th Spread 215 Montana 216 Washington -39 403 Towson 404 Maryland NL 405 Eastern Kentucky 406 Kentucky -33.5 407 Tennessee-Martin 408 Mississippi -29.5 409 Jacksonville State 410 Georgia Tech NL 411 Delaware 412 Virginia Tech -39 413 Villanova 414 Temple -14.5 415 Savannah State 416 Appalachian St -49.5 417 Abilene Christian 418 Colorado State -39.5 419 Austin Peay 420 Miami Ohio -31 421 Eastern Illinois 422 Northern Illinois -17 423 Howard 424 Kent -21.5 Saturday, Sept 9th Spread 425 Indiana State 426 Tennessee -35 427 Alabama A&M 428 Vanderbilt -45.5 429 Gardner Webb 430 Wyoming -28.5 431 Weber State 432 California -27 433 New Hampshire 434 Georgia Southern -11.5 435 Alabama St 436 Troy -44.5 437 South Dakota 438 Bowling Green -5 439 Arkansas Pine Bluff 440 Akron -50 441 Southern 442 Southern Miss -31.5 443 Nicholls State 444 Texas A&M -40.5 445 UT Chattanooga 446 LSU -40.5 447 Northern Colorado 448 Florida -40.5 449 Alcorn State 450 Florida Intl -23 Want Every FBS vs FCS Pick? Get CFB VIP Service for the year! (Includes Every CFB H-Rated Play): Just $499 FBS vs FCS H-rated Picks 15-3 (83%) Last 3 Years!!! Last Week FCS Top Play Texas Tech (-7) wins 56-10!!! Call 440-787-6614! Biggest Movers Since Preseason Rank Team Pre 9/5 Team Pts 100 Kansas 59.80 59.80 101 New Mexico 59.63 59.63 UCF +3.0 102 Central Michigan 62.05 59.05 California +2.5 103 Ball State 56.93 58.93 104 Bowling Green 59.73 58.73 Coastal Caro +2.0 105 San Jose State 58.20 58.70 North Texas +2.0 106 Florida Atlantic 59.62 58.12 Ball St +2.0 107 Hawaii 59.05 58.05 108 East Carolina 59.90 57.90 Purdue +2.0 109 Fresno State 57.33 57.83 Maryland +2.0 110 Akron 58.69 57.69 111 New Mexico State 56.04 57.04 W Michigan +2.0 112 North Texas 55.01 57.01 Navy +2.0 113 UL-Lafayette 58.11 56.11 Texas Tech +2.0 114 South Alabama 55.96 55.96 115 FIU 58.92 55.92 Michigan +2.0 116 Georgia Southern 56.26 55.76 LSU +2.0 117 Idaho 55.50 55.50 118 UL-Monroe 54.45 55.45 Georgia St -2.5 119 Coastal Carolina 53.00 55.00 FIU -3.0 120 Rice 54.54 54.54 121 Massachusetts 56.53 54.53 Cincinnati -3.0 122 Buffalo 52.97 53.97 Cent Michigan -3.0 123 Kent State 54.68 53.68 Oregon St -4.5 124 Georgia State 55.56 53.06 125 Connecticut 54.43 52.93 BYU -4.0 126 UTEP 51.90 51.40 North Carolina -4.0 127 UNLV 55.61 50.61 128 Charlotte 49.96 49.96 UNLV -5.0 129 UAB 48.93 48.43 Baylor -5.0 130 Texas State 47.88 46.88 Texas -5.0 Florida St -7.0

Week 2 Computer Projected Lines for Every CFB Game Last season, we posted computer projected lines at pregame.com. It was our first year of doing computer projected lines so we didn t have any past data points to see how the projections would do against the Vegas lines. We were actually quite pleased with the results. Games where there was of difference of more than 3 points saw our computer lines actually beat the Vegas line at a 108-80-3 (57.4%) clip last season and are 5-2 this year. That s pretty solid and actually better than our own handicapping (much to our dismay). Keep in mind, these computer lines don t take into consideration off-the-field factors like revenge or flat spots. They are basically a power-rating number difference between the two teams that also takes into consideration the home field advantage. Of the current 5 games where our computer is off more than 3 points compared to the Vegas line (highlighted), our favorite team this week to back would be Wisconsin -31.5, Duke +3.5 and Syracuse -9. The Comp column is the computer projected line and the Diff column is the difference between the Vegas line and the Computer line. + numbers in the difference column say back the underdog. - numbers in the difference column say back the favorite. Let us know if you have questions. Friday, September 8th Game Line Comp Diff 301 Ohio 302 Purdue -4-4.09-0.09 303 Oklahoma State 304 South Alabama +28 +28.89-0.89 483 Memphis 484 Central Florida -1.5-0.92 +0.58 Saturday, September 9th Game Line Comp Diff 305 