C A L I F O R N I A D R I E D P L U M B O A R D 3840 Rosin Court Phone (916) 565-6232 Suite 170 Fax (916) 565-6237 Sacramento, CA 95834 www.californiadriedplums.org October 23, 2015 FINAL STATISTICAL REPORT 2014/15 The attached tables reflect the results of marketing the 2014/15 prune crop under the provisions of the Marketing Order for California Dried Plums as Amended and Marketing Agreement No. 110, as Amended, and Order No. 993, as Amended, regulating the handling of dried prunes produced in California. They are listed as follows: Table No. Title 1 Summary of Supply and Shipments 2 Beginning and Ending Inventories 3 Bearing and Non-Bearing Acreage 4 Nursery Tree Sales 5 Production by Size 6 Production and Quality 7 Total Shipments 8 Domestic Shipments by Usage 9 Export Shipments by Destination 10 Shipment of Pitted Prunes 11 Whole Prune Packout by Type of Pack 12 Pitted Prune Packout by Type of Pack 13 Prune Imports by Country of Origin 14 Prune Juice Imports by Country of Origin 15 Competitive Prune Production 16 Average Grower Prune Prices We have calculated that the seasonal average parity price for dried prunes for the 2014/15 crop year was $4,615 per ton. The seasonal grower return finalized price, based on 43,340 tons for 2014/15 crop prunes, was calculated as $2,482 per ton. Purchases from producers, for whom pricing was NOT finalized, totaled 42,590 tons. The average "good faith" estimate of final weighted average price for this tonnage was $2,450 per ton.* * Information as reported by the National Agricultural Statistics Service in the "Walnut/Raisin/Prune Report, State Summary - 2014 Crop Year" dated October 29, 2015. Link: http://www.nass.usda.gov/statistics_by_state/california/publications/fruits_and_nuts/201510wrpoct29.pdf An instrumentality of the Department of Food and Agriculture, State of California
Table 1 SUMMARY OF SUPPLY AND SHIPMENTS 2014/15 CROP YEAR Marketable Prunes Natural Condition Carryin, Inventory, 8/1/14 32,173 Marketable Production, 2014 Crop: (a) 107,106 Total Supply 139,279 Shipments 8/1/14-7/31/15 91,069 (65% of salable supply) 7/31/15 Carryout as computed 48,210 Carryout as Reported 7/31/15 (b) 45,830 (a) As reported by processors as of 7/31/15 on natural condition basis. (b) As reported by processors as of 7/31/15 on natural condition basis. Variance from calculated figure may be due to processor formula used in converting processed condition product back to natural condition for reporting purposes.
Table 2 BEGINNING AND ENDING INVENTORIES BY SIZE 2014/15 CROP YEAR Size Carryin Inventory Size Carryout Inventory % Count August 1, 2014 Count July 31, 2015 Change 60 and larger 16,375 60 and larger 14,712-10 61 to 80 4,586 61 to 80 9,431 106 81 to 91 1,156 81 to 91 4,444 284 92 to 100 1,034 92 to 100 2,964 187 101 and smaller 383 101 and smaller 4,120 976 Pitted 5,526 Pitted 5,509 0 Manufactured Manufactured Products 3,113 Products 4,650 49 Total 32,173 Total 45,830 42 Source: As reported by processors at 7/31/14 and 7/31/15 on natural condition basis.
BEARING AND NON-BEARING ACREAGE BY COUNTY 2014/15 CROP YEAR Table 3 Non - Total District County Bearing Bearing Acreage Santa Clara/Napa/Sonoma: Alameda 0 0 0 Napa 0 0 0 Santa Clara 12 0 12 Santa Cruz 0 0 0 Sonoma 0 0 0 TOTAL 12 0 12 North Sacramento Valley: Butte 6,216 439 6,655 Glenn 3,665 322 3,987 Shasta 0 0 0 Tehama 4,267 666 4,933 TOTAL 14,148 1,427 15,575 South Sacramento Valley: Amador 0 0 0 Colusa 750 36 786 Placer 0 0 0 Solano 651 429 1,080 Sutter 17,152 969 18,121 Yolo 1,509 371 1,880 Yuba 6,424 741 7,165 TOTAL 26,486 2,546 29,032 San Joaquin Valley: Fresno 1,245 62 1,307 Kern 0 0 0 Kings 2 0 2 Merced 1,106 280 1,386 Madera 761 0 761 Stanislaus 23 0 23 Tulare 2,496 201 2,697 TOTAL 5,633 543 6,176 STATE TOTAL 46,279 4,516 50,795 Detail will not necessarily add to totals due to rounding. Source: Processor reports
NURSERY TREE SALES 2007-2015 Table 4 Year Number of Trees 2015 448,013 2014 204,781 2013 318,985 2012 305,868 2011 137,111 2010 308,356 2009 323,979 2008 384,360 2007 431,719 Source: California Dried Plum Board Nursery Survey
PRODUCTION BY SIZE 2014/15 CROP YEAR Table 5 Size 2013/14 2014/15 % Count Production Production Change 60 and larger 59,055 53,005-10.24 61 to 80 18,195 31,893 75.28 81 to 91 2,667 7,294 173.49 92 to 100 1,172 6,039 415.27 101 and smaller 2,038 8,875 335.48 Total 83,127 107,106 28.85 Source: Processor reports, natural condition basis.
