PLAYBOOK presents: Victor King s NFL O/U TOTALS TIPSHEET Single $8.00 / Rest of Season: $8 Volume 13, Issue 17 Holiday CHEER: Tipsheet SWEEPS (3-0) going into LAST issue of the year! TWITTER: @KingCreole1 Happy Holidays (and Happy ENDINGS)! The week before Christmas was our BEST 7-day period of the entire football season, if you count the Totals Tipsheet plays... and our King Creole OU plays in Pro Basketball, the College Bowls, and the NFL (9-1 overall). Now, that s what I call Good Timing! (a) Building up that bankroll for extra Christmas Presents and (b) Building up that bankroll for the post-season. It started with another 3-0 SWEEP for the Totals Tipsheet... improving our overall record on these pages to 27-21 on the year. Here s the review: Game One was on UNDER the TOTAL in the Saturday AFC game between the BALTIMORE RAVENS and LOS ANGELES CHARGERS. The OU line opened at 45.. and it fell all the way to 42.5 when the game kicked off. We knew we were on the right side when we got to halftime, and only 3 FG s had been scored (6 to 3). 17 points were scored in the 3rd quarter, and only 6 in the 4th quarter. Baltimore s great defense completely manhandled the Chargers, and held em to only 198 total yards. An easy win by DOUBLE D s for us and a great start to the weekend. Game Two was Monkey s play on UNDER the TOTAL in the AFC East Division game between the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS and BUFFALO BILLS. This one followed the game script PERFECTLY for us Under bettors. The 14-point home favorite gets out to an early 2 TD lead by halftime (New England was up 14-0). They are then content to kick FG s in the 2nd half and run out the clock. Final score: 24-12. Another easy winner by 9 points... Game Three was on UNDER the TOTAL in the NFC West Division game between the LA RAMS and ARIZ CARDINALS. This game had the most dramatic OU line move of any of our plays (opened at 47.5 / closed at 44). And with hot start, we were nervous for the entire game. At the half, the score was already 21-9. We needed the Rams to take their foot off the gas in the 2nd half... and they DID. There was only 10 total points scored in the 2nd half, and we somehow came away with a 4-point winner. Hey, Lady Luck OWED us one anyway! NFL 10* GOY brings home the bacon! A special Thank You to the many Totals Tipsheet subscribers who hooked up with us for the 10* Game of the Year in the NFL. We had a nice discount of just $35.00 for Tipsheet clients, and that BestBet waa on OVER 54 points in the Sunday Night game between the SEAHAWKS and CHIEFS. Final score: A SHOOTOUT (38-31) with 883 total offensive yards... JACKPOT! 5* College Bowl GAME of the YEAR goes on New Years Day: We ve done pretty good so far in the College BOWL games. O/U plays are hitting at. If you re looking to step out with a OU BEST BET, then join us next Tuesday (New Years Day) for our 5* College Bowl GAME of the YEAR. Yes, it s a Totals Play. And yes, we re going OVER the Total. It ll be up at Playbook.com by Friday night! December 30th, HIGHS and LOWS of the calendar year: There were multiple HIGHS in the year for our King Creole service... (1) Starting out with a nice 6-2 record in the NFL Playoffs... (2) Having one of our better regular seasons in Pro Basketball. Our NBA O/ U plays went 55-40-3 for the season (). Considering that the mostly unachievable Gold Standard over a long haul is, we were VERY pleased with the overall record. (3) Winning the NFL 10* Game of the Year last Sunday (Seahawks / Chiefs OVER the Total). (4) But if I HAD to choose ONE high from, it would