Florida Atlantic 306 Wisconsin -31.5-35.38-3.88 307 Buffalo 308 Army -16.5-15.11 +1.39 309 Western Michigan 310 Michigan State -7-5.88 +1.12 311 Eastern Michigan 312 Rutgers -5-6.58-1.58 313 Old Dominion 314 Massachusetts +4 +4.36-0.36 315 Northwestern 316 Duke +3.5-0.5 +4.0 317 South Florida 318 Connecticut +17.5 +19.54-2.04 319 East Carolina 320 West Virginia -24-22.49 +1.51 321 Cincinnati 322 Michigan -34.5-33.25 +1.25 323 Louisville 324 North Carolina +10 +6.88 +3.12 325 Charlotte 326 Kansas State -36-36.16-0.16 327 Iowa 328 Iowa State +2.5-0.09 +2.59 329 Wake Forest 330 Boston College -1-1.36-0.36 331 New Mexico State 332 New Mexico -7.5-5.59 +1.91 333 Rice 334 UTEP -1.5-0.11 +1.39 335 Texas State 336 Colorado -35.5-34.71 +0.79 337 UAB 338 Ball State -14-13.25 +0.75 339 Middle Tennessee 340 Syracuse -9-13.07-4.07 341 Indiana 342 Virginia +3 +2.8 +0.2 343 Pittsburgh 344 Penn State -21-20.04 +0.96 345 Fresno State 346 Alabama -43.5-46.15-2.65 Game Line Comp Diff 347 Tulane 348 Navy -13-12.98 +0.02 349 Western Kentucky 350 Illinois +8 +6.2 +1.8 351 Tex San Antonio 352 Baylor -17-14.93 +2.07 353 Hawaii 354 UCLA -23-24.5-1.5 355 Central Michigan 356 Kansas -5.5-3.75 +1.75 357 Nebraska 358 Oregon -14-11.48 +2.52 359 Miami Florida 360 Arkansas State +14.5 +14.21 +0.29 361 San Jose State 362 Texas -26-24.12 +1.88 363 TCU 364 Arkansas +3 +1.24 +1.76 365 UL - Lafayette 366 Tulsa -15-15.66-0.66 367 Marshall 368 NC State -24-23.62 +0.38 369 Toledo 370 Nevada +9.5 +7.05 +2.45 371 UL - Monroe 372 Florida State -32.5-37.76-5.26 373 South Carolina 374 Missouri -2.5-0.23 +2.27 375 North Texas 376 SMU -13-11.76 +1.24 377 Auburn 378 Clemson -5-7.49-2.49 379 Georgia 380 Notre Dame -4.5-3.39 +1.11 381 Mississippi State 382 Louisiana Tech +8 +8.52 +0.52 383 Oklahoma 384 Ohio State -7.5-7.28 +0.22 387 Stanford 388 USC -6.5-6.9-0.4 389 UNLV 390 Idaho -6.5-7.64-1.14 391 Minnesota 392 Oregon State -2 +0.6 +2.6 393 San Diego State 394 Arizona State -3.5-5.18-1.68 395 Utah 396 BYU +1-1.1-2.1 397 Houston 398 Arizona +1.5 +0.57 +0.93 399 Boise State 400 Washington State -10.5-10.95-0.45 6 Top 25 CFB ATS Trends for Week 2 1. Lane Kiffin is 4-15 ATS his last 19 games as a head coach (+31.5 at Wisconsin). 2. Louisville is 2-8 ATS their last 10 games (-9.5 at North Carolina). 3. Penn St has covered 10 straight games dating back to last season by 17 ppg (-20.5 vs Pitt). 4. Georgia is making their first trip north of the Mason Dixon Line since 1965 this week as they are +4.5 at Notre Dame. 5. Tom Herman is 1-8 ATS his last 9 games as a head coach with an average non-cover in the 8 ATS losses by 21 ppg (-26 vs San Jose St). 6. Alabama head coach Nick Saban is 9-1 ATS in season openers, but just 3-7 ATS in Game No. 2 (-43.5 vs Fresno St). 7. Stanford is 10-4 ATS their last 14 games vs USC and have won 7 of the last 9 series games straight up. (+6.5 at USC). 8. Stanford is 14-2-1 ATS their last 17 road games (+6.5 at USC). 9. Stanford head coach David Shaw is 8-2-1 ATS as an underdog (+6.5 at USC). 10. TCU QB Kenny Hill is 4-14 ATS his last 18 games as a starter (-3 at Arkansas). 11. UCLA is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 14 non-conference games (-23.5 vs Hawaii). 12. Navy is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games (-13.5 vs Tulane). 13. In the preseason at Golden Nugget, UNLV was a 2-point favorite at Idaho, but after one game are now +6.5. 14. Utah has won 6 straight games in Holy War series vs rival BYU (-1 at BYU). 15. The visitor is 19-6 ATS in Boise St s last 25 games (+10.5 at Washington St). 16. Boise St has been favored in 27 straight games but are 10.5-point underdogs at Washington St. 17. Boise St (+10.5) is currently in their largest underdog role since 2001 (also +10.5 vs Louisville in the bowl game in 2004). 18. Oklahoma (+7.5) is currently in their largest underdog role since the 2013 Sugar Bowl (+15 beat Alabama outright 45-31). 