PRODUCTION AND QUALITY 2014/15 CROP YEAR Table 6 (b) Total (a) (a) (a) Dried Substandard Under- (b) % Change Prune in Excess Trash sized Marketable From Year Production of Tolerance Content Prunes Content Prior Year - - - Net Tons Natural Condition - - - 2014 107,106 N/A N/A N/A N/A 107,106 28.42 2013 83,404 N/A N/A N/A N/A 83,404-39.00 2012 137,387 N/A N/A N/A N/A 137,387 0.97 2011 136,061 N/A N/A N/A N/A 136,061 5.06 2010 129,510 N/A N/A N/A N/A 129,510-22.04 2009 166,114 N/A N/A N/A N/A 166,114 28.11 2008 129,668 N/A N/A N/A N/A 129,668 55.71 2007 83,276 N/A N/A N/A N/A 83,276-55.64 (a) Due to suspension of PMC incoming inspections, data is no longer available. (b) As reported by processors
Table 7 TOTAL SHIPMENTS 2014/15 - - - Net Tons Natural Condition - - - Domestic Including Total Quarter Canada Export Shipments BY QUARTER 1st: Aug '14 - Oct '14 10,723 10,943 21,666 2nd: Nov '14 - Jan '15 13,325 10,503 23,828 3rd: Feb '15 - Apr '15 10,115 15,393 25,508 4th: May '15 - July '15 10,212 9,855 20,067 Total 44,375 46,694 91,069 CUMULATIVE October 2014 January 2015 10,723 10,943 21,666 24,048 21,446 45,494 April 2015 34,163 36,839 71,002 July 2015 44,375 46,694 91,069 Detail will not necessarily add to totals due to rounding. Source: Processors' Report of Shipments
Table 8 DOMESTIC SHIPMENTS BY USAGE, BY QUARTER 2014/15 CROP YEAR - - - Net Tons Natural Condition - - - Natural Total Dried Condition Domestic Quarter Prunes Manufacturing Pitted (shipped in) Gov't. Shipments BY QUARTER 1st: Aug '14 - Oct '14 1,153 2,295 7,056 214 5 10,723 2nd: Nov '14 - Jan '15 943 2,458 8,338 1,586 0 13,325 3rd: Feb '15 - Apr '15 384 149 7,901 1,681 0 10,115 4th: May '15 - July '15 472 1,695 5,318 2,727 0 10,212 Total 2,952 6,597 28,613 6,208 5 44,375 CUMULATIVE October 2014 January 2015 1,153 2,295 7,056 214 5 10,723 2,096 4,753 15,394 1,800 5 24,048 April 2015 2,480 4,902 23,295 3,481 5 34,163 July 2015 2,952 6,597 28,613 6,208 5 44,375 Detail will not necessarily add to totals due to rounding Source: Processors' Report of Shipments
PRUNE EXPORT SHIPMENTS BY DESTINATION Table 9 Page 1 of 2 AREA/COUNTRIES OF DESTINATION United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service (Metric Tones) AUGUST - JULY QUANTITIES 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 % Chg. from previous year Argentina 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -- Armenia 0.0 19.8 22.8 0.0 84.8 -- Australia(*) 2,453.0 2,444.1 2,222.0 2,065.2 2,917.3 41 Austria 22.8 41.8 24.5 55.3 68.6 24 Azerbaijan 51.9 19.1 18.8 0.0 106.8 -- Bahamas, The 16.7 13.3 29.9 4.2 11.9 181 Barbados 48.1 31.1 30.3 21.3 18.7 12 Belgium-Luxembourg(*) 18.4 0.0 91.6 0.0 46.8 -- Belize 2.0 3.8 7.8 3.7 0.0 -- Bermuda 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.7 -- Brazil 52.3 32.4 7.2 87.9 43.4 51 Brunei 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.8 21 Cambodia 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 -- Canada 5,039.6 5,105.2 4,828.5 5,053.1 6,023.2 19 Cayman Islands 1.8 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.8 -- Chile 412.4 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 -- China 2,688.6 3,927.8 3,007.8 976.8 587.4 40 Colombia 18.9 41.5 92.3 102.1 164.6 61 Costa Rica 100.8 162.8 126.7 154.9 107.5 31 Cyprus 31.9 16.4 10.6 5.4 6.5 21 Czech Republic 77.4 19.8 19.8 0.0 0.0 -- Denmark(*) 331.5 843.9 714.5 351.8 293.2 17 Dominican Republic 265.1 192.8 265.3 245.2 414.3 69 Ecuador 33.0 18.5 21.6 4.5 7.5 67 Egypt 81.0 88.0 99.3 93.4 100.1 7 El Salvador 18.4 22.0 15.6 18.3 52.7 189 Estonia 0.0 38.