definitely be our best season EVER in Baseball. The King Creole service finished #1 in the entire country with The Sports Monitor, with a record of 50-25-4 (). And NO big favorites. All plays were straight -110 Totals Plays. On July 24th, the BIG streak started: 10 STRAIGHT Baseball OU wins in a row. Then 1 loss... and then 1 tie. Then ANOTHER streak of 10 STRAIGHT Baseball OU wins in a row. So from July 24th to August 21st, we went 20-1-1 in Major League Baseball OU plays. By far the best streak that I have been on in 19 years of handicapping. There was only one LOW for me and my family in the calendar year, but it was heart-breaking. On Sunday, April 8th my dog Speedee had no appetite and refused to eat his food. My wife Sandy and I were only a little concerned. He had missed an occasional meal in the past. But less than 48 hours later, he was gone. Cancerous and bleeding tumors in his stomach. We had to put him to sleep on Tuesday, April 10th. It was a total shock to us because despite his age (11 years old), he was in excellent health. Here we are eight months later, and I still tear up when talking and thinking of him. I miss King s Best Friend terribly... The regular season is over, but here comes the PLAYOFFS! Last season s documented record in the NFL Playoffs: Wild Card Round: 3* UNDER 44 Titans vs Chiefs (W)... 2* Atlanta Falcons +6 (W)... 3* UNDER 47.5 Panthers vs Saints (L). Division Round: 3* UNDER 40.5 Falcons vs Eagles (W)... 5* GOY on OVER 46.5 Vikings vs Saints (W)... 3* Jax Jaguars +7 (W). Championship Weekend: 4* OVER 46 Jaguars vs Steelers (L) Super Bowl Week: 3* OVER 48.5 Eagles vs Patriots (41-33 WINNER). The overall record for our King Creole service was 6-2 ATS... and +11.3 units. Over the last 14 years, our Playoff selections have hit a very nice. We ll be back for MORE post-season action in January, and we will honor the same DISCOUNT that we offered to full-season Totals Tipsheet customers as late year. The normal price for our usual 8-10 NFL Playoff selections is $199.00. But current full-season Tipsheet subscribers can get the entire package of the NFL Playoffs for just $99.00. If you are interested in taking advantage of this half OFF price, then call me sometime next week in the Playbook offices at 800-321-7777 (extension 8070). Happy New Year! Thanks for being a TOTALS TIPSHEET subscriber this season! Don t forget King s PLAYOFF selections at Playbook.com! 1
3* Niners @ Rams UNDER When it aint broke, don t fix it! So once again, the LA RAMS will be occupying our top spot in the Tipsheet this week... as they host the 49ers in the late-afternoon kickoffs. We made our move at the opening line of 50.5 points, and it looks like that first initial SHARP action was in agreement with us, as the line is down to 49.5 as we type this on Wednesday morning (get your play in ASAP). We already know that the Niners will be without some key offensive personnel (like Breida and Pettis). And we could very see Sean McVay call off the dogs and empty the benches in the 2nd half as well (like he did last year when Goff and Gurley sat out of the final game). Last week, we went LOW in the Rams / Cards game and were fortunate to come away with a W. In that 31-9 win, the ONLY TD that LA gave up on defense was a WR to RB TRICK TD pass (Fitzgerald to Johnson). They still held Zona to only 263 yards. And our database tells us that: In the last 3 years, NFL teams off a SUATS division road FAVORITE win in which they 2* Falcons @ Bucs UNDER Our 2nd UNDER of the week in the final issue of the Totals Tipsheet will be down here in the Sunshine