19. Arkansas St (+14.5 vs Miami, FL) is currently in their largest home underdog role since 2004 when they were +23 vs Memphis. 20. Colorado (-35.5 vs Texas St) is currently in their largest favorite role over an FBS school since 1995 (-38 vs ULM). 21. Cincinnati (+35.5 at Mich) is currently in their largest underdog role since 1998 (+42.5 at Syracuse). 22. NC State is on 7-2 ATS run as a double-digit favorite (-24 vs Marshall). 23. Colorado is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 home games (-35.5 vs Texas St). 24. Duke is 5-1 ATS as a home underdog the last four years and overall are on a 17-7 ATS run as an underdog (+3.5 vs Northwestern). 25. Matt Campbell coached teams (Toledo/Iowa St) are on an 18-9 ATS run as underdogs including 4-1 ATS as home dogs last year (+2.5 vs Iowa).

4H = BEST 3H = BETTER 2H = GOOD 1H = FAIR THE POWERS PACK 3H HOUSTON -5 over Jacksonville 2H TENNESSEE -2 over Oakland 2H NY Giants +4 over DALLAS Games in Rotation Order HOME TEAM IN CAPS Thursday, September 7th NEW ENGLAND 28 Kansas City 18. Remarkably the Patriots went 16-3 ATS last year in their Super Bowl winning season covering each of their final 8 games. Meanwhile the Chiefs have covered six straight road games. Both teams suffered some attrition in the preseason as the Chiefs lost their lead RB Spencer Ware while the Pats lost their slot receiver Julian Edelman. The Chiefs have relied on special teams and defensive magic the last couple of years but that usually isn t allowed by New England who also boasts a Top 10 ST s unit and has been Top 5 in TO margin the last 3 years. Andy Reid is 12-3 ATS as a dog of 8 or more points in his career, but we have a slight lean on the Pats. We like the UNDER more as NE s defense gets overlooked (No. 1 in scoring D last year). Sunday, September 10th BUFFALO 23 NY Jets 16. The Jets did win both match-ups last year but it s remarkable how much of a roster overhaul the Jets have done this season as they have said good-bye to several starters. Almost as remarkable as seeing the Bills favored by 9 points over any team. Josh McCown is going to be the Jets QB starter for now and he is 2-20 SU his last 22 starts. The Bills QB Tyrod Taylor is just overcoming a concussion and they make play it conservatively with him. Look for RB LeSean McCoy to get plenty of touches in an ugly low scoring game. Pass. Atlanta 27 CHICAGO 23. The big question for Atlanta is can they overcome blowing a 28-3 lead in the Super Bowl while also losing offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan in the process. On the other side, it will be Mike Glennon who gets the first call for Chicago but Trubisky will play sometime this season. We re backing Chicago here as Atlanta sports just an 8-18 ATS record as a favorite and from Marc Lawrence s Playbook Super Bowl losing teams from the previous year are 2-15 SU/ATS on the road in season-opening games since 1985. 3H HOUSTON 24 Jacksonville 13. Houston has dominated the series as of late as they have won 6 straight (4-2 ATS) with an average win by 10 ppg. While Houston is dealing with several distractions with the flooding from Hurricane Harvey (long-term will be a negative), I think this is the type of game that can bond and heal the Houston community (see Saints Monday night game after Hurricane Katrina). Jacksonville has QB issues and are 0-4 SU/ATS their last 4 season openers (also 0-9 SU/1-7-1 ATS their last 9 road openers). Houston usually takes care of business as head coach Bill O Brien is 19-2 SU and 15-5-1 ATS as a favorite in his career. A pretty easy call for our top play of Week 1. Philadelphia 26 WASHINGTON 23. Washington has won 5 straight in the series but both of last year s games came down to the wire. The Eagles have taken heavy money in this game all summer long as they opened nearly a FG underdog and will most likely close as a favorite. After their hot start a year ago, they did cool off down the stretch at 4-9 