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Finland 662.0 801.7 968.2 553.9 1,392.3 151 France(*) 796.7 220.8 20.0 0.0 1.0 -- French Pacific Islands(*) 1.9 1.7 5.5 1.3 0.0 -- Georgia 641.8 585.3 147.0 0.0 0.0 -- Germany(*) 9,501.4 9,891.2 11,030.4 11,209.1 17,786.7 59 Greece 296.3 340.7 227.5 360.9 230.4 36 Guatemala 65.0 32.9 30.6 31.0 42.2 36 Guyana 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.6 0.0 -- Haiti 0.0 1.1 10.5 0.6 0.0 -- Honduras 57.8 53.8 16.1 15.2 17.0 11 Hong Kong 3,567.4 3,917.4 6,299.4 4,055.8 3,363.9-17 Hungary 1,022.0 214.7 308.5 251.2 215.3-14 Iceland 12.7 8.1 6.4 14.7 7.2-51 India 90.2 171.3 235.9 132.0 385.9 192 Indonesia 60.6 14.4 44.5 187.6 352.1 88 Ireland 61.1 57.7 65.8 85.9 105.1 22 Israel(*) 2,528.0 1,716.7 1,303.2 1,425.2 3,788.7 166 Italy(*) 3,830.1 3,301.8 4,191.2 4,384.4 4,226.6 4
Table 9 Page 2 of 2 AREA/COUNTRIES OF DESTINATION AUGUST - JULY QUANTITIES 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 % Chg. from previous year Jamaica 21.7 25.0 10.9 30.6 33.8 11 Japan 12,605.8 13,047.9 11,419.7 11,884.2 12,393.3 4 Jordan 12.4 8.2 73.0 19.0 8.4 56 Kazakhstan 0.0 18.1 19.4 66.4 0.0 -- Korea, South 1,398.4 1,592.7 1,525.9 1,400.1 1,368.8 2 Kuwait 15.7 71.6 79.5 91.1 241.1 165 Latvia 130.0 19.5 54.9 57.8 0.0 -- Lebanon 22.5 20.5 18.2 91.2 1.6 98 Leeward-Windward 5.2 2.0 2.1 4.1 4.9 20 Lithuania 158.1 59.8 59.3 0.0 0.0 -- Malaysia 1,482.3 1,537.9 1,459.7 1,470.0 1,963.7 34 Malta 7.6 9.3 14.0 10.9 22.4 105 Mexico 751.6 919.6 1,046.4 1,135.7 1,407.3 24 Mongolia 4.6 13.7 5.8 4.5 5.0 10 Netherlands 273.8 262.2 282.0 110.7 474.4 329 Netherlands Antilles(*) 81.7 76.1 128.8 62.2 93.7 51 New Zealand(*) 1,258.2 1,545.6 1,273.1 774.5 1,034.2 34 Nicaragua 36.0 23.8 10.9 120.5 18.0 85 Nigeria 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Norway(*) 662.2 696.8 732.9 664.4 942.6 42 Other Pacific Islands, 1.8 3.5 3.6 1.2 1.1 10 Panama 153.1 143.9 151.4 249.6 210.4 16 Paraguay 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -- Peru 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.8 -- Philippines 146.6 67.2 214.8 305.9 420.3 37 Poland 1,919.2 1,928.6 2,037.5 1,352.0 1,657.0 23 Romania 0.0 0.0 16.2 0.0 0.0 -- Russia 5,898.2 2,742.5 4,850.2 1,863.2 18.3 99 Saudi Arabia 89.7 81.4 48.9 34.9 3.0 91 Singapore 218.0 243.1 224.1 369.6 451.3 22 South Africa 0.0 0.0 5.8 0.0 0.0 -- Spain 237.7 467.2 307.7 37.8 219.8 481 Suriname 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Swaziland 36.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Sweden 554.5 422.9 404.5 564.4 828.7 47 Switzerland(*) 1,169.2 2,042.2 1,872.7 1,058.9 483.4 54 Taiwan 754.3 606.0 534.8 798.6 1,209.8 52 Thailand 462.1 330.7 335.0 274.0 447.3 63 Trinidad and Tobago 42.0 56.3 53.8 85.5 89.9 5 Turkey 39.2 41.6 40.8 60.0 106.8 78 Ukraine 85.8 92.9 930.9 201.6 0.0 -- United Arab Emirates 82.0 19.5 3.0 10.9 6.7 38 United Kingdom 2,748.2 3,499.5 3,758.7 3,340.6 2,877.8 14 Venezuela 29.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Vietnam 67.1 812.6 2,967.5 1,494.1 1,566.5 5 Total 68,624.8 67,965.8 73,550.7 62,055.3 73,596.6 19 Data Source: Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Statistics. (*) denotes a country that is a summarization of its component countries. Countries supported by Market Access Program (MAP) funds from USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service.