State, as the Buccaneers will be hosting the Falcons in a NFC South game that basically means NOTHING. If this game was IN Atlanta, we might pass or even consider going the other way (as in OVER). That s because Falcon games have averaged 65.4 ppg TY and Tampa Bay ROAD games have averaged 65.0 ppg TY. But it s at Raymomd James Stadium, in which Buccaneer games have averaged 23.3 ppg LESS (only 41.7). This is one of three division games this week with a HIGH Over / Under line (opened at 49.5 / now up to 51.5). Let s wait for the OU line to top out before we make our move. At the very least, make sure your line is 51.5 or higher. Sharp OU bettors probably already know that we like to go UNDER in division games with high OU lines. UNDERS L7Y (19-41-1 O/U): All Week 4 > DIVISION games in which the home team is FAVORED, and the OU Line is 49 or more points (Bucs vs Falcons / Rams vs 2* allowed 10 < points (Rams) have gone 2-16 O/U in their next game... In last week s game, LA was a very chalky road favorite of -14 points. 3-13 O/U s 09 / 0-5 O/U L3Y: All NFL teams off a SUATS win AND an Under in a game in which they were a DOUBLE-DIGIT road FAV (Rams). We re aware that LA did indeed top the 30-point mark for the first time since that Monday SHOOTOUT vs the Chiefs five weeks ago. That s ok. Because, so far THIS season... NFL teams off a road win of 21 > points in which they SCORED 31 > pts (Rams) have gone 1-8 O/U in their next game. On the flip side, the visiting 49ers are off a low-scoring outcome of their own. They lost at home to the Bears (14-9) and only had 279 total yards of offense. 0-6 O/U last 3 years: All NFL same-division teams off a SU home loss in which they scored AND allowed 14 or less points (Niners). This is a great week to Go LOW for the upper-echelon teams in the league....750 or better teams in GAME 16 (Rams) have gone 2-12-2 O/U L8Y when the OU line is > 38 points. Final score: Rams 24 - Niners 17... 49ers / Chiefs vs Raiders). Atlanta is 6-9 SU on the year (.400) while Onhhhhhhh Tampa is 5-10 SU (.333). The fact that NOTHING is on the line in this game also helps us take a definitive stand in regards to the Total... 3-16- 1 O/U since 2013: All Week 10 > DIVISION games when BOTH teams (Bucs + Falcons) are.400 or worse on the year, and the OU line is > 40 points. Just like the Rams did last week (mentioned above), Atlanta went into Carolina last week as road chalk, and held the Panthers to only 10 points. So they are ALSO active in this situation: In the last 3 years, NFL teams off a SUATS division road FAVORITE win in which they allowed 10 < points (Falcons) have gone 2-16 O/U in their next game... It looks like Tampa peaked on offense in October, when they averaged 31.8 ppg. In their last 3 games, they have scored only 14 pts, 12 pts, and 20 pts (losing the last two on the ROAD). 1-8-1 O/U last 3 years: All teams off back-to-back ROAD losses (Bucs) versus any opponent off a ROAD win (Falcons). Final score: Buccaneers 24 - Falcons 20... Jets @ Patriots Here s another situation (like the Rams) in which Monkey will keep the SAME team in the SAME spot as last week. And that s her NEW favorite UNDER team: The New England Patriots... who are 1-7 O/U in their last 8 games (avg margin: -8.5 ppg to boot)... and the 2nd best UNDER team in the entire league for the season. Yes, we re aware that New York is a surprising 10-5 O/U this year. But the clincher for us is the fact that this Jets / Pats SERIES has now gone 0-5 O/U in the last 5 meetings, with an average of only 39.2 combined points per game. This game opened at 48, and has already come down to 45. So like our first game, get your action in on this one ASAP. With New England laying a healthy 13 to 14 points, our database tells us that: BIG division home favorites of -11 or MORE points (Patriots) have gone 3-15 O/U since the 2013 season. Despite their very good current W/L percentage of.667 (10-5 SU), the Patriots have still failed to cover a spread in each of their last 3 games (0-3 ATS)... 