SU/5-8 ATS but look for improvement in year 2 under head coach Doug Pedersen and QB Carson Wentz. The Eagles look like the more stable team right now especially with Washington losing some key weapons in the receiving game and Kirk Cousins impending contract being a distraction. Arizona 27 DETROIT 24. Arizona has owned this series going 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS and are on a 8-1 ATS run in road openers. The Cardinals were our favorite season win total best bet in our July issue (OVER 8 wins) as we expect them to be much improved this season. With QB Palmer and WR Fitzgerald at the tail end of their careers, look for them to rely heavily on RB David Johnson. The Lions under QB Matthew Stafford have always struggled with winning teams as the League s highest paid player is only 51-61 SU in his career. Chalk up another loss here. 2H TENNESSEE 28 Oakland 23. Tennessee came on strong at the end of last season winning 6 of their last 9 games and we expect that continue this season. QB Marcus Mariota has a couple more weapons in the pass game win Eric Decker and rookie Corey Davis. All of Oakland s preseason games were out west and now they travel to the South for an early start time. The Raiders were a fake 12-4 team last year as they were out-yarded on the season, benefited from several close wins and also took advantage of TO s. The Raiders have beaten the Titans on the road in each of the last two years but we expect Tennessee to get some revenge this year. 7 Tampa Bay at Miami game has been rescheduled for Sunday, November 19th due to Hurricane Irma. Both teams had byes on that date. CINCINNATI 24 Baltimore 20. Cincinnati is on a 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS run as host in this series. Baltimore QB Joe Flacco sat out all of the preseason and you have to wonder if there will be some rust for him here. Despite Flacco sitting out the defense carried the team to a 4-0 preseason record and we cashed a couple of plays on them. Cincinnati does have a couple players suspended in LB Vontaze Burfict and CB Adam Jones but have added some nice offensive weapons including rookie Joe Mixon to go along with RB Bernard, WR Green and TE Eifert. Bengals could be looking at a bounce back year. Pittsburgh 27 CLEVELAND 16. We re big fans of Cleveland s roster overhaul and thought they did a solid job in last year s draft. They actually could field an average defense this fall and it certainly showed in the preseason. However, there are still major concerns on the offense as rookie DeShone Kizer gets the start. On the other side, the Steelers are arguably the biggest threat in the AFC to dethrone the Pats. Their defense should feast on the young QB and it should be noted that the Browns are on a 0-10-1 ATS run its last 11 AFC North games and they have not won a season opener since 2004. Lean on the Steelers but we like the UNDER more as it has cashed in 4 of the last 5 series meetings. LA RAMS 21 Indianapolis 17. After the announcement of Andrew Luck being ruled out this line moved 7 points as Indianpolis went from being a 3.5-point favorite to now a 3.5-point underdog. Scott Tolzien will get the start and he boasts a career 2-to-7 TD-to-INT ratio in 3 starts. Indy s futility in season openers (2-7 SU/1-8 ATS) should continue. On the other side, there s some excitement in LA LA Land as the Rams hired the youngest head coach in NFL history in Sean McVey and it is expected he can get the most out of last year s No. 1 pick Jared Goff. Still the Rams have lost 11 of their last 12 games and we re not sure we want to lay more than a FG with Goff as your QB (0-7 SU/ATS in his 7 starts last year). Pass. GREEN BAY 27 Seattle 23. Arguably the game of the week featuring the two best teams in the NFC. The Seahawks have not fared well recently in Lambeau as they lost by 28 here last year and by 10 in 2015. They have also not fared well in road openers going 