Table 10 SHIPMENTS OF PITTED PRUNES 2014/15 CROP YEAR - - - Net Tons Natural Condition - - - Quarter Domestic Export Total BY QUARTER 1st: Aug '14 - Oct '14 7,056 7,869 14,925 2nd: Nov '14 - Jan '15 8,338 7,470 15,808 3rd: Feb '15 - Apr '15 7,901 10,391 18,292 4th: May '15 - July '15 5,318 6,676 11,994 Total 28,613 32,406 61,019 CUMULATIVE October 2014 7,056 7,869 14,925 January 2015 15,394 15,339 30,733 April 2015 23,295 25,730 49,025 July 2015 28,613 32,406 61,019 Detail will not necessarily add to totals due to rounding Source: Processors' Report of Shipments
Table 11 WHOLE PRUNE PACKOUT BY TYPE OF PACK 2014/15 CROP YEAR - - - Net Tons Natural Condition - - - Quarter Consumer Bulk Pack Pack Total BY QUARTER 1st: Aug '14 - Oct '14 4,355 2,204 6,559 2nd: Nov '14 - Jan '15 3,961 4,311 8,272 3rd: Feb '15 - Apr '15 796 5,984 6,780 4th: May '15 - July '15 2,458 5,423 7,881. Total 11,570 17,922 29,492 CUMULATIVE October 2014 4,355 2,204 6,559 January 2015 8,316 6,515 14,831 April 2015 9,112 12,499 21,611 July 2015 11,570 17,922 29,492 Detail will not necessarily add to totals due to rounding. Source: Processors' Report of Shipments
Table 12 PITTED PRUNE PACKOUT BY TYPE OF PACK 2014/15 CROP YEAR - - - Net Tons Natural Condition - - - Quarter Consumer Pack Bulk Pack Total BY QUARTER 1st: Aug '14 - Oct '14 10,825 4,282 15,107 2nd: Nov '14 - Jan '15 11,235 4,321 15,556 3rd: Feb '15 - Apr '15 13,025 5,703 18,728 4th: May '15 - July '15 7,500 4,686 12,186 Total 42,585 18,992 61,577 CUMULATIVE October 2014 10,825 4,282 15,107 January 2015 22,060 8,603 30,663 April 2015 35,085 14,306 49,391 July 2015 42,585 18,992 61,577 Detail will not necessarily add to totals due to rounding. Source: Processors' Report of Shipments
PRUNE IMPORTS BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN Table 13 AREA/COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Dried Prune, Not Elsewhere Specified (MT) AUGUST - JULY QUANTITIES 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 % Chg. from previous year Afghanistan 3.7 0.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 -- Argentina 5.6 2.1 129.5 306.5 1,416.1 362 Australia (*) 0.0 0.0 0.0 252.0 864.0 243 Bulgaria 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Chile 242.0 113.1 564.2 5,448.4 6,001.3 10 China 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.8 39.0 146 France (*) 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 -- Germany (*) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1 -- Hong Kong 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Iran 16.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Mexico 5.4 11.5 6.1 3.0 9.3 210 Pakistan 2.7 7.3 6.0 0.0 43.3 -- Syria 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Taiwan 0.1 2.8 6.0 2.8 6.6 139 Thailand 5.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Turkey 0.2 38.1 12.6 14.7 25.7 76 United Kingdom 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8 -- Uzbekistan, Republic of 5.