9-25-2 O/U since 2007 / 1-8 O/U L4Y: All GAME 4 or greater.600 > favs of 2 > points playing off 3 or more ATS losses in a row (Pats). So for the SECOND week in a row, New England will be a big DOUBLE-DIGIT home favorite... 5-17-1 O/U since 2002 / 0-4 O/U L4Y: All FAVS of -10 pts w/ an OU line of 48 < pts AFTER a home game in which they were also a DD fav (Pats). With Jets off a home OVERTIME loss against the Packers, we ll close our database querying with this one: Since 2011, NFL division road teams off a home OVERTIME loss (Jets) have gone 1-7-1 O/U. Final score: Pats 24 - Jets 14... 2
ALL SYSTEMS ARE THIS WEEK S HIGH PERCENTAGE O/U SYSTEMS NFL Week 16 OU Results / Week 17 OU lines The low-scoring final month of the 2108 season continued last week. Not necessarily in terms of average points per game, like last week s low avg of only 38.6. But definitely in actual OU results. In this current month of December, NFL games have gone 25-37-1 O/U. That UNDER percentage falls right into line with the numbers from last week s Tipsheet. NFL games have gone 122-177-5 O?U in GAMES 13-16 over the last five seasons ( Unders). Let s check out the numbers. In Week 16, the average OU line was 45.3 points. Aside from the first two weeks of the year, that average of 45.3 was the LOWEST of the season. Here s the average OU line for each week thus far: 44.6 (Week 1)... 45.0 (Week 2)...46.2 (Week 3)... 46.8 (Week 4)... 47.2 (Week 5)... 46.9 (Week 6)... 47.2 (Week 7)... 47.8 (Week 8)... 47.8 (Week 9)... 48.0 (Week 10)... 48.8 (Week 11)... 46.7 (Week 12)... 47.2 (Week 13)... 46.4 (Week 14)... 46.1 (Week 15)... and 45.3 (Week 16).The average points per game last weekend was actually EXACTLY the same as the OU line: 45.3. Therefore, the average OU margin was ZERO... Official results were 6 OVERS... 9 UNDERS... and 1 tie (6-9-1 O/U). Full season year-to-date results in the NFL now stand at 113-126 O/U. Average combined PPG for the season is now down to 46.8. The averages: 47.8 (Week 1)... 46.3 (Week 2)... 45.2 (Week 3)... 53.4 (Week 4)... 47.3 (Week 5)... 50.7 (Week 6)... 46.9 (Week 7)... 49.1 (Week 8)... 46.6 (Week 9)... 48.6 (Week 10)... 51.6 (Week 11)... 47.4 (Week 12)... 42.7 (Week 13)... 43.5 (Week 14)... 38.6 (Week 15)... and 45.3 (Week 16). PRIMETIME games ended up going 1-2 O/U. For the year, the Primetime games finished with a split right down the middle, at 25-25 O/U, with an average of 48.3 ppg. Thursday NIGHT games: 10-5 O/U (exactly 50.0 ppg)... Saturday NIGHT: 0-2 O/U (32.5)... Sunday NIGHT: 7-9 O/U (47.9)... Monday NIGHT games ended at 8-9 O/U (49.2). All EARLY kickoff games went 3-5-1 O/U (64-68-1 O/U overall / 46.3 ppg) All LATE kickoff games went 2-2 O/U (24-33 O/U overall / 46.2 ppg) DIVISIONAL games went 0-5-1 O/U (35-44-1 O/U overall / 45.3 ppg) AFC non-division Conference games went 0-2 O/U (24-24 O/U overall / 47.1 ppg) NFC non-division Conference games went 0-2 O/U (20-28 O/U overall / 44.9 ppg) NON-Conf games (AFC vs NFC) game went 6-0 O/U (34-30 O/U overall / 48.1 ppg) As of Wednesday morning, the average OU line for this week s 16 games is at 43.9. That would be the lowest average OU line for the season. But it s really not surprising given the fact that it s WEEK 17. GAME 16 Over / Under tendencies 15-33 O/U ALL-TIME in the database / 1-9 O/U last 4 years: GAME 16 teams in the 2nd of back-to-back games, when the OU line is > 42 points (Patriots vs Jets / Saints vs Panthers, Seahawks vs Cardinals, Titans vs Colts). 