2-10 SU/1-11 ATS. On the flip side, Green Bay is on a 9-1 SU/8-1-1 ATS run in home openers. Sounds like an easy call right? We re still a little leary going up against Russell Wilson who has a great record as an underdog in his career and Pete Carroll is 14-1 ATS as a dog when seeking revenge. Pass. Carolina 26 SAN FRANCISCO 21. Last year Carolina took one of the biggest step backs in NFL history going from a 15-win season to failing to make the playoffs at 6-10. We are expecting a bounce back this year. The Panthers have owned the series at 13-2 ATS their last 15 but are on a 0-6- 1 ATS run as an away favorite. San Francisco has shocked many the last couple of years in season openers on MNF as they beat the Vikings and Rams by a combined 48-3. We like the direction of the franchise with the hire of Shanahan and GM Lynch did a solid job in the draft. Pass. 2H NY Giants 24 DALLAS 23. For the fifth time in 6 years, these two are opening up the season on Sunday Night Football. The Giants have owned the series having covered 5 straight and are on a 6-2 ATS run on the road in the series. Last year they handed the Cowboys two of their 3 losses on the season. Dallas will have RB Elliott here but they had him last year in both games. I also wonder if they will want to get touches to Morris and Mc- Fadden considering they will get the bulk of the carries the next 6 games. The Giants have the better defense and the better pass attack and won t be intimidated. Finally, the Cowboys tend to be overpriced in the markets especially early in the season due to their preseason hype and that s why they are 1-8 ATS in home openers the last 9 years. Monday, September 11th MINNESOTA 26 New Orleans 23. Solid match-up to kick off MNF as it will be strength (New Orleans offense) vs strength (Minnesota defense). Adrian Peterson is back in Minneapolis but this time as a Saint and we expected a motivated effort out of him. New Orleans has fared well on the road with a current run at 9-1 ATS run in their last 10 but Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer is 28-7 ATS against non-division opponents in his career. We re passin on this one for now. DENVER 23 LA Chargers 20. A matchup of two new head coaches leads to some uncertainty here as Vance Joseph takes over for the Broncos while Anthony Lynn is the new head man in L.A. Denver has dominated the series winning 10 of the last 11 and has the better defense but Philip Rivers is on a 12-3-1 ATS run as a road dog in AFC West games and is clearly the superior QB in this one. Pass for now. NFL VIP Late Phone/Email Service (Includes Every CFB H-Rated Play): Just $499 Call 1-440-787-6614! Mention Special Code: Page 7

SUNDAY NIGHT OWL $10 Volume 1 Issue 2 September 7-11, 2017 2017 BP Sports, LLC First Night Owl Best Bet: Rutgers covers by 14.5 pts!!! Rutgers line moves 3 points on Monday Morning!!! Sunday Night Owl Week 2 CFB Line Openers with BP Lines Update Explained Below are the Week 2 CFB line openers. The games are in rotation order and the home is listed on bottom. All times are ET. () = neutral site. The BP Line is our early power ratings/computer line. Get these early lines each Sunday Night by signing up for the Sunday Night Owl Update for just $49! Friday, September 8th Time/TV Open BP Line Saturday, September 9th Time/TV Open BP Line 8:00pm 301 Ohio 6:00pm 367 Marshall FS1 302 Purdue -3.5-3 368 NC State -22-24 8:00pm 303 Oklahoma State -26.5-27 7:00pm 369 Toledo -9.5-7 ESPN2 304 South Alabama 370 Nevada Saturday, September 9th 7:00pm 371 UL - Monroe Time/TV Open BP Line 372 Florida State -31-35 12:00pm 305 Florida Atlantic 7:00pm 1H 373 South Carolina BTN 306 Wisconsin -31.5-35 ESPN2 374 Missouri -2 PK 12:00pm 307 Buffalo 7:00pm 375 North Texas CBS College 308 Army -16.5-14.5 376 SMU -12-13 3:30pm 309 Western Michigan 7:00pm 377 Auburn BTN 310 Michigan State -7-6 ESPN 378 Clemson -6-7 3:30pm 311 Eastern Michigan 7:30pm 379 Georgia