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -- Total 292.0 175.8 749.4 6,044.2 8,415.7 39 AREA/COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN Dried Prune in Brine (MT) AUGUST - JULY QUANTITIES 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 % Chg. from previous year Argentina 36.0 20.0 38.4 98.6 105.0 6 Cameroon 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 -- Chile 20.0 261.5 30.0 0.0 125.7 -- China 2.6 6.7 4.8 0.9 3.3 265 Cyprus 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -- France (*) 15.2 9.1 8.8 12.6 11.0-14 Italy (*) 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Mexico 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 -- Norway 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 -- Taiwan 156.4 61.4 60.8 14.1 19.0 35 Thailand 11.3 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Turkey 0.0 0.0 10.4 11.9 0.0 -- Total 241.5 361.9 155.2 138.4 272.5 97 Data Source: Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Statistics. (*) denotes a country that is a summarization of its component countries.
PRUNE JUICE IMPORTS BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN Table 14 AREA/COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Prune Juice, Unfermented (KL) AUGUST - JULY QUANTITIES 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 % Chg. from previous year Argentina 0.0 130.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- Australia (*) 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4 0.0 -- Canada 0.0 0.0 35.6 6.4 0.0 -- Chile 15,710.9 11,087.4 8,683.9 11,843.8 11,456.4-3 Egypt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3 -- France (*) 2,832.8 922.6 1,693.9 3,014.5 6,453.2 114 Mexico 0.0 0.0 2.7 0.0 0.0 -- Panama 0.0 0.0 0.0 76.4 0.0 -- Turkey 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -- Total 18,543.7 12,140.8 10,416.1 14,952.5 17,917.9 20 Data Source: Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Statistics. (*) denotes a country that is a summarization of its component countries.
COMPETITIVE PRUNE PRODUCTION (Short Tons) Table 15 Crop Year Country Carry-In Production Supply 2015 Argentina 0 38,581 38,581 Australia 331 3,968 4,299 Chile 11,784 84,817 96,601 France 16,465 35,274 51,739 Italy 529 1323 1,852 Serbia ** 0 0 0 South Africa 88 1,102 1,190 Total 29,197 165,065 194,262 2014 Argentina 0 14,881 14,881 Australia 937 2,508 3,445 Chile 11,070 72,641 83,711 France 17,305 39,173 56,478 Italy 496 1,499 1,995 Serbia * 110 8,929 9,039 South Africa 0 1,047 1,047 Total 29,918 140,678 170,596 2013 Argentina 7,716 33,064 40,780 Australia 783 3,219 4,002 Chile 3,058 69,400 72,458 France 26,746 35,004 61,750 Italy 198 1,562 1,760 Serbia * 0 9,921 9,921 South Africa 0 948 948 Total 38,501 153,118 191,619 2012 Argentina 5,071 20,062 25,133 Australia 661 2,976 3,637 Chile 8,818 82,673 91,491 France 25,643 46,387 72,030 Italy 198 1,096 1,294 South Africa 0 1,213 1,213 Total 40,391 154,407 194,798 Source: International Prune Association (IPA) * New IPA member as of 2014 ** IPA has not reported Serbia's 2015 figures as of October 23, 2015.
3000 Average Grower Prune Price per Ton Table 16 2500 2482 2000 1996 1500 1500 1470 1390 1450 1500 1230 1350 1310 1326 Price per Ton 1000 500 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 The seasonal grower return finalized price, based on 43,340 tons for 2014/15 crop prunes, was calculated as $2,482 per ton. Purchase from producers, for whom pricing was NOT finalized, totaled 42,590 tons. The average "good faith" estimate of final weighted average price for this tonnage was $2,450 per ton.* * Information as reported by the National Agricultural Statistics Service in the "Walnut/Raisin/Prune Report, State Summary - 2014 Crop Year" dated October 29, 2015. http://www.nass.usda.gov/statistics_by_state/california/publications/fruits_and_nuts/201510wrpoct29.pdf