2-12 O/U since 2012: All GAME 16.750 > or better teams, when the OU line is > 38 points (Saints + Rams). Game 16 most recent OU trends by DIVISION: AFC East games: 3-9 O/U L7 years AFC North games: 4-8 O/U L7 years AFC South games: 7-16 O/U all-time / 2-8 O/U last 5 years AFC West games: 11-7-1 O/U last 12 years NFC East games: 5-12 O/U last 8 years / 0-4 O/U last 2 years NFC North games: 14-9 O/U all-time / 3-1 O/U last 2 years NFC South games: 3-6 O/U last 5 years NFC West games: 1-5 O/U from 2012-2015 / but 4-0 O/U last 2 years Best OVER teams in GAME 16: Browns, Chiefs, Rams, Seahawks, Steelers 2-0 O/U L2Y... Packers 6-1 O/U... Chargers 10-2 O/U... Broncos, Lions 3-1 O/U... Cardinals 6-2 O/U... Saints 5-2 O/U. Best UNDER teams in GAME 16: Bills 0-4 O/U... Jaguars, Texans 0-3 O/U... Colts 1-7 O/U... Jets 1-6 O/U... Falcons 1-5 O/U...Panthers, Titans, Vikings 1-4 O/U... Cowboys 2-7 O/U... Bears, Bengals, Patriots 1-3 O/U... Redskins 2-6 O/U... Ravens 3-7 O/U... Dolphins 2-5 O/U. BALTIMORE BUFFALO CINCINNATI CLEVELAND DENVER HOUSTON INDIANAPOLIS JACKSONVILLE KANSAS CITY LA CHARGERS MIAMI NEW ENGLAND NY JETS OAKLAND PITTSBURGH TENNESSEE ARIZONA ATLANTA CAROLINA CHICAGO DALLAS DETROIT GREEN BAY LA RAMS MINNESOTA NEW ORLEANS NY GIANTS PHILADELPHIA SAN FRANCISCO SEATTLE TAMPA BAY WASHINGTON 44.9 42.1 44.2 43.3 41.1 44.8 45.8 39.2 51.8 46.5 46.2 50.2 44.2 46.1 55.6 38.2 50.3 49.8 45.2 44.3 46.3 45.9 53.6 41.5 56.4 43.0 42.1 43.4 46.6 46.2 42.7 42.8 38.8 42.9 46.8 47.3 42.6 60.2 45.0 41.4 45.2 41.7 40.7 40.2 42.3 47.2 45.9 43.6 39.8 44.2 47.7 48.8 43.9 49.7 42.1 45.8 42.3 43.9 54.2 39.7 POWER RATINGS COMPUTATION Compute the point difference between the home and away team. Multiply that number times 66%. The resulting number should be SUBTRACTED from the road team, if their OU rating is higher than the home team s rating. The number should be ADDED to the road team if their OU rating is lower than the home team s rating. Example: Miami (40.8) @ New Orleans (54.9). Difference is 14.1 points. Multiply times.666 and the result is 9.4 points. Round off if needed. Add 9 pts to the road team (40.8) rating to get a suggested OU Power Rating of 49.9 for this game. 3
Dal Cowboys (43.5) NY GIANTS Oak Raiders (54) KC CHIEFS Car Panthers (44.5) NEW ORL SAINTS NY Jets (48) NENG PATRIOTS Phi Eagles (42.0) WAS REDSKINS Det Lions (44.5) GBAY PACKERS Jac Jaguars (40.5) HOU TEXANS Cle Browns (41.5) BAL RAVENS Atl Falcons (49.5) TBAY BUCS Mia Dolphins (38) BUF BILLS Ind Colts (44) TEN TITANS Cin Bengals (48) PIT STEELERS Chi Bears (41.5) MIN VIKINGS La Chargers (41.5) DEN BRONCOS Arz Cardinals (38.5) SEA SEAHAWKS San Fran 49ers (50.5) LA RAMS 10-4 O/U aft Bucs... but 0-5 O/U L5 vs NYG (30.2)... 2-6 O/U vs <.400 opp... 2-7 O/U Gm 16... 2-5 O/U L7 div RG 4-1 O/U off SU loss 3 < pts... 8-4 O/U L2 div HG... but 0-5 O/U aft non-conf RG... 0-2 O/U Gm 16... 2-4 O/U aft Indy 6-1 O/U aft Den... but 0-10 O/U L10 div RG... 1-8-1 O/U L10 away vs KC (38.6)... 1-4 O/U Gm 16... 2-6 O/U aft Mon HG 4-1 O/U vs.333 < opp... 6-3 O/U aft Sea... but 1-5 O/U aft non-conf RG... 2-9 O/U favs 8 > pts... 1-3 O/U L4 div HG 6-1 O/U vs.700 > opp... 4-1 O/U div RD s 4 > pts... 7-2 O/U aft Atl... 5-2 O/U away off BB HG... but 1-4 O/U Gm 16 7-2 O/U L9 vs Car (53.1)... 