BTN 3H 312 Rutgers -4-7 NBC 380 Notre Dame NL NL 3:30pm 313 Old Dominion -2.5-3 7:30pm 381 Mississippi State -7-7 314 Massachusetts CBS College 382 Louisiana Tech 12:00pm 315 Northwestern -3.5-1 7:30pm 383 Oklahoma ESPNU 2H 316 Duke ABC 384 Ohio State -7.5-8 12:00pm 317 South Florida -17.5-18 8:00pm 385 Memphis 318 Connecticut 386 Central Florida -3-1 12:00pm 319 East Carolina 8:30pm 1H 387 Stanford FS2 320 West Virginia NL NL FOX 388 USC -6.5-4 12:00pm 321 Cincinnati 7:00pm 389 UNLV ABC 322 Michigan -33-35 390 Idaho -7.5-7 12:00pm 323 Louisville -8-7 10:00pm 391 Minnesota ESPN 324 North Carolina FS1 392 Oregon State -1 PK 12:00pm 325 Charlotte 11:00pm 393 San Diego State 326 Kansas State -36-35 Pac-12 394 Arizona State -3-3 12:00pm 327 Iowa -2.5 PK 10:15pm 395 Utah ESPN2 1H 328 Iowa State ESPN2 396 BYU -1 PK 329 Wake Forest 10:30pm 397 Houston -2 PK 1:00pm 330 Boston College -2-2 ESPNU 1H 398 Arizona 8:00pm 1H 331 New Mexico State 10:30pm 399 Boise State 332 New Mexico -8.5-7 ESPN 400 Washington State -9-9 8:00pm 333 Rice -1.5 PK 334 UTEP Early Week 2 CFB Best Bets 2:00pm 335 Texas State Expect lines to move throughout the week. Pac-12 336 Colorado -35.5 35 3:00pm 337 UAB 3H Rutgers -4 over Eastern Michigan 2H 338 Ball State -12-14 3H Stanford +7 over USC Upgraded! 3:30pm 339 Middle Tennessee 3H Georgia +6.5 over Notre Dame Added! 340 Syracuse -8-10 2H Duke +3.5 over Northwestern 3:30pm 341 Indiana -3-2 2H Ball St -12 over UAB 342 Virginia 2H Texas -28 over San Jose St 3:30pm 343 Pittsburgh 1H Iowa St +2.5 over Iowa ABC 344 Penn State -19-19.5 1H New Mexico St +8.5 over New Mexico 3:30pm 345 Fresno State ESPN2 346 Alabama -42.5-43 1H South Carolina +2 over Missouri 3:30pm 347 Tulane 1H Arizona +2 over Houston CBS College 348 Navy -13-13 8:00pm 349 Western Kentucky -7.5-6.5 BTN 350 Illinois Early Week 1 NFL Best Bet 8:00pm 351 Tex San Antonio 2H Tennessee -1.5 over Oakland 352 Baylor -16-14 5:00pm 353 Hawaii Pac-12 354 UCLA NL NL 4:00pm 355 Central Michigan 356 Kansas -3.5-4 4:30pm 357 Nebraska FOX 358 Oregon -10-10 3:30pm 359 Miami Florida -14-14 ESPNU 360 Arkansas State 3:30pm 361 San Jose State LHN 2H 362 Texas -28-31 3:30pm 363 TCU CBS 364 Arkansas -1.5-1 4:00pm 365 UL - Lafayette More Tickets Coming Later on Monday! 366 Tulsa -15.5-16 8 Each and every Sunday night during the season, you ll get my early best bets and lines in both college football and the NFL. These will will be the games we anticipate will have the largest line moves throughout the course of the week and/or will move to or through key numbers like 3 or 7. These bets are specifically trying to get the best line/value in the market and it will be a newsletter more for the pro bettors who can bet on Sunday night and Monday morning and not have to wait until the weekend. However, since these bets will be made on Sunday night or Monday morning, these best bets will not factor in updated injuries and/or weather later in the week. Therefore the best bets in the Powers Picks newsletter (emailed every Wednesday) will be stronger and the VIP picks released even later in the week will have even greater emphasis. Each week during the season, I will personally travel down to the Las Vegas Wynn where they usually are the first casino to release lines. I will take pictures of my tickets/bets each week and post them in the Sunday Night Update! This week, I did not get down to the Wynn because of college games still being played on Sunday but I did make bets on Monday. SUNDAY NIGHT OWL update Emailed Every Sunday Night at 8pm EST/5pm PST Very First Newsletter Released Each Week!!! Updated CFB Power Ratings on all 130 teams! BP Early Lines on Every CFB and NFL Game!! Be the First to Get Early Best Bets Each Week!!! Get the Very Best Lines Before They Move!!! See Actual Bets Made by Brad Powers himself! Just $49 Have questions? Need more info? Want to sign up? Call 1-440-787-6614 or order online at bradpowerssports.com