7-3 O/U L10 div HG... 5-2 O/U Gm 16... but 0-5 O/U in 2nd of BB HG... 1-3 O/U favs 9 > pts TY 0-6 O/U away aft allow 30+ pts... 1-6 O/U Gm 16... 1-4 O/U aft score 35+ pts... 3-7 O/U dpgs > 7 pts... 3-7 O/U off non-conf HG 0-5 O/U L5 vs NYJ (39.2)... 0-5 O/U off 2+ ATS losses... 2-9 O/U vs.333 < opp... 1-4 O/U aft Buf... 1-3 O/U Gm 12 4-0 O/U aft Hou... 8-2 O/U L10 div RG... 7-3 O/U aft non-conf HG... but 0-2 O/U Gm 16... 2-13 O/U aft score +allow 28 > pts 4-1 O/U aft non-conf RG... 4-2 O/U L6 vs Phil (50.7)... but 1-3 O/U aft Sat RG... 2-6 O/U Gm 16... 3-7 O/U L10 div HG 6-0 O/U L6 vs GB (52.2)... 3-0 O/U aft Min... 4-1 O/U aft score 10 < pts... 4-1 O/U in 2nd of BB div gms... but 2-6 O/U aft div HG 6-1 O/U Gm 16... 11-2 O/U vs <.400 opp... 5-1 O/U L6 div HG... 7-2 O/U aft Jets... but 3-8 O/U home aft score 40+ pts 4-0 O/U aft allow 7 < pts... 6-1 O/U aft Mia... 6-2 O/U off road dog win... but 0-3 O/U Gm 16... 1-3 O/U as dogs 6 > pts 3-0 O/U vs.333 < opp... 4-1 O/U home off BB RG... 3-1 O/U aft Phil... but 0-3 O/U Gm 16... 1-6 O/U aft score 28+ pts 5-1 O/U L6 div RG... but 0-4 O/U L4 vs Bal (31.7)... 0-3 O/U aft Cin... 3-9 O/U away vs >.500 opp... 2-5 O/U Gm 16 1-4 O/U off road dog win... 2-8 O/U aft LAC... 2-7 O/U L9 div HG... 1-3 O/U aft allow 10 < pts... 3-7 O/U Gm 16 8-3 O/U vs.400 < opp... but 0-4 O/U in 2nd of BB RG... 2-11-1 O/U L14 div RG... 1-5 O/U Gm 16... 3-8 O/U aft Car 6-0 O/U aft Dal... 4-1 O/U L5 vs Atl (57.6)... 7-3 O/U vs.400 < opp... but 0-5 O/U L5 home gms... 1-4 O/U w/ line 50 > pts 5-2 O/U as dogs 4 < pts... but 1-3 O/U aft score 7 < pts... 1-3-1 O/U L5 div RG... 2-5 O/U Gm 16... 2-5 O/U aft Jack 6-2 O/U aft div RG... 5-2 O/U aft NEng... but 0-4 O/U Gm 16... 0-3-1 O/U as favs 4 < pts... 0-2 O/U L2 vs Mia (38.0) 7-0 O/U aft non-conf HG... 5-1 O/U aft score + all 27 > pts... but 0-8 O/U vs.550 > opp... 0-4 O/U L4 div RG... 1-7 O/U Gm 16 5-1 O/U in 2nd of BB HG... 3-1 O/U aft Sat gm... but 1-9 O/U aft non-conf HG... 1-4 O/U Gm 16... 1-3 O/U L4 vs Ind (45.7) 0-3-1 O/U aft Clev... 1-4-1 O/U L6 vs Pit (42.1)... 3-9 O/U in 2nd of BB RG... 1-3 O/U as dogs 10 > pts... 1-3 O/U Gm 16 6-1 O/U L7 div HG... 4-1 O/U aft NOrl... but 2-12 O/U vs <.500 opp Gm 8 >... 1-5 O/U as DD favs... 1-4 O/U aft non-conf RG 7-3 O/U in 2nd of BB RG... but 1-6 O/U aft score 14 < pts... 1-5 O/U aft allow < 10 pts... 1-3 O/U Gm 16... 1-3 O/U L4 div RG 7-3 O/U aft allow < 10 pts... but 0-5 O/U home vs div L2Y... 1-4 O/I Gm 16... 1-3 O/U aft Det... 3-7 O/U L10 vs Chi (39.0) 3-0 O/U off home fav loss... 10-2 O/U Gm 16... 8-3 O/U aft score 10 < pts... but 0-7 O/U aft Balt... 1-3 O/U L4 div RG 7-0 O/U aft Mon gm... 4-0 O/U L4 home vs LAC... 3-1 O/U Gm 16... but 0-5 O/U vs.700 > opp TY... 0-4 O/U L4 as HD s 3-0 O/U L3 away vs Sea (62.1)... 4-1 O/U as div RD s... 6-2 O/U Gm 16... but 1-5 O/U off home loss 14 > pts... 1-4 O/U aft LAR 4-0 O/U L4 div HG... but 2-12 O/U aft KC... 1-3 O/U in 2nd of BB HG... 2-6 O/U aft score 35+ pts... 2-5 O/U vs.333 < opp 4-1 O/U away vs.700 > opp... 6-2 O/U Gm 16... but 0-4 O/U aft Chi... 0-3 O/U away off 3 straight HG... 1-3 O/U as div RD s 4-0 O/U aft Ariz... 4-1 O/U aft allow < 10 pts... 3-1 O/U L4 vs SF (54.7)... but 0-3 O/U vs.333 < opp TY... 3-6 O/U Gm 16 RECENT O/U PATTERNS BASED ON PREVIOUS OR NEXT OPP (SYSTEM PERTAINS TO TEAM IN PARENTHESIS) MONTH TO MONTH INDIVIDUAL TEAM O/U TENDENCIES In Games 13-16 of the season DECEMBER The League (DET) is 3-0 O/U AFTER Bears The League (LAC) is 6-1 O/U AFTER Ravens The League (MIN) is 7-3 O/U AFTER Lions The League (CIN) is 1-7 O/U AFTER Browns The League (SEA) is 1-6 O/U AFTER Chiefs The League (IND) is 1-5 O/U AFTER Giants The League (MIA) is 1-5 O/U AFTER Jaguars The League (ATL) is 2-9 O/U AFTER Panthers The League (CAR) is 2-9 O/U AFTER Falcons The League (NYJ) is 1-4 O/U AFTER Packers The League (PIT) is 1-4 O/U AFTER Saints The League (CHI) is 3-10 O/U AFTER Niners ARZ: 1-7 O/U home L3Y ARZ: 6-2 O/U away L3Y ATL: 5-13-1 O/U L4Y CAR: 1-7 O/U away L3Y CIN: 2-11-2 O/U L3Y CLE: 3-17-2 O/U L5Y DAL: 3-13 O/U L3Y DEN: 3-8 O/U home L5Y GB: 9-3 O/U L2Y HOU: 7-20 O/U L6Y IND: 4-19 O/U L5Y KC: 3-9 O/U home L5Y LAC: 4-13 O/U L4Y LAR: 8-4 O/U L2Y NE: 12-6 O/U home L8Y NE: 3-8 O/U away L5Y NOR: 3-11 O/U away L6Y NYJ: 7-9 O/U L3Y OAK: 4-12 O/U L3Y PHI: 9-1-1 O/U away L5Y PIT: 6-2 O/U home L3Y TB: 3-12 O/U home L6Y TEN: 5-7 O/U home L5Y WAS: 1-4 O/U home L2Y 4
NFL Red Zone TD Scoring Percentages (OFF + DEF) Last 2 Years Getting into the RED ZONE. Once an offense gets there, it can result in 7 pts (TD) or 3 pts (FG) or 0 pts (turning the ball over or losing it on downs). The difference between a TD or FG occuring in the Red Zone can sometimes be the difference between an OVER or an UNDER cashing. Here s the home and away TD percentages of teams (on offense and defense) in the Red Zone over the last two seasons. HIGHER percentages (in BOLD) increase the odds of an Over hitting. LOWER percentages tend to lead to more Unders. We ll also update this chart throughout the season. ARIZONA ATLANTA BALTIMORE BUFFALO CAROLINA CHICAGO CINCINNATI CLEVELAND DALLAS DENVER DETROIT GREEN BAY HOUSTON INDIANAPOLIS JACKSONVILLE KANSAS CITY LA CHARGERS LA RAMS MIAMI MINNESOTA NEW ENGLAND NEW ORLEANS NY GIANTS NY JETS OAKLAND PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH SAN FRANCISCO SEATTLE TAMPA BAY TENNESSEE WASHINGTON 77% 80% 81% 40% 86% OFFENSIVE RED ZONE TD SCORING % DEFENSIVE RED ZONE TD SCORING % 83% 35% 51% 35% 40% 87% 38% 36% 66% 77% in NFL Dog Plays L3Y! Dawg Pound Hotline s NFL UnderDOG of the WEEK Documented 25-11-3 ATS / 69 Available Fridays for just $25 At PLAYBOOK.com Last Week: pass 5 36% 34% 35% 78% 38% 81% 77% 81% 82% 87% 27% 36% 31% 38% 91% 66% 79% 40% 51% 49%
NFL Home/Away O/U Results & Avg Total Points L4Y (Reg Season) Arizona Atlanta Baltimore Buffalo Carolina Chicago Cincinnati Cleveland Dallas Denver Detroit Green Bay Houston Indianapolis Jacksonville Kansas City LA Chargers LA Rams Miami Minnesota New England New Orleans NY Giants NY Jets Oakland Philadelphia Pittsburgh San Francisco Seattle Tampa Bay Tennessee Washington 2015 2014 LAST 4 YEARS 2-6 / 36.1 5-3 / 56.4 3-4 / 43.6 4-3 / 39.9 5-3 / 47.4 4-4 / 45.6 5-3 / 52.6 3-4-1 / 43.1 5-3 / 43.5 1-6 / 41.9 2-6 / 44.6 4-3 / 46.2 3-4 / 45.7 4-4 / 50.3 2-5 / 29.6 3-4 / 52.1 3-4 / 48.2 5-2 / 63.2 5-3 / 44.3 2-5 / 42.7 2-5 / 50.7 4-3 / 61.6 3-4 / 44.7 6-2 / 54.5 3-4 / 55.4 2-6 / 43.1 5-2 / 55.9 4-4 / 43.1 4-3 / 50.0 2-5 / 41.7 4-3 / 39.6 4-3 / 43.8 3-5 / 41.0 2-6 / 39.3 4-4 / 45.0 4-3-1 / 40.3 5-3 / 45.4 2-6 / 34.9 2-4-2 / 37.1 1-6 / 34.3 3-5 / 45.3 6-2 / 48.9 4-4 / 37.6 4-4 / 50.1 2-6 / 38.7 4-3 / 44.3 2-5-1 / 41.0 2-6 / 41.4 4-3 / 48.4 4-3 / 45.0 3-5 / 37.2 5-3 / 50.1 5-3 / 52.6 3-5 / 41.7 5-3 / 45.2 3-5 / 45.0 3-5 / 42.0 5-3 / 51.6 5-3 / 50.0 5-3 / 49.1 2-6 / 38.4 5-3 / 44.9 3-5 / 44.6 2-6 / 43.8 8-0 / 62.7 3-5 / 37.6 8-0 / 56.6 2-5-1 / 44.9 4-4 / 41.9 3-4 / 39.7 2-6 / 42.3 4-4 / 48.8 3-4-1 / 40.3 3-5 / 42.5 4-4 / 47.9 3-5 / 36.7 2-6 / 47.1 5-2 / 43.7 2-6 / 39.6 5-3 / 54.5 4-3 / 36.7 7-1 / 50.3 3-5 / 40.1 4-4 / 5-3 / 60.5 3-5 / 38.1 4-4 / 40.1 6-1 / 57.3 2-6 / 39.7 4-4 / 49.5 4-4 / 46.4 5-3 / 45.4 4-4 / 44.1 4-3-1 / 47.0 6-2 / 47.9 4-4 / 48.8 1-7 / 43.9 4-4 / 45.9 4-4 / 45.5 5-2-1 / 50.0 4-4 / 47.1 3-5 / 42.4 5-3 / 45.7 5-3 / 47.5 2-5-1 / 40.1 6-2 / 50.3 1-7 / 40.3 3-5 / 36.0 3-5 / 41.6 4-3 / 45.4 2-5 / 37.3 3-5 / 46.1 3-5 / 39.4 3-4 / 43.7 3-5 / 45.1 4-4 / 49.3 5-3 / 64.0 6-2 / 54.4 5-3 / 46.0 5-2-1 / 48.4 4-4 / 47.9 4-4 / 49.5 1-7 / 31.1 4-4 / 45.5 5-3 / 47.6 4-3-1 / 45.3 3-5 / 44.3 3-5 / 37.9 4-3 / 51.7 2-6 / 39.0 1-6 / 37.6 2-6 / 37.9 2-6 / 44.4 5-3 / 51.3 2-6 / 39.8 2-5-1 / 45.4 6-2 / 56.1 4-4 / 40.1 6-2 / 60.0 4-4 / 44.4 4-4 / 45.7 2-5 / 39.6 3-5 / 40.6 3-5 / 38.8 5-3 / 46.2 5-3 / 49.3 4-4 / 43.3 5-3 / 49.8 5-3 / 50.9 4-4 / 47.7 3-5 / 41.1 5-2 / 47.0 6-2 / 55.8 6-2 / 56.8 1-6-1 / 39.8 4-4 / 41.5 1-7 / 37.9 3-5 / 40.8 3-4-1 / 44.9 12-20 / 42.9 15-16 / 49.4 13-19 / 41.9 17-13-1 / 45.0 14-16-2 / 44.5 12-20 / 42.1 13-16-2 / 42.6 10-21 / 40.5 14-17-1 / 46.7 15-15-2 / 44.5 19-13 / 45.4 15-17 / 46.4 14-18 / 41.8 11-21 / 43.3 15-13 / 43.2 9-21-1 / 39.6 13-19 / 45.2 16-14 / 42.7 19-11 / 47.1 13-19 / 41,4 18-14 / 47.8 20-12 / 57.0 16-16 / 45.5 17-15 / 43.1 19-10-1 / 49.4 15-17 / 46.3 19-13 / 51.8 11-20-1 / 41.8 18-14 / 45.4 12-20 / 42.0 16-14-2 / 44.5 15-16-1 / 45.4 Arizona Atlanta Baltimore Buffalo Carolina Chicago Cincinnati Cleveland Dallas Denver Detroit Green Bay Houston Indianapolis Jacksonville Kansas City LA Chargers LA Rams Miami Minnesota New England New Orleans NY Giants NY Jets Oakland Philadelphia Pittsburgh San Francisco Seattle Tampa Bay Tennessee Washington 2015 2014 LAST 4 YEARS 4-3 / 44.3 3-4 / 45.7 3-5 / 40.1 2-6 / 38.1 2-5 / 47.5 4-3 / 43.6 4-2-1 / 53.2 3-4 / 50.8 1-6 / 34.8 2-6 / 44.1 4-3 / 42.3 4-4 / 52.6 4-4 / 46.9 3-4 / 46.4 7-1 / 72.8 5-3 / 48.5 2-6 / 48.6 2-5 / 48.2 4-4 / 46.0 3-5 / 45.6 2-6 / 48.4 5-3 / 49.6 4-3 / 42.4 5-2 / 49.4 3-5 / 46.0 4-3 / 50.3 4-4 / 46.7 6-2 / 62.7 3-5 / 35.5 3-5 / 38.6 3-5 / 41.0 3-5 / 44.2 5-3 / 3-5 / 4-4 / 40.7 2-5-1 / 38.1 4-4 / 42.7 6-3 / 44.7 3-5 / 40.4 4-4 / 42.5 4-4 / 49.3 7-1 / 50.4 3-5 / 48.5 4-4 / 44.6 4-5 / 41.7 5-3 / 53.2 2-6 / 36.9 7-2 / 52.0 3-5-1 / 39.8 4-4 / 42.0 2-6 / 44.0 4-4 / 44.1 3-5 / 37.5 3-5 / 39.6 2-6 / 39.3 4-3-1 / 52.0 0-7-1 / 37.6 3-5 / 39.2 2-6 / 38.1 6-2 / 51.2 5-3 / 46.6 8-0 / 53.8 5-2-1 / 55.5 4-4 / 45.4 4-4 / 40.5 4-3-1 / 51.5 4-4 / 42.7 3-6 / 40.2 6-2 / 47.2 2-6 / 42.0 3-5 / 38.4 3-5 / 45.4 6-2 / 54.5 3-5 / 39.1 7-1 / 53.3 5-4 / 45.8 4-4 / 47.8 4-4 / 49.6 3-6 / 40.1 5-3 / 42.6 3-4-1 / 39.1 2-6 / 44.1 4-4 / 54.8 1-7 / 36.1 3-5 / 45.4 5-4 / 44.4 7-1 / 47.5 2-6 / 41.2 6-2 / 51.9 4-4 / 35.4 3-5 / 46.2 5-3 / 47.8 6-2 / 49.3 5-3 / 51.4 1-7 / 41.6 3-5 / 45.5 4-4 / 46.7 5-3 / 51.0 4-4 / 44.4 4-4 / 44.9 3-5 / 43.0 1-7 / 33.6 4-4 / 41.2 3-5 / 44.5 4-4 / 45.9 5-2-1 / 45.5 5-3 / 50.9 6-3 / 56.3 6-2-1 / 47.9 3-5 / 43.6 1-7 / 36.8 4-5 / 43.7 1-6-1 / 38.2 5-3 / 48.3 4-4 / 46.5 5-3 / 53.4 3-5 / 41.6 3-4-1 / 46.4 4-4 / 53.0 2-6 / 43.3 6-2 / 47.0 3-5 / 42.0 4-4 / 47.2 5-3 / 44.8 6-2 / 51.4 2-5-1 / 38.3 2-7 / 48.4 5-3 / 49.9 2-7 / 41.0 6-2 / 51.0 6-2 / 50.6 1-7 / 37.4 3-5 / 39.6 7-1 / 64.8 4-4 / 48.4 1-7 / 35.3 4-4 / 44.1 4-4 / 40.5 5-3 / 57.6 6-3 / 42.3 2-6 / 38.6 4-4 / 48.1 3-5 / 38.5 3-5 / 45.8 2-6 / 40.2 4-4 / 48.0 5-3 / 52.1 6-2 / 49.7 4-4 / 44.4 5-4 / 41.8 4-3-1 / 53.3 3-5 / 43.6 3-5 / 40.8 4-4 / 39.5 4-4 / 47.9 3-5 / 45.6 4-4 / 47.4 18-13-1 / 46.1 11-21-1 / 47.4 17-15 / 45.7 13-20 / 42.6 19-12-1 / 48.6 16-15-1 / 43.8 12-21 / 41.3 18-15 / 43.6 13-19 / 45.2 15-17 / 42.6 11-21 / 43.6 21-11 / 48.5 15-16-1 / 43.4 21-11 / 51.6 21-15 / 46.5 17-15-1 / 46.9 13-19 / 44.5 14-20 / 41.8 15-18-1 / 42.9 10-20-2 / 39.9 13-19 / 46.1 17-15 / 49.4 15-17 / 44.2 13-19 / 42.7 15-18-1 / 42.9 19-11-2 / 51.4 7-24-1 / 41.4 18-14 / 44.7 13-19 / 38.7 17-15 / 48.1 17-15 / 44.